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PubMed2003

Health-related quality-of-life parameters as independent prognostic factors in advanced or metastatic bladder cancer.

PURPOSE: This retrospective analysis examined prognostic significance of health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) parameters combined with baseline clinical factors on outcomes (overall survival, time to progressive disease, and time to treatment failure) in bladder cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Outcome and HRQoL (European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire C30) data were collected prospectively in a phase III study assessing gemcitabine and cisplatin versus methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin in locally advanced or metastatic bladder cancer. Prespecified baseline clinical factors (performance status, tumor-node-metastasis staging, visceral metastases [VM], alkaline phosphatase [AP] level, number of metastatic sites, prior radiotherapy, disease measurability, sex, time from diagnosis, and sites of disease) and selected HRQoL parameters (global QoL; all functional scales; symptoms: pain, fatigue, insomnia, dyspnea, anorexia) were evaluated using Cox's proportional hazards model. Factors with individual prognostic value (P <.05) on outcomes in univariate models were assessed for joint prognostic value in a multivariate model. A final model was developed using a backward selection strategy. RESULTS: Patients with baseline HRQoL were included (364 of 405, 90%). The final model predicted longer survival with low/normal AP levels, no VM, high physical functioning, low role functioning, and no anorexia. Positive prognostic factors for time to progressive disease were good performance status, low/normal AP levels, no VM, and minimal fatigue; for time to treatment failure, they were low/normal AP levels, minimal fatigue, and no anorexia. Global QoL was a significant predictor of outcome in univariate analyses but was not retained in the multivariate model. CONCLUSION: HRQoL parameters are independent prognostic factors for outcome in advanced bladder cancer; their prognostic importance needs further evaluation.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

PubMed2003

Morphologic dysplasia in de novo acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is related to unfavorable cytogenetics but has no independent prognostic relevance under the conditions of intensive induction therapy: results of a multiparameter analysis from the German AML Cooperative Group studies.

PURPOSE: On the basis of cytomorphology according to the French-American-British (FAB) classification, we evaluated the prognostic impact of dysplastic features and other parameters in de novo acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We also assessed the clinical significance of the recently introduced World Health Organization (WHO) classification for AML, which proposed dysplasia as a new parameter for classification. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed prospectively 614 patients with de novo AML, all of whom were diagnosed by central morphologic analysis and treated within the German AML Cooperative Group (AMLCG)-92 or the AMLCG-acute promyalocytic leukemia study. RESULTS: Patients with AML M3, M3v, or M4eo demonstrated a better outcome compared with all other FAB subtypes (P <.001); no prognostic difference was observed among other FAB subtypes. The presence or absence of dysplasia failed to demonstrate prognostic relevance. Other prognostic markers, such as age, cytogenetics, presence of Auer rods, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level at diagnosis, all showed significant impact on overall and event-free survival in univariate analyses (P <.001 for all parameters tested). However, in a multivariate analysis, only cytogenetics (unfavorable or favorable), age, and high LDH maintained their prognostic impact. Dysplasia was not found to be an independent prognostic parameter, but the detection of trilineage dysplasia correlated with unfavorable cytogenetics. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that cytomorphology and classification according to FAB criteria are still necessary for the diagnosis of AML but have no relevance for prognosis in addition to cytogenetics. Our results suggest that the WHO classification should be further developed by using cytogenetics as the main determinant of biology. Dysplastic features, in particular, have no additional impact on predicting prognosis when cytogenetics are taken into account.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed2004

Tree-based model for breast cancer prognostication.

PURPOSE: To define prognostic groups for recurrence-free survival in breast cancer, assess relative effects of prognostic factors, and examine the influence of treatment variations on recurrence-free survival in patients with similar prognostic-factor profiles. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed 1,055 patients diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer between 1990 and 1996. Variables studied included socioeconomic factors, tumor characteristics, concurrent medical conditions, and treatment. The primary end point was recurrence-free survival (RFS). Multivariable analyses were performed using recursive partitioning and Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: The most significant difference in prognosis was between patients with fewer than four and those with at least four positive nodes (P <.0001). Four distinct prognostic groups (5-year RFS, 97%, 78%, 58%, and 27%) were developed, defined by the number of positive nodes, tumor size, progesterone receptor (PR) status, differentiation, race, and marital status. Patients with fewer than four positive nodes and tumor < or = 2 cm, PR positive, and well or moderately differentiated had the best prognosis. RFS in this group was unaffected by type of adjuvant therapy (P =.38). Patients with at least four positive nodes and PR-negative tumors had the worst prognosis, and those treated with tamoxifen plus chemotherapy had the best outcome in this group (P =.0001). Among patients in the two intermediate-risk groups, those treated with tamoxifen or a combination of tamoxifen and chemotherapy had the best outcome. CONCLUSION: Lymph node status, PR status, tumor size, differentiation, race, and marital status are valuable for prognostication in breast cancer. The prognostic groups derived can provide guidance for clinical trial design, patient management, and future treatment policy.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Detection of thymidylate synthase expression in lymph node metastases of colorectal cancer can improve the prognostic information.

PURPOSE: The level of thymidylate synthase (TS) in primary colorectal cancer (CRC) has been reported as a prognostic marker. The purpose of this study was to determine whether TS expression in lymph node metastases of Dukes' C CRC is a prognostic marker. PATIENTS AND METHODS: TS expression in the primary tumor and lymph node metastases from 348 patients with Dukes' C CRC was retrospectively assessed using immunohistochemistry and the monoclonal antibody TS 106. The patients had all been enrolled onto our previous study of 862 CRC patients who were included in Nordic trials that randomly assigned the patients to either surgery alone or surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: TS expression in lymph node metastases was a distinct prognostic marker in the entire study group for overall survival (OS; P = .02) and disease-free survival (DFS; P = .04). A low TS expression in the lymph node metastases correlated with a better clinical outcome. In the subgroup of patients treated with surgery alone, the expression of TS in lymph node metastases also had a prognostic value for OS (P = .04) and DFS (P = .03), but this was not the case for the other subgroup who received adjuvant fluorouracil-based chemotherapy (OS, P = .5; DFS, P = .2). The expression of TS in the primary tumor only had a significant prognostic value among patients who were treated with surgery alone (OS, P = .03; DFS, P = .03) and not among the entire patient population. CONCLUSION: These data show that TS expression in lymph node metastases is a prognostic marker for patients with Dukes' C CRC.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

Communication about prognosis between parents and physicians of children with cancer: parent preferences and the impact of prognostic information.

PURPOSE: Concerns about the harms of prognostic information, including distress and loss of hope, cause some physicians to avoid frank disclosure. We aimed to determine parent preferences for prognostic information about their children with cancer and the results of receiving such information. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We surveyed 194 parents of children with cancer (overall response rate, 70%), treated at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Children's Hospital (Boston, MA) and the children's physicians. Our main outcome measure was parent rating of prognostic information as extremely or very upsetting. RESULTS: The majority of parents desired as much information about prognosis as possible (87%) and wanted it expressed numerically (85%). Although 36% of parents found information about prognosis to be extremely or very upsetting, those parents were more likely to want additional information about prognosis than those who were less upset (P = .01). Parents who found information upsetting were no less likely to say that knowing prognosis was important (P = .39), that knowing prognosis helped in decision making (P = .40), or that hope for a cure kept them going (P = .72). CONCLUSION: Although many parents find prognostic information about their children with cancer upsetting, parents who are upset by prognostic information are no less likely to want it. The upsetting nature of prognostic information does not diminish parents' desire for such information, its importance to decision making, or parents' sense of hope.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2000

Expression and prognostic value of alpha-, beta-, and gamma-catenins indifferentiated thyroid carcinoma.

Catenins (alpha, ss, and gamma) are a group of intracellular cell adhesion molecules that unite cytoskeleton with extracellular adhesion system. Abnormal expression of these molecules may have prognostic relevance in various carcinomas, including differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). We have, therefore, evaluated the prognostic value of alpha-, ss-, and gamma-catenins along with traditional risk factors in 206 consecutive DTC patients by immunohistochemistry. Papillary carcinomas showed normal staining pattern for alpha-, ss-, and gamma-catenins in 124 (60%), 136 (67%), and 94 (46%) cases, respectively. Follicular carcinomas expressed alpha-, ss-, and gamma-catenins normally in 16 (48%), 18 (55%), and 8 (32%) cases, respectively. Follicular type of tumor showed more often reduced staining for all catenins than papillary carcinoma (P: = 0.009, P: = 0.004, and P: = 0.002, respectively). Age (>60 yr) and pTNM-stage were related to reduced alpha- and ss-catenin expression levels (P: = 0.027 and P: = 0.026, respectively) and larger size of the tumor to reduced ss- and gamma-catenin expressions (P: = 0.039 and P: = 0.007, respectively). Nodal metastases at the time of primary treatment related to reduced alpha-catenin expression and distal metastases to reduced ss- and gamma-catenin staining signals (P: = 0.022, P: = 0.014, and P: = 0.039, respectively). Reduced alpha-catenin associated with tumor recurrence (P: = 0.002) and reduced ss-catenin with cancer-related mortality (P: = 0.005). The multivariate analysis for recurrence-free survival showed that alpha-catenin and serum thyroglobulin level 1 yr after primary treatment were prognostic of recurrent disease (hazards ratio, 3.42, P: = 0.022; and hazards ratio, 10.03, P: = 0.0001). In addition, alpha-catenin retained its prognostic significance in low-stage patients (P: = 0.0151). We propose that the evaluation of alpha-catenin expression by immunohistochemistry in DTC patients has prognostic value in addition to that obtained by traditional prognostic factors.

Aged↗

PubMed1992

The prognostic value of somatosensory and motor evoked potentials in comatose patients.

Somatosensory and motor evoked potentials (SEP and MEP) were examined in a total of 213 patients in traumatic (n = 140) and nontraumatic (n = 73) coma. It was the aim of this study to compare the prognostic value of MEP elicited by both electrical and magnetoelectric transcranial stimulation with the use of SEP alone. According to the presence or absence of responses and the duration of central conduction time, SEP and MEP obtained during Days 1 through 3 after the onset of coma were divided into four categories and correlated with the outcome of the patients, as assessed by the Glasgow Outcome Scale. Our results clearly show that in terms of prognostic value, SEP are superior to MEP, with normal findings indicating a favorable outcome and absent responses an unfavorable outcome. On the other hand, patients with normal electromyographic responses after both electrical and magnetoelectric stimulation had favorable and unfavorable outcomes about equally. Thus, unlike SEP, normal MEP do not allow any prognostic conclusions. Only the bilateral absence of MEP in response to electrical stimulation was a definitely unfavorable prognostic sign because all of these patients died. In contrast, with magnetoelectric stimulation, neither normal nor absent responses allowed any prognostic conclusions. Therefore, the prognostic value of electrically evoked motor responses is limited, and magnetoelectric stimulation cannot be recommended in this context.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

The use of KIT and tryptase expression patterns as prognostic tools for canine cutaneous mast cell tumors.

Cutaneous mast cell tumors (MCTs) are one of the most common tumors in dogs. Currently, prognostic and therapeutic determinations for MCTs are primarily based on the histologic grade of the tumor, but a vast majority of MCTs are of an intermediate grade, and the prognostic relevance is highly questioned. A more detailed prognostic evaluation, especially of grade 2 canine MCTs, is greatly needed. To evaluate the prognostic significance of KIT and tryptase expression patterns in canine cutaneous MCTs, we studied 100 cutaneous MCTs from 100 dogs that had been treated with surgery only. The total survival and disease-free survival time and the time to local or distant recurrence of MCTs were recorded for all dogs. Using immunohistochemistry, 98 of these MCTs were stained with anti-KIT and antitryptase antibodies. Three KIT- and three tryptase-staining patterns were identified. The KIT-staining patterns were identified as 1) membrane-associated staining, 2) focal to stippled cytoplasmic staining with decreased membrane-associated staining, and 3) diffuse cytoplasmic staining. The tryptase-staining patterns were identified as 1) diffuse cytoplasmic staining, 2) stippled cytoplasmic staining, and 3) little to no cytoplasmic staining. Based on univariate and multivariate survival analysis, increased cytoplasmic KIT staining was significantly associated with an increased rate of local recurrence and a decreased survival rate. The tryptase-staining patterns were not significantly associated with any survival parameter. On the basis of these results, we propose a new prognostic classification of canine cutaneous MCTs, according to their KIT-staining pattern, that can be used for the routine prognostic evaluation of canine cutaneous MCTs.

Animals↗

PubMed2002

Staging in lung cancer: is 3 cm a prognostic threshold in pathologic stage I non-small cell lung cancer? A multicenter study of 1,020 patients.

INTRODUCTION: Since 1974, a tumor size of 3 cm in diameter has been regarded as the prognostic threshold in the staging of bronchogenic carcinoma. OBJECTIVE: To study the prognostic behavior of surgical-pathologic tumor size in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with complete resection. DESIGN: Four-year multi-institutional prospective study from 1993 to 1997. PATIENTS: Consecutive cases of NSCLC in pathologic stages IA-IB (pIA-pIB) treated surgically with complete resection in hospitals belonging to the Bronchogenic Carcinoma Co-operative Group of the Spanish Society of Pneumology and Thoracic Surgery (GCCB-S). METHODS: The Schoenfeld procedure was used to identify different prognostic groups, considering 1 cm as the measurement unit. RESULTS: Based on the 1,020 cases evaluated, four prognostic groups were identified: 0 to 2 cm (group A; n = 147), 2.1 to 4 cm (group B; n = 448), 4.1 to 7 cm (group C; n = 336), and > 7 cm (group D; n = 89). At 5 years, survival was 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58 to 0.68), 0.56 (95% CI, 0.53 to 0.59), 0.49 (95% CI, 0.46 to 0.52), and 0.38 (95% CI, 0.32 to 0.44) for groups A, B, C, and D, respectively. Differences between paired groups (log-rank) were significant: 0.0074 between groups A and B, 0.0048 between groups B and C, and 0.0034 between groups C and D. CONCLUSIONS: In initial stages (pIA-pIB) of NSCLC, the 3-cm value was not found to behave as a prognostic threshold; in this study, four surgical-pathologic tumor size groups were identified with strong prognostic differences: from 0 to 2 cm, from 2.1 to 4 cm, from 4.1 to 7 cm, and > 7 cm.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Influence of heart failure etiology on the prognostic value of peak oxygen consumption and minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope.

BACKGROUND: Peak oxygen consumption (V(O2)) and minute ventilation (V(E))/carbon dioxide production (V(CO2)) slope have been widely demonstrated to have strong prognostic value in patients with heart failure (HF). In the present study, we investigated the effect of HF etiology on the prognostic applications of peak V(O2) and Ve/V(CO2) slope. METHODS: Two hundred sixty-eight subjects underwent symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX). The population was divided into ischemic (115 men and 22 women) and nonischemic (108 men and 23 women) subgroups. The occurrence of cardiac-related events over the year following CPX was compared between groups using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis RESULTS: Mean age +/- SD was significantly higher (61.0 +/- 10.0 years vs 50.3 +/- 16.2 years) while mean peak V(O2) was significantly lower (15.0 +/- 5.2 mL/kg/min vs 17.5 +/- 6.7 mL/kg/min) in the ischemic HF group (p < 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that both peak V(O2) and V(E)/V(CO2) slope were significant predictors of cardiac events in both the ischemic group (peak V(O2), 0.74; V(E)/V(CO2) slope, 0.76; p < 0.001) and the nonischemic group (peak V(O2), 0.75; V(E)/V(CO2) slope, 0.86; p < 0.001). Optimal prognostic threshold values for peak V(O2) were 14.1 mL/kg/min and 14.6 mL/kg/min in the ischemic and nonischemic groups, respectively. Optimal prognostic threshold values for the V(E)/V(CO2) slope were 34.2 and 34.5 in the ischemic and nonischemic groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline and exercise characteristics were different between ischemic and nonischemic patients with HF. However, the prognostic power of the major CPX variables was strikingly similar. Different prognostic classification schemes based on HF etiology may therefore not be necessary when analyzing CPX responses in clinical practice.

Carbon Dioxide↗

PubMed2000

Comparative study of tumor angiogenesis and immunohistochemistry for p53, c-ErbB2, c-myc and EGFr as prognostic factors in gastric cancer.

Gastric cancer (GC) continues to be a highly aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis and low survival rates. The survival of patients with GC depends mainly on the stage of the disease, with early GC having a 5 year survival of 90-100% and advanced tumors a 5 year survival of 15-25%. The role of other prognostic factors in these tumors is still under investigation. 28 gastric dysplasia, 45 Early GC and 98 Advanced Gastric Cancers were evaluated for expression of the oncogenes p53, c-ErbB2, c-myc and the EGFr in paraffin-embedded material utilizing Avidin-Biotin immunohistochemistry techniques. In 34 cases of GC microvessel density (MVD) was determined in CD34 stained sections. Statistical correlations with stage, histologic type, differentiation degree, location, size, ploidy patterns and overall survival were done. The Mantel-Cox test was performed to evaluate which factors had an independent prognostic value. Both, tumor angiogenesis and p53 protein expression were statistically associated (95% confidence intervals) with overall survival in patients with GC. p53 protein expression was also correlated with cardial location, nodal involvement and tumor stage. c-ErbB2 may recognize a group of highly aggressive well differentiated adenocarcinomas with worse prognosis. c-myc was also significantly enhanced in well differentiated tumors. EGFr showed no significant associations. Mantel-Cox was performed to compare the prognostic value of tumor stage, p53 protein expression and tumor angiogenesis. Tumor angiogenesis was the most important prognostic indicator to predict overall survival in our series. p53 expression was not independent and did not provide additional prognostic information to tumor stage. Our study suggests that angiogenesis as demonstrated by microvessel counts in CD34 stained sections is a significantly important prognostic factor for predicting survival in gastric cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Biochemical parameters as prognostic factors in prostatic adenocarcinoma.

The serum levels of creatinine (CR), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), acid phosphatase (ACP) and tartrate inhibitable acid phosphatase (TIAP) were related to Gleason score, TM-category, disease progression and survival in 325 prostatic adenocarcinoma patients followed up for over 12 years. Elevated serum levels of CR, ALP, ACP and TIAP were related to invasive and metastatic disease as well as with a high Gleason score. Elevated serum levels of CR, ALP, ACP and TIAP, all significantly predicted prognosis in a univariate analysis. In the M0 tumours, ACP and TIAP and TIAP had prognostic value, as they did in the T1-2M0 tumours respectively. Cox's multivariate analysis showed that serum creatinine level at diagnosis had independent prognostic value additional to the TM-classification, Gleason score and patient age. In the M0 tumours, ALP had independent prognostic significance additional to the T-category, Gleason score and patient age. In the T1-2M0 tumours, TIAP had independent prognostic value supplementary to the Gleason score, T-category and patient age, whereas in the T1M0 tumours, the gleason score was an independent prognostic parameter. The results indicate that these simple laboratory tests give important prognostic information in prostatic adenocarcinoma.

Acid Phosphatase↗

PubMed2002

The prognostic molecular markers in hepatocellular carcinoma.

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still remains dismal, although many advances in its clinical study have been made. It is important for tumor control to identify the factors that predispose patients to death. With new discoveries in cancer biology, the pathological and biological prognostic factors of HCC have been studied quite extensively. Analyzing molecular markers (biomarkers) with prognostic significance is a complementary method. A large number of molecular factors have been shown to associate with the invasiveness of HCC, and have potential prognostic significance. One important aspect is the analysis of molecular markers for the cellular malignancy phenotype. These include alterations in DNA ploidy, cellular proliferation markers (PCNA, Ki-67, Mcm2, MIB1, MIA, and CSE1L/CAS protein), nuclear morphology, the p53 gene and its related molecule MD M2, other cell cycle regulators (cyclin A, cyclin D, cyclin E, cdc2, p27, p73), oncogenes and their receptors (such as ras, c-myc, c-fms, HGF, c-met, and erb-B receptor family members), apoptosis related factors (Fas and FasL), as well as telomerase activity. Another important aspect is the analysis of molecular markers involved in the process of cancer invasion and metastasis. Adhesion molecules (E-cadherin, catenins, serum intercellular adhesion molecule-1, CD44 variants), proteinases involved in the degradation of extracellular matrix (MMP-2, MMP-9, uPA, uPAR, PAI), as well as other molecules have been regarded as biomarkers for the malignant phenotype of HCC, and are related to prognosis and therapeutic outcomes. Tumor angiogenesis is critical to both the growth and metastasis of cancers including HCC, and has drawn much attention in recent years. Many angiogenesis-related markers, such as vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF), platelet-derived endothelial cell growth factor (PD-ECGF), thrombospondin (TSP), angiogenin, pleiotrophin, and endostatin (ES) levels, as well as intratumor microvessel density (MVD) have been evaluated and found to be of prognostic significance. Body fluid (particularly blood and urinary) testing for biomarkers is easily accessible and useful in clinical patients. The prognostic significance of circulating DNA in plasma or serum, and its genetic alterations in HCC are other important trends. More attention should be paid to these two areas in future. As the progress of the human genome project advances, so does a clearer understanding of tumor biology, and more and more new prognostic markers with high sensitivity and specificity will be found and used in clinical assays. However, the combination of some items, i.e., the pathological features and some biomarkers mentioned above, seems to be more practical for now.

Apoptosis↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic correlation of basic fibroblast growth factor and vascular endothelial growth factor in 1307 primary breast cancers.

This study was designed to investigate the possible relationship between the protein expression of basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) with p53 status, breast cancer prognostic factors, metastatic site, and survival after adjuvant therapy. Basic fibroblast growth factor and VEGF expression were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays in cytosol specimens obtained from 1307 patients with T1-3 primary breast cancer (789 node-negative, 518 node-positive) diagnosed between 1990 and 1997. The median follow-up time was 70 months. Increased bFGF expression was more frequently found in tumors with low VEGF expression (r = -0.286; P = 0.095). Increased bFGF was associated with smaller tumors (P < 0.001), absence of axillary metastasis (P = 0.003), low S-phase fraction (P < 0.001), and longer recurrence-free survival (RFS; P = 0.0038) and overall survival (OS; P = 0.0316). Vascular endothelial growth factor was a prognostic factor for RFS (P < 0.0001) and OS (P < 0.0001) in univariate and multivariate analyses (RFS: 95% CI, 1.1-1.7; P = 0.036; OS: 95% CI, 1.2-2.2; P = 0.002), whereas bFGF expression was not correlated with RFS or OS. Increased VEGF content was correlated with shorter survival after adjuvant endocrine therapy (RFS, P = 0.0004; OS, P = 0.0009). Patients with estrogen receptor-negative disease were excluded from the analysis. Basic fibroblast growth factor was not a prognostic factor after adjuvant systemic therapy, nor was it related to metastatic site. Expression of VEGF is an independent prognostic factor for patients with primary breast cancer. High bFGF expression was related to good prognostic features and longer survival times, but did not add prognostic information in multivariate analysis. The results might implicate that different angiogenic pathways exist in human breast cancer.

Breast Neoplasms↗

PubMed2003

Analysis of clinical prognostic factors for survival and time to progression in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in adults. Twenty-five percent of patients are not amenable to surgical resection because they have locally advanced or metastatic disease. For these patients, median survival time is between 4 and 13 months, and chemotherapy is used mainly with palliative intent. We conducted this study to evaluate potential prognostic factors for time to progression and survival. A retrospective review of 91 patients with metastatic CRC treated with bolus 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy (Mayo Clinic schedule) was performed. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinical prognostic factors were carried out. Median follow-up time was 53 months (range, 17-107 months). Median time to disease progression was 9.6 months, and median survival time was 15.4 months. Actuarial 5-year survival was 17%. In the univariate analyses, factors predictive of time to progression were visceral metastases, elevated alkaline phosphatase (AP) levels, performance status (PS), and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CA 19-9 levels. Multivariate analyses confirmed the independent prognostic value of PS and AP levels. In the univariate analyses for survival, significant prognostic factors were visceral metastases, hypoalbuminemia, elevated lactate dehydrogenase levels, elevated AP levels, PS, and elevated CEA and CA 19-9 levels. In the multivariate analyses, only PS, elevated CEA and CA 19-9 levels, and liver involvement retained prognostic significance. This study confirms the prognostic value of PS for both time to progression and survival. AP levels are significantly related to time to progression. Additional factors influencing survival time are elevated tumor marker levels and the existence of liver metastases.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic significance of p53, angiogenesis, and other conventional features in operable breast cancer: subanalysis in node-positive and node-negative patients.

To validate the prognostic value of the determination of p53 expression, intratumoral microvessel density (IMD) (a measure of angiogenesis), and the conventional features, we studied 531 patients operated of breast cancer (271 node-positive and 260 node-negative), with a median follow-up exceeding 6 years. IMD was assessed by using the anti-CD31 antibody to identify the microvessels. p53, estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) were determined by immunocytochemistry using the antibodies PAb1801, H-222 Sp2y and KD-68, respectively. The prognostic value of the markers was analyzed by univariate and multivariate statistical analyses. In the overall series p53 expression, IMD, nodal status, ER and PgR were statistically significant prognostic indicators for both relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in the final multivariate model. Likewise, tumor size and menopausal status were significant prognostic indicators for RFS and OS, respectively. In the subgroup of node-negative patients who did not receive adjuvant therapy only p53, IMD, and tumor size were statistically significant in multivariate analysis. In the subgroup of node-positive patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, IMD, the number of involved nodes and PgR were statistically significant in multivariate analysis. In the subgroup of node-positive patients treated with adjuvant tamoxifen, IMD and ER (and the number of involved nodes, only for OS) were statistically significant for both RFS and OS in the final multivariate model. Different markers played a diverse prognostic role in the diverse subgroups studied. Angiogenesis was the sole marker which retained prognostic value in all the sub-groups analyzed. p53 retained significance only in the subgroup of node-negative patients, whilst ER and PgR were statistically significant in the subgroups of node-positive patients treated with adjuvant hormone therapy or chemotherapy, respectively.

Adult↗

PubMed1994

Obesity as an adverse prognostic factor for patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether obesity is an independent prognostic factor among women receiving adjuvant chemotherapy for lymph node-positive breast cancer and to determine how obesity relates to other commonly used prognostic indicators. DESIGN: Retrospective review of the clinical characteristics and clinical course of 735 patients with stages II and III primary breast cancer who were treated using three consecutive postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy protocols. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the prognostic implications of obesity defined by weight and height tables and body mass index. In addition, we analyzed the relation between obesity and other known prognostic indicators for patients with primary breast cancer. SETTING: A comprehensive cancer center. PATIENTS: 735 patients with lymph node-positive primary breast cancer who were treated using three consecutive fluorouracil-doxorubicin-cyclophosphamide-containing adjuvant chemotherapy protocols and for whom complete data on weight, height, standard prognostic factors, and outcome were available. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Disease-free and overall survival for the entire group and obese and nonobese subgroups. RESULTS: 24 percent of patients were more than 20% overweight. With a median follow-up of 10.7 years, the estimated 10-year, disease-free rate for patients not more than 20% overweight was 54% (95% CI, 50% to 58%) compared with 40% (CI, 33% to 47%) for remaining patients classified as obese. Although obese patients tended to have somewhat less favorable prognoses based on standard prognostic criteria, a proportional-hazards regression model adjusting for other factors indicated that risk for disease recurrence among obese patients was 1.33 times that of the nonobese population (CI, 1.05 to 1.68). CONCLUSIONS: Obesity is an indicator of poor prognosis for patients with primary breast cancer even after the administration of adjuvant chemotherapy. The effect of dietary interventions to reduce body weight on the outcome of breast cancer therapy must be investigated.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

Assessing the generalizability of prognostic information.

Physicians are often asked to make prognostic assessments but often worry that their assessments will prove inaccurate. Prognostic systems were developed to enhance the accuracy of such assessments. This paper describes an approach for evaluating prognostic systems based on the accuracy (calibration and discrimination) and generalizability (reproducibility and transportability) of the system's predictions. Reproducibility is the ability to produce accurate predictions among patients not included in the development of the system but from the same population. Transportability is the ability to produce accurate predictions among patients drawn from a different but plausibly related population. On the basis of the observation that the generalizability of a prognostic system is commonly limited to a single historical period, geographic location, methodologic approach, disease spectrum, or follow-up interval, we describe a working hierarchy of the cumulative generalizability of prognostic systems. This approach is illustrated in a structured review of the Dukes and Jass staging systems for colon and rectal cancer and applied to a young man with colon cancer. Because it treats the development of the system as a "black box" and evaluates only the performance of the predictions, the approach can be applied to any system that generates predicted probabilities. Although the Dukes and Jass staging systems are discrete, the approach can also be applied to systems that generate continuous predictions and, with some modification, to systems that predict over multiple time periods. Like any scientific hypothesis, the generalizability of a prognostic system is established by being tested and being found accurate across increasingly diverse settings. The more numerous and diverse the settings in which the system is tested and found accurate, the more likely it will generalize to an untested setting.

Calibration↗