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PubMed1999

The EEG and prognosis in status epilepticus.

PURPOSE: To examine the relation between specific EEG features and clinical outcome, determine whether a predictable sequence of EEG patterns exists during status epilepticus (SE), and examine the relation between periodic epileptiform discharges (PEDs) and SE. METHODS: EEG records of 50 patients with SE admitted to Graduate Hospital between January 1990 and July 1995 were reviewed. Ictal EEGs were available in 72%; 28% had only postictal EEGs. Poor outcome was defined as death or persistent vegetative state, and good outcome as all others. Fisher's Exact test, chi2, and t tests were performed for data analysis. RESULTS: Of 50 patients, 72% had a good outcome and 28%, a poor outcome. If PEDs were present at any time during or after SE, outcome tended to be worse (p = 0.053). With PEDs, eight (44%) of 18 had a poor outcome; without PEDs, six (19%) of 32 had a poor outcome. Etiologies for SE did not substantially differ in patients with or without PEDs, and structural abnormalities were not more associated with the presence of PEDs. PEDs were seen both early and late, during and after SE. Other EEG characteristics (lateralized vs. bilateral symmetric ictal EEG, discrete vs. continuous ictal activity, and postictal focal slowing) did not relate to outcome. No predictable sequence of EEG changes was found during SE. CONCLUSIONS: PEDs are the only EEG feature related to outcome in SE and are associated with poor outcome independent of etiology.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

Infections and functional impairment in nursing home residents: a reciprocal relationship.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between infections and functional impairment in nursing home residents. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study (follow-up period, 6 months). SETTING: Thirty-nine nursing homes in western Switzerland. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1,324 residents aged 65 and older (mean age 85.7; 76.6% female) who agreed to participate, or their proxies, by oral informed consent. MEASUREMENTS: Functional status measured every 3 months. Two different outcomes were used: (a) functional decline defined as death or decreased function at follow-up and (b) functional status score using a standardized measure. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, mortality was 14.6%, not different for those with and without infection (16.2% vs 13.1%, P=.11). During both 3-month periods, subjects with infection had higher odds of functional decline, even after adjustment for baseline characteristics and occurrence of a new illness (adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.2-2.2, P=.002, and AOR=1.5, 95% CI=1.1-2.0, P=.008, respectively). The odds of decline increased in a stepwise fashion in patients with zero, one, and two or more infections. The analyses predicting functional status score (restricted to subjects who survived) gave similar results. A survival analysis predicting time to first infection confirmed a stepwise greater likelihood of infection in subjects with moderate and severe impairment at baseline than in subjects with no or mild functional impairment at baseline. CONCLUSION: Infections appear to be both a cause and a consequence of functional impairment in nursing home residents. Further studies should be undertaken to investigate whether effective infection control programs can also contribute to preventing functional decline, an important component of these residents' quality of life.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Arytenoidectomy for advanced unilateral chondropathy with accompanying lesions.

A noncurrent prospective study of nonworking horses with arytenoid chondropathy was conducted to confirm a clinical impression that horses with unilateral chondropathy and accompanying lesions had a poorer prognosis after arytenoidectomy than horses with bilateral or uncomplicated unilateral chondropathy. Surgical failure was defined as death, euthanasia, permanent tracheostomy, or reoperation. Survival to surgical failure and clinical improvement data were compared between horses with and without accompanying lesions treated by arytenoidectomy. The probability of surgical failure was significantly higher and times to surgical failure were significantly shorter for horses with unilateral chondropathy and accompanying lesions than for horses with bilateral or uncomplicated unilateral chondropathy. Clinical improvement at the median follow-up time of 6 months was significantly less likely in horses with than without accompanying lesions. Horses with endoscopic evidence of inflammation and paralyzed opposite cartilage were significantly less likely to improve clinically than horses with pharyngeal cicatrix.

Animals↗

PubMed1994

Structural determinants of developmental toxicity.

Developmental toxicity, an area of public concern, suffers from the lack of accessible, reliable, peer-reviewed compilations of data and substantial gaps in testing. These deficits frequently make it necessary for regulatory agencies to use other toxicological end points to regulate developmental toxicants. We have utilized a database of chemicals identified as developmental toxicants in rats, mice, rabbits, and humans and an expert system which learns the association between molecular structure and biological response (Computer Automated Structure Evaluation; CASE) to explore structure-activity relationships in developmental toxicity. Developmental toxicity was defined as death, growth retardation, or structural or functional malformations. In analyzing the data CASE selects its own molecular descriptors from a learning set of active and inactive molecules. Using randomly constructed learner and tester sets, the concordance of the predictions with the actual data was between 77 and 82%. CASE identified 13 major structural fragments associated with developmental toxicity in mice, 15 in rats, 9 in rabbits, and 7 in humans. These analyses indicate that there is indeed a structural basis for developmental toxicity which may be used to predict the developmental hazard of untested or inadequately tested chemicals.

Animals↗

PubMed1998

Early indicators of prognosis in upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: Endoscopy allows accurate risk stratification of patients presenting with gastrointestinal bleeding; frequently, however, it is not immediately available. Initial management and triage of patients thus depends on nonendoscopic information. We sought to risk stratify patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding using variables available on initial presentation (ie., before endoscopy). METHODS: A retrospective observational study was performed using data from 335 admissions with an initial diagnosis of upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage. All patients underwent endoscopy and were evaluated for an adverse outcome during their hospitalization. An adverse outcome was defined as death, the need for any operation, recurrent hematemesis, recurrent melena after initial clearing, or a hematocrit falling despite transfusion. RESULTS: Univariate analysis identified 17 distinct variables associated (p < 0.05) with an adverse outcome. A stepwise logistic regression identified five variables as independent predictors (p < 0.05) of an adverse outcome: an initial hematocrit <30%, initial systolic blood pressure < 100 mm Hg, red blood in the nasogastric lavage, history of cirrhosis or ascites on exam, and a history of vomiting red blood. We derived a decision rule based on patients having 0-5 of these independent predictors. This decision rule allowed identification of a large patient population with a <10% chance of an adverse outcome. CONCLUSION: Risk stratification is possible from information available at the time of initial presentation. If confirmed in other populations, these predictors can be used to identify patients who require a less intensive level of care.

Female↗

PubMed2006

Evaluation of amphotericin B interpretive breakpoints for Candida bloodstream isolates by correlation with therapeutic outcome.

One hundred seven Candida bloodstream isolates (51 C. albicans, 24 C. glabrata, 13 C. parapsilosis, 13 C. tropicalis, 2 C. dubliniensis, 2 C. krusei, and 2 C. lusitaniae strains) from patients treated with amphotericin B alone underwent in vitro susceptibility testing against amphotericin B using five different methods. Fifty-four isolates were from patients who failed treatment, defined as death 7 to 14 days after the incident candidemia episode, having persistent fever of >or=5 days' duration after the date of the incident candidemia, or the recurrence of fever after two consecutive afebrile days while on antifungal treatment. MICs were determined by using the Clinical Laboratory Standards Institute (formally National Committee for Clinical Laboratory Standards) broth microdilution procedure with two media and by using Etest. Minimum fungicidal concentrations (MFCs) were also measured in two media. Broth microdilution tests with RPMI 1640 medium generated a restricted range of MICs (0.125 to 1 microg/ml); the corresponding MFC values ranged from 0.5 to 4 microg/ml. Broth microdilution tests with antibiotic medium 3 produced a broader distribution of MIC and MFC results (0.015 to 0.25 microg/ml and 0.06 to 2 microg/ml, respectively). Etest produced the widest distribution of MICs (0.094 to 2 microg/ml). However, none of the test formats studied generated results that significantly correlated with therapeutic success or failure.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1990

Model for inactivation and disposal of infectious human immunodeficiency virus and radioactive waste in a BL3 facility.

A method is described for autoclaving low levels of solid infectious, radioactive waste. The method permits steam penetration to inactivate biologic waste, while any volatile radioactive compounds generated during the autoclave process are absorbed. Inactivation of radiolabeled infectious waste has been problematic because the usual sterilization techniques result in unacceptable radiation handling practices. If autoclaved under the usual conditions, there exists a high probability of volatilization or release of radioisotopes from the waste. This results in the radioactive contamination of the autoclave and the laboratory area where steam is released from the autoclave. Our results provide a practical method to inactivate and dispose of infectious radioactive waste. For our research, Bacillus pumilus spore strips and vaccinia virus were used as more heat-resistant surrogates of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). These surrogates were used because HIV is difficult to grow under most conditions and is less heat tolerant than the surrogates. In addition, B. pumilus has defined cell death values, whereas such values have not been established for HIV. Both B. pumilus and vaccinia virus are less hazardous to work with. The autoclave method is time efficient and can be performed by laboratory personnel with minimal handling of the waste. Furthermore, waste site handlers are able to visually inspect the solid waste containers and ascertain that inactivation procedures have been implemented.

Disinfection↗

PubMed1961

Susceptibility of suckling mice to variola virus.

Marshall, Ronald G. (Army Chemical Corps, Fredrick, Md.), and Peter J. Gerone. Susceptibility of suckling mice to variola virus. J. Bacteriol. 82:15-19. 1961.-The susceptibility of suckling mice inoculated intraperitoneally or intracerebrally with variola virus was investigated. Data are presented that define the death patterns, the relationship of incubation period to dose of virus inoculated, the multiplication of virus in suckling mice, and the influence of the age of suckling mice on their susceptibility to this virus. Additionally the results indicate that a variola virus neutralization test is feasible using the young suckling mouse as an indicator host.

Animals↗

PubMed2005

Prevalence, causes, and outcome at 2 years of age of newborn encephalopathy: population based study.

OBJECTIVES: To ascertain the prevalence of newborn encephalopathy in term live births, and also the underlying diagnoses, timing, and outcome at 2 years of surviving infants. DESIGN: Population based observational study. SETTING: North Pas-de-Calais area of France, January to December 2000. PATIENTS: All 90 neonates with moderate or severe newborn encephalopathy. RESULTS: The prevalence of moderate or severe newborn encephalopathy was 1.64 per 1000 term live births (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30 to 1.98). The prevalence of birth asphyxia was 0.86 per 1000 term live births (95% CI 0.61 to 1.10). The main cause of newborn encephalopathy was birth asphyxia, diagnosed in 47 (52%) infants. It was associated with another diagnosis in 11/47 cases (23%). The timing was intrapartum in 56% of cases, antepartum in 13%, ante-intrapartum in 10%, and postpartum in 2%. In 19% of cases, no underlying cause was identified during the neonatal course. Twenty four infants died in the neonatal period, giving a fatality rate of 27% (95% CI 17% to 36%). Three infants died after the neonatal period. At 2 years of age, 38 infants had a poor outcome, defined by death or severe disability, a prevalence of 0.69 per 1000 term live births (95% CI 0.47 to 0.91). In infants with isolated birth asphyxia, this prevalence was 0.36 per 1000 term live births (95% CI 0.20 to 0.52). CONCLUSIONS: The causes of newborn encephalopathy were heterogeneous but the main one was birth asphyxia. The prevalence was low, but the outcome was poor, emphasising the need for prevention programmes and new therapeutic approaches.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2005

Do hyperoxaemia and hypocapnia add to the risk of brain injury after intrapartum asphyxia?

BACKGROUND: Episodes of hyperoxaemia and hypocapnia, which may contribute to brain injury, occur unintentionally in severely asphyxiated neonates in the first postnatal hours. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hyperoxaemia and/or hypocapnia during the first 2 hours of life add to the risk of brain injury after intrapartum asphyxia. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study in term infants with post-asphyxial hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) born between 1985 and 1995. Severe and moderate hyperoxaemia were defined as Pao(2) >26.6 and Pao(2) >13.3 kPa (200 and 100 mm Hg). Severe and moderate hypocapnia were defined as Paco(2) <2.6 and Paco(2) <3.3 kPa (20 and 25 mm Hg). Adverse outcome ascertained by age 24 months was defined as death, severe cerebral palsy, or any cerebral palsy with blindness, deafness, or developmental delay. With outcome as the dependent variable, multivariate analyses were performed including hyperoxaemic and hypocapnic variables, and factors adjusted for initial disease severity. RESULTS: Of 244 infants, 218 had known outcomes, 127 of which were adverse (64 deaths, 63 neurodevelopmental deficits). Multivariate analyses showed an association between adverse outcome and episodes of severe hyperoxaemia (odds ratio (OR) 3.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.67 to 8.88, p = 0.002), and severe hypocapnia (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.02 to 5.37, p = 0.044). The risk of adverse outcome was highest in infants who had both severe hyperoxaemia and severe hypocapnia (OR 4.56, 95% CI 1.4 to 14.9, p = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: Severe hyperoxaemia and severe hypocapnia were associated with adverse outcome in infants with post-asphyxial HIE. During the first hours of life, oxygen supplementation and ventilation should be rigorously controlled.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed1990

Peak inspiratory pressure requirements in infants born weighing less than 750 g.

The possibility that peak inspiratory pressure requirements or the arterial:alveolar oxygen ratio can predict the clinical outcome in infants weighing less than 750 g at birth was explored in a consecutive series. Nine of 10 infants (90%) with a peak inspiratory pressure requirement of more than 18 cm H2O at 48 hours or more than 16 cm H2O at 72 hours from age subsequently died later of respiratory causes (defined as death after 72 hours of pulmonary interstitial emphysema, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, or cor pulmonale). Twenty of 21 remaining infants (95%) survived until discharge. Using these data a 95th centile for peak inspiratory pressure requirement during the first 72 hours of life was constructed. The potential value of this centile in predicting later death of respiratory causes was examined in a separate series. Twelve of 15 infants (80%) whose peak inspiratory pressure requirements remained below the 95th centile, or were not ventilated (n = 6), survived. In contrast, 11 of 12 (92%) infants whose requirements crossed the 95th centile died later of respiratory causes. The infants who died had more radiological changes and higher mean arterial carbon dioxide pressure than survivors suggesting that the severity of the initial lung disease rather than the way that ventilation was managed determined prognosis. Peak inspiratory pressure requirement was more useful than arterial:alveolar oxygen ratio in clearly distinguishing between survivors and infants who died later of respiratory causes.

Birth Weight↗

PubMed2002

Posthaemorrhagic ventricular dilatation in the premature infant: natural history and predictors of outcome.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the natural history and predictors of outcome of posthaemorrhagic ventriculomegaly in the very low birthweight (VLBW) infant. METHODS: All VLBW infants admitted between September 1994 and September 1997 to the neonatal intensive care units of Brigham and Women's Hospital (Boston), Children's Hospital (Boston), and Christchurch Women's Hospital (New Zealand) with germinal matrix intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) were identified. All charts and ultrasound scans were reviewed to define the natural history and perinatal and/or postnatal factors of value in prediction of the course of posthaemorrhagic ventriculomegaly. Progressive ventricular dilatation (PVD) was defined from the results of serial cranial ultrasound scans. RESULTS: A total of 248 VLBW infants had evidence of IVH (22% of all VLBW infants, mean (SD) gestational age 26.8 (2.6) weeks). A quarter of the infants exhibited PVD. Spontaneous arrest of PVD occurred without treatment in 38% of infants with PVD. Of the remaining 62% with persistent PVD, 48% received non-surgical treatment only (pharmacological and/or drainage of cerebrospinal fluid by serial lumbar punctures), 34% received surgical treatment with insertion of a ventriculoperitoneal reservoir and/or shunt, and 18% died. The development of PVD after IVH and adverse short term outcome, such as the requirement for surgery, were predicted most strongly by the severity of IVH. CONCLUSIONS: These data reflect the natural history of PVD in the 1990s and show that, despite a slight reduction in its overall incidence, there appears to be a more aggressive course, with appreciable mortality and morbidity in the extremely premature infant. The major predictor of adverse short term outcome, defined as death or need for surgical intervention, was the severity of IVH. These findings may be valuable for the management of very small premature infants.

Boston↗

PubMed2000

Triage of patients for short term observation after elective coronary angioplasty.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate triage of patients for short term observation after elective percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), as appropriate selection of patients for short term observation after angioplasty may facilitate early discharge. METHODS: 1015 consecutive patients scheduled for elective PTCA were prospectively included for short term observation. Patients with unstable angina Braunwald class III were excluded. There were no angiographic exclusion criteria. Patients were discharged from the interventional centre when considered stable during 4 hours of observation after PTCA. It was left to the operator's discretion whether to prolong the observation period. Procedural complications were defined as death, coronary bypass surgery, early repeat PTCA, and myocardial infarction. OUTCOME MEASURES: The need for prolonged observation (> 4 hours) and the occurrence of complications. Predictors for prolonged observation and the occurrence of complications after the 4 hours observation were assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Two patients died, including one of six patients who underwent emergency bypass surgery. In all, 922 patients (90.8%) were triaged to short term observation and had an uncomplicated three day follow up. Observation was prolonged in 87 patients (8.6%), and 40 patients had a complicated course. Independent predictors of procedural complications were acute closure (odds ratio (OR) 9.7; 95% confidence interval 4.4 to 21.4), side branch occlusion (OR 8.9; 3.4 to 23.7), no angiographic success (OR 5.1; 2.4 to 11.0), female sex (OR 3.1, 1.7 to 5.7), any unplanned stent (OR 2.8, 1.4 to 5.9), and ostial lesion (OR 2.2, 1.0 to 4.7). CONCLUSIONS: A 4 hour observation period is safe after elective coronary angioplasty. As procedural variables are the strongest predictors of postprocedural complications, the immediate procedural results allow effective triage of patients for short term or prolonged observation in order to anticipate complications.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Risk progression to chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy: influence of male sex and of parasitaemia detected by polymerase chain reaction.

BACKGROUND: Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) allows detection of Trypanosoma cruzi in blood throughout the course of Chagas' disease. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether T cruzi DNA detected by PCR is associated with progression to chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: A tertiary care centre in Argentina. PATIENTS: 56 consecutive patients with chronic T cruzi infection. METHODS: Clinical examination, ECG, and Doppler echocardiography were carried out at baseline and at the end of the follow up. Detection of T cruzi DNA by PCR amplifying a nuclear sequence was undertaken in all patients at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression was defined as death from chronic cardiomyopathy or the presence of a new ECG or left ventricular echocardiographic abnormality at the end of follow up. RESULTS: The 56 patients (21 male, 35 female; mean (SD) age, 56.0 (11.3) years) were followed for a mean 936.3 (244.39) days. Progression to cardiomyopathy was detected in 12 patients (21.4%). Three of these patients died after baseline evaluation. Univariate analysis showed that a positive PCR (relative risk 4.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60 to 9.85) and male sex (5.00, 95% CI 1.65 to 15.73) were associated with progression. Multivariable logistic regression indicated that both sex and PCR were independent variables affecting the outcome. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of seropositive individuals, patients with T cruzi DNA detected by PCR and male patients were at higher risk of progression. These results highlight the importance of T cruzi in the pathophysiology of chronic cardiomyopathy.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Long term outcome after intracoronary beta radiation therapy.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the long term outcome after intracoronary beta radiation therapy (IRT). SETTING: Tertiary referral centre. METHODS: The rate of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) was retrospectively determined in 301 consecutive patients who were treated with IRT. MACE was defined as death, myocardial infarction, or any reintervention. Long term clinical outcome was obtained from an electronic database of hospital records and from questionnaires to the patients and referring physicians. Long term survival status was assessed by written inquiries to the municipal civil registries. RESULTS: The mean (SD) follow up was 3.6 (1.2) years. The cumulative incidence of MACE at six months was 19.1%, at one year 36.4%, and at four years 58.3%. The target lesion revascularisation (TLR) rate at six months was 12.9%, at one year 28.3%, and at four years 50.4%. From multivariate analysis, dose < 18 Gy was the most significant predictor of TLR. At four years the cumulative incidence of death was 3.8%, of myocardial infarction 13.4%, and of coronary artery bypass surgery 11.3%. Total vessel occlusion was documented in 12.3% of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: In the long term follow up of patients after IRT, there are increased adverse cardiac events beyond the first six months.

Beta Particles↗

PubMed1988

Cardiac surgery for patients aged 65 years and older: a long term survival analysis.

Between January 1973 and December 1984, 562 patients aged greater than or equal to 65 had cardiac surgery at Papworth Hospital. Most had mitral or aortic valve replacements (coronary artery bypass grafting was not introduced for this age group at Papworth until 1977). The overall operative mortality, defined as death within thirty days or death before leaving hospital, was 7.3%. There were no early deaths in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery. Questionnaires sent to general practitioners in East Anglia traced 86.0% of the patients who survived to leave hospital. The longer term survival rates for all patients were 88.0%. (95% confidence interval (CI) 85 to 91) at one year and 74.4% (95% CI 69 to 79) at five years. The rates for those patients who survived the initial few months were 96.3% (95% CI 94 to 98) at one year and 81.5% (95% CI 77 to 86) at five years and these rates were no different from those in the general population aged greater than or equal to 65.

Aged↗

PubMed2003

Influence of lung volume reduction surgery (LVRS) on health related quality of life in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: The clinical value of LVRS has been questioned in the absence of trials comparing it with pulmonary rehabilitation, the prevailing standard of care in COPD. Patients with heterogeneous emphysema are more likely to benefit from volume reduction than those with homogeneous disease. Disease specific quality of life is a responsive interpretable outcome that enables health professionals to identify the magnitude of the effect of an intervention across several domains. METHODS: Non-smoking patients aged <75 years with severe COPD (FEV(1) <40% predicted, FEV(1)/FVC <0.7), hyperinflation, and evidence of heterogeneity were randomised to surgical or control groups after pulmonary rehabilitation and monitored at 3 month intervals for 12 months with no crossover between the groups. The primary outcome was disease specific quality of life as measured by the Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire (CRQ). Treatment failure was defined as death or functional decline (fall of 1 unit in any two domains of the CRQ). Secondary outcomes included pulmonary function and exercise capacity. RESULTS: LVRS resulted in significant between group differences in each domain of the CRQ at 12 months (change of 0.5 represents a small but important difference): dyspnoea 1.9 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3 to 2.6; p<0.0001); emotional function 1.5 (95% CI 0.9 to 2.1; p<0.0001); fatigue 2.0 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.6; p<0.0001); mastery 1.8 (95% CI 1.2 to 2.5; p<0.0001). In the control group one of 27 patients died and 16 experienced functional decline over 12 months. In the surgical group four of 28 patients died and three experienced functional decline (hazard ratio = 3.1 (95% CI 1.3 to 7.6; p=0.01). Between group improvements (p<0.05) in lung volumes, flow rates, and exercise were sustained at 12 months (RV -47% predicted (95% CI -71 to -23; p=0.0002); FEV(1) 0.3 l (95% CI 0.1 to 0. 5; p=0.0003); submaximal exercise 7.3 min (95% CI 3.9 to 10.8; p<0.0001); 6 minute walk 66 metres (95% CI 32 to 101; p=0.0002). CONCLUSIONS: In COPD patients with heterogeneous emphysema, LVRS resulted in important benefits in disease specific quality of life compared with medical management, which were sustained at 12 months after treatment.

Female↗

PubMed2003

Short term outcome and risk factors for adverse clinical outcomes in adults with severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS).

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) was diagnosed in Hong Kong in over 1700 patients between March and early June 2003. METHODS: 115 patients diagnosed with SARS were admitted to Queen Elizabeth Hospital, a large regional hospital in Hong Kong, from March 2003, of whom 100 were either discharged or were dead at 31 May. The patients were prospectively studied after admission to assess their short term outcomes and the risk factors associated with adverse outcomes, defined as death or the need for mechanical ventilation RESULTS: At the time of writing 18 patients had died, with a crude mortality rate of 15.7% and a 21 day mortality of 10% (standard error 3%). Thirty nine patients (34%) were admitted to the intensive care unit, 30 of whom (26%) required mechanical ventilation. Multivariate analysis showed that age above 60 (hazards ratio (HR) 3.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 10.2; p=0.02), presence of diabetes mellitus or heart disease (HR 9.1, 95% CI 2.8 to 29.1; p<0.001), and the presence of other comorbid conditions (HR 5.2, 95% CI 1.4 to 19.7; p=0.01) were independently associated with mortality. However, only the presence of diabetes mellitus and/or cardiac disease (HR 7.3, 95% CI 3.1 to 17.4; p<0.001) was associated with adverse outcomes as a whole. CONCLUSION: SARS is a new disease entity that carries significant morbidity and mortality. Specific clinical and laboratory parameters predicting unfavourable outcomes have been identified.

Adult↗