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The significance of hysteroscopic treatment of congenital uterine malformations.

Hysteroscopic surgery replaced abdominal metroplasty and is today the treatment of choice for congenital uterine malformations. This is not just because of its reproductive results, which are comparable to those achieved with the abdominal approach, but mainly because of several post-operative benefits (reduced morbidity, convalescence and costs, and no scar tissue on the abdominal and uterine walls), improved reproductive performance (no reduction in uterine volume, shorter interval to conception after operation) and the mode of delivery (avoiding Caesarean section). Decisions on when and how to treat uterine septa, in relation to the type of malformation, are discussed. In particular, indications for treatment have been broadened to include not only the septate uterus associated with adverse reproductive outcome, but also patients before any potential obstetric accidents, especially in those with declining fecundity (>35 years), with reproductive problems (unexplained infertility) and before assisted reproductive techniques, as well as in women with no actual desire of pregnancy. Two types of hysteroscopic treatment are available: resectoscopic and office hysteroscopic surgery. The indications for resectoscopic surgery are broad-based septa and complete septa with single or double cervix. The resectoscope allows an excellent continuous flow system, providing continuous washing of the uterine cavity and a clear view, removing bubbles and debris during the procedure. However, an exact measurement of fluid balance must be performed to avoid excessive fluid intravasation. Laparoscopic or sonographic monitoring is mandatory. Treatment of limited-based small septa whose apex is easily visible can be achieved with an outpatient approach using office mini-hysteroscopic surgery and the vaginoscopic technique. The intra-operative check of the fundus is performed by ultrasonography. No preparation of the endometrium is required, except for large, broad-based septa, and hormonal therapy and intrauterine devices are not utilized post-operatively. The post-operative follow-up consists of a hysteroscopic check performed 1-3 months after surgery.

Endoscopy↗

Reducing the incidence of twins and triplets.

Multiple pregnancy rates remain high after assisted conception because of a misconceived assumption that transferring three or more embryos will maximize pregnancy rates. Maternal morbidity is sevenfold greater in multiple pregnancies than in singletons, perinatal mortality rates are fourfold higher for twins and sixfold higher for triplets, while cerebral palsy rates are 1-1.5% in twin and 7-8% in triplet pregnancies. Therefore, multiple pregnancies must be considered a serious adverse outcome of assisted reproductive techniques. Primary prevention of multiple pregnancies is the solution. The overwhelming evidence presented in this chapter demonstrates that limiting the embryo transfer in in vitro fertilization to two embryos would significantly reduce adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes by reducing the incidence of high order multiple pregnancies without reducing take-home-baby rates. Secondary prevention by multifetal pregnancy reduction is effective, but not acceptable to all patients. New developments in blastocyst culture, single embryo transfer, embryo cryopreservation and pre-implantation aneuploidy exclusion, should allow improvements in pregnancy rates without increasing multiple pregnancies.

Embryo Transfer↗

Delayed interval delivery in a triplet pregnancy.

Due to a surge in the availability of assisted reproductive techniques (ART), the incidence of multiple pregnancies is increasing. Preterm labor is a major complication in such pregnancies. Preterm delivery of the first fetus is often followed by delivery of the remaining fetuses. However, conservative management and delayed interval delivery in the remaining fetuses might allow for fetal lung maturity and would reduce perinatal morbidities. A 32-year-old female had a quadruplet pregnancy after receiving ART. Fetal reduction to triplet pregnancy was performed at 11 weeks of gestation. The remaining triplet pregnancy was stable until 29 weeks of gestation, when the first triplet was delivered after spontaneous rupture of membranes. Under intensive monitoring, the remaining 2 fetuses were delivered by cesarean section at 31 weeks of gestation. Only the first fetus had retinopathy after discharge. In conclusion, delayed interval delivery of the remaining fetuses should be attempted after preterm delivery of the first fetus.

Adult↗

Trends of twinning rates in ten countries, 1972-1996.

Trends of twinning rates were analyzed using vital statistics in Austria, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Canada, Australia, Hong Kong, Israel, Japan, and Singapore during the period from 1972 to 1996. The twinning rates increased significantly year by year in each country. During these periods, the twinning rate increased by twenty percent in Austria and Canada, and by sixty percent in Norway and Sweden. The twinning rate was 1.6 times higher in Sweden than in Hong Kong in 1972 and by eighty percent in Israel in 1995. Twinning rates were higher in European countries, Canada, and Australia than in Asia. The variations of the twinning rates among countries were not only due to biological factors, but also to assisted reproductive techniques. In Australia, the overall twinning rate was 1.3 times higher in the nuptial births (14.1 per 1000 births) than in the ex-nuptial births (10.7) during the period 1994-1996. As for maternal age, twinning rates in Sweden increased year by year for maternal age groups except the youngest and the oldest age groups. In Sweden, the rising twinning rate has been attributed to the higher proportion of mothers (for the 25-39 year old age groups) treated with ovulation-inducing hormones and attributed to in-vitro fertilization.

Female↗

Significance of serum FSH levels and testicular morphology in infertile males.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between plasma levels of FSH and testicular spermatogenic patterns. METHODS: Testicular biopsies were obtained from 99 infertile men. Biopsies were performed either in order to distinguish the type of azoospermia (obstructive/non-obstructive) or because of severely subnormal semen variables. Serum FSH was measured by immunoassay (normal range is less than 7 mIU/ml). RESULTS: Statistically significant difference was detected between patients with Sertoli cell only syndrome and normal spermatogenesis, hypospermatogenesis and maturation arrest (p<0.01, p<0.01, p<0.05, respectively). No statistically significant differences were found between normal spermatogenesis, hypospermatogenesis and maturation arrest. CONCLUSION: Our study revealed that elevation of serum FSH correlates only with the appearance of Sertoli cell only syndrome. We think that azoospermic or severely oligoasthenoteratozoospermic patients with highly elevated plasma FSH levels (three times the normal) could be excluded from separate testicular biopsy, because these patients are not suitable for conventional treatments. If he is willing to undergo an IVF program the sperm will often be present, no matter what the testicular histology is to be used for assisted reproductive techniques, particularly ICSI.

Adult↗

Conservative management versus aspiration of functional ovarian cysts before ovarian stimulation for assisted reproduction.

PURPOSE: To compare the efficiency of transvaginal ultrasound-guided functional ovarian cyst aspiration, with conservative management, in the outcome of patients undergoing assisted reproductive technique (ART) (in vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection). These cysts were identified before ovarian stimulation begun and after administration of a midluteal GnRH agonist. METHODS: Fifty nine patients undergoing ART from January 1, 1997 to February 28, 1999, who developed functional ovarian cysts were included. Aspirations of these cysts (n = 14) versus conservative management (observation) (n = 45) were compared. Total number of ovarian follicles developed, number of oocytes retrieved, estradiol levels on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin, fertilization rate, number of good quality embryos transferred, implantation, and clinical pregnancy rate per cycle were evaluated. RESULTS: No statistical differences were observed between the two groups in any of the selected parameters. CONCLUSIONS: Cyst aspiration and conservative management showed similar implantation and pregnancy rates, in patients who develop functional ovarian cysts after pituitary down-regulation following luteal phase gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist administration. Prospective studies are needed to confirm this trend.

Adult↗

Psychotherapeutic counseling and pregnancy rates in in vitro fertilization.

PURPOSE: Since the Austrian propagation bill of July 1, 1992, was passed into law, Austrian physicians are committed to offer psychological counseling to women before performing assisted reproductive techniques, unless refused by the patient. The acceptance of psychotherapeutic counseling (PSITCO) and its influence on pregnancy rate were carefully reviewed. METHODS: The study comprised 1156 consecutive patients (mean age, 33.3 years) and 1736 in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles. In a consent form for follicle puncture, the patients were interviewed about PSITCO as follows. Several methods of psychological support during IVF-embryo transfer treatment were offered to patients especially psychotherapy, hypnotherapy, and relaxation and physical perception exercises. RESULTS: Forty-two and three-tenths percent of patients rejected PSITCO, 17.8% had already received PSITCO, and 10.4% were willing to undergo PSITCO. The acceptance of PSITCO had no relevance on pregnancy rate. The cumulative calculation of pregnancy rates showed that up to 56.4% of women who had undergone PSITCO conceived. In patients who were planning to undergo PSITCO, the pregnancy rate was 41.9%. Concerning the cumulative pregnancy rate, this study showed that patients who accepted or underwent PSITCO had a higher pregnancy rate than those who did not avail themselves of this possibility. CONCLUSIONS: These results should encourage sterility specialists to consider psychological therapy as an essential aspect of IVF. Solely a written declaration of the patient stating his/her awareness of the possibility to undergo PSITCO is, in our opinion, insufficient.

Adult↗

Reflections on the cost-effectiveness of recombinant FSH in assisted reproduction. The clinician's perspective.

PURPOSE: To analyze the relative cost-effectiveness of recombinant FSH (rFSH) and urinary FSH (uFSH) in assisted reproduction techniques (ART). METHODS: Calculation of the average cost-effectiveness ratio and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio to compare costs and effects (pregnancy rates) of the two therapeutic options (rFSH and uFSH). RESULTS: Assuming that the cost of the procedure per ART cycle is between 100,000 pesetas (601 euro) and 150,000 pesetas (901.52 euro), and pricing the GnRH analogues used for pituitary suppression at 35,000 pesetas (210.3 euro), the cost-effectiveness ratio is better for rFSH than for uFSH, implying that the cost per pregnancy is lower when the recombinant preparation is used. CONCLUSIONS: In ART, the use of rFSH is more cost-effective than uFSH.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

Effects of vaginal progesterone administration starting on the day of oocyte retrieval on pregnancy rates.

PURPOSE: Vaginal progesterone administration starting on the day of oocyte retrieval induced a decrease in uterine contraction frequency on the day of embryo transfer (ET) as compared with preovulatory values. Uterine relaxation before ET is likely to improve outcome by avoiding displacement of the embryo from the uterine cavity (Fanchin, Righini, de Ziegler, Oliviennes, Ledée, Frydman: Fertil Steril 2001;75:1136-1140). The objective of the present study was to determine whether the early use of vaginal progesterone on the day of oocyte retrieval may alter the embryo implantation and pregnancy rates. METHODS: A total of 103 patients were submitted for ovarian stimulation with GnRH-a and recombinant FSH (Puregon, Organon) for the application of invasive assisted reproduction techniques (ICSI). The patients were divided into two groups in a prospective and randomized manner: Group A (n = 51) where application of vaginal progesterone started (Utrogestan, Besins International) at the dose of 400 mg from the evening of the day of oocyte retrieval, and Group B (n = 52) started to apply vaginal progesterone at the same dose but from the evening of embryo transfer (2nd day). RESULTS: The age of Group A patients (34.2 +/- 4.6) was similar (p = 0.50) to that of Group B patients (34.8 +/- 4.9). The number of oocytes retrieved and at metaphase II from Group A patients (10.6 +/- 6.9 and 7.8 +/- 6.0; respectively) did not differ significantly (p = 0.84 and p = 0.49, respectively) from the number of oocytes retrieved and metaphase II from Group B patients (10 +/- 5.6 and 6.7 +/- 4.7, respectively). Also, there was no difference (p = 0.48) in number of embryos transferred to Group A patients (2.7 +/- 0.8) versus Group B patients (2.7 +/- 0.9). Embryo implantation and pregnancy rates for Group A patients (12.6 and 27.4%, respectively) were equal (p = 0.98 and p = 1.0, respectively) to those for Group B patients (13.4 and 28.8%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Vaginal progesterone at the dose of 400 mg started on the day of oocyte retrieval did not increase implantation or pregnancy rates when compared to the same dose started on the day of embryo transfer.

Administration, Intravaginal↗

Testicular sperm extraction (TESE) and intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) in hypogonadotropic hypogonadism with persistent azoospermia after hormonal therapy.

PURPOSE: We aimed to retrieve testicular sperm to be employed on intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles on a male affected of hypogonadotropic hypogonadism (HH) that remained azoospermic after long-time hormonal treatment. METHODS: Design. We initially performed hormonal therapy using gonadotropins to achieve spermatogenesis. After several semen analyses, we weighed the possibility of looking for testicular spermatozoa for ICSI. Setting. A private university-affiliated setting. Patient. A 30-years-old man diagnosed 10 years ago to suffer from idiopathic, prepubertal HH. Interventions. Gonadotrophin treatment was initiated with hCG and follicle stimulating hormone (FSH). Testicular sperm extraction was carried out when repeated spermiograms were negative. Motile testicular spermatozoa were cryopreserved and were subsequently employed for ICSI. Multiple follicular development was stimulated with gonadotropins after a downregulation with gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonists in the woman. Main Outcome Measures. Seminal analyses were performed after 3, 6, and 12 months of treatment and serum FSH, luteinizing hormone (LH) and testosterone levels were also measured. RESULTS: Seminal analysis showed always azoospermia. Serum FSH was 2.9 mIU/mL, serum LH >1 mIU/mL and serum testosterone 7.9 ng/mL (12 months after treatment). Nine oocytes were collected by ultrasound-guided transvaginal route and eight of them were microinjected with motile, frozen-thawed testicular spermatozoa. Four oocytes were fertilized. Three embryos were transferred without pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: The case report here presented shows that the currently available assisted reproduction techniques may be of value in patients with HH not responding to conventional hormonal treatments.

Adult↗

Risk factors for cesarean section of primiparous women aged over 35 years.

BACKGROUND: To determine the perinatal outcome of pregnancy in primiparous women over 35 years of age and to evaluate determinants predicting cesarean delivery in these women. METHODS: Two hundred and seven mothers aged at least 35 years (1.8% of the total deliveries) delivered in the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology between 1995 and 2000. These women were matched with women aged 20-29 years according to gravidity. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk of cesarean delivery, with controls for possible confounding factors. RESULTS: Cesarean section was 2.09-fold more prevalent among the older than among the younger women; the difference being significant (odds ratio, OR=3.36, 95%CI 2.22-5.09; p<0.001). The advanced maternal age was associated with a significantly higher rate of assisted reproductive techniques involvement (OR 6.54; 95%CI 3.54-12.38; p<0.001). The difference between the rates of preeclampsia in the two groups did not reach the level of significance (OR 1.85; 95%CI 1.02-3.34; p=0.056). There were no significant differences in perinatal outcome between the two groups. The logistic regression model demonstrated an increased risk of cesarean section among the primiparous women aged over 35 years. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of cesarean section at this advanced age is 6.54-fold. The determinants are included in the pregnancy, delivery and neonatal outcome.

Adult↗

Fathering of a child with the assistance of electroejaculation in conjunction with intracytoplasmic sperm injection: case report.

Ejaculatory failure and poor fertility are major problems for patients with spinal cord injury, who wish to father children. Artificial ejaculation in conjunction with assisted reproductive techniques has been proposed as a possible solution to this situation. In this paper, we presented the case of a tetraplegic man who fathered a child with the aid of electroejaculation with intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI).

Adult↗

Treatment of male infertility due to spinal cord injury using rectal probe electroejaculation: the Israeli experience.

STUDY DESIGN: Male infertility caused by anejaculation is common among patients with spinal cord injury (SCIP). The fertility options for SCIP have improved impressively over the past 10 years. We present the Israeli experience in the treatment of infertility in a large series of SCIP. The issues which are addressed include the treatment of ejaculatory dysfunction, seminal quality and fertility management in SCIP. SETTING: Sexual rehabilitation clinic, Neuro-Rehabilitation department, Sheba Medical Center, Israel. METHODS: Between June 1992 and May 1998, a total of 84 consecutive SCIP were treated in our clinic with electro-ejaculation (EEJ), representing a sample of the SCIP population, composed mostly of young men traumatically injured. The patients have sustained different levels and completeness of spinal injury. Among the patients 33 were interested in achieving pregnancy (39.3%), while the rest were interested in determining fertility potential for family. With EEJ, a low-current stimulation of the ejaculatory organs via a rectal probe is done. The collected semen is used for fertility determination or for fertilization. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients were treated by EEJ. Mean age was 31.3 and mean age at injury was 21.7. There were 29 cervical, 50 thoracic and five lumbar lesions. Sixty-three had complete injury (ASIA A) and 21 incomplete (ASIA B -15, ASIC C -5, ASIA D -1). Fifty-nine had upper motor neuron lesions, and 25 had lower motor neuron. A total of 355 stimulations were performed. Ejaculate was obtained in all patients in 350 stimulations (98.6%), and sperm was present in 74 patients (88.1%) in 296 of the stimulations (83.4%). Fairly good numbers of spermatozoa were obtained, whereas sperm motility and morphology of spermatozoa were low in most cases. A significant difference in sperm count, motility and morphology was noted between antegrade and retrograde samples. No significant improvement in sperm quality after four repeated consecutive stimulations was noted in 38 SCIP. Side effects were minor and encountered in 16 patients (19.1%). Out of 33 couples who wished to achieve pregnancy, 26 reached the stage of insemination. Four pregnancies were achieved after 33 cycles of In-Uterine-Insemination (pregnancy rate 28.6% per couple), and 15 after 68 cycles of In-Vitro-Fertilization (micromanipulation) (pregnancy rate of 68.75% per couple). In all, of 101 conception attempts 23 were successful, resulting in pregnancies in 18 couples, and accounting for an overall pregnancy rate of 70% per couple. CONCLUSION: The high percentage of pregnancies imply that, despite the typically poor sperm motility noted in EEJ, rectal probe EEJ combined with assisted reproductive techniques, and performed by a team approach, is an efficient and safe technique for treating infertility among SCIP.

Adult↗

Properties of sperm separated using Percoll and IxaPrep density gradients. A comparison made using CASA, longevity, morphology and the acrosome reaction.

Since the withdrawal of Percoll from use in human assisted reproduction techniques in 1996, alternative density gradients have been sought. IxaPrep is one candidate that has low toxicity and can separate spermatozoa. Fractions of spermatozoa from normozoospermic men, separated by Percoll and IxaPrep gradient centrifugation, were assessed for sperm recovery, motility, morphology and the ability to undergo the acrosome reaction. The Percoll fractions had a significantly higher sperm recovery, motile count, rapid motile count, VAP, VSL, and VCL than those obtained using IxaPrep, both immediately after separation and up to 24 h later. In contrast, ALH, level of abnormal sperm morphology and the ability to acrosome react were not statistically different in sperm fractions separated using either gradient forming material.

Acrosome Reaction↗

Present and future therapeutic strategies for idiopathic oligozoospermia.

The effectiveness of medical treatment for idiopathic oligozoospermia (IO) has been at best doubtful until now and a logical consequence of this unsatisfactory situation has been the partial displacement of this approach by assisted reproduction techniques. This state of affairs has resulted from insufficient investigation, inappropriately designed clinical trials and consistent disregard for the principles of evidence-based medicine. Protocol-related shortcomings and wrong interpretation of the data available have also been some of the all too frequent problems encountered in this therapeutic approach. In this rather misty situation, it appears that, of the therapeutic agents used so far, follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) (mainly FSH-secretagogues) may exert some beneficial effects on a number of biological endpoints related to spermatogenesis and sperm maturation. The short and medium term prospects of medical treatment for IO rest mainly with improvement of investigative procedures to a higher degree of sophistication, with emphasis placed on identifying the causes rather than the results of dysfunction so that a better selection of candidates can be made. Moreover, the introduction of prognostic indices for evaluation of the beneficial effects of a therapeutic agent may be of paramount importance. Finally, a better assessment of the preparations available and, possibly, the introduction of new more specific agents may also be an important step forward in this field. This type of large-scale effort should not be left to individual investigators or special centres working independently, but it may come under the auspices of a central regulating agency so that undisputed results from large, multicentre and uniform studies might be obtained, if medical treatment is to remain a good option. In this context, it may also be emphasized that andrology's main task should always be to treat the male with the problem rather than his healthy female partner, whenever this is possible.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

Genetic, andrological and clinical characteristics of patients with congenital bilateral absence of the vas deferens.

The possibility of retrieving spermatozoa from the epididymis allows patients with congenital bilateral absence of the vas deferens (CBAVD) to father a child by means of assisted reproduction techniques. This has, however, increased the chance of transmitting a mutated allele of the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene which increases the risk of generating offspring with cystic fibrosis (CF). Because of the increased heterogeneity of the CFTR locus, the study of a discrete number of mutations, as usually carried out in a diagnostic work-up, is unable to ascertain the presence of a mutation in a relatively high proportion of the patients screened. In an attempt to increase the chance of detecting the presence of CFTR gene abnormalities, 37 patients with CBAVD and one patient with congenital unilateral agenesis of the vas deferens (CUAVD) underwent an enlarged diagnostic protocol, which included screening for the most expected mutations of the CFTR gene in our population, evaluation of the five thymidine (5T) allelic variant, sweat test, respiratory function tests, evaluation of steatocrit, and an accurate evaluation of the history of the patient to search for symptoms commonly found in patients with CF. A single CFTR gene mutation was found in 18 patients (48.6%) with CBAVD and in the patient with CUAVD. The most frequent mutation observed was the Delta F508. Eleven patients (45.8%) had the 5T variant and in five of them it was not associated with any detectable mutation of the CFTR gene. Two female partners were found to be carriers of a mutation, whereas 5 (18.5%) had the 5T variant. As many as 71% of CBVAD patients had the simultaneous presence of at least two signs and/or symptoms suggestive of CF, albeit they were of mild intensity and the patients felt fit and healthy. In conclusion, these results suggested that some patients with CBAVD without CFTR gene mutation or 5T variant, even when their sweat test is negative, may show clinical suspicion of carrying a CFTR gene mutation and therefore are at risk of generating children affected by CF if the partner carries a mutation as well. The screening for mutations and a careful clinical examination may contribute to better identification of patients with CFTR-related CBAVD.

Adult↗

Penile vibratory stimulation and electroejaculation in the treatment of ejaculatory dysfunction.

The purpose of this review is to present the current understanding of penile vibratory stimulation (PVS) and electroejaculation (EEJ) procedures and its clinical use in men with ejaculatory dysfunction. Unfortunately, the record of treating such individuals has been quite poor, but within recent years development and refinement of PVS and EEJ in men with spinal cord injury (SCI) has significantly enhanced the prospects for treatment of ejaculatory dysfunction. The majority of spinal cord injured men are not able to produce antegrade ejaculation by masturbation or sexual stimulation. However, approximately 80% of all spinal cord injured men with an intact ejaculatory reflex arc (above T10) can obtain antegrade ejaculation with PVS. Electroejaculation may be successful in obtaining ejaculate from men with all types of SCI, including men who do not have major components of the ejaculatory reflex arc. Because vibratory stimulation is very simple in use, non-invasive, it does not require anaesthesia and is preferred by the patients when compared with EEJ, PVS is recommended to be the first choice of treatment in spinal cord injured men. Furthermore, EEJ has been successfully used to induce ejaculation in men with multiple sclerosis and diabetic neuropathy. Any other conditions which affect the ejaculatory mechanism of the central and/or peripheral nervous system including surgical nerve injury may be treated successfully with EEJ. Finally, for sperm retrieval and sperm cryopreservation before intensive anticancer therapy in pubertal boys, PVS and EEJ have been successfully performed in patients who failed to obtain ejaculation by masturbation. Nearly all data concerning semen characteristics in men with ejaculatory dysfuntion originate from spinal cord injured men. Semen analyses demonstrate low sperm motility rates in the majority of spinal cord injured men. The data give evidence of a decline in spermatogenesis and motility of ejaculated spermatozoa shortly after (few weeks) an acute SCI. Furthermore, it is suggested that some factors in the seminal plasma and/or disordered storage of spermatozoa in the seminal vesicles are mainly responsible for the impaired semen profiles in men with chronic SCI. Home insemination with semen obtained by penile vibratory and introduced intravaginally in order to achieve successful pregnancies may be an option for some spinal cord injured men and their partners. The majority of men will further enhance their fertility potential when using either penile vibratory or EEJ combined with assisted reproduction techniques such as intrauterine insemination or in-vitro fertilization with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection.

Ejaculation↗

Bayesian statistics in medical research: an intuitive alternative to conventional data analysis.

Statistical analysis of both experimental and observational data is central to medical research. Unfortunately, the process of conventional statistical analysis is poorly understood by many medical scientists. This is due, in part, to the counter-intuitive nature of the basic tools of traditional (frequency-based) statistical inference. For example, the proper definition of a conventional 95% confidence interval is quite confusing. It is based upon the imaginary results of a series of hypothetical repetitions of the data generation process and subsequent analysis. Not surprisingly, this formal definition is often ignored and a 95% confidence interval is widely taken to represent a range of values that is associated with a 95% probability of containing the true value of the parameter being estimated. Working within the traditional framework of frequency-based statistics, this interpretation is fundamentally incorrect. It is perfectly valid, however, if one works within the framework of Bayesian statistics and assumes a 'prior distribution' that is uniform on the scale of the main outcome variable. This reflects a limited equivalence between conventional and Bayesian statistics that can be used to facilitate a simple Bayesian interpretation based on the results of a standard analysis. Such inferences provide direct and understandable answers to many important types of question in medical research. For example, they can be used to assist decision making based upon studies with unavoidably low statistical power, where non-significant results are all too often, and wrongly, interpreted as implying 'no effect'. They can also be used to overcome the confusion that can result when statistically significant effects are too small to be clinically relevant. This paper describes the theoretical basis of the Bayesian-based approach and illustrates its application with a practical example that investigates the prevalence of major cardiac defects in a cohort of children born using the assisted reproduction technique known as ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection).

Bayes Theorem↗