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PubMed1983

The prognostic relevance of various factors at the time of the first admission of the patient. Retrospective DOSAK study on carcinoma of the oral cavity.

In a retrospective study, on a sample of 1021 patients with carcinoma of the lips, oral cavity and oropharynx, the clinically available factors at the time of the patient's first admission are analysed with reference to their prognostic relevance. Prognostically relevant factors are determined by both univariate and multivariate analyses. Of the 18 factors analysed, the following seven finally proved to be prognostically relevant: tumour size, degree of infiltration, degree of histological differentiation and site by organ of the primary tumour, the combination of evidence + clinical appearance + degree of fixation of the regional lymph nodes, age of the patient, and evidence of distant metastases. On the basis of these results it will be possible to create a prognostic index. This prognostic index should be eligible for use in clinical practice, as opposed to usual classification models.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

Serum C-reactive protein as a prognostic factor in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: It is well known that the serum level of Interleukin-6 (IL-6) correlates with the level of C-reactive protein (CRP). The purpose of this study is to determine the significance of CRP as a prognostic factor in epithelial ovarian cancer. STUDY DESIGN: The present study is comprised of 120 patients with epithelial ovarian cancer from 1985 to 1992. In this study, CRP levels above 50 mg/l were considered high CRP. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify clinicopathological variables associated with poor survival. RESULTS: The serum CRP value was significantly associated with the volume of ascites (P = 0.000004). Univariate analysis showed that the FIGO stage, primary tumour diameter, size of residual tumour, histologic grade, volume of ascites and high serum level of CRP were significant prognostic factors. Cox's multivariate proportional hazard model showed that histologic grade was the most important prognostic factor (P = 0.0026). FIGO stage and volume of ascites were also independent factors for 5-year survival (P = 0.0310 and P = 0.0216, respectively). However, the serum CRP value was not an independent prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: CRP is an adverse prognostic factor in univariate analysis, but not in multivariate analysis.

Adenocarcinoma, Clear Cell↗

PubMed2002

Molecular aspects of bladder cancer III. Prognostic markers of bladder cancer.

The current pathological and clinical parameters provide important prognostic information, yet still have limited ability to predict the true malignant potential of most bladder tumors. In the last years, investigation of the basic mechanisms involved in carcinogenesis and tumor progression by molecular biology has provided a host of markers which are of potential diagnostic or prognostic value for bladder carcinoma. These markers may serve as tools for early and accurate prediction of tumor recurrence, progression and development of metastases and for prediction of response to therapy. The precise prediction of tumor biological behavior would facilitate treatment selection for patients who may benefit from radical surgical treatment or adjuvant therapy. We provide a current, comprehensive review of the literature on bladder tumor markers with a special emphasis on their prognostic potential. The literature suggests that currently no single marker is able to accurately predict the clinical course of bladder tumors and thus would serve as a reliable prognosticator. A combination of prognostic markers could predict which superficial tumors need an aggressive form of therapy and which invasive tumors require adjuvant therapy. Altogether, the most promising markers are, at this point, Ki-67 and p53 expression as well as matrixmetalloproteinase complex and angiogenesis.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed1992

Prognostic factors in invasive cervical carcinomas associated with human papillomavirus (HPV). Quantitative data and cytokeratin expression.

As a part of a larger programme to search for the prognostic factors in cervical cancer, quantitative morphometry, demonstration of AgNORs and expression of different cytokeratin polypeptides (SK2-27, SK1, A 53-B/A2) were used to study a series of 85 cervical squamous cell carcinomas, previously analysed for the presence of human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA by in situ hybridization and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The following nuclear profile parameters were calculated: nuclear area, perimeter, maximum diameter, ellipsoidity (form Ell), regularity (form Ar) and roundness (form Pe). In each case, the number of small (< 3 microns), large (> 3 microns), the total number and the ratio large/small AgNORs were registered. The cancer cell density and the lymphoid cell density were assessed. In the survival analysis, neither the expression of different cytokeratin polypeptides or the pattern of cytokeratin staining proved to be an independent variable. Similarly, none of the nuclear profile parameters analysed possessed an independent prognostic value in the survival analysis. The ratio of large/small AgNORs proved to be a significant independent prognostic predictor (p = 0.0104), second only to the lymphoid cell density. Also the total number of AgNORs was a prognostic indicator. This suggests that AgNOR size and ratio reflect tumor proliferation also in cervical squamous cell carcinoma, as shown in other human malignancies. Similarly, the density of cancer cell nuclei proved to be an independent prognostic predictor (p = 0.0601) in that the tumours in patients with longer survival showed lower density of the nuclei.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Pretreatment plasma TGF beta 1 levels are prognostic for survival but not morbidity following radiation therapy of carcinoma of the cervix.

PURPOSE: To determine whether pretreatment plasma-transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGF beta 1) levels are prognostic for tumor control and late morbidity following radiation therapy in carcinoma of the cervix. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The study was comprised of 79 patients undergoing radiotherapy with curative intent for Stage I-III carcinoma of the cervix. TGF beta 1 levels were analyzed using ELISA. Late morbidity was measured using the Franco-Italian glossary. Data were available for the pretreatment levels of circulating tumor markers that represent disease burden, and for peripheral blood lymphocyte radiosensitivity measured as SF2. RESULTS: Pretreatment TGF beta 1 levels were a significant prognostic factor for survival and local control. There were weak significant correlations of TGF beta 1 levels with disease stage and the levels of circulating tumor markers (CA125, TPA). There was a weak significant correlation between TGF beta 1 levels and normal cell radiosensitivity (lymphocyte SF2). There was no relationship between TGF beta 1 levels and grade of morbidity and pretreatment TGF beta 1 levels were not a significant prognostic factor for the probability of developing late morbidity. CONCLUSION: In carcinoma of the cervix, pretreatment TGF beta 1 levels reflect tumor burden and are a significant prognostic factor for survival. Despite an underlying weak relationship of TGF beta 1 levels with intrinsic normal cell radiosensitivity, pretreatment levels are not prognostic for the probability of developing late complications. This finding does not rule out the possible usefulness of measurements toward the end of treatment once tumor burden has been reduced.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2000

The prognostic significance of midline shift at presentation on survival in patients with glioblastoma multiforme.

PURPOSE: While patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) who present with midline shift have a presumably worse prognosis, there is little literature evaluating the prognostic significance of this presentation in multivariate analysis in the context of other known prognostic factors. METHODS AND MATERIALS: From March 1981 to September 1993, 219 patients underwent irradiation for intracranial glioma at our institution. One hundred fourteen patients with a diagnosis of a primary GBM were analyzed for the influence of the presence of midline shift at diagnosis on survival with respect to other known prognostic factors, including age, Karnofsky performance status (KPS), and extent of surgery. Eighty-five patients (74%) presented with midline shift. Surgical treatment consisted of subtotal/total resection in 86 patients (75%). Among patients presenting with midline shift, 68 (80%) underwent subtotal/total resection before irradiation. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis of the entire cohort of patients found none of the potential prognostic factors analyzed to significantly influence survival. The overall median survival was 6 months. However, when multivariate analysis was limited to patients with a KPS of > or = 70, only the presence of midline shift and age were found to significantly influence survival. Patients with a KPS > or = 70 and with midline shift present at diagnosis had a median survival of 8 months, as compared to 14 months for those not having midline shift at presentation (p = 0.04). Patients with a KPS > or = 70 and age > 50 years had a median survival of 5 months as compared to 11 months for those < or = 50 (p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: In this series, where 80% of patients who presented with a midline shift underwent decompressive resection of GBM before irradiation, the presence of midline shift at diagnosis remained an independent prognostic factor influencing survival among good performance status patients. While the role of decompressive surgery in this setting is likely of some benefit, the extent of this benefit remains to be defined.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Gross tumor volume, critical prognostic factor in patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy for non-small-cell lung carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) has recently become widely available with applications for patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). These techniques represent a significant advance in the delivery of radiotherapy, including improved ability to delineate target contours, choose beam angles, and determine dose distributions more accurately than were previously available. The purpose of this study is to identify prognostic factors in a population of NSCLC patients treated with definitive 3D-CRT. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between March 1991 and December 1998, 207 patients with inoperable NSCLC were treated with definitive 3D-CRT. Tumor targets were contoured in multiple sections from a treatment planning computed tomography (CT) scan. Three-dimensional treatment volumes and normal structures were reconstructed. Doses to the International Commission on Radiation Units and Measurements (ICRU) reference point ranged from 60 to 83.85 Gy with a median dose of 70 Gy. The median dose inhomogeneity was +/- 5% across planning target volume. Outcome was analyzed by prognostic factors for NSCLC including pretreatment patient and tumor-related factors (age, gender, race, histology, clinical stage, tumor [T] stage, and node [N] stage), parameters from our 3D-CRT system (gross tumor volume [GTV] in cm3), irradiation dose prescribed to isocenter, volume of normal lung exceeding 20 Gy (V20), and treatment with or without chemotherapy. The median follow-up time was 24 months (range, 7.5 months to 7.5 years). RESULTS: One and two-year overall survival rates for the entire group were 59% and 41%, respectively. Overall survival, cause-specific survival, and local tumor control were most highly correlated with the GTV in cm3. On multivariate analysis the independent variable most predictive of survival was the GTV. Traditional staging such as T, N, and overall clinical staging were not independent prognostic factors. Patients receiving ICRU reference doses > or =70 Gy had better local control and cause-specific survivals than those treated with lower doses (p = 0.05). Increased irradiation dose did not improve overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: GTV as determined by CT and 3D-CRT planning is highly prognostic for overall and cause-specific survival and local tumor control and may be important in stratification of patients in prospective therapy trials. T, N, and overall stage were not independent prognostic factors in this population of patients treated nonsurgically. The value of dose escalation beyond 70 Gy should be tested prospectively by clinical trial.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Stage II endometrial carcinoma: prognostic factors and risk classification in 170 patients.

PURPOSE: Factors affecting outcome in patients with surgicopathologic Stage II endometrial cancer are poorly defined. The purpose of this study was to determine prognostic factors in a series of patients treated according to standardized protocols at a single institution. METHODS AND MATERIALS: One hundred and seventy patients referred to Princess Margaret Hospital after hysterectomy between 1984 and 1995 were retrospectively reviewed. One hundred and twenty patients received postoperative external beam radiotherapy and brachytherapy, 18 received external beam radiotherapy alone, five received brachytherapy alone, and 27 had no radiotherapy. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 5.1 years, overall and disease-free survival (DFS) at 5 years was 77% and 68%, respectively, and 24% of patients had relapsed. Significant independent adverse factors for DFS included age >65 (p = 0.0001), FIGO Stage IIB (p = 0.02), and capillary-lymphatic space (CLS) involvement (p = 0.0007). Prognostic factors for relapse were age (p = 0.0008), histologic grade (p = 0.01), and CLS (p = 0.01). A prognostic model based on the number of adverse prognostic factors (0-3) revealed that the 5-year survival rates for the four groups were as follows: 0%-85%, 1%-77%, 2%-55%, and 3%-11%. Combining the groups with 0 or 1 adverse factors resulted in a three-group variable that was strongly related to DFS (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Patient age, stage, and CLS were significant factors for DFS, and age, grade, and CLS predicted time to relapse in Stage II endometrial cancer. A prognostic model for DFS using these factors can provide clinically meaningful outcome predictions.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Analysis of prognostic factors for T(1)N(0)M(0) glottic cancer treated with definitive radiotherapy alone: experience of the cancer hospital of Peking Union Medical College and the Chinese Academy Of Medical Sciences.

PURPOSE: To analyze the prognostic factors for early-stage glottic cancer (T(1)N(0)M(0)) treated with radiotherapy alone. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between 1958 and 1994, 238 patients (220 male) with T(1)N(0)M(0) (UICC 1997) squamous cell carcinoma of the glottis were treated with 6- or 8 MV X-ray or 60Co radiation in parallel-opposed fields (median size: 22.5 cm(2)) over a median of 52 days to a median dose of 68 Gy. Locoregional control (LC) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Log-rank and Cox regression analyses were used to identify prognostic factors. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 127 months (range: 4-410 months). Five- and 10-year OS rates were 84.0% and 74.9%. The 5-year LC rate was 82.2%. Forty-four patients had recurrent disease (41 locally, 2 in cervical lymph nodes, 1 lost to follow-up); 23 had second malignancies. On multivariate analysis, unfavorable prognostic factors for OS were age >65 years (p < 0.001) and second malignancy (p < 0.001). Unfavorable prognostic factors for LC were bulky tumor (p = 0.023), anterior commissure involvement (p = 0.024), and decrease in hemoglobin during treatment (p = 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: Radiotherapy alone provides good control of early-stage glottic cancer. Bulky tumor, anterior commissure involvement, and decreasing hemoglobin are negative prognostic factors for LC.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Significant prognosticators after primary radiotherapy in 903 nondisseminated nasopharyngeal carcinoma evaluated by computer tomography.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the significant prognosticators in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS AND MATERIALS: From 1984 to 1989, 903 treatment-naive nondisseminated (MO) NPC were given primary radical radiotherapy to 60-62.5 Gy in 6 weeks. All patients had computed tomographic (CT) and endoscopic evaluation of the primary tumor. Potentially significant parameters (the patient's age and sex, the anatomical structures infiltrated by the primary lesion, the cervical nodal characteristics, the tumor histological subtypes, and various treatment variables were analyzed by both monovariate and multivariate methods for each of the five clinical endpoints: actuarial survival, disease-free survival, free from distant metastasis, free from local failure, and free from regional failure. RESULTS: The significant prognosticators predicting for an increased risk of distant metastases and poorer survival included male sex, skull base and cranial nerve(s) involvement, advanced Ho's N level, and presence of fixed or partially fixed nodes or nodes contralateral to the side of the bulk of the nasopharyngeal primary. Advanced patient age led to significantly worse survival and poorer local tumor control. Local and regional failures were both increased by tumor infiltrating the skull base and/or the cranial nerves. In addition, regional failure was increased significantly by advancing Ho's N level. Parapharyngeal tumor involvement was the strongest independent prognosticator that determined distant metastasis and survival rates in the absence of the overriding prognosticators of skull base infiltration, cranial nerve(s) palsy, and cervical nodal metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: The significant prognosticators are delineated after the advent of CT and these should form the foundation of the modern stage classification for NPC.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

The prognostic significance of p53 expression for survival and local control in rectal carcinoma treated with surgery and postoperative radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: To investigate whether p53 immunoreactivity is a prognostic factor for survival and pelvic control in rectal carcinoma treated with surgery and postoperative radiotherapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: From 1981 through 1989, 146 patients with rectal carcinoma received postoperative radiotherapy and were followed for at least 5 years or until death. The specimens of 123 of these 146 patients could be retrieved and examined immunohistochemically for p53 expression. The prognostic value for survival and pelvic control of p53 expression and other patient and treatment factors was examined by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: p53 expression has no prognostic significance for overall survival in this group of 123 patients. The only prognostic factor for survival in this material is tumor stage (p < 0.01). The actuarial pelvic recurrence rates of p53- and p53+ cases are different in favor of the p53- ones. In the univariate analysis this difference is significant (p = 0.05). However, in the multivariate analysis the influence of p53 expression, additional to stage, becomes nonsignificant (p = 0.10). This indicates that p53 expression is not a strong independent prognostic factor for pelvic recurrence. In the multivariate analysis stage turns out to be the only predictor of pelvic recurrence (p = 0.03). When only recurrences inside the radiation field are considered, there is no difference between p53+ and p53-cases. CONCLUSION: Based on this material, we have found no convincing evidence that p53 expression is an important predictor of survival or local control in rectal cancer treated with surgery and postoperative radiotherapy. We have found no evidence that possible differences in radiosensitivity between p53+ and p53- tumors have clinical significance for this group of patients.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2001

Prognostic factors and current practice in treatment of myelofibrosis with myeloid metaplasia: an update anno 2000.

Median survival of patients with myelofibrosis with myeloid metaplasia (MMM) ranges from 3.5 to 5 years, but there is a wide variability. The degree of anemia (Hb < 10 g/dL) is the most important prognostic factor, followed by constitutional symptoms and abnormal karyotype. In recent years, different prognostic scoring systems for MMM have been proposed. In some of them three prognostic groups (low, intermediate, and high risk) are recognized, while others recognize a high and a low-risk group only. Median survival of the low-risk group ranges from seven to nine years, while the minority of high-risk patients survive for a median of less than two years. Younger patients with MMM survive longer (median survival above ten years). Among the latter patients, based on Hb value, constitutional symptoms, and blood blast-cell percentage, two prognostic groups can also be identified, with median survival of less than three years and almost 15 years, respectively. Conventional treatment of MMM is mostly palliative and based on cytolytic treatment (usually hydroxyurea), androgen therapy and splenectomy in selected patients. Allogeneic hemopoietic transplant is a therapeutic possibility with the potential for cure in younger patients with bad prognostic features. The role in MMM of newer treatment strategies such as autologous transplantation or the administration of anti-angiogenic drugs such as thalidomide is currently being evaluated.

Aged↗

PubMed2002

[Prognostic factors in myelodysplasia syndromes].

Large studies have shown that, in MDS, main prognostic factors for survival and progression to AML were the percentage of bone marrow blasts, the number and importance of cytopenias, and the presence of cytogenetic abnormalities. The combination of those 3 factors has yielded an International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS), with very strong prognostic value for survival and progression to AML, which can therefore be used as a guideline for therapeutic choices. Other important prognostic factors can be derived from molecular studies. They include ras genes mutations, p53 mutations and p15 hypermethylation, but their independent prognostic value remains uncertain.

Humans↗

PubMed1985

Prognostic value of a coronary artery jeopardy score.

The prognostic value of a coronary artery jeopardy score was evaluated in 462 consecutive nonsurgically treated patients with significant coronary artery disease, but without significant left main coronary stenosis. The jeopardy score is a simple method for estimating the amount of myocardium at risk on the basis of the particular location of coronary artery stenoses. In patients with a previous myocardial infarction, higher jeopardy scores were associated with a lower left ventricular ejection fraction. When the jeopardy score and the number of diseased vessels were considered individually, each descriptor effectively stratified prognosis. Five year survival was 97% in patients with a jeopardy score of 2 and 95, 85, 78, 75 and 56%, respectively, for patients with a jeopardy score of 4, 6, 8, 10 and 12. In multivariable analysis when only jeopardy score and number of diseased vessels were considered, the jeopardy score contained all of the prognostic information. Thus, the number of diseased vessels added no prognostic information to the jeopardy score. The left ventricular ejection fraction was more closely related to prognosis than was the jeopardy score. When other anatomic factors were examined, the degree of stenosis of each vessel, particularly the left anterior descending coronary artery, was found to add prognostic information to the jeopardy score. Thus, the jeopardy score is a simple method for describing the coronary anatomy. It provides more prognostic information than the number of diseased coronary arteries, but it can be improved by including the degree of stenosis of each vessel and giving additional weight to disease of the left anterior descending coronary artery.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Coronary Angiography↗

PubMed1997

Problems in defining cutoff points of continuous prognostic factors: example of tumor thickness in primary cutaneous melanoma.

Continuous prognostic factors are often categorized by defining optimized cutoff points. One component of criticism of this approach is the problem of multiple testing that leads to an overestimation of the true prognostic impact of the variable. The present study focuses on another crucial point by investigating the dependence of optimized cutoff points on the observed distribution of the continuous variable. The continuous variable investigated was the vertical tumor thickness according to Breslow, which is known to be the most important prognostic factor in primary melanoma. Based on the data of 5093 patients, stratified random samples were drawn out of six artificially created distributions of tumor thickness. For each of these samples, Cox models were calculated to explore optimized cutoff points for tumor thickness together with other prognostic variables. The optimized cutoff points for tumour thickness varied considerably with the underlying distribution. Even in samples from the same distribution, the range of cutoff points was amazingly broad and, for some of the distributions, covered the whole region of possible values. The results of the present study demonstrate that optimized cutoff points are extremely data dependent and vary notably even if prerequisites are constant. Therefore, if the classification of a continuous prognostic factor is necessary, it should not be based on the results of one single study, but on consensus discussions including the findings of several investigations.

Female↗

PubMed1999

An evaluation of intelligent prognostic systems for colorectal cancer.

In this paper we describe attempts at building a robust model for predicting the length of survival of patients with colorectal cancer. The aim of the research, reported in this paper, is to study the effective utilisation of artificial intelligence techniques in the medical domain. We suggest that an important research objective of proponents of intelligent prognostic systems must be to evaluate the additionality that AI techniques can bring to an already well-established field of medical prognosis. Towards this end, we compare a number of different AI techniques that lend themselves to the task of predicting survival in colorectal cancer patients. We describe the pros and cons of each of these methods using the usual metrics of accuracy and perspicuity. We then present the notion of intelligent hybrid systems and evaluate the role that they may potentially play in developing robust prognostic models. In particular we evaluate a hybrid system that utilises the k Nearest Neighbour technique in conjunction with Genetic Algorithms. We describe a number of innovations used within this hybrid paradigm used to build the prognostic model. We discuss the issue of censored patients and how this issue can be tackled within the various models used. In keeping with our objective of studying the additionality that AI techniques bring to building prognostic models, we use Cox's regression as a standard and compare each AI technique with it, attempting to discover their capabilities in enhancing prognostic methods in medicine. In doing so we address two main questions--which model fits the data best?, and are the results obtained by the various AI techniques significantly different from those of Cox's regression? We conclude this paper by discussing future enhancements to the work presented and lessons learned from the study to date.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

The role of cathepsin D and PAI-1 in primary invasive breast cancer as prognosticators and predictors of treatment benefit with adjuvant tamoxifen.

In the last few years there has been an increased interest in treatment predictive factors in breast cancer patients. The aim of the study was to analyse the role of cathepsin D and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) expression as independent prognosticators and to assess their predictive value with respect to tamoxifen treatment. This study comprises 1851 patients with primary breast cancer diagnosed during 1988-1992. Their median age was 62 years (range: 24-91). The end-point was distant disease recurrence-free interval. Adjuvant treatment with tamoxifen was given to 1136 patients (61%). The median follow-up time was 59 months (range: 39-88). Cathepsin D content was shown to be a significant independent prognosticator in multivariate Cox analysis (P=0.02). The optimal cut-off level was 10 fmol/mg protein, other cut-off levels did not improve the results. The level of cathepsin D also appeared to predict the benefit of tamoxifen among oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive patients although this result did not reach statistical significance (P=0.09). In a multivariate Cox analysis including 497 patients PAI-1 content was shown to be a significant independent prognosticator (P=0.003) but did not appear to predict the benefit of tamoxifen treatment. The optimal cut-off level appeared to be 3 ng/mg protein, which was close to the median value 2.5 ng/mg (range: 0-51). We conclude that cathepsin D is a significant independent prognosticator and may possibly also predict the benefit of tamoxifen amongst ER-positive patients. PAI-1 was also found to be a strong independent prognosticator but no treatment interaction with adjuvant tamoxifen was found.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Prognostic significance of TP53 gene mutation in 995 cases of colorectal carcinoma. Influence of tumour site, stage, adjuvant chemotherapy and type of mutation.

Previous studies on the prognostic significance of TP53 gene alterations in colorectal cancer (CRC) have led to conflicting results. The present study investigated the prognostic significance of TP53 gene mutation in a very large series of 995 Dukes' B and C CRC patients, the majority of whom did not receive chemotherapy. Mutations were found in 385 (39%) cases and were not associated with tumour stage, histological grade, patient age or sex. Significantly more mutations were found in tumours from the left-sided colon compared with those from the right side (43% versus 34%, P=0.006). TP53 gene mutation had no prognostic value in the overall series or in different site or stage subgroups. None of the different types of TP53 gene mutation showed prognostic value. A trend for association with worse survival was observed in the patient subgroup that received adjuvant chemotherapy (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89-2.21, P=0.15). These results indicate that mutation of the TP53 gene is not a useful prognostic marker for CRC patients who do not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Further study is required to determine whether different types of TP53 mutation might be of value in predicting the response of CRC patients to chemotherapy.

Adult↗