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PubMed2000

P53 determination alongside classical prognostic factors in node-negative breast cancer: an evaluation at more than 10-year follow-up.

BACKGROUND: There is heterogeneity of methods and conflicting results concerning the prognostic value of p53 in node-negative breast cancer. The clinical value of a quantitative method for measuring tumoralp53 content still needs to be evaluated. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A long-term retrospective study was conducted on 297 node-negative patients with a median follow-up greater than 10 years (11 years, 101-172 months). Classic prognostic factors were considered including age, tumor size, histoprognostic grade and estradiol (ER) and progesterone receptors (PR). In addition, the value of p53 determination (immunoluminometric assay in tumor cytosol) was assessed for this long follow-up period. RESULTS: p53 concentrations were significantly linked to the histological grade (P = 0.001), to tumor size (P = 0.02) and ER status (P = 0.01). Higher p53 tumoral concentrations were found in tumors with large size, pejorative histological grade and negative ER status. In contrast, p53 tumoral concentrations were not influenced by menopausal or PR status. Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrates that tumor size was the only significant predictor of disease-free survival (P = 0.049) with a risk factor at 1.38. As regards specific survival, univariate Cox analysis indicates that p53 taken as a continuous variable is a significant predictor (P = 0.024) together with histological grade, tumor size and ER status. In a multivariate Cox analysis there were two significant and independent variables for predicting overall survival: tumor size (P = 0.031) and, ER status (P = 0.015) with the highest risk factor (RR = 2.14). CONCLUSIONS: The present investigation points out that the prognostic power of p53 tumor determination evaluated at more than 10 years median survival is not higher than the well-recognized classic prognostic factors in node-negative breast cancer. The present data highlight the need to assess the prognostic value of potentially new biological factors in node-negative breast cancer on cohorts of patients followed over periods in excess of 10 years.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Prognostic factors and long-term survival in 585 patients with metastatic breast cancer treated with epirubicin-based chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Analysis of prognostic factors in patients with metastatic breast cancer treated with epirubicin-based chemotherapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from 469 patients treated with epirubicin-based chemotherapy for metastatic breast cancer were used. Prognostic factors were identified (Cox multivariate analysis). A prognostic index was compiled and risk groups were established accordingly. The applicability of the index was investigated in a series of 116 patients. RESULTS: The prognostic factors identified were: liver, pleural, soft tissue, lung and bone metastases, performance status > 2, advancing age, abnormal elevation of serum lactate dehydrogenase and negative/unknown oestrogen receptor status. Four risk groups were established: good, intermediate I, intermediate II and poor. The median and five-year survivals in percentage were: good: 34 months (26%); intermediate I: 19 months (6%), intermediate II: 12 months (0%); poor: 7 months (1%). The corresponding values in the applicability group were: 32 months (23%); 28 months (22%); 18 months (5%); and 6 months (0%). CONCLUSIONS: It is more the number and impact on the organs involved, that predict the patients' survival. The construction of a prognostic index could be helpful in assessing the outlook for patients, especially the quite dramatic difference in long-term survival between the good and poor risk patients.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Peripheral T-cell lymphomas: initial features, natural history, and prognostic factors in a series of 174 patients diagnosed according to the R.E.A.L. Classification.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral T-cell lymphomas (PTCL) account for about 10% of all lymphomas in Western countries. The aim of the present study is to analyze the initial characteristics and prognostic factors in a large series of PTCL patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 174 patients (105 male/69 female; median age 61 years) were diagnosed with PTCL according to the R.E.A.L. Classification in nine Spanish institutions between 1985 and 1996. Cutaneous lymphomas and T-cell chronic lymphocytic/prolymphocytic leukemia were excluded from the study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to assess the prognostic value of the main initial variables. RESULTS: The distribution according to histology subgroup was: PTCL unspecified, 95 cases (54.4%); anaplastic large-cell Ki-l-positive (ALCL), 30 cases (17%); angioimmunoblastic T cell, 22 cases (13%); angiocentric, 14 cases (8%); intestinal T cell, 12 cases (7%), and hepatosplenic gamma delta T cell, one case (0.6%). As compared to the other types, ALCL presented more frequently in ambulatory performance status, without extranodal involvement, in early stage, normal serum beta 2-microglobulin (B2M) level and low-risk international prognostic index (IPI). Most patients were treated with adriamycin-containing regimens. The overall CR rate was 49% (69% for ALCL vs. 45% for other PTCL; P < 0.02). The risk of relapse was 48% at four years. Median survival of the series was 22 months (65 months for ALCL vs. 20 months for other PTCL; P = 0.03), with a four-year probability of survival of 38% (95% confidence intervals (95% CI): 28-48). In the univariate analysis, in addition to the histology, older age, poor performance status, presence of B-symptoms, extranodal involvement, bone marrow infiltration, advanced Ann Arbor stage, high serum LDH, high serum B2M, and intermediate- or high-risk IPI were related to poor survival. In the multivariate analysis the histologic subgroup (ALCL vs. other PTCL) (P = 0.02; response rate (RR): 4.3), the presence of B-symptoms (P = 0.02, RR: 2.2), and the IPI (low vs. high) (P = 0.04, RR: 2) maintained independent predictive value. When the analysis was restricted to the unspecified subtype, only IPI had independent prognostic value (P = 0.003; RR: 3.5). CONCLUSIONS: PTCL have adverse prognostic features at diagnosis, respond poorly to therapy and have short survival, with no sustained remission. ALCL constitutes a subgroup which responds better to therapy and has a longer survival.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2002

Prognostic significance of tumor cell proliferation analyzed in fine needle aspirates from primary breast cancer.

The objective of this study was to analyze the role of proliferating fraction (PF) measured with Ki-67/MIB-1 antibody in a large series of preoperative fine-needle aspirate (FNA) biopsies as a prognosticator of disease recurrence. The study comprised 732 patients who all had a conclusive cytological diagnosis of breast cancer. The follow-up time ranged from 1.2 to 10.2 years with a median of 5.7 years. In multivariate analysis Ki-67/MIB-1 value was a strong (p < 0.001) significant, prognosticator of disease recurrence free interval (DRFI) independent of lymph node status, progesterone receptor content, and tumor size. In the subgroup analysis of 430 node-negative patients the distant recurrence-free rate after 5 years was 94.4% in patients with Ki-67/MIB-1 value < 15% compared to 88.7% in patients with Ki-67/MIB-1 value > or = 15% (p = 0.03). Test of the interaction between tumor size and the value of PF revealed a p-value of 0.06. If the patients, in addition, had a tumor size >20 mm the distant recurrence-free rate after 5 years was 93.2% if Ki-67/MIB-1 < 15% compared to 80.7% in patients with Ki-67/MIB-1 value > or = 15%. This difference was statistically significant (p < 0.01). For patients with tumors <20mm Ki-67/MIB-1 value did not add any prognostic information. In the subgroup of 302 node-positive patients the distant recurrence-free rate after 5 years was 86.0% in patients with Ki-67/MIB-1 value < 15% compared to 70.6% in patients with Ki-67/MIB-1 value > or = 15% (p < 0.01). We conclude that PF assessed by Ki-67/MIB-1 antibodies in preoperative FNA biopsies has a significant prognostic value independent of lymph node status, PgR status and tumor size. To our knowledge, this is the first study demonstrating PF, which can contribute prognostic information when analyzed in preoperative smears.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2003

The prognostic value of the mitotic activity index in patients with primary breast cancer who were not treated with adjuvant systemic therapy.

BACKGROUND: At the St Gallen meeting of 2001 it was agreed to select high-risk patients for adjuvant systemic therapy by lymph node status, tumor size, age, hormone receptor status, and histological grade. In The Netherlands it was chosen to use either the histological grade or the mitotic activity index (MAI). The aim of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the independent prognostic value of the MAI in primary breast cancer patients, who were not treated with adjuvant systemic therapy, on relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The data of 137 systemically untreated patients with primary breast cancer diagnosed between 1992 and 1996, of whom MAI was assessed, were retrospectively collected. The MAI was correlated to classical prognostic factors and we determined the prognostic value of the MAI, the histological grade and other prognostic factors. RESULTS: The median observation time was 4.2 years. The MAI showed a positive correlation to lymph node status (P < 0.001) and a negative correlation to age (P = 0.005), menopausal status (P < 0.001) and the ER and PgR status (r(s) = -0.390 [ER], r(s) = -0.440 [PgR], both P < 0.001). A high MAI (> or = 15) predicted a reduced RFS and OS in the Kaplan-Meier analysis (P = 0.0070 and P = 0.0017, respectively). Also in the multivariate analysis, the MAI showed to be an independent predictor of poor RFS (P = 0.035), in addition to lymph node status. However, the MAI did not predict for OS, in contrast to tumor size and lymph node status. CONCLUSION: The present study confirms that the MAI is an independent prognostic factor for RFS, but not for OS and may be useful for daily clinical practice.

Adult↗

PubMed1989

Serum C1-esterase inhibitor, an essential and independent prognosticator of gastric carcinoma.

The preoperative concentrations of IgG were lower (P less than 0.002) and the concentrations of C4 and C1-INH higher (P less than 0.01 and P less than 0.001) in 29 patients with recurrence after potentially curative resection of gastric carcinoma, than in 31 patients alive and disease-free 5 years after surgery. These differences between the two groups of patients were consistent within each of six groups of disease extent. In each of the two groups of patients, the preoperative concentrations of IgG, C4 and C1-INH had no significant variation with the extent of disease (P greater than 0.05 or greater). Of our variables, C1-INH was the most potent prognosticator and discriminated between patients with and without recurrence with 80% accuracy. Furthermore, the predictive prognostic value of C1-INH at the time of surgery was superior to the prognostic value of the extent of disease (F values 27.00 and 12.69). Apparently, the preoperative C1-INH concentration is an essential and independent prognostic parameter of gastric carcinoma. We assume that C1-INH reflects an additional prognostic feature appropriate to the tumour or the host. Our finding that the interval between surgery and death from recurrence had an inverse relation to the preoperative C1-INH concentration also supports this assumption.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1989

The prognostic significance of nuclear DNA content in invasive breast cancer--a study with long-term follow-up.

The nuclear DNA content of 351 breast carcinomas was determined by flow cytometry from paraffin-embedded tissue to assess the prognostic significance of DNA ploidy, the DNA index (DI) and the S-phase fraction (SPF). The minimum follow-up of the patients was 22 years, and they were all from a defined urban population. DNA ploidy correlated with histological type and grade, mitotic count and nuclear pleomorphism (P less than 0.0001), and also with axillary nodal status (P = 0.0005), tumour necrosis (P = 0.001), primary tumour size (P = 0.03), menopausal status (P = 0.004) and the presence of distant metastases at the time of the diagnosis (P = 0.04). Survival corrected for intercurrent deaths of the patients with a diploid tumour was better than that of the patients with a non-diploid tumour (P = 0.0001, 48% vs 28% at 25 years). SPF had prognostic significance in both axillary node positive and negative patients, but ploidy and DI only in the node negative group, and their significance was greater in post-menopausal than in premenopausal patients. Axillary nodal status, primary tumour size, histological grade and the type of tumour margin circumscription were the most important independent prognostic factors in Cox's multivariate analysis, and SPF had independent prognostic value, whereas ploidy and DI did not. It is concluded that DNA ploidy, DI and SPF have long-term prognostic significance in breast cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed1991

A critical analysis of prognostic factors for survival in intermediate and high grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Scotland and Newcastle Lymphoma Group Therapy Working Party.

Between 1979 and 1987 the Scotland and Newcastle Lymphoma Group registered 972 adults with Working Formulation high or intermediate grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Clinical, pathological and investigational data were recorded prospectively on a computer database allowing analysis for prognostic factors. We have derived prognostically important characteristics and have tested prospectively the validity of the prognostic index on a geographically distinct sub-set of patients from the Edinburgh/Borders clinics. Multivariate analysis showed the following factors to be important in declining order of power; advancing age, worsening performance status, CNS/liver involvement, abnormal white cell count, 'B' symptoms and advancing clinical stage. Patient individual scores allowed them to be aggregated into one of three distinct prognostic groupings separated by arbitrary cut-points into a Best Group (39%) where the median survival exceeds 5 years (53% alive at 5 years), an Intermediate Group (30%) with median survival of 21 months (21% alive at 5 years), and a Worst Group (31%) whose median survival is 7 months (8% alive at 5 years). Similar prognostic group separations occurred when analysis was confined to: patients younger than 70 years; patients treated with initial chemotherapy; patients treated with initial radiotherapy; patients within any of the major pathological sub-groups.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Prognostic significance of breast cancer axillary lymph node micrometastases assessed by two special techniques: reevaluation with longer follow-up.

Special techniques such as serial macroscopic sectioning (SMS) or immunohistochemical staining (IH) improve the detection rate of micrometastases but this detection is of value only if it improves the prediction of recurrence and survival. We first studied the prognosis of 120 patients with a single micrometastasis detected by SMS in a series of 1,680 primary operable breast carcinoma with a median follow-up of 7 years. A significant difference in recurrence (P = 0.005) and in survival (P = 0.0369) was found between node-negative patients and those with one single SMS micrometastasis, but SMS micrometastases were not a predicting factor by multivariate analyses according to the Cox model. We then studied the prognostic significance of patients with a micrometastasis detected by IH in node-negative carcinoma: 37 micrometastases from a series of 89 invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) and 13 single micrometastases from a series of 129 invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). In the ILC group, IH micrometastases had no prognostic value (median follow-up: 9.3 years). In the IDC group, IH micrometastases were correlated with recurrences (P = 0.01) and were the most significant predicting factor, but were less correlated with survival (median follow-up: 15.6 years). Three main points emerge from this study: (1) SMS micrometastases have a prognostic significance and macroscopic sectioning is recommended as a routine technique not requiring excessive work. (2) IH micrometastases in infiltrating lobular carcinoma have no prognostic significance. (3) The value of IH is debatable in infiltrating ductal carcinoma, since the technique is of principal use in predicting recurrences. It should therefore be carefully assessed vs other prognostic factors currently under study.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

The prognostic significance of DNA flow cytometry in breast cancer: results from 881 patients treated in a single centre.

In this single-centre study of 881 patients, S-phase fraction (SPF) was shown to be a significant prognostic marker in terms of overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS) and survival after relapse (SAR). Further, SPF had independent prognostic significance when considering a range of other clinicopathological variables, namely tumour grade and stage, nodal status, patient age, tumour size, menstrual status and treatment details. For OS and RFS, SPF was the second strongest predictor of the clinical course of the disease after nodal status, and for SAR it was the strongest prognostic marker. SPF correlated positively with histological grade but was the stronger predictor of survival. The distribution of SPF values was markedly different for the two ploidy classes of tumour, with DNA aneuploid tumours having a significantly higher average SPF. However, SPF retained its independent prognostic ability when DNA diploid and aneuploid tumours were analysed separately, DNA ploidy itself also proved to be an independent prognostic marker but the survival difference between the two ploidy classes was much less than that seen for different levels of SPF. Tumours with several DNA aneuploid populations (multiploid tumours) tended to have a worse prognosis than other aneuploid tumours but this trend did not reach statistical significance. In this and other studies from this centre, SPF has proved to be a robust predictor of clinical outcome in carcinoma of the breast.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic models for subgroups of melanoma patients from the Scottish Melanoma Group database 1979-86, and their subsequent validation.

For the past 20 years thickness of the primary tumour has been accepted as the most important guide to prognosis for patients with primary cutaneous malignant melanoma. The changing epidemiology of melanoma with an increasing number of patients with thin tumours has necessitated a reappraisal of this, with particular reference to interactions among tumour thickness, the patients' sex and the presence or absence of ulceration of the primary tumour. All primary cutaneous malignant melanomas diagnosed in Scotland between 1979 and 1986 were used as the test group (1978 patients). The proportional hazards model was used on all potential risk factors in the database and their two-way interactions, and the resulting models based on stepwise procedures were subsequently validated on 289 melanoma patients first diagnosed in 1987 in the same geographic area. Four distinct subgroups of males and females with ulcerated or non-ulcerated lesions were identified. For females with ulcerated lesions, tumour thickness, mitotic count and anatomical site of primary all gave valuable prognostic information, whereas for females with non-ulcerated lesions only tumour thickness was of prognostic value. For males with ulcerated lesions, level of invasion was the only prognostic guide, while for males with non-ulcerated lesions both tumour thickness and level of invasion contributed significantly to prediction of prognosis. Prognosis markedly different across subgroups of the melanoma population, even to the extent that essential prognostic factors are not the same in the distinct subgroups. Verification of these prognostic guides derived from 1979-86 patients has been achieved for all patients diagnosed with melanoma in 1987 from the same geographic area. These data will therefore be useful aids for clinicians managing patients.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Reporting of prognostic markers: current problems and development of guidelines for evidence-based practice in the future.

Prognostic markers help to stratify patients for treatment by identifying patients with different risks of outcome (e.g. recurrence of disease), and are important tools in the management of cancer and many other diseases. Systematic review and meta-analytical approaches to identifying the most valuable prognostic markers are needed because (sometimes conflicting) evidence relating to markers is often published across a number of studies. To investigate the practicality of this approach, an empirical investigation of a systematic review of tumour markers for neuroblastoma was performed; 260 studies of prognostic markers were identified, which considered 130 different markers. The reporting of these studies was often inadequate, in terms of both statistical analysis and presentation, and there was considerable heterogeneity for many important clinical/statistical factors. These problems restricted both the extraction of data and the meta-analysis of results from the primary studies, limiting feasibility of the evidence-based approach.Guidelines for reporting the results of primary prognostic marker studies in cancer, and other diseases, are given in order to facilitate both the interpretation of individual studies and the undertaking of systematic reviews, meta-analysis and, ultimately, evidence-based practice. General availability of full individual patient data is a necessary step forward and would overcome the majority of problems encountered, including poorly reported summary statistics and variability in cutoff level, outcome assessed and adjustment factors used. It would also limit the problem of reporting bias, although publication bias will remain a concern until studies are prospectively registered. Such changes in practice would help important evidence-based reviews to be conducted in order to establish the most appropriate prognostic markers for clinical use, which should ultimately improve patient care.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed2003

Is Nottingham prognostic index useful after induction chemotherapy in operable breast cancer?

The Nottingham prognostic index (NPI), based on tumour size in breast, node involvement and Scarff-Bloom-Richardson (SBR) grading, has been shown to constitute a definitive prognostic factor of primary operable breast cancer in the adjuvant setting. We performed a retrospective study to evaluate the prognostic value of this index in 163 patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Secondly, we examined the influence on survival of a revised NPI, only based on residual tumour size in breast and SBR grading in 228 patients, and consequently called breast grading index (BGI). The prognostic value of these two indices was also evaluated by replacing the SBR grade with the MSBR grade, a French modified SBR grading; the modified NPI (MNPI) and modified BGI (MBGI) were, respectively, obtained in 153 and 222 patients. At a median follow-up of 9.3 years, survival was significantly related to these four indices (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that MBGI was the only one which retained a prognostic influence on disease-free survival (P<0.02). In conclusion, the 'amount' of residual tumour in breast and/or nodes, as defined by NPI and revised indices, confers a determinant prognosis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, inviting an alternative postsurgical treatment for a subgroup of patients with a decreased survival.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Elevated neutrophil and monocyte counts in peripheral blood are associated with poor survival in patients with metastatic melanoma: a prognostic model.

We aimed to create a prognostic model in metastatic melanoma based on independent prognostic factors in 321 patients receiving interleukin-2 (IL-2)-based immunotherapy with a median follow-up time for patients currently alive of 52 months (range 15-189 months). The patients were treated as part of several phase II protocols and the majority received treatment with intermediate dose subcutaneous IL-2 and interferon-alpha. Neutrophil and monocyte counts, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), number of metastatic sites, location of metastases and performance status were all statistically significant prognostic factors in univariate analyses. Subsequently, a multivariate Cox's regression analysis identified elevated LDH (P<0.001, hazard ratio 2.8), elevated neutrophil counts (P=0.02, hazard ratio 1.4) and a performance status of 2 (P=0.008, hazard ratio 1.6) as independent prognostic factors for poor survival. An elevated monocyte count could replace an elevated neutrophil count. Patients were assigned to one of three risk groups according to the cumulative risk defined as the sum of simplified risk scores of the three independent prognostic factors. Low-, intermediate- and high-risk patients achieved a median survival of 12.6 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 11.4-13.8), 6.0 months (95% CI, 4.8-7.2) and 3.4 months (95% CI, 1.2-5.6), respectively. The low-risk group encompassed the majority of long-term survivors, whereas the patients in the high-risk group with a very poor prognosis should probably not be offered IL-2-based immunotherapy.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Calculated tumour volume as a prognostic parameter for survival in choroidal melanomas.

PURPOSE: Tumour diameter, tumour height, and tumour volume are considered important prognostic indicators of survival in choroidal melanomas. In this study, we investigated the prognostic impact on survival of the easily calculated volume estimate based on the assumption of a half-rotation ellipsoid. METHODS: The largest tumour diameter and tumour height were measured by ultrasound A- and B-scan in 93 patients with choroidal melanoma. Tumour volume was calculated by the half volume of a rotation ellipsoid formula, rotated around the y-axis, and compared to tumour diameter and tumour height. All parameters were correlated to the clinical outcome of the patients. RESULTS: At the time of diagnosis, the mean diameter was 10.4 mm (range 4.1-18.9 mm), and the mean height was 5.7 mm (range 1.74-14.9 mm). The range of the calculated tumour volume was between 11 and 628 mm(3) (mean volume 190 mm(3)). Among all patients, distant metastases occurred in 10 patients (10.8%). In a univariate approach using Mantel-Haenszel log-rank test, the calculated tumour volume at the time of diagnosis was the best prognostic indicator of survival followed by tumour diameter and tumour height (P=0.028). When tumour volume, horizontal and vertical tumour diameter, age, sex, and primary tumour therapy were considered in a multivariate approach using Cox proportional Hazard model, only tumour volume turned out as a significant prognostic parameter (P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Calculated tumour volume is a better prognostic indicator of survival of patients with choroidal melanomas than the largest tumour diameter and tumour height, and might be established in daily routine.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic factors for the vascular components of erectile dysfunction in patients on renal replacement therapy.

A total of 76 male patients on renal replacement therapy (RRT) were investigated. Erectile dysfunction (ED) was defined as insufficient erection during visual erotic stimulation (VES) or during sleep as measured with Rigiscan and Erectiometer. Data on medical history, physical examination, and laboratory variables were collected. Furthermore, penile pharmacological duplex ultrasonography (PPDU) was performed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to determine prognostic values and to develop prognostic models. Independent prognostic factors for ED were the number of cardiovascular events, waist-hip ratio, body mass index, and acceleration time (AT) as measured with PPDU. Independent prognostic factors for an abnormal AT (>100 ms) were number of cardiovascular events, age category, and the presence of carotid bruits. Independent prognostic factors for insufficient veno-occlusion during PPDU were number of cardiovascular events and supine diastolic blood pressure. The vascular contribution to ED in patients on RRT is substantial. Data from medical history, limited physical examination, and PPDU contribute to the prediction of the vascular contribution to ED.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2003

Application of different prognostic scoring systems and comparison of the FAB and WHO classifications in Korean patients with myelodysplastic syndrome.

We retrospectively studied 227 patients with MDS (1) to identify the prognostic factors of survival and acute leukemia evolution in Korean patients with MDS, (2) to apply different prognostic scoring systems to the same group of patients, and (3) to compare the FAB with the WHO classification. Six scoring systems were applied to the patients, and the FAB and WHO classifications were compared. The patients' median age was 57 years. The median survival time was 21 months, and age, dysgranulopoiesis and the IPSS cytogenetic groups were independent prognostic factors for survival. Acute leukemia occurred in 34 patients, and the cumulative incidence was 27.1% at 3 years. Marrow blast percentage was the only independent prognostic factor for acute leukemia evolution. Most scoring systems successfully discriminated risk groups for survival and acute leukemia evolution, but patient distribution into risk groups varied according to the scoring systems. Refractory cytopenia with multilineage dysplasia and RAEB II seemed to have different prognoses from RA or RARS and RAEB I, respectively. In summary, our MDS patients had different disease natures from those of Western countries regarding clinical features, prognostic factors and cytogenetic profiles. Although the WHO classification seems to improve the FAB classification, further studies are warranted to validate the utility of the WHO classification before it is accepted for routine clinical use. Our study has the limitations of retrospective analysis, and our results should be verified in future prospective studies.

Actuarial Analysis↗

PubMed1996

Bone marrow histology and CD34 immunostaining in the prognostic evaluation of primary myelodysplastic syndromes.

The prognostic impact of bone marrow biopsy (BMB) histology and CD34 immunoreactivity was compared with that of the more conventional parameters (the FAB diagnosis, peripheral blood values, percentage of BM blasts and some common prognostic scores) in 100 MDS patients. Statistical correlations among the cytological, haematological, histological and immunohistochemical parameters and their relationship with clinical outcome were searched for. At univariate analysis, FAB classification (P < 0.001), pattern of blastic infiltration at BMB (P < 0.005), presence of CD34+ aggregates (P < 0.0005), percentage of blasts in BM aspirate (P < 0.0001) and percentage of CD34 positivity (P < 0.0001) proved to be linked to leukaemic transformation and, except for FAB classification, retained a high degree of prognostic significance in terms of survival. Leukaemic transformation occurred in 16/18 patients simultaneously presenting 'large' blastic infiltrates at BMB and CD34+ aggregates (P < 0.00001); 9/17 evaluable patients died within 12 months of diagnosis (P < 0.001)> Discriminant functions for leukaemic transformation and survival did not offer any advantage over univariate analysis in the prognostic work-up. The results indicate that the size of blastic aggregates and CD34 positivity allowed patients with a worse prognosis to be identified irrespective of their FAB subtype, but the prognostic impact is considerably greater when both parameters are simultaneously taken into account, as testified by the restricted and homogeneous subgroup of patients with both 'large' and CD34-positive aggregates.

Antigens, CD34↗