PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “machine learning prediction”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 811 records · Page 45Linked to original sources

Classifying "kinase inhibitor-likeness" by using machine-learning methods.

By using an in-house data set of small-molecule structures, encoded by Ghose-Crippen parameters, several machine learning techniques were applied to distinguish between kinase inhibitors and other molecules with no reported activity on any protein kinase. All four approaches pursued--support-vector machines (SVM), artificial neural networks (ANN), k nearest neighbor classification with GA-optimized feature selection (GA/kNN), and recursive partitioning (RP)--proved capable of providing a reasonable discrimination. Nevertheless, substantial differences in performance among the methods were observed. For all techniques tested, the use of a consensus vote of the 13 different models derived improved the quality of the predictions in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 value. Support-vector machines, followed by the GA/kNN combination, outperformed the other techniques when comparing the average of individual models. By using the respective majority votes, the prediction of neural networks yielded the highest F1 value, followed by SVMs.

Algorithms↗

Automated decision tree classification of corneal shape.

PURPOSE: The volume and complexity of data produced during videokeratography examinations present a challenge of interpretation. As a consequence, results are often analyzed qualitatively by subjective pattern recognition or reduced to comparisons of summary indices. We describe the application of decision tree induction, an automated machine learning classification method, to discriminate between normal and keratoconic corneal shapes in an objective and quantitative way. We then compared this method with other known classification methods. METHODS: The corneal surface was modeled with a seventh-order Zernike polynomial for 132 normal eyes of 92 subjects and 112 eyes of 71 subjects diagnosed with keratoconus. A decision tree classifier was induced using the C4.5 algorithm, and its classification performance was compared with the modified Rabinowitz-McDonnell index, Schwiegerling's Z3 index (Z3), Keratoconus Prediction Index (KPI), KISA%, and Cone Location and Magnitude Index using recommended classification thresholds for each method. We also evaluated the area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve for each classification method. RESULTS: Our decision tree classifier performed equal to or better than the other classifiers tested: accuracy was 92% and the area under the ROC curve was 0.97. Our decision tree classifier reduced the information needed to distinguish between normal and keratoconus eyes using four of 36 Zernike polynomial coefficients. The four surface features selected as classification attributes by the decision tree method were inferior elevation, greater sagittal depth, oblique toricity, and trefoil. CONCLUSION: Automated decision tree classification of corneal shape through Zernike polynomials is an accurate quantitative method of classification that is interpretable and can be generated from any instrument platform capable of raw elevation data output. This method of pattern classification is extendable to other classification problems.

Cornea↗

Integrating classification trees with local logistic regression in Intensive Care prognosis.

Health care effectiveness and efficiency are under constant scrutiny especially when treatment is quite costly as in the Intensive Care (IC). Currently there are various international quality of care programs for the evaluation of IC. At the heart of such quality of care programs lie prognostic models whose prediction of patient mortality can be used as a norm to which actual mortality is compared. The current generation of prognostic models in IC are statistical parametric models based on logistic regression. Given a description of a patient at admission, these models predict the probability of his or her survival. Typically, this patient description relies on an aggregate variable, called a score, that quantifies the severity of illness of the patient. The use of a parametric model and an aggregate score form adequate means to develop models when data is relatively scarce but it introduces the risk of bias. This paper motivates and suggests a method for studying and improving the performance behavior of current state-of-the-art IC prognostic models. Our method is based on machine learning and statistical ideas and relies on exploiting information that underlies a score variable. In particular, this underlying information is used to construct a classification tree whose nodes denote patient sub-populations. For these sub-populations, local models, most notably logistic regression ones, are developed using only the total score variable. We compare the performance of this hybrid model to that of a traditional global logistic regression model. We show that the hybrid model not only provides more insight into the data but also has a better performance. We pay special attention to the precision aspect of model performance and argue why precision is more important than discrimination ability.

Artificial Intelligence↗

QSAR and classification study of 1,4-dihydropyridine calcium channel antagonists based on least squares support vector machines.

The least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), as a novel machine learning algorithm, was used to develop quantitative and classification models as a potential screening mechanism for a novel series of 1,4-dihydropyridine calcium channel antagonists for the first time. Each compound was represented by calculated structural descriptors that encode constitutional, topological, geometrical, electrostatic, quantum-chemical features. The heuristic method was then used to search the descriptor space and select the descriptors responsible for activity. Quantitative modeling results in a nonlinear, seven-descriptor model based on LSSVM with mean-square errors 0.2593, a predicted correlation coefficient (R(2)) 0.8696, and a cross-validated correlation coefficient (R(cv)(2)) 0.8167. The best classification results are found using LSSVM: the percentage (%) of correct prediction based on leave one out cross-validation was 91.1%. This paper provides a new and effective method for drug design and screening.

Algorithms↗

A cerebellar model for predictive motor control tested in a brain-based device.

The cerebellum is known to be critical for accurate adaptive control and motor learning. We propose here a mechanism by which the cerebellum may replace reflex control with predictive control. This mechanism is embedded in a learning rule (the delayed eligibility trace rule) in which synapses onto a Purkinje cell or onto a cell in the deep cerebellar nuclei become eligible for plasticity only after a fixed delay from the onset of suprathreshold presynaptic activity. To investigate the proposal that the cerebellum is a general-purpose predictive controller guided by a delayed eligibility trace rule, a computer model based on the anatomy and dynamics of the cerebellum was constructed. It contained components simulating cerebellar cortex and deep cerebellar nuclei, and it received input from a middle temporal visual area and the inferior olive. The model was incorporated in a real-world brain-based device (BBD) built on a Segway robotic platform that learned to traverse curved paths. The BBD learned which visual motion cues predicted impending collisions and used this experience to avoid path boundaries. During learning, the BBD adapted its velocity and turning rate to successfully traverse various curved paths. By examining neuronal activity and synaptic changes during this behavior, we found that the cerebellar circuit selectively responded to motion cues in specific receptive fields of simulated middle temporal visual areas. The system described here prompts several hypotheses about the relationship between perception and motor control and may be useful in the development of general-purpose motor learning systems for machines.

Cerebellum↗

Diagnostic Performance of Machine Learning for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Early and accurate diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and its organ involvement is essential. Previous reviews of machine learning (ML) in SLE combined heterogeneous tasks and validation strategies and may have overinterpreted model performance. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the diagnostic performance of ML and deep learning (DL) models for 3 clinically distinct SLE-related tasks: SLE classification or diagnosis, lupus nephritis (LN) diagnosis, and neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) discrimination. We also assessed methodological quality and certainty of evidence. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and IEEE Xplore were searched from January 2014 to April 2026. Eligible peer-reviewed diagnostic accuracy studies developed or validated ML or DL models for 1 of the 3 prespecified tasks, used an accepted reference standard, and provided data for a 2×2 contingency table. Bivariate random-effects meta-analyses with the Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman adjustment were used to pool sensitivity and specificity. We reported 95% prediction intervals (PIs), assessed risk of bias using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies for Artificial Intelligence tool (QUADAS-AI; Viknesh Sounderajah [Imperial College London]), and evaluated certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation framework for diagnostic test accuracy. RESULTS: Twenty-nine studies were included: 17 for SLE classification, 5 for LN diagnosis, and 7 for NPSLE discrimination. In the primary task-stratified analysis, pooled sensitivity was 0.91 (95% CI 0.86-0.94; 95% PI 0.56-0.99), and pooled specificity was 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.96; 95% PI 0.69-0.99), with low heterogeneity (I²=23.9% and 22.9%, respectively). DL models showed a sensitivity of 0.93 and specificity of 0.95, compared with 0.88 and 0.94 for traditional ML models. Certainty of evidence was high for most analyses but low for LN diagnosis because of inconsistency and imprecision. All studies were retrospective, and only 9 of 29 (31%) performed independent external validation. Overall risk of bias was high or unclear in 22 of 29 (75.9%) studies. No study reported model calibration, decision-curve analysis, or net clinical benefit. CONCLUSIONS: ML models showed promising diagnostic accuracy across 3 distinct SLE-related tasks, but wide PIs, limited external validation, and pervasive risk of bias restrict conclusions about real-world generalizability. Prospective multicenter studies with standardized tasks and reference standards, independent external validation, and formal assessment of calibration and clinical utility are required before clinical implementation.

Humans↗

Proteomics as a theranostic compass in BCR::ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms: Integrating biomarker discovery with therapeutic stratification.

Classic BCR::ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs)-polycythaemia vera, essential thrombocythaemia, and primary myelofibrosis-are clonal haematopoietic stem cell disorders with marked heterogeneity in clinical phenotype, disease trajectory, and therapeutic response. Genomic stratification by driver and cooperating mutations only partially accounts for this variability, leaving gaps in predicting thrombotic risk, fibrotic progression, leukaemic transformation, and treatment benefit. Proteomics bridges this gap by providing function-proximal readouts of protein abundance, post-translational modifications, pathway activity, and intercellular signalling that genomics and transcriptomics cannot capture, positioning it as a theranostic platform in which the same molecular readouts simultaneously inform diagnostic stratification and therapeutic decision-making. We propose a five-stage translational framework spanning from discovery-scale mass spectrometry and affinity-based plasma profiling to targeted validation, multicentre standardisation, and machine learning-integrated clinical panels. Proteomic evidence is synthesised across the following four disease axes: clonal fitness in haematopoietic stem and progenitor cells; bone marrow microenvironmental remodelling and fibrosis; chronic inflammation and thrombosis; and leukaemic transformation. We further describe how phosphoproteomics reveals resistance mechanisms to JAK inhibitors, including AXL-MAPK bypass and PP2A-autophagy-mediated tolerance, and how protein-level biomarkers (BCL2-BCL-XL, RAS-ERK, CAMK2G, and ROCK1/2) can guide individualised therapeutic selection. Affinity-based platforms (Olink PEA and SomaScan) and spatially resolved technologies (CODEX and single-cell proteomics) complement discovery proteomics. At present, however, this evidence base is constrained by small and heterogeneous cohorts, limited cross-platform reproducibility, and a scarcity of independent external validation for candidate protein panels. Realising this vision will require multicentre standardisation, analytically validated panel assays, and prospective clinical studies that translate molecular findings into decision-grade tools for patients with MPNs.

Humans↗

Optical coherence tomography machine learning classifiers for glaucoma detection: a preliminary study.

PURPOSE: Machine-learning classifiers are trained computerized systems with the ability to detect the relationship between multiple input parameters and a diagnosis. The present study investigated whether the use of machine-learning classifiers improves optical coherence tomography (OCT) glaucoma detection. METHODS: Forty-seven patients with glaucoma (47 eyes) and 42 healthy subjects (42 eyes) were included in this cross-sectional study. Of the glaucoma patients, 27 had early disease (visual field mean deviation [MD] > or = -6 dB) and 20 had advanced glaucoma (MD < -6 dB). Machine-learning classifiers were trained to discriminate between glaucomatous and healthy eyes using parameters derived from OCT output. The classifiers were trained with all 38 parameters as well as with only 8 parameters that correlated best with the visual field MD. Five classifiers were tested: linear discriminant analysis, support vector machine, recursive partitioning and regression tree, generalized linear model, and generalized additive model. For the last two classifiers, a backward feature selection was used to find the minimal number of parameters that resulted in the best and most simple prediction. The cross-validated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and accuracies were calculated. RESULTS: The largest area under the ROC curve (AROC) for glaucoma detection was achieved with the support vector machine using eight parameters (0.981). The sensitivity at 80% and 95% specificity was 97.9% and 92.5%, respectively. This classifier also performed best when judged by cross-validated accuracy (0.966). The best classification between early glaucoma and advanced glaucoma was obtained with the generalized additive model using only three parameters (AROC = 0.854). CONCLUSIONS: Automated machine classifiers of OCT data might be useful for enhancing the utility of this technology for detecting glaucomatous abnormality.

Adult↗

Comparison of relevance learning vector quantization with other metric adaptive classification methods.

The paper deals with the concept of relevance learning in learning vector quantization and classification. Recent machine learning approaches with the ability of metric adaptation but based on different concepts are considered in comparison to variants of relevance learning vector quantization. We compare these methods with respect to their theoretical motivation and we demonstrate the differences of their behavior for several real world data sets.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Social disconnection integrates genetic and proteomic risks in suicidal ideation and depression.

Suicidal ideation (SI) and major depressive disorder (MDD) are complex psychiatric conditions arising from the interplay of genetic liability, molecular processes, and psychosocial factors. While these dimensions have been extensively studied in isolation, their joint contribution to SI and MDD remains unclear. This study integrates multi-modal data to elucidate these synergistic effects and develop robust models for individual-level risk stratification. Leveraging longitudinal multi-modal data from 13,085 UK Biobank participants, we integrated genomic, proteomic, and social connection profiles. We developed interpretable risk scores using a rigorous supervised machine learning framework encompassing diverse linear and ensemble classifiers. Permutation importance was employed to quantify feature contributions and derive transparent, weighted risk metrics across diverse classifiers. These scores were validated through association, interaction, and mediation analyses. Social connection-based risk scores significantly differentiated cases and controls across the two suicidal ideation phenotypes at 2017 and 2023 with cross-sectional analyses (AUCs: 0.70 - 0.73), outperforming proteomic-only models. Functional dimensions of social connection emerged as the most informative predictors. Longitudinal analyses revealed that social risk scores at baseline predicted suicidal ideation onset six years later, independent of demographic covariates. Interaction analyses demonstrated that polygenic risk for suicide attempt significantly interacted with both social and proteomic risk features in relation to depression. Structural equation models further confirmed that social disconnection acts as a key mediator linking genetic predisposition to MDD and SI. Social disconnection is a critical risk factor mediating the impact of genetic vulnerability on psychiatric outcomes. Integrating social, genetic, and molecular data supports a multilevel framework for risk stratification and highlights the potential of socially oriented interventions to mitigate biological risk.

Humans↗

Efficient detection and characterization of targets of natural selection using transfer learning.

Natural selection leaves detectable patterns of altered spatial diversity within genomes, and identifying affected regions is crucial for understanding species evolution. Recently, machine learning approaches applied to raw population genomic data have been developed to uncover these adaptive signatures. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are particularly effective for this task, as they handle large data arrays while maintaining element correlations. However, shallow CNNs may miss complex patterns due to their limited capacity, while deep CNNs can capture these patterns but require extensive data and computational power. Transfer learning addresses these challenges by utilizing a deep CNN pre-trained on a large dataset as a feature extraction tool for downstream classification and evolutionary parameter prediction. This approach reduces extensive training data generation requirements and computational needs while maintaining high performance. In this study, we developed TrIdent, a tool that uses transfer learning to enhance detection of adaptive genomic regions from image representations of multilocus variation. We evaluated TrIdent across various genetic, demographic, and adaptive settings, in addition to unphased data and other confounding factors. TrIdent demonstrated improved detection of adaptive regions compared to recent methods using similar data representations. We further explored model interpretability through class activation maps and adapted TrIdent to infer selection parameters for identified adaptive candidates. Using whole-genome haplotype data from European and African populations, TrIdent effectively recapitulated known sweep candidates and identified novel cancer, and other disease-associated genes as potential sweeps.

Journal Article↗

On prognostic models, artificial intelligence and censored observations.

The development of prognostic models for assisting medical practitioners with decision making is not a trivial task. Models need to possess a number of desirable characteristics and few, if any, current modelling approaches based on statistical or artificial intelligence can produce models that display all these characteristics. The inability of modelling techniques to provide truly useful models has led to interest in these models being purely academic in nature. This in turn has resulted in only a very small percentage of models that have been developed being deployed in practice. On the other hand, new modelling paradigms are being proposed continuously within the machine learning and statistical community and claims, often based on inadequate evaluation, being made on their superiority over traditional modelling methods. We believe that for new modelling approaches to deliver true net benefits over traditional techniques, an evaluation centric approach to their development is essential. In this paper we present such an evaluation centric approach to developing extensions to the basic k-nearest neighbour (k-NN) paradigm. We use standard statistical techniques to enhance the distance metric used and a framework based on evidence theory to obtain a prediction for the target example from the outcome of the retrieved exemplars. We refer to this new k-NN algorithm as Censored k-NN (Ck-NN). This reflects the enhancements made to k-NN that are aimed at providing a means for handling censored observations within k-NN.

Algorithms↗

QSAR and classification models of a novel series of COX-2 selective inhibitors: 1,5-diarylimidazoles based on support vector machines.

The support vector machine, which is a novel algorithm from the machine learning community, was used to develop quantitation and classification models which can be used as a potential screening mechanism for a novel series of COX-2 selective inhibitors. Each compound was represented by calculated structural descriptors that encode constitutional, topological, geometrical, electrostatic, and quantum-chemical features. The heuristic method was then used to search the descriptor space and select the descriptors responsible for activity. Quantitative modelling results in a nonlinear, seven-descriptor model based on SVMs with root mean-square errors of 0.107 and 0.136 for training and prediction sets, respectively. The best classification results are found using SVMs: the accuracy for training and test sets is 91.2% and 88.2%, respectively. This paper proposes a new and effective method for drug design and screening.

Algorithms↗

A novel approach for short-term load forecasting using support vector machines.

A support vector machine (SVM) modeling approach for short-term load forecasting is proposed. The SVM learning scheme is applied to the power load data, forcing the network to learn the inherent internal temporal property of power load sequence. We also study the performance when other related input variables such as temperature and humidity are considered. The performance of our proposed SVM modeling approach has been tested and compared with feed-forward neural network and cosine radial basis function neural network approaches. Numerical results show that the SVM approach yields better generalization capability and lower prediction error compared to those neural network approaches.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Modeling clinical judgment and implicit guideline compliance in the diagnosis of melanomas using machine learning.

We explore several machine learning techniques to model clinical decision making of 6 dermatologists in the clinical task of melanoma diagnosis of 177 pigmented skin lesions (76 malignant, 101 benign). In particular we apply Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifiers to model clinician judgments, Markov Blanket and SVM feature selection to eliminate clinical features that are effectively ignored by the dermatologists, and a novel explanation technique whereby regression tree induction is run on the reduced SVM model's output to explain the physicians' implicit patterns of decision making. Our main findings include: (a) clinician judgments can be accurately predicted, (b) subtle decision making rules are revealed enabling the explanation of differences of opinion among physicians, and (c) physician judgment is non-compliant with the diagnostic guidelines that physicians self-report as guiding their decision making.

Artificial Intelligence↗

Research on identification of key genes and immune-metabolic mechanisms in atrial fibrillation through integrated multi-cohort transcriptomic analysis and machine learning.

This study aimed to integrate multiple datasets for the identification of atrial fibrillation (AF)-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs), analyze their underlying mechanisms through functional enrichment and machine learning, construct diagnostic models, and explore immune-metabolic interactions to provide novel biomarkers and theoretical foundations. Gene expression datasets were integrated and normalized, with batch effects removed using principal component analysis. Differential expression analysis, functional enrichment analysis (Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathways), and machine learning-based feature gene selection and model construction were performed. Shapley additive explanations analysis was utilized to interpret the constructed models, while gene set enrichment analysis, gene set variation analysis, and immune cell infiltration analysis were conducted to investigate the associations between feature genes and immune infiltration. After integrating and normalizing gene expression data and eliminating batch effects via principal component analysis, 6 DEGs were identified, including 4 upregulated and 2 down-regulated ones. Functional enrichment analysis showed these DEGs were significantly enriched in neuro-related biological processes and pathways, indicating their key roles in AF pathogenesis. Five key feature genes were selected using LASSO, random forest, and support vector machine-recursive feature elimination algorithms. They had significant expression differences between the AF and control groups (P&#x2005;<&#x2005;.001) and were located on distinct chromosomes. The constructed random forest and support vector machine models performed excellently (area under the curve&#x2005;&#x2265;&#x2005;0.85). Shapley additive explanations analysis revealed TNNI1 contributed most to model prediction, with its expression significantly positively correlated with immune cell infiltration. Gene set enrichment analysis and gene set variation analysis analyses further showed feature genes participated in AF pathogenesis by regulating immune modulation, metabolic pathways, and autophagy. Immune cell infiltration analysis found altered proportions of T-cell subsets and M0 macrophages in the AF group, along with complex links between feature gene expression and immune cell function. This study systematically elucidated the unique gene expression patterns and key regulatory pathways associated with AF, clarifying the crucial roles of feature genes in immune regulation, metabolic imbalance, and cellular dysfunction. These findings provide a theoretical basis and potential therapeutic targets for understanding AF pathogenesis and developing targeted treatment strategies.

Atrial Fibrillation↗

Protein fold class prediction: new methods of statistical classification.

Feed forward neural networks are compared with standard and new statistical classification procedures for the classification of proteins. We applied logistic regression, an additive model and projection pursuit regression from the methods based on a posterior probabilities; linear, quadratic and a flexible discriminant analysis from the methods based on class conditional probabilities, and the K-nearest-neighbors classification rule. Both, the apparent error rate obtained with the training sample (n = 143) and the test error rate obtained with the test sample (n = 125) and the 10-fold cross validation error were calculated. We conclude that some of the standard statistical methods are potent competitors to the more flexible tools of machine learning.

Algorithms↗

Bridging genotype, phenotype, and clinical insight: the role of multi-omics in cardiovascular disease.

INTRODUCTION: It is increasingly evident that the multifactorial nature of cardiovascular disease requires the combination of different omics approaches for improving our mechanistic understanding, identifying novel drug targets, and developing accurate diagnostic, predictive, and prognostic biomarker panels. AREAS COVERED: We review the current state and the potential of multi-omics in cardiovascular disease, with a specific focus on plasma-, spatial-, and single-cell approaches. We discuss lipidomics as a genotype&#x2011;to&#x2011;phenotype bridge, the utility of remote longitudinal monitoring via microsampling/dried blood spots, and emerging clinical&#x2011;trial integrations of multi-omics approaches. We outline critical gaps in standardization and how to overcome these, pre&#x2011;analytical challenges and constraints that are often neglected, and data&#x2011;integration methods spanning from canonical correlation analysis to modern machine learning approaches. EXPERT OPINION: Multi&#x2011;omics can shape cardiovascular care by identifying drug targets in diseased tissue and by yielding small, usable biomarker panels.

Humans↗