A second look at natural family planning.
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A number of demographic techniques for the indirect estimation of trends in causes of death in Indonesia are proposed. These involve "the use of rates and proportions derived from other nations experiencing similar levels of mortality to that prevailing in Indonesia. Four sets of estimates were produced, the first based on a regression developed by Preston, the other three derived from national patterns of Mexico, the Philippines, and a composite group of countries. These were compared with available epidemiologic and clinical data from Indonesia to produce a final set of estimates which accord both with known Indonesian patterns and medical findings from other nations."
"A tentative approximation of the expectation of life at 60-65 years, for populations with defective demographic statistics, is explored and expounded on the basis of a recent Horiuchi and [Coale] paper." The method is applied to data for El Salvador, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Peninsular Malaysia, and it is shown that the method can be used on actual data, although it requires some drastic rounding off. (summary in ENG, FRE)
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