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PubMed1998

An analysis of the Milwaukee cryptosporidiosis outbreak based on a dynamic model of the infection process.

We combined information on the temporal pattern of disease incidence for the 1993 cryptosporidiosis outbreak in Milwaukee with information on oocyst levels to obtain insight into the epidemic process. We constructed a dynamic process model of the epidemic with continuous population compartments using reasonable ranges for the possible distribution of the model parameters. We then explored which combinations of parameters were consistent with the observations. A poor fit of the March 1-22 portion of the time series suggested that a smaller outbreak occurred before the March 23 treatment failure, beginning sometime on or before March 1. This finding suggests that had surveillance systems detected the earlier outbreak, up to 85% of the cases might have been prevented. The same conclusion was obtained independent of the model by transforming the incidence time series data of Mac Kenzie et al. This transformation is based on a background monthly incidence rate for watery diarrhea in the Milwaukee area of 0.5%. Further analysis using the incidence data from the onset of the major outbreak, March 23, through the end of April, resulted in three inferred properties of the infection process: (1) the mean incubation period was likely to have been between 3 and 7 days; (2) there was a necessary concurrent increase in Cryptospordium oocyst influent concentration and a decrease in treatment efficiency of the water; and (3) the variability of the dose-response function in the model did not appreciably affect the simulated outbreaks.

Animals↗

PubMed1998

Did Milwaukee experience waterborne cryptosporidiosis before the large documented outbreak in 1993?

The patterns of incidence and pathways of spread for cryptosporidiosis are poorly understood. In this study, we explored the possibility that drinking water caused significant waterborne cryptosporidiosis in Milwaukee well before the massive documented outbreak in April 1993. We generated time series of daily counts of emergency room visits and hospital admissions for gastroenteritis in Milwaukee using the billing records of the Medical College of Wisconsin for January 1, 1992, through May 3, 1993. The Milwaukee Water Works provided us with data on drinking water turbidity for the same period. The service area of the South Plant experienced a sharp rise in turbidity just before the outbreak. During the outbreak period, gastroenteritis events were most strongly associated with turbidity at a lag of 7 days in children and 8 days in adults. It is reasonable to conclude that these lag times reflect the incubation period of Cryptosporidium. During the 434 days before the outbreak, gastroenteritis events were most strongly associated with turbidity at a lag of 8 days among children and 9 days among adults in the service area of the North Plant, the plant that experienced the highest effluent turbidity during this period. These findings are consistent with the conclusion that waterborne cryptosporidiosis was occurring in Milwaukee for more than a year before the documented outbreak.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

[Investigation of a water-borne Salmonella ohio outbreak].

BACKGROUND: The genus Salmonella is one of the main causes of foodborne and waterborne illness worldwide. It is a major public health concern almost entirely due to S. enteritidis. However, outbreaks caused by Salmonella ohio are rare. We have not found any reference about salmonellosis by S. ohio whose origin was water of a drinking fountain. METHODS: An epidemiological survey was carried out to investigate the origin of the outbreak, and information was sought on personal details, symptoms, contact with others who had ill as well as a history of eating. Fecal specimens and water samples were cultured for bacterial pathogens including Salmonella. Salmonella isolates obtained were characterized by stereotyping. RESULTS: A total of 101 persons were exposed. 87 of these were interviewed, but only 59 of these were affected (attack rate: 67.8%), including 56 children and 3 adults. Syndrome was not severe, in general, persisting for a period of 2 days, in average. S. ohio was isolated from the water and from 2 of the 13 stool specimens analysed. CONCLUSIONS: The outbreak was caused by consumption of water from a drinking fountain which was contaminated by S. ohio. This fountain had not a chlorination system. An outbreak due to S. ohio whose origin is the consumption of water from a drinking fountain is described for the first time in this paper. It can be concluded the importance of keeping a good epidemiological control system to investigate and prevent outbreaks. The control of drinking fountains is also important, to prevent its contamination.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Investigation of an outbreak of cryptosporidiosis associated with treated surface water finds limits to the value of case control studies.

Fifty-two cases of cryptosporidiosis satisfied the case definition employed in investigation of an outbreak in Spring 1996 among residents of the Wirral peninsula supplied by a single water treatment plant using river water. The attack rate among those whose water was supplied solely from the plant was 1.42 per 10,000, compared with 0.42/10,000 among those having some but less than 50% supplied from it. Single oocysts were detected in treated water from this plant on four occasions during the investigation. A case control study did not demonstrate a significant association between illness and water consumption and no obvious failure in water treatment procedures occurred during the relevant period. Nevertheless, according to PHLS criteria, this outbreak was strongly associated with water, as the descriptive epidemiology was consistent and oocysts were detected, albeit in small numbers, in treated water. This paper discusses the value of detection of oocysts and case control studies in investigating waterborne outbreaks of cryptosporidiosis. Populations that normally drink surface water, particularly river water, are thought to be exposed repeatedly to cryptosporidium oocysts and so develop some protective immunity. Case control studies are therefore likely to have less power in the investigation of outbreaks in localities where the population normally drink treated surface water. Although oocysts are often isolated from treated surface waters without being associated with obvious disease in the population, their detection should still be considered in assessing the strength of association of waterborne outbreaks.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1994

Molecular epidemiology for local outbreaks of methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). The need for several methods.

Subtyping isolates may be useful for epidemiological studies of methicillin-resistant-Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) outbreaks. Among subtyping methods, DNA-based techniques have been applied very effectively for this purpose. An outbreak of MRSA infections took place in one hospital in Barcelona early during 1991. From the beginning of the outbreak to December 92, 70 MRSA isolates from different patients and sources were collected. All strains were evaluated by restriction endonuclease analysis of plasmid DNA (REAP) and macrorestriction endonuclease analysis of genomic DNA using Sma I and pulsed-field-gel-electrophoresis (PFGE). Plasmid screening and REAP using Hind III demonstrated two plasmid subtypes: subtype A showing a large plasmid, and subtype B showing the same large plasmid plus a smaller one. Subtypes A and B corresponded to the more recent and older isolates, respectively, suggesting the loss of the small plasmid during the epidemic. PFGE using Sma I displayed two closely related profiles (PFGE subtype A and A'; CS = 0.90). These subtypes were different from those subtypes exhibited from 4 methicillin-susceptible-Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) isolates from the same hospital and from 2 epidemiologically unrelated MRSA isolates. Almost all isolates showing PFGE subtype A preceded those isolates showing PFGE subtype A'. This fact and the similarity between both subtypes suggested minor chromosomal DNA rearrangement during the outbreak from a unique strain. While PFGE using Sma I is a useful tool in evaluation of clonal dissemination, our data suggest epidemic or local outbreaks may need several methods to best delineate the source and spread of MRSA strains. The reproducibility and discriminatory power of REAP makes it a useful adjunct in this context.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗

PubMed2006

A simulation study to assess the sensitivity of a forest health monitoring network to outbreaks of defoliating insects.

The sensitivity of the United States Forest Health Monitoring network to outbreaks of defoliating insects was examined by means of a simulation study. A model constructed specifically for the study was used to generate a wide variety of defoliation patterns in forested landscapes. Forest configuration was that of Minnesota, USA, as expressed by the GAP land cover classification. Combinations of model parameters were based on a Latin Hypercube sample. The relationship between the average number of plots defoliated and outbreak characteristics was then examined via multiple regression. Both theoretical and model results pointed to a strong, linear relationship between the average number of plots defoliated and outbreak size. Model results provided additional insight, suggesting a significant relationship between the average number of plots defoliated and other outbreak characteristics after outbreak size was taken into account.

Animals↗

PubMed2004

Climate affects predator control of an herbivore outbreak.

Herbivore outbreaks and the accompanying devastation of plant biomass can have enormous ecological effects. Climate directly affects such outbreaks through plant stress or alterations in herbivore life-history traits. Large-scale variation in climate can indirectly affect outbreaks through trophic interactions, but the magnitude of such effects is unknown. On the California coast, rainfall in years during and immediately previous to mass lupine mortality was two-thirds that of years without such mortality. However, neither mature lupines nor their root-feeding herbivores are directly affected by annual variation in rainfall. By increasing soil moisture to levels characteristic of summers following El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, we increased persistence of a predator (the entomopathogenic nematode Heterorhabditis marelatus). This led to suppression of an outbreak of the herbivorous moth Hepialus californicus, indirectly protecting bush lupine (Lupinus arboreus). Our results are consistent with the marine-oriented Menge-Sutherland hypothesis (Menge and Sutherland 1987) that abiotic stress has greater effects on higher than on lower trophic levels. The mechanisms producing these results differ from those proposed by Menge-Sutherland, however, highlighting differences between trophic processes in underground and terrestrial/marine food webs. Our evidence suggests that herbivore outbreaks and mass lupine mortality are indirectly affected by ENSO's facilitation of top-down control in this food web.

Animals↗

PubMed1997

Pseudo-outbreak of multiresistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa in a hematology unit.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the investigation of a pseudo-outbreak of multiresistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa fecal colonization in a hematology unit. DESIGN: Retrospective chart review; prospective environmental sampling and observation of stool culture technique; genotyping by random arbitrary primer polymorphic DNA polymerase chain reaction (RAPD-PCR). SETTING: An academic tertiary-care hospital. PATIENTS: Between August and October 1994, P aeruginosa resistant to imipenem, ceftazidime, ciprofloxacin, and all aminoglycosides was isolated from surveillance stool cultures from 10 neutropenic patients cared for in the hematology unit. P aeruginosa, with an identical susceptibility pattern, was isolated from three patients admitted to the same unit in the year before the "outbreak." Two months before the outbreak, 12 healthcare workers had been added to the staff. RESULTS: Observation of stool sampling techniques as performed by healthcare workers revealed that samples for surveillance cultures were taken from feces in the toilet. When the proper sampling technique was used, P aeruginosa was not isolated from stool samples from 8 of 10 patients with previously positive cultures. P aeruginosa also was isolated from two wash basins, toilet flushing water, and a toilet brush. Genotyping by RAPD-PCR showed that the isolate from the toilet flushing water was identical to the P aeruginosa strains of eight patients from the outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: This pseudo-outbreak emphasizes the importance of proper sampling techniques and that periodic observation may be necessary to verify proper sampling techniques.

Cross Infection↗

PubMed2006

Recurrent outbreaks of root mat in cucumber and tomato are associated with a monomorphic, cucumopine, Ri-plasmid harboured by various Alphaproteobacteria.

Recurrent outbreaks of root mat have occurred in the UK and France in cucumber and tomato. Root mat is caused by bacterial strains harbouring a Ri-plasmid (pRi). Fifteen root mat-associated (RMA) cucumopine pRi were analysed by PCR-restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) and Southern blotting. These pRi were harboured by Agrobacterium biovar 1 strains isolated during a 1970s outbreak of root mat in UK soil grown cucumber, and also by Agrobacterium biovar 1, Ochrobactrum, Rhizobium and Sinorhizobium isolated during outbreaks of root mat in cucumber and tomato grown hydroponically in the UK and France since 1993. PCR-RFLP analysis of the T-DNA and virD2 regions showed sequence homology between all cucumopine pRi, indicating that these pRi are monomorphic, and thus this pRi remained in the UK without inducing symptoms for some 15 years between outbreaks in the 1970s and 1990s. Cucumopine pRi were also shown to possess the virE2 substitute GALLS gene by Southern blotting. Two other pRi, harboured by Agrobacterium isolated from a recent root mat outbreak in one tomato crop, were also shown to possess the GALLS gene but were shown not to be cucumopine pRi by PCR-RFLP.

Alphaproteobacteria↗

PubMed1983

Laboratory investigation of hemorrhagic colitis outbreaks associated with a rare Escherichia coli serotype.

Two outbreaks of hemorrhagic colitis, a newly recognized syndrome characterized by bloody diarrhea, severe abdominal pain, and little or no fever, occurred in 1982. No previously recognized pathogens were recovered from stool specimens from persons in either outbreak. However, a rare E. coli serotype, O157:H7, was isolated from 9 of 20 cases and from no controls. It was also recovered from a meat patty from the implicated lot eaten by persons in one outbreak. No recovery of this organism was made from stools collected 7 or more days after onset of illness; whereas 9 of 12 culture-positive stools had been collected within 4 days of onset of illness. The isolate was not invasive or toxigenic by standard tests, and all strains has a unique biotype. Plasmid profile analysis indicates that all outbreak-associated E. coli O157:H7 isolates are closely related. These results suggest that E. coli O157:H7 was the causative agent of illness in the two outbreaks.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗

PubMed2002

Reactive arthritis following an outbreak of Salmonella typhimurium phage type 193 infection.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the occurrence and the clinical picture of reactive arthritis (ReA) following an outbreak of Salmonella typhimurium. METHODS: An outbreak of S typhimurium phage type DT 193 occurred in several municipalities in Finland in 1999. A questionnaire which had a specific emphasis on musculoskeletal symptoms was mailed to all 78 subjects with a positive stool culture. Based on the answers, all subjects with recent joint complaints were clinically examined or interviewed by telephone. RESULTS: Sixty three of 78 subjects (81%) returned the questionnaire. Of these 63 subjects, five (8%) fulfilled the criteria for ReA. All the five subjects with ReA were adults with oligo- or polyarthritis. The antigen HLA-B27 was positive in two of the four subjects tested. In two of five subjects with ReA, the duration of acute arthritis was over six months. Subjects who had received antimicrobial drugs developed acute musculoskeletal symptoms significantly (p=0.013) less often than those without such treatment. None of the subjects with ReA had received antimicrobial drugs before the onset of joint symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of ReA following an outbreak of S typhimurium was at the same level as in outbreaks due to other salmonella serotypes reported previously by us, indicating that the frequency of ReA after various outbreaks is approximately 10%. Early use of antimicrobial drugs may prevent the development of musculoskeletal symptoms.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1991

Proximity of the home to a cooling tower and risk of non-outbreak Legionnaires' disease.

OBJECTIVE: To study the source of non-outbreak legionnaires' disease, particularly the role of cooling towers, by comparing the locations of patients' homes in relation to the location of cooling towers. DESIGN: Retrospective, descriptive study of a case series of patients with legionnaires' disease ill between 1978 and 1986 and, for comparison, a case series of patients with lung cancer. A prospectively developed register and interview based survey provided data on the location of cooling towers. SETTING: The city of Glasgow. PATIENTS: 134 patients aged 14-84 with legionnaires' disease during 1978-86 and 10,159 patients with lung cancer during the same period. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The locations of patients' homes and cooling towers as defined by postcodes, which provided map grid references accurate to 10 m; numbers of expected and observed cases of legionnaires' disease in census enumeration districts; and distance of enumeration districts from the nearest cooling tower as defined by five distance categories. RESULTS: Most cooling towers were in or near the city centre or close to the River Clyde, as were the places of residence of patients with community acquired, non-travel, non-outbreak legionnaires' disease (n = 107). There was an inverse association between the distance of residence from any cooling tower and the risk of infection, the population living within 0.5 km of any tower having a relative risk of infection over three times that of people living more than 1 km away. There was no such association with respect to travel related legionnaires' disease, and for lung cancer the association was weak (relative risk less than or equal to 1.2 in any distance group). CONCLUSION: In Glasgow cooling towers have been a source of infection in two outbreaks of legionnaires' disease and, apparently, a source of non-outbreak infection also. Better maintenance of cooling towers should help prevent non-outbreak cases. This method of inquiry should be applied elsewhere to study the source of this and other environmentally acquired disease.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

A resource-depletion model of forest insect outbreaks.

Detailed analyses of thresholded ecological interactions can improve our understanding of the transition from aperiodic to periodic dynamics. We develop a threshold model of the population dynamics of outbreaking bark beetle populations that alternate between non-epidemic and epidemic behavior. The model involves accumulation of resources during low-density periods and depletion during outbreaks. The transition between the two regimes is caused by disturbance events in the form of major tree felling by wind. The model is analyzed with particular reference to the population dynamics of the spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus) in Scandinavia for which a comprehensive literature allows full parameterization. The fairly constant outbreak lengths and the highly variable waiting time between outbreaks that are seen in the historical records of this species agree well with the predictions of the model. The thresholded resource-depletion dynamics result in substantial variation in the degree of periodicity between stochastic realizations. The completely aperiodic tree colonizations are partly predictable when the timing of the irregular windfall events are known. However, the predictability of inter-outbreak periods is low due to the large variation of cases falling most frequently in the middle between the extremes of purely nonperiodic (erratic) and periodic (cyclic) fluctuations.

Animals↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Report of a rotavirus outbreak in an adult nursing home population.

UNLABELLED: Rotavirus is a double-stranded RNA enteric virus that is the most important cause of severe, dehydrating diarrhea in infants and young children worldwide. Symptoms range from mild diarrhea to a life-threatening illness. Rotavirus occasionally afflicts adult members of the infected infant's family, geriatric patients, and immunocompromised hosts. We report the outbreak of rotavirus infection in a large nursing home facility. REPORT: In September 1996, 19 residents and 15 staff members of a 64-bed nursing home facility began to develop an acute, febrile illness associated with vomiting and diarrhea. The Public Health Service conducted an outbreak investigation. The infection displayed fecal-to-oral transmission with an incubation period of 1 to 2 days. The median duration of illness was 3 days for residents and 1 day for staff members. One resident died as a result of illness complications. Stool antigen tests from five residents and two employees were positive for rotavirus. Infection control policies were reevaluated, and interventions to arrest the outbreak were undertaken. The employee sick leave policy was strictly enforced. Education seminars were held, with employees reinforcing the concepts of enteric isolation and proper handwashing techniques. Surfaces and objects in the dining area were disinfected with a weak chloride solution. Once these measures were implemented, the rotavirus outbreak was contained. CONCLUSION: Rotavirus is a common cause of infectious diarrhea that can afflict the geriatric population. When infection occurs in a nursing home facility, rapid transmission can develop and morbidity can result. Nursing home infection control policies need to be evaluated constantly and new measures need to be implemented should an outbreak of rotavirus occur.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2005

Outbreaks of pertussis associated with hospitals--Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Oregon, 2003.

Pertussis outbreaks have been reported in various settings, including sports facilities, summer camps, schools, and health-care facilities. Mild and atypical manifestations of pertussis among infected persons and the lack of quick and accurate diagnostic tests can make pertussis outbreaks difficult to recognize and therefore difficult to control. Outbreaks among health-care workers (HCWs) are of special concern because of the risk for transmission to vulnerable patients. This report describes three pertussis outbreaks among HCWs and patients that occurred in hospitals in Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Oregon in 2003. These outbreaks illustrate the importance of complying with measures to reduce nosocomial infection when evaluating or caring for patients with acute respiratory distress or cough illness of unknown etiology.

Adult↗

PubMed1988

Food-borne botulism. A review of 13 outbreaks.

Thirteen outbreaks of food-borne botulism occurred between 1970 and 1984. Fifty patients were affected, with 30 of them requiring hospitalization. The number of patients per outbreak ranged from one to ten (mean, 3.8). All outbreaks were caused by home-prepared foods: nine by smoked ham, one by bacon, one by sausage, and one by mussels; contaminated food was not found in one outbreak. Bacteriologic study was performed in 11 outbreaks and type B toxin, the only found, was detected in eight of them. Generalized muscular weakness, visual disturbances, extreme dry mouth, and severe constipation were observed in all inpatients. Palpebral ptosis, dysphonia, urinary retention, postural hypotension, and respiratory impairment were also reported, but not in all inpatients. Identical, but less severe, manifestations were registered in the 20 ambulatory patients. Electromyographic study showed decreased motor action potential and posttetanic facilitation. Pulmonary function, studied in four inpatients, was decreased in three. All patients recovered fully. Management consisted of supportive measures, symptomatic treatment, and nursing care. Equine antitoxin was not administered and assisted ventilation was unnecessary.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

Portable metagenomics for preventive surveillance and outbreak control in livestock and poultry: Pathogen detection, resistome profiling, and antimicrobial stewardship.

Conventional diagnostics for livestock and poultry outbreaks commonly rely on culture or targeted PCR panels, which may be too slow or too narrow to guide early control decisions. Portable metagenomics, particularly real-time nanopore sequencing, offers a route to broad pathogen detection, antimicrobial-resistance gene profiling, and outbreak investigation within an integrated workflow. This implementation-focused review evaluates how near-point-of-care metagenomics may support preventive veterinary medicine through earlier detection, surveillance, cohorting, biosecurity decisions, and antimicrobial stewardship. We synthesize sample-to-answer workflows for enteric and respiratory disease in food-producing animals, including sampling, nucleic-acid extraction, host depletion or target enrichment, library preparation, sequencing, bioinformatics, quality control, and interpretation. Applications in calf diarrhea, bovine respiratory disease, poultry outbreaks, mastitis, and resistome monitoring are considered alongside the central limitation that detection alone does not establish causation. Pathogen and resistance-gene signals must therefore be interpreted with clinical signs, lesions, epidemiology, controls, and confirmatory testing. We also propose a minimum reporting checklist, intended as a practical framework rather than a validated consensus standard. Portable metagenomics is not a replacement for conventional diagnostics, but appropriately validated workflows can reduce uncertainty during time-sensitive outbreaks and support more judicious antimicrobial use.

Animals↗

PubMed2003

A large outbreak of influenza A and B on a cruise ship causing widespread morbidity.

In September 2000 an outbreak of influenza-like illness was reported on a cruise ship sailing between Sydney and Noumea with over 1,100 passengers and 400 crew on board. Laboratory testing of passengers and crew indicated that both influenza A and B had been circulating on the ship. The cruise coincided with the peak influenza period in Sydney. Morbidity was high with 40 passengers hospitalized, two of whom died. A questionnaire was sent to passengers 3 weeks after the cruise and 836 of 1,119 (75%) responded. A total of 310 passengers (37%) reported suffering from an influenza-like illness (defined as cough, fever, myalgia and weakness) and 528 (63%) had seen a doctor for illness related to the cruise. One-third of passengers reported receipt of influenza vaccination in 2000; however neither their rates of influenza-like illness nor hospitalization were significantly different from those in unvaccinated passengers. A case-control study also found no significant protective effect of influenza vaccination. With the increasing popularity of cruise vacations, such outbreaks are likely to affect increasing numbers of people. Whilst influenza vaccination of passengers and crew may afford some protection, uptake and effectiveness may not be sufficient to prevent outbreaks. Surveillance systems and early intervention measures, such as antiviral therapies, should be considered to detect and control such outbreaks.

Adult↗