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The use of patient-level outcomes to inform treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The assessment of outcome for any purpose is not undertaken routinely in European mental health services. This paper discusses the merits of using outcome data to inform the planning of mental health care for individual patients, and provides practical advice to support the implementation of this new approach to working. METHOD: The use of outcomes in North America and Europe is briefly reviewed. A conceptual basis is proposed for routine outcome assessment--the ongoing measurement and use of outcome data to inform decisions about whether to continue, change or curtail treatment. A cognitive psychology model is developed which indicates that the routine use of outcomes will improve mental health care. Perceived problems with routine outcome assessment are discussed, and principles for implementation are identified. RESULTS: Outcomes are used mainly for generating local-level (rather than patient-level) data in North America, and rarely used in Europe. The use of outcome data routinely may facilitate reflective clinical practice, a model of decision-making which leads to a higher quality of clinical care than automated problem-solving. One issue relates to the use of standardised assessments designed for research purposes in clinical settings, and this is being addressed through the development of a new generation of outcome measures which are explicitly designed for clinical use. However, most clinicians remain unconvinced of the benefits of routine outcome assessment, and relevant research is currently underway across Europe which will address this concern. Scientific principles to maximise quality and pragmatic principles to maximise the chances of successful implementation are identified. CONCLUSIONS: The routine use of outcomes will become increasingly prominent in European mental health services. This provides clinicians with an opportunity to improve the quality of clinical care offered to patients.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

[Outcome factors in severe skull-brain trauma. A retrospective analysis of 228 (161) patients].

OBJECTIVE: To study outcome from severe head injury (SHI: GCS < or = 8) and to investigate impact of prehospital factors and clinical intensive care parameters on outcome. To compare with former study results (1980-88) of our clinical setting. METHODS: Retrospectively, the history of 228 patients with SHI treated between 1988 and 1995 was looked into. The outcome was measured with the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) post intensive care (median 9, min-max 2-77 days) and 6 months after trauma by a questionnaire. The GOS was related to age, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS on the scene), prehospital hypotension and hypoxia (HH), intracranial pressure (ICP), cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP), intensive therapy including Tromethamine and/or Thiopentone. The rate of infections was determined. RESULTS: Increasing age influences outcome negatively. Prehospital GCS and HH were significantly correlated with outcome. GOS of 30 patients with HH: GOS 1: 53%, GOS 2 + 3: 27%, GOS 4 + 5: 20%. GOS of 40 patients without HH: GOS 1: 25%, GOS 2 + 3: 10%, GOS 4 + 5: 65%. During intensive care the level of CPP (not ICP) as well as tromethamine and/or thiopentone treatment for control of elevated ICP were significantly correlated with outcome. Mortality rate in 32 patients with CPP < 50 mmHq was 69%, in 29 patients with CPP > 50 mmHg only 20%. Patients treated additionally with Tromethamine and Thiopentone because of uncontrollable intracranial hypertension showed a significantly worse outcome: GOS 1: 66%, GOS 2 + 3: 6%, GOS 4 + 5: 28%, compared to those who needed neither Tromethamine nor Thiopentone: GOS 1: 27%, GOS 2 + 3: 18%, GOS 4 + 5: 55%. Thiopentone treatment was not associated with an increased rate of pulmonary and other infections. In comparison to our former outcome study, covering the years 1980-88, we have not seen any improvements in outcome, despite modifications in intensive care protocols. CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital hypotension and hypoxia have a significant negative impact on outcome by causing secondary brain damage. Despite various modifications in intensive care therapy an unchanged portion of secondary brain damage will not prove treatable. Therefore, prevention or early aggressive treatment of hypotension and hypoxia is the most promising way of improving outcome after severe head injury at the moment.

Adolescent↗

Duration of untreated psychosis and treatment outcome in schizophrenia patients untreated for many years.

OBJECTIVE: The duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) influences treatment outcome in schizophrenia but its relevance in untreated patients, ill for a very long duration, is not known. This study examined outcome and factors related to it after one year of treatment of schizophrenia patients who were ill for many years and not previously treated. METHOD: Among 75 never-treated patients with schizophrenia detected in a community survey in Chennai, India, 49 took treatment and were followed up prospectively for one year. Evaluation at intake and outcome was carried out using standardized methods. RESULTS: A good clinical outcome in 29%, social outcome in 35%, occupational outcome in 51% and global outcome in 31% was observed at the end of one year. Patients with poor global outcome did not significantly differ from those with good outcome on demographic and clinical variables at intake but for the presence of delusions and formal thought disorder. The proportion with good outcome in clinical, work and global measures fell steadily with increasing DUP. This difference was significant for clinical and global outcomes after a DUP of 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between DUP and response to treatment held good even in chronic stages of schizophrenia with longer DUP associated with poorer outcome.

Adult↗

A Web-based geriatrics portfolio to document medical students' learning outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: The University of Michigan Medical School is integrating into its curriculum the attitudes, knowledge, and skills that pertain to the care of older individuals using a defined set of core learning outcomes encompassing all four years. Students will demonstrate proficiency in these outcomes as a graduation requirement. We have developed an individualized, interactive, Web-based geriatrics portfolio to track the acquisition and mastery of these outcomes for students. DESCRIPTION: The required learning outcomes in geriatrics are presented to first-year students in their geriatrics portfolio Web page. The outcomes have been adapted from the recommendations published by the American Geriatrics Society's Education Committee.(1) The portfolio cross-references learning outcomes to specific activities in the curriculum. The activities include content given in lectures, multidisciplinary case discussions, standardized patient instructor (SPI) experiences involving older patients, and specific types of patient encounters during the clinical years. The portfolio allows documentation of completion dates of specific activities and the evaluations the student received. Certain activities such as the SPI experiences will include hyperlinks to their descriptions and the information that should be reviewed prior to each activity. The portfolio is integrated with existing administrative databases. Data entry occurs through links (e.g., exam scores), uploading comment forms from the SPI, and direct student input. One novel example of student input is the ability to upload information concerning encounters with older patients that students are recording in personal data assistant templates such that this information maps directly to the appropriate learning outcomes in their portfolios. The portfolio is designed to encourage students to take responsibility for their geriatrics education. Several types of evaluation data are provided, some that are specific to an activity (e.g., SPI feedback) and others that provide global assessments of learning outcomes (e.g., attitude surveys). The Web page can be displayed by the list of outcomes (categorized by attitudes, knowledge, and skills), by medical school year, and by date of completion. In this way, students can see at a glance how they are performing and whether they are up-to-date with completing the required outcomes. DISCUSSION: The geriatrics portfolio serves to identify and highlight geriatrics-related content across the four years. Its interactive features make it much more dynamic than a written transcript. Requiring proficiency in learning outcomes related to geriatrics for graduation will clearly convey to students that this information is critically important in their training to become physicians. The individualized evaluation summaries will prove useful to the student because self-directed learning opportunities can be targeted to address weak areas. Evaluation of performances will also aid program directors to appropriately modify the curriculum to address any deficiencies. This innovative Web-based approach to capture learning outcomes that are dispersed throughout a four-year curriculum may also find application in similar curricula (e.g., women's health and end-of-life care).

Education, Medical, Undergraduate↗

A multicenter study analyzing the relationship of a standardized radiographic scoring system of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis and the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes instrument.

STUDY DESIGN: A multicenter study examining the association between radiographic and outcomes measures in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between an objective radiographic scoring system and patient quality of life measures as determined by the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes instrument. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Although surgical correction of scoliosis has been reported to be positively correlated with patient outcomes, studies to date have been unable to demonstrate an association between radiographic measures of deformity and outcomes measures in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. METHODS: A standardized radiographic deformity scoring system and the Scoliosis Research Society outcome tool were used prospectively in seven scoliosis centers to collect data on patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. A total of 354 data points for 265 patients consisting of those with nonoperative or preoperative curves >or=10 degrees, as well as those with surgically treated curves, were analyzed. Correlation analysis was performed to identify significant relationships between any of the radiographic measures, the Harms Study Group radiographic deformity scores (total, sagittal, coronal), and the seven Scoliosis Research Society outcome domains (Total Pain, General Self-Image, General Function, Activity, Postoperative Self-Image, Postoperative Function, and Satisfaction) as well as Scoliosis Research Society outcomes instrument total scores. Radiographic measures that were identified as significantly correlated with Scoliosis Research Society outcome scores were then entered into a stepwise regression analysis. RESULTS: The coronal measures of thoracic curve and lumbar curve magnitude were found to be significantly correlated with the Total Pain, General Self-Image, and total Scoliosis Research Society scores (P < 0.0001). The thoracic and upper thoracic curve magnitudes were also correlated with General Function (P < 0.002). The "coronal" subscore as well as the "total" score of the Harms Study Group radiographic scoring system were also significantly correlated with these Scoliosis Research Society domain and total scores. No radiographic measures taken after surgery were significantly correlated with the postoperative domains of the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes instrument. Stepwise regression analysis of these radiographic measures as predictors of Scoliosis Research Society scores resulted in adjusted R2 values of 0.03-0.07 (P < 0.0001). Although these results show that a significant association exists between the radiographic Cobb angle measure of the scoliosis and the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes scores, the low R2 values indicate that variables other than the radiographic appearance of the deformity (e.g., psychosocial, functional) must also be affecting these scores. CONCLUSION: The Cobb angle measure of the major deformity has a small, but statistically significant, correlation with the reported Total Pain, General Self-Image, and General Function as measured by the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes instrument. None of the radiographic measures in this population correlated with postoperative domain scores of the Scoliosis Research Society outcomes tool.

Adolescent↗

Two-year neurodevelopmental outcome in children conceived by intracytoplasmic sperm injection: prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Primary outcome was to compare neurodevelopmental outcome at two years in intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) conceived children versus matched controls. Secondary outcome was to determine incidence of major congenital malformations and study perinatal outcome. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary care perinatal centre over a period of 13 months. POPULATION: Seventy-six ICSI conceived children and 261 matched controls selected by matching for maternal age, sex, date of delivery, race, plurality and parity. METHODS: Mental Development Index (MDI) and Psychometric Development Index (PDI) of the Bayley's Scale of Development (BSID-II) and Vineland Adaptive Behaviour Scale (VABS) were used to assess the neurodevelopmental and functional outcome. The congenital malformations were classified according to ICD-9 code. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome measure--neurodevelopmental and functional outcomes. Secondary outcome measure--congenital malformations and perinatal outcomes. RESULTS: Neurodevelopmental and functional outcome were comparable in both groups. The mean MDI score was 92 [16] versus 90 [14] in the study and control groups respectively. Fourteen (18.4%) in the ICSI group had MDI <85 compared with 87 (33%) controls (P= 0.002). On linear regression the MDI was independently affected by plurality (P= 0.001), maternal education and socio-economic status (P= 0.01). The study group had a lower gestation (36 [3] vs 37.1 [2] weeks; P= 0.005) and a higher incidence of prematurity <34 weeks [19 (25%)] vs [31 (12%)] P= 0.012]. Six (7.9%) of the ICSI babies and seven (2.7%) of the controls had a major congenital malformation (P= 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Children born by ICSI pregnancies did not have an adverse neurodevelopmental outcome. The incidence of major congenital malformations in ICSI needs further evaluation.

Child, Preschool↗

A typology of the potential outcomes of maternal-child home visits: a literature analysis.

Home visiting the maternal-child population has been a major focus of public health nursing. The focus of a large portion of empirical studies of maternal-child home visiting has been on the demonstration of outcomes. Despite a general consensus about its benefits, public health nursing has experienced difficulty conclusively demonstrating the effectiveness of maternal-child home visitation. A systematization of potential client outcomes across studies has not been conceptualized. With the aim of tracing overall trends in past attempts to identify, measure, and validate the potential outcomes of maternal-child home visits, an overview and analysis of these studies is presented chronologically. How specific outcomes were identified and measured are analyzed, and support and nonsupport for potential outcomes are summarized. A tentative typology of maternal-child home visitation client outcomes is proposed. Four types of outcomes reflecting an ecological conceptualization of the client, emerged from this analysis. Maternal-child home visiting outcomes were concerned with the mother (maternal outcomes), the child (child outcomes), the relationship and interaction between the mother and child (maternal-child interaction outcomes), and the relationship of the family with the extended family, neighborhood, and community (environmental outcomes).

Home Care Services↗

Long-term effect of intravenous thrombolytic therapy in acute stroke: responder analysis versus uniform analysis of excellent outcome.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge regarding functional improvement over time and long-term outcome after intravenous thrombolysis in acute ischaemic stroke is limited. The aim of this study was to compare a uniform assessment of outcome with an assessment taking the baseline stroke severity into account (responder analysis). METHODS: Fifty-seven patients were assessed with the modified Rankin Scale at 3, 6 and 12 months and a comparison was made between a uniform assessment and a responder analysis of excellent outcome. RESULTS: Between 3 and 12 months, 74% of the patients had a stable functional outcome and 22% improved. Excellent outcome at 12 months was similar in the uniform analysis (37%) and the responder analysis (35%). The individual patients having an excellent outcome differed, however, using the two methods. Using a responder analysis the number of patients with excellent outcome decreased in mild stroke patients by 40%, but increased in severe stroke patients by 43%. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term outcome is sustained at 12 months, but major improvement does not occur between 3 and 12 months. A responder analysis of long-term excellent outcome provided a balanced measure of outcome reflecting the drug-related potential of improvement in all stroke severity subgroups, whereas a uniform analysis provided a measure of outcome mainly in mild stroke patients. These results suggest that a responder analysis should be considered for the assessment of outcome after treatment for acute stroke.

Adolescent↗

D-dimer as an independent predictor for poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: After aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), elevated D-dimer levels have been associated with poor clinical condition and outcome. We tested prospectively whether D-dimer values affect outcome after SAH independently of severity of bleeding. METHODS: Previous diseases, and clinical as well as radiological variables, were recorded for 136 patients with SAH admitted within 48 hours after bleeding. Plasma D-dimer was measured in the morning after aneurysm occlusion and at discharge 10 to 12 days after SAH. Factors predicting poor outcome according to the Glasgow Outcome Scale at 3 months after SAH and appearance of cerebral infarction were tested with multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: Patients with poor outcome had higher D-dimer values than did those with favorable outcome: after surgery, a median 1250 (25th and 75th percentiles 675 and 2900) microg/L versus 720 (350 and 1119) microg/L (P=0.001); and at discharge, 1150 (624 and 2875) microg/L versus 360 (330 and 600) microg/L (P<0.001), respectively. In repeated-measures ANOVA, D-dimer decreased more rapidly (P=0.022) in those with favorable outcome. After simultaneous adjustment for several factors affecting outcome, plasma D-dimer after surgery remained a significant predictor for poor outcome (odds ratio, 1.63 per mg/L; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.60; P=0.038) but neither for delayed ischemia nor, on follow-up computed tomography in survivors, for cerebral infarction. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated plasma D-dimer after admission independently predicts poor outcome, suggesting that prolonged excess thrombin generation may impair outcome. Repeated high plasma D-dimer values can be useful in discovering patients at increased risk for poor outcome.

Adult↗

Principles for assessment of patient outcomes in mental health care.

With the dramatic changes that are occurring in mental health and substance abuse treatment systems, it is imperative that the field keep its focus on the patient and the patient's outcomes of care. Outcomes management systems that measure the processes of care, the patient's characteristics, and the patient's outcomes of care can be helpful in maintaining this focus. To facilitate the development of these systems, the Outcomes Roundtable, a group of mental health consumer, professional, service, and policy-making organizations, has articulated a set of 12 broadly applicable principles of outcomes assessment. The principles call for outcomes assessments that are appropriate to the question being answered, that use tools with demonstrated validity and reliability and sensitivity to clinically important changes over time, and that always include the consumer perspective. In addition, the principles recommend outcomes assessments that create minimal burden for respondents and are adaptable to different health care systems, that include general health status as well as mental health status, and that include consumers' evaluation of treatment and outcomes. Outcomes assessment tools should quantify the type and extent of treatment, should include generic and disorder-specific information, and should measure areas of personal functioning affected by the disorder. Outcomes should be reassessed at clinically meaningful points in time. Outcomes assessment should use appropriate scientific design and representative samples and should examine outcomes of consumers who prematurely leave treatment as well as those who continue in treatment.

Humans↗

Automatically identifying health outcome information in MEDLINE records.

OBJECTIVE: Understanding the effect of a given intervention on the patient's health outcome is one of the key elements in providing optimal patient care. This study presents a methodology for automatic identification of outcomes-related information in medical text and evaluates its potential in satisfying clinical information needs related to health care outcomes. DESIGN: An annotation scheme based on an evidence-based medicine model for critical appraisal of evidence was developed and used to annotate 633 MEDLINE citations. Textual, structural, and meta-information features essential to outcome identification were learned from the created collection and used to develop an automatic system. Accuracy of automatic outcome identification was assessed in an intrinsic evaluation and in an extrinsic evaluation, in which ranking of MEDLINE search results obtained using PubMed Clinical Queries relied on identified outcome statements. MEASUREMENTS: The accuracy and positive predictive value of outcome identification were calculated. Effectiveness of the outcome-based ranking was measured using mean average precision and precision at rank 10. RESULTS: Automatic outcome identification achieved 88% to 93% accuracy. The positive predictive value of individual sentences identified as outcomes ranged from 30% to 37%. Outcome-based ranking improved retrieval accuracy, tripling mean average precision and achieving 389% improvement in precision at rank 10. CONCLUSION: Preliminary results in outcome-based document ranking show potential validity of the evidence-based medicine-model approach in timely delivery of information critical to clinical decision support at the point of service.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Missile-caused ulnar nerve injuries: outcomes of 128 repairs.

OBJECTIVE: This prospective study presents repair results after missile-caused ulnar nerve ruptures as well as factors influencing the outcomes. METHODS: Between 1991 and 1994, 128 casualties with missile-caused complete ulnar nerve injury were managed surgically in the Neurosurgical Department of the Belgrade Military Medical Academy. At least 4 years after surgery, we scored sensorimotor recovery, neurophysiological recovery, and patient judgment of the outcome. On the basis of the total score, we defined the final outcome as poor, insufficient, good, or excellent. The last two outcomes were considered to be successful. RESULTS: A successful outcome was obtained in 0% of high-level, 33.8% of intermediate-level, and 77.3% of low-level repairs (P < 0.001). On average, the nerve defect, preoperative interval, and patient age were lower for patients with a successful outcome than for those with an unsuccessful outcome (P = 0.004, P = 0.032, and P = 0.003, respectively). Worsening of the outcome was related to nerve defect longer than 4.5 cm, preoperative interval longer than 5.5 months, and age older than 23 years (P = 0.002, P = 0.034, and P = 0.023, respectively). A successful outcome occurred in 48.8% of patients repaired with direct suture and in 41.2% of patients repaired with a nerve graft (P > 0.05). A successful outcome also occurred 22.2% of combined ulnar-median nerve repairs and in 49.5% of isolated ulnar nerve repairs (P = 0.011). Repair level (P < 0.001), preoperative interval (P = 0.001), length of the nerve defect (P < 0.001), and associated median nerve rupture (P = 0.028) were independent predictors of a successful outcome. CONCLUSION: The outcome of ulnar nerve repair depends significantly on the repair level, preoperative interval, associated median nerve injury, length of the nerve defect, and age of the patient. High-level ulnar nerve repair is probably useless if performed in the classic manner.

Adolescent↗

The effectiveness of Web-based vs. non-Web-based interventions: a meta-analysis of behavioral change outcomes.

BACKGROUND: A primary focus of self-care interventions for chronic illness is the encouragement of an individual's behavior change necessitating knowledge sharing, education, and understanding of the condition. The use of the Internet to deliver Web-based interventions to patients is increasing rapidly. In a 7-year period (1996 to 2003), there was a 12-fold increase in MEDLINE citations for "Web-based therapies." The use and effectiveness of Web-based interventions to encourage an individual's change in behavior compared to non-Web-based interventions have not been substantially reviewed. OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis was undertaken to provide further information on patient/client knowledge and behavioral change outcomes after Web-based interventions as compared to outcomes seen after implementation of non-Web-based interventions. METHODS: The MEDLINE, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, ERIC, and PSYCHInfo databases were searched for relevant citations between the years 1996 and 2003. Identified articles were retrieved, reviewed, and assessed according to established criteria for quality and inclusion/exclusion in the study. Twenty-two articles were deemed appropriate for the study and selected for analysis. Effect sizes were calculated to ascertain a standardized difference between the intervention (Web-based) and control (non-Web-based) groups by applying the appropriate meta-analytic technique. Homogeneity analysis, forest plot review, and sensitivity analyses were performed to ascertain the comparability of the studies. RESULTS: Aggregation of participant data revealed a total of 11,754 participants (5,841 women and 5,729 men). The average age of participants was 41.5 years. In those studies reporting attrition rates, the average drop out rate was 21% for both the intervention and control groups. For the five Web-based studies that reported usage statistics, time spent/session/person ranged from 4.5 to 45 minutes. Session logons/person/week ranged from 2.6 logons/person over 32 weeks to 1008 logons/person over 36 weeks. The intervention designs included one-time Web-participant health outcome studies compared to non-Web participant health outcomes, self-paced interventions, and longitudinal, repeated measure intervention studies. Longitudinal studies ranged from 3 weeks to 78 weeks in duration. The effect sizes for the studied outcomes ranged from -.01 to .75. Broad variability in the focus of the studied outcomes precluded the calculation of an overall effect size for the compared outcome variables in the Web-based compared to the non-Web-based interventions. Homogeneity statistic estimation also revealed widely differing study parameters (Q(w16) = 49.993, P < or = .001). There was no significant difference between study length and effect size. Sixteen of the 17 studied effect outcomes revealed improved knowledge and/or improved behavioral outcomes for participants using the Web-based interventions. Five studies provided group information to compare the validity of Web-based vs. non-Web-based instruments using one-time cross-sectional studies. These studies revealed effect sizes ranging from -.25 to +.29. Homogeneity statistic estimation again revealed widely differing study parameters (Q(w4) = 18.238, P < or = .001). CONCLUSIONS: The effect size comparisons in the use of Web-based interventions compared to non-Web-based interventions showed an improvement in outcomes for individuals using Web-based interventions to achieve the specified knowledge and/or behavior change for the studied outcome variables. These outcomes included increased exercise time, increased knowledge of nutritional status, increased knowledge of asthma treatment, increased participation in healthcare, slower health decline, improved body shape perception, and 18-month weight loss maintenance.

Adult↗

Prediction of outcome after ankle fracture.

STUDY DESIGN: Prospective inception cohort study of 62 consecutive patients seen in 2 orthopaedic clinics following ankle fracture. OBJECTIVES: To investigate 4 putative predictors (age, fracture classification, acute management [surgical or nonsurgical], and ankle dorsiflexion range of motion measured at the time of cast removal) of outcome after ankle fracture and to develop simple predictive models of outcome after ankle fracture. BACKGROUND: Ankle fracture is a common condition. However, few studies have investigated factors that predict outcome after ankle fracture. METHODS AND MEASURES: Sixty-two consecutive subjects aged 17 or older with ankle fractures were recruited from 2 hospital orthopaedic clinics. Outcome measures recorded at 6 weeks and 6 months after cast removal included 2 functional questionnaires, patients' ratings of global improvement, and a measure of ankle dorsiflexion. The predictive value of 4 variables selected a priori was analyzed using bivariate and stepwise multiple linear regression. RESULTS: Ankle dorsiflexion and fracture classification predicted outcome 6 weeks and 6 months after cast removal for all outcome measures used (P < .05, r2 = 0.09-0.47). Fracture management (surgical or nonsurgical) inconsistently predicted outcome at both 6 weeks and 6 months, and age did not predict outcome at either 6 weeks or 6 months after cast removal. The predictive models explain between 19% and 58% of the variance in outcomes 6 weeks after cast removal and 19% to 52% of the variance in outcomes 6 months after cast removal. CONCLUSION: Ankle dorsiflexion measured at the time of cast removal and fracture classification are clinically significant predictors of outcome after ankle fracture; however, much unexplained variation in outcomes still exists.

Adolescent↗

Prevalence and predictors of parenting outcomes in a cohort of mothers with schizophrenia admitted for joint mother and baby psychiatric care in England.

OBJECTIVES: Most women with schizophrenia have children. Schizophrenia has been identified as an independent predictor of poor parenting outcome following joint mother and baby psychiatric admission. We aimed to describe the characteristics of these women postnatally and to estimate the prevalence of, and identify independent predictors of, parenting outcomes. METHOD: Clinical and psychosocial data from consecutive joint psychiatric admissions of mothers and infants between September 1996 and September 2002 were collected. Diagnoses were based on ICD-10 criteria (N = 239 schizophrenia; N = 693 affective disorders). The prevalence of each parenting outcome at discharge, assessed according to social services intervention and staff-rated measures of parenting ability, was estimated. Factors associated with poor parenting outcomes and independent predictors were identified using "modified" Poisson regression, and prevalence of these parenting outcomes was estimated in subgroups of mothers stratified by combinations of protective/risk factors. RESULTS: Mothers with schizophrenia were characterized as having more complex clinical and psychosocial problems and were considerably more likely to experience all types of poor parenting outcomes, compared to mothers with affective disorders. Mothers with schizophrenia reporting supportive marital and other relationships, those whose partners were well, and those of higher social class showed the best parenting outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Mothers with schizophrenia who experience better parenting outcomes may be protected by certain factors. Successful parenting is related, partly, to stability within the family and access to financial and social resources. The nature of the relationship between identified predictors and parenting outcomes in this group is unclear but may suggest that parenting outcome varies with clinical outcome in schizophrenia. Future research and service development should focus on potential protective factors that may encourage successful parenting outcomes in this vulnerable group.

Adult↗

Monitoring visual outcome of cataract surgery in India.

Two simple methods of assessing visual outcome following cataract surgery were evaluated in India. The first used data obtained from standardized patient records of cataract surgery. The second used data from population-based rapid epidemiological assessments. Analysis of 4168 hospital and eye camp records showed that, with the available standard correction, a good outcome (visual acuity > or = 6/18) was achieved in 37.8%, a borderline outcome (visual acuity 6/246-6/60) in 45.6% and a poor outcome (visual acuity 6/60) in 16.6% of instances. Of 2401 aphakic/pseudophakic eyes examined in a cross-sectional population-based study, outcome was good in 43.5% and poor in 26.4%. For 776 eyes examined in a similar study in a different state, outcome was good in 49.9% and poor in 23.9%. These assessments indicate that outcome with available correction was poor in 15-25% of eyes following cataract surgery. Visual outcome is likely to improve when better correction for aphakia can be provided. Further assessment of the causes of poor visual outcome is needed. The visual outcome following cataract surgery could be monitored on a regular basis by ophthalmologists, using either of the methods evaluated, an exercise which in itself is likely to improve the outcome of surgery. When the proportion of poor outcomes is high (> 10%) further investigation into the causes is warranted.

Cataract Extraction↗

Temporal stability of the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) in patients undergoing lumbar fusion: a poor predictor of surgical outcome.

In this prospective study, the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) was administered to patients before and after lumbar spines fusion to investigate the stability of MMPI scores after surgical intervention and to attempt to correlate MMPI scale scores with outcome data. Sixty-eight patients were included. Testing was performed before surgery and at a mean of 1.5 years after surgery. Clinical outcome ratings were assigned by using criteria of pain relief and analgesic use. In addition, demographic variables known to affect outcome were analyzed. Sixty percent of the patients had a successful clinical outcome. Positive outcome correlated with the demographic factors of occupation (homemaker) and solid fusion. MMPI scales were stable across time, with no difference between groups. Independent t tests were used to study preoperative MMPI scores with respect to clinical outcome. Unsatisfactory outcomes were associated with higher scores on scales 1, 3, and 10 before surgery. Postoperative testing revealed significant outcome correlations--higher scores on scales 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, and 8 associated with an unsatisfactory outcome. However, discriminant function analysis of preoperative MMPI data was able to classify outcomes correctly in only 58.8% of the cases. The utility of the MMPI as a predictor of outcome after surgical intervention is quite limited. Use of group data and testing before and after surgery does not appear to influence this conclusion. Although the scores as a group were stable across time, the amount of variance in outcome that could not be accounted for by using MMPI scales as predictors was unacceptably large.

Adult↗

[Volume and health outcomes: an overview of systematic reviews].

BACKGROUND: Improving quality and effectiveness of health care is one of the priorities of health policies. Hospital or physician volume of activity may be a measurable variable with a relevant impact on effectiveness of health care. There are several studies and systematic reviews evaluating the association between volume and outcome of health care. The aim of this review is to identify: areas, clinical conditions or interventions (prevention, diagnostic, therapeutic, surgical or clinical) for which an association between volume and outcome has been investigated; those for which an association between volume and outcome has been proved METHODS: Overview of systematic reviews and Health Technology Assessment reports; search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, Web sites of Health Technology Assessment, other HTA Agencies, National guideline Clearinghouse, National Health Care quality tools (1995-february 2005). For each studied area results are described separately for each review due to the heterogeneity of outcomes, volume thresholds and results reported. No metanalysis has been conducted. Completeness of reporting of the systematic reviews has been evaluated using the QUOROM statement. For each review we evaluated the number of studies included and the proportion of studies with statistically significant results (p < 0,05). As far as in-hospital mortality is concerned, the different areas have been classified in the following groups: Strong evidence ofpositive association: areas with > or =10 studies included in the reviews, and high prevalence (> or =50%) of positive studies (p <0. 05) in the majority of reviews. Weak evidence of association: areas with 5 to 9 studies included in the reviews and high prevalence (> or =50%) of positive studies (p <0.05) in the majority of reviews. Weak evidence of lack of association: areas with 5 to 9 studies included in the reviews and high prevalence (>50%) of not statistically significant studies (p >0.05) in the majority of reviews. No suficient evidence of association: areas with less than 5 studies included in the reviews. No evidence of association: areas with > or =10 studies included in the reviews, and high prevalence (>50%) of not statistically significant studies (p >0.05) in the majority of reviews. The same literature search was then applied to identify primary studies published in each considered area following the most recent systematic review published. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: We identified 21 systematic reviews and included 11 of them analysing 46 different areas. The majority of studies evaluate the effect of specific surgical procedures; the main outcomes considered are hospital mortality and 5 year survival for cancers. Considering in-hospital mortalilty as outcome, in 11 areas there is strong evidence ofassociation between volume of activity and outcome: abdominalaortic aneurysm (unruptured), percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty knee arthroplasty coronary artery bypass, surgery for oesophageal and pancreatic cancer, surgery for prostate cancer, colecistectomy, carotid endarterectomy, myocardial infarction, neonatal intensive care. It is never possible however to identify a unique volume threshold. For some of these areas, particularly coronary angioplasty and coronary artery bypass, there are many new studies published following the last systematic review; some specific aspects are being investigated such as the role of temporal changes in the association, the effect of different risk adjustment procedures and the separate role of physician or hospital volume. In some cases, for example knee arthroplasty in-hospital mortality could be an inadequate outcome on which judging the strength of association, in fact, the few studies evaluating other outcomes such as complications provide inconsistent results. For a range of areas the evidence of association is weak: AIDS, appendicectomy, cardiac catheterization, surgery for breast, lung, stomach cancer, hernia repair, hip fracture, hysterectomy and injuries. As far as AIDS is concerned, the few number of studies found is probably due to the lack of studies published after the introduction of effective therapies. All the included studies show an evidence of association between volume and in-hospital mortality. In no case we found weak evidence of lack of association while we identified three conditions for which the number of studies included in the reviews together with the prevalence of non significant studies do suggest lack of association; these are abdominal aortic aneurysm (ruptured), hip arthroplasty and surgery for colorectal cancer. In the case of hip arthroplasty as well, inhospital mortality could be an inadequate outcome, but only one old study found a positive association with risk of complications. Eventually there is a group of areas (n=22) for which there is not enough evidence to draw conclusions about the association between volume and outcome due to a small number of studies. In some cases, such as transplants, this could be due to the low rate of events; in this case all the few published studies show positive results. There are some limitations which should be taken into account in the interpretation of these results: despite the overall good completeness of reporting of the included reviews, the majority of studies included in the reviews themselves are cross-sectional studies representing a very weak study design to evaluate causality of the investigated association. Moreover the methodology of risk adjustment applied is heterogenous among studies and it is difficult to know the extent to which this can affect the observed results. It is eventually necessary to consider the possible occurrence of publication bias which could lead to an overestimation of the positive effect of volume on health care outcomes attributable to the lack of publication of negative studies. CONCLUSIONS: In some areas the evidence seems strong enough to guide health care organizational choices, although it is not possible to identify well defined volume thresholds. In other areas, particularly for non surgical conditions, where there is not enough evidence, it seems necessary to conduct proper epidemiological studies. Also the evaluation of effectiveness of using volume as an instrument of health policy requires further research. Taking into account the rapid and continuing process of technology development, the definition of standard and prerequisite volumes of care should be specific of each temporal period and health care system. It is therefore a dynamic process requiring a continuous review of the available evidence. In the area of evidence based public health, the limited available evidence should not impair the choice of actions based on limited evidence, but rather it should lead to the application of thefew available evidence on one side and to the planning of proper research in the areas of lack of evidence.

Evidence-Based Medicine↗