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Dynamic modeling of free fatty acid, glucose, and insulin: an extended "minimal model".

BACKGROUND: The mathematical models for patients with diabetes proposed in the literature since the late 1970s are mainly glucocentric (glucose-based); hence, the contribution of free fatty acid (FFA) metabolism in the body and its glucose-insulin interactions have been largely ignored. However, approximately 90% of the muscle energy is derived from FFA metabolism when the body is at rest. Furthermore, significant interactions exist among FFA, glucose, and insulin. With the long-term goal of developing a closed-loop glucose control system, a model of the major energy-providing substrate dynamics is required. METHODS: The Bergman minimal model was extended to include plasma FFA dynamics, and its interaction with glucose and insulin dynamics, with a primary focus on patients with Type 1 diabetes. Differential equations were developed for plasma FFA concentrations and "remote" FFA effects on glucose uptake, as well as "remote" insulin effects on plasma FFA concentrations. Parameters for the model were estimated from experimental data provided in the scientific literature. RESULTS: The minimal model was extended in order to capture three major metabolic aspects: the antilipolytic effect of insulin; the lipolytic effect of prolonged hyperglycemia; and the impairing effect of FFA on glucose uptake rate. The dynamic fit of glucose, FFA, and insulin profiles is consistent with published data. CONCLUSIONS: The extended minimal model successfully captured the plasma FFA concentration behavior, the plasma insulin and glucose concentrations, and the physiological interactions that exist among these species. This more comprehensive description of energy-providing substrate dynamics may provide a novel simulation test-bed for analysis of patients with insulin dependent diabetes and controller design.

Blood Glucose↗

Coupling of a finite element human head model with a lumped parameter Hybrid III dummy model: preliminary results.

A skull-brain finite element model of the human head has been coupled with a multilink rigid body model of the Hybrid III dummy. The experimental coupled model is intended to represent anatomically a 50th percentile human to the extent the dummy and the skull-brain model represent a human. It has been verified by simulating several human cadaver head impact tests as well as dummy head 'impacts" during barrier crashes in an automotive environment. Skull-isostress and brain-isostrain response curves were established based on model calibration of experimental human cadaver tolerance data. The skull-isostress response curve agrees with the JARI Human Head Impact Tolerance Curve for skull fracture. The brain-isostrain response curve predicts a higher G level for concussion than does the JARI concussion curve and the Wayne State Tolerance Curve at the longer time duration range. Barrier crash simulations consist of belted dummies impacting an airbag, a hard and soft steering wheel hub, and no head contact with vehicle interior components. Head impact force, intracranial pressures and strains, skull stress, and head center-of-gravity acceleration were investigated as injury parameters. Head injury criterion (HIC) was also calculated along with these parameters. Preliminary results of the model simulations in those impact conditions are discussed.

Accidents, Traffic↗

Model-based administration of inhalation anaesthesia. 3. Validating the system model.

BACKGROUND: We quantified the predictive performance of our computer model of the administration of inhalation anaesthesia from a Datex-Ohmeda Modulus CD circle-absorber system. METHODS: In 50 patients, desflurane anaesthesia was maintained with a fresh-gas flow (FGF) of 0.5 litres min(-1) of both nitrous oxide and oxygen, preceded by fast (n=14) or slow (n=36) induction: FGF greater than total ventilation, Group F; FGF equal to 1.0 litres min(-1), Group S. The two versions of the model studied differed in the size of their inter-tissue diffusion, as 0 (version 1) and 3% (version 2) of the cardiac output was shifted from the viscera to adipose tissue. Model performance was judged by comparing measured and predicted gas concentrations in terms of three variables for each gas concentration in each patient: root mean squared error (rmse=total error), bias (mean predicted - measured) (systematic error), and scatter (error around bias). These variables were then averaged over all patients. These measures were calculated overall, and separately for each group and each stage (1 = induction or 2 = maintenance). RESULTS: Model predictions were in reasonable to very good agreement with clinically obtained data. Version 2 performed better than version 1. Differences between groups were not demonstrated. The model performed better for stage 2, but only for desflurane. In group S, results (mean (SD); as percentages of the measured values for nitrous oxide, oxygen and desflurane) in the order rmse, bias, and scatter were for end-tidal concentrations of nitrous oxide: 8 (4), 8 (5), 2 (1)%; oxygen: 11 (4), -10 (6), 2 (1.1)%; nitrogen: 0.9 (0.6), -0.8 (0.6), 0.2 (0.1) vol%; carbon dioxide: 1.8 (0.6), 1.8 (0.6), 0.2 (0.1) vol%; desflurane, stage 2: 8 (4), 4 (7), 4 (2)%, vs 15 (6), -10 (8), 9 (4)% for stage 1. CONCLUSION: Administration of inhalation anaesthesia can be based on version 2 of this model, but must be guided by active monitoring.

Adolescent↗

Linkage analysis with an alternative formulation for the mixed model of inheritance: the finite polygenic mixed model.

This paper presents an extension of the finite polygenic mixed model of Fernando et al. (1994) to linkage analysis. The finite polygenic mixed model, extended for linkage analysis, leads to a likelihood that can be calculated using efficient algorithms developed for oligogenic models. For comparison, linkage analysis of 5 simulated 4021-member pedigrees was performed using the usual mixed model of inheritance, approximated by Hasstedt (1982), and the finite polygenic mixed model extended for linkage analysis presented here. Maximum likelihood estimates of the finite polygenic mixed model could be inferred to be closer to the simulated values in these pedigrees.

Genetic Linkage↗

Using hierarchical models to analyse clinical indicators: a comparison of the gamma-Poisson and beta-binomial models.

BACKGROUND: Clinical indicators (CIs) are used to assess, compare and determine the potential to improve the care provided by hospitals and physicians. The results for Australian hospitals in 1998-2000 have been reported using a new methodology. The gamma-Poisson hierarchical model was used to correct for the effects of sampling variation by obtaining the empirical Bayesian shrunken estimates for the CI proportions for each hospital. Then, an estimate of the potential system gains that could be achieved if the mean proportion was shifted to the 20th centile is obtained for each of the 185 CIs. The results are sed to prioritize quality improvement activity. OBJECTIVES: To describe the 20th centile method of calculating potential system gains in the health care system; to determine the impact of using the beta-binomial model rather than the gamma-Poisson model to obtain shrunken estimates for the CI proportions; and to compare the computationally simpler Method of Moments (MoM) with the maximum likelihood (ML) method for parameter estimation. METHODS: The formulae for the gamma-Poisson and beta-binomial shrinkage estimators were compared analytically. Each of the shrinkage estimators and the two methods of parameter estimation were applied to the Obstetric and Gynecological CIs, and the results compared. RESULTS The comparison of the formulae for the two shrinkage estimators showed that the gamma-Poisson model results in: greater shrinkage towards the overall mean. This was verified empirically using the clinical indicators. Additionally, the MoM was not a viable alternative to the ML method. CONCLUSIONS: The gamma-Poisson model provided smaller estimates of the potential system gains by up to 6.7% of the numerator for the clinical indicators. The difference in estimation increased with increasing mean proportions and between-hospital variation. We recommend that the beta-binomial model should be used on the basis of both theoretical and empirical grounds.

Australia↗

Solvent entropy-driven searching for protein modeling examined and tested in simplified models.

Solvent entropy is a force to consider in protein folding and protein design but is difficult to model. It is investigated here in the context of the hp model: Two types of residues, hydrophobic and hydrophilic, are modeled on a lattice. Nine chains and two- and three-dimensional simulations are compared. We show that considering solvent entropy alone, efficient folding of lattice chains (identification of the native fold) can be achieved by an entropy-driven simulation on its own. Moreover, in a detailed comparison over a wide range of parameters, entropy-guided searching outperforms an energy-driven search in the model. The combination of energy- and entropy-driven search yields the most efficient searching. It is compared in detail with the above results, indicating also how this solvent shell model may advantageously be implemented in more complex protein modeling simulations.

Computer Simulation↗

Sensitivity analysis of a physiological model for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD): assessing the impact of specific model parameters on sequestration in liver and fat in the rat.

2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) has dose-dependent tissue distribution because of induction of CYP1A2, a TCDD-binding protein, in the liver. Induction requires transcriptional activation of the CYP1A2 gene product by TCDD and the Ah receptor. An empirical model for dose-dependent distribution (Carrier et al., 1995, Toxicol. Appl. Pharmacol. 131, 253-266) included two simple descriptors: one for the maximum liver sequestration (Fmax) and the other for body burden leading to half maximum sequestration (Kd). Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models include specific parameters for protein receptors, protein binding, tissue solubility, and protein induction. We have applied a PBPK model to define two macroscopic constants related to these dose-response curves, i.e., the inflection point, and the maximum values of these curves. The dose-response curves generated from the PBPK model were for the proportion sequestered in liver and the liver to fat concentration ratio. Our analysis assessed the specific biological factors in the PBPK model that governed the values of these two macroscopic constants. For the fraction in liver, the Hill coefficient (a shape exponent describing the relationship between the Ah receptor-TCDD complex with the DNA receptor) resulted in the largest shift in inflection when using PBPK model parameters specific for TCDD. For the liver to fat ratio, the inflection point was most affected by the number of available Ah receptors. Conventional normalized sensitivity coefficients for the liver-to-fat ratio at the maximum were highest for the fat-to-blood partition coefficient, CYP1A2 binding affinity, and maximum extent of induction of CYP1A2. A similar pattern was observed for the liver fraction, except that the sensitivity coefficients were much smaller. The behavior of different TCDD congeners was evaluated by altering the value of key parameters. Our results demonstrate that the inflection point is more related to characteristics of DNA binding/induction steps of the Ah receptor-DNA complex than by the CYP1A2 affinity of TCDD or concentrations of CYP1A2. Surprisingly, the maximum is more sensitive to changes in CYP1A2 concentrations and affinity for TCDD. In addition, the analysis showed that the liver-to-fat ratio is a more useful experimental measure than is proportion in liver because the ratio responds with similar sensitivity over a much wider range of input parameters.

Adipose Tissue↗

Kinetic modeling of beta-chloroprene metabolism: II. The application of physiologically based modeling for cancer dose response analysis.

beta-Chloroprene (2-chloro-1,3-butadiene; CD), which is used in the synthesis of polychloroprene, caused significant incidences of several tumor types in B6C3F1 mice and Fischer rats, but not in Wistar rats or Syrian hamsters. This project investigates the relevance of the bioassay lung tumor findings to human health risk by developing a physiologically based toxicokinetic (PBTK) model and exploring a tissue specific exposure-dose-response relationship. Key steps included identification of the plausible genotoxic mode of action, experimental quantification of tissue-to-air partition coefficients, scaling of in vitro parameters of CD metabolism for input into the PBTK model, comparing the model with in vivo experimental gas uptake data, selecting an appropriate tissue dosimetric, and predicting a corresponding human exposure concentration. The total daily milligram amount of CD metabolized per gram of lung was compared with the animal bioassay response data, specifically combined bronchiolar adenoma/carcinoma. The faster rate of metabolism in mouse lung agreed with the markedly greater incidence of lung tumors compared with the other rodent species. A lung tissue dose was predicted for the combined rodent lung tumor bioassay data at a 10% benchmark response. A human version of the PBTK model predicted that the lung tissue dose in humans would be equivalent to continuous lifetime daily exposure of 23 ppm CD. PBTK model sensitivity analysis indicated greater dependence of model predictions of dosimetry on physiological than biochemical parameters. The combined analysis of lung tumor response across species using the PBTK-derived internal dose provides an improved alternative to default pharmacokinetic interspecies adjustments for application to human health risk assessment.

Adipose Tissue↗

A revised stylized model of the adult extrathoracic and thoracic airways for use with the ICRP-66 human respiratory tract model.

The extrathoracic airways and lymph nodes have not yet been represented explicitly in mathematical or stylized models of the human body utilized in the transport of photons internally between source and target organs. Currently, the ICRP assumes that the extrathoracic airways are reasonably approximated by using the thyroid or brain as the surrogate source and target region within the ICRP 66 respiratory tract model. In the present study, a new mathematical model was created to explicitly consider the extrathoracic airways, as well as other respiratory structures in the thorax of the adult. The model incorporates the MIRD model of the adult head and neck, and the ORNL model of the adult torso/legs. Additional defining equations are established for the external nose, nasal cavity, nasal sinuses (frontal, ethmoid, sphenoid, and maxillary sinuses), oral cavity, larynx, pharynx, trachea, and main bronchi. Use of the thyroid as a surrogate source for photon emissions in the ET1 and ET2 tissues is shown to provide either close or conservative values of specific absorbed fraction to target organs such as the lungs or breasts at energies exceeding 50-100 keV. At lower energies, surrogate-region values of SAF underestimate dose to target organs in ways highly dependent upon the source/target configuration. The use of the brain as a surrogate source for ET1 and ET2 tissues irradiating the thyroid is shown to result in SAF values that are lower than values of SAF(thyroid<--ET1) by factors of approximately 2-3, and lower than values of SAF(thyroid<--ET2) by factors of approximately 30 at photon energies >50 keV. At energies <50 keV, values of SAF(thyroid<--ET2) are shown to be orders of magnitude higher than the ICRP 66 default given by SAF(thyroid<--brain).

Adult↗

Modelling valuations for Eq-5d health states: an alternative model using differences in valuations.

OBJECTIVES: The EQ-5D is a preference-based measure of health and is increasingly being used in the evaluation of health technologies. A 'tariff' of values for all 243 EQ-5D health states has been generated using direct valuations on a subset of these states. The tariff is used to express the value of differences between health states, and so this paper explores whether a tariff with better predictive ability can be calculated using differences between values rather than using the values themselves. METHODS: The original tariff (reported in this journal) was based on valuations for 42 EQ-5D states elicited from a representative sample of 2997 members of the UK general population using the time trade-off method. This same data are used to estimate a tariff based upon the differences in value between the worst possible state (33333) and all other states. RESULTS: A simple model that fits the data well is one in which the differences in value between 33333 and all other states are explained in terms of the change in each dimension plus a term to pick up whether some dimensions change by the maximum amount whereas others do not change at all. The mean absolute difference between the actual values and those predicted by this model is 0.03 (compared with 0.039 in the original model). CONCLUSION: The model presented in this paper predicts the difference between 33333 and all other states remarkably well and can be used to generate a tariff for all EQ-5D health states. In fact, this model more accurately predicts the values of states for which there are direct observations, and so we recommend its comparison with the original model in evaluative studies.

Activities of Daily Living↗

A model for acute, chronic, and delayed graded compression of the dog cauda equina. Presentation of the gross, microscopic, and vascular anatomy of the dog cauda equina and accuracy in pressure transmission of the compression model.

STUDY DESIGN: A new model for controlled, graded compression of the dog cauda equina was developed using the dog lumbar spine. The model was defined regarding macroscopic, microscopic, and vascular anatomy and regarding accuracy in pressure transmission. OBJECTIVES: The study was performed to develop a model for controlled, graded compression that would allow for acute, chronic, and delayed compression. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: There has been an increasing interest for the reactions of the spinal nerve roots to mechanical deformation. The previously used models have had limitations regarding the duration and the onset of the compression and possibilities for a controlled variation of the compression pressure on chronically compressed nerve roots. METHODS: Macroscopic examination, light microscopy, and ink injection of the vasculature was used to assess the anatomic characteristics of the nerve tissue and the vasculature of the cauda equina in the dog lower lumbar spine. The relation between known pressures in the compression balloon used to compress the cauda equina and the pressure in the central thecal sac was assessed by measuring the pressure in an artificial thecal sac with a pressure transducer. RESULTS. The neural and vascular anatomy was found to have a close resemblance to the human cauda equina. The pressure in the thecal sac was within 5% of the pressure in the compression balloon at various pressures between 0-200 mm Hg. CONCLUSION: The presented model provides a good pressure transmission to the dog cauda equina, which has an anatomy that closely resembles the human cauda equina. The model may be well suited for physiologic studies of cauda equina compression. A double-balloon system may provide unique opportunities to induce chronic compression and delayed compression, i.e., additional compression after a certain time of chronic compression to resemble the changes in pressure that are characteristic for neurogenic claudication.

Animals↗

A model for chronic nerve root compression studies. Presentation of a porcine model for controlled, slow-onset compression with analyses of anatomic aspects, compression onset rate, and morphologic and neurophysiologic effects.

STUDY DESIGN: Compression onset rate, anatomic aspects, and morphologic and neurophysiologic effects in spinal nerve roots were studied in a nerve root compression model in pigs. OBJECTIVES: To analyze the compression onset rate by measuring the gradual reduction of the inner diameter of the constrictor, the motor nerve conduction velocity by electromyography, the morphologic changes by light microscopy, and the gross and vascular anatomy by dissection and ink injections, respectively, in a model for experimental chronic nerve root compression. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Chronic nerve root compression is recognized to be related to back pain syndromes, including sciatica. Various aspects of morphologic and physiologic changes have been studied previously in models for acute compression and chronic nerve root irritation, but a controlled, graded chronic nerve root compression model has not been described. METHODS: An ameroid constrictor was applied around a spinal nerve root just cranial to the dorsal root ganglion. The inner diameter of this constrictor gradually becomes reduced. After 1 week or 4 weeks, electromyographic measurements were performed, and tissue samples were harvested for histologic analyses. The gross and vascular anatomy of the pigs' spinal nerve roots were studied by dissection and ink injections. RESULTS: There was a statistically significant decrease in the nerve conduction velocity in compressed compared with noncompressed spinal nerve roots after 1 week and after 4 weeks. The ameroid constrictors induced nerve fiber damage, endoneural hyperemia, bleeding, and inflammation at the compression zone. There was often a severe reduction in the number of myelinated fibers after 4 weeks. CONCLUSION: A model for controlled, chronic, partial nerve root injury using a gradual compression-onset constrictor is presented. This model allows for induction of a controlled graded chronic nerve root injury and can be used for research on basic pathophysiologic mechanisms and on the effects of various interventions on nerve root injury development.

Animals↗

Developing a new model for cross-cultural research: synthesizing the Health Belief Model and the Theory of Reasoned Action.

This article discusses the development of a new model representing the synthesis of two models that are often used to study health behaviors: the Health Belief Model and the Theory of Reasoned Action. The new model was developed as the theoretic framework for an investigation of the factors affecting participation by Mexican migrant workers in tuberculosis screening. Development of the synthesized model evolved from the concern that models used to investigate health-seeking behaviors of mainstream Anglo groups in the United States might not be appropriate for studying migrant workers or persons from other cultural backgrounds.

Cross-Cultural Comparison↗

The hybrid model: a new pharmacokinetic model for computer-controlled infusion pumps.

Classical pharmacokinetic models used in computer-controlled infusion pumps (CCIPs) assume instantaneous mixing of drug in blood; however, the average recirculation time of blood in man is approximately one minute. To investigate the effects of recirculation dynamics on the transient performance of CCIPs, we propose a hybrid physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model for the narcotic alfentanil. A three-compartment model was derived from the response of the hybrid model to a short infusion and used to compute a CCIP infusion targeting 450 micrograms/l. For this infusion, the hybrid model predicts that the arterial plasma concentration will overshoot the target concentration by 39 percent with an average prediction error of 3 percent. The overshoot and average prediction error increase to 100 and 25 percent respectively when using a three-compartment pharmacokinetic model derived from a bolus. The overshoot can be reduced by decreasing the maximum possible infusion rate, or by increasing the zero-order hold infusion interval.

Alfentanil↗

Modeling of surface myoelectric signals--Part II: Model-based signal interpretation.

Experimental electromyogram (EMG) data from the human biceps brachii were simulated using the model described in [10] of this work. A multichannel linear electrode array, spanning the length of the biceps, was used to detect monopolar and bipolar signals, from which double differential signals were computed, during either voluntary or electrically elicited isometric contractions. For relatively low-level voluntary contractions (10%-30% of maximum force) individual firings of three to four-different motor units were identified and their waveforms were closely approximated by the model. Motor unit parameters such as depth, size, fiber orientation and length, location of innervation and tendonous zones, propagation velocity, and source width were estimated using the model. Two applications of the model are described. The first analyzes the effects of electrode rotation with respect to the muscle fiber direction and shows the possibility of conduction velocity (CV) over- and under-estimation. The second focuses on the myoelectric manifestations of fatigue during a sustained electrically elicited contraction and the interrelationship between muscle fiber CV, spectral and amplitude variables, and the length of the depolarization zone. It is concluded that a) surface EMG detection using an electrode array, when combined with a model of signal propagation, provides a useful method for understanding the physiological and anatomical determinants of EMG waveform characteristics and b) the model provides a way for the interpretation of fatigue plots.

Action Potentials↗

On modeling biomedical ultrasound RF echoes using a power-law shot-noise model.

We propose a new model for the RF ultrasound echo, namely the power-law shot-noise process. Based on this model, the in-phase and quadrature components of the echo are shown to exhibit 1/f beta-type spectral behavior, in a sense that is defined in the paper. The envelope also exhibits this type of spectral behavior, but with a different exponent. This result explains the experimental observations by other researchers of the power-law trend of the RF echo spectrum. Although the shot-noise model has been used in the past for modeling the RF echo, this is the first time that a power-law impulse response filter is used and that the resulting 1/f beta-type spectral behavior of the RF echo has been investigated. The model parameters are linked to tissue characteristics, such as scatterer density and attenuation; thus, they have the potential to be used as tissue characterization features. The validity of the proposed model is tested based on a database of 100 clinical ultrasound images of the breast.

Biomedical Engineering↗

A semiparametric model for accurate camera response function modeling and exposure estimation from comparametric data.

A fundamentally new approach that accurately estimates the camera response function from comparametric data, i.e., pixel data from two differently exposed images over a common field of view, is presented. It does so by solving for the camera response function from its associated comparametric relation. The approach offers several advantageous features, including having a complexity that is independent of the number of pixel data considered, allowing for the modeling of saturated pixels, enabling an inherently constrained optimization problem to be solved in an unconstrained manner, and the easy incorporation into an existing framework for joint image registration. This is accomplished by approximating the camera response function with a constrained piecewise linear model so that its solution, within the comparametric camera relation, can be obtained. This results in a semiparametric comparametric model, optimally determined from pixel data, which is directly parameterized in terms of the exposure parameter. Subsequently, it is shown how this semiparametric model is used for exposure estimation from captured images. Finally, we incorporate the semiparametric model within an existing and previously published framework for simultaneous and joint spatial and tonal image registration in order to illustrate the developed model's performance.

Algorithms↗

Modeling of driver's collision avoidance maneuver based on controller switching model.

This paper presents a modeling strategy of human driving behavior based on the controller switching model focusing on the driver's collision avoidance maneuver. The driving data are collected by using the three-dimensional (3-D) driving simulator based on the CAVE Automatic Virtual Environment (CAVE), which provides stereoscopic immersive virtual environment. In our modeling, the control scenario of the human driver, that is, the mapping from the driver's sensory information to the operation of the driver such as acceleration, braking, and steering, is expressed by Piecewise Polynomial (PWP) model. Since the PWP model includes both continuous behaviors given by polynomials and discrete logical conditions, it can be regarded as a class of Hybrid Dynamical System (HDS). The identification problem for the PWP model is formulated as the Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) by transforming the switching conditions into binary variables. From the obtained results, it is found that the driver appropriately switches the "control law" according to the sensory information. In addition, the driving characteristics of the beginner driver and the expert driver are compared and discussed. These results enable us to capture not only the physical meaning of the driving skill but the decision-making aspect (switching conditions) in the driver's collision avoidance maneuver as well.

Accidents, Traffic↗