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Exponential or polynomial learning Curves? - case-based studies

Learning curves exhibit a diversity of behaviors such as phase transition. However, the understanding of learning curves is still extremely limited, and existing theories can give the impression that without empirical studies (e.g., cross validation), one can probably do nothing more than qualitative interpretations. In this note, we propose a theory of learning curves based on the idea of reducing learning problems to hypothesis-testing ones. This theory provides a simple approach that is potentially useful for predicting and interpreting (a diversity of) learning curve behaviors qualitatively and quantitatively, and it applies to finite training sample size and finite learning machine and for learning situations not necessarily within the Bayesian framework. We illustrate the results by examining some exponential learning curve behaviors observed in Cohn and Tesauro (1992)'s experiment.

Journal Article↗

AI-driven CRISPR screening: optimizing gene editing through automation and intelligent decision support.

BACKGROUND: CRISPR-based genetic screening has become a central methodology in functional genomics, enabling systematic interrogation of gene function, genetic interactions and context-dependent vulnerabilities at scale. However, the rapid expansion of screening modalities-including multi-condition designs, combinatorial perturbations, in vivo applications and single-cell readouts-has exposed fundamental limitations of heuristic-driven experimental design and post hoc statistical analysis. MAIN BODY: This Review synthesizes how artificial intelligence is reshaping CRISPR screening by introducing predictive, adaptive and system-level intelligence across the experimental lifecycle. We organize recent advances into two tightly coupled modules. First, machine learning and deep learning (ML/DL) methods optimize experimental design by learning context-dependent perturbation behavior, anticipating confounding effects and enabling iterative, information-efficient screening strategies. Second, large language model-agent (LLM-agent) systems complement these advances by externalizing scientific reasoning, integrating biological knowledge at scale and coordinating analysis and decision-making in human-in-the-loop workflows. CONCLUSIONS: Together, ML/DL and LLM-agent approaches reframe CRISPR screening from a static analytical pipeline into an intelligent experimental system, with important implications for robustness, scalability and biological discovery.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Data-driven approaches in green microbiology: strategies for plant growth-promoting bacteria.

Plant growth-promoting bacteria (PGPB) are gaining attention as scalable biological solutions to enhance crop productivity and resilience. However, accurately identifying and characterizing PGPB remains challenging, particularly under variable environmental conditions where microbial functions are context-dependent and shaped by complex plant-microbe interactions. Advances in high-throughput sequencing have shifted the field from culture-dependent approaches to genome-informed strategies, enabling large-scale taxonomic and functional profiling. Although trait-based databases support the prediction of plant-beneficial genes, they capture only a fraction of the underlying biological complexity and often require labor-intensive analyses. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have emerged as powerful tools to integrate genomic, physiological, and ecological data, enabling the prioritization of candidate strains with plant growth-promoting potential. To evaluate advances in the field, we conducted a systematic review of studies integrating ML and DL with PGPB characterization, assessing algorithm selection, performance, and target plant systems. Across 248 observations, only 6.0% of studies directly addressed PGPB screening, whereas the majority (77.4%) focused on plant disease detection, revealing a substantial gap in the application of AI to beneficial microorganisms for plant growth. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) were the most frequently applied algorithms, largely driven by image-based phenotyping tasks. Overall, the field is constrained by limited datasets, high computational demands, and challenges in modeling multispecies and host-associated interactions. We highlight the need for integrative and interpretable ML and DL frameworks that bridge genomic data and functional validation. Such approaches represent a promising path toward scalable, data-driven discovery and deployment of bioinoculants in sustainable agriculture.

Agriculture↗

Performance of the Alex AVX-2 MIMD architecture in learning the NetTalk database.

The process of training neural networks on parallel architectures has been used to assess the performance of so many parallel machines. In this paper, we are investigating the implementation of backpropagation (BP) on the Alex AVX-2 coarse-grained MIMD machine. A host-worker parallel implementation is carried out in order to train different networks to learn the NetTalk dictionary. First, a computational model is constructed using a single processor to complete the learning process. Also, a communication model for the host-worker topology is developed in order to compute the communication overhead in the broadcasting/gathering process. Both models are then used to predict the machine performance when p processors are used and a comparison with the actual measured performance of the parallel architecture implementation is carried out. Simulation results show that both models can be used effectively to predict the machine performance for the NetTalk problem. Finally, a comparison between the AVX-2 NetTalk implementation and the performance of other parallel platforms is presented.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Transcriptomics-based exploration of ubiquitination-related biomarkers and potential molecular mechanisms in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: One of the most common and prevalent cancers is laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), which poses a great threat to the life and health of the patient. Nonetheless, it has been demonstrated that ubiquitination is crucial for the development and course of LSCC. Therefore, it is particularly important to identify biomarkers for ubiquitination-related genes (UbRGs) in LSCC. METHODS: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in the LSCC versus controls were obtained by differential expression analysis. Also, key modular genes associated with LSCC were obtained using weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA). Next, DEGs, key module genes, and UbRGs were taken to intersect to obtain candidate genes. And then machine algorithms were to screen potential biomarkers, further their diagnostic value were analyzed and validated. Then, therapeutic agents for biomarkers were predict. In addition, the regulatory networks of the biomarkers were mapped. The expression levels of biomarkers were detected in clinical samples using reverse transcription-quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR). RESULTS: A total of eight candidate genes were acquired by the overlap 1,911 DEGs, the key modular genes of WGCNA, and 1,393 UbRGs. A sum of four biomarkers (WDR54, KAT2B, NBEAL2 and LNX1) were identified by two machine learning, then these four biomarkers were validated in GSE127165 and the expression trend was consistent with TCGA-LSCC, they were recorded as biomarkers. Moreover, the accuracy of the biomarkers in predicting clinical aspects of LSCC was confirmed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Subsequently, cancers such as malignant neoplasms, colorectal cancers, tumors, and primary malignant neoplasms were significantly associated with the biomarkers, which further suggests that these four biomarkers were strongly associated with cancer. Meanwhile, the drugs garcinol, cocaine, and triazolam, among others, used for LSCC treatment were predicted. Finally, transcription factors (TFs) (BRD4, MYC, AR, and CTCF) were predicted to regulate the biomarkers. RT-qPCR assays illustrated that the expression trends of KAT2B, LNX1 and NBEAL2 remained consistent with the dataset. CONCLUSION: The identification of four biomarkers (WDR54, KAT2B, NBEAL2 and LNX1) associated with UbRGs could ultimately serve as a predictive clinical diagnosis of LSCC and provide insight into the molecular mechanisms of LSCC.

Humans↗

The Berlin Brain-Computer Interface: EEG-based communication without subject training.

The Berlin Brain-Computer Interface (BBCI) project develops a noninvasive BCI system whose key features are 1) the use of well-established motor competences as control paradigms, 2) high-dimensional features from 128-channel electroencephalogram (EEG), and 3) advanced machine learning techniques. As reported earlier, our experiments demonstrate that very high information transfer rates can be achieved using the readiness potential (RP) when predicting the laterality of upcoming left- versus right-hand movements in healthy subjects. A more recent study showed that the RP similarily accompanies phantom movements in arm amputees, but the signal strength decreases with longer loss of the limb. In a complementary approach, oscillatory features are used to discriminate imagined movements (left hand versus right hand versus foot). In a recent feedback study with six healthy subjects with no or very little experience with BCI control, three subjects achieved an information transfer rate above 35 bits per minute (bpm), and further two subjects above 24 and 15 bpm, while one subject could not achieve any BCI control. These results are encouraging for an EEG-based BCI system in untrained subjects that is independent of peripheral nervous system activity and does not rely on evoked potentials even when compared to results with very well-trained subjects operating other BCI systems.

Algorithms↗

Stochastic epigenetic mutation profiles as biomarkers of clinical activity in juvenile idiopathic arthritis: a multi-omic machine learning approach for gene prioritization.

BACKGROUND: Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is a rare autoimmune disease arising from a complex interplay between genetic and environmental factors. Epigenetic modifications such as DNA methylation (DNAm) have been described as potential mediators in gene-environment interactions, contributing to immune system dysregulation. Emerging evidence suggests that DNAm profiles also predict therapeutic responses in autoimmune diseases. This study aims to identify epigenetic biomarkers and epigenetic-driven gene expression changes associated with JIA clinical activity. METHODS: We reanalyzed a publicly available dataset of 44 JIA patients, with whole-genome DNAm and gene expression from CD4 + T cells measured at two points: at anti-TNF therapy withdrawal (T0) and eight months later (Tend). At Tend, 30 patients maintained inactive disease (ID) while 14 did not (NO ID). We investigated differences between ID and NO ID patients in the epigenetic mutation load and various epigenetic clocks through linear regression models, and prioritized genomic regions with significantly higher number of epimutations in NO ID patients through machine learning. RESULTS: We found a higher mutation load in NO ID than ID patients, both at T0 and at Tend, with the differences at Tend reaching statistical significance (p = 0.02). In contrast, we found no evidence of association between epigenetic clocks and JIA clinical activity. Using a multi-omic approach, we identified a List of candidate epigenetically-driven differentially expressed genes, 80 up-regulated and 77 down-regulated, in NO ID patients. Finally, comparing our candidate gene list with the Connectivity Map database, we identified new candidate potential therapeutic targets. Key findings were validated in independent datasets: DNAm profiles from CD4 + T cells (56 JIA patients, 57 controls) and transcriptomic data from PBMCs of JIA patients with active or inactive disease, confirming dysregulation of pathways such as TNF-α signaling via NF-kB and TGF-β signaling among others. CONCLUSIONS: We described a significant association of epigenetic mutations with JIA clinical activity, indicating that epigenetic changes might precede clinical symptoms and may serve as biomarkers for early disease monitoring. Further, our results shed light on biomolecular mechanisms of JIA, supporting the development of more effective treatments.

Humans↗

Predictive models for breast cancer susceptibility from multiple single nucleotide polymorphisms.

Hereditary predisposition and causative environmental exposures have long been recognized in human malignancies. In most instances, cancer cases occur sporadically, suggesting that environmental influences are critical in determining cancer risk. To test the influence of genetic polymorphisms on breast cancer risk, we have measured 98 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) distributed over 45 genes of potential relevance to breast cancer etiology in 174 patients and have compared these with matched normal controls. Using machine learning techniques such as support vector machines (SVMs), decision trees, and naïve Bayes, we identified a subset of three SNPs as key discriminators between breast cancer and controls. The SVMs performed maximally among predictive models, achieving 69% predictive power in distinguishing between the two groups, compared with a 50% baseline predictive power obtained from the data after repeated random permutation of class labels (individuals with cancer or controls). However, the simpler naïve Bayes model as well as the decision tree model performed quite similarly to the SVM. The three SNP sites most useful in this model were (a) the +4536T/C site of the aldosterone synthase gene CYP11B2 at amino acid residue 386 Val/Ala (T/C) (rs4541); (b) the +4328C/G site of the aryl hydrocarbon hydroxylase CYP1B1 at amino acid residue 293 Leu/Val (C/G) (rs5292); and (c) the +4449C/T site of the transcription factor BCL6 at amino acid 387 Asp/Asp (rs1056932). No single SNP site on its own could achieve more than 60% in predictive accuracy. We have shown that multiple SNP sites from different genes over distant parts of the genome are better at identifying breast cancer patients than any one SNP alone. As high-throughput technology for SNPs improves and as more SNPs are identified, it is likely that much higher predictive accuracy will be achieved and a useful clinical tool developed.

Algorithms↗

Osteoarthritis phenotypes: advancing precision medicine through clinical, structural, and molecular stratification.

PURPOSE: Osteoarthritis (OA) is now understood as a heterogeneous syndrome driven by diverse biological, biomechanical, metabolic, genetic, and molecular mechanisms. This variability explains differences in disease progression and treatment response, challenging the traditional "one-size-fits-all" approach. This review highlights OA phenotyping as a key step toward precision medicine, focusing on clinical, structural, and molecular classifications that inform individualized care. METHODS: A narrative review was conducted using a non-systematic search of major databases and Osteoarthritis Research Society International sources (2010-2026). Evidence was thematically synthesized across clinical, imaging, and molecular domains to characterize OA phenotypes and their potential relevance to precision medicine. RESULTS: Multiple OA phenotypes were identified: inflammatory, metabolic, biomechanical, cartilage-subchondral, pain-sensitization, and aging/senescence. These exhibit distinct clinical features, risk factors, and therapeutic responses. Imaging-based phenotypes (e.g., inflammatory, meniscus-cartilage, subchondral bone, atrophic, hypertrophic) and molecular endotypes (low turnover, structural damage, systemic inflammation) further refine stratification. Pain-structure discordance is notable in sensitization phenotypes and may predict poorer surgical outcomes. Joint-specific variations and emerging genomic and epigenetic insights underscore disease complexity. Advances in imaging, biomarkers, and machine learning may enable earlier detection and patient clustering, though clinical application remains limited. CONCLUSION: Phenotype- and endotype-based classification represents a critical advancement toward precision OA management. Tailored interventions based on stratification hold promise for improving outcomes; however, clinical translation remains limited by overlapping phenotypes, lack of validated biomarkers, and inconsistent results from phenotype-driven trials. Wider clinical adoption requires standardized definitions, validation across joints, and integration of multimodal diagnostic tools into routine practice.

Humans↗

Gene Specific Pathogenicity Predictor for Chromatin-Remodeling BAF Complex-Associated Neurodevelopmental Disorders.

Advancements in whole genome sequencing have increased the number of variants of uncertain significance (VUS) identified in patient genomes. This has created a diagnostic bottleneck for genetic counselors tasked with sifting through these variants and determining those most likely to be causative for a patient's clinical presentation. Machine learning (ML) tools can aid in identifying pathogenic variants from VUS, but there is a need for gene-specific algorithms that predict pathogenic variants with high accuracy. To address this need, we present a workflow for developing gene-specific, ensemble-learning ML tools, that leverage outputs from other algorithms, locations of variants within the gene, and evolutionary conservation data to make a prediction of pathogenicity. Variants in SMARCA2 and SMARCA4 that are associated with rare neurodevelopmental diseases were used to screen 15 ML algorithms. A random forest learner was tuned to yield a final accuracy of 0.93 on holdout data. Generalizing this predictor to other BAF complex proteins resulted in a sharp decline in performance. We trained a final predictor for all genes in the study to create a predictor that identifies pathogenic variants in these BAF subunits with an accuracy of 0.91 on holdout data. This predictor specific to BAF complex proteins performs with higher accuracy and AUROC than any other predictor. The decline in performance when generalized to other proteins emphasizes the need for the gene-specific calibration of predictors. Our workflow for the development of such models provides a quick, computationally inexpensive route for improving the ML tools available to genetic counselors.

Journal Article↗

Intelligent automated control of life support systems using proportional representations.

Effective automatic control of Advanced Life Support Systems (ALSS) is a crucial component of space exploration. An ALSS is a coupled dynamical system which can be extremely sensitive and difficult to predict. As a result, such systems can be difficult to control using deliberative and deterministic methods. We investigate the performance of two machine learning algorithms, a genetic algorithm (GA) and a stochastic hill-climber (SH), on the problem of learning how to control an ALSS, and compare the impact of two different types of problem representations on the performance of both algorithms. We perform experiments on three ALSS optimization problems using five strategies with multiple variations of a proportional representation for a total of 120 experiments. Results indicate that although a proportional representation can effectively boost GA performance, it does not necessarily have the same effect on other algorithms such as SH. Results also support previous conclusions that multivector control strategies are an effective method for control of coupled dynamical systems.

Algorithms↗

A computer method for validating traditional Chinese medicine herbal prescriptions.

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been widely practiced and is considered as an alternative to conventional medicine. TCM herbal prescriptions contain a mixture of herbs that collectively exert therapeutic actions and modulating effects. Traditionally defined herbal properties, related to the pharmacodynamic, pharmacokinetic and toxicological, as well as physicochemical properties of their principal ingredients, have been used as the basis for formulating TCM multi-herb prescriptions. These properties are used in this work to develop a computer program for predicting whether a multi-herb recipe is a valid TCM prescription. This program is based on a statistical learning method, support vector machine (SVM), and it is trained by using 575 well-known TCM prescriptions and 1961 non-TCM recipes generated by random combination of TCM herbs. Testing results by using 72 well-known TCM prescriptions and 5039 non-TCM recipes showed that 73.6% of the TCM prescriptions and 99.9% of non-TCM recipes are correctly classified by this system. A further test by using 48 TCM prescriptions published in recent years found that 68.7% of these are correctly classified. These accuracies are comparable to those of SVM classification of other biological systems. Our study indicates the potential of SVM for facilitating the analysis of TCM prescriptions.

Chemistry, Pharmaceutical↗

Weighted sequence motifs as an improved seeding step in microRNA target prediction algorithms.

We present a new microRNA target prediction algorithm called TargetBoost, and show that the algorithm is stable and identifies more true targets than do existing algorithms. TargetBoost uses machine learning on a set of validated microRNA targets in lower organisms to create weighted sequence motifs that capture the binding characteristics between microRNAs and their targets. Existing algorithms require candidates to have (1) near-perfect complementarity between microRNAs' 5' end and their targets; (2) relatively high thermodynamic duplex stability; (3) multiple target sites in the target's 3' UTR; and (4) evolutionary conservation of the target between species. Most algorithms use one of the two first requirements in a seeding step, and use the three others as filters to improve the method's specificity. The initial seeding step determines an algorithm's sensitivity and also influences its specificity. As all algorithms may add filters to increase the specificity, we propose that methods should be compared before such filtering. We show that TargetBoost's weighted sequence motif approach is favorable to using both the duplex stability and the sequence complementarity steps. (TargetBoost is available as a Web tool from http://www.interagon.com/demo/.).

5' Untranslated Regions↗

A Risk Score for Polycystic Ovary Syndrome Based on Meta-Analysis and Machine Learning of Gut Microbiota Signatures.

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) is a prevalent endocrine and metabolic disorder among reproductive-age women, in which emerging evidence suggests a substantial role played by the gut microbiota. To comprehensively evaluate gut microbiota alterations in PCOS and identify microbial biomarkers through integrated analysis, a systematic search of PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase was conducted for studies employing 16S rRNA gene sequencing of fecal samples from PCOS cohorts. Ten eligible PCOS cohorts, comprising 858 individuals, were included in the study, from which a risk score was derived using a 20-gene gut microbial signature associated with PCOS. Meta-analysis at the genus level identified that Subdoligranulum, NK4A214_group, and Collinsella significantly decreased, and Bacteroides increased in PCOS across multiple cohorts. Machine learning analysis identified a 20-genus microbial signature using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method, which was used to construct a risk score with an AUC of 0.835 in diagnosis prediction. Network analysis further identified Negativibacillus and Lachnospiraceae_UCG_010 as potential driver microbes in PCOS. The analysis in this study highlights key alterations in the gut microbiota across PCOS cohorts. The identified gut microbial signature and derived LASSO-based risk model offer novel insights and a potential tool for PCOS diagnosis.

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome↗

Classifying gene expression profiles from pairwise mRNA comparisons.

We present a new approach to molecular classification based on mRNA comparisons. Our method, referred to as the top-scoring pair(s) (TSP) classifier, is motivated by current technical and practical limitations in using gene expression microarray data for class prediction, for example to detect disease, identify tumors or predict treatment response. Accurate statistical inference from such data is difficult due to the small number of observations, typically tens, relative to the large number of genes, typically thousands. Moreover, conventional methods from machine learning lead to decisions which are usually very difficult to interpret in simple or biologically meaningful terms. In contrast, the TSP classifier provides decision rules which i) involve very few genes and only relative expression values (e.g., comparing the mRNA counts within a single pair of genes); ii) are both accurate and transparent; and iii) provide specific hypotheses for follow-up studies. In particular, the TSP classifier achieves prediction rates with standard cancer data that are as high as those of previous studies which use considerably more genes and complex procedures. Finally, the TSP classifier is parameter-free, thus avoiding the type of over-fitting and inflated estimates of performance that result when all aspects of learning a predictor are not properly cross-validated.

Journal Article↗

Temporal sequence learning, prediction, and control: a review of different models and their relation to biological mechanisms.

In this review, we compare methods for temporal sequence learning (TSL) across the disciplines machine-control, classical conditioning, neuronal models for TSL as well as spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP). This review introduces the most influential models and focuses on two questions: To what degree are reward-based (e.g., TD learning) and correlation-based (Hebbian) learning related? and How do the different models correspond to possibly underlying biological mechanisms of synaptic plasticity? We first compare the different models in an open-loop condition, where behavioral feedback does not alter the learning. Here we observe that reward-based and correlation-based learning are indeed very similar. Machine control is then used to introduce the problem of closed-loop control (e.g., actor-critic architectures). Here the problem of evaluative (rewards) versus nonevaluative (correlations) feedback from the environment will be discussed, showing that both learning approaches are fundamentally different in the closed-loop condition. In trying to answer the second question, we compare neuronal versions of the different learning architectures to the anatomy of the involved brain structures (basal-ganglia, thalamus, and cortex) and the molecular biophysics of glutamatergic and dopaminergic synapses. Finally, we discuss the different algorithms used to model STDP and compare them to reward-based learning rules. Certain similarities are found in spite of the strongly different timescales. Here we focus on the biophysics of the different calcium-release mechanisms known to be involved in STDP.

Forecasting↗

Knowledge-driven interpretable neural networks provide mechanistic insight.

Analyzing omics data in the context of pathway knowledge is critical for understanding the molecular mechanisms underlying pathological changes. However, current pathway analysis methods do not model the detailed mechanistic nature of biological interactions, limiting the understanding of pathway behavior to a relatively shallow level. To address this issue, we present a knowledge-driven machine learning framework that embeds features into pathway graphs and models reactions analytically, producing interpretable feature hierarchies and subnetworks in which functional associations are estimated to model biological interactions. The approach is agnostic to feature selection, enabling the use of full omics data sets without discarding weak signals. Applications to breast cancer microRNA-gene regulation data and COVID-19 metabolomic data highlight immune and metabolic pathways relevant to disease progression. This framework bridges predictive modeling with mechanistic interpretation and offers a foundation for integrative pathway analysis.

Humans↗

Handling missing values in support vector machine classifiers.

This paper discusses the task of learning a classifier from observed data containing missing values amongst the inputs which are missing completely at random. A non-parametric perspective is adopted by defining a modified risk taking into account the uncertainty of the predicted outputs when missing values are involved. It is shown that this approach generalizes the approach of mean imputation in the linear case and the resulting kernel machine reduces to the standard Support Vector Machine (SVM) when no input values are missing. Furthermore, the method is extended to the multivariate case of fitting additive models using componentwise kernel machines, and an efficient implementation is based on the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) classifier formulation.

Algorithms↗