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PubMed2003

Prognostic factors in Sézary syndrome: a study of 28 patients.

BACKGROUND: The new European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer classification considers Sézary syndrome (SS) among the aggressive epidermotropic cutaneous T-cell lymphomas (ECTLs). Recent technological advances have facilitated the diagnosis of this disease, but it remains practically incurable, with a median survival of about 2.5-5 years. Deaths are due in part to the iatrogenic effects of treatments, which suggests that the management of SS could be improved. OBJECTIVES: Retrospectively to study the prognostic criteria related to disease progression. METHODS: Thirty patients with SS were followed up in the Dermatology Department of the University Hospital in Nantes, France, between January 1989 and May 2000. The diagnosis of SS was based on at least three of the following criteria: erythroderma, histological evidence of ECTL, a level of 20% or more circulating Sézary cells, and loss of My7 antigen expression by basal cells of the epidermis. Two patients not seen again after the initial diagnosis were excluded from the statistical study. RESULTS: The median disease-specific survival of the 28 patients was 64.55 +/- 10.11 months. The prognostic factors found in univariate analysis were age at diagnosis (P = 0.0109), interval before diagnosis (P = 0.0566), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level (P = 0.042) and presence of the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) genome (BHLF in in situ hybridization) in skin (P = 0.0079). The prognostic factors found in multivariate analysis were age, interval before diagnosis and presence of the EBV genome in keratinocytes. A decreased number of Langerhans cells in the epidermis did not appear to be a prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms the prognostic value of age and LDH level, and for the first time demonstrates the prognostic value of the identification of the EBV genome in the skin. This seems consistent with a marked immune deficit during severe forms of SS.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Soluble syndecan-1 level at diagnosis is an independent prognostic factor in multiple myeloma and the extent of fall from diagnosis to plateau predicts for overall survival.

Syndecan-1 (CD138) is a heparin sulphate proteoglycan that is over expressed on the surface of both normal and malignant plasma cells and actively shed from the cell surface (soluble syndecan-1). Soluble syndecan-1 has been shown to be an independent prognostic factor in myeloma but its role in prognostic classification requires further investigation. We have retrospectively measured soluble syndecan-1 in 324 presentation samples and 154 plateau phase samples from the UK Medical Research Council Myeloma VIth trial. Log-rank analysis showed that the presentation value of soluble syndecan-1 is a highly significant prognostic factor when assessing survival from entry (chi2=14.92, P<0.0001) and remains an important independent prognostic factor when considered in Cox regression models (P<or=0.02) with known independent factors. The magnitude of fall in soluble syndecan-1 from presentation to plateau also had prognostic value when assessing overall survival from plateau (chi2=3.79, P=0.05). In conclusion, this large study confirms that soluble syndecan-1 level is a powerful independent prognostic factor both at diagnosis and at plateau phase.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

Prognostic model for disease-specific and overall mortality in newly diagnosed symptomatic patients with Waldenstrom macroglobulinaemia.

We sought to define prognostic factors for survival in Waldenstrom macroglobulinaemia (WM). Of 585 patients diagnosed with WM and seen at Mayo Clinic between 1960 and 2001, 337 symptomatic patients met the inclusion criteria and were analysed for overall and disease-specific survival. The median survival from the time of diagnosis was 6.4 years. The median disease-specific survival was 11.2 years. Univariate analysis for overall survival identified the following adverse prognostic factors: age >65 years (P < 0.001), organomegaly (P < 0.001), elevated beta2-microglobulin (<0.001), anaemia (Hb < 10.0 g/dl) (P = 0.01), leucopenia (<4.0 x 10(9)/l) (P = 0.03), thrombocytopenia (<150 x 10(9)/l) (P = 0.01), serum albumin <40 g/l (P = 0.001), and quantitative IgM < 0.4 g/l (P = 0.04). On multivariate analysis, age >65 years and organomegaly were associated with poor prognosis. A prognostic model was built based on these two variables. Patients at high risk (1-2 risk factors, median survival 4.2 years) experienced worse survival than patients at low risk (0 risk factors, median survival 10.6 years), P < 0.001. The prognostic model was validated in 204 patients who were not included in the analysis cohort. Beta2-microglobulin > or =4 mg/l was associated with a threefold increase in the risk of death when added to the prognostic model. We describe a simple prognostic model for overall survival for newly diagnosed patients with WM.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Clinicopathological and immunohistochemical analysis of 20 cases of Merkel cell carcinoma in search of prognostic markers.

AIMS: To evaluate the clinicopathological and immunohistochemical characteristics of Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) in an attempt to find new, potentially significant, prognostic markers. METHODS AND RESULTS: Clinical data and follow-up, histopathological features (pattern, cell size, thickness, mitoses, vascular invasion, lymphocytic infiltration) and immunohistochemical detection [CK20, thyroid transcription factor (TTF-1), chromogranin A, synaptophysin, p53, Ki67, Fli-1, CD99, c-Kit] were evaluated in 20 cases of MCC. Fli-1 and CD99 were detected in 90% and 55% of cases, respectively. Tumour size>30 mm, stage II, 'absent' lymphocytic infiltration, and the presence of>50% of Ki67+ tumour cells, were found to be prognostic indicators of disease-free interval (DFI), but only 'absent' lymphocytic infiltration constituted an independent prognostic factor of DFI after multivariate analysis. For overall survival, the same variables, together with local recurrence and lymph node involvement, had prognostic significance, with only local recurrence as an independent prognostic factor after multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Absence of lymphocytic infiltration and Ki67 immunoreactivity in more than 50% of tumour cells should be evaluated in conjunction with other well-known prognostic markers in MCC. Furthermore, recognizing that Fli-1 and CD99 expression is commonly found in MCC by immunohistochemistry may avoid misinterpretation in the differential diagnosis of MCC with other small round cell tumours.

12E7 Antigen↗

PubMed2004

Preliminary analysis of a newly proposed prognostic scoring system (SLiDe score) for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The long-term prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains poor and the prediction of survival is often difficult because of the limited liver function and frequent recurrence of HCC in most patients. Therefore, a prognostic classification of HCC should account for both tumor-related variables and liver function. METHODS: The value of reported prognostic factors for HCC was assessed and a new prognostic classification was established called the 'SLiDe' scoring system (S, stage; Li, liver damage; De, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin) using 'stage' and 'liver damage' of the recently revised 4th edition of the Japanese staging system edited by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan, and the serum level of des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) in 177 patients with HCC. RESULTS: Univariate analysis identified Child-Pugh stage, liver damage, tumor morphology, portal vein thrombosis, stage, serum level of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), serum level of DCP, and initial treatment as significant prognostic factors. Of these, liver damage, stage, and serum level of DCP remained independent predictive factors of survival after multivariate prognostic analysis using the proportional hazards regression model. Therefore, a new prognostic scoring system (SLiDe scoring system) was derived that assigned a linear score (0/1/2/3) to these three covariates. This SLiDe scoring system was statistically a better model for predicting outcome in the present study population than the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) scoring systems, as judged by the Akaike Information Criteria. CONCLUSION: The SLiDe scoring system is useful for the assessment of the prognosis of patients with HCC as long as the Japanese staging system is used, although this uses parameters such as the indocyanine green retention test and DCP, which are not examined routinely in every part of the world. Therefore, the proposed classification should be further validated in other large study populations.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

Micrometastasis of a sentinel lymph node in cutaneous melanoma is a significant prognostic factor for disease-free survival, distant-metastasis-free survival, and overall survival.

OBJECTIVE: Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) has been proposed as a minimally invasive procedure for the histopathologic staging of the regional lymph node basin. The aim of this work was to investigate the prognostic value of detection of micrometastasis by SLNB. METHODS: In the period from January 1996 to March 2000, a sentinel lymph node (SLN) was identified in 283 patients at the Department Dermatology, University of Tuebingen. In the case of 38 patients (13.4%) histopathologic examination led to the detection of micrometastasis in at least one SLN. The median follow-up period was 29 months. RESULTS: Thirty-one of 245 patients (12.7%) suffered a tumor recurrence following a negative SLNB, and 19 of 38 patients (50%) following positive SLNB. In the case of disease-free survival the remaining significant independent prognostic factors of the multivariate analysis were tumor thickness (p=0.011), ulceration (p=0.026), and the detection of micrometastasis in SLNB (p=0.021). With respect to distant-metastasis-free survival the significant independent prognostic factors of the multivariate analysis were tumor thickness (p=0.0022) and the SLNB results (p=0.0068). For overall survival the tumor thickness (p=0.013) and the SLNB results (p=0.034) were significant independent prognostic parameters in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: The study examined patients with melanomas of all tumor thicknesses and SLNB for which the prognostic significance of SLNB was tested. Recurrences were more frequent in patients with a micrometastatic SLN. Patients with a negative SNLB are still at risk for tumor recurrence. The histopathologic result of SLNB is, after tumor thickness, the most significant prognostic factor for disease-free survival, distant-metastasis-free survival, and overall survival.

Disease-Free Survival↗

PubMed1993

The role of prognostic scores in targeting stroke rehabilitation in elderly patients.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the validity of clinically derived prognostic scores in targeting stroke rehabilitation in elderly patients. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: One-year prospective cohort study in 96 hospitalized stroke patients over 75 years of age from a well defined geographical area. MEASUREMENTS: Edinburgh prognostic score (incorporating measures of motor deficit, proprioception, and power), Orpington prognostic score (Edinburgh score modified to include a measure of cognition), and Barthel ADL scores were measured at 1, 2, and 4 weeks after stroke. These scores were correlated with outcome and patients' Barthel ADL score at discharge or at 16 weeks if still in hospital. RESULTS: Edinburgh prognostic score measured at 2 weeks correlated significantly with Barthel ADL score at discharge or at 16 weeks (r2 = 0.57, P < 0.001), and Orpington prognostic scores showed greater correlation (r2 = 0.89 vs 0.57), especially in patients with dementia (r2 = 0.81 vs 0.39). Barthel ADL scores at 2 weeks showed a weak correlation with Barthel ADL scores at discharge or 16 weeks (r2 = 0.58). Patients with Orpington Score < 3.2 were discharged within 3 weeks of stroke, whereas those scoring > 5.2 required long-term care. Most patients (90%) with Orpington Score of 3-5 were eventually discharged home although this was not always apparent on initial clinical assessment at the time of admission. CONCLUSIONS: The Orpington score when assessed at 2-weeks post-stroke is a useful prognostic indicator with special suitability for the elderly and may help to select patients most likely to benefit from stroke unit rehabilitation.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed2002

The 1-year and 3-month prognostic utility of the AST/ALT ratio and model for end-stage liver disease score in patients with viral liver cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVES: The AST/ALT ratio has shown good diagnostic accuracy in patients with chronic viral liver disease. However, its prognostic utility has never been tested. Recently, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has been proposed as a simple and effective tool to predict survival in patients with liver cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to assess the 3-month and 1-yr prognostic ability of the AST/ALT ratio in a series of patients with virus-related liver cirrhosis, and to evaluate the relationship between the AST/ALT ratio and the MELD score and to compare their prognostic ability. METHODS: The AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores of 99 patients with liver cirrhosis of viral etiology (73 patients with hepatitis C virus and 26 with hepatitis B virus) who had been followed-up for at least 1 yr were retrospectively calculated and correlated with the patients' 3-month and 1-yr prognosis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the AST/ALT ratio and the MELD score cut-offs with the best sensitivity (SS) and specificity (SP) in discriminating between patients who survived and those who died. Univariate survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method using the cut-offs identified by means of receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores showed a significant correlation (r(s) = 0.503, p = 0.0001). In all, 8% and 30% of the patients had died after 3 months and 1 yr of follow-up, respectively. AST/ALT ratios and MELD scores were significantly higher among the patients who died during both 3-month and 1-yr follow-up. An AST/ALT ratio cut-off of 1.17 had 87% SS and 52% SP, whereas a MELD cut-off of 9 had 57% SS and 74% SP in discriminating between patients who survived and those who died after I yr. The combined assessment of the AST/ALT ratio and/or MELD score had 90% SS and 78% SP. Survival curves of the patients showed that both parameters clearly discriminated between patients who survived and those who died in the short term (AST/ALT ratio, p = 0.0094; MELD score, p = 0.0089) as well as in the long term (AST/ALT ratio, p < 0.0005; MELD score, p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with virus-related cirrhosis, the AST/ALT ratio has prognostic capability that is not significantly different from that of an established prognostic score such as MELD. Combined assessment of the two parameters increases the medium-term prognostic accuracy.

Alanine Transaminase↗

PubMed1994

Prognostic factors in primary malignant melanoma of the conjunctiva: a clinicopathological study of 256 cases.

A series of 256 consecutive cases of invasive primary conjunctival malignant melanomas was examined to identify clinical and histopathological prognostic factors. The follow up period varied between 0.3 and 45.9 years (mean 9 years, median 6.3 years). The 5 year survival rate was estimated at 82.9%, the 10 year survival rate at 69.3%. Multiple regression analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess sex, age, and a number of baseline features of conjunctival malignant melanoma as possible prognostic factors influencing melanoma related mortality. In assessing each potential prognostic factor, the effects of all other factors were taken into account in the modelling process. Tumours in unfavourable locations--that is, those involving the palpebral conjunctiva, fornices, plica, caruncle, and lid margins, were associated with 2.2 times higher mortality compared with (epi)bulbar melanomas. Patients with mixed cell type tumours had about three times higher mortality compared with those with pure spindle cell melanomas, and histological evidence of lymphatic invasion by tumour cells was also a prognostic feature, carrying a fourfold increase in the death rate. Multifocal tumours were associated with a fivefold increase in mortality among those with tumours in favourable (epi)bulbar locations, but were not prognostic in patients with melanomas in unfavourable sites. The death rate was significantly higher in those with initial tumour thickness of more than 4 mm, but only among patients with unfavourably located melanomas. Sex, age, and clinical origin of the tumour (primary acquired melanosis, pre-existing naevus, or de novo) were not useful prognostic indicators in this study.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Short and long term prognostic importance of regional dyskinesia versus akinesia in acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of dyskinesia after acute myocardial infarction is unknown, and recommendations have been made that dyskinesia be included in calculations of wall motion index (WMI). OBJECTIVE: To determine whether it is necessary to distinguish between dyskinesia and akinesia when WMI is estimated for prognostic purposes following acute myocardial infarction. DESIGN: Multicentre prospective study. PATIENTS: 6676 consecutive patients, screened one to six days after acute myocardial infarction in 27 Danish hospitals. INTERVENTIONS: WMI was measured in 6232 patients, applying the nine segment model, scoring 3 for hyperkinesia, 2 for normokinesia, 1 for hypokinesia, 0 for akinesia, and -1 for dyskinesia. Calculation of WMI either included information on dyskinesia or excluded this information by giving dyskinesia the same score as akinesia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Long term outcome (up to seven years) with respect to mortality. RESULTS: Dyskinesia occurred in 673 patients (10.8%). In multivariate analysis, WMI was an important prognostic factor, with a relative risk of 2.4 (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.2 to 2.7), while dyskinesia had no independent long term prognostic importance (relative risk 1.00; 95% CI, 0.89 to 1.12). For 30 day mortality dyskinesia had a relative risk of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.53) (p = 0.045). CONCLUSIONS: Echocardiographic evaluation of left ventricular systolic function shortly after an acute myocardial infarct gives important prognostic information, but the presence of dyskinesia only has prognostic importance for the first 30 days.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed1987

Prospective evaluation of prognostic value of morphometry in patients with primary breast cancer.

In a prospective study the predictive value of a multivariate morphometric prognostic index was evaluated in 195 patients with primary breast cancer who had not been treated with any form of chemotherapy or hormonal treatment. The presence or absence of distant tumour recurrence combined with the scores of the prognostic index were compared with the survival curves predicted in a previous study. The value of the presence of lymph node metastases, number of positive nodes, tumour size, mitotic activity index, and oestrogen receptor status in prediction of prognosis were also investigated. In agreement with the results of the previous retrospective study, the prospective use of the index had the strongest predictive prognostic value, followed by the mitotic activity index. Statistical analysis showed that the actual prognoses of 43 of the 195 patients (22%) were more accurately determined by the prognostic index rather than by using the presence of the lymph node metastases as the classifying variable. The prognostic index is consistently reproducible by different technicians; it is a reliable method of predicting distant recurrence of tumour and hence the prognosis of patients with primary breast carcinoma. It provides more prognostic information than the presence of lymph node metastases alone, and the index should be incorporated in routine pathology reports.

Adult↗

PubMed1985

Acute pancreatitis: prognostic value of CT.

In 83 patients with acute pancreatitis, the initial computed tomographic (CT) examinations were classified by degree of disease severity (grades A-E) and were correlated with the clinical follow-up, objective prognostic signs, and complications and death. The length of hospitalization correlated well with the severity of the initial CT findings. Abscesses occurred in 21.6% of the entire group, compared with 60.0% of grade E patients. Pleural effusions were also more common in grade E patients. Grades A and B patients did not have abscesses, and none died, regardless of the number of prognostic signs. Abscesses were seen in 80.0% of patients with six to eight prognostic signs, compared with 12.5% of those with zero to two. The use of prognostic signs with initial CT findings results in improved prognostic accuracy. Early CT examination of patients with acute pancreatitis is a useful prognostic indicator of morbidity and mortality.

Abscess↗

PubMed2004

Prognostic value of ERM gene expression in human primary breast cancers.

We measured the expression of ERM gene, a nuclear transcription factor belonging to the ets family, in a series of 364 unselected primary breast cancers from patients who underwent locoregional surgery in the Centre Oscar Lambret between May 1989 and December 1991. The expression of ERM was quantified with a real-time one-step reverse transcription-PCR assay based on the 5'-nuclease activity of the TaqDNA polymerase and with an Abi Prism 7700 Sequence Detector System (Applied Biosystems, Courtaboeuf, France). ERM was positively correlated (Spearman test) to epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR; P < 0.001, r = 0.296) and to histoprognostic grading (P = 0.044, r = 0.112), whereas it was negatively correlated to estradiol receptors (P = 0.019, r = -0.124), HER3 (c-erbB-3; P = 0.01, r = -0.135), and HER4 (c-erbB-4; P = 0.003, r = -0.154). Using the chi2 test, a positive relationship was found between the expression of ERM and EGFR (chi2 = 7.795, P = 0.007). In overall survival studies, Cox univariate analyses demonstrated a prognostic value of ERM (P = 0.006; risk ratio, 2.95) besides the classical prognostic factors histoprognostic grading, node involvement, tumor size, estradiol receptors, progesterone receptors, EGFR, HER3, and HER4. In multivariate analyses, ERM preserved its prognostic value (P = 0.004; risk ratio, 3.779) together with histoprognostic grading, tumor size, estradiol receptors, and progesterone receptors. In relapse-free survival studies, univariate analyses demonstrated that histoprognostic grading, node involvement, tumor size, and HER4 were prognostic factors. These parameters, except histoprognostic grading, retained their prognostic value in multivariate analyses. This study demonstrates for the first time that ERM gene expression is an independent adverse prognostic factor for overall survival in breast cancer patients.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Age-dependent prognostic effects of genetic alterations in glioblastoma.

PURPOSE: Although the genetic alterations in glioblastoma have been well characterized, reports regarding their prognostic effects have been inconsistent. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In this series of 140 consecutive cases of glioblastoma treated at a single center, we analyzed the frequency, age dependency and prognostic effects of TP53 mutation, CDKN2A/p16 deletion, EGFR amplification, as well as loss of chromosome 1p, chromosome 10q, and chromosome 19q. The complete set of genetic alterations was available on 60 of 140 patients. RESULTS: In this cohort of glioblastoma cases, TP53 mutation was significantly associated with patient age. The prognostic effects of TP53 mutation, EGFR amplification, CDKN2A/p16 alterations, and loss of chromosome 1p were dependent on the age of the patient. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first observation that the prognostic effects of TP53, 1p, and CDKN2A/p16 alterations are dependent on patient age. These observations concerning the interactions of age and genetic changes in glioblastoma suggest that tumorigenic pathways to glioblastoma vary with the age of the patient and that future molecular marker studies should carefully evaluate the potential age-dependent prognostic effects of these biological variables. The inconsistent or negative prognostic effects of molecular markers reported in prior studies of glioblastoma may be because different effects at different ages may have resulted in a cancellation of an overall effect in the entire cohort.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1999

Prognostic value of p27(Kip1) and CyclinD1 expression in esophageal cancer.

It has recently been reported that the reduced expression of p27(Kip1) is a negative prognostic marker in several carcinomas. In this study, we examined the expression of p27(Kip1) in esophageal squamous cell carcinomas in order to understand its prognostic role. We also examined the expression of cyclinD1, which is believed to be correlated with the prognosis. Of the 128 cases, 64 cases (50.0%) showed low grade p27(Kip1) immunostaining and 64 cases (50.0%) high grade immunostaining; there was no significant difference in survival (p = 0.0915) between the two groups. On the other hand, 51 of the 156 cases (32.7%) were classified as the high cyclinD1 group, and 105 of the 156 cases (67.3%) as the low group, thus representing prognostic significance with regard to survival (p = 0.0161). Multivariate analysis indicated that gender, lymph node metastasis and positive cyclinD1 were independent prognostic factors. Our results revealed that cyclinD1 was a significant prognostic predictor of esophageal squamous cell carcinomas, whereas p27(Kip1) was not a significant prognostic factor.

Aged↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic value of DNA ploidy patterns of colorectal adenocarcinoma: univariate and multivariate analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The prognostic significance of DNA ploidy patterns of colorectal cancer has not yet been settled. The present study was designed to determine the prognostic value of DNA ploidy patterns for colorectal adenocarcinomas after curative resection. METHODS: DNA ploidy patterns of 140 colorectal adenocarcinomas were determined by DNA flow cytometry, and the prognostic significance of DNA ploidy patterns was evaluated by univariate as well as multivariate analysis. RESULTS: DNA ploidy patterns were diploid in 75 (53.6%) and aneuploid in 65 patients (46.4%). DNA ploidy patterns did not correlate with any of conventional prognostic variables. Univariate analysis disclosed that Dukes B2, C1, and C2 stages of the disease (p < 0.01), positive nodal metastases (p < 0.01), invasion through the intestinal wall (p < 0.01), and poor tumor differentiation (p < 0.05) were associated with worsened survival, but no correlation was found between DNA patterns and survival of patients. Multivariate analysis disclosed that tumor penetration through the bowel wall was associated with poorer survival of patients but the DNA ploidy pattern had no prognostic significance. CONCLUSIONS: A significant prognostic variable for patients after curative resection of colorectal adenocarcinoma was penetration of tumor through the bowel wall but not DNA ploidy patterns.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2001

P53 mutations and other prognostic factors of renal cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Tumor stage, histological pattern, cell type, diameter and cell ploidy are the factor that have been proposed for predicting the prognosis of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). There is a wide variation in the reported incidence of p53 mutation in RCC, and its prognostic significance for this tumor is unknown. We investigated the prognostic value of p53 mutations among other prognostic factors. PATIENTS AND METHOD: We evaluated the stages, tumor diameters, histological grades, cellular patterns and the presence of mutant p53 protein in 50 cases of RCC. The survival function of each parameter was estimated by Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests, and the significance of each parameter on survival was evaluated by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The p53 mutation incidence was 20% in the RCC cases included in the study (n = 50). The survival rates of stages pT(2), pT(3) and pT(2-3)N+ were 87.8, 61.0 and 0%, respectively (p = 0.0462). The survival analysis of grade 1-2 and grade 3-4 tumors revealed 92.3 and 51.5% survival rates, respectively (p = 0.002). The survival rates of mutant p53+ and mutant p53- cases were 33.3 and 84.2%, respectively (p = 0.0027). The logistic regression test analysis demonstrated that tumor grade, tumor stage and mutant p53 positivity status were the most significant prognostic factors (p < 0.03). The survival rates of mutant p53+ and p53- cases at stages pT(2), pT(3) and pT(2-3)N+ were 66.67 versus 91.48%, 33.3 versus 71.43% and 0 versus 100%, respectively (p = 0.0392). A similar finding was present at each stage for cellular grades (p = 0.0093). The survival rates of mutant p53+ and p53- cases for grades 3 and 4 were 33.33 and 74.48%, respectively (p = 0.2731). CONCLUSION: Our results suggested that many parameters can affect survival of RCC cases, but among these, tumor grade, tumor stage and p53 mutation status are the most important prognostic factors, but p53 mutation status and cellular grade can afford additional prognostic information at each stage.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

Life expectancy following psychogeriatric reactivation. Identification of prognostic characteristics of survival assessed on admission.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate life expectancy of psychogeriatric patients having participated in a reactivation program. To identify prognostic characteristics - on admission - for survival after discharge. DESIGN: A prospective, clinical-empirical observational study. SETTING: A Dutch psychiatric-skilled nursing home. PARTICIPANTS: Psychogeriatric patients (n = 75) suffering from very mild to moderate cognitive function disorders in conjunction with psychiatric function disorders. INTERVENTION: Interdisciplinary reactivation program. MEASUREMENTS: General, functional and diagnostic patient characteristics assessed on admission for the psychogeriatric reactivation program, and survival rate after discharge over a period of 7 years. RESULTS: The probability of survival for patients who were discharged from the psychogeriatric reactivation program to their own homes or to a residential home with restricted support ('independent' group, n = 53) was higher (1/HR = 3.2) than for patients who were discharged to a nursing home ('dependent' group, n = 22). The median survival period of the reference group (community-dwelling elderly people) was 95 months (95% confidence interval, CI: 74-116), that of the 'independent' group 35 months (95% CI: 25-45) and that of the 'dependent' group 13 months (95% CI: 3-22). For the reactivated patients (n = 75), gender was the only general characteristic of prognostic value for survival after discharge (the survival rate for women was higher; hazard ratio (HR) = 3.07; 95% CI: 1.61-5.85). Age was statistically insignificant. One functional characteristic, the Global Deterioration Scale, was of prognostic significance (HR = 1.58; 95% CI: 1.11-2.23). The diagnostic characteristics of prognostic significance were: psychiatric function disorders (paranoia; HR = 2.19; 95% CI: 1.11-4.28), somatic comorbidity (urogenital pathology; HR = 1.83; 95% CI: 1.13-2.94; cardiopulmonary pathology; HR = 1.56; 95% CI: 1.16-2.07) and adequacy of the caregiver system (HR = 0.59; 95% CI: 0.33-1.03). The specific diagnostic classifications of cognitive function disorders (DSM-IV) were not of prognostic significance. It was possible to account for 32% of the variance in survival after discharge. CONCLUSION: The survival rate of the 'independent' group of patients was obviously higher (1/HR = 3.2) than that of the 'dependent' group. There was no overlap in the 95% CI of the median survival period after discharge. The results suggest that with respect to survival the two groups of psychogeriatric patients who participated in the intensive reactivation program differed definitely. Additionally, patients belonging to the 'independent' group had a greater chance to benefit from a reactivation program. The program should pay special attention to the patient characteristics on admission, which demonstrated a significant negative correlation to survival. These patient characteristics belonged to five domains (i.e. gender, cognitive function disorders, psychiatric function disorders, somatic comorbidity and adequacy of the caregiver system) The five dimensions are of clinical interest for optimizing the selection of patients who may derive most benefit from a reactivation program. The development of a valid prognostic instrument is a prerequisite for optimal medical decision-making for such intensive intervention programs, as is the analysis of cost-effectiveness. In order to draw firm conclusions, it is recommended that a large-scale study with a randomized, parallel-group design will be performed. Our group has started such a research program in July 2001.

Aged↗