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PubMed1998

Current and projected workforce of nonphysician clinicians.

Nonphysician clinicians (NPCs) are becoming increasingly prominent as health care providers. This study examines 10 such disciplines: nurse practitioners (NPs), physician assistants (PAs), nurse-midwives, chiropractors, acupuncturists, naturopaths, optometrists, podiatrists, nurse anesthetists, and clinical nurse specialists. The aggregate number of NPCs graduating annually in these 10 disciplines doubled between 1992 and 1997, and a further increment of 20% is projected for 2001. Assuming that enrollments remain at the levels attained in 2001, NPC supply will grow from 228000 in 1995 to 384000 in 2005, and it will continue to expand at a similar rate thereafter. The greatest growth is projected among those NPCs who provide primary care services. Moreover, the greatest concentrations of both practicing NPCs and NPC training programs are in those states that already have the greatest abundance of physicians. On a per capita basis, the projected growth in NPC supply between 1995 and 2005 will be double that of physicians. Because of the existing training pipeline, it is probable that most of the growth projected for 2005 will occur. The further expansion of both NPC and physician supply thereafter warrants careful reconsideration.

Acupuncture Therapy↗
PubMed2000

Caring for the critically ill patient. Current and projected workforce requirements for care of the critically ill and patients with pulmonary disease: can we meet the requirements of an aging population?

CONTEXT: Two important areas of medicine, care of the critically ill and management of pulmonary disease, are likely to be influenced by the aging of the US population. OBJECTIVE: To estimate current and future requirements for adult critical care and pulmonary medicine physicians in the United States. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of existing population, patient, and hospital data sets and prospective, nationally representative surveys of intensive care unit (ICU) directors (n = 393) and critical care specialists (intensivists) and pulmonary specialists (pulmonologists) (n = 421), conducted from 1996 to 1999. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Influence of patient, physician, regional, hospital, and payer characteristics on current practice patterns; forecasted future supply of and demand for specialist care through 2030. Separate models for critical care and pulmonary disease. Base-case projections with sensitivity analyses to estimate the impact of future changes in training and retirement, disease prevalence and management, and health care reform initiatives. RESULTS: In 1997, intensivists provided care to 36.8% of all ICU patients. Care in the ICU was provided more commonly by intensivists in regions with high managed care penetration. The current ratio of supply to demand is forecast to remain in rough equilibrium until 2007. Subsequently, demand will grow rapidly while supply will remain near constant, yielding a shortfall of specialist hours equal to 22% of demand by 2020 and 35% by 2030, primarily because of the aging of the US population. Sensitivity analyses suggest that the spread of current health care reform initiatives will either have no effect or worsen this shortfall. A shortfall of pulmonologist time will also occur before 2007 and increase to 35% by 2020 and 46% by 2030. CONCLUSIONS: We forecast that the proportion of care provided by intensivists and pulmonologists in the United States will decrease below current standards in less than 10 years. While current health care reform initiatives and modification of existing practice patterns may temporarily forestall this problem, most anticipated effects are minor in comparison with the growing disease burden created by the aging US population. JAMA. 2000;284:2762-2770.

Aged↗
PubMedDate not supplied

A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: assessment of needs.

PURPOSE: A human resource planning model for anesthesiology is described. METHODS: The model uses 'per capita' expenditure for anesthesiologists in Quebec, as a measure of clinical services provided to different age/gender groups. The future demand for anesthesia services is calculated as the product of 'per capita' expenditure and the population projections to a future date. Future demand was converted into full-time equivalent (FTE) providers required, by dividing by the annual 'units of service' optimally delivered by one FTE anesthesiologist. The pattern of age/gender (demographic) consumption of anesthesia services in Quebec was compared with data from Ontario to validate its use in a planning model. The model was then applied to all provinces and territories. RESULTS: The 'per capita' expenditures on anesthesia services in Quebec and Ontario showed a regular pattern. Using the model, the estimated 1999 demand for FTE anesthesiologists to provide clinical services in Quebec is 546 and 669 for 2016. When non-clinical demands were included, we estimated that Quebec's total demand will increase to approximately 730 FTEs in 2016. Similar estimates are made for all provinces. The population increase anticipated is 17.9% but the increase in FTE demand in Canada is 30.9%. CONCLUSION: The model showed that the cause of the increased FTE demand for anesthesiologists is a combination of increased population and its demographic composition. The relative impact of each of these factors varies in different provinces. Effective specialty-specific planning models can be designed but they need ongoing committed resources and personnel for their usefulness to be maximized.

Adolescent↗
PubMedDate not supplied

A physician workforce planning model applied to Canadian anesthesiology: planning the future supply of anesthesiologists.

PURPOSE: To examine the supply of physician anesthesia providers necessary to accommodate the previously described clinical and non-clinical service volume needs throughout Canada. METHODS: The Canadian Medical Association (CMA) physician database provided baseline specialist anesthesiologists numbers and ages as of January 1, 2000. The Royal College of Physician and Surgeons of Canada (RCPSC) provided annual anesthesia certificant numbers for the period 1971-2000. Combining these data with the separately reported estimates of anesthesia provider needs for the years 1999 and 2016, the matching of anesthesia provider supply and demand during the period 2000-2016 was examined. RESULTS: The CMA database included 2,287 anesthesiologists in Canada on January 1, 2000. The needs assessment (clinical and non-clinical) identified the requirement for 2,495 full time equivalent (FTE) anesthesiologists in 1999 and 3,265 in 2016 (31% increase). Taking into account the ages of current anesthesiologists, the increased future requirements and the current rate of graduation from RCPSC-approved training programs in Canada a deficit of at least 656 FTEs is identified for the period 2000-2016 (average 41 per year). CONCLUSIONS: Canada has a current shortage of anesthesiologists. Based on the assessment of future needs in Quebec and extrapolated to all provinces, this shortage will worsen, unless Canadian training programs are expanded or other steps are taken to augment the numbers of anesthesia practitioners. Ongoing studies in each province are required to validate and update these conclusions.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

A demand-based assessment of the Canadian anesthesia workforce - 2002 through 2007.

PURPOSE: The number of anesthesia providers required by the Canadian health care system remains controversial. Questions persist regarding both the adequacy of the current supply and what the future demand will be. The purpose of this study was to quantify the number and adequacy of anesthesia providers in 2002, and predict the same for the year 2007. METHODS: All licensed health care facilities potentially employing anesthetic services were identified. On February 1(st), 2002 a questionnaire was mailed to each institution. On April 1(st), a second mailing was sent to non-responders. Those facilities that did not respond to either mailing were contacted by telephone. RESULTS: Responses were obtained from 831 of 891 (93%) health care facilities. Four hundred and twenty-six of the facilities employed anesthetic services. There were 1,610 operating rooms (ORs) in use daily, and 2,134 full-time equivalent (FTE) anesthesia providers were available to the institutions surveyed. Respondents identified an immediate need for 228 additional FTEs. Hospitals with less than five ORs or five FTEs reported higher vacancy rates than hospitals with greater than five ORs or five FTEs (P < 0.0001). Ontario (n = 85) and Quebec (n = 69) had the largest absolute deficits of FTEs and significantly greater odds of vacancies than western provinces (Ontario OR = 1.84, Quebec OR = 2.50). The projected need for 2007 was an additional 560 FTEs. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to survey a national census of "consumers" of anesthetic services: Canadian health care facilities. The results indicate substantial current and worsening future shortages of anesthesia providers in Canada.

Ambulatory Surgical Procedures↗
PubMed2006

The radiologist assistant: the solution to radiology workforce needs.

Since 2003 the radiologist assistant (RA) was introduced in response to the severe shortage of radiologists and the increased demand for medical imaging services. Other non-physician clinicians, such as PAs, currently play an important role in the medical imaging environment. The article discusses the reasons physician assistants have found favor with interventional radiologists, and advocates an increased role for physician extenders in Radiology. It refutes the skeptics who question whether the new profession will alleviate the manpower crisis in Radiology. The authors suggest that RAs are the ideal complement to radiologists; and based on their radiologic technology background, have a vested interest in the field.

Allied Health Personnel↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Workforce competencies in behavioral health: an overview.

Competency-based training approaches are being used more in healthcare to guide curriculum content and ensure accountability and outcomes in the educational process. This article provides an overview of the state of competency development in the field of behavioral health. Specifically, it identifies the groups and organizations that have conducted and supported this work, summarizes their progress in defining and assessing competencies, and discusses both the obstacles and future directions for such initiatives. A major purpose of this article is to provide a compendium of current competency efforts so that these might inform and enhance ongoing competency development in the varied behavioral health disciplines and specialties. These varied resources may also be useful in identifying the core competencies that are common to the multiple disciplines and specialties.

Behavioral Medicine↗