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Long-term survival after non-small cell lung cancer surgery: development and validation of a prognostic model with a preoperative and postoperative mode.

OBJECTIVE: At present, there is no prognostic model that is specific for prediction of survival after non-small cell lung cancer surgery. We aimed to develop a prognostic model that can be used to estimate the postoperative survival of individual patients. METHODS: A total of 766 patients underwent resection for primary non-small cell lung cancer. Comorbid conditions were scaled according to the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to determine risk factors for survival. A prognostic model for survival with a preoperative and postoperative mode was established. Performance of the prognostic model, the CCI, and pathologic tumor stage were quantified by a concordance statistic to indicate discriminative ability. RESULTS: The factors associated with an impaired survival were male sex, age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, any prior tumor, moderate-to-severe renal disease (preoperative and postoperative mode), clinical tumor stage (preoperative mode), type of resection, and pathologic tumor stage (postoperative mode). The discriminative performance was poor for the CCI (c = 0.55), better for pathologic tumor stage (c = 0.60) and for the preoperative mode (c = 0.61), and best for the postoperative mode (c = 0.65). The discriminative performance of the postoperative mode was better than the discriminative performance of the CCI (P < .0001), the preoperative mode (P < .0002), and pathologic tumor stage (P < .0001). The discriminative performance of the preoperative mode was better than the discriminative performance of the CCI (P < .0001) and similar (P = .90) to a model that only included pathologic tumor stage. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic model, particularly the postoperative mode, successfully estimates long-term survival of individual patients and could help clinicians in clinical decision-making and treatment tailoring.

Aged↗

Prognostic significance of gelsolin expression level and variability in non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Gelsolin is an actin-binding protein that mediates cellular motility and maintains the integrity of cytoskeletal structure. Diminished expression of gelsolin has been observed in human cancer cell lines and tumors. Studies of the prognostic effect of gelsolin expression (GE) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are rare and results are inconsistent to date. The present study used immunohistochemistry to evaluate the prognostic effect of gelsolin expression in 155 patients with resectable NSCLC. METHODS: Detection of gelsolin in tumor cells was performed by immunohistochemistry, and two approaches to classification were used to describe expression: expression level (negative, reduced or high) and expression uniformity (uniform or variable). Expression level was determined by a weighted index of intensity of staining (i.e., overall tendency) in the specimen. Expression uniformity was based on the presence or absence of variability in immunostaining within the tumor section. Chi-square test, student t-test, Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were used in data analyses. RESULTS: After controlling for covariates, high level gelsolin expression was significantly associated with poor survival compared with negative gelsolin expression in NSCLC, and this adverse prognostic effect was specific to patients with stage II tumors and for patients with squamous cell carcinomas. Similarly, variable gelsolin expression was significantly associated with poor survival compared with uniform gelsolin expression and this adverse prognostic effect was also specific to patients with stage II tumors and for patients with squamous cell carcinomas. CONCLUSION: High level gelsolin expression and variable gelsolin expression are adverse prognostic factors for NSCLC in this study, which might manifest the high motility and heterogeneity of tumor cells, two distinguishing characteristics for tumors with potentially enhanced invasive and dissemination capabilities.

Aged↗

Validating the prognostic value of marker genes derived from a non-small cell lung cancer microarray study.

We previously reported that our cDNA microarray analysis of primary non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) could predict for patients at increased risk of cancer recurrence. From the result of this analysis, we selected 11 genes that were considered candidate prognostic marker genes and used the realtime reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) to investigate their expression in the same set of NSCLC cases used in the microarray study. Cluster analysis of the realtime RT-PCR data separated these patients into two groups with significantly different disease-free survivals (log-rank test, P < 0.017). In contrast, cluster analysis failed to confirm the prognostic significance of the realtime RT-PCR results for these 11 genes in a validation series of 92 NSCLC cases. In univariate analysis, hypoxia inducible factor 1alpha, Rho-GDP dissociation inhibitor (GDI) alpha (RhoGDI) and Citron/rho-interacting serine-threonine kinase 21 (Citron K21) were significant prognostic factors for disease-free survival in the entire cohort of 130 NSCLC patients, but none were significant in multivariate analysis. The results demonstrate that the prognostic significance of microarray (SAM) results can be partially validated using realtime RT-PCR, but secondary validation using larger and independent series of tumors is necessary to identify true prognostic marker genes.

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung↗

Prognostic factors in mesothelioma.

Prognostic factors can help clinicians and patients when deciding a treatment plan. Patients in the best prognostic groups can be considered for more intensive or experimental therapy. Alternatively, patients in the best prognostic groups might prefer a period of observation prior to commencement of therapy. For patients with mesothelioma prognostic factors are potentially especially important because of the lack of a widely applicable anatomical staging system. Both the International Mesothelioma Interest Group (IMIG) and Brigham staging systems are of limited relevance to patients not undergoing radical debulking surgery. Radiological prediction of IMIG or Brigham stage is of little value. Review of the best-known prognostic scoring systems from the EORTC and CALGB has shown that the most important predictors of poor prognosis are: poor performance status; non-epithelioid histology; male gender; low hemoglobin; high platelet count; high white blood cell count; and high lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). The EORTC model was validated at St Bartholomew's Hospital in a group of 145 patients treated in sequential phase II chemotherapy trials. For 70 patients treated with vinorelbine, those having the best EORTC prognosis had a median survival of 19.2 months [95% C.I.=14.7-23.7] compared to 9.9 months [95% C.I.=8.5-11.3] for those in the worst group. The suggestion is that all clinical and biological factors relevant to prognosis should be recorded prospectively in mesothelioma patients selected for clinical trials.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

Histologic prognostic factors for small-sized squamous cell carcinomas of the peripheral lung.

OBJECTIVE: Although the incidence of peripheral squamous cell carcinomas (SqCCs) of the lung has increased over recent years, histologic prognostic factors for small peripheral SqCCs have not been well established. The aim of this study is to identify clinicopathologic prognostic factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated various clinicopathologic parameters in 101 patients with peripheral lung SqCCs (defined as tumors located in or more peripheral to the fourth branching bronchus), measuring < or = 30 mm in diameter. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis showed that the size of the minimal tumor nest (MTN), a background of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) and lymph node metastasis were significant prognostic factors. MTN sizes were defined as large (>6 tumor cells), small (2-5 tumor cells) or single cell. The 5-year disease-free survival rate was significantly worse in patients with single cell nests (50 patients, 69.5%) than in those with small nests (42 patients, 94.1%) (P = 0.0035, log rank test). The MTN size had a significant impact on survival in patients with pathologic stage IA disease and tumors < or = 20 mm in diameter. A background of UIP, which correlated with the presence of a single cell invasive component and pleural involvement, was also a poor prognostic factor, suggesting that peripheral SqCC in UIP is highly malignant even if the tumor is small. CONCLUSION: The MTN size is a useful prognostic factor for small peripheral SqCCs. Tumors with a single cell invasive component appear to be highly malignant, and should be distinguished from invasive cancers with a low malignant potential (tumors with large or small tumor nest components).

Aged↗

Aberrant expression of 5-lipoxygenase-activating protein (5-LOXAP) has prognostic and survival significance in patients with breast cancer.

5-lipoxygenase (5-LOX)-activating protein, 5-LOXAP also known as LOX5AP or FLAP, is a protein that works closely with 5-LOX in regulating the metabolism of arachidonate. Some of the eicosanoid products of 5-LOX/5-LOXAP are known to play active roles in the function of cancer cells, including breast cancer cells. The current study investigated the expression of 5-LOXAP in clinical breast cancer and the prognostic impact of 5-LOXAP and 5-LOX in patients with breast cancer. A cohort of breast tumour tissues (n = 122) with normal background tissues (n = 32) were investigated. 5-LOXAP and 5-LOX transcripts were determined using RT-PCR and quantitative RT-PCR. Levels of the transcripts were analysed against clinical and pathological information. Breast tumour tissues had significantly higher levels of 5-LOX transcript compared with normal tissues (P = 0.015). The transcript was seen at significantly higher levels in node positive tumours than that in node negative tumours (P = 0.02). The prognostic significance was assessed using both a prognostic index and clinical outcome. Value of 5-LOXAP was first demonstrated when using the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) as an indicator, in that patients with predicted poor prognosis had significantly higher levels of 5-LOXAP than patients with good prognosis (P = 0.0407). Furthermore, patients who died of breast cancer-related causes had significant higher levels of 5-LOXAP than those patients who remained disease free, following a median 10-year followup. A survival analysis has shown that high levels of 5-LOXAP were significantly correlated with overall survival (mean survival 109.6 month vs. 139.4 months, in tumour from patients with high and low levels of 5-LOXAP, P = 0.05). The same disadvantage of high levels of 5-LOXAP was also seen with disease-free survival (105.2 months vs. 135.6 months, P = 0.017). Analysis of 5-LOXAP together with 5-LOX transcript did not enhance the significance of the survival. However, when 5-LOXAP was considered together with 12-LOX, it improved the predictive power for both overall and disease-free survival (109.0 month vs. 143.1 months, P = 0.0156 for overall survival and 98.3 months vs. 141.3 months for disease-free survival, P = 0.0022). In conclusion, 5-LOXAP expression was aberrant in human breast cancer, particularly in aggressive tumours. Furthermore, 5-LOXAP had a significant prognostic value in patients with breast cancer. This identifies 5-LOXAP as a potential therapeutic target in breast cancer.

5-Lipoxygenase-Activating Proteins↗

Lymphopenia: a new independent prognostic factor for survival in patients treated with whole brain radiotherapy for brain metastases from breast carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To determine overall survival (OS) and independent prognostic factors in patients with brain metastases (BM) from breast cancer treated by whole brain radiotherapy (WBR). PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred and twenty (120) women with BM, treated in a single French cancer center between 02/91 and 06/01, were reviewed. BM were confirmed by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging. Survival time was defined as the time interval from the date of BM to the date of death or last follow-up. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine significant prognostic factors in a multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Surgery was followed by WBR in 5 patients. One hundred and four (104) patients received exclusive WBR, eight received concomitant chemo-radiation, and one received chemo-radiation after surgery. The median survival time was 5 months (95% CI: 3-7 months). In the multivariate analysis, performance status over 1 and lymphopenia (<0.7 G/L) were found to be independent prognostic factors for poor survival. Based on the number of these independent prognostic factors, we propose a predictive model for survival in brain metastatic cancer patients. Median survival was 7 months for patients presenting none or one poor prognosis factor at diagnosis versus 2 months for patients with 2 poor prognosis factors (p<0.0001) CONCLUSION: Brain metastases from breast cancer remain associated with very poor prognosis and there is a need for better treatment procedures. If confirmed in predictive models, the identification of prognostic subgroups, based on KPS and lymphopenia, among patients with BM from breast cancer would help physicians select patients for future clinical trials.

Adult↗

Evaluation of prognostic significance in extracapsular spread of lymph node metastasis in patients with gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Extracapsular spread of lymph node metastasis has been shown as a negative prognostic factor in cancers of several other organs. This study was performed to clarify the prognostic significance of extracapsular spread in patients receiving curative resection for gastric cancer. METHODS: Extracapsular spread was defined as infiltration of cancer cells beyond the capsule of the metastatic lymph node. Four hundred and two patients who underwent curative gastrectomy were evaluated. Eight potential prognostic factors, including the International Union Against Cancer (Union International Contra la Cancrum; [UICC]) N stage and nodal status classified by the presence of lymph node metastasis or extracapsular spread, were examined. RESULTS: Three survival curves grouped by nodal status differed significantly, and prognosis of patients with extracapsular spread was significantly worse than for the other groups. Both UICC N stage ( P < .001) and nodal status ( P < .001) were significant prognostic factors by multivariate analysis. UICC N stages were subcategorized by nodal status, and survival was shown to be significantly worse in patients with extracapsular spread in the UICC N1 group ( P = .04). CONCLUSIONS: Extracapsular spread was a significant negative prognostic indicator on multivariate analysis, and may be useful in combination with UICC N stage. Extracapsular spread was regarded as an important indicator to refine the nodal staging system in gastric cancer.

Adult↗

Overexpression of epithelial cell adhesion molecule (Ep-CAM) is an independent prognostic marker for reduced survival of patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Currently available clinical and molecular factors provide still an insufficient prognostic and predictive assessment for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). To identify a potential molecular target and prognostic/predictive factor for EOC, we investigated in a retrospective study the prognostic value of Ep-CAM overexpression in EOC. METHODS: We assessed by immunohistochemistry the expression of the Ep-CAM antigen on tissue microarrays containing paraffin-embedded tissue samples of 199 patients with documented EOC. Patients were operated for ovarian cancer in the period between June 1980 and January 2000. RESULTS: We observed a rate of Ep-CAM overexpression of 68.8%. Ep-CAM overexpression was significantly related to a decreased overall survival (P = 0.036). The prognostic power of Ep-CAM overexpression was particularly strong in patients with stage III and IV disease. In fact, in this subgroup, median overall survival was twofold higher in patients without as compared to patients with Ep-CAM overexpression (46 vs. 23 months, P < 0.01). Univariate analysis revealed a correlation with histologic grade. We observed a significantly higher rate of Ep-CAM overexpression (83.5%) in grade 3 tumors. Histologic subtypes associated with a higher rate of Ep-CAM overexpression were serous carcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, undifferentiated carcinoma, clear cell carcinoma, and endometrioid carcinoma. Cox regression analysis showed Ep-CAM overexpression to be an independent prognostic marker (P = 0.037, RR = 1.64). CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective analysis demonstrates for the first time an independent prognostic value of Ep-CAM overexpression in patients with EOC. Ovarian cancer patients with Ep-CAM overexpressing tumors are frequent and would qualify for treatment with Ep-CAM-specific immunotherapeutic approaches.

Adult↗

Normalization for peak oxygen uptake increases the prognostic power of the ventilatory response to exercise in patients with chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Peak exercise oxygen uptake (peak VO2) and ventilation to CO2 production (VE/VCO2) slope are established prognostic indicators in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). A high VE/VCO2 slope, however, does not take into account the level of physical performance as expressed by peak VO2. We hypothesized that the prognostic value of a high VE/VCO2 slope may be improved by normalization for peak VO2 (VE/VCO2/VO2). METHODS: One hundred patients with CHF underwent pulmonary function tests at rest (spirometry and lung diffusion capacity) and maximal cardiopulmonary exercise testing. The prognostic value of VE/VCO2 slope, peak VO2 and VE/VCO2/VO2 was probed prospectively. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients died from cardiac reasons during a mean follow-up of 26 +/- 19 months. Nonsurvivors, compared to survivors, showed a lower peak VO2 (13.6 +/- 4.0 vs 17.5 +/- 4.1 mL x min(-1) x kg(-1), P <.01) and a steeper VE/VCO2 slope (43 +/- 11 vs 31.6 +/- 5.0, P <.01). Nonetheless, in patients whose VE/VCO2 slope exceeded 34 (upper normal limit), there was no correlation with peak VO2 (r = -35, P = not significant). Interestingly 35% of them showed a normal exercise performance (peak VO2 > or =18 mL x min(-1) x kg(-1)). At multivariate analysis, the VE/VCO2 slope showed a prognostic power stronger than that of peak VO2; however, the VE/VCO2/VO2 index retained a prognostic power greater than that of both VE/VCO2 slope and peak VO2. A VE/VCO2/VO2 > or =2.4 signaled cases at higher risk. CONCLUSIONS: Discrepancies between VE/VCO2 slope and peak VO2 may generate uncertainty. Normalization of the former by the latter improves outcome prediction and may be considered a simple and effective way for maximizing the clinical applicability of these 2 indicators.

Analysis of Variance↗

The erbB oncogenes as prognostic markers in oral squamous cell carcinomas.

BACKGROUND: In clinical practice it became clear that conventional prognostic parameters of oral squamous cell carcinomas (OSCC) are of limited value for the prediction of a disease-free survival. The overexpression of erbB oncogenes is of importance for the clinical course of a variety of solid tumors. After discovering amplifications of erbB oncogenes even in OSCC, it was the aim of the present study to clarify the potential of oncogenes as additional prognostic markers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The amplification of the erbB oncogenes in tumorous tissue of 85 OSCC patients was determined using the double-differential polymerase chain reaction. Histologically healthy mucosa in these patients was also studied. In univariate analysis the amplification of erbB oncogenes with clinical and histopathological prognostic parameters was compared. RESULTS: No significant correlation between common prognostic parameters and erbB-2 amplification was found. Patients whose OSCC tissue showed an average gene copy number for erbB-2 of greater than 1.2, for erbB-3 below 0.11, and a ratio of erbB-1 and erbB-2 below 0.31 had a statistically significant decrease in disease-free survival. Even in histologically healthy oral mucosa from tumor patients an amplification of erbB oncogenes was found. CONCLUSIONS: ErbB oncogene amplifications in oral squamous cell carcinomas play a significant role as a prognostic factor and seem to be effective in predicting decrease in disease-free survival. Genetic abnormalities in tumor-surrounding tissue support the field cancerization hypothesis.

Carcinoma, Squamous Cell↗

Prognostic significance of neuroendocrine differentiation in adenocarcinoma of the lung.

BACKGROUND: The relative incidence of adenocarcinoma of the lung is increasing and some patients with lung carcinoma, detected at an early stage, still develop recurrent disease despite complete resection of the tumor. Recently, neuroendocrine differentiation in large cell carcinoma of the lung has been reported to be of prognostic significance. Therefore, we have evaluated the prognostic significance of neuroendocrine differentiation in adenocarcinoma of the lung. METHODS: A total of 90 resected specimens of adenocarcinoma of the lung measuring 3 cm or less (T1 N0 M0 or T2 N0 M0) were reviewed histologically and immunohistochemical staining was performed to determine the degree of neuroendocrine differentiation. RESULTS: Seven adenocarcinomas exhibited neuroendocrine differentiation in 10% or more of tumor cells. The disease-free survival rate for these patients was significantly lower than that of patients with tumors exhibiting neuroendocrine differentiation in less than 10% of tumor cells or with absent neuroendocrine differentiation (p < 0.0005). Other conventional pathologic factors such as vascular invasion (p < 0.0005), lymphatic invasion (p < 0.05), and pleural involvement (p < 0.05) were also of prognostic significance. In multivariate analysis, the presence of 10% or more neuroendocrine marker-positive tumor cells, vascular invasion, and lymphatic invasion were found to be significantly adverse prognostic factors (p = 0.0162, p = 0.0111, and p = 0.0173, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Neuroendocrine differentiation of tumor cells is a prognostic factor in lung adenocarcinoma. It is suggested that the identification of neuroendocrine differentiation as well as vascular invasion by tumor in small peripheral adenocarcinoma of the lung may predict the prognosis of these patients.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Prognostic significance of the size of central fibrosis in peripheral adenocarcinoma of the lung.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of the characteristics of central fibrosis in peripheral adenocarcinoma of the lung has been reported. However, the prognostic significance of the size of central fibrosis has never been evaluated. METHODS: A total of 100 consecutive surgically resected peripheral adenocarcinomas of the lung measuring 3.0 cm or less in maximum dimension were reviewed histologically, and the maximum dimension of central fibrosis was measured on conventional hematoxylin and eosin stain. RESULTS: Median follow-up for patients alive was 54 months. The overall 5-year survival rate was 75%. Twenty-one patients with adenocarcinoma having central fibrosis 5 mm or smaller in maximum dimension had a 5-year survival rate of 100%, whereas the other 79 patients had a 5-year survival less than 70%. Multivariate analysis showed the size of central fibrosis to be an independent prognostic factor as significant as vascular invasion and locoregional lymph node metastasis (p = 0.010, 0.024, and 0.024, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The size of central fibrosis is an independent prognostic factor in peripheral lung adenocarcinoma, as significant as the well-established prognostic factors vascular invasion and lymph node metastasis.

Adenocarcinoma↗

[Variation in the prognostic value of p53 protein in relation to tumoral stage in patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the prognostic value of p53 protein as a marker of recurrence risk in each tumoral stage. PATIENTS AND METHOD: A prospective study of a cohort of 288 patients who underwent surgery for colorectal adenocarcinoma was performed. Stage 1 of the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification was found in 42 patients (14.6%), stage II in 144 (50%) and stage III in 102 (35.4%). Histopathological variables were examined in tumor samples fixed in formol and embedded in paraffin and p53 (DO7 antibody) and proliferative cell nuclear antigen (PC-10 antibody) proteins were determined using immunohistochemistry. The results of p53 were analyzed in each of the categories of clinical and histopathological variables. Recurrence-free survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The value of each variable as a predictive marker for tumoral recurrence was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated as indicators of relative risk. The analysis was applied to the whole cohort and was subsequently repeated in each TNM tumoral stage separately. RESULTS: Tumors with p53 protein overexpression more frequently recurred and showed lower recurrence-free survival at 5 years. However, the association between p53 expression and postoperative outcome was statistically significant in stage III tumors only. In this subgroup of patients, recurrence-free survival at 60 months was 60% in p53-negative tumors and was 26% in p53-positive tumors (p=0.010). In the multivariate analysis, p53 was an independent prognostic factor associated with a high risk of recurrence in stage III tumors (hazard ratio=2.76; 95% CI, 1.29-5.9; p=0.009). Overexpression of p53 showed prognostic value as a marker of high risk of recurrence in the form of metastases (hazard ratio=2.23; 95% CI, 1.04-4.75), but not as a prognostic marker of locoregional recurrence. No relationship was found between the state of p53 protein and the effect of postoperative adjuvant therapy. CONCLUSION: The p53 protein does not have the same prognostic value in all tumoral stages. This protein is only predictive of high recurrence risk in the subgroup of patients with stage III tumors.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Medical decisions and prognostications of pediatricians for infants with meningomyelocele.

To determine how pediatricians' prognostications and decisions about the treatment of infants with meningomyelocele are affected by varying degrees of hydrocephalus, we randomly selected a sample of pediatricians to receive written surveys. This questionnaire assessed the relationship between the decisions and the prognostications, and compared their accuracy with that of outcome studies. Each pediatrician completed a questionnaire for two of three possible cases, which were identically described as infants with meningomyelocele and complete paraplegia varying only in the degree of hydrocephalus at birth from none to moderate to severe. Recommendations for treatment and prognostications (the Prognostics Belief Scale of Impressions of adult functional capabilities and likely residential and vocational placements) were compared. Significantly fewer pediatricians would present information to parents in an encouraging light, and significantly fewer would treat their own child, if the case involved severe hydrocephalus in comparison with no hydrocephalus. Pediatricians' prognostications were the least optimistic for the infant with severe hydrocephalus and most optimistic for the infant without hydrocephalus, and they were considerably less optimistic than seems justified on the basis of follow-up studies. Last, physicians' less-than-optimistic prognoses were significantly related to their decisions concerning surgery for the infants with moderate and severe hydrocephalus. The major import of the findings is that pediatricians' prognoses reflect, in part, a misconception of the impact of hydrocephalus on children born with meningomyelocele and that these prognoses then have and impact on the pediatricians' decisions concerning treatment.

Decision Making↗

Prognostic markers in bladder cancer: a contemporary review of the literature.

PURPOSE: We provide a contemporary review of bladder tumor markers and summarize their role as prognostic indicators. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A comprehensive review of the literature on prognostic markers for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder was performed. RESULTS: Intense research efforts are being made to identify and characterize better various bladder cancers and their true biological potential. The need to predict which superficial tumors will recur or progress and which invasive tumors will metastasize has led to the identification of a variety of potential prognostic markers. Blood group antigens, tumor associated antigens, proliferating antigens, oncogenes, peptide growth factors and their receptors, cell adhesion molecules, tumor angiogenesis and angiogenesis inhibitors, and cell cycle regulatory proteins have recently been identified. The potential clinical applications of these tumor markers are under active investigation. Recent attention has focused on which tumor markers may predict the responsiveness of a particular bladder cancer to systemic chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: At present conventional histopathological evaluation of bladder cancer (tumor grade and stage) cannot predict accurately the behavior of most bladder tumors. With a better understanding of the cell cycle, and cell to cell and cell to extracellular matrix interactions as well as improved diagnostic techniques (immunohistochemistry), progress is being made to identify and characterize other potential prognostic markers for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. The ultimate goal is to develop reliable prognostic markers that will accurately predict not only the course but also the response of a tumor to therapy. This information may then be used to dictate more aggressive treatment for tumors that are likely to progress and less aggressive treatment for those that are unlikely to progress. In the future these biological markers may also be used in gene therapy for the treatment of bladder cancer.

Antigens, Neoplasm↗

The prognostic value of pretreatment expression of androgen receptor and bcl-2 in hormonally treated prostate cancer patients.

PURPOSE: We determined the prognostic value of oncoprotein bcl-2 and androgen receptor expression in pretreatment transurethral resection specimens of hormonally treated prostate cancer patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 68 pretreatment transurethral resection specimens, 30 radical prostatectomy specimens and 21 palliative transurethral resection specimens with androgen independent prostate cancer was stained with a monoclonal antibody against bcl-2. Androgen receptor immunohistochemistry was performed on pretreatment transurethral resection specimens only. Results were scored semiquantitatively and were correlated with tumor stage and grade and with the occurrence of clinical progression or tumor related death. RESULTS: Bcl-2 expression by adenocarcinoma cells was found in 32, 17 and 24% of pretreatment transurethral resection, radical prostatectomy and palliative transurethral resection specimens, respectively. The bcl-2 scores did not correlate with tumor stage or grade. Androgen receptor was expressed in 88% of pretreatment transurethral resection specimens. Androgen receptor scores were marginally related to tumor grade, but not to tumor stage. A prognostic value of bcl-2 or androgen receptor in pretreatment transurethral resection specimens was not found. When a combined bcl-2/androgen receptor score was used, this parameter was an independent prognostic marker to predict clinical progression with Gleason grade and stage classification. Gleason grade was the only independent prognostic marker to predict tumor related death. CONCLUSIONS: The expression of bcl-2 and androgen receptor in pretreatment prostate cancer specimens is not related to the prognosis of hormonally treated prostate cancer. Bcl-2 expression is not increased in endocrine therapy resistant prostate cancer. Surprisingly, a combined bcl-2/androgen receptor score acts as an independent prognosticator for clinical progression.

Aged↗

The flare in serum alkaline phosphatase activity after orchiectomy: a valuable negative prognostic index for progression-free survival in prostatic carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We determined whether an early flare in serum alkaline phosphatase activity after orchiectomy was of prognostic value for progression-free survival in patients with advanced prostatic carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a data base from a Dutch multicenter study on prostatic carcinoma was done to determine the prognostic value of a flare in alkaline phosphatase activity after orchiectomy in 112 patients with metastatic (75%) or locally advanced (25%) disease. Cox's proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used. RESULTS: Of the patients 50% had initially increased alkaline phosphatase levels and a flare in activity was demonstrated in 87% 2 to 4 weeks after orchiectomy. The prostate specific antigen nadir (cutoff 4 ng./ml.) 6 months after orchiectomy was of significant prognostic value for progression-free survival. A flare in alkaline phosphatase activity after orchiectomy demonstrated an early significant prognostic value for progression-free survival, independent of the serum alkaline phosphatase activity. CONCLUSIONS: The simplicity, ready availability and cost-effectiveness of serum alkaline phosphatase activity as a prognostic index render it attractive to the clinician, particularly early in the course of prostatic carcinoma. Measuring the flare in alkaline phosphatase activity within 1 month of orchiectomy may permit early identification of patients in whom the disease is likely to progress rapidly and who would potentially benefit from aggressive treatment.

Aged↗