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A reusable perfusion supporting tissue-mimicking material for ultrasound hyperthermia phantoms.

A new ultrasonically and thermodynamically tissue-mimicking material is reported. The material is well suited for use in phantoms for testing ultrasound hyperthermia systems or related predictive models. Controlled convective heat transfer effects, mimicking to some extent perfusive heat transfer in tissues, can be instituted in the material with appropriate fluid sources and sinks. The material consists of closely packed agar spheres varying in diameters from 0.3-3.6 mm. The interstitial space between spheres is filled with 10% n-propanol solution. The material has two practical advantages over the solid-gel-type tissue-mimicking materials. The first advantage is that it allows rapid return of a hyperthermia phantom to thermal equilibrium following a heating test by rapid circulation of the perfusion fluid. The second advantage is that the material is in a "liquid" form. It can be easily siphoned in and out of phantom containers of any geometric shape for different purposes without change in its physical properties. Methods for measuring ultrasonic and thermodynamic properties of the material and the results of the measurements are reported. The physical parameters measured are the intensity attenuation and absorption coefficients, the ultrasonic speed, the thermal conductivity, specific-heat capacity and the mass density. Temperature measurements in a hyperthermia phantom made of the material are also reported.

1-Propanol↗

Pulmonary microvascular permeability. Responses to high vascular pressure after induction of pacing-induced heart failure in dogs.

The pressure threshold for injury of pulmonary capillaries is approximately 50 to 55 cm H2O in the canine lung, as measured by changes in the filtration coefficient (Kf,c). Since the pulmonary endothelial basement membrane has been observed to thicken in patients with heart failure and pulmonary venous hypertension, we hypothesized that both baseline permeability and the threshold for high-vascular-pressure injury would be altered as a result. Dogs (n = 12) were chronically paced at 245 beats per minute for approximately 4 weeks, then were paced at 225 beats per minute for an additional 3 weeks. Lung lobes from anesthetized paced dogs and additional control dogs (n = 14) were then isolated, ventilated, and perfused with blood. Although vascular resistance was increased nearly threefold and vascular compliance reduced by 50% in the paced group, Kf,c referenced to 1 g blood-free dry weight was no different from control. Despite this lack of difference at normal pulmonary vascular pressures, several significant results were obtained. First, in the paced group there was a significant increase in the threshold for high-vascular-pressure injury: Kf,c measured at pulmonary vascular pressures commonly seen in heart failure (20 to 50 cm H2O) were significantly less in this group compared with control. Model predictions showed that in vivo, this difference in Kf,c would result in a 50% reduction in the amount of water and protein cleared across the pulmonary capillary endothelial barrier in the paced group.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Animals↗

Job strain and biological coronary risk factors: a cross-sectional study of male and female workers in a Japanese rural district.

To investigate the association between job strain and biological coronary risk factors, a demand-control questionnaire was applied to 138 male (mean age 51.5) and 166 female (50.8) workers in Japanese rural town. In Model I, workers rated as both above the median on demands and below the median on control were defined as a strain group and compared to the rest. In Model II, the effect of a multiplicative term of demands by control was tested once the component main effects were controlled. In both models, possible confounders were controlled. Men in the strain group had higher blood glucose than did the others (Model 1), and the multiplicative term was significantly associated with diastolic blood pressure in men and with Lipoprotein(a) in women (Model II). The results suggest that the demand-control model predicts coronary risk factors in Japanese rural workers, and the associations are different between genders.

Journal Article↗

A two-dimensional dynamic model of the human knee joint.

A two-dimensional dynamic model of the knee joint was incorporated into a four-segment, eight-muscle model of the human body to determine the muscle, ligament, and articular contact forces transmitted at the knee as humans stand up from a static squatting position. Our optimal control model predicted peak tibiofemoral contact forces as high as 8 times body weight. Furthermore, ligament forces, especially those in the anterior-cruciate, were nearly body weight as knee flexion approached 90 degrees. Ligament and tibiofemoral contact loads were dominated by the forces exerted by muscles during the movement.

Biomechanical Phenomena↗

A framework for extreme-event control in wastewater treatment.

In this paper an approach to extreme event control in wastewater treatment plant operation by use of automatic supervisory control is discussed. The framework presented is based on the fact that different operational conditions manifest themselves as clusters in a multivariate measurement space. These clusters are identified and linked to specific and corresponding events by use of principal component analysis and fuzzy c-means clustering. A reduced system model is assigned to each type of extreme event and used to calculate appropriate local controller set points. In earlier work we have shown that this approach is applicable to wastewater treatment control using look-up tables to determine current set points. In this work we focus on the automatic determination of appropriate set points by use of steady state and dynamic predictions. The performance of a relatively simple steady-state supervisory controller is compared with that of a model predictive supervisory controller. Also, a look-up table approach is included in the comparison, as it provides a simple and robust alternative to the steady-state and model predictive controllers. The methodology is illustrated in a simulation study.

Aerobiosis↗

Modeling control of rabies outbreaks in red fox populations to evaluate culling, vaccination, and vaccination combined with fertility control.

A predictive model of spread and control of rabies in red fox (Vulpes vulpes) populations was used to evaluate efficacy of culling, oral vaccination, and oral vaccination and fertility control (V + FC) as rabies control strategies. In addition, effects of season, fox population density, and a delay in starting control were modeled. At fox densities of 0.5 fox families/km2 or greater, a single oral vaccination campaign with bait uptake rates of less than 50% resulted in ineffective rabies control. An uptake rate of at least 80% was required to give a better than 80% chance of eliminating rabies. Vaccination was least effective at controlling rabies if applied 1 or 2 mo before the foxes gave birth. Seasonal timing of poison or V + FC had little effect on efficacy, which was always more successful than the oral vaccination alone. The longer the delay between the simulated start of the rabies infection and the application of a single vaccination campaign, the less successful was the control, particularly at the higher fox densities tested. At a fox density of 0.25 families/km2, all the strategies were equally successful at eliminating rabies. At higher fox densities V + FC was slightly less successful than culling, whereas vaccination-only was considerably less successful. The sole use of vaccination is not considered a viable control method for areas with high fox densities. The model suggests that an area of culling centered on the disease focus, plus an outer ring of vaccine or V + FC, could be the best strategy to control a point-source wildlife rabies outbreak.

Animals↗

A cerebellar model for predictive motor control tested in a brain-based device.

The cerebellum is known to be critical for accurate adaptive control and motor learning. We propose here a mechanism by which the cerebellum may replace reflex control with predictive control. This mechanism is embedded in a learning rule (the delayed eligibility trace rule) in which synapses onto a Purkinje cell or onto a cell in the deep cerebellar nuclei become eligible for plasticity only after a fixed delay from the onset of suprathreshold presynaptic activity. To investigate the proposal that the cerebellum is a general-purpose predictive controller guided by a delayed eligibility trace rule, a computer model based on the anatomy and dynamics of the cerebellum was constructed. It contained components simulating cerebellar cortex and deep cerebellar nuclei, and it received input from a middle temporal visual area and the inferior olive. The model was incorporated in a real-world brain-based device (BBD) built on a Segway robotic platform that learned to traverse curved paths. The BBD learned which visual motion cues predicted impending collisions and used this experience to avoid path boundaries. During learning, the BBD adapted its velocity and turning rate to successfully traverse various curved paths. By examining neuronal activity and synaptic changes during this behavior, we found that the cerebellar circuit selectively responded to motion cues in specific receptive fields of simulated middle temporal visual areas. The system described here prompts several hypotheses about the relationship between perception and motor control and may be useful in the development of general-purpose motor learning systems for machines.

Cerebellum↗

Simplified modeling and generalized predictive position control of an ultrasonic motor.

Ultrasonic motors (USM's) possess heavy nonlinear and load dependent characteristics such as dead-zone and saturation reverse effects, which vary with driving conditions. In this paper, behavior of an ultrasonic motor is modeled using Hammerstein model structure and experimental measurements. Also, model predictive controllers are designed to obtain precise USM position control. Simulation results indicate improved performance of the motor for both set point tracking and disturbance rejection.

Journal Article↗

Novel control system for blood glucose using a model predictive method.

We developed a novel blood glucose control system, using a model predictive method, to achieve optimal control of the blood glucose level in severely diabetic or pancreatectomized patients. This system is designed to predict glucose level changes in advance, considering delayed response time and the administered doses of insulin. This method is also designed to calculate the most appropriate insulin infusion rate by considering differences in individual response to insulin. In this study, we compared our system with a conventional proportional and differential controller (PD controller) to determine whether the new system could regulate the glucose level efficiently in pancreatectomized dogs. The model predictive control method resulted in a significant reduction of mean insulin infusion rate compared with the conventional PD controller (0.71 mU/kg per min vs. 1.81 mU/kg per min, p = 0.0005), when the glucose level in both methods reached the planned target level (100 mg/dl). The new system also tended to have a reduced mean glucose infusion rate for compensating for overshooting of the glucose level compared with the PD controller (0.7 mg/kg per min vs. 1.1 mg/kg per min, p = 0.16). These results indicate that the new system should be a useful tool for regulating the glucose level in severely diabetic patients.

Animals↗

Use of Geographic Information Systems in the development of prediction models for onchocerciasis control in Ethiopia.

A risk assessment model was developed for onchocerciasis distribution and its control in Ethiopia using Geographic Information System (GIS) methods. GIS data analysis was done to generate 3 separate risk models using selected environmental features of (1) earth observing satellite data on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and midday Land Surface Temperature (LST) prepared from AVHRR sensor data of the Global land 1-km project for the years 1992 and 1995, (2) FAO agroclimatic databases from the Crop Production System Zone (CPSZ) of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) sub-region of East Africa, and (3) a climate-based forecast index based on the growing degree days (GDD) and water budget concepts. Parasitological data used for the analysis were published and unpublished reports of onchocerciasis surveillance made between 1969 and 2000 in various parts of the country. Analysis of queries based on 1992 and 1995 annual wet and dry season data of the Global land 1-km project resulted in a predictive value of 95.1%, 94.0% and 96.3%, respectively, using data values extracted from buffers centered on sites above 5% prevalence. The model based on CPSZ data predicted an endemic area that best fit the distribution of sites over 5% prevalence; the query was based on CPSZ values of average altitude (442-2134 m), annual mean temperature (18-28 degrees C), annual rainfall (822-1980 mm), annual potential evapotranspiration (1264-1938 mm), rain minus potential evapotranspiration (-124 - 792 mm), average NDVI x 100 (2000-5000) and average terrain percent slope (9-34). The climate-based model based on GDD and water-budget predicted high risk to severe risk areas in the western and southwestern parts of the country. All three of the models predicted suitable areas for the transmission of onchocerciasis outside known endemic areas, suggesting the need for ground-based validation and potential application to current community-directed treatment programs with ivermectin (CDTI) for control of onchocerciasis in Ethiopia.

Agriculture↗

Modeling predicted that tobacco control policies targeted at lower educated will reduce the differences in life expectancy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effects of reducing the prevalence of smoking in lower educated groups on educational differences in life expectancy. METHODS: A dynamic Markov-type multistate transition model estimated the effects on life expectancy of two scenarios. A "maximum scenario" where educational differences in prevalence of smoking disappear immediately, and a "policy target-scenario" where difference in prevalence of smoking is halved over a 20-year period. The two scenarios were compared to a reference scenario, where smoking prevalences do not change. Five Dutch cohort studies, involving over 67,000 participants aged 20 to 90 years, provided relative mortality risks by educational level, and smoking habits were assessed using national data of more than 120,000 persons. RESULTS: In the reference scenario, the difference in life expectancy at age 40 between highest and lowest educated groups was 5.1 years for men and 2.7 years for women. In the "maximum scenario" these differences were reduced to 3.6 years for men and 1.7 years for women (reduction approximately 30%), and in the "policy target-scenario" differences were 4.7 years for men and 2.4 years for women (reduction approximately 10%). CONCLUSION: Theoretically, educational differences in life expectancy would be reduced by 30% at maximum, if variations in smoking prevalence were eliminated completely. In practice, tobacco control policies that are targeted at the lower educated may reduce the differences in life expectancy by approximately 10%.

Adult↗

Mixing-tank model for predicting dissolution rate control or oral absorption.

A mixing-tank model is used to simulate GI absorption of nonionized drugs. The model is useful for predicting circumstances under which dissolution rate dominates membrane transport and transit rate, thus limiting the extent of absorption. The model is developed from mass balance considerations in which the nonsink dissolution term is a function of the remaining surface area and the concentration gradient across the boundary layer. Other dissolution parameters include initial particle radius, dose, diffusivity, density, and boundary-layer thickness. Readily calculable estimators for the general solution of the model are derived and their ranges of usefulness are discussed. Drug examples chosen for simulation are griseofulvin and digoxin. The model correctly predicts bioavailability as a function of particle size for both of these poorly soluble drugs.

Administration, Oral↗

Active control of lateral balance in human walking.

We measured variability of foot placement during gait to test whether lateral balance must be actively controlled against dynamic instability. The hypothesis was developed using a simple dynamical model that can walk down a slight incline with a periodic gait resembling that of humans. This gait is entirely passive except that it requires active control for a single unstable mode, confined mainly to lateral motion. An especially efficient means of controlling this instability is to adjust lateral foot placement. We hypothesized that similar active feedback control is performed by humans, with fore-aft dynamics stabilized either passively or by very low-level control. The model predicts that uncertainty within the active feedback loop should result in variability in foot placement that is larger laterally than fore-aft. In addition, loss of sensory information such as by closing the eyes should result in larger increases in lateral variability. The control model also predicts a slight coupling between step width and length. We tested 15 young normal human subjects and found that lateral variability was 79% larger than fore-aft variability with eyes open, and a larger increase in lateral variability (53% vs. 21%) with eyes closed, consistent with the model's predictions. We also found that the coupling between lateral and fore-aft foot placements was consistent with a value of 0.13 predicted by the control model. Our results imply that humans may harness passive dynamic properties of the limbs in the sagittal plane, but must provide significant active control in order to stabilize lateral motion.

Biomechanical Phenomena↗

Direct thermal dose control of constrained focused ultrasound treatments: phantom and in vivo evaluation.

The first treatment control system that explicitly and automatically balances the efficacy and safety goals of noninvasive thermal therapies is described, and its performance is evaluated in phantoms and in vivo using ultrasound heating with a fixed, focused transducer. The treatment efficacy is quantified in terms of thermal dose delivered to the target. The developed feedback thermal dose controller has a cascade structure with the main nonlinear dose controller continuously generating the reference temperature trajectory for the secondary, constrained, model predictive temperature controller. The control system ensures thermal safety of the normal tissue by automatically complying with user-specified constraints on the maximum allowable normal tissue temperatures. To reflect hardware limitations and to prevent cavitation, constraints on the maximum transducer power can also be imposed. It is shown that the developed controller can be used to achieve the minimum-time delivery of the desired thermal dose to the target without violating safety constraints, which is a novel and clinically desirable feature. The developed controller is model based, and requires patient- and site-specific models for its operation. These models were obtained during pre-treatment identification experiments. In our implementation, predictive models, internally used by the automatic treatment controller, are dynamically updated each time new temperature measurements become available. The adaptability of internal models safeguards against adverse effects of modelling errors, and ensures robust performance of the control system in the presence of a priori unknown treatment disturbances. The successful validation with two experimental models of considerably different thermal and ultrasound properties suggests the applicability of the developed treatment control system to different anatomical sites.

Animals↗

A cerebellar model of timing and prediction in the control of reaching.

A simplified model of the cerebellum was developed to explore its potential for adaptive, predictive control based on delayed feedback information. An abstract representation of a single Purkinje cell with multistable properties was interfaced, using a formalized premotor network, with a simulated single degree-of-freedom limb. The limb actuator was a nonlinear spring-mass system based on the nonlinear velocity dependence of the stretch reflex. By including realistic mossy fiber signals, as well as realistic conduction delays in afferent and efferent pathways, the model allowed the investigation of timing and predictive processes relevant to cerebellar involvement in the control of movement. The model regulates movement by learning to react in an anticipatory fashion to sensory feedback. Learning depends on training information generated from corrective movements and uses a temporally asymmetric form of plasticity for the parallel fiber synapses on Purkinje cells.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

A predictive model for failure to control bleeding during acute variceal haemorrhage.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Variceal bleeding is a frequent complication of cirrhosis and is associated with a high risk of early rebleeding. In patients with peptic ulcers, continued bleeding or early rebleeding are risk factors for mortality and can be predicted by statistical models; however, no such models exist for acute variceal bleeding. METHODS: We prospectively evaluated failure to control bleeding in 695 consecutive patients with cirrhosis, admitted for haematemesis and/or melaena. Criteria were defined for failure to control bleeding, which comprised both continued bleeding or early rebleeding within 5 days of admission. There were 2 sequential groups of patients: (i) those with variceal bleeding initially treated with blood transfusion and vasoactive drugs, and if these failed followed by sclerotherapy (n = 385); (ii) those with variceal bleeding treated with injection sclerotherapy at diagnostic endoscopy (n = 144). The third group was those with bleeding from other sources related to portal hypertension (n = 166). RESULTS: Failure to control bleeding was noted in 169 (44%) patients in group 1, 55 (38%) in group 2 and 44 (25%) in group 3. Twenty variables that were evaluable within 6 h of admission, pertaining to severity of bleeding, severity of type of liver disease, mode of admission, and time of diagnostic endoscopy, were entered into a multivariate Cox model. Independent predictors of early rebleeding in group 1 were: active bleeding at endoscopy (irrespective of interval from admission) (p<0.0001), encephalopathy (p = 0.007), platelet count (p = 0.002), history of alcoholism (p = 0.002), presentation with haematemesis (p = 0.02), log urea (p = 0.03) and (shorter) interval to admission (p = 0.007). The variables predictive of 30-day mortality were: early bleeding (p<0.0007), bilirubin (p = 0.0006), encephalopathy (p<0.0001), (shorter) interval to admission (p<0.0001), and log urea (p = 0.004); a model based on these variables was also a good predictor of mortality in the other 2 groups. However, the model derived from group 1 for failure to control variceal bleeding was different in group 2, despite similar patient characteristics and a similar failure rate (following a single injection). This could suggest that sclerotherapy may induce bleeding in some patients independently of the baseline risk for failure to control bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: In cirrhotic patients who present with haematemesis or melaena, active variceal bleeding at diagnostic endoscopy is predictive of failure to control bleeding (continued bleeding or early rebleeding within 5 days of admission), and this failure is predictive of 30-day mortality.

Adolescent↗

Modeling and control for closed environment plant production systems.

A computer program was developed to study multiple crop production and control in controlled environment plant production systems. The program simulates crop growth and development under nominal and off-nominal environments. Time-series crop models for wheat (Triticum aestivum), soybean (Glycine max), and white potato (Solanum tuberosum) are integrated with a model-based predictive controller. The controller evaluates and compensates for effects of environmental disturbances on crop production scheduling. The crop models consist of a set of nonlinear polynomial equations, six for each crop, developed using multivariate polynomial regression (MPR). Simulated data from DSSAT crop models, previously modified for crop production in controlled environments with hydroponics under elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, were used for the MPR fitting. The model-based predictive controller adjusts light intensity, air temperature, and carbon dioxide concentration set points in response to environmental perturbations. Control signals are determined from minimization of a cost function, which is based on the weighted control effort and squared-error between the system response and desired reference signal.

Algorithms↗

A comparison between the effort-reward imbalance and demand control models.

BACKGROUND: To compare the predictive validity of the demand/control and reward/imbalance models, alone and in combination with each other, for self-reported health status and the self-reported presence of any chronic disease condition. METHODS: Self-reports for psychosocial work conditions were obtained in a sample of sawmill workers using the demand/control and effort/reward imbalance models. The relative predictive validity of task-level control was compared with effort/reward imbalance. As well, the predictive validity of a model developed by combining task-level control with effort/reward imbalance was determined. Logistic regression was utilized for all models. RESULTS: The demand/control and effort/reward imbalance models independently predicted poor self-reported health status. The effort-reward imbalance model predicted the presence of a chronic disease while the demand/control model did not. A model combining effort-reward imbalance and task-level control was a better predictor of self-reported health status and any chronic condition than either model alone. Effort reward imbalance modeled with intrinsic effort had marginally better predictive validity than when modeled with extrinsic effort only. CONCLUSIONS: Future work should explore the combined effects of these two models of psychosocial stress at work on health more thoroughly.

Adaptation, Psychological↗