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The relationship between self-monitoring, outcome expectancies, difficulties with eating and exercise, and physical activity and weight loss treatment outcomes.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: During a behavioral weight loss program (BWLP), weight loss and exercise can vary considerably from week to week. Weekly fluctuations in outcome expectancies and perceived difficulties with eating and exercise may be associated with weekly variability in weight loss and exercise. Also, inconsistent self-monitoring of exercise may be associated with poor weight loss and physical activity treatment outcomes. METHODS: Forty obese, sedentary participants completed a 6-month BWLP. Body weight, outcome expectancies, and difficulties with eating and exercise were assessed weekly. Weekly self-monitoring of exercise was computed from physical activity diaries. Physical activity, VO2max, and caloric intake were assessed pre- and posttreatment. RESULTS: Within-subjects analyses indicated that participants exercised less during weeks that participants reported greater difficulties with exercise, relative to weeks participants reported fewer difficulties. Participants lost significantly more weight during weeks that participants reported more positive outcome expectancies and greater difficulties with exercise, compared to weeks participants reported less positive outcome expectancies and fewer difficulties with exercise. Consistent self-monitoring of exercise was associated with fewer difficulties with exercise and greater exercise and weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: Interventions that are targeted to increase self-monitoring and to improve transient difficulties with exercise and diminished outcome expectancies may improve BWLP treatment outcomes.

Adult↗

Patient preferences regarding possible outcomes of lung resection: what outcomes should preoperative evaluations target?

CONTEXT: Lung resection can lead to significant postoperative complications: Although many reports describe the likelihood of postoperative problems, such as atelectasis, pneumonia, and prolonged ventilator dependence, it is unclear whether patients perceive these outcomes as sufficiently severe to influence their decisions about surgery. OBJECTIVE: To assess patients' preferences regarding possible outcomes of lung resection, including traditional complications reported in the lung surgery literature and outcomes that describe functional limitation. DESIGN: Utility analysis. SETTING: A community hospital internal medicine clinic, a private internal medicine practice, and a private pulmonary practice. PARTICIPANTS: Sixty-four patients, aged 50 to 75 years, who were awaiting appointments at the designated clinic sites. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Patients' strength of preference regarding potential outcomes of lung resection as derived from health utility scores. RESULTS: Common postoperative complications were assigned high utility scores by patients. On a scale for which 1.0 represents perfect health and 0 represents death, postoperative atelectasis, pneumonia, and 3 days of mechanical ventilation were all rated >0.75. Scores describing limited physical function were strikingly low. Specifically, activity limited to bed to chair movement and the need for complete assistance with activities of daily living were all assigned utility scores <0.2. Twenty-four-hour oxygen dependence was scored at 0.33. Presence or absence of pulmonary illness did not predict scores for any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Whether patients suffer from chronic lung disease or not, they do not regard the postoperative outcomes reported in the lung surgery literature as sufficiently morbid to forego important surgery. However, physical debility is perceived as extremely undesirable, and anticipation of its occurrence could deter surgery. Therefore, identification of preoperative predictors of postoperative physical debility would be invaluable for counseling patients who face difficult decisions about lung resection.

Aged↗

Likelihood judgment based on previously observed outcomes: the alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm.

Previous research has demonstrated that intuitive perceptions of certainty regarding a focal outcome are sensitive to variations in how evidence supporting nonfocal alternatives is distributed, even when such variations have no bearing on objective probability. We investigated this alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm in which participants made likelihood judgments on the basis of their memory for past observations of relevant outcomes. In Experiment 1, a manipulation of evidence (observed frequencies) across alternative outcomes influenced not only intuitive certainty estimates about a focal outcome but also numeric subjective probabilities. Experiment 2 ruled out the possibility that these effects were attributable to the influence of information loss on frequency estimations. The findings were consistent with the heuristic comparison account, which suggests that the judged likelihood of a focal outcome will be disproportionately influenced by the strength (frequency) of the strongest alternative outcome.

Humans↗

Audit and feedback: effects on professional practice and health care outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Audit and feedback has been identified as having the potential to change the practice of health care professionals. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of audit and feedback on the practice of health professionals and patient outcomes. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched MEDLINE up to June 1997, the Research and Development Resource Base in Continuing Medical Education, and reference lists of related systematic reviews and articles. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised trials of audit and feedback (defined as any summary of clinical performance of health care over a specified period of time). The participants were health care professionals responsible for patient care. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed study quality. MAIN RESULTS: Thirty-seven studies were included, involving more than 4977 physicians. The reporting of study methods was inadequate for almost all studies. In 31 out of 37 studies the randomisation process could not be determined. Information regarding data analysis was also lacking. For example, power calculations were not mentioned in 27 out of 37 studies. A variety of behaviours were targeted including the reduction of diagnostic test ordering, prescribing practices, preventive care, and the general management of a problem, for example hypertension. Twenty-eight studies measured physician performance, one study targeted patient outcomes in diabetes and the remaining eight studies measured both physician performance and patient outcomes. The relative percentage differences ranged from -16% to 152%. The clinical importance of the changes was not always clear. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: Audit and feedback can sometimes be effective in improving the practice of health care professionals, in particular prescribing and diagnostic test ordering. When it is effective, the effects appear to be small to moderate but potentially worthwhile. Those attempting to enhance professional behaviour should not rely solely on this approach.

Education, Medical, Continuing↗

Overview of 5-year followup outcomes in the drug abuse treatment outcome studies (DATOS).

Followup results from the Drug Abuse Treatment Outcome Studies (DATOS) 1-year and 5-year followups were used to describe the long-term outcomes of drug treatment and to further clarify the relationship between treatment duration and post-treatment outcomes in four treatment modalities: outpatient methadone, long-term residential (LTR), outpatient drug free (ODF), and short-term inpatient. Methods replicating those used in earlier analyses of the DATOS 1-year followup of 2,966 patients admitted to treatment in 1991-1993 and those of the Treatment Outcome Prospective Study patients admitted in 1979-1981 were employed. DATOS is a non-experimental longitudinal study conducted within the natural settings of 96 treatment programs in the U.S.A. The study followed patients during and after treatment at specified periods of time. Prevalence of drug use and behaviors were evaluated for the year prior to treatment; and the post-treatment time frames defined by the 1- and 5-year followups. In addition, the multivariate analytic technique of generalized estimating equations was used to examine the relationship of treatment duration and outcomes across both followups while also controlling for patient characteristics and pretreatment levels of behaviors. The 5-year stratified followup sample included 1,393 of the same individuals in the 1-year followup sample. Analyses were restricted to patients participating in both followups. Reductions in prevalence of cocaine use in the year after treatment (compared to the preadmission year) by patients were associated with longer treatment durations (particularly 6 months or more in LTR and ODF). In addition, reductions in illegal activity and increases in full-time employment were related to treatment stays of 6 months or longer for patients in LTR. The DATOS results from the 1-year and 5-year post-treatment followup combined suggest the stability of outcomes of substance abuse treatment. While results are generally consistent with the full 1-year followup, reduced sample size and bias of the sample toward patients with longer treatment retention may have attenuated the findings.

Adult↗

Emergency Medical Services Outcomes Project III (EMSOP III): the role of risk adjustment in out-of-hospital outcomes research.

The purpose of the Emergency Medical Services Outcomes Project (EMSOP) is to develop a foundation and framework for out-of-hospital outcomes research. Fundamental to that purpose is the identification of priority conditions, risk-adjustment measures (RAMs), and outcome measures. In this third EMSOP article, we examine the topic of risk adjustment, discuss the relevance of risk adjustment for out-of-hospital outcomes research, and recommend RAMs that should be evaluated for potential use in emergency medical services (EMS) research. Risk adjustment allows better judgment about the effectiveness and quality of alternative therapies; it fosters a better comparison of potentially dissimilar groups of patients. By measuring RAMs, researchers account for an important source of variation in their studies. Core RAMs are those measures that might be necessary for out-of-hospital outcomes research involving any EMS condition. Potential core RAMs that should be evaluated for their feasibility, validity, and utility in out-of-hospital research include patient age and sex, race and ethnicity, vital signs, level of responsiveness, Glasgow Coma Scale, standardized time intervals, and EMS provider impression of the presenting condition. Potential core RAMs that could be obtained through linkage to other data sources and that should be evaluated for their feasibility, validity, and utility include principal diagnosis and patient comorbidity. We recommend that these potential core RAMs be systematically evaluated for use in risk adjustment of out-of-hospital patient groups that might be used for outcomes research

Adult↗

Standards for statistical models used for public reporting of health outcomes: an American Heart Association Scientific Statement from the Quality of Care and Outcomes Research Interdisciplinary Writing Group: cosponsored by the Council on Epidemiology and Prevention and the Stroke Council. Endorsed by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

With the proliferation of efforts to report publicly the outcomes of healthcare providers and institutions, there is a growing need to define standards for the methods that are being employed. An interdisciplinary writing group identified 7 preferred attributes of statistical models used for publicly reported outcomes. These attributes include (1) clear and explicit definition of an appropriate patient sample, (2) clinical coherence of model variables, (3) sufficiently high-quality and timely data, (4) designation of an appropriate reference time before which covariates are derived and after which outcomes are measured, (5) use of an appropriate outcome and a standardized period of outcome assessment, (6) application of an analytical approach that takes into account the multilevel organization of data, and (7) disclosure of the methods used to compare outcomes, including disclosure of performance of risk-adjustment methodology in derivation and validation samples.

American Heart Association↗

[Roaming through methodology. XXV. Outcome measures, surrogate outcomes, and intermediate measures].

Clinical medicine is aimed at decreasing the current or future burden of disease. Disease outcome is best expressed as burden of disease or change thereof, and as such the only true 'outcome measure' in clinical research. However, outcome research is expensive in costs and time expenditure, and sometimes impossible. Therefore study results are often expressed in intermediate measures. These measures tell us something about the disease process and the pathophysiological consequences of the disease and should have a relation with outcome. If this relation is strong, the measure is called 'surrogate outcome'. Intermediate measures and surrogate outcomes have advantages and disadvantages. The reader of clinical trial results first has to decide whether the answer to the study question is relevant in his personal situation. If so, the applicability of a measure can be simply appraised by answering 3 questions: 'Is the measure truthful (relevant, unbiased)?'; 'Does it discriminate between situations that are of interest?'; 'Is the measure feasible in my setting?'

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

A longitudinal evaluation of two-year outcome in a community-based mental health service using graphical chain models. The South-Verona Outcome Project 9.

The 2-year outcome of 178 patients attending a community-based mental health service was assessed from a multidimensional perspective. The study investigated: (1) the effect of disease-related characteristics (such as diagnosis and illness duration) and of a series of outcome variables measured at baseline (global functioning, psychopathology, social disability, quality of life and satisfaction with services) on total costs of care over 2 years; and (2) the effect of costs of care and outcome variables measured at baseline on the corresponding outcome variables at 2 years. To gain insight into the multivariate longitudinal dependencies among variables, we used graphical Gaussian chain models, a new multivariate method that analyses the relationship between continuous variables taking into account the effect of antecedent and intervening variables, to reveal not only direct but also indirect correlations. Outcome variables showed the tendency to segregate, both at baseline and follow-up, into two distinct groups: a clinician-rated dimension (given by global functioning, social disability and psychopathology) and a patient-rated dimension (given by service satisfaction and subjective quality of life). Higher costs at 2 years were predicted by higher psychopathology at baseline, diagnosis of psychosis and longer duration of illness. Baseline values for each variable were the main predictors of the corresponding values at two years. Improvement in satisfaction with life at follow-up was experienced in those subjects with a lower functioning at baseline. This study throws some light on the complex relationships between clinical, social and economic variables affecting the medium-term outcome of mental health care.

Adult↗

Outcome of calcaneal fractures treated operatively and non-operatively. the effect of litigation on outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The optimum management of calcaneal fractures is controversial. These injuries are frequently associated with compensation litigation, which effects the outcome. AIMS: To assess the outcome of operatively and conservatively managed intra-articular calcaneal fractures and to examine the effect of compensation litigation on outcome. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of calcaneal fractures from a single regional trauma unit, with management decided by the admitting consultant surgeon's preference. Fifty-four patients (33 operative, 21 conservative) with an average follow-up of 40 months (range 14-78 months) were reviewed. Sixteen patients (30%) were pursuing a compensation case resulting from the injury. RESULTS: Despite similar fractures, medical co-morbidity and trauma energy, significantly worse outcome scores were seen in litigants (p < 0.0001). Footwear fitting problems were greater in litigants. Time off work was more than twice that of non-litigants (14.5 vs 6 months, p < 0.01). Results were similar between the operative and non-operative groups in terms of functional score, footwear problems and time off work. CONCLUSIONS: Litigation was the major determinant of outcome following calcaneal fracture repair; highlighting the unreliability of subjective evaluation in determining outcome in the face of litigation. No subset of patients appeared to significantly benefit from internal fixation of their fracture.

Absenteeism↗

A model to estimate the lifetime health outcomes of patients with type 2 diabetes: the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Outcomes Model (UKPDS no. 68).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to develop a simulation model for type 2 diabetes that can be used to estimate the likely occurrence of major diabetes-related complications over a lifetime, in order to calculate health economic outcomes such as quality-adjusted life expectancy. METHODS: Equations for forecasting the occurrence of seven diabetes-related complications and death were estimated using data on 3642 patients from the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS). After examining the internal validity, the UKPDS Outcomes Model was used to simulate the mean difference in expected quality-adjusted life years between the UKPDS regimens of intensive and conventional blood glucose control. RESULTS: The model's forecasts fell within the 95% confidence interval for the occurrence of observed events during the UKPDS follow-up period. When the model was used to simulate event history over patients' lifetimes, those treated with a regimen of conventional glucose control could expect 16.35 undiscounted quality-adjusted life years, and those receiving treatment with intensive glucose control could expect 16.62 quality-adjusted life years, a difference of 0.27 (95% CI: -0.48 to 1.03). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATIONS: The UKPDS Outcomes Model is able to simulate event histories that closely match observed outcomes in the UKPDS and that can be extrapolated over patients' lifetimes. Its validity in estimating outcomes in other groups of patients, however, remains to be evaluated. The model allows simulation of a range of long-term outcomes, which should assist in informing future economic evaluations of interventions in type 2 diabetes.

Amputation, Surgical↗

Outcome after pelvic ring fractures: evaluation using the medical outcomes short form SF-36.

Fifty-five multiply injured patients with operatively treated unstable pelvic fractures were evaluated for patient-oriented outcome measures. Forty-six adult patients were eligible to complete the SF-36 medical outcome score and completed the SF-36 eight scale medical outcome score by postal questionnaire at a mean follow up to 2 years. The average Injury Severity Score of the eligible patients was 17.5. The average age of the patients was 32 years and 8 months. Fractures were classified by the Tile classification and there were 13 type B and 33 type C pelvic fractures. Seventy-six per cent of patients responded to the surgery. There was a 14 per cent impairment in physical outcome score and a 5.5 per cent impairment in mental outcome score compared with the normal population. The physical and mental outcome of multiply injured patients with pelvic fractures can be measured objectively.

Adult↗

Outcomes after methadone maintenance and methadone reduction treatments: two-year follow-up results from the National Treatment Outcome Research Study.

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the 2-year outcomes for 351 drug misusers allocated on an intention-to-treat basis to methadone maintenance or methadone reduction treatments. Both groups showed substantial reductions in their use of illicit drugs and in other outcome areas. However, whereas most methadone maintenance patients received maintenance, only about one third of those allocated to methadone reduction received methadone reduction, and many actually received a form of methadone maintenance. Reduction patients were more likely to receive low doses of methadone, and were less likely to remain in treatment. For maintenance patients, higher doses and retention in treatment were both associated with improvements in illicit heroin use at 2 years. For the reduction patients, the more rapidly the methadone was reduced, the worse the heroin use outcomes. For patients in both treatment conditions, reductions in heroin use were associated with improvements in other outcome areas. The more severely dependent patients showed better outcomes in methadone maintenance. Methadone reduction treatment processes were associated with poor outcomes, and many patients who were allocated to methadone reduction treatment did not receive reduction treatment as intended. This calls into question the appropriateness of either the initial treatment planning process or the treatment delivery process, or both. A clearer distinction should be made between methadone maintenance and methadone reduction. Treatment goals should be made explicit both to the patient and to the clinical staff at the start of treatment. We suggest the need for a reappraisal of the goals and procedures of methadone reduction treatment.

Chi-Square Distribution↗

The minor oral surgery outcome scale: a multi-attribute patient-derived outcome measure.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to produce a clinically useful, patient-derived, minor oral surgery outcome scale. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Seventy-seven consecutive patients scheduled for minor oral surgery were interviewed using semistructured interview techniques to identify those areas of life (domains) that patients believed will be affected by minor oral surgery. These interviews were analyzed by a multidisciplinary panel and a scale based on 5 domains, each with 4 outcome statements was constructed. The domains and outcome statements were weighted in terms of importance by a further consecutive sample of 100 patients using resource allocation and visual analog tasks. An additive mathematical formula was applied to the mean weights for each domain and outcome states to produce the final weighted scale. RESULTS: Five domains were identified from the interviews and weighted according to their order of importance (0 to 100 scale; 0 = least important). These were general health and well-being (24.6); impact on home/social life (20.8); health and comfort of the mouth, teeth, and gums (20.0); appearance (18.8); and impact on job/studies (15.8). CONCLUSION: A clinically applicable, multi-attribute outcome scale has been produced that takes into account all determinants of health outcome as perceived by the patient in the context of minor oral surgery. It is completed by selecting a weighted statement from each domain, the sum of which constitutes the patient's health state utility score. The scale has potentially extensive application to both clinical care and research.

Adolescent↗

Pilot-testing a statewide outcome monitoring system: overview of the California Treatment Outcome Project (CALTOP).

Timely information provided by an effective outcome monitoring system (OMS) is key to making improvements in treatment program effectiveness, service provision, and client outcomes. The California Treatment Outcome Project (CalTOP) developed and pilot-tested an automated outcome monitoring system for California's alcohol and other drug (AOD) system of care. CalTOP was designed to track client movement through treatment programs, measure standardized assessment of client service needs, record service utilization, assess treatment outcomes and client satisfaction, and determine the extent to which treatment produces cost-offsets in other health and social service systems. Information collected by CalTOP revealed that client problem severity at admission was high, services needed were diverse, and treatment services were generally not well matched to the level of problem severity or needs of clients. Also, client retention and length of stay in treatment were generally insufficient to maximize the potential benefits associated with treatment. This article presents the type of information on client demographics and treatment retention that was provided by CalTOP and outlines recommendations for implementing an AOD outcome monitoring system statewide.

Adult↗

The outcomes utility index: will outcomes data tell us what we want to know?

PURPOSE: To propose an approach to the evaluation of the utility of an outcome measure for use in making comparisons among health plans, hospitals, networks, or other accountable entities. METHOD: Seven components are recommended for evaluation: whether the outcome is a health outcome; the extent to which expectations for performance can be defined; the role medical care plays in achieving the outcome; the relative complexity of events that produce the outcome; the degree to which attribution can reasonably be made; the suitability of risk adjustment for limiting external sources of variation; and the likelihood that the measure provides perverse behavioral incentives. RESULTS: Illustrative examples are given in each area for scoring the performance of measures on the component. CONCLUSION: Outcomes measurement is of great interest to a variety of potential users. The approach proposed here is intended to provoke discussion and more rigorous development of tools that will help to identify the measures that are likely to produce the most useful information for making comparisons among accountable entities in the health system.

Benchmarking↗

Outcome following onset of juvenile idiopathic inflammatory arthritis: II. predictors of outcome in juvenile arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relative contributions of demographic, clinical and laboratory variables in predicting outcome in juvenile idiopathic inflammatory arthritis (JIA), based on a review of the existing literature. METHODS: Electronic reference database searches for the previous 10 yr were conducted and studies examining the role of major potential predictors of main outcomes were identified. Where possible, subjects were grouped by JIA disease subtype. In addition to demographic variables, the following disease-related predictors were assessed: nature of joint involvement, acute-phase response, and presence of autoantibodies. These were then analysed for three main outcomes of interest: remission as assessed by disease activity; functional impairment; and structural damage as assessed by radiological joint erosions. RESULTS: In general, female gender, polyarticular and symmetrical joint involvement, elevated inflammatory markers and rheumatoid factor positivity were the most consistent predictors of a poor outcome, although the studies were frequently inconsistent in both the direction and the magnitude of the effects. CONCLUSIONS: These data are too variable to accurately identify those predictors associated with poor outcome following the onset of JIA. Although some of this variation may be the result of true differences between study populations, the vast majority of inconsistencies are explainable by the absence of standardized classification systems, outcome definitions, therapeutic approach and research tools. More comprehensive prospective evaluation is required before robust prediction models can be generated.

Acute-Phase Reaction↗

The imperative of outcomes analysis: an integration of traditional and nontraditional outcomes measures.

The health care industry is compelled to reduce costs while providing high-quality patient care. Outcomes analysis enables monitoring and maintenance of quality of care in our rapidly changing practice environment. Comprehensive outcomes research cannot occur, however, without a database incorporating practice-related data, interventions and components of care, and outcomes of care. The article reports the design and proposed implementation of an outcomes assessment infrastructure in a multifacility health maintenance organization in Northern California. The infrastructure integrates traditionally measured outcomes and cost data with nontraditional, nurse-influenced, health-related outcomes.

California↗