PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “Predictive Learning Models”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

Machine Learning-Driven Prediction of Coronary Artery Disease Risk Based on UK Biobank Plasma Proteomics.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading global cause of mortality, yet the predictive accuracy of conventional risk models is limited. Here, we integrate conventional risk factors, polygenic risk scores, and large-scale proteomics to develop a unified model for enhanced CAD risk prediction. METHODS: Using data from UK Biobank, participants with plasma proteomics and genetic risk data were included after excluding prevalent CAD. Participants from England were split into training (n=32 330) and internal validation (n=13 857) sets, and Scotland/Wales participants formed an external validation set (n=5775). Incident CAD was ascertained from linked health records. A 202-protein proteomic risk score was derived by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression, and CatBoost models were trained using conventional risk factors alone and with incremental addition of polygenic risk scores and protein proteomic risk scores; Shapley Additive Explanations-guided forward selection identified a compact protein panel. RESULTS: Across cohorts, the median age was 58 years and ∼45% were men. Protein proteomic risk score was dose-dependently associated with CAD risk. Compared with conventional risk factors alone, integrating polygenic risk scores and protein proteomic risk scores improved discrimination, with the area under the curve increasing from 0.750 (95% CI, 0.732-0.767) to 0.789 (95% CI, 0.772-0.805) in internal validation and from 0.717 (95% CI, 0.683-0.750) to 0.762 (95% CI, 0.732-0.791) in external validation. A 9-protein panel (GDF15 [growth differentiation factor 15], MMP12 [matrix metalloproteinase 12], NPPB [natriuretic peptide B], PGF [placental growth factor], REN [renin], ADGRG2 [adhesion G-protein coupled receptor], ACE2 [angiotensin-converting enzyme 2], CDCP1 [CUB domain-containing protein 1], CXCL17 [C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 17)]) captured most proteomic predictive information. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that integrating conventional risk factors, polygenic risk scores, and proteomic data improves CAD risk prediction. This study highlights the utility of proteomics in precision cardiovascular medicine and simplified risk stratification tools.

Humans↗

Artificial intelligence in treatment prediction for skeletal Class III malocclusion: A systematic review.

In skeletal Class III patients, treatment options range from orthodontics to orthognathic surgery. Choosing the optimal approach requires a comprehensive clinical evaluation, which may be supported by AI tools. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of AI models in predicting the need for orthognathic surgery and in identifying predictors influencing treatment decisions. A PRISMA-guided electronic database search (PubMed, Web of Science; 2009-2024; English/French) was performed to identify studies using machine learning (ML) or deep learning (DL) on cephalometric and clinical data. After screening and assessment for eligibility, 15 studies were critically appraised. Model performance was summarized using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC). ML algorithms (particularly Random Forest and XGBoost) and DL models (ResNet-based convolutional neural networks (CNNs)) achieved high accuracy for predicting surgical need. Frequently selected predictors included Wits appraisal, ANB angle, the maxillomandibular ratio (Mx/Md), overjet, and the divergence of the lower gonial angle. AI methods show promise for assisting treatment decisions in Class III malocclusion, with Random Forest and XGBoost performing well on tabular cephalometric data and CNNs on imaging. Larger, multicentre datasets and external validation are needed to improve reliability, address bias, and support clinical implementation.

Humans↗

Prior knowledge and functionally relevant features in concept learning.

Empirical learning models have typically focused on statistical aspects of features (e.g., cue and category validity). In general, these models do not address the contact between people's prior knowledge that lies outside the category and their experiences of the category. A variety of extensions to these models are examined, which combine prior knowledge with empirical learning. Predictions of these models were compared in 4 experiments. These studies contrasted the cue and category validity of features with people's prior knowledge about the relevance of features to the functions of novel artifacts. The findings suggest that the influences of knowledge and experience are more tightly integrated than some models would predict. Furthermore, relatively straightforward ways of incorporating knowledge into an empirical learning algorithm appear insufficient (e.g., use of knowledge to weight features by general relevance or to individually weight features). Other extensions to these models are suggested that focus on the importance of intermediary features, coherence, and conceptual roles.

Adult↗

Multimodal features and prognostic risk assessment in locally advanced gastric cancer patients following neoadjuvant therapy based on machine learning algorithms: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is recommended for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC), but some patients respond poorly. We aimed to construct a multimodal model integrating CT images, transcriptomic sequencing, and clinicopathological data to assess prognosis in LAGC patients receiving NAT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This multicenter study included 505 LAGC patients who underwent NAT. Radiomic features were extracted from preoperative CT images of 505 patients. RNA-seq was performed on 277 post-NAT specimens, with additional data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;804). Patients were divided into training (168 cases), internal validation (72 cases), and external validation cohorts. Machine learning algorithms identified key radiomic, molecular, and clinical features associated with NAT response, which were then integrated into a multimodal model to predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: Six radiomic and three molecular features significantly associated with NAT response were selected. Radiomic risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.0, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and molecular risk (HR: 7.1, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) were independent prognostic factors. By integrating radiomic risk, molecular risk, and clinical characteristics, a multimodal model (MuMo) was constructed.The C-index results (OS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.855; DFS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.786) demonstrated that MuMo outperformed the single-modality models and ypTNM staging.Mechanistic analysis suggested that the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy was significantly enriched in immune-inflammatory pathways. CONCLUSIONS: MuMo can effectively predict postoperative survival risk in LAGC patients receiving NAT, serving as a powerful tool for optimizing prognostic assessment.

Humans↗

Complex hybrid models combining deterministic and machine learning components for numerical climate modeling and weather prediction.

A new practical application of neural network (NN) techniques to environmental numerical modeling has been developed. Namely, a new type of numerical model, a complex hybrid environmental model based on a synergetic combination of deterministic and machine learning model components, has been introduced. Conceptual and practical possibilities of developing hybrid models are discussed in this paper for applications to climate modeling and weather prediction. The approach presented here uses NN as a statistical or machine learning technique to develop highly accurate and fast emulations for time consuming model physics components (model physics parameterizations). The NN emulations of the most time consuming model physics components, short and long wave radiation parameterizations or full model radiation, presented in this paper are combined with the remaining deterministic components (like model dynamics) of the original complex environmental model--a general circulation model or global climate model (GCM)--to constitute a hybrid GCM (HGCM). The parallel GCM and HGCM simulations produce very similar results but HGCM is significantly faster. The speed-up of model calculations opens the opportunity for model improvement. Examples of developed HGCMs illustrate the feasibility and efficiency of the new approach for modeling complex multidimensional interdisciplinary systems.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Inclusion of Multi-Omic Biomarkers Improves Prediction Accuracy of Response, Relapse, and Overall Survival in Acute Myeloid Leukemia Patients Receiving High-Intensity Induction Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Despite advancements in genetic markers for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) risk stratification, outcome prediction remains challenging due to disease heterogeneity and dynamic genetic changes, highlighting the need for reliable biomarkers to improve AML treatment strategies and patient outcomes. To refine outcome predictions, we investigated the use of microbial-derived biomarkers to predict composite complete remission (CRc), relapse, and survival for patients on high- and low-intensity regimens, and to integrate those variables into the widely clinically utilized European Leukemia Network (ELN-2022) genetic risk classification model for high-intensity-treated patients. METHODS: We first developed machine learning models that integrate baseline fecal metabolomics, 16S rRNA-based stool microbiome features, and clinical metadata (sex, antibiotic administration, AML somatic mutations, and cytogenetics) from two cohorts of AML patients (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;83) undergoing remission induction chemotherapy. Univariate tests and sparse canonical correlation analysis were employed for variable selection and to explore fecal metabolite-microbe relationships. A robust machine learning approach using XGBoost was employed, with 100 stratified data splits (80% training, 20% testing) and coarse-to-fine hyperparameter optimization. Variable importance was aggregated across all models to select key predictors. RESULTS: For high-intensity-treated patients, XGBoost models achieved aggregated AUROC scores of 0.719, 0.729, and 0.65 for CRc, relapse, and overall survival, respectively. For low-intensity-treated patients, these models achieved aggregate AUROC scores of 0.945, 0.724, and 0.768 for these same outcomes, respectively. Integrating the biomarkers identified in the high-intensity machine-learning models with the current ELN-2022 AML risk stratification system effectively stratified patients into risk categories, which obtained higher concordance indices and likelihood ratios, demonstrating improved prognostic accuracy for each outcome compared to ELN-2022 alone. CONCLUSIONS: The inclusion of microbial-derived biomarkers serves as a robust prognostic tool to improve outcome prediction in AML patients, highlighting the potential of its integration into AML risk assessment and paving the way for personalized treatment strategies and improved patient outcomes.

Humans↗

Machine learning prognostic model and drug survival analysis for lung adenocarcinoma in the context of radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) receiving radiotherapy represent an important but underexplored clinical subgroup. These patients often undergo concomitant pharmacologic treatments, yet the prognostic impact and underlying determinants of such combined regimens remain poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: This retrospective observational study aimed to develop and validate a radiotherapy-specific machine learning prognostic model for LUAD and to compare survival across concomitant pharmacologic regimens. METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, using genomic and clinical data from TCGA, a radiotherapy-specific prognostic model for LUAD was developed and validated through ten machine learning algorithms. Survival analyses were conducted across distinct concomitant pharmacologic strategies, followed by functional enrichment to elucidate molecular mechanisms underlying differential outcomes. RESULTS: Demonstrating robust prognostic abilities, the model efficiently sorted patients into high- and low-risk categories. Both treatment type and risk score independently predicted overall survival, with significant interaction effects. Low-risk patients receiving targeted or combination therapy-mainly erlotinib, gefitinib, or bevacizumab-exhibited substantially improved survival compared with those receiving conventional chemotherapy. Enrichment of "Exogenous peptide presentation," "MHC class II assembly," "Peptide-MHC II assembly," and "Symbiotic interaction" pathways indicated immune modulation and host-tumor crosstalk as key mediators of treatment efficacy. CONCLUSION: This study establishes a radiotherapy-specific prognostic model for lung adenocarcinoma, demonstrating distinct molecular and therapeutic heterogeneity and highlighting the superior survival benefit of targeted combination therapy in low-risk patients.

Humans↗

Prognostic significance of DNA damage response-related markers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma using machine learning approaches.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) lacks reliable prognostic biomarkers. Homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) has been implicated in genomic instability across multiple cancers, but its prognostic significance in ESCC remains unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate HRD score as a prognostic biomarker and develop a machine learning-based predictive model for ESCC. METHODS: Transcriptomic and clinical data from 78 ESCC patients were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and randomly split into training (70%) and test (30%) cohorts. Prognostic models were constructed using 112 machine learning algorithm combinations based on DNA damage response (DDR)-related genes. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), somatic mutation profiling, and immune cell infiltration estimation via CIBERSORT were performed to characterize HRD-associated molecular features. RESULTS: High HRD scores were significantly associated with poorer overall survival (P<0.05). Among 112 algorithm combinations, the survival support vector machine (Survival-SVM) model demonstrated optimal performance [training concordance index (C-index): 0.741; test C-index: 0.708], identifying six hub genes: PARP1, MBD4, TELO2, NSMCE3, SMUG1, and BABAM1. A nomogram incorporating risk score (RS) and clinical variables achieved strong predictive accuracy for 1- to 3-year survival [area under the curve (AUC) >0.7]. High-HRD tumors exhibited distinct mutational patterns (TP53 and TTN) and enriched glutathione metabolism and cytochrome P450 pathways. Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant differences in plasma cell and neutrophil infiltration between risk groups (P<0.05), suggesting HRD-associated immune microenvironment remodeling. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel HRD-based prognostic model incorporating six DDR-related genes that demonstrates robust predictive performance in ESCC. HRD score is identified as an independent prognostic factor associated with genomic instability, immune microenvironment alterations, and clinical outcomes. These findings provide a theoretical basis for personalized treatment strategies, including potential applications of PARP inhibitors and immunotherapy in ESCC.

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC)↗

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Applications in Fibromuscular Dysplasia: Transforming Diagnosis, Risk Stratification, and Clinical Decision-Making.

Fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD) is a non-atherosclerotic vascular disorder with heterogeneous presentations, making diagnosis and management highly dependent on imaging and clinical expertise. This narrative review examines how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are transforming FMD care. AI-enhanced imaging, particularly convolutional neural network-based analysis, improves detection of the characteristic "string-of-beads" pattern on CT angiography, magnetic resonance angiography, and ultrasound, although FMD-specific validation remains limited. ML models facilitate risk stratification, prediction of disease progression, and early identification of complications such as aneurysms and stroke by integrating clinical, imaging, and genomic data. AI-driven clinical decision support systems further enable personalized treatment selection through pharmacogenomic insights and robot-assisted interventions. Despite promising real-world applications, challenges persist, including limited large-scale datasets, workflow integration, regulatory barriers, and algorithmic bias affecting underrepresented populations. Future advances in explainable AI, federated learning, and digital health integration may enable a shift toward predictive, patient-centered FMD management.

Humans↗

How the shape of pre- and postsynaptic signals can influence STDP: a biophysical model.

Spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP) is described by long-term potentiation (LTP), when a presynaptic event precedes a postsynaptic event, and by long-term depression (LTD), when the temporal order is reversed. In this article, we present a biophysical model of STDP based on a differential Hebbian learning rule (ISO learning). This rule correlates presynaptically the NMDA channel conductance with the derivative of the membrane potential at the synapse as the postsynaptic signal. The model is able to reproduce the generic STDP weight change characteristic. We find that (1) The actual shape of the weight change curve strongly depends on the NMDA channel characteristics and on the shape of the membrane potential at the synapse. (2) The typical antisymmetrical STDP curve (LTD and LTP) can become similar to a standard Hebbian characteristic (LTP only) without having to change the learning rule. This occurs if the membrane depolarization has a shallow onset and is long lasting. (3) It is known that the membrane potential varies along the dendrite as a result of the active or passive backpropagation of somatic spikes or because of local dendritic processes. As a consequence, our model predicts that learning properties will be different at different locations on the dendritic tree. In conclusion, such site-specific synaptic plasticity would provide a neuron with powerful learning capabilities.

Action Potentials↗

Diagnostic performance of machine learning models for malignant and non-malignant pleural effusion: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Accurately distinguishing malignant pleural effusion (MPE) from non-malignant pleural effusion is clinically important, but the generalisability and methodological quality of machine-learning (ML) models remain uncertain. METHODS: We searched eight databases to 23 April 2026. Diagnostic performance was pooled using random-effects and Reitsma bivariate models, and study quality was assessed using PROBAST+AI. RESULTS: Forty-two studies were included; 17 contributed to the AUC meta-analysis and 14 to the bivariate analysis. The pooled AUC was 0.90 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.85-0.94; 95&#xa0;% prediction interval 0.62-0.98), with sensitivity of 0.80 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.77-0.83) and specificity of 0.87 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.79-0.92). Only nine studies reported external, temporal or independent validation. Externally validated studies had a lower pooled AUC than studies without external validation (0.83 vs 0.92), with lower specificity observed in the two externally validated studies contributing sensitivity and specificity data. All 42 development assessments had high overall quality concerns, and all 42 model evaluations were judged at high risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: ML models showed good apparent accuracy for distinguishing MPE from non-MPE, but the evidence was limited by substantial heterogeneity, high risk of bias and scarce external validation. The pooled estimates reflect the average performance of different selected models rather than the expected accuracy of a single clinical test. ML models should be regarded as adjuncts to existing diagnostic pathways until they are confirmed by rigorous multicentre prospective external validation and clinical-impact studies.

Humans↗

Leveraging structure-informed machine learning for fast steric zipper propensity prediction across whole proteomes.

Predicting the amyloid fold and the propensity of peptide segments to adopt amyloid-like structures remain a challenge. However, recent progress has facilitated structure-based prediction of steric zipper propensity and the use of machine learning to accelerate the calculation of predictive models across many scientific areas. Leveraging these advances, we have developed a new approach for rapid proteome-wide assessment of zipper profiles that is informed by four million steric zipper predictions collected over ten years. This collection is used to build a machine learning model capable of rapidly predicting steric zipper propensity, and allowing for the assessment of zippers at both the protein and proteome level. Our predictions show enrichment for zipper forming segments in proteins involved in cell wall reorganization in yeast, highlighting a potential category of interest for experimental characterization. Overall, our predictive model allows for the exploration of amyloid formation across the tree of life and provides a tool for assessment of both novel and designed sequences for zipper density.

Machine Learning↗

Prediction of gene expression using histone modification patterns extracted by Particle Swarm Optimization.

MOTIVATION: Histone modifications play an important role in transcription regulation. Although the general importance of some histone modifications for transcription regulation has been previously established, the relevance of others and their interaction is subject to ongoing research. By training Machine Learning models to predict a gene's expression and explaining their decision making process, we can get hints on how histone modifications affect transcription. In previous studies, trained models were either hardly explainable or the models were trained solely on the abundance of histone modifications. Based on other studies, which used histone modification patterns, rather than their abundance, to identify potential regulatory elements, we hypothesize the histone modification pattern in a gene's promoter to be more predictive for gene expression. We used an optimization algorithm to extract predictive histone modification profiles. RESULTS: Our algorithm called PatternChrome achieved an average area under curve (AUC) score of 0.9029 over 56 samples for binary classification, outperforming all previous algorithms for the same task. We explained the models decisions to deduce the effect of specific features, certain histone modifications or promoter positions on transcription regulation. Although the predictive histone modification patterns were extracted for each sample separately, they can be used to predict gene expression in other samples, implying that the created patterns are largely generalizable. Interestingly, the impact of histone modifications on gene regulation appears predominantly indifferent to cellular specificity. Through explanation of the classifier's decisions, we substantiate established literature knowledge while concurrently revealing novel insights into the intricate landscape of transcriptional regulation via histone modification. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The code for the PatternChrome algorithm, the scripts for the analyses and the required data can be found at (https://gitlab.gwdg.de/MedBioinf/generegulation/patternchrome).

Humans↗

Proteomic and machine learning analysis predicts treatment response signatures in Myasthenia Gravis.

BACKGROUND: Myasthenia gravis (MG) is a prototypical antibody-mediated autoimmune disease with variable treatment responses with a need for biomarkers to guide therapeutic decision making. Proteomic profiling, coupled with machine learning, offers a hypothesis-free approach to identify multi-protein signatures associated with treatment response. METHODS: We analyzed sera collected at entry (baseline) from participants in a phase 3 trial randomized trial comparing thymectomy plus prednisone versus prednisone alone, along with matched controls using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. We derived disease-specific proteomic signatures and evaluated associations between baseline proteins and 6-month clinical outcomes using multiple machine-learning approaches with internal validation. RESULTS: Baseline serum proteomes distinguished MG from controls, with pathway enrichment implicating complement activation, immunoglobulin production, and T-cell receptor signaling. Distinct protein panels predicted 6-month clinical improvement within each treatment arm. In the thymectomy-plus-prednisone group, models captured non-linear relationships of predictive proteins in contrast with the predominant additive patterns observed in the prednisone-alone group. Predictive proteins were enriched for T-cell signaling and leukocyte trafficking functions, providing insight into treatment-specific biology. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline serum proteomics captures core disease characteristics of MG and predicts short-term clinical response in a treatment-specific manner. While our results require validation in independent cohorts, these findings could enable biomarker-guided selection of thymectomy, refine risk stratification, and furnish mechanistic readouts for future MG trials and clinical care. We aim to conduct future studies using -omic approaches to validate these baseline predictive biomarkers and pathways of treatment response in patients with MG.

Adult↗

Classification of metabolites with kernel-partial least squares (K-PLS).

Numerous experimental and computational approaches have been developed to predict human drug metabolism. Since databases of human drug metabolism information are widely available, these can be used to train computational algorithms and generate predictive approaches. In turn, they may be used to assist in the identification of possible metabolites from a large number of molecules in drug discovery based on molecular structure alone. In the current study we have used a commercially available database (MetaDrug) and extracted a fraction of the human drug metabolism data. These data were used along with augmented atom descriptors in a predictive machine learning model, kernel-partial least squares (K-PLS). A total of 317 molecules, including parent drugs and their primary and secondary (sequential) metabolites, were used to build these models corresponding to individual metabolism rules, representing the formation of discrete metabolites, e.g., N-dealkylation. Each model was internally validated to assess the capability to classify other molecules that were left out. Using receiver operator curve statistics models for N-dealkylation, O-dealkylation, aromatic hydroxylation, aliphatic hydroxylation, O-glucuronidation, and O-sulfation gave area under the curve values from 0.75 to 0.84 and were able to predict between 61 and 79% active molecules upon leave-one-out testing. This preliminary study indicates that K-PLS and possibly other similar machine learning methods (such as support vector machines) can be applied to predicting human drug metabolite formation in a classification manner. Improvements can be achieved using considerably larger datasets that contain more positive examples for the less frequently occurring metabolite rules, as well as the external evaluation of novel molecules.

Biotransformation↗

Machine learning-guided risk stratification in elderly AML based on genomic, immunophenotypic and therapeutic profiles.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) exhibit considerable biological and clinical heterogeneity, hindering precise prognosis. Existing prognostic systems inadequately capture the complexity of elderly AML due to their reliance on data from younger cohorts and omission of key factors like immunophenotypic markers and therapeutic profiles. This study aimed to develop and internally validate a machine learning-based prognostic model specifically tailored to elderly AML patients. METHODS: A total of 156 patients were analyzed using a two-stage modeling strategy. Clinical and genomic variables were modeled first, followed by independent analysis of immunophenotypic features. Feature selection was performed using multilayer perceptron (MLP) and random forest (RF), while multivariate Cox regression was used for final model construction. Internal validation was conducted using 1000 bootstrap iterations to assess model stability and performance. RESULTS: The model demonstrated strong predictive performance, with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.702. Time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) and calibration plots confirmed accurate prediction of 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival. Decision curve analysis indicated favorable net benefit across a range of threshold probabilities. Key independent prognostic factors identified included TP53 mutations, high CD13 expression, and IDH2 mutations. CONCLUSION: This model provides a robust and interpretable tool for individualized risk stratification in elderly AML. By integrating genomic, immunophenotypic, and therapeutic variables, it may help optimize treatment decisions and improve outcomes for this vulnerable population. Future efforts should focus on external validation and integration of dynamic biomarkers.

Humans↗

Genomic signatures associated with epidemiologically defined high-risk pathogenic Escherichia coli isolates identified by interpretable machine learning.

Pathogenic Escherichia coli is a major cause of foodborne illness worldwide and includes strains capable of causing severe disease. To establish a genome-informed framework for foodborne outbreak surveillance, we analyzed 1,029 E. coli isolates from clinical, food, livestock, and environmental sources using whole-genome sequencing. Pathogenic isolates obtained from human clinical cases or linked to documented outbreaks were classified as epidemiologically defined high-risk (EpiHR), whereas the remaining pathogenic isolates were classified as non-EpiHR. Virulence-associated genomic features were extracted using a bioinformatics pipeline, and four machine learning (ML) algorithms, including gradient boosting machine, random forest (RF), and support vector machines with linear and radial basis function kernels, were evaluated. Among them, the RF model showed the best performance, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.98 and accuracy of 0.93 in 10-fold cross-validation. Additional leave-one-group-out validation showed retained discrimination across held-out sequence types and serotypes, although performance was reduced when isolates were grouped by isolation source. Evaluation using an independent test dataset of 1,908 publicly available pathogenic E. coli genomes showed an AUC of 0.97 and a sensitivity of 0.98. Feature importance analysis using Shapley additive explanations identified influential predictive features, including traT, etpB, and enterotoxin-associated genes. A reduced 10-feature model achieved an AUC of 0.79 in the independent test dataset, supporting its exploratory use for future simplified screening approaches. These results indicate that genome-based ML provides a sensitive framework for surveillance-oriented prioritization of EpiHR pathogenic E. coli isolates, with model predictions interpreted together with epidemiological information.

Escherichia coli↗

Predicting training outcomes for developmental dyslexia from EEG data.

Developmental dyslexia (DD) is characterised by lower-than-average reading abilities and is diagnosed in approximately 10% of individuals. The societal barriers may limit professional fulfilment and psychological wellbeing of individuals with DD, calling for the development of effective interventions to counteract them. As DD is associated with challenges in both phonological and visuo-attentional domains, different longitudinal training approaches were developed to strengthen them. However, they require a considerable amount of personal, social and economic resources and the outcomes may vary depending on individual differences in behavioural and neurophysiological functionality. Hence, predicting training outcomes might help in developing personalised treatment protocols and optimising the use of resources. In the present work we applied machine learning to resting-state EEG to predict longitudinal training outcomes in adults with DD enrolled in a randomized clinical trial. In particular, one group received a visuo-attentional training combined with transcranial alternating current stimulation (tACS), another group received visuo-attentional training with sham/placebo stimulation, and the third group received a phonological training with sham/placebo stimulation. The improvement in text reading speed was associated with spectral power in low-beta and individual frequencies in the alpha (IAF) and beta (IBF) bands, while the improvement in pseudoword reading was associated with IBF. The findings highlight the potential of capturing neural markers of treatment responsiveness in DD. Future studies should focus on the generalisability of predictive models to real-world settings, while investigating whether specific EEG markers predict responsiveness to distinct remediation protocols, thus supporting the development of personalised interventions.

Humans↗