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PubMed2005

Predictors of treatment attrition as indicators for program improvement not offender shortcomings: a study of sex offender treatment attrition.

This study classified potential attrition predictors under the domains of risk, need and responsivity (D. Andrews & J. Bonta, 2003). Non-sexual criminogenic needs (e.g. aggression, rule violating behaviors) and responsivity factors (e.g. lack of motivation and denial) were the two main clusters of predictors that correctly classified 95.3% of program completers and non-completers using discriminant function analysis in a sample of high-risk male sexual offenders treated in an accredited inpatient sex offender treatment program. Rapists were more aggressive than other types of sex offenders and were more likely to drop out of treatment. Some studies of predictors of treatment attrition have used offender problem behaviors or psychopathologies to predict attrition and then use the information to exclude offenders from treatment. Others have argued, and we concur, that results of attrition research should not be used to develop an "attrition profile" to exclude offenders from treatment. Predictors of attrition should be seen as markers for program improvement, rather than shortcomings of the offender. Suggestions for program improvements to reduce the rate of attrition, based on results of research, are presented.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Predictors of violent behavior in an early adolescent cohort: similarities and differences across genders.

The authors assessed a cohort of 2,335 students from the Minneapolis, Minnesota, area to identify predictors of violent behavior and to determine whether the predictors varied by gender. The sample was 76% White; boys and girls were equally represented. The majority lived with two parents. A measure of violent behavior collected at the end of the eighth-grade year (2000) was entered into Poisson regression against baseline data collected at the beginning of the seventh-grade year (1998). Predictors of violent behavior influencing both boys and girls included depressive symptoms, perceived invulnerability to negative future events, paternal nonauthoritative behavior, and drinking alcohol. Additional predictors of violent behavior specific to girls included both risk and protective factors.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2005

Maternal race/ethnicity and predictors of pregnancy and infant outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To examine predictors of pregnancy and infant outcomes, including maternal race/ethnicity. DESIGN: Prospective and observational follow-up of high-risk pregnancies and births. PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred fifty-four mothers and their preterm and/or high-risk live-born neonates were closely followed in three tertiary care centers from the prenatal to postnatal periods for potential high-risk and/or preterm births that required neonatal resuscitations. MAJOR OUTCOME MEASURES: Pregnancy complications, birth complications, and infant outcomes were examined in conjunction with maternal factors, including preexisting health problems, health behaviors (smoking, alcohol consumption, prenatal visits), and the birth setting (tertiary care centers or community hospitals). RESULTS: About 22% of these infants were transferred into the tertiary care centers from the community hospitals right after birth; the rest were born in the centers. According to regression analyses, predictors of the birth setting were race (White vs. non-White), maternal health behaviors, pregnancy complications, fetal distress, and the presence of congenital defects for infants (p < .001). Predictors for fetal distress included race (Whites) and pregnancy-induced hypertension (p < .003). Predictors for lower birth weight included race (non-Whites), maternal cigarette smoking, pregnancy complications, fetal distress, and congenital defects (p < .001). Infant mortality rate was 3.9% for these high-risk infants, with the highest rate in infants born to Black mothers (8%). CONCLUSIONS: There are obvious health disparities among White and non-White women experiencing high-risk pregnancies and births. Future studies are needed to develop interventions targeted to different racial/ethnic groups during pregnancy to reduce preterm and high-risk births.

Black or African American↗

PubMed2004

Predictors of smoking behaviour among indigenous sami adolescents and non-indigenous peers in north Norway.

AIMS: A study was undertaken to examine predictors of smoking behaviour among indigenous Sami adolescents and non-indigenous peers in North Norway, and to examine for ethnic-specific predictors. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional and longitudinal school-based and postal questionnaire study initially including 2,718 10th to 12th grade students (response rate (RR): 85%) in 1994-95 (T1). At the three-year follow-up (T2), in 1997-98, 1,405 were included (RR: 57%). Indigenous Sami contributed 23% (599/324) of the total samples. Logistic regression was used to examine the influence of sociodemographic and psychosocial predictors on smoking behaviour. RESULTS: The proportions of regular smokers were 33% (729) and 35% (401) at T1 and T2, respectively, while 19% (153) had initiated current smoking during the study period. Substance use, externalizing problems, sexual activity and vocational training (p </= 0.01) predicted regular smoking both cross-sectionally and prospectively. Among non-smokers at T1, age and frequent alcohol intoxication predicted current smoking prospectively (p </= 0.01). Frequent intoxication predicted all stages of smoking (p </= 0.001). Ethnicity did not predict smoking in this study. Laestadian Christian affiliation increased the prevalence of experimental smoking at T1 but only for Sami students. CONCLUSIONS: Youth smoking behaviour was strongly associated with risk-taking behaviours, indicating that a broader focus on health-compromising behaviours in anti-smoking campaigns is needed. The findings indicate little need for culturally sensitive anti-smoking campaigns specially designed for indigenous Sami youth, as the main predictors (risk-taking behaviours) were similar across ethnic groups.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2005

Predictors of organ donation behavior among Hispanic Americans.

CONTEXT: Hispanic Americans have a substantial need for organ transplants and are underrepresented among organ donors, yet little is known about predictors of organ donation outcomes in this population. OBJECTIVE: To assess factors that may function as significant predictors of organ donation behavior among Hispanic Americans. DESIGN: A random-digit-dial computer-assisted telephone-interview survey. Setting-Pima and Maricopa counties in Arizona. PARTICIPANTS: 1200 Hispanic Americans. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Family discussion of organ donation and willingness to be an organ donor. RESULTS: Significant predictors of family discussion of organ donation include knowing someone willing to be an organ donor and disagreeing that carrying a donor card results in inadequate medical care. Willingness to be a donor is also predictive of family discussion. Significant predictors of willingness to be an organ donor are knowing someone willing to be an organ donor, being female, and disagreeing that thoughts about donation leads to thoughts about one's own mortality. Having a family discussion about organ donation is also predictive of willingness to be an organ donor. CONCLUSION: The data provide a springboard for larger studies encompassing the diversity and geographical dispersion of Hispanic Americans. The data also highlight the importance of educational efforts to make Hispanic Americans aware of people in their community who have donated in the past or who are now potential donors.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2002

Organization specific predictors of job satisfaction: findings from a Canadian multi-site quality of work life cross-sectional survey.

BACKGROUND: Organizational features can affect how staff view their quality of work life. Determining staff perceptions about quality of work life is an important consideration for employers interested in improving employee job satisfaction. The purpose of this study was to identify organization specific predictors of job satisfaction within a health care system that consisted of six independent health care organizations. METHODS: 5,486 full, part and causal time (non-physician) staff on active payroll within six organizations (2 community hospitals, 1 community hospital/long-term care facility, 1 long-term care facility, 1 tertiary care/community health centre, and 1 visiting nursing agency) located in five communities in Central West Ontario, Canada were asked to complete a 65-item quality of work life survey. The self-administered questionnaires collected staff perceptions of: co-worker and supervisor support; teamwork and communication; job demands and decision authority; organization characteristics; patient/resident care; compensation and benefits; staff training and development; and impressions of the organization. Socio-demographic data were also collected. RESULTS: Depending on the organization, between 15 and 30 (of the 40 potential predictor) variables were found to be statistically associated with job satisfaction (univariate analyses). Logistic regression analyses identified the best predictors of job satisfaction and these are presented for each of the six organizations and for all organizations combined. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that job satisfaction is a multidimensional construct and although there appear to be some commonalities across organizations, some predictors of job satisfaction appear to be organization and context specific.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Health related quality of life trajectories and predictors following coronary artery bypass surgery.

BACKGROUND: Many studies have demonstrated that health related quality of life (HRQoL) improves, on average, after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABGS). However, this average improvement may not be realized for all patients, and it is possible that there are two or more distinctive groups with different, possibly non-linear, trajectories of change over time. Furthermore, little is known about the predictors that are associated with these possible HRQoL trajectories after CABGS. METHODS: 182 patients listed for elective CABGS at The Royal Melbourne Hospital completed a postal battery of questionnaires which included the Short-Form-36 (SF-36), Profile of Mood States (POMS) and the Everyday Functioning Questionnaire (EFQ). These data were collected on average a month before surgery, and at two months and six months after surgery. Socio-demographic and medical characteristics prior to surgery, as well as surgical and post-surgical complications and symptoms were also assessed. Growth curve and growth mixture modelling were used to identify trajectories of HRQoL. RESULTS: For both the physical component summary scale (PCS) and the mental component summary scale (MCS) of the SF-36, two groups of patients with distinct trajectories of HRQoL following surgery could be identified (improvers and non-improvers). A series of logistic regression analyses identified different predictors of group membership for PCS and MCS trajectories. For the PCS the most significant predictors of non-improver membership were lower scores on POMS vigor-activity and higher New York Heart Association dyspnoea class; for the MCS the most significant predictors of non-improver membership were higher scores on POMS depression-dejection and manual occupation. CONCLUSION: It is incorrect to assume that HRQoL will improve in a linear fashion for all patients following CABGS. Nor was there support for a single response trajectory. It is important to identify characteristics of each patient, and those post-operative symptoms that could be possible targets for intervention to improve HRQoL outcomes.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed2004

Who will lose weight? A reexamination of predictors of weight loss in women.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to analyze pretreatment predictors of short-term weight loss in Portuguese overweight and obese women involved in a weight management program. Behavioral and psychosocial predictors were selected a priori from previous results reported in American women who participated in a similar program. METHODS: Subjects were 140 healthy overweight/obese women (age, 38.3 +/- 5.9 y; BMI, 30.3 +/- 3.7 kg/m2) who participated in a 4-month lifestyle weight loss program consisting of group-based behavior therapy to improve diet and increase physical activity. At baseline, all women completed a comprehensive behavioral and psychosocial battery, in standardized conditions. RESULTS: Of all starting participants, 3.5% (5 subjects) did not finish the program. By treatment's end, more than half of all women had met the recomended weight loss goals, despite a large variability in individual results (range for weight loss = 19 kg). In bivariate and multivariate correlation/regression analysis fewer previous diets and weight outcome evaluations, and to a lesser extent self-motivation and body image were significant and independent predictors of weight reduction, before and after adjustment for baseline weight. A negative and slightly curvilinear relationship best described the association between outcome evaluations and weight change, revealing that persons with very accepting evaluations (that would accept or be happy with minimal weight change) lost the least amount of weight while positive but moderate evaluations of outcomes (i.e., neither low nor extremely demanding) were more predictive of success. Among those subjects who reported having initiated more than 3-4 diets in the year before the study, very few were found to be in the most successful group after treatment. Quality of life, self-esteem, and exercise variables did not predict outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Several variables were confirmed as predictors of success in short-term weight loss and can be used in future hypothesis-testing studies and as a part of more evolved prediction models. Previous dieting, and pretreatment self-motivation and body image are associated with subsequent weight loss, in agreement with earlier findings in previous samples. Weight outcome evaluations appear to display a more complex relationship with treatment results and culture-specific factors may be useful in explaining this pattern of association.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2006

Long-term outcomes and clinical predictors of hospital mortality in very long stay intensive care unit patients: a cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Little information is available on prognosis and outcomes of very long stay intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The purpose of this study was to identify long-term outcomes after hospital discharge and readily available clinical predictors of hospital mortality for patients requiring prolonged care in the ICU. METHOD: Clinical data were collected from consecutive patients requiring at least 30 days of ICU care admitted over 3 calendar years (2001 to 2003) to a medical/surgical ICU in a university-affiliated tertiary care centre. RESULTS: A total of 182 patients met the inclusion criteria, with a mean age of 63 years, median ICU stay of 48.5 days (interquartile range 36-78 days) and ICU mortality of 32%. They accounted for 8% of total admissions and 48% of total occupied beds. Of these patients, 42% died in hospital, 44% returned to their previous place of residence, and 14% were transferred to long-term care institutions. By 6 months after hospital discharge a further 8% of the patients had died, 40% remained at their previous place of residence, and 10% were in long-term care. Predictors of hospital mortality, identified using multivariate logistic regression, included age (odds ratio [OR] 1.45 per additional decade, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.91), any immunosuppression (OR 5.2, 95% CI 1.7-15.5), mechanical ventilation for longer than 90 days (OR 4.0, 95% CI 1.3-12.0), treatment with inotropes or vasopressors for more than 3 days at or after day 30 in the ICU (OR 7.1, 95% CI 2.6-19.3), and acute renal failure requiring dialysis at or after day 30 in the ICU (OR 6.3, 95% CI 2.0-19.7). CONCLUSION: Patients with very long stays in the ICU appear to have a reasonable chance of survival, with most survivors in our cohort residing at their previous place of residence 6 months after hospital discharge. Prolonged requirement for life support therapies (ventilation, vasoactive agents, or acute dialysis) and a limited number of pre-existing co-morbidities (immunosuppression and, to a lesser extent, patient age) were predictors of increased hospital mortality. These predictors may assist in clinical decision making for this resource intensive patient population, and their reproducibility in other very long stay patient populations should be explored.

Aged↗

PubMed2004

Predictors of emergency department patient satisfaction: stability over 17 months.

OBJECTIVES: The contradictory findings reported in the emergency department (ED) patient satisfaction literature may be due to methodologic differences between studies, as well as actual differences in predictors. The authors examined the stability of predictors of ED patient satisfaction across multiple assessments over 17 months. METHODS: All patients who presented for emergency care to the authors' hospital during four designated time periods spanning 17 months were eligible. The participants were contacted by telephone and the following were assessed: demographics, visit characteristics, perceived waiting times, subjective quality of care indicators, and overall satisfaction. The authors computed logistic regressions to predict overall satisfaction for each of the four periods. They compared the results across the assessments, both visually and using an aggregated logistic regression, to determine the consistency of the final equations. Interpretations based on traditional p-value cut-offs and odds ratios (ORs) were compared. RESULTS: When using a p-value cut-off strategy of p < 0.05, notable discrepancies in the predictors of overall satisfaction were common. Six indicators, including age, perceived wait before bed placement, perceived wait before physician evaluation, physician care, discharge instructions, and waiting time satisfaction, were statistically associated with satisfaction for only one of the four assessments. In contrast, examining the size of the ORs associated with each predictor showed far fewer discrepancies. Only physician care appeared to have large differences in the strength of its relation to overall satisfaction. This trend was confirmed by the aggregated logistic regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Using p-value cut-offs as the sole criterion for interpreting which variables are most important in determining ED patient satisfaction is ill-advised, and may lead to spurious conclusions of discrepant findings. Nevertheless, some determinants of ED satisfaction likely differ meaningfully based on the cohort that is being examined. Overgeneralizing conclusions derived from a single ED patient satisfaction study should be avoided, especially those studies that are cross-sectional and use a single site.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1999

Predictors of sexual health in women after a breast cancer diagnosis.

PURPOSE: To identify variables that might be predictive of sexual health (interest, dysfunction, and satisfaction) in a large sample of breast cancer survivors, with a validation conducted in a second, independent sample. PATIENTS AND METHODS: On the basis of a conceptual framework of sexual health in breast cancer survivors, we performed multivariable regression analyses to estimate sexual interest, dysfunction, and satisfaction in both samples. Additional analyses were performed using stepwise regression and recursive partitioning to explore in each sample the relative contributions of the independent variables toward predicting the outcome measures. RESULTS: The models for sexual interest accounted for at least 33% of the variance, and the significant predictors common to the two samples were having a new partner since the diagnosis of breast cancer, mental health score, and body image score. For sexual dysfunction, the models in the two samples explained at least 33% of the variance, and the common significant predictors were vaginal dryness, past chemotherapy use, and having a new partner since diagnosis. The sexual satisfaction models explained at least 27% of the variance, with the common significant predictors being the quality of the partnered relationship and sexual problems in the partner. CONCLUSION: Among the predictors of sexual health, several are mutable (vaginal dryness, emotional well-being, body image, the quality of the partnered relationship, and sexual problems in the partner), and these should be considered for future interventions to address the sexual health and well-being of breast cancer survivors.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

The combined percentage of Gleason patterns 4 and 5 is the best predictor of cancer progression after radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: Clinical outcome is variable in prostate cancer patients treated with radical prostatectomy. The Gleason histologic grade of prostatic adenocarcinoma is one of the strongest predictors of biologic aggressiveness of prostate cancer. We evaluated the significance of the relative proportion of high-grade cancer (Gleason patterns 4 and/or 5) in predicting cancer progression in prostate cancer patients treated with radical prostatectomy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Radical prostatectomy specimens from 364 consecutive prostate cancer patients were totally embedded and whole mounted. Various clinical and pathologic characteristics were analyzed. All pathologic data, including Gleason grading variables, were collected prospectively. RESULTS: A multiple-factor analysis was performed that included the combined percentage of Gleason patterns 4 and 5, Gleason score, tumor stage, surgical margin status, preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA), extraprostatic extension, and total tumor volume. Using Cox regression analysis with bootstrap resampling for predictor selection, we identified the combined percentage of Gleason patterns 4 and 5 (P < .0001) and total tumor volume (P = .009) as significant predictors of PSA recurrence. CONCLUSION: The combined percentage of Gleason patterns 4 and 5 is one of the most powerful predictors of patient outcome, and appears superior to conventional Gleason score in identifying patients at increased risk of disease progression. On the basis of our results, we recommend that the combined percentage of Gleason patterns 4 and 5 be evaluated in radical prostatectomy specimens. The amount of high-grade cancer in a prostatectomy specimen should be taken into account in therapeutic decision making and assessment of patient prognosis.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2001

Predictors of improvement in a cognitive-behavioral intervention for women with rheumatoid arthritis.

In this article we present a secondary analysis of data from a brief cognitive-behavioral intervention for women with rheumatoid arthritis that resulted in significant overall improvements in personal coping resources, pain coping behaviors, psychological well-being, and fatigue. Not every participant, however, improved during the intervention. Establishing predictors of improvement in brief interventions is important to optimize the cost-effective use of these resources. In search of predictors of improvement, we examined demographic and background variables, personal coping resources, pain coping behaviors, and social support. Both linear and quadratic effects were analyzed, comparing baseline measures to both immediate postintervention and 3-month follow-up outcomes using standardized indexes ofpredictors and criteria variables. After removing the effects of baseline scores on the outcomes index, significant predictors of improvement included length of time since diagnosis, personal coping resources, and maladaptive and adaptive pain coping behaviors. Both linear and quadratic effects were found, although this varied as a function of type of predictor.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

PubMed2004

Hormonal and body composition predictors of soluble leptin receptor, leptin, and free leptin index in adolescent girls with anorexia nervosa and controls and relation to insulin sensitivity.

Anorexia nervosa (AN) is associated with very low levels of leptin, a cytokine secreted by adipose tissue and known to suppress appetite. Leptin may play a permissive role in onset of puberty and in resumption of gonadal function in conditions of undernutrition. The soluble leptin receptor (sOB-R) is the main leptin binding protein, and the ratio of serum leptin to sOB-R provides a measure of the free leptin index (FLI), which may be a more accurate determinant of leptin function. Determinants of sOB-R and FLI have not been examined in an adolescent population. We examined levels of sOB-R, leptin, and FLI, and body composition and hormonal determinants of these variables in 23 adolescent girls with AN and 21 healthy adolescent girls of comparable maturity prospectively over 1 yr. Measures of insulin resistance and adiponectin were also examined. We determined changes in levels of sOB-R, leptin, and FLI with weight recovery (defined as an increase in body mass index of >/=10%, n = 11), and with resumption of menstrual cycles (n = 13). Girls with AN had significantly higher levels of sOB-R (P = 0.0008) and significantly lower levels of leptin and FLI (P < 0.0001 for both) than healthy controls, and levels of FLI were reduced more than levels of leptin in girls with AN compared with controls. An inverse correlation was noted between levels of leptin and sOB-R for the group as a whole (r = -0.64, P < 0.0001) but not in girls with AN considered alone. The most important predictor of levels of sOB-R was cortisol in the group as a whole (r = 0.61, P < 0.0001) and in girls with AN considered alone (r = 0.66, P = 0.0008). Other independent predictors of sOB-R levels for the entire group were percent body fat (r = -0.44, P = 0.003) and levels of IGF-I (r = -0.37, P = 0.01). The most important predictors of leptin and FLI were body mass index and percent body fat. An inverse relationship was noted between measures of insulin resistance and sOB-R levels, whereas a positive association was noted between these measures and leptin and FLI. Adiponectin values did not differ in girls with AN compared with healthy controls and did not correlate with sOB-R, leptin, or FLI. Weight recovery resulted in significant decreases in levels of the sOB-R (24.7 +/- 1.7 to 17.6 +/- 1.2 U/ml, P = 0.004), and increases in levels of leptin (4.4 +/- 1.0 to 13.7 +/- 2.9 microg/liter, P = 0.02). Resumption of menstrual function, but not weight recovery alone, was associated with significant increases in FLI (0.19 +/- 0.04 to 0.50 +/- 0.09 microg/U x 10(-3), P = 0.02).We demonstrate an increase in levels of sOB-R and a decrease in the FLI in adolescent girls with AN, and also demonstrate that cortisol is the most important predictor of levels of sOB-R in this condition. Levels of leptin and FLI, conversely, are primarily predicted by body composition. Weight recovery is associated with a decrease in sOB-R and an increase in leptin. Resumption of menses is associated with significant increases in the FLI, suggesting that free leptin may be an important determinant of menstrual recovery.

Adipose Tissue↗

PubMed2007

Time frame and predictors of recovery from disability following recurrent ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the rate, degree, and predictors of recovery from a disabled to nondisabled state in patients disabled after recurrent ischemic stroke. METHODS: Patients with ischemic stroke enrolled in the Management of Atherothrombosis with Clopidogrel in High Risk Patients (MATCH) Study underwent prospective assessment of their modified Rankin score (mRS) at 1, 3, 6, 12, and 18 months after enrollment and after recurrent stroke. Patients disabled (defined as mRS > or = 3) after recurrence were analyzed for recovery (defined as mRS < 3) during the 18 months, and predictors of recovery were sought using a Cox proportional-hazard multiple regression analysis. RESULTS: Three hundred forty-five (54%) of 637 patients were disabled after recurrent ischemic stroke; 115 (33%) patients had been disabled and 230 (66%) nondisabled before stroke recurrence. At recurrence, the degree of disability was moderate (mRS 3) in 135 (39%) patients, severe (mRS 4) in 139 (40%), and very severe (mRS 5) in 71 (21%). After 12 months' median follow-up, 117 (34%, 95% CI: 29 to 39%) had recovered: 68 (50%, 42 to 59%) of 135 moderately disabled, 45 (32%, 25 to 41%) of 139 severely disabled, and 4 (6%, 2 to 14%) of 71 very severely disabled; 70 (20.3%) patients died. From recurrence, median time to recovery was 6 months (mRS 3) and 18 months (mRS 4); 94% with very severe disability had not recovered at 18 months. Independent predictors of recovery were moderate disability at recurrence (mRS 3) compared with severe (mRS 4: hazard ratio [HR] 1.5; 95% CI 1.04 to 2.3) or very severe disability (mRS 5: HR 7.6; 2.7 to 20) and a nondisabled vs disabled state before recurrence (HR 4.0; 2.3 to 6.8). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of recovery from recurrent ischemic stroke was greatest in the first 6 months; one-third of patients recovered within 12 months. The significant predictors of recovery were a nondisabled state before recurrence and increasing severity of the recurrent stroke.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed1996

Toward a neurologic model of competency: Cognitive predictors of capacity to consent in Alzheimer's disease using three different legal standards.

OBJECTIVE: To identify cognitive predictors of competency performance and status in Alzheimer's disease (AD) using three differentially stringent legal standards for capacity to consent. DESIGN: Univariate and multivariate analyses of independent neuropsychological test measures with three dependent measures of competency to consent to treatment. SETTING: University medical center. SUBJECTS: 15 normal older controls and 29 patients with probably AD (15 mild and 14 moderate). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Subjects were administered a batter of neuropsychological measures theoretically linked to competency function, as well as two clinical vignettes testing capacity to consent to medical treatment under five legal standards (LSs). The present study focused on three differentially stringent LSs: the capacity simply to "evidence a treatment of choice" (LS1), which is a minimal standard; the capacity to "appreciate the consequences" of a treatment of choice (LS3), a moderately stringent standard; and the capacity to "understand the treatment situation and choices" (LS5), the most stringent standard. Control subject and AD patient neuropsychological test scores were correlated with scores on the three LSs. The resulting univariate correlates were than analyzed using stepwise regression and discriminant function to identify key multivariate predictors of competency performance and status under each LS. RESULTS: No neuropsychological measures predicted control group performance on the LSs. For the AD group, a measure of simple auditory comprehension predicted LS1 performance (r(2)=0.44, p < 0.0001), a word fluency measure predicted LS3 performance (r(2)=0.58, p < 0.0001), and measures of conceptualization and confrontation naming together predicted LS5 performance (r(2)=0.81, p < 0.0001). Under discriminant function analysis, confrontation naming was the best single predictor of LS1 competency status for all subjects, correctly classifying 96% of cases (42/44). Measures of visumotor tracking and confrontation naming were the best single predictors, respectively, of competency status under LS3 (91% [39/43]) and LS5 (98% [43/44]). CONCLUSIONS: Multiple cognitive functions are associated with loss of competency in AD. Deficits in conceptualization, semantic memory, and probably verbal recall are associated with the declining capacity of mild AD patients to understand a treatment situation and choices (LS5); executive dysfunction with the declining capacity of mild to moderate AD patients to identify the consequences of treatment choice (LS3); and receptive aphasia and severe dysnomia with the declining capacity of advanced AD patients to evidence a simple treatment choice (LS1). The results offer insight into the relationship between different legal thresholds of competency and the progressive cognitive changes characteristic of AD, and represent an initial step toward a neurologic model of competency.

Alzheimer Disease↗

PubMed2005

Predictors and natural history of in-transit melanoma after sentinel lymphadenectomy.

BACKGROUND: In-transit recurrence is a unique and uncommon pattern of treatment failure in patients with melanoma. Little information exists concerning the incidence, predictors, and natural history of in-transit disease since the introduction of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). METHODS: Between 1991 and 2001, 1395 patients with primary melanoma underwent SLNB. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine the association among known clinicopathologic factors, in-transit recurrence, and distant metastatic failure after the development of in-transit disease. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 241 patients (17.3%) experienced disease recurrence, including 91 (6.6%) who developed in-transit recurrence. Independent predictors of in-transit recurrence included age >50 years, a lower extremity location of the primary tumor, Breslow depth, ulceration, and sentinel lymph node (SLN) status. Of the 69 patients who presented with in-transit disease as the sole site of first recurrence, 39 developed distant disease. By univariate analysis, predictors of distant failure among patients with in-transit disease included SLN status, largest metastatic focus in the SLN >2.5 mm2, subcutaneous location of in-transit disease, in-transit tumor size > or = 2 cm, and a disease-free interval before in-transit recurrence of <12 months. In-transit tumor size remained a significant predictor of distant metastasis by multivariate analysis (odds ratio, 9.69). CONCLUSIONS: The overall incidence of in-transit metastases in patients undergoing SLNB is low and does not seem to have increased since the introduction of the SLNB technique. In-transit recurrence, as well as subsequent distant metastatic failure, can be predicted on the basis of adverse tumor factors and SLN status.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

A population-based study of primary care predictors of non-attendance for cervical screening.

OBJECTIVE: To identify and estimate the population impact of primary care service delivery factors that independently predict non-attendance for cervical screening. SETTING: Screening records of all eligible women aged 30 years and over and resident in the former Manchester Health Authority area were analysed (n=72,613). METHODS: Practice-level and GP-level explanatory variables, along with area-level covariates, were obtained and merged to the study data set. Logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with having no recorded history of attending NHS cervical screening services. A multivariate model was created to identify independent predictors of non-attendance with comprehensive adjustment for women's age, area-level socio-demographic factors, and other primary care factors. Attributable fraction estimates were used to assess the population impact of the independent predictors. RESULTS: Large practice size (>4,000 patients), single-handed practice, South Asian male GP, part-time GP employment status, older age and birthplace overseas, and area-level measures of deprivation and transience independently predicted non-attendance. Women born overseas and registered at larger practices were especially unlikely to have ever attended. The combined population attributable fraction estimate for the independent predictors reflecting primary care service delivery was almost 40%, and that for all variables in the final model was over 70%. CONCLUSIONS: Independent predictors of non-attendance reflecting general practice structure, workload and GP characteristics were identified. Although relative risks were modest, the collective population impact of these factors was considerable, which has implications for the implementation of informed targeting and the development of new screening services by Primary Care Trusts.

Adult↗