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Concept of the mathematical modelling of ecosystems is presented, starting with a set of variables and a set of relations. Examples are given for the models of plant populations in terrestrial ecosystems. The differences between well-structured and ill-structured problems are shown with some methodological consequences for strategy of applications of computer models.
Ecosystem evolution is driven by general laws for open systems aiming at immortality (first genetical then also cultural) of its components. Evolutionary impulses spread downward from ecosystem disturbances to population strategies to genome structures (opposite to the upward causation of traditional theory). Environmental cycles work as winding engine pushing evolution a step further at each round. Natural selection is being slackened with time while memory elaborates to conscious level. General trend is from unsustained growth to stability, individuation, increased diversity, standing biomass to productivity to dead mass ratios. Progressive evolution is interrupted by biospheric crises, or backward developments. Human activities contribute to the latter while for sustainable existence it will be necessary to switch from the crisis to the progress scheme. Human morals are grounded in million years of pre-human and pre-historic human evolution. However to be taught by nature means to comply with its progressive rather than backward tendencies. Human history as a continuation of the animal history is a perpetual struggle against natural selections.
The ticks Ixodes ricinus and I. persulcatus are the dominant tick species in the forest ecosystems of the temporary zone of Eurasia. They occur within their areals in every types of forests except arid and marsh biotopes. The density of tick populations per square unit exceed many times those of dominant species of mammals and birds living in the same ecosystems. In optimal conditions the abundance of hungry larvae per 1 square km varies from hundreds of thousands to several millions, that of nymphs-from thousands to several hundreds of thousands, and that of imago counts several thousands. The number of larvae and nymphs simultaneously feeding on rodents or shrews usually not exceeds several specimens. However, in case of 50-100% infection rate of hosts and long seasonal period of parasitizing the greater part of individuals in the main host population is repeatedly attacked by ticks and therefore supports a significant number of parasites. Despite of annual fluctuations of ticks and hosts abundance the parasitic systems formed by them are characterized by high stability in time and space. The high resistance of the tick parasitic systems to the influence of unfavorable factors is caused by several independent and duplicated systems of tick's interaction with their hosts and environment. The ticks and their hosts together with agents of the tick borne encephalitis, Lime disease, babesiosis and other transmissive infections form the three component parasitic systems of higher rank. These systems are referred to as the natural foci of diseases and their geographical distribution in general lines coincide with species areals of I. ricinus and I. persulcatus.
We studied the contribution of non human primates to the transmission of yellow fever and HIV in the wild. We demonstrate the consequences of the modification of ecosystems on the emergence of new viral diseases and the reappearance of diseases believed to be eradicated. In the primary forest, the natural yellow fever cycle is limited to monkeys and mosquitoes living high in the canopy. Transmission to man is an anomaly, requiring the circumstances found in the forest and savanna contact zones, where man has changed the forest to a mosaic and decimated the simian population, favoring contact between mosquitoes and man. In these contact zones, the amaril virus circulates in episodic cycles. During each episode, most of the local monkeys are infected, and thereby acquire immunity. Yellow fever can only reappear subsequently when a sufficiently large new generation of non-immune young monkeys is available. Monkeys do not become ill when infected, presumably as a result of typical host-parasite cross selection having led to the development of a balance between the parasite and its host. AIDS is a transmissible viral disease which appeared recently. Various African non-human primates are hosts to SIV, a retrovirus closely related to HIV which causes AIDS in man. SIV-infected African monkeys do not develop AIDS. However, when used to infect species from other continents (for example Asian macaco monkeys) SIV can cause AIDS. Does pathogenicity appear during transmission of the virus from one primate host to another, and is this the case for human AIDS? Experimental inoculations, the demonstration of SIVagm in other species, the mosaic structure of the genome (implying cross species recombinations), and the high probability of cross-species transmission of the viruses in the wild all favor this idea. Possibly counterbalancing the pessimism about the development of an HIV1 vaccine in the near future, the non-human SIV models holds out some hope. The emergence of new diseases, such as Ebola, or diseases from other niches, and the reappearance of diseases believed to be eradicated, are frequent when man modifies the ecosystem, the structure and balance of which he does not control, and when he puts into contact species which have never met before.
The partition coefficient (Kd) and the water retention rate (RR) are fundamental components of dynamic, mass-balance models, not just for radionuclides in fresh water but also for contaminants in all aquatic ecosystems. Kd may be regarded as an 'entry gate' and RR an 'exit gate'. Uncertainties in Kd and RR cause uncertainties in model predictions. Uncertainties in important rates for processes within ecosystems (such as sedimentation, diffusion, advection, bio-uptake and excretion) cannot be adequately evaluated when uncertainties exist for Kd and RR. Empirical data show that there may be a variation in Kd of two orders of magnitude with environmental factors such as pH. This is important because Kd regulates the amount of radionuclides in dissolved and particulate phases, and hence also pelagic and benthic transport. Pelagic transport is directly linked to the outflow and retention of substances in the water mass, and thus also to concentrations and ecological effects. There are many approaches for sub-models of Kd and RR. Which provide the best predictive power? This chapter gives a brief overview and discussion of the benefits and drawbacks of different alternatives for Kd and RR within the framework of a lake model for radiocaesium.
The central issue facing the dyslexia community, and the underlying theme of Nicolson's 'The Dyslexia Ecosystem' (Nicolson, 2002, Dyslexia, 8, 55-66), is how we can best translate what we know about this particular developmental disorder into practice to give each child the greatest opportunity of acquiring the enabling skill of literacy. To achieve this, and notwithstanding Nicolson's caveat on this point, we have to consider how we can best move from our sphere of expertise to a greater sphere of influence, both as individuals and as a community of research practitioners. In our response, we first consider aspects of Nicolson's general analysis of 'The Dyslexia Ecosystem' and then examine some of the specific objectives that have been proposed.
The present work explores some possible practical uses of bioenergetic processes (fermentation, respiration and photosynthesis) in the microbial cell for the purpose of renewable fuel production. These considerations are based on ecosystem biotechnology which include the following main points: 1. Creation of closed energy-transducing ecosystems under laboratory conditions. 2. Production of renewable energy carriers with the help of microbial communities (e.g., mixed cultures of microorganism). 3. Investigation of the role of the individual microoganism in the population or community.
Numerous investigators have suggested that herbivores almost always increase rates of nutrient and energy flow through terrestrial ecosystems by returning to the soil fecal material and urine with faster turnover rate than shed plant litter. These previous theories and models always treat the producer compartment as a homogenous pool. Essentially, they assume that consumers feed through a pureed cream of vegetable soup. However, many field observations and experiments have shown that consumers feed selectively (i.e., in a cafeteria) and that consumer choice is made on the same chemical basis that determines decomposition rates. Plants that are preferred food sources often have higher nutrient content, higher growth rates, and faster decomposition rates. As consumption reduces dominance of these species in favor of unpreferred species with slower decomposition, rates of nutrient cycling and energy flow should therefore decline. We analyze a model in which the consumer is given a choice among producers that vary in nutrient uptake rates, rates of nutrient return to decomposers, and consumer preference, and which is parameterized for plants and consumers characteristic of boreal regions. In this model, in an open, well-mixed system with one consumer and two such producers, the nutrient/energy flow will not exceed that of a system without the consumer. If the consumer has a choice between two such producers, it must choose one plant over the other at a greater ratio than that between the two plants in uptake and decay rates. In contrast, in a closed system the consumer must be less selective to coexist with the two plants. The system behavior is determined by the level of nutrient return through the consumer and the differences between the plants in nutrient uptake rates and consumer preference. Species richness affects properties of this model system to the extent that species are functionally distinct (i.e., have different rate constants) in a multivariate space of life history traits (i.e., nutrient uptake and palatability). We suggest that the biochemical variability of plant tissues that simultaneously determines both consumer preference and decomposition rates is an essential feature of food webs that cannot be ignored. Thus, ecosystem models should, at minimum, consider more than one producer type with consumer preference.
Aerial photography has been routinely used for several decades by natural resource scientists and managers to map and monitor the condition of forested landscapes. Recently, along with the emergence of concepts in managing forests as ecosystems, has come a significant shift in emphasis from smaller to larger spatial scales and the widespread use of geographic information systems. These developments have precipitated an increasing need for vegetation information derived from other remote sensing imagery, especially digital data acquired from high-elevation aircraft and satellite platforms. This paper introduces fundamental concepts in digital remote sensing and describes numerous applications of the technology. The intent is to provide a balanced, nontechnical view, discussing the shortcomings, successes, and future potential for digital remote sensing of forested ecosystems.
Radiolabeled tri-, tetra-, and pentachlorobiphenyls (PCB) and DDE were studied in a laboratory model ecosystem for degradation pathways, and biomagnification in alga, snail, mosquito, and fish. Trichlorobiphenyl was degraded in all the organisms of the model ecosystem much more rapidly than tetrachloro- and pentachlorobiphenyl. Pentachlorobiphenyl was approximately as persistent as DDE. There was a linear relationship between lipid/water partition and ecological magnification and between water solubility and ecological magnification. No evidence of conversion of DDE to PCB was detected.
The fate of the plasticizer, di-n-octyl phthalate (DOP) has been examined in 33-day terrestrial-aquatic and three-day aquatic model ecosystems. The five organisms of the two systems contained residues of DOP, demonstrating the propensity of this lipoid soluble organic molecule to be concentrated from the water. The residues in the organisms in the three-day system were higher than in the 33-day system with the exception of the fish, indicating perhaps, that DOP can undergo some degradation before the fish is placed in the system on the 30th day. A half-life of five days for DOP disappearance from the water was calculated from water samples taken periodically. Further, effects of mixed function oxidase and esterase inhibitors were investigated on the metabolism of DOP by various selected organisms and tissues of the two ecosystems.
To study the responses of forests to global change, model ecosystems consisting of beech and spruce trees were maintained in open top chambers for 4 years under four conditions, namely with normal and elevated CO2 and with low and high nitrogen input, each replicated four times. Each open top chamber (height 3 m, diameter 3 m, soil depth 1.5 m) contained two separate soil compartments containing nutrient-poor siliceous and nutrient-rich calcareous soil. Here, we focus on the fine roots and the soil microbial community in these model ecosystems. At the time of planting, the fine roots were cut back according to forestry practice, and the newly formed roots were colonized by the indigenous soil microflora. After 4 years, the total biomass of fine roots, when averaged over all treatments, was almost the same in each of the two soil types; it was highest in the top 100 mm of soil (60%) and decreased sharply in deeper soil layers. Fungal biomass associated with the fine roots, consisting mainly of ectomycorrhizal fungi, was estimated using the ergosterol content as a marker. It was much higher in fine roots in the siliceous than in the calcareous soil, indicating considerably enhanced ectomycorrhiza formation in the nutrient-poor siliceous soil. Elevated atmospheric CO2 stimulated fine root production by ca. 85% and 43% in the top 100 mm of calcareous and siliceous soils respectively. Increased nitrogen input caused a slightly reduced production of fine root biomass in the calcareous soil but increased it by 33% in the siliceous soil. Marker substances for microorganisms were analyzed in the root-free soil. The amounts of carbon released by fumigation/extraction (a general marker for microbial biomass) and chitin (a marker for fungal biomass) were significantly higher in the top layer of the siliceous than of the calcareous soil, but they did not respond significantly to the treatments with elevated CO2 or the nitrogen fertilizer. The total concentration of the phospholipid fatty acids (PLFAs) and the number of the PLFAs did not differ between the two soil types. However, four of the eight most abundant PLFAs differed significantly between the two soil types. Principal component analysis revealed clearly separated clusters for the two soil types. Although analysis did not reveal any significant changes in response to the treatments, the concentration of the PLFA typical for ectomycorrhizal fungi was significantly higher under conditions of elevated CO2 in the nutrient-rich calcareous soil.
An agricultural watershed, situated on an island of the Aegean archipelago, was studied in order to gain insight into the structure and the design of a typical terrestrial ecosystem of the Mediterranean region. Fieldwork was focused on the comparative study of seasonal patterns of inorganic nutrients, organic nitrogen, and erosion over the most abundant vegetation types of the area, such as olive groves, maquis, and wetlands. Nutrient losses via the pathway of erosion were provided by the determination of nutrient concentrations in runoff sediments. Results showed that nutrient levels are higher and more susceptible to rapid changes in the zones that host agricultural activities and animal husbandry. The behavior of nitrogen and phosphorus showed remarkable stability in the maquis, where dynamic processes were mainly affected by soil erosion, which led gradually to land degradation, especially on sloping terrains. The aim of this study was to form the basis for the quantification of the interconnections within the Mediterranean-type ecosystems and to conceptualize their operational properties.
/ British Columbia has an ecosystem classification system that classifies sites into site series. Foresters commonly measure the productivity of these sites by their site index. In British Columbia, site index is defined as the height of a stand at breast height age 50 and is usually estimated from height-age models. Biogeoclimatic site series/site index relationships are an increasingly popular method of estimating site index in British Columbia for stands where site index cannot be reliably estimated with height-age models. The precision of the predicted site index from these relationships can be evaluated with prediction intervals. This is done for the predicted site index of a single site, a group of sites, or the areally weighted site index of a group of sites. The methodology is also useful in determining the number of sites required to meet a specified precision. These prediction intervals will assist foresters in making sound forest management decisions.KEY WORDS: Biogeoclimatic Ecosystem Classification; Precision; Prediction interval; Site index; Site series
/ Large areas of the southern California desert ecosystem have been negatively affected by off-highway vehicle use, overgrazing by domestic livestock, agriculture, urbanization, construction of roads and utility corridors, air pollution, military training exercises, and other activities. Secondary contributions to degradation include the proliferation of exotic plant species and a higher frequency of anthropogenic fire. Effects of these impacts include alteration or destruction of macro- and micro-vegetation elements, establishment of annual plant communities dominated by exotic species, destruction of soil stabilizers, soil compaction, and increased erosion. Published estimates of recovery time are based on return to predisturbance levels of biomass, cover, density, community structure, or soil characteristics. Natural recovery rates depend on the nature and severity of the impact but are generally very slow. Recovery to predisturbance plant cover and biomass may take 50-300 years, while complete ecosystem recovery may require over 3000 years. Restorative intervention can be used to enhance the success and rate of recovery, but the costs are high and the probability for long-term success is low to moderate. Given the sensitivity of desert habitats to disturbance and the slow rate of natural recovery, the best management option is to limit the extent and intensity of impacts as much as possible.KEY WORDS: Mojave Desert; Colorado Desert; California; Human impacts; Recovery; Restorationhttp://link.springer-ny.com/link/service/journals/00267/bibs/24n3p309.html
Riparian vegetation is closely connected to stream food webs through input of leaf detritus as a primary energy supply, and therefore, any alteration of plant diversity may influence aquatic ecosystem functioning. We measured leaf litter breakdown rate and associated biological parameters in mesh bags in eight headwater streams bordered either with mixed deciduous forest or with beech forest. The variety of leaf litter types in mixed forest results in higher food quality for large-particle invertebrate detritivores ('shredders') than in beech forest, which is dominated by a single leaf species of low quality. Breakdown rate of low quality (oak) leaf litter in coarse mesh bags was lower in beech forest streams than in mixed forest streams, a consequence of lower shredder biomass. In contrast, high quality (alder) leaf litter broke down at similar rates in both stream categories as a result of similar shredder biomass in coarse mesh bags. Microbial breakdown rate of oak and alder leaves, determined in fine mesh bags, did not differ between the stream categories. We found however aquatic hyphomycete species richness on leaf litter to positively co-vary with riparian plant species richness. Fungal species richness may enhance leaf litter breakdown rate through positive effects on resource quality for shredders. A feeding experiment established a positive relationship between fungal species richness per se and leaf litter consumption rate by an amphipod shredder (Gammarus fossarum). Our results show therefore that plant species richness may indirectly govern ecosystem functioning through complex trophic interactions. Integrating microbial diversity and trophic dynamics would considerably improve the prediction of the consequences of species loss.
An information-theoretic comparison of the topologies of observed ecosystem transfers and randomly constructed networks reveals that it is not easy to separate the members of the two sets. The distribution of ecosystem flow magnitudes, however, is seen to differ markedly from ordinary probability functions and to resemble the Cauchy or Pareto distributions. The agencies that impart such structure to ecological flow networks are not obvious, but one strong possibility is that autocatalysis, or indirect mutualism, promotes certain pathways at the expense of others, thereby enlarging the tail of the distribution of flow magnitudes.
p6osystems to be found in the maritime temperate zone are described. The part played by vegetation, animals and soils in the distribution and movement of radionuclides is discussed, with particular reference to natural systems. Biomass activities have been compiled for 137Cs and 239 + 240Pu in woodland and moorland ecosystems. The data indicate that these ecosystems are more effective at intercepting and retaining radionuclides than are agricultural systems and that many undisturbed soils function as efficient sinks.