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Multivariate analysis of the prognostic factors and outcomes in early cervical cancer patients undergoing radical hysterectomy.

OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to identify pathologic and clinical risk factors that best predicted 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) among patients with early-stage cervical carcinoma, treated by radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy. METHODS: The records of 197 patients with early-stage invasive cervical carcinoma who underwent radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy from 1990 to 1999 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical and pathologic variables including age, tumor size (TS), clinical stage, depth of invasion (DI), lymphovascular space involvement (LVSI), cell type, tumor grade, lymph node metastases (LNM), parametrial invasion, surgical margin involvement, and pattern of adjuvant therapy were analyzed using univariate and multivariate methods to define those variables that best predicted RFS. RESULTS: Outer 1/3 invasion, LVSI, and LNM were identified as independent poor prognostic factors, which were used to define three prognostic groups: patients (n = 104) with good prognoses (LVSI (-) and LNM (-)), patients (n = 46) with intermediate prognoses (either LVSI (+) without outer 1/3 invasion or LNM (+) without LVSI), and patients (n = 47) with poor prognoses (LVSI (+) patients with outer 1/3 invasion). The estimated 3-year RFS for patients with LVSI and deeply invasive tumors regardless of nodal status and/or nodal metastases receiving adjuvant CT + RT was significantly greater than that for patients who received only adjuvant radiotherapy (80% vs. 49%, P = 0.048 in the group of patients with LVSI and deeply invasive tumors with positive nodes and without positive nodes; 87% vs. 36%, P = 0.013 in the group of patients with LVSI and deeply invasive tumors with positive nodes only). CONCLUSIONS: The multivariate analysis and prognostic grouping system maximally separated patients with early-stage invasive cervical carcinoma into groups with good, intermediate, or poor prognoses, with 3-year RFSs of 90%, 82%, 67%; and 5-year RFSs of 89%, 69%, 43%, respectively. CT + RT played a role in improving RFS among patients with LVSI and deeply invasive tumors and poor prognoses.

Adult↗

Systemic endotoxin and gastric mucosal pH are the best parameters to predict lethal outcome in a porcine model of abdominal sepsis according to multivariate analysis.

This study was devised to identify sepsis-relevant parameters that early and reliably predict a lethal outcome in intra-abdominal sepsis. In 18 Duroc pigs, peritonitis was induced through standardized gastrotomy. Twelve hours later the defect was oversewn and the abdominal cavity lavaged thoroughly. Sepsis relevant parameters were measured before initiating therapy, and 30 min later animals were extubated and observed for a period of 6 days under adequate analgesia with free access to water and food. All parameters were correlated with survival postoperatively. In the treatment group, 7 out of 18 pigs (39%) died within the observation period. Endotoxin level at 30 min after initiation of therapy [17.9 EU/mL (+/- 12.1) vs. 110.9 EU/mL (+/- 21); p <.001] and Delta pHi [0.015 (+/- 0.011) vs. -0.039 (+/- 0.013); p =.016] were identified as the two parameters with highest predictive power regarding mortality in a multivariate analysis. In conclusion measurement of endotoxin and gastric tonometry should gain wider clinical application in septic patients.

Abdomen↗

Parenteral nutrition-associated cholestasis in neonates: multivariate analysis of the potential protective effect of taurine.

BACKGROUND: Neonates receiving parenteral nutrition (PN) are at risk for PN-associated cholestasis (PNAC); however, no preventive factors for PNAC have been clearly identified. Despite reports suggesting that taurine may prevent PNAC in neonates, such an effect of taurine has not yet been definitively demonstrated. We determined whether taurine supplementation reduces the incidence of PNAC in premature or critically ill neonates. METHODS: This study was part of a prospective, randomized, multi-institutional trial designed to assess cholecystokinin vs placebo as a potential preventive therapy of PNAC. Taurine supplementation of PN varied between institutions. The presence or absence of taurine in PN was analyzed by multivariate analysis, with a primary outcome measure of serum conjugated bilirubin (CB) as a measure of PNAC. RESULTS: Taurine reduced PNAC in premature infants (estimated maximum CB [95% confidence interval] 0.50 mg/dL [-0.17 to 1.18] for those receiving taurine, vs 3.45 mg/dL [1.79-5.11] for neonates not receiving taurine, approaching significance, p = .07). Taurine significantly reduced PNAC in infants with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC; estimated maximum CB 4.04 mg/dL [2.85-5.23], NEC infants receiving taurine, vs 8.29 mg/dL [5.61-10.96], NEC infants not receiving taurine, p < .01). There were too few neonates with surgical anomalies to evaluate the effect of taurine in this group. CONCLUSIONS: Within specific subgroups of neonatal patients, taurine supplementation does offer a very significant degree of protection against PNAC. Patients with NEC or severe prematurity are most likely to benefit substantially from taurine supplementation.

Bilirubin↗

Serum neuron-specific enolase (S-NSE) and the prognosis in small-cell lung cancer (SCLC): a combined multivariable analysis on data from nine centres.

The influence of pretreatment serum neuron-specific enolase (S-NSE) in addition to more conventional prognostic factors on survival duration in small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) was investigated in 770 patients from nine centres in six countries. The other variables included stage of disease, performance status (PS), age, sex, serum lactate dehydrogenase (S-LDH), serum alkaline phosphatase (S-AP), and serum carcinoembryonic antigen (S-CEA). Increased values of S-NSE (> 12.5 micrograms-1 l) were observed in 81% of the patients, whereas S-LDH, S-AP and S-CEA were elevated in only half of the patients or less. Multivariable analysis by Cox's proportional hazard model disclosed S-NSE as the most powerful prognostic factor followed by poor PS and extensive stage disease. If PS was ignored, S-LDH came up as a significant prognostic factor. S-AP, S-CEA, age and sex had no significant influence on the prognosis. The three prognostic factors, S-NSE, PS and stage of disease, enabled establishment of a prognostic index (PI) based on a simple algorithm PI = zNSE + z(stage) + 2zPS. This segregated the patients into four groups with clearly different prognosis. The median survival and 95% confidence intervals of the four groups were: 468 days (540-408), 362 days (405-328), 256 days (270-241) and 125 days (179-58). Based on the present results we recommend S-NSE and PS, in addition to stage, for prognostic stratification in treatment trials on SCLC.

Adult↗

AFP-producing gastric carcinoma: multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in 270 patients.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is sometimes high in patients with primary gastric carcinoma, and there is no comprehensive study on the clinicopathologic characteristics and prognostic factors of AFP-producing gastric carcinoma (AGC). To clarify the variables associated with the survival after gastrectomy for AGC, we reviewed the data of patients with AGC and examined the independent prognostic factors. We studied 270 cases of AGC reported in the Japanese literature from June 1982 to March 2001, together with 1 patient of our own experience. The clinicopathologic findings, including serum AFP level, operative curability, and stage of the disease were examined, and factors associated with survival were determined by multivariate analysis. There were 15 stage I tumors (6%), 50 stage II tumors (19%), 51 stage III tumors (20%), and 145 stage IV tumors (55%). The tumors were characterized by frequent serosal invasion (75%), lymph node metastasis (83%), liver metastasis (33%), stage III or IV disease (75%), and noncurative operation (48%). The survival was influenced by the serum AFP level, tumor size, serosal invasion, lymph node metastasis, and liver metastasis, but the independent prognostic factors were operative curability (curative vs. noncurative) and stage of the disease (I, II vs. III, IV). Although the 5-year survival rate and median survival period in all patients were 22% and 14 months, respectively, those in patients with curative gastrectomy were 42% and 29 months, respectively. The results indicate that operative curability and stage of the disease are factors associated with the survival of patients with AGC. Although tumors are often advanced and complicated with liver metastases, long-term survival can be achieved when patients with stage I or II tumor undergo curative gastrectomy.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Long-term prognosis for colon cancer related to consistent radical surgery: multivariate analysis of clinical, surgical, and pathologic variables.

Despite the improvement in its prognosis in most Western countries, death from colon cancer is still a major problem. In a prospectively planned observation study, a large patient collective from a single institution in Austria was analyzed in terms of the surgical approach and factors influencing survival. A total of 696 patients with colonic carcinomas were admitted to our surgical department between January 1, 1984 and December 31, 1997. Radical surgery for localized tumors was consistently performed, including wide resection margins and complete removal of the regional lymph drainage zones. Clinical, histopathologic, and therapy-related factors were examined for their influence on long-term survival by means of univariate and multivariate analysis. The overall tumor resection rate was 99.3% (691/696); complete tumor removal (R0) was possible for 84.8% (590/696) of all patients. The overall postoperative hospital mortality rate was 3.2% (22/696), and it was 13% (7/556) for potentially curative resections. Five- and ten-year tumor-specific survival rates for stage I to III R0 resections were 83.8% and 78.8%, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy reduced tumor recurrence for stage III patients by 52.4%. The depth of tumor infiltration, lymph node status, and adjuvant chemotherapy were found to have an independent influence on survival as identified by the Cox models. In conclusion, a consistent radical surgical approach for potentially curative resected colonic cancer patients had survival rates that surpassed those of most published series without sacrificing low complication rates. In addition, adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III substantially improved survival.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of prognostic determinants for colorectal cancer patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels: prognostic value of postoperative serum CEA levels.

High preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels have been well investigated and found to be associated with poor prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). However, it has been observed that the outcome varies after curative resection, along with postoperative serum CEA levels; some patients continue to have high postoperative serum CEA levels while postoperative CEA levels return to normal in others. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic significance of postoperative serum CEA levels in CRC patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels. Between January 2002 and December 2004, 423 CRC patients underwent operation in our hospital; 181 (42.8%) had high preoperative serum CEA levels and were enrolled in this study. Among the 181 patients, 165 patients had curative resection; the remaining 16 had stage IV disease, so they underwent palliative surgery and were subsequently excluded from analysis. Pre- and postoperative serum CEA levels were measured and analyzed. All patients had curative resection and were divided into two groups according to postoperative serum CEA levels: one group comprised patients with postoperative serum CEA > or = 5 ng/mL (n = 80) and the other group comprised patients with postoperative serum CEA levels < 5 ng/mL (n = 85). Postoperative serum CEA levels were significantly related to location of primary tumors (p = 0.042), lymph node metastases (p = 0.009), TNM stage (p = 0.001), and postoperative relapse (p = 0.004). The results of multivariate analysis showed that both lymph node metastases and high postoperative serum CEA levels (> or = 5 ng/mL) were independent prognostic factors for CRC patients after curative resection. Postoperative serum CEA levels can be a single independent prognostic determinant in CRC patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels. Intensive follow-up and adjuvant therapy may be necessary in CRC patients who continue to have high postoperative serum CEA levels even after curative resection.

Adult↗

The relationship of plasma polyunsaturated fatty acid deficiency with survival in advanced liver cirrhosis: multivariate analysis.

Total plasma fatty acids were measured in 101 cirrhotic inpatients (64 men, 37 women, aged 64.3 +/- 1.2 (SEM) yr; range, 34-80) who were subsequently followed for survival for a mean of 14.8 +/- 1.0 months. Data on plasma fatty acids have been published elsewhere. Individual values of these variables were categorized in a binary fashion using the 5th or the 95th percentiles of a group of 44 well-nourished healthy controls (24 men, 20 women, aged 51.3 +/- 2.1 yr; range, 32-76) as the cutoff limit. Forty-nine patients died during follow-up (2-yr cumulative probability of survival, 52%). Deficiency of palmitate, dihomo-tau-linolenate, and arachidonate (values below the 5th percentile) were univariately associated with death (long-rank test). However, after a multivariate analysis (Cox's proportional hazards regression), only the existence of plasma arachidonate deficiency was included in the final model (beta, 0.62; relative risk, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.06-3.25; p < 0.05). We conclude that arachidonic acid deficiency significantly increases the mortality risk in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis.

Arachidonic Acid↗

[Prognostic factors in pediatric liver transplantation. Multivariate analysis].

AIM: To analyze independent risk factors associated with poor graft and patient survival in a series of 292 pediatric liver transplants (PLT) performed in 234 children during a 15 years period. MATERIAL AND METHODS. 1. Univariate graft and patient survival analysis in 45 variables related to pretransplant patient status, surgical technique and donor conditions. 2. Variables found with univariate analysis to be associated with outcome were entered into a stepwise backward proportional hazard model (Cox), to determine independent prediction of outcome. RESULTS: 11 variables influence the graft survival: recipient age, z-score recipient height, UNOS status, recipient and donor weight, transplant for immune hepatitis, platelet transfusion during the transplant, blood index > 4 during the surgery, type of arterial reconstruction, retransplantation and era of the transplant (first er: 1986-1990; 2nd. era: 1991-1995; 3rd. era: 1996-2000). Four of those variables are independent in the multivariate analysis: UNOS 1 status (Odds Ratio, OR = 2.82, 95% confidence interval = 1.36-5.85), recipient < 3 years (OR = 3.76, 95% CI = 2.13-6.63), transplants for autoimmune hepatitis and era (OR of first and second versus third era respectively 3.93 and 2.81). The independent variables influencing the patient survival were: children receiving more than one graft children less than 3 years old and transplant era. CONCLUSIONS: Liver transplant in small children is associated with an increased risk of graft loss and patient dead. The experience of the hospital in pediatric liver transplantation improves the results, particularly in small children.

Adolescent↗

Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in sporadic medullary carcinoma of the thyroid. A retrospective study of 109 consecutive patients.

BACKGROUND: Because of the rarity of medullary thyroid carcinoma, adequate information for determination of the prognostic characteristics and clinical course of this disease can be obtained only from a database that serves a large population. METHODS: A retrospective review of 109 patients with sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma was conducted; all were diagnosed and treated at a single institution over a 30-year period. The series included 57 males and 52 females with a median follow-up of 5.3 years. Statistical univariate analysis of relapse free survival and overall survival was done for 18 clinicopathologic variables, including sex, age, TNM staging, completeness of surgical resection, postoperative calcitoninemia, histologic subtype, tumor size, thyroid capsule invasion, amyloid, katacalcin, calcitonin, and calcitonin gene-related peptide immunostaining patterns of the primary tumor. RESULTS: Risk factors for unfavorable outcome were male sex, age > 60 years, incomplete tumor resection, mixed cell subtype, tumor size > 4 cm, extrathyroid tumor invasion, lack of amyloid, N1 and M1 categories, and heterogeneous calcitonin and katacalcin immunostaining pattern. In the multivariate analysis, only capsule status, M category, and age at diagnosis remained in the final model for overall survival. In the final model for relapse free survival, capsule status remained, together with sex and amyloid status. CONCLUSIONS: Extrathyroid tumor invasion, the presence of distant metastases, and age > 60 years are characteristic of patients at high risk of death from disease sooner, whereas extrathyroid invasion, male sex, and the absence of amyloid characterize patients who are at high risk for recurrence. Extrathyroid tumor invasion appears to be the worst prognostic factor and may allow for the breakdown of patients into two categories, amenable to different therapeutic regimens.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of clinical prognostic factors in children with intracranial ependymomas.

The optimal postoperative management of pediatric intracranial ependymomas is controversial. We analyzed clinical prognostic factors for their influence on outcome in such children. Our retrospective series included 15 with supratentorial and 28 with infratentorial tumors. Twenty ependymomas were grade II, and 23 were anaplastic. Complete resection was performed in 18 patients, incomplete resection in 19, and stereotactic biopsy in 6. Radiotherapy was done in 31 patients and chemotherapy in 13. The surviving patients have been followed 8-232 months (median: 69 months). The median survival time was 30 months, and 5-year overall survival and progression-free survival rates were 53.9% and 45.9%, respectively. By tumor site: supratentorial, 56.6% and 50.9%; infratentorial, 52.3% and 42.5%. Multivariate analysis identified complete resection (5-year progression-free survival, 71.8%) and age <3 years old as significant favorable and adverse prognostic features (relative risk, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.05-6.38), respectively. Twenty-six children relapsed 1-107 months after diagnosis (median: 12 months). Relapses were local in 22 cases, and combined local and distant in three cases. Only one of 15 patients with supratentorial tumors developed isolated spinal metastasis. Failure at the primary site is the major obstacle to improve cure rates. The extent of surgical resection and age were the only statistically significant prognostic factors.

Adolescent↗

Multivariate analysis results of radiotherapy for laryngeal cancer.

We assess the impact of radiotherapy in the treatment of laryngeal cancer and evaluate the value of the standard dose (linear quadratic plus time model) and other variables to predict tumor control and survival. Between 1972 and 1989, 80 patients with laryngeal cancer received comprehensive radiotherapy. Patients with stage I laryngeal glottic cancer (T1-N0-M0) were excluded from this study. Mean follow-up was 15 months (range 4 to 181). The mean age was 64.8 years (range 40 to 92). Standard dose varied from 32.65 to 81.81 Gy (mean 66.78). The 5-year overall survival and tumor-specific survival rates were 44.9 +/- 5.8% and 51.4 +/- 5.9%, respectively. Five-year local control and locoregional control rates were 66.4 +/- 5.7% and 61.9 +/- 5.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that local control was significantly predicted by T stage (p = .032), but not by standard dose (p = .906). Independently significant factors predicting tumor-specific survival included stage (p = .006), site (p = .019), and age (p = .001). Local control and survival were significantly predicted by the TNM-staging classification. The standard dose did not predict local recurrence or survival.

Adult↗

The adjuvant prognostic value of nuclear morphometry in stage I malignant melanoma of the skin. A multivariate analysis.

In order to evaluate the adjuvant prognostic value to tumor thickness of other clinical, qualitative histologic and morphometric features, a multivariate analysis was performed in 68 patients with stage I cutaneous malignant melanoma and at least five years of follow-up. Stepwise linear regression analysis confirmed that tumor thickness is the most important prognostic factor; the only additional significant feature was the nuclear correlation coefficient (NCC), which is a measure for the roundness versus ellipsoidicity, regularity and homogeneity of the shape of the nuclei in tissue sections. In general, tumors with ellipsoid (spindle-shaped) nuclei were associated with a better prognosis, even in thick tumors, and tumors with predominantly round nuclei were associated with a poorer prognosis. If the NCC was below 0.94, the prognosis was good irrespective of the tumor thickness: all patients with such a low NCC have survived. Further analysis of this feature showed it to be strongly correlated with the nuclear axes ratio (longest axis divided by the shortest axis). The subtlety of the differences in nuclear shape makes it practically impossible to subjectively detect the significant prognostic level of ellipsoidity, especially in borderline cases. The advantage of the application of morphometry is that it allows the objective description of subjective impressions, and minor shape differences can be detected. The significant adjuvant prognostic value of nuclear morphometry to tumor thickness makes it worthwhile to consider these features together in future prognostic studies concerning malignant melanoma. Furthermore, inclusion of nuclear shape morphometry in clinical pathology reports seems advisable.

Analysis of Variance↗

The descriptive epidemiology of primary lung cancer in an Alberta cohort with a multivariate analysis of survival to two years.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer contributes significantly to cancer morbidity and mortality. Although case fatality rates have not changed significantly over the past few decades, there have been advances in the diagnosis, staging and management of lung cancer. OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology of primary lung cancer in an Alberta cohort with an analysis of factors contributing to survival to two years. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Six hundred eleven Albertans diagnosed with primary lung cancer in 1998 were identified through the Alberta Cancer Registry. Through a chart review, demographic and clinical data were collected for a period of up to two years from the date of diagnosis. RESULTS: The mean age at diagnosis was 66.5 years. The majority of cases (92%) were smokers. Adenocarcinoma, followed by squamous cell carcinoma, were the most frequent nonsmall cell lung cancer histologies. Adenocarcinoma was more frequent in women, and squamous cell carcinoma was more frequent in men. The overall two- year survival rates for nonsmall cell, small cell and other lung cancers were 24%, 10% and 13%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, stage, thoracic surgery and chemotherapy were significantly associated with survival to two years in nonsmall cell carcinoma; only stage and chemotherapy were significant in small cell carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a Canadian epidemiological perspective, which generally concurs with the North American literature. Continued monitoring of the epidemiology of lung cancer is essential to evaluate the impact of advances in the diagnosis, staging and management of lung cancer. Further clinical and economic analysis, based on data collected on this cohort, is planned.

Adenocarcinoma↗

[Multivariate analysis of intentional temporary vessel occlusion in aneurysmal surgery].

Temporary vessel occlusion (TO) for aneurysmal clipping is an effective technique to facilitate dissection between aneurysm and parent vessels, and to place a permanent clip at the aneurysmal neck precisely. However, several unsolved problems remain regarding the overall safety and risk resulting from this technique. The authors examined a series of patients in whom mannitol 500 ml, tocopherol acetate 500 mg, and phenytoin 500 mg were administered intravenously as ischemic protection during TO for the aneurysmal clipping. The study comprises a nonconcurrent retrospective analysis of 144 consecutive aneurysm clippings performed with the aid of intentional TO at the Hiroshima Prefectural Hospital from 1985 to 1995. To identify technical and patient-specific risk factors for perioperative stroke, factors studied included duration, location of the temporary clip application, number of occlusive episodes, patient sex, age, and preoperative neurological status, timing of operation, as well as postoperative, temporary or permanent, neurological deficits (ND) due to TO were used. Overall frequency of postoperative ND due to TO manifested clinically and radiologically were 9.0% and 9.7%, respectively. In both univariate and multivariate analysis there were no significant factors relevant to the ND. However, duration of the temporary occlusion time over 20 minutes was the factor most influential on the ND due to TO. Duration of the temporary occlusion time was shown to have no link with outcome. Based on our findings the authors conclude that temporary vessel occlusion within 20 minutes with anti-ischemic drugs is a relatively safe adjunct to aneurysmal surgery.

Adult↗

Transient myocardial ischaemia: a multivariate analysis on clinical, angiographic and ergometric variables.

The availability of ambulatory ECG monitoring allows identification of transient myocardial ischaemia, the clinical relevance of which is currently being investigated. Ninety-four consecutive patients with ischaemic heart disease and a positive exercise test (greater than or equal to 1 mm ST-segment depression) were studied to evaluate the prevalence of transient myocardial ischaemia (either painless or painful) during 24-h dynamic electrocardiogram (ECG) and the clinical, angiographic and ergometric variables predicting its appearance. Two-hundred-and-eighty-one episodes of transient electocardiographic myocardial ischaemia were recorded in 69 patients (73.4% of all patients). Transient myocardial ischaemia was more frequent, although not significantly so, in patients with diabetes, with previous myocardial infarction, or with multivessel disease. When tested by multivariate analysis, neither the clinical variables nor the severity of coronary artery disease allowed prediction of the occurrence of transient myocardial ischaemia during dynamic ECG. The duration of exercise testing up to the ischaemic threshold (ST-segment depression = 1 mm) and the peak heart rate during exercise were more accurate predictors of transient myocardial ischaemia (P = 0.019 and 0.012 respectively). Patients with transient myocardial ischaemia had a lower ischaemic threshold (355 +/- 175 vs 498 +/- 150 s, mean +/- SD, P = 0.001) despite a lower peak heart rate (129 +/- 18 vs 137 +/- 12 beats min-1, P = 0.047) than patients without transient myocardial ischaemia. In conclusion, exercise testing may help select patients for examination by dynamic ECG.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Coronary Angiography↗

Risk factors and the effect of interferon therapy in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multivariate analysis in 343 patients.

The aims of the present study were to clarify the risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and to investigate the effectiveness of interferon (IFN) therapy. We retrospectively studied 343 patients who had been admitted to our hospital; 161 with chronic hepatitis, 49 with liver cirrhosis, 42 with chronic hepatitis bearing HCC and 91 with liver cirrhosis bearing HCC. The mean (+/- SD) observation period was 41.6 +/- 31.1 months. The mean age of HCC and non-HCC patients was 63.5 +/- 7.6 and 56.9 +/- 12.5 years, respectively (P < 0.001). The HCV genotype II (1b) was the most prevalent genotype (92.5%) in HCC patients and the mean age was higher among patients with this genotype (63.6 +/- 7.7 years). Multivariate analysis identified age (P < 0.001), the male gender (P < 0.01), HCV genotype II (1b) (P < 0.05) and excessive alcohol intake (P < 0.05) as independent factors associated with the development of HCC. There was no relationship between the development of HCC and serum HCV levels as quantified by branched DNA assay or competitive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. The incidence of HCC in patients who had not received IFN therapy was 10.4/100 person-year, while that of patients who had received IFN therapy was 1.2/100 person-year (P < 0.01) by the person-year method. The low incidence of HCC in patients treated with IFN suggests that IFN may prevent the development of HCC.

Aged↗

A population-based multivariate analysis of the association of county demographic and medical system factors with per capita pediatric trauma death rates in North Carolina.

OBJECTIVE: This study analyzed the association between demographic and medical system factors and the pediatric trauma death rate in North Carolina. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Trauma is the leading cause of death in children. Various medical system factors have been suggested to reduce pediatric morbidity and mortality rates, but the association with these rates has not been tested. METHODS: Data were obtained from the North Carolina medical examiner's database. The dependent variable was the county per capita pediatric trauma death rate. Twenty-one demographic and medical system measures were selected as independent variables. RESULTS: Nine hundred forty-one pediatric trauma deaths from 1986 to 1989 were included in our sample. Multivariate analysis identified the variables most highly associated with the dependent variables. The presence of advanced life support (ALS) training was the only medical system factor associated significantly with pediatric trauma death rates. Trauma centers, emergency (911) telephone access, and other medical resource variables had no significant association. CONCLUSIONS: The study confirms other reports showing that demographic factors have an important predictive association with the trauma death rate in children. Advanced life support was the only medical system resource associated significantly with pediatric trauma death rates. This study underlines the significance of pre-hospital care in the treatment of pediatric trauma.

Adolescent↗