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The impact of pregnancy and menopause on CD4 lymphocyte counts in HIV-infected women.

OBJECTIVES: To determine indirectly the effect of changes in levels of reproductive hormones on CD4 lymphocyte counts by investigating the impact of pregnancy and menopause on CD4 lymphocyte counts in HIV-infected women. METHODS: Participants were 382 women with a known interval of HIV seroconversion. Review of questionnaires or patient charts provided information on pregnancy and menopause. A linear regression model with a random intercept and slope, which adjusts for multiple CD4 lymphocyte counts per woman, was applied to estimate the CD4 decline following HIV seroconversion and to evaluate the effect of pregnancy and menopause on the CD4 path. RESULTS: The 382 women had a median age of 25 years at seroconversion and yielded 1428 CD4 lymphocyte counts from 3 to 10 years after seroconversion. At 3 years from seroconversion, 20 women had passed the menopause (i.e., the last menses) and five more subsequently passed this point during follow-up; 25 women had a pregnancy after study entry. Postmenopausal women had lower CD4 lymphocyte counts 3 years after seroconversion than premenopausal women (333 vs 399 x 106 cells/l; P = 0.09), and pregnant women had lower counts than non-pregnant women (375 vs 399 x 106 cells/l; P = 0.36). The monthly CD4 decline was not associated with pregnancy and menopause. Adjustment for age did not change the results. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that CD4 lymphocyte counts differ between pre- and postmenopausal women, perhaps because of changes in the level of reproductive hormones in the menopause, but associations were not statistically significant. Pregnancy had no statistically significant effect on CD4 lymphocyte counts.

CD4 Lymphocyte Count↗

Safety and efficacy of hepatitis A vaccination in liver transplantation recipients.

OBJECTIVE: Vaccination against hepatitis A (HAV) has been shown to be safe and effective in healthy subjects and in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). The safety and efficacy of HAV vaccines in liver transplant (OLT) recipients have not been established. The objective of this study is to assess the safety and efficacy of inactivated hepatitis A vaccine in OLT recipients. METHODS: Thirty-seven HAV seronegative OLT recipients were enrolled. Patients received two doses of vaccine 6 months apart. Postvaccination IgG anti-HAV were determined at 1, 6, and 7 months after the first vaccine dose. Side effects were monitored for 3 days after each vaccination shot. An unvaccinated control group (45 patients) was followed for evidence of seroconversion. Seroconversion rate was also compared with those reported in healthy patients and in patients with chronic liver disease. RESULTS: Testing was available for all the cases at 1 month, and for 26 and 23 patients at 6 and 7 months, respectively. Only 3 of 37 patients (8%) had seroconversion at 1 month. At 6- and 7-month time points, 5 of 26 (19%) and 6 of the 23 (26%) patients had seroconversion, respectively. Vaccine responders had higher total white blood cell count and lymphocyte count and were further out from transplant compared with nonresponders. None of the unvaccinated patients had seroconversion over the follow-up time. Seroconversion rates in OLT recipients were significantly lower than that reported in healthy individuals (P=0.001) or in pre-OLT patients with CLD (P=0.001). All patients tolerated the vaccine well. CONCLUSIONS: HAV vaccination is safe in OLT recipient. Efficacy of HAV vaccination in OLT recipients, as measured by a commercially available enzyme immunoassay, is low and alternative strategies should be developed to improve response rate.

Adult↗

HIV incidence among repeat HIV testers at a county hospital, San Francisco, California, USA.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate HIV incidence, characterize correlates of HIV seroconversion, and monitor temporal trends in HIV transmission among patients repeatedly tested for HIV by a county hospital in San Francisco. DESIGN: Retrospective longitudinal study. METHODS: HIV incidence was retrospectively calculated among persons voluntarily tested for HIV antibody more than once at San Francisco's county hospital or one of its affiliated satellite community clinics between 1993 and 1999. Linkage of HIV test results in computerized databases identified "seroconverters" as individuals who had a negative antibody test followed by a positive test. The interval between tests was used as the person-time at risk. Cox proportional hazards analysis identified correlates of HIV seroconversion. RESULTS: A total of 84 HIV seroconversions were identified among 2893 eligible patients repeatedly tested for HIV antibody over a cumulative 5860 person-years (PYs) (incidence of 1.4 per 100 PYs, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-1.7). The majority of seroconversions (71 [84.5%]) were among injection drug users (IDUs) (incidence of 2.0 per 100 PYs, CI: 1.6-2.4). HIV incidence was highest among men who have sex with men (MSM) who were also IDUs (incidence of 3.8 per 100 PYs, CI: 2.7-5.1) and lowest among non-IDUs, heterosexual men, and non-IDU women (incidence of 0.3 per 100 PYs, CI: 0.1-0.6). In multivariate analysis, correlates of HIV seroconversion were age 25 to 29 years (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.9, CI: 2.4-6.3), MSM (HR = 2.9, CI: 1.9-4.4), and IDU (HR = 3.2, CI: 1.8-5.8). Overall, no temporal trend in annual HIV incidence was noted during the study period; however, HIV incidence among MSM IDUs increased from 2.9 per 100 PYs in 1996 to 4.7 per 100 PYs in 1998. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of seroconversion in this hospital and affiliated clinic population is unexpectedly high. Moreover, HIV transmission among IDU patients has not decreased over the last several years. The San Francisco county hospital provides a high-risk sentinel population to monitor emerging trends in HIV transmission, especially among IDUs, and presents multiple opportunities for prevention interventions, because these patients are being seen repeatedly by clinicians.

AIDS Serodiagnosis↗

De novo HCV infection among dialysis patients: a prospective study by HCV core antigen ELISA assay.

BACKGROUND: Dialysis patients remain a high-risk group for hepatitis C virus infection. The current diagnosis of hepatitis C virus in dialysis patients includes serological measurement of anti-hepatitis C virus antibody; however, nucleic acid amplification technology for assessing hepatitis C virus viraemia is commonly used in other populations. An enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test for detecting antibody to hepatitis C nucleocapsid core antigen (hepatitis C virus core antigen) in human serum has been recently developed (hepatitis C virus Core Antigen enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test). It is conceived for screening of donor blood products to significantly reduce the 'serologic window' occurring before seroconversion during acute hepatitis C virus. AIM AND METHODS: A cohort (n = 72) of patients on maintenance haemodialysis in a single unit in the years 2000-2003 was included. Study patients were tested monthly by hepatitis C virus Core Antigen enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in a prospective, clinical trial. Routine results obtained by hepatitis C virus Core Antigen enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test were confirmed by assessing hepatitis C virus viraemia by branched-chain DNA (bDNA) signal amplification assay. RESULTS: De novo hepatitis C virus infection was identified in three patients during the study period; the hepatitis C virus incidence was 1.38% (95% confidence intervals, 1.31-4.09) per year. In each patient, hepatitis C virus core antigen testing allowed the serological identification of acute hepatitis C virus before anti-hepatitis C virus seroconversion. Hepatitis C virus RNA testing confirmed the results obtained by hepatitis C virus Core Antigen enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in all cases. The time from initial hepatitis C virus detection by hepatitis C virus Core Antigen Assay and anti-hepatitis C virus seroconversion was not greater than four weeks. Two (67%) of three patients with de novo hepatitis C virus acquisition were HBsAg negative; both these patients underwent an initial phase of hepatitis C virus viraemia that was associated with an increase in alanine aminotransferase activity and preceded the seroconversion to anti-hepatitis C virus antibody. Nosocomial transmission of hepatitis C virus between haemodialysis patients was implicated in at least two (67%) of these three patients. CONCLUSIONS: Serological testing for hepatitis C virus core antigen can identify acute hepatitis C virus infection before anti-hepatitis C virus seroconversion. The time from initial hepatitis C virus detection by hepatitis C virus core antigen assay and anti-hepatitis C virus seroconversion was not >4 weeks. De novo acquisition of hepatitis C virus in haemodialysis was associated with a rise in alanine aminotransferase levels. Hepatitis C virus core antigen enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test results can be obtained in routine laboratories without the need of special equipment or training. Hepatitis C virus core antigen testing among anti-hepatitis C virus negative patients on maintenance dialysis is suggested in order to early assess de novo hepatitis C virus within dialysis units.

Acute Disease↗

Alcohol use and T-lymphocyte subsets among injection drug users with HIV-1 infection: a prospective analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Alcohol use is known to alter immune function and has immunosuppressive effects that may modify T-lymphocyte subpopulations. However, there is no clear evidence regarding the relationship of alcohol use with the progression of immunodeficiency in human immunodeficiency virus-type 1 (HIV-1)-seropositive individuals, particularly injection drug users (IDUs). METHODS: Using prospective data from a cohort of IDUs in a study of the natural history of HIV infection, we examined the relationship of alcohol use and changes in T-lymphocyte subsets. Among the 2921 IDUs followed semiannually in outpatient clinics, 188 were documented HIV-1 seroconverters with known time of seroconversion. At each visit, all study participants were interviewed, underwent physical examinations, and had blood drawn for laboratory studies. Alcohol use was measured by reported frequency and quantity of alcoholic beverages. Longitudinal analyses included data for up to 5 years postseroconversion. To formally test the association of alcohol use with change in levels of CD4+ and CD8+ cells subsequent to HIV seroconversion, regression models incorporating autocorrelation structure were applied. RESULTS: Alcohol use was not appreciably related to age, gender, marital status, income, education, or the duration of intravenous drug use. CD4% decreased for all IDUs within the first 5 years after seroconversion, with no significant differences between alcohol categories. CD8% increased for all IDUs, with no significant differences by alcohol category within the first 2 years after seroconversion. However, between 2 to 5 years postseroconversion, there was a statistically significant increase among the heaviest drinkers: CD8% increased 6.9%/year [95% confidence interval (CI): 4.7, 8.0] for the IDUs who reported > 21 drinks/week, 2.4%/year (95% CI: 0.8, 4.0) for IDUs who drank 21 drinks/week or less, and 0.4% (95% CI: -2.1, 2.9) for abstainers. Similar results were obtained for CD4 and CD8 absolute counts. CONCLUSIONS: In this study population of IDUs, CD8% (but not CD4%) is associated with alcohol consumption early after HIV seroconversion. This is the first prospective study to date to assess the relationship of alcohol use with HIV progression from the time of HIV seroconversion among a cohort of IDUs. If confirmed in future investigations, the findings may have significant implications for prevention and early intervention programs aimed at inhibiting disease progression among HIV-positive IDUs.

Adult↗

Reactivation of Epstein-Barr virus during early infection with human immunodeficiency virus.

Reactivation of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) in early human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection was investigated in 49 homosexual men who seroconverted to HIV (cases) as compared with 49 matched controls who remained seronegative to HIV during a longitudinal study. EBV infection was reactivated in cases 6 months, but not 12 months, prior to HIV seroconversion as compared with controls and remained reactivated during 18 months of follow-up after HIV seroconversion, as shown by increases in immunoglobulin (Ig) G antibody titers to EBV early antigen. Antibody titers to EBV viral capsid antigen did not differ between cases and controls prior to the time of seroconversion to HIV but were significantly increased among cases by the first seropositive study visit and remained elevated during the 18 months after HIV seroconversion. Total serum IgG levels were increased in cases at the visit of seroconversion, and during 18 months of follow-up, but did not correlate with enhanced IgG production specific for EBV antigens. Significant decreases in numbers of CD4+ cells and increases in numbers of CD8+ cells during this early phase of HIV infection were not associated with changes in patterns of EBV antibody responses. Reactivation of EBV beginning 6 months before HIV seroconversion may have implications regarding the role of this herpesvirus in the pathogenesis of HIV.

Antibodies, Viral↗

Is the clinical course of HIV-1 changing? Cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the clinical course of HIV infection has changed from 1985 to 1995. DESIGN: Cohort Study. SETTING: Infectious disease clinic. SUBJECTS: 285 patients recruited from September 1985 to January 1995 with < or = 12 months between the dates of their last seronegative and first seropositive test result and with first follow up visit in the six months after seroconversion and at least 12 months' follow up. Patients were grouped according to the date of seroconversion. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to CD4 cell count of < 500, 400, and 200 x 10(6) cells/l, and clinical outcome defining AIDS; variation in cell count per day between consecutive visits, and ratio between this variation and time from estimated date of seroconversion at each visit. RESULTS: The groups were similar in age, number with acute primary HIV infection, CD4 cell count at intake, and cell count at the beginning of antiretroviral treatment; they differed in sex ratio, risk factors for HIV, probability of CD4 cell decline to < 500, 400, and 200 x 10(6) cells/l. and risk of developing AIDS. Acute infection, seroconversion after December 1989, and serum beta 2 microglobulin > 296 nmol/l were independent predictors of poor clinical course. The speed of CD4 cell decline, expressed as cell variation divided by the number of days between consecutive visits, increased with more recent seroconversion (P = 0.02). Ratio between the speed of CD4 cell decline and time from estimated date of seroconversion at each visit was also higher in the patients who seroconverted after December 1989. CONCLUSIONS: The faster disease progression and the higher speed of CD4 cell decline at early stages in the patients with recently acquired HIV infection suggest changes in the clinical course of HIV infection.

Adolescent↗

Factors influencing HIV progression in a seroconverter cohort in Madrid from 1985 to 1999.

OBJECTIVE: To study HIV progression from seroconversion over a 15 year period and measure the population effectiveness of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). METHODS: A cohort study of people with well documented dates of seroconversion. Cumulative risk of AIDS and death were calculated by extended Kaplan-Meier allowing for late entry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to study variables associated with HIV progression. To assess the impact of HAART, calendar time was divided in three periods; before 1992, 1992-6, and 1997-9. RESULTS: From January 1985 to May 2000, 226 seroconverters were identified. The median seroconversion interval was 11 months, median seroconversion date was March 1993. 202 (89%) were men, 76% of whom were homo/bisexual. A 66% reduction in progression to AIDS was observed in 1997-9 compared to 1992-96 (HR 0.34 95% CI: 0.16 to 0.70). People with primary education appeared to have faster progression to AIDS compared to those with university studies (HR 2.69 95%CI: 1.17 to 6.16). An 82% reduction in mortality from HIV seroconversion was observed in 1997-9 (HR 0.18 95% CI: 0.05 to 0.68) compared to 1992-6. Progression to death for people with primary education was twice as fast as for those with university education (p 0.0007). People without confirmation of an HIV negative test had faster progression (HR 4.47 95% CI: 1.18 to 16.92). CONCLUSIONS: The reduction in progression to AIDS and death from seroconversion from 1992-6 to 1997-9 in Madrid is likely to be attributable to HAART. HIV progression was faster in subjects with primary education; better educational level may be associated with better adherence to medication.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Dynamic pattern of disease-associated autoantibodies in siblings of children with type 1 diabetes: a population-based study.

To study the dynamics of disease-associated humoral immune responses, we analyzed autoantibodies to the IA-2 protein (IA-2A), glutamic acid decarboxylase (GADA), and insulin (IAA) and also islet cell antibodies (ICA) in a population-based, prospective, representative series of 710 siblings (<20 years of age) of children with type 1 diabetes. Positivity for single autoantibodies was observed in 8-13% of these siblings during an average follow-up of 4 years. The overall incidence rates per 1,000 years (number of cases/person-years in parentheses) for positive seroconversion of IA-2A were nine (19/2,123), followed by six (12/2,049) for GADA, 19 (40/2,111) for IAA, and 16 (31/1965) for ICA. Positive seroconversions seemed to be associated with a young age of the sibling, HLA DR3/DR4 heterozygosity, HLA identity, and a high initial number of detectable autoantibodies. The overall incidence rates per 1,000 years (number of cases/person-years in parentheses) for inverse seroconversion of IA-2A were 76 (12/157), followed by 42 (10/237) for GADA, 460 (32/70) for IAA, and 27 (9/331) for ICA. No consistent risk factor for inverse seroconversions was present, although seroconversions were most frequent in siblings with older age, male sex, HLA phenotypes other than DR3/DR4, a small family size, and no other autoantibodies detectable at seroconversion. Altogether, these observations indicate that beta-cell autoimmunity may be induced at any age in childhood and adolescence. HLA-conferred genetic disease susceptibility is a strong determinant of persistent beta-cell autoimmunity, but environmental factors may also contribute to such autoimmunity.

Adolescent↗

Geographical variation in risk HLA-DQB1 genotypes for type 1 diabetes and signs of beta-cell autoimmunity in a high-incidence country.

OBJECTIVE: To assess possible differences in the frequency of HLA-DQB1 risk genotypes and the emergence of signs of beta-cell autoimmunity among three geographical regions in Finland. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The series comprised 4,642 children with increased HLA-DQB1-defined genetic risk of type 1 diabetes from the Diabetes Prediction and Prevention (DIPP) study: 1,793 (38.6%) born in Turku, 1,646 (35.5%) in Oulu, and 1,203 (25.9%) in Tampere. These children were examined frequently for the emergence of signs of beta-cell autoimmunity, for the primary screening of which islet cell antibodies (ICA) were used. If the child developed ICA, all samples were also analyzed for insulin autoantibodies (IAA), GAD65 antibodies (GADA), and antibodies to the IA-2 molecule (IA-2A). RESULTS: The high- and moderate-risk genotypes were unevenly distributed among the three areas (P<0.001); the high-risk genotype was less frequent in the Oulu region (20.4%) than in the Turku (28.4%; P<0.001) or Tampere regions (27.2%; P<0.001). This genotype was associated with an increased frequency of ICA seroconversion relative to the moderate risk genotypes (hazard ratio 1.89, 95% CI 1.36-2.62). Seroconversions to ICA positivity occurred less commonly in Tampere than in Turku (0.47, 0.28-0.75), whereas the seroconversion rate in Oulu did not differ from that in Turku (0.72, 0.51-1.03). The Tampere-Turku difference persisted after adjustment for risk genotypes, sex, and time of birth (before January 1998 versus later). Seroconversion for at least one additional autoantibody was also less frequent in Tampere than in Turku (0.39, 0.16-0.82). CONCLUSIONS: These data show that in Finland, the country with the highest incidence of type 1 diabetes in the world, both the frequency of the high-risk HLA-DQB1 genotype and the risk of seroconversion to autoantibody positivity show geographical variation. The difference in seroconversion rate could not be explained by the difference in HLA-DQB1-defined disease susceptibility, implying that the impact of environmental triggers of diabetes-associated autoimmunity may differ between the three regions studied.

Autoantibodies↗

Adefovir dipivoxil and pegylated interferon alfa-2a for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B: a systematic review and economic evaluation.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adefovirdipivoxil (ADV) and pegylated interferon alfa-2a (PEG) for the treatment of adults with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB). DATA SOURCES: Electronic databases for the period from 1995-6 to April 2005. Websites of the relevant organisations. REVIEW METHODS: Searches were made for studies of clinical effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, quality of life, resource use/costs and epidemiology/natural history. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) were included that compared PEG and ADV with currently licensed treatments for CHB, including non-pegylated ('standard') interferon alfa (IFN), lamivudine (LAM), and best supportive care. The trials were reviewed in a narrative synthesis but meta-analysis was not undertaken owing to heterogeneity in the interventions and comparators evaluated. A model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness (cost-utility) of PEG and of ADV compared with IFN, LAM and best supportive care in a UK cohort of adults with CHB. The perspective of the cost-effectiveness analysis was that of the NHS and personal social services. A Markov state transition model was constructed, informed by a systematic search of the literature to identify source material on the natural history, epidemiology and treatment of CHB. Interventions were evaluated against their closest comparator (for PEG this is IFN, and for ADV this is LAM). In addition, the cost-effectiveness of sequential treatment scenarios was modelled. RESULTS: A total of 1086 references to clinical effectiveness studies were identified, of which seven fully published RCTs and one systematic review met the inclusion criteria. Four of the RCTs evaluated the effectiveness of ADV and three reported results for PEG. In addition, a conference abstract was included reporting interim results from an on-going Phase II RCT of ADV in combination with LAM. The published trials were of good quality, although details of randomisation and allocation of concealment were poorly reported. ADV was significantly more effective than placebo. Response rates were in the range 21-51% compared with 0%, respectively. For patients resistant to LAM, response rates were significantly higher for those treated with ADV in addition to on-going LAM (35-85%) than those who continued on LAM with placebo (0-11%). Significant alanine aminotransferase (ALT) reductions to normal levels were observed in all studies. For treatment-naive patients, seroconversion rates were 12-14% for ADV compared with 6% for placebo (statistically significant), rates were higher for LAM-resistant patients who received ADV in addition to on-going LAM (8%) than those who continued on LAM with placebo (2%) (no significance value was reported), and rates were higher for LAM-resistant patients who switched to ADV than those who continued on LAM with placebo (11 versus 0%, respectively; not statistically significant). HBsAg loss or seroconversion was observed in less than 5% of patients taking ADV. Two ADV studies reported changes in liver histology. In general, histological improvement and necroinflammatory activity/fibrosis scores were significantly better in ADV groups than in placebo groups. Dose discontinuations for safety reasons were low for patients receiving ADV. With the exception of headache, the most commonly reported adverse events were often seen in the placebo groups in similar proportions to the ADV groups, with different trials reporting conflicting results. PEG/LAM dual therapy and PEG monotherapy were similar in effect on HBV DNA and ALT levels, and both were significantly superior to LAM monotherapy. Response rates were higher for HBeAg-negative patients than for HBeAg-positive patients. HBeAg seroconversion rates at follow-up were significantly higher for PEG monotherapy patients than for those receiving either a combination of PEG and LAM or LAM monotherapy (32, 27 and 19%, respectively). For the comparison between PEG and IFN-2a, there was a significant difference in the combined outcome of ALT normalisation, HBV DNA response and HBeAg seroconversion at follow-up (24 versus 12%, respectively). Changes in liver histology were reported by two studies. There was no statistically significant difference in histological improvement between the PEG monotherapy groups, the LAM monotherapy groups and the dual therapy groups. Two PEG trials reported small percentages (up to 5%) of HBsAg loss or seroconversion among patients receiving PEG either as monotherapy or in combination with LAM, but no HBsAg loss or seroconversion was reported in those receiving LAM monotherapy. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) scores, as measured by the Short Form with 36 Items, decreased during treatment, but returned to at least baseline levels at follow-up (based on unpublished data). For HBeAg-positive patients, there were no significant differences in scores between treatment groups. Dose discontinuations for safety reasons were significantly higher for patients receiving PEG than for patients receiving LAM monotherapy. The most commonly reported adverse events in the PEG studies were headache, pyrexia, fatigue, myalgia and alopecia. Only one fully published economic evaluation was identified, reporting a US cost-effectiveness study of ADV as salvage therapy for chronic hepatitis B with LAM resistance. A Markov model was used to estimate cost-effectiveness of interferon alfa (6-12 months), LAM and LAM followed by ADV when resistance occurs. ADV generated the most (undiscounted) life-years, but at highest costs, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US$14,204 per life-year gained. Using our model, incremental cost per QALY estimates (baseline cohort of all patients) were: 5994 pounds for IFN compared with best supportive care, 6119 pounds for PEG compared with IFN, 3685 pounds for LAM compared with best supportive care, and 16,569 pounds for ADV compared with LAM. Incremental cost per QALY estimates (HBeAg-positive patients only) were: 7936 pounds for IFN (24 weeks) compared with best supportive care, 16,166 pounds for PEG (48 weeks) compared with IFN (24 weeks), 3489 pounds for LAM compared with best supportive care, and 15,289 pounds for ADV compared with LAM. Incremental cost per QALY estimates (HBeAg-negative patients only) were: 3922 pounds for IFN (48 weeks) compared with best supportive care, 2162 pounds for PEG (48 weeks) compared with IFN (24 weeks), 4131 pounds for LAM compared with best supportive care, and 18,620 pounds for ADV compared with LAM. For the sequential treatment strategies, incremental cost per QALY estimates ranged from 3604 pounds (IFN followed by LAM versus IFN alone) to 11,402 pounds (IFN followed by LAM with adefovir salvage versus IFN followed by LAM). In all of these cases, the ICERs are well within the range that would conventionally be regarded as being cost-effective. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis found that LAM is a cost-effective option at lower willingness-to-pay thresholds for health outcomes, but as the threshold is increased adefovir is increasingly likely to be the optimal intervention. Where a willingness-to-pay threshold of above 10,000 pounds per QALY is employed, PEG is highly likely to be the optimal intervention compared with IFN (based on a cohort of HBeAg-positive and -negative patients). Interferon alfa (non-pegylated or pegylated) followed by LAM would be the optimal strategy at lower willingness-to-pay thresholds. As the threshold increases, the sequential treatment strategy of PEG followed by LAM with adefovir added as salvage therapy is increasingly likely to be the optimal intervention. CONCLUSIONS: ADV and PEG are associated with significant improvements in a number of biochemical, virological and histological outcomes in both HBeAg-positive and -negative patients. For a small proportion of patients this is associated with resolution of infection. For another proportion it leads to remission and a reduced risk of progressing to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant and death. For others who do not respond or who relapse, retreatment with another agent is necessary. The results of our cost-effectiveness analysis demonstrate that incremental costs per QALY for a range of comparisons were between 5994 pounds and 16,569 pounds and within the range considered by NHS decision-makers to represent good value for money. When subjected to sensitivity analysis, most costs per QALY estimates remained under 30,000 pounds. Further RCT evidence of the effectiveness of anti-viral treatment is required, particularly for subgroups of patients with different genotypes, patients with cirrhosis, patients from different ethnic groups, patients with co-infections (e.g. HIV, HCV) and co-morbidities, liver transplant patients and children and adolescents.

Adenine↗

Transmission of Toxoplasma gondii in Panama City, Panama: a five-year prospective cohort study of children, cats, rodents, birds, and soil.

A cohort of more than 500 children from Panama City, Panama was studied prospectively over five years for acquisition of antibody to Toxoplasma gondii. The direct agglutination test showed that 72 of 571 children seroconverted between one and six years of age, for a cumulative incidence of 12.6%. Children were examined by pediatricians quarterly, and illnesses that had occurred in the interval and their activities were noted on questionnaires. Thirty-eight variables were examined for their role as risk factors for seroconversion. There was a higher correlation between children's seroconversion and contact with dogs than with cats. Combinations of significant predictors without dogs explained only 67% of the seroconversions, but the same factors with dogs explained 90%. On the other hand, ingestion of raw or rare meat or eggs appeared to play no role in transmission. Cats were examined and 110 (45.6%) of 241 had Toxoplasma antibody on the first bleeding. Only two (0.5%) of 383 cat fecal specimens, when tested in mice, resulted in seroconversion. Ten (1.1%) of 924 soil samples resulted in seroconversion in mice that had been injected. Antibody to Toxoplasma was found in 52 (23.3%) of 226 rats (Rattus norvegicus) and two (0.035%) of 571 mice (Mus musculus). Two hundred sixteen birds of 16 different species were bled. Antibody to Toxoplasma was found in 13.4% of these birds, mostly in grackles, blue-gray tanagers, and doves. The rate of isolation of Toxoplasma was low: one of 23 in rats and three of 201 in birds. High relative risks (RRs) of transmission to children were predicted by contact histories with nursing dogs (RR = 5.8), weaned dogs (RR = 4.7), many flies (RR = 3.6), 6-12-month-old dogs (RR = 3.4), weaned cats (RR = 3.0), 6-12-month-old cats (RR = 2.7), nursing cats (RR = 2.5), much garbage (RR = 2.4), and many roaches (RR = 2.2). The high statistical correlation of dog contact with seroconversion in children suggests the possibility that dogs, by eating and rolling in cat feces, are instrumental in mechanically transmitting Toxoplasma infection. In addition, flies, and to a lesser extent, cockroaches, may have practically important roles in transmission.

Animals↗

[Immunomodulation by herbal agents. A double-blind study in a medical university hospital involving a hepatitis B vaccine adjuvant model].

AIMS: Using the hepatitis B vaccination as a model, to investigate the extent to which the herbal immunomodulator, Esberitox N, supports seroconversion. METHOD: 346 medical students participated in the placebo-controlled, randomized double-blind study. They took 3 x 2 tablets of the test substances daily, beginning 3 days prior to the injection and ending two weeks after it. The target outcomes were seroconversion and the level of the anti-HBs titer. RESULTS: The data of 157 volunteers treated with the test substance, and 161 treated with placebo were analysed. After the first injection, the seroconversion rate was 22% in both test substance and placebo groups, and showed no advantage for the volunteers receiving the test substance. After the second injection, 89% of all members of each group revealed seroconversion. After the first injection, anti-HBs titers were appreciably higher in the test substance group (n = 34) than in the placebo group (n = 36; PWilcoxon = 0.003). The respective median values were 37.0 IU/L (95% CI: 18-68) and 15.5 IU/L (95% CI: 8-30). CONCLUSION: The immunomodulator tested has negligible influence on seroconversion, but does enhance the immune response of subjects experiencing seroconversion.

Adjuvants, Immunologic↗

[Predictive factors and efficacy of lamivudine treatment in chronic hepatitis B infection].

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Lamivudine, an oral nucleoside analogue, effectively suppresses hepatitis B virus (HBV) replications and improves liver enzymes as well as liver histology. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of lamivudine and the patient-dependent or laboratory variables that predict HBeAg seroconversion. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 519 consecutive patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B who were treated with lamivudine. The duration of lamivudine therapy was from 6 to 64 months (mean 20 months). RESULTS: The HBeAg seroconversion was achieved in 192 patients (37%). The cumulative HBeAg seroconversion rates were 28% at 12 months, 39% at 24 months, 49% at 36 months, and 53% at 48 months. The predictive factors of lamivudine-induced HBeAg seroconvresion were the changing patterns of quantitative HBeAg level during lamivudine therapy, pretreatment quantitative HBeAg levels, ALT levels, and the duration of lamivudine therapy. One hundred eighty-three patients who had achieved HBeAg seroconversion showed patterns that HBeAg levels were continuously decreased. Therapy was discontinued after HBeAg seroconversion in 121 patients. Sixty-six patients experienced a relapse during the follow-up period (mean 8.9 months). CONCLUSIONS: The continuously decreasing patterns of quantitative HBeAg levels during lamivudine therapy can predict HBeAg seroconversion in clinical settings.

Adolescent↗

[Alpha-interferon antiviral treatment in 100 patients with chronic hepatitis B].

In a retrospective study we investigated the antiviral effect of alpha-interferon in 100 patients with chronic hepatitis B who were treated in controlled trials conducted in Rotterdam (1985-1990). The aim of the treatment was to induce viral latency as indicated by HBeAg seroconversion. Alpha-interferon was administered in a dose of 5 mega-units per day subcutaneously. Sixty-two patients received alpha-interferon for 16 weeks combined with a second antiviral agent (acyclovir or descyclovir) while the other 38 patients were treated with alpha-interferon monotherapy during 20 to 34 weeks. Follow-up continued until 1 year after the start of therapy. Thirty-eight per cent of the patients exhibited an HBeAg seroconversion and 9% exhibited an HBsAg seroconversion indicating a complete eradication of the virus. After 1 year transaminase levels were normalised in 70% of the patients with HBeAg seroconversion compared with 22% in those without seroconversion (p less than 0.05). The combination therapy for 16 weeks and the alpha-interferon monotherapy of longer duration resulted in HBeAg seroconversion rates of 29% and 53%, respectively (p less than 0.05). The predominant adverse effects were fatigue, flue-like illness and leukopenia. Serious side effects such as seizures, psychosis and peripheral neuropathy occurred in seven patients. Side effects led to a dose reduction in 26% of the patients. Alpha-interferon is effective in terminating the virus replication in chronic hepatitis B. However, both the common mild and the uncommon major side effects necessitate intensive patient monitoring during alpha-interferon treatment.

Acyclovir↗

Evidence that prior immune dysfunction predisposes to human immunodeficiency virus infection in homosexual men.

To investigate the role of host susceptibility to HIV-1 infection, we studied subsequent seroconversion in 161 individuals, initially seronegative to HIV-1, who underwent skin testing for cutaneous anergy at an index visit within a prospective study of homosexual men. There were 23 seroconversions in these men by 45 months following the skin testing, yielding a crude rate of seroconversion of 14.3%. While results of purified protein derivative (PPD), Candida, and Trichophyton skin tests were not associated with subsequent course, anergy to dinitrochlorobenzene (DNCB) was predictive of subsequent seroconversion. Kaplan-Meier estimates for the risk of seroconversion during 45 months of follow-up in those men initially anergic and reactive to DNCB were 28.9 and 11.1%, respectively, yielding a relative risk of 2.6 (p = 0.006). The estimated relative risk was stable with adjustment by Cox regression for annual number of male sexual partners and frequency of receptive anal intercourse, and was not sensitive to various changes in the definition of seroconversion time and of eligibility criteria. These data suggest that an impaired host immune status may be associated with an increased risk of HIV-1 infection that is independent of risk of exposure to the virus, supporting earlier speculations that HIV-1 may itself be opportunistic. The notion of varying host susceptibility to infection, at least with regard to sexual transmission in homosexual men, may help to explain the frequent observation of individuals who have been repeatedly exposed to the virus and yet have remained uninfected.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

The Vancouver Lymphadenopathy-AIDS Study: 7. Clinical and laboratory features of 87 cases of primary HIV infection.

In an ongoing prospective study of homosexual men conducted in Vancouver since November 1982, 87 cases of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconversion have been documented to date. Comparison of laboratory results obtained a mean of 4.9 months before and 5.4 months after the estimated date of seroconversion revealed that a significant increase in the serum IgG level (from 1149 to 1335 mg/dl on average) and in C1q binding (from 8.8% to 14.2% on average) was associated with early HIV infection (p less than 0.001). A marginally significant decrease in the ratio of helper to suppressor (CD4 to CD8) cells (from 1.55 to 1.29 on average) was also noted (p = 0.025). A marked decrease in absolute number of CD4 cells was not seen with seroconversion, which suggests that profound loss of these cells may be a long-term effect of HIV infection. The occurrence of symptoms (including fatigue, fever, night sweats, unintentional weight loss, diarrhea, joint pains, cough unrelated to smoking, shortness of breath, oral thrush, herpes zoster and rash) did not increase with seroconversion. This finding suggests that most cases of HIV seroconversion may be asymptomatic or associated with relatively minor symptoms. On the other hand, generalized lymphadenopathy was found to develop after HIV seroconversion in about 50% of cases.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Man-to-woman sexual transmission of HIV: longitudinal study of 343 steady partners of infected men.

To study incidence and risk factors of heterosexually transmitted HIV infection, we followed a cohort of 343 seronegative women, stable, monogamous partners of infected men whose only risk of acquiring HIV was sexual exposure to the infected partner. Nineteen seroconversions occurred in 529.6 person years (py) of observation, yielding an incidence rate of 3.6 per 100 py. The incidence rate was 7.2 per 100 py among women who did not always use or never used condoms and 1.1 among those who always used them [relative risk (RR) 6.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-21.9]. Anal sex was associated with a risk increase in only those women not always using condoms (RR 1.4, 95% CI 0.4-4.8). No seroconversions were observed among 22 women using oral contraceptives. One of the women using intrauterine devices seroconverted. In couples who did not always use condoms, seroconversions occurred more frequently in partners of men with symptomatic diseases, with a low CD4+ cell number (< 400 per mm3) or with a detectable p24 antigen. In couples not always using condoms and where the man had a low CD4+ cell count, the joint presence of blood viral antigens and AIDS symptoms conditioned a fivefold increased risk of seroconversion of the woman (RR 5.4, CI 1.4-20.3). At multivariate analysis, women with longer relationships (> or = 1 year) showed a lower risk of seroconversion (RR 0.3, CI 0.1-0.8), and those partners of men positive for p24 antigen in serum had an increased risk of seroconversion (RR = 4.0, CI 0.1-0.8).

CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes↗