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Long-term results of radical surgery for rectal cancer: multivariate analysis of prognostic factors influencing survival and local recurrence.

AIMS: To evaluate consistent radical surgery performed over a 13-year period for rectal cancer in terms of local tumour control and long-term survival. METHODS: Radical surgical procedure principally using total mesorectal excision (TME) for middle and lower rectal tumours, high ligation of the inferior mesenteric artery and sphincter-saving resections (SSR) whenever possible, has been performed prospectively since January 1984. RESULTS: Tumour resection was possible in 98.8% (636/644), potentially curative resections (UICC/AJCC R0 resection) in 85.7% (552/644) and sphincter preservation in 71.7% (462/644). Five- and 10-year observed survival rates, surgical mortality not excluded, for all patients were 49.2% and 37.4%. Tumour-adjusted 5- and 10-year survival rates were 60.5% and 55.3%. For curatively operated patients (UICC/AJCC R0) 5- and 10-year observed survival rates were 56.3% and 42.6% and tumour-adjusted survival rates were 68.6% and 62.7%. The 5- and 10-year local recurrence rates for R0 resected patients were 12.0% and 12.6%. Post-operative hospital mortality was 3.1%. CONCLUSIONS: Multivariate analysis using Cox's model identified increasing pT category and pN category, old age and low tumour location as detrimental factors having independent influence on survival. For local tumour failure only pT and pN category as well as adjuvant radiation therapy were identified in the Cox model as having an independent detrimental influence.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of survival in inflammatory breast cancer: impact of intensity of chemotherapy in multimodality treatment.

The prognosis of inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is poor. We evaluated clinical and biopathological characteristics that could affect survival in 74 women with nonmetastatic IBC consecutively treated in our institution between 1976 and 2000. Patients received primary anthracycline-based chemotherapy at conventional doses (n=20) or high-dose chemotherapy (HDC) with haematopoietic stem cell support (HSCS) (n=54). After chemotherapy, 84% of patients underwent mastectomy, 95% were given radiotherapy and 55% tamoxifen. Immunohistochemistry data (ER, PR, ERBB2, P53) on pre-chemotherapy specimens suggested strong differences between IBC and non-IBC. The rate of pathological complete response to chemotherapy was 26% (27% with HDC and 17% with conventional doses, not significant). No single factor was found predictive of response. With a median follow-up of 48 months after diagnosis, the 5-year projected disease-free survival (DFS) was 24% and overall survival (OS) 41%. In multivariate analysis, the strongest independent prognostic factor was the delivery of HDC. The 5-year DFS and OS of patients were respectively 28 and 50% with HDC and 15 and 18% with conventional chemotherapy. These results and comparisons with other series of patients suggest a role for HDC with HSCS as part of the therapeutic approach in IBC. Further prospective studies are required to confirm it.

Adult↗

[The zinc status in a selected Spanish population. A multivariate analysis].

There are no previous studies on the zinc status in the healthy, adult, Spanish population. The objective of this study was to obtain the levels of zinc in the serum and hair of this population to determine the normal nutritional status of zinc, and evaluating the influence of certain factors like age, sex, type of residence, body mass index (BMI) hair color, or recent food intake (zinc and fiber contents of the diet) on this status. Using a simple randomized sampling, 186 blood donors of both sexes with ages comprised between 18 and 65 years, were selected. The results were analyzed using uni- and multi-variate statistical techniques. The average concentration of zinc in serum was 97.22 micrograms/dl (95% CI: 95.1-99.4); the average zinc level in hair was 163.86 micrograms/g (95% CI: 157.8-169.9). The serum zinc was individually associated with the type of residence and the zinc and fiber contents of the diet. The zinc in hair was associated with sex, age, body mass index, and hair color. Using a multivariate analysis, predictive models of multiple regression were obtained for the serum zinc: y = 109.69 - 1.39 (dietary zinc) - 4.63 (sex) - 0.65 (dietary fiber), for the zinc in the serum, and y = 199.34 + 26.62 (sex) - 2.08 (BMI) - 0.47 (age) for the zinc in the hair. The serum concentration decreases as the dietary zinc and fiber decreases and women have lower levels. The zinc in hair is increased in women and is reduced with increasing age and BMI.

Adolescent↗

Multivariate analysis of relationships between insulin sensitivity and blood rheology: is plasma viscosity a marker of insulin resistance?

We previously reported in populations exhibiting all the spectrum of insulin sensitivity (SI) values correlations between SI and blood viscosity eta suggesting that high eta is an additional symptom of the insulin resistance syndrome. However, due to the elevation of insulinemia (I) which is usually associated with insulin resistance it remained to determine whether this relationship was explained by SI or I. We analyzed SI with the minimal model procedure in 108 nondiabetic subjects and analyzed correlations of SI with blood rheology (eta, RBC aggregation and rigidity). Across quartiles of SI (defined after log transformation since distribution of SI was not normal), hematocrit and red cell rigidity remained stable, while aggregability and plasma viscosity (etap) increased in the lowest quartile. SI was correlated to only two rheological parameters: etap (r= -0.280, p=0.005) and Myrenne index M1 (r= -0.219, p=0.044). Among SI, I, age and BMI multivariate analysis selected only BMI as a determinant of either whole blood viscosity (etawb: r= -0.301, p=0.004) and RBC disaggregation threshold (gammaD: r= -0.331, p=0.013), only I as determinant of M1 (r=0.254, p=0.03), and a combination of BMI (p=0.009) and SI (p=0.007) for etap. Although age and obesity are factors of hyperviscosity, the hemorheological disturbances found in insulin resistance are not fully statistically "explained" by those two factors. While hyperaggregability (measured with M1) is rather related to hyperinsulinism, etap is influenced by SI and should be further investigated as a simple marker for the follow up of insulin-resistant states.

Adult↗

[Coronary transluminal angioplasty after 70 years of age. Multivariate analysis of parameters influencing immediate results and long-term prognosis].

Between January 1986 and July 1990, 186 patients over 70 years of age underwent 215 transluminal coronary angioplasties. The patients' characteristics were: 117 men and 69 women; mean age 75.5 +/- 4 years (70-89 years): left ventricular ejection fraction 62 +/- 12%: 40% had previous myocardial infarction; 48% had single vessel disease; 80% had severe angina (19% Class III and 61% Class IV) and 58% of dilated vessels had calcification. In all, 276 vessels (1.3 patient) were dilated: one vessel in 77%, 2 vessels in 18% and 3 or more in 5% of patients. The primary success rate defined as a reduction of the diameter of stenosis below 50% was 81% (174/215 procedures) (85%-215/253 stenosis--in dilatations and 65%-15/23 obstructions--in attempted disobliterations). There were 4 deaths (2.1%), 12 Q wave infarcts (5.5%) and 5 non Q wave infarcts (2.3%), 2 emergency bypass grafts procedures and no cerebrovascular accidents. A multivariate analysis identified two factors which reduced the primary success rate: coronary calcification (p less than 0.02) and a history of previous infarction (p less than 0.02). Three factors were associated with an increased risk of perioperative infarction: the female sex, age greater than 75 years (p less than 0.01) and previous infarction (p less than 0.03). The first 154 patients were followed up for 25 +/- 14 months (8-61 months) without any patients being lost to follow-up. In this period, 16 patients died (11 of cardiac causes), 2 had non-fatal infarction, 13 underwent secondary aortocoronary bypass surgery and 30 patients (20%) developed an angiographic restenosis.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Age Factors↗

Improved local control and survival with the "sandwich" technique of pelvic radiotherapy for resectable rectal cancer. A retrospective, multivariate analysis.

PURPOSE: The following study was done to evaluate the therapeutic value of radiotherapy as an adjunct to surgery for rectal cancer patients. METHODS: One-hundred twenty-four patients underwent curative resection by one surgeon (RC) from 1982 to 1991. Forty patients received combined preoperative and postoperative (sandwich) radiotherapy, 30 patients received postoperative radiotherapy, and 54 patients were treated by surgery alone. During the study period sandwich radiotherapy was primarily offered as a free treatment option for patients with tumors which were believed to be transmurally invasive, whereas postoperative radiotherapy was an alternative therapeutic option offered to patients with tumor classified as Dukes B and C at histopathologic examination. RESULTS: Operative mortality was 2 percent in the sandwich radiotherapy group vs. 7 percent in the surgery alone group. After a median follow-up of 60 months, the actuarial locoregional recurrence rate at five years was 3 percent for the sandwich radiotherapy group compared with 18 and 30 percent for the postoperative radiotherapy and surgery alone groups, respectively (P = 0.019). A multivariate analysis using the Cox model confirmed the favorable independent influence of sandwich radiotherapy on local tumor control, especially in distal tumors. The therapeutic benefit of sandwich radiotherapy translated into increased survival in the low-rectum Dukes B subgroup of patients. The actuarial five-year survival rates were 86 percent, 50 percent, and 28 percent in the sandwich radiotherapy, postoperative radiotherapy and surgery alone groups, respectively (P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative radiotherapy has a significant effect on the prognosis of rectal cancer patients.

Adult↗

Survival superiority of females with melanoma. A multivariate analysis of 6383 patients exploring the significance of gender in prognostic outcome.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of gender on prognostic outcome of patients with melanoma. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study, including 20 years of follow-up. SETTING: Duke University Melanoma Clinic, Durham, NC, a referral center for patients with melanoma. PATIENTS: Patients with melanoma (N = 6383), consisting of 45% females and 55% males, obtained from a referred sample. Eligibility requirements were nonocular melanomas and white race. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to metastases and survival. RESULTS: Females with melanoma demonstrated a superior prognostic outcome over males, with a 34% survival advantage and a 28% disease-free advantage. When each of the variables of age, site, Clark's level, histologic type, and tumor thickness was explored for possible influences on prognostic outcome, female survival advantage persisted, although modified by independent variables. The greatest influence came from the variables of site, Clark's level, and Breslow's thickness. Age, specifically in premenopausal vs postmenopausal age groups, was not significant in altering females' prognostic advantage. A multivariate analysis combining the effects of all the variables resulted in females still maintaining a 22% survival advantage and a 17% disease-free advantage. CONCLUSIONS: Females with melanoma have a significant prognostic advantage over their male counterparts that cannot be fully explained by influences from the variables of age, site, Clark's level, histology, and Breslow's thickness. This superior prognostic outcome does not appear to be associated with menstrual status. Evidence does suggest that the protective factor for females occurs at the level of metastases.

Adult↗

Epithelial noncarcinoid tumors and tumor-like lesions of the appendix. A clinicopathologic study of 184 patients with a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.

BACKGROUND: The current understanding of appendiceal epithelial tumors is based on series composed of relatively small numbers of patients and on case reports. The aim of this study was to perform clinicopathologic correlation, particularly concerning prognosis, on a relatively large series of patients with epithelial tumors and tumor-like lesions of the human vermiform appendix. METHODS: One hundred eighty-four cases of simple mucoceles, hyperplastic polyps, adenomas, carcinomas, and mucinous tumors of uncertain malignant potential (UMP) were reviewed. Retrospective follow-up data were obtained in carcinoma and UMP tumor cases. RESULTS: Most neoplasms were of the mucinous type characteristic of the appendix, but a small fraction were nonmucinous and resembled neoplasms typical of the spectrum encountered in the colorectum. Both benign and malignant conditions in some cases showed acellular mucin dissecting the appendiceal wall and mucin outside the appendix. Immunostains were sometimes helpful in identifying epithelial cells within mucus, but hematoxylin and eosin and mucin stains were adequate in most cases. Two factors were significantly associated with survival by multivariate analysis: the presence of mucin outside the right lower quadrant of the abdomen and the presence of epithelial cells in the peritoneal cavity outside the appendix. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of mucin within the abdomen and the presence of cells outside the visceral peritoneum of the appendix are important prognostic factors that should be recorded in these neoplasms. Tumors designated as UMP lesions behave in a benign or low grade fashion.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Multivariate analysis for operative mortality in obstructive prosthetic valve dysfunction due to pannus and thrombus formation.

The objective of the present study was to investigate the risk factors for early hospital mortality in reoperations performed for obstructive prosthetic valve dysfunction. Between January 1994 and April 2005, 63 patients underwent reoperation for obstructive prosthetic valve dysfunction. The mean age of the patients was 40.3 +/- 12.8 years. The mitral valve was replaced in 47 (74.6%) patients, the aortic valve in 6 (9.5%) patients, and both valves in 10 (15.9%) patients. Forty-three (68.2%) patients underwent emergency reoperations. Early hospital mortality occurred in 13 (20.6%) patients. The ethiology of the valve dysfunction was pannus formation in 45 (71.4%) patients and thrombus formation in 18 (28.6%). Pannus and thrombus were localized at the atrial side of the prosthetic valve in 15 (23.9%) patients, at the ventricular side in 13 (20.6%), and at both sides in 35 (55.5%). Inadequate anticoagulation was diagnosed in 28 of 63 (44.4%) patients. The mean INR level in these 28 patients was 1.43 +/- 0.24. In multivariate analysis, the only risk factor for early hospital mortality was left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0.015; Odds: 0.000, 95% CI: 0.000-0.043). It is concluded reoperations for prosthetic valve dysfunction have a high mortality rate. This study revealed that left ventricular dysfunction is the major determinant of surgical mortality in patients requiring reoperation for valve dysfunction due to pannus or thrombus.

Adolescent↗

Long-term results (7 to 10 years) of endoscopic papillotomy for choledocholithiasis. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for the recurrence of biliary symptoms.

BACKGROUND: The long-term outcome after endoscopic papillotomy is poorly defined. The aim of this study was to determine the long-term results of this method in the treatment of common duct calculi and to determine which prognostic factors are associated with the relapse of biliary symptoms. METHODS: Between 1985 and 1988, 223 consecutive (149 women, mean age 67.9 years) patients underwent endoscopic papillotomy for duct stones; 127 had already undergone cholecystectomy or underwent this operation during the same hospitalization. Follow-up data were obtained retrospectively from the patients and patients' relatives and general practitioners. RESULTS: The procedure was successful in 217 of 223 cases (97%), of which 203 were followed-up; 2 patients died in the first month after treatment (0.89%). Mean follow-up for the 201 patients was 6.2 years, during which 31 relapsed (15%). Three significant prognostic factors for late complications were identified in a multivariate analysis. The recurrence rate of biliary symptoms in patients who were left with an in situ gallbladder was 20.2%, and 11% for those whose gallbladder was removed (p = 0.04). Patients with a bile duct 15 mm or greater in diameter were more prone to recurrence of symptoms than those with a bile duct 10 mm or less in diameter (41% vs. 10%, p = 0.025) and were especially at higher risk to develop recurrent stones (19.5% vs. 4.9%, p = 0.019). Stone recurrence, but not biliary symptoms as a whole, was more frequent in patients with a peripapillary diverticulum (p = 0.035). CONCLUSIONS: The long-term results of endoscopic papillotomy are comparable with those of surgical techniques. The prognostic factors associated with relapse of biliary symptoms as a whole are gallbladder left in situ and choledochal diameter. Bile duct size and peripapillary diverticula are associated with recurrent bile duct stones.

Adult↗

Quantitative assessment of technetium-99m methoxyisobutylisonitrile planar perfusion heart studies: application of multivariate analysis to patient classification.

A quantified evaluation of planar cardiac perfusion scintigrams (the objective of the study), obtained using technetium-99m methoxyisobutylisonitrile (MIBI) was performed on the basis of an analysis of circumferential profile curves, representing the perfusion as seen in three typical projections. The analysis involved the curves obtained both at rest and after stress, and was based on a comparison of their shape (trend) with the normal trend (normative evaluation). The latter was obtained by means of an original method of iterative fitting of individual curves into the database. The base consisted of curves recorded in 53 patients (separately in males and females) with normal perfusion of the left ventricle (group I, the reference group). A group of 90 patients suspected of having coronary artery disease (group II) was subdivided into two subgroups on the basis of coronary arteriography: (a) those with and (b) those without critical stenosis of at least one artery. Profile curves characterising the LV perfusion were obtained at rest and after stress. Defects of perfusion were quantified by comparison of individual curves with the normal trends. By means of multivariate analysis it was demonstrated that vectors of mean values characterising the scintigraphically assessed defects of LV perfusion in the two subgroups of group II differed very significantly (P < 10(-5)). Applying methods of discriminant analysis, a classification of patients from group II was performed into those with probable defects of perfusion and those free of such defects. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of diagnosis of coronary ischaemia, based on quantified planar 99mTc-MIBI scintigraphy, reached 86%, 87% and 87%, respectively.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of factors associated with postoperative pulmonary complications following general elective surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model identifying perioperative conditions associated with postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). DESIGN: A prospective survey of patients whose preoperative history and physical examination, spirometric, PaO2 and PaCO2 analysis, and operative results were recorded. These patients underwent postoperative cardiopulmonary examinations until they were discharged from the hospital; their medical records were also reviewed until they were discharged from the hospital. SETTING: The Louisville Veterans Administration Medical Center, Louisville, Ky. PATIENTS: A randomly chosen sample of patients aged 40 years or older who required elective, nonthoracic surgery under general or spinal anesthesia and who were hospitalized at least 24 hours postoperatively. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: An analysis of risk factors associated with the development of 1 or more of the following conditions: acute bronchitis, bronchospasm, atelectasis, pneumonia, adult respiratory distress syndrome, pleural effusion, pneumothorax, prolonged mechanical ventilation, or death secondary to acute respiratory failure. RESULTS: Postoperative pulmonary complications developed in 16 (11%) of 148 patients. The risk factors found to be higher among those with PPCs compared with those without PPCs were postoperative nasogastric intubation (81% vs 16%, P<.001), preoperative sputum production (56% vs 21%, P=.005), and longer anesthesia duration (480 vs 309 minutes, P<.001). Upper abdominal surgery was performed in 11 (69%) of the 16 patients with PPCs and in 20 (15%) of the 132 patients without PPCs (P<.001); this difference lost significance in multivariate analysis. The final linear logistic model included postoperative nasogastric intubation (odds ratio [OR], 21.8), preoperative sputum production (OR, 4.6), and longer anesthesia duration (OR exp[0.01x] for an increase in x minutes) (1 minute of additional anesthesia time increases the OR to 1.01), resulting in 92% accuracy in predicting PPCs. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 3 potentially modifiable risk factors for PPCs. If validated, our results may lead to modifications of perioperative care that will further reduce PPCs.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors of nosocomial pneumonia in general wards: a prospective multivariate analysis in Japan.

To determine prognostic factors of nosocomial pneumonia in general wards, we performed prospective clinical study using multivariate statistical analysis. Eighty patients with nosocomial pneumonia in our units were enrolled in the study between December, 1996 and January 1998. Clinical setting and severity of pneumonia were evaluated, and laboratory data were collected at the occurrence of nosocomial pneumonia. Death due to nosocomial pneumonia occurred in 29 of 80 patients (mortality rate 36%). Univariate analysis showed the following factors associated with mortality: the presence of an ultimately or rapidly fatal underlying condition, prior antibiotics use, use of antacids, presence of 'high-risk' micro-organisms, sepsis, respiratory failure, multiple organ failure, bilateral chest X-ray infiltrates, a Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) index > or = 11, albumin < 3.0 g dl(-1), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) > or = 796 IUI(-1). Furthermore, multivariate analysis identified three factors significantly associated with mortality: the presence of an ultimately or rapidly fatal underlying condition [odds ratio (OR)=7.0; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.2-41.1; P=0.03]; SAPS index > or = 11 (OR=7.6; 95% CI=1.1-51.9, P=0.04); LDH > or = 796 IUI(-1) (OR=28.2; 95% CI=2.0-406, P=0.01). Our study indicates that host factors and disease severity factors are important prognostic factors of nosocomial pneumonia in general wards.

Aged↗

Primary cisplatin, methotrexate and vinblastine aiming at bladder preservation in invasive bladder cancer: multivariate analysis on prognostic factors.

PURPOSE: Although radical cystectomy is the standard therapy for invasive bladder cancer, cisplatin based multi-drug chemotherapy has proved to be effective for advanced transitional cell urothelial carcinoma. The potential for bladder preservation with neoadjuvant chemotherapy is currently under investigation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A phase 2 protocol is presented for conservative treatment of muscle invasive transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder consisting of primary cisplatin, methotrexate and vinblastine chemotherapy followed by reevaluation for bladder sparing surgery and surveillance. A total of 61 patients completed the protocol with a mean followup of 41.4 months. RESULTS: Initial complete response to chemotherapy associated with tumor stage, size and configuration was noted in 20 patients (33%). Bladder preservation, intended only for the complete response group, was achieved in 16 patients (26%) but only 11 (18%) were alive with the bladder intact at study closure. Disease-free 5-year survival rate was 47% (95% confidence interval 65 to 26%). Tumor stage (p = 0.0007), size (p = 0.0003), response to chemotherapy (p = 0.002), patient age (p = 0.039) and tumor grade (p = 0.048) influenced survival. Multivariate analysis revealed response to chemotherapy (beta = 0.988, p = 0.034) and tumor size (beta = 0.978, p = 0.042) to be the only independent predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Induction of cisplatin, methotrexate and vinblastine chemotherapy is helpful in identifying patients with a greater chance for survival among those with locally advanced bladder cancer. However, a bladder preservation strategy based on this therapy is only of limited success.

Aged↗

Pediatric cardiac surgical ECMO: multivariate analysis of risk factors for hospital death.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) has emerged as an effective technique for the mechanical support of many pediatric postcardiotomy patients with medically refractory cardiac failure. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of 73 pediatric patients with congenital heart disease who were placed on ECMO support between August 1984 and February 1994. The patients were divided into groups defined by the timing of ECMO cannulation relative to the time of operation. Group 1 patients (n = 7, 9.6%) were placed on ECMO preoperatively. Group 2 patients (n = 66, 90.4%) were a heterogeneous population placed on ECMO at any interval after cardiac repair. Subgroup 2A consisted of patients (n = 17, 25.8%) who could not be weaned from cardiopulmonary bypass and were converted directly to ECMO support immediately after repair. Subgroup 2B patients (n = 49, 74.2%) were cannulated postoperatively after an initial period of clinical stability. RESULTS: Hospital survival for all study patients (42/73) and for group 2 patients (38/66) was 58%. Only 4 group 2A patients (23.5%) survived their hospitalization compared with 34 group 2B patients (69.4%) (p = 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified elevated right atrial pressure after ECMO decannulation (p = 0.049) and, possibly, membership in group 2A (p = 0.061) as independent risk factors for hospital death. CONCLUSIONS: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation is most effective in salvaging pediatric cardiac surgical patients who demonstrate medically refractory hemodynamic deterioration at some interval after being successfully weaned from cardiopulmonary bypass. The right atrial pressure after extracorporeal membrane oxygenation decannulation is an independent predictor of hospital death.

Cardiopulmonary Bypass↗

Sonographic signs in portal hypertension: a multivariate analysis.

A prospective case controlled study was conducted to evaluate the value of real time ultrasound in establishing the diagnosis and the etiology of portal hypertension. Patients attending the outpatient department of a tertiary care centre were included. There were 324 consecutive patients with portal hypertension due to cirrhosis (n = 229), non cirrhotic portal fibrosis (NCPF: n = 64) and extrahepatic portal venous obstruction (EHPVO: n = 31). During this period, 146 patients with dyspepsia, 35 with splenomegaly and 32 with ascites due to varied causes served as negative and positive controls. Real time ultrasonography using a 3.5 MHz linear array scanner was performed in a fasting state in all subjects. Portal and splenic vein diameter greater than 10 mm, splenomegaly, hepatic and splenic hilar collaterals were suggestive of portal hypertension. Non visualization of the portal vein which was replaced by a cavernoma had a diagnostic accuracy of 98% in EHPVO. Splenic infarcts and absence of ascites were features of non cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPF and EHPVO). Sonography had an overall diagnostic accuracy of 80%. A stepwise logistic regression with multivariate analysis using discriminate function showed that collaterals at the hepatic and splenic hilum, hepatomegaly, ascites and splenic infarcts were independent markers to differentiate cirrhotic from noncirrhotic causes of portal hypertension. The discriminate equation generated had a mismatch of 9.8%. Correlations between the sonographic signs demonstrated that the variceal grade correlated positively with the presence of splenic hilar collaterals and the liver size inversely correlated with presence of ascites. It was concluded that real time ultrasonography is an accurate method to establish the presence and etiology of portal hypertension.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors in adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia: pathologic stage analysis and multivariate regression analysis.

PURPOSE: To clarify the pathologic stages of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia in which the prognosis is worse than in adenocarcinoma of the middle or distal part of the stomach, and to determine prognostic factors in these stages by multivariate analysis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed 2,536 cases of surgically resected gastric adenocarcinoma of all pathologic stages. Four hundred seventy-two cases of gastric carcinoma, in which cumulative survival of gastric cardia was poor, were subjected to Cox regression analysis for prognostic factors, and to logistic regression analysis for factors influencing venous or lymphatic invasion. RESULTS: The prognosis of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia was inferior when compared with similarly staged carcinomas of the middle or lower part of the stomach when there was invasion of proper muscle layer or subserosal layer, with no lymph node metastasis or with only adjacent (group 1) lymph nodes metastases (T2N0 or T2N1, according to the Japanese classification). In these stages, the prognostic factors were age, histologic type, venous invasion, and location of the tumor in the upper part of the stomach. Tumor location in the upper stomach was also a predictor for the presence of venous invasion. CONCLUSION: The prognosis of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia is poor in patients with T2 tumors with no or few lymph node metastases. Additional treatment after surgery may be necessary to improve the survival of this population.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Postoperative oxygenation following coronary artery bypass grafting. A multivariate analysis of perioperative factors.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary oxygenation is generally temporarily impaired following cardiac surgery. We studied the factors influencing postoperative oxygenation using multivariate analysis. METHODS: This study was retrospectively performed in University hospital. Fifty patients undergoing solitary coronary artery bypass grafting were included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups by mean age; older group (n=25) and younger group (n=25). Alveolar-arterial oxygen difference (A-aDO2) and respiratory index (RI) were measured at 3 hours after surgery and on postoperative day 1. Statistical analysis was performed using forward selection stepwise regression of 12 perioperative variables. RESULTS: In all patients, A-aDO2 and RI significantly (p<0.01) increased after surgery and remained high on POD1. In stepwise regression analysis, preoperative A-aDO2 and RI were significant factors in the equations for postoperative A-aDO2 and RI in general, which was the most important factor in the older group. In the older group, preoperative A-aDO2 or RI and water balance were significant (p<0.05) factors which were responsible for half the oxygenation impairment just after surgery, and PCWP showed a significant (p<0.01) negative correlation with both A-aDO2 and RI on POD1. In the younger group, PCWP was a significant (p<0.01) factor for A-aDO2 and CVP and CI were significant for RI on POD1. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative oxygenation was mainly influenced by the preoperative respiratory condition, especially in old patients, indicating that preoperative management by a physiotherapist may be necessary. Pleurotomy also had a negative influence. Careful intraoperative and postoperative volume control is important in old patients.

Adult↗