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A fuzzy logic based-method for prognostic decision making in breast and prostate cancers.

Accurate and reliable decision making in oncological prognosis can help in the planning of suitable surgery and therapy, and generally, improve patient management through the different stages of the disease. In recent years, several prognostic markers have been used as indicators of disease progression in oncology. However, the rapid increase in the discovery of novel prognostic markers resulting from the development in medical technology, has dictated the need for developing reliable methods for extracting clinically significant markers where complex and nonlinear interactions between these markers naturally exist. The aim of this paper is to investigate the fuzzy k-nearest neighbor (FK-NN) classifier as a fuzzy logic method that provides a certainty degree for prognostic decision and assessment of the markers, and to compare it with: 1) logistic regression as a statistical method and 2) multilayer feedforward backpropagation neural networks an artificial neural-network tool, the latter two techniques having been widely used for oncological prognosis. In order to achieve this aim, breast and prostate cancer data sets are considered as benchmarks for this analysis. The overall results obtained indicate that the FK-NN-based method yields the highest predictive accuracy, and that it has produced a more reliable prognostic marker model than the statistical and artificial neural-network-based methods.

Aged↗

Occurrence of cirrhosis-related complications is a time-dependent prognostic predictor independent of baseline model for end-stage liver disease score.

BACKGROUND: The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is used to prioritize cirrhotic patients awaiting liver transplantation. Many cirrhosis-related complications are indications for transplantation but are not included in MELD. This study investigated the impact of these complications on survival and association with MELD. METHODS: The mortality risk of cirrhosis-related complications, including bleeding esophageal varices, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome and hepatic decompensation, was analyzed using a time-dependent Cox regression model in 227 cirrhotic patients. RESULTS: A total of 281 episodes of complications occurred in 142 (63%) patients. Patients who died had a significantly higher baseline MELD score compared with those who survived (14.5 +/- 4.5 vs 12.8 +/- 3.9, P = 0.004). There was no significant difference in the MELD score between patients with and without the occurrence of complications (13.6 +/- 4.3 vs 12.9 +/- 4.0, P = 0.093). Patients with a higher baseline MELD score tended to develop early complications (rho = -0.598, P< 0.001). Using the Cox regression model, the risk ratio of mortality was 4.9 (95% confidence interval: 3.9-6.3, P< 0.0001) for each additional episode of complication. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality risk increases as the number of complication episodes increases. While patients with repeated complications have a poor outcome, they do not necessarily have a higher baseline MELD score and could be down-staged in the MELD era.

Aged↗

Dying with cancer: patients' function, symptoms, and care preferences as death approaches.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the dying experience of patients with cancer over the last 6 months of life. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of the last 6 months of life among patients with colon cancer and non-small cell lung cancer enrolled in a prospective cohort study from June 1989 to June 1991 and from January 1992 to January 1994. SETTING: Five geographically diverse tertiary care academic medical centers participating in the Study to Understand Patient Prognoses and Preferences for Outcomes and Risks of Treatments (SUPPORT) Project. PARTICIPANTS: All patients enrolled in SUPPORT who had either colon cancer, metastatic to the liver or stage III or stage IV non-small cell lung cancer and died within 1 year of their index hospitalization. This report examines 316 of 520 patients with metastatic colon cancer and 747 of 939 patients with lung cancer enrolled in SUPPORT. METHODS: Data were collected by interview and chart abstraction at several time points in the SUPPORT Project. To describe progression to death, we constructed four observational windows backward in time beginning with patients' date of death and ending with their date of entry into the SUPPORT Project or 6 months before their death, whichever came first: (1) 3 days before death, (2) 3 days to 1 month before death, (3) 1 month to 3 months before death, and (4) 3 months to 6 months before death. For each outcome, patients contributed information to all windows during which they had data collected. We describe the frequency distributions of each outcome over time and report tests for trend. OUTCOME MEASURES: We examined several outcomes over time, including: percentage of days spent in a hospital; prognosis as measured by model-based prognostic estimates of 6-month survival; severity of illness as measured by the acute physiology score; functional status as measured by dependencies in activities of daily living (ADLs); severe physical and emotional symptoms, including pain, depression, and anxiety; patients' preferences for care; and the financial impact on patients' families. RESULTS: The death rate within 1 year of study entry was high among patients with metastatic colon cancer and advanced non-small cell lung cancer enrolled in SUPPORT (61% and 80%, respectively). As patients with cancer progress toward death, their estimated 6-month prognosis decreases significantly and the severity of their disease worsens. Patients' functional status also declines significantly as they approach death, such that most patients have four or more impairments within the 3 days before death. Patients with cancer experience significantly more pain and confusion as death approaches. Severe pain is common; more than one-quarter of patients with cancer experience serious pain 3 to 6 months before death and more than 40% were in serious pain during their last 3 days of life. However, dying patients are only modestly depressed and anxious during their last 3 days of life. As death approaches, patients favor comfort measures over life-extension, and about two-thirds want to forego resuscitation within 3 days of death. Families of patients dying with cancer incurred significant financial burdens during the last 6 months of life, and much of this burden was already experienced by 3 to 6 months before death. CONCLUSIONS: The last 6 months of life for patients with cancer is characterized by functional decline and poorly controlled severe pain and confusion. Although patients increasingly prefer comfort care as they near death, many die in severe pain. These findings highlight important opportunities to improve the quality of care at the end of life for patients dying with cancer.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Coronary calcium does not accurately predict near-term future coronary events in high-risk adults.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic risk models have had limited success in predicting coronary events in subjects with multiple risk factors. We and others have proposed an alternative approach using radiographically detectable coronary calcium. We evaluated and compared the predictive value of these 2 approaches for determining coronary event risk in asymptomatic adults with multiple coronary risk factors. In addition, we assessed the predictive value of a risk model that included calcium score and cardiac risk-factor data. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited 1196 asymptomatic high-coronary-risk subjects who then underwent risk-factor assessment and cardiac electron-beam CT (EBCT) scanning and were followed up for 41 months with a 99% success rate. We applied the Framingham model and our data-derived risk model to determine the 3-year likelihood of a coronary event. The mean age of our cohort was 66 years, and mean 3-year Framingham risk was 3.3+/-3.6%. Sixty-eight percent (818 subjects) had detectable coronary calcium. There were 17 coronary deaths (1.4%) and 29 nonfatal infarctions (2. 4%). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve areas calculated from the Framingham model, our data-derived risk model, and the calcium score were 0.69+/-0.05, 0.68+/-0.05, and 0.64+/-0.05, respectively (P=NS). When calcium score was included as a variable in the data-derived model, the ROC area did not change significantly (0.68+/-0.05 to 0.71+/-0.04; P=NS). CONCLUSIONS: Neither risk-factor assessment nor EBCT calcium is an accurate event predictor in high-risk asymptomatic adults. EBCT calcium score does not add significant incremental information to risk factors, and its use in clinical screening is not justified at this time.

Aged↗

Can experienced clinicians predict the outcome of lupus nephritis?

The ability of four experienced clinicians to predict short-term outcome (serum creatinine level at 1 year) and long-term outcome (renal insufficiency) was evaluated in 87 patients with lupus nephritis. The correlational agreement and the accuracy of their predictions were contrasted with the actual outcomes observed and with statistically generated prognostic regression models. In contrast to previously published data, all four clinicians predicted both short-term outcomes (P < 0.001) and long-term outcomes (P < 0.02) well. The clinicians' predictions approximated that of a statistically generated computer model for both agreement and accuracy for renal function at 1 year. The four clinicians identified nearly identical clinical variables as important in determining prognosis. Provision of biopsy data to the clinicians improved short-term and long-term prediction slightly. The value of the statistical models was 'validated' by demonstrating that three of the four clinical variables identified by the models, but not by the clinicians, could enhance clinical prediction (P < 0.05). In addition, the extent of tubulo-interstitial involvement on biopsy, a predictor that has recently received increased attention, could improve the long-term clinical predictions of all four clinicians (P < 0.05).

Adolescent↗

Hodgkin's lymphoma: basing the treatment on the evidence.

This paper examines the evidence available to guide treatment decisions in three areas of Hodgkin's lymphoma management. In Section I Dr. Evert Noordijk describes evolving strategies for patients with early stage disease outlining the eras during which the focus has changed from initially accomplishing cure through refining and intensifying the treatment to one of maximizing cure rates and finally into a patient-oriented era in which the twin goals of maintaining high rates of cure and minimizing late toxicity are being achieved. In Section II Dr. Sandra Horning reviews the way in which the cooperative groups of North America and Europe have built upon initial observations from single centers to assemble the trials that have defined the treatment for advanced stage Hodgkin's lymphoma. Over a period of almost three decades, these well-constructed trials have defined a current standard of treatment, ABVD chemotherapy and are now investigating innovative approaches to move beyond this standard. She also indicates the need to appreciate diagnostic factors and the implications of prognostic factor models for the design and interpretation of clinical trials. In Section III Dr. Joseph Connors summarizes the evidence available to inform our choice of treatment for the uncommon but important entity of lymphocyte predominance Hodgkin's lymphoma. Once again, the guidance that can be derived from carefully conducted clinical investigation is used to address the issues surrounding choice of treatment, reasonable monitoring in long term follow-up and the clear-cut need to base diagnosis on objective immunohistochemical evidence.

Combined Modality Therapy↗

COVID-19 multi-omics reveal organ-specific responses and biomarkers.

OBJECTIVE: Post-COVID-19 syndrome is characterised by persistent immune dysfunction and multi-organ sequelae. This study aimed to characterise the systemic blood molecular landscape induced by SARS-CoV-2 infection and identify prognostic markers linked to skeletal muscle mass loss, a key driver of poor outcomes. METHODS: We enrolled 30 healthy controls and 307 COVID-19 patients, collecting 422 plasma samples for integrated proteomic and metabolomic profiling to investigate organ-specific molecular alterations in COVID-19. RESULTS: We comprehensively mapped the molecular landscape of COVID-19, encompassing immune, tissue-specific, and metabolic perturbations, and delineated their interactions. Focusing on organ-damage-related molecular patterns associated with disease progression and mortality, we found that skeletal muscle mass loss contributed to poor clinical outcomes of COVID-19 (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001). Dysregulated arginine metabolism emerged as a key metabolic signature in fatal COVID-19 cases, with GLUL, GOT1, and citrulline showing significant correlation with skeletal muscle mass loss. Longitudinal analyses further revealed that reduced citrulline levels underlie the poor outcome of COVID-19 patients with muscle mass loss. These findings were robustly supported through multiple approaches: Mendelian randomization confirmed causal relationships between citrulline depletion, sarcopenia/fat-free mass loss, and COVID-19 mortality (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05), transcriptomic analyses of SARS-CoV-2-infected golden hamsters (GSE231910) provided additional support in enrichment of arginine biosynthesis (FDR&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05), and in vitro experiments further demonstrated that citrulline depletion promotes pro-inflammatory M1 macrophage polarisation &#x2014; a key immunological feature of critical COVID-19. Leveraging these insights, we developed a skeletal muscle loss-specific prognostic prediction model for COVID-19 using GLUL, GOT1, and citrulline. This model effectively stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.035). CONCLUSION: Our study advances the understanding of COVID-19-induced organ pathophysiology and provides a foundation for developing targeted therapeutic strategies for post-COVID sequelae.

COVID-19↗

The m-BACOD combination chemotherapy regimen in large-cell lymphoma: analysis of the completed trial and comparison with the M-BACOD regimen.

One hundred thirty-four assessable patients with stage II-IV large-cell lymphoma (LCL) were treated with the combination chemotherapy regimen methotrexate with leucovorin, bleomycin, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and dexamethasone (m-BACOD) between July 1981 and May 1986. The m-BACOD regimen substituted moderate-dose methotrexate (200 mg/m2 x 2) for the high-dose methotrexate used in the preceding M-BACOD regimen; all other drugs were administered as with m-BACOD. Eighty-two patients (61%) in the completed m-BACOD trial achieved a complete response (CR). With a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 62 patients (76%) continue in CR. Predicted survivals of 1, 3, and 5 years for the entire m-BACOD group are 80%, 63%, and 60%, respectively, with a 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) of 74% for the patients who achieve CR. The results obtained with m-BACOD are comparable with those obtained in the preceding M-BACOD trial, which now has a median follow-up of 8.0 years. The reduction in methotrexate dosage in m-BACOD patients was not associated with an increased incidence of CNS relapse. Long-term follow-up of the 215 M/m-BACOD patients indicates that the regimens are not associated with an increased incidence of secondary malignancy. Prolonged follow-up also indicates that advanced-stage patients have a persistent rate of late relapse of about 7.0% per year for years 2 to 5 of their follow-up and that stage II patients have an approximate 2.1% per year rate of late relapse. Application of the previously described prognostic factor model to the 215 M/m-BACOD patients from the completed trials identifies a high-risk group of patients with a CR rate and predicted 5-year survival (38% and 24%, respectively) that are significantly worse than those of the group as a whole (65% and 57%, respectively).

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

EMA/CO for high-risk gestational trophoblastic tumors: results from a cohort of 272 patients.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the results of etoposide, methotrexate, and dactinomycin alternating with cyclophosphamide and vincristine (EMA/CO) chemotherapy in women with high-risk gestational trophoblastic tumors (GTT) and to document the middle- and long-term toxicity of the regimen. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 272 consecutive women with high-risk GTT, including 121 previously treated patients, were treated with weekly EMA/CO. The median follow-up duration is 4.5 years (range, 1 to 16). RESULTS: The cumulative 5-year survival rate is 86.2% (95% confidence interval, 81.9% to 90.5%). No deaths from GTT have occurred later than 2 years after the end [corrected] of EMA/CO. In a multivariate model, adverse prognostic factors were the presence of liver metastases (P < .0001), interval from antecedent pregnancy (P < .0001), brain metastases (P = .0008), and term delivery of antecedent pregnancy (P = .045). There were 11 (4%) early deaths, while 213 patients (78%) achieved a complete remission. Forty-seven (17%) developed drug resistance to EMA/CO, of whom 33 (70%) were salvaged by further cisplatin-based chemotherapy and surgery. Two women developed acute myeloid leukemia, two cervical malignancy, and one gastric adenocarcinoma after EMA/CO. More than half (56%) of the women who had fertility-conserving surgery and who have been in remission at least 2 years have become pregnant since the completion of EMA/CO, with 112 live births, including three infants with congenital abnormalities. CONCLUSION: EMA/CO is an effective and well-tolerated regimen for high-risk GTT. More than half of the women will retain their fertility; however, there is a small but significant risk of second malignancy.

Adolescent↗

Construction of a new predictive model in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma based on the investigation of extracellular matrix-associated genes.

A key aspect influencing immune cell infiltration is the composition of the extracellular matrix (ECM). Therefore, investigating the association between ECM-associated proteins and immune cell infiltration is key for the identification of new biomarkers to distinguish 'immune-hot' solid tumors and predict patient prognosis. A total of 513 head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) cases as training samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas and an additional 270 as testing samples from the Gene Expression Omnibus were obtained for use in the present study. Using a single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis method, the 513 training samples were divided into Cluster 1 and Cluster 2. Subsequently, the present analysis uncovered 1,573 differentially expressed genes distinguishing the two clusters. After performing an intersection analysis with 751 ECM-associated genes, 103 differentially expressed ECM-associated genes were identified. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify candidate ECM risk genes (P<0.05) and to construct a predictive model. Finally, a nomogram and a three gene (cerebellin 2, galectin-10 and cathepsin G) predictive model were developed. Therefore, the present prognostic risk score model can evaluate the immune infiltration, predict the prognosis of HNSCC, and potentially guide more personalized immunotherapy interventions.

extracellular matrix↗

Natural history, clinicopathologic classification and prognosis of gastric ECL cell tumors.

A series of 50 gastric endocrine tumors classified according to Rindi et al. [1] comprised 12 small cell neuroendocrine carcinomas (NEC) and 38 ECL cell carcinoids, of which 22 associated with type A chronic atrophic gastritis (A-CAG), eight with hypertrophic gastropathy due to combined Multiple Endocrine Neoplasia and Zollinger/Ellison syndrome (MEN/ZES), and eight sporadic. Variables found to predict tumor malignancy were: size > 2 cm, > 2 mitoses and > 130 Ki67 positive cells/10 high power fields (HPF), grade 2 or 3 histology, angioinvasion, p53 protein nuclear accumulation, and the presence of a single tumor. None of these factors increased significantly the predicting ability of tumor classification itself, although grade 2 + 3 shows 100 percent negative predictive value and Ki67 and angioinvasion 100 percent positive predictive value. When the mostly non-malignant A-CAG and MEN-ZES tumors were analysed against the mostly malignant sporadic and NEC tumors, a positive predictive value of 90 percent and a negative predictive value of 93 percent was obtained. Investigation of a larger tumor series is under way with the aim to develop an optimal model for prognostic evaluation of gastric endocrine tumors.

Adult↗

["Multiple organ failure syndrome". Nature of the concept and correctness of the nomenclature].

The syndrome principle of studying complex pathological processes is justified if the key link of the pathogenesis is determined. The multi-organ systemic dysfunction is due to altered synergism of all visceral functions rather than to the sum of functional alterations of several organs. The main ideas and regularities of the synergism as the fundamental theoretical directions determine the coordination of vital activity and the probability of its disturbance depending on genetically determined and other factors. Grounds are presented for the prospects of using the Mandelbroth's fractals and regularities of synergism in creation of the prognostic dynamic models in the organism's extreme states.

Fractals↗

Clinical characteristics and treatment outcome of 218 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in a Singaporean institution.

A retrospective analysis of 218 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) seen at a single institution in Singapore over a ten-year period was conducted. Twenty percent, 56% and 24% of patients had low-, intermediate- and high-grade disease respectively using the Working Formulation, and 25% of patients immunophenotyped had T-cell NHL. Forty-nine percent had primary extranodal disease, with the commonest sites of involvement being the gastrointestinal tract, nasal cavity, and tonsils. 86% and 73% respectively of patients with intermediate and high grade disease received combination chemotherapy as first line treatment, with CHOP being the most commonly used regime. Seventy-four percent of patients with low grade lymphoma received first line chemotherapy, 5% each was treated with radiotherapy or surgery alone, and 21% was treated symptomatically. Patients with low grade B-cell lymphoma had a 5-year survival of 80% and 10-year survival of 42%. One-year survival for intermediate and high grade B-cell lymphoma was 76% and 42%, while 2-year survival was 67% and 42% respectively. 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival for patients with T-cell lymphoma was 67%, 46% and 37% respectively. The difference in survival between low-, intermediate- and high-grade B-cell lymphoma was statistically significant (p = 0.0018 using the log rank test), but that between B- and T-cell lymphoma was not. Using the Cox regression model, International prognostic index, grade and extranodal disease were found to be statistically significant predictors of survival (p = 0.0001, p = 0.0157, p = 0.0343) respectively.

Adolescent↗

Listening to injured workers: how recovery expectations predict outcomes--a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Rigorous evidence on factors affecting the prognosis of work-related soft-tissue injuries remains limited. Although shown to be important for a wide variety of clinical conditions, recovery expectations have rarely been assessed as prognostic factors for workers with soft-tissue injuries. We examined the predictive role of various measures of recovery expectations among workers with injuries resulting in time off work. METHODS: We identified a prospective cohort of 1566 injured workers shortly after they filed a claim for their injury with the Ontario Workers' Compensation Board (OWCB). They had soft-tissue injuries to the back or upper or lower extremities, had new, lost-time claims from May to November 1993 and were still off work at the time of the first interview. We interviewed participants by telephone within 3 weeks after the injury and measured their recovery expectations (perceptions regarding progress, expected change in condition, expected time until return to usual activities and expectations regarding return to usual job) along with other, potentially important prognostic factors. The primary outcome was total time receiving 100% wage-replacement benefits during the year following injury, obtained from OWCB administrative files. Self-reported measures of pain, health-related quality of life and functional status, obtained up to 4 times during the year following injury, were both independent predictors and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: The 4 measures of recovery expectations together explained one-sixth of the variation in time receiving benefits. All but expectations regarding return to usual job were individually predictive of time receiving benefits. Judging one's recovery as much better than expected resulted in a 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 9%-46%) faster rate of stopping receiving benefits (and likely returning to work) compared with judging one's recovery as much worse than expected. Similarly, participants who expected to return to usual activities within 3 weeks had a 37% (95% CI 26%-47%) faster rate of stopping receiving benefits than those who responded "Don't know" to this question, and participants who stated that they were fully recovered or would get better soon had a 25% (CI 5%-40%) faster rate than those who thought they would never get or stay better. Positive recovery expectations were also associated with reductions in pain grade and improvement in functional status outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Expectations regarding recovery may provide useful information on the complex process of recovering from work-related soft-tissue injuries. For clinicians, patients' negative or uncertain expectations may indicate the need for further probing and intervention on psychosocial factors to facilitate recovery.

Adult↗

Assessment of nodal involvement and survival analysis in breast cancer patients using image cytometric data: statistical, neural network and fuzzy approaches.

Accurate and reliable decision making in breast cancer prognosis can help in the planning of suitable surgery and therapy and, generally, optimise patient management through the different stages of the disease. In recent years, several prognostic factors have been used as indicators of disease progression in breast cancer. In this paper we investigate a fuzzy method, namely fuzzy k-nearest neighbour technique for breast cancer prognosis, and for determining the significance of prognostic markers and subsets of the markers, which include histology type, tumour grade, DNA ploidy, S-phase fraction, G0G1/G2M ratio, and minimum (start) and maximum (end) nuclear pleomorphism indices. We also compare the method with (a) logistic regression as a statistical method, and (b) multilayer feed forward backpropagation neural networks as an artificial neural network tool, the latter two techniques having been widely used for cancer prognosis. Nodal involvement and survival analyses in breast cancer are carried out for 100 women who were clinically diagnosed with breast disease in the form of carcinoma and benign conditions, and seven prognostic markers collected for each patient. For nodal involvement analysis, node positive and negative patients are predicted whereas survival analysis is carried out for two categories: whether a patient is alive or dead within 5 years of diagnosis. The results obtained show that the fuzzy method yields the highest predictive accuracy of 88% for both nodal involvement and survival analyses obtained from the subsets of [tumour grade, S-phase fraction, minimum (start) nuclear pleomorphism index] and [tumour histology type, DNA ploidy, S-phase fraction, G0G1/G2M ratio], respectively. We believe that this technique has produced more reliable prognostic factor models than those obtained using either the statistical or artificial neural networks-based methods.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Retrospective comparison between CHOP-PVP and CHOP protocols for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the therapeutic effects between CHOP-PVP and CHOP protocols for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). METHODS: Of 79 NHL patients, 40 received CHOP-PVP and 39 received CHOP protocol. Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival rate and Cox regression model for prognostic factors. RESULTS: The complete remission rate and overall response rate were 57.5% (23/40) and 87.5% (35/40) in CHOP-PVP group and they were 33.3% (13/39) and 69.2% (27/39) in CHOP group. There was a significant difference (P < 0.05) in the complete remission rate and overall response rate between the two groups. The main toxicity was myelosuppression. The leukocytopenia rate was 82.5% in CHOP-PVP group and 71.8% in CHOP group (P > 0.05) with no fatality in either group. CONCLUSION: CHOP-PVP protocol may be more effective for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma than CHOP protocol without increasing toxicity.

Adolescent↗

Liver transplantation in acute liver failure.

Acetaminophen and idiosyncratic drug induced hepatotoxicity are the most commonly identified etiologies of acute liver failure in Western countries. Infectious complications and cerebral edema remain the leading causes of death. Moderate hypothermia and other medical interventions may improve cerebral edema in selected patients with acute liver failure. In addition, pilot studies suggest that recombinant factor VIIa infusions may allow for the safe placement of intracranial pressure monitoring devices in patients with cerebral edema and severe coagulopathy. Auxiliary liver transplantation and bioartificial liver devices offer the hope of temporary liver support for selected patients with a high likelihood of native liver regeneration. Prognostic survival models that include arterial lactate levels may improve our ability to identify acetaminophen overdose patients in urgent need of liver transplantation. The lower 1-year patient survival following liver transplantation for acute liver failure compared to chronic liver failure (60 vs 80%) is in part due to the emergent nature of surgery, concomitant vital organ failure, and the higher incidence of immunologically mediated graft dysfunction. Vaccination against hepatotrophic viruses and other public health measures designed to minimize the incidence of both intentional and non-intentional acetaminophen overdose may help reduce the future incidence of acute liver failure. In the meanwhile, it is recommended that acute liver failure patients be managed in experienced centers with ready access to liver transplantation to optimize outcomes in this rare but frequently fatal illness.

Acute Disease↗

[Liver transplantaion.].

In recent years, liver transplantation has become the treatment of choice for end-stage liver disease. Chronic viral hepatitis, alcoholic cirrhosis and chronic cholestatic diseases are the most common liver diseases requiring transplantation. Complications of cirrhosis such as variceal bleeding are important indications. Prognostic survival models are also used to determine the optimal timing of transplantation. Pretransplant evaluation is designed to assess the patients general health and the condition of the vital organs. The operation is complicated but most patients recover rapidly. Postoperative complications such as hepatic artery thrombosis may require retransplantation. Following transplantation, the patient is maintained on a regimen of immunosuppressive medications. Acute cellular rejection is common but usually responds to additional immunosuppression. One and five years survival has increased to 80-90% and 65-70% respectively. Recurrent liver disease is a common problem but rarely affects short term survival. Several Icelandic patients have undergone liver transplantation. Indications are similar to other European countries.

English Abstract↗