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Scalable approaches for functional analyses of whole-genome sequencing non-coding variants.

Non-coding genetic variants outside of protein-coding genome regions play an important role in genetic and epigenetic regulation. It has become increasingly important to understand their roles, as non-coding variants often make up the majority of top findings of genome-wide association studies (GWAS). In addition, the growing popularity of disease-specific whole-genome sequencing (WGS) efforts expands the library of and offers unique opportunities for investigating both common and rare non-coding variants, which are typically not detected in more limited GWAS approaches. However, the sheer size and breadth of WGS data introduce additional challenges to predicting functional impacts in terms of data analysis and interpretation. This review focuses on the recent approaches developed for efficient, at-scale annotation and prioritization of non-coding variants uncovered in WGS analyses. In particular, we review the latest scalable annotation tools, databases and functional genomic resources for interpreting the variant findings from WGS based on both experimental data and in silico predictive annotations. We also review machine learning-based predictive models for variant scoring and prioritization. We conclude with a discussion of future research directions which will enhance the data and tools necessary for the effective functional analyses of variants identified by WGS to improve our understanding of disease etiology.

Genome-Wide Association Study↗

PROFEAT: a web server for computing structural and physicochemical features of proteins and peptides from amino acid sequence.

Sequence-derived structural and physicochemical features have frequently been used in the development of statistical learning models for predicting proteins and peptides of different structural, functional and interaction profiles. PROFEAT (Protein Features) is a web server for computing commonly-used structural and physicochemical features of proteins and peptides from amino acid sequence. It computes six feature groups composed of ten features that include 51 descriptors and 1447 descriptor values. The computed features include amino acid composition, dipeptide composition, normalized Moreau-Broto autocorrelation, Moran autocorrelation, Geary autocorrelation, sequence-order-coupling number, quasi-sequence-order descriptors and the composition, transition and distribution of various structural and physicochemical properties. In addition, it can also compute previous autocorrelations descriptors based on user-defined properties. Our computational algorithms were extensively tested and the computed protein features have been used in a number of published works for predicting proteins of functional classes, protein-protein interactions and MHC-binding peptides. PROFEAT is accessible at http://jing.cz3.nus.edu.sg/cgi-bin/prof/prof.cgi.

Algorithms↗

Machine learning analysis of the human initiator region reveals key features of different types of core promoters.

The initiator (Inr) is the starting point for the transcription of many genes. Here, we generated highly predictive machine learning models of the human Inr region, and determined that the Inr is present in ∼60% of focused human promoters, identified a novel TATA-specific Inr, and detected the overlapping but functionally distinct TCT motif. Quantitative genome-wide analyses revealed a strict and synergistic interaction between the Inr and DPR, an inverse relationship between the TATA and DPR, a flexible and sometimes independent function of the TATA box in relation to the Inr, and different properties of the TCT motif in humans versus Drosophila.

Humans↗

Future promise, current clinical ambiguity: a systematic review of machine learning algorithm outputs predicting risk of cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the outputs of machine learning algorithms designed to predict risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) address known deficiencies of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and improve risk estimates. METHODS: For this critical review, Medline, Embase and IEEE were searched from inception to 1 January 2025. Included were studies describing machine learning algorithms designed to specifically compare output of cardiovascular risk assessment with the FRS. Commentaries, letters, unpublished work or non-peer-reviewed papers were excluded.Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, two reviewers screened titles and abstracts independently, then populated a purpose-built data extraction form. A subsequent qualitative thematic analysis focused on algorithms' strengths, added value, potential harms, unintended consequences and equity implications.The main outcome assessed was whether, among healthy adults, the algorithm improved CVD risk prediction relative to the FRS. RESULTS: Of 707 studies retrieved, 29 met inclusion criteria. 23 reported improved predictive ability relative to the FRS. Most datasets and/or medical records used included sociodemographic predictors of CVD not included among FRS inputs. Some added costly diagnostic tests like CT angiography to FRS screening indicators. When they were defined, inputs and outcomes such as hypertension or myocardial infarction did not always adhere to FRS values. Statistical significance was generally taken as a proxy for clinical significance. Some algorithms overestimated the number at risk compared with the FRS without discussing whether that larger proportion might be at risk of overdiagnosis rather than CVD, while a few decreased the proportion found to be at risk. CONCLUSIONS: Use of artificial intelligence to improve accuracy of risk assessment for CVD demonstrates the technological capacity to merge known sociodemographic predictors with biologic variables and examine non-linear interactions among these. Still needed to achieve patient benefit is clinical insight, adherence to screening principles and cost-benefit assessment of inputs selected.

Humans↗

New Insights into Genomic Variations and Mutational Events Associated with Plant-Pathogen Interactions.

Plant diseases threaten global food security, causing up to 40% crop yield losses and more than $220 billion in annual economic damage. This review synthesizes recent advances in understanding the genomic variations and mutational events underlying plant-pathogen interactions and durable plant disease resistance. Key insights into evolutionary dynamics, genetic variability, and coadaptive strategies reveal the complexity of host-pathogen relationships and the implications for developing durable disease resistance. Integrative approaches combining genome-wide association studies and functional genomics have uncovered the polygenic and epistatic architecture of quantitative resistance. Advances in pan-genomics and high-throughput sequencing have revealed extensive genetic variability in cultivated/elite germplasm and wild relatives. Emerging technologies, including gene editing, multi-omics, and machine learning, enable predictive modeling of resistance traits and support evolution that informs plant breeding strategies. Collectively, these advances provide a robust framework for developing durable resistance and sustainable crop protection in the face of global agricultural challenges.

Host-Pathogen Interactions↗

Radiogenomics predicts immune microenvironment heterogeneity and response to combination immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) with anti-angiogenic agents is the preferred first-line therapy option for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), yet only a subset of patients responds, urging the quest for prediction biomarkers. We aimed to integrate genomics with radiology to propose an immune-derived radiogenomics biomarker of response to such combination immunotherapy and evaluate its added value in clinical context. METHODS: We integrated bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) and proteomics data of 994 HCC patients with single-cell RNA-seq data of 11 samples across multiple datasets to identify an immune-related signature (IRS) that may influence sensitivity or resistance to such combined immunotherapy strategy, followed by verification of selected marker genes using immunohistochemistry and cytological experiments. We then trained/validated a cross-modality radiogenomics biomarker using machine learning based on TCIA database that was further tested in multi-scale independent cohorts covering 754 HCC patients. RESULTS: Integrative multi-omics analysis identifed a parsimonious 2-gene prognostic signature including KPNA2 and SMG5 that was significantly associated with immune heterogeneity and response to combination immunotherapy. Machine-learning pipeline exported the optimal 4-feature radiogenomics biomarker using support vector machine that significantly discriminated prognosis (hazard ratio 1.415&#x2013;1.890; p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05 for all) and modestly predicted response to ICI plus anti-angiogenic therapy (area under the curve 0.720&#x2013;0.829) in independent retrospective series across major imaging modalities (computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging). In a prospective neoadjuvant cohort, this biomarker also showed favorable performance for predicting pathological response and tumor recurrence, accompanied by biological validation through single-cell RNA-seq analysis of pre-treatment biopsies. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a cross-device-cross-modal radiogenomics biomarker that can improve patient selection for emerging ICI plus anti-angiogenic therapy with novel potential therapeutic targets in HCC.

Humans↗

Unveiling m7G modification patterns and causal drivers governing intracranial aneurysm rupture risk through multi-omics validation and m7G-MeRIP-seq profiling.

Intracranial aneurysm (IA) rupture causes severe brain hemorrhage with high mortality, yet its molecular drivers remain unclear and better risk prediction is urgently needed. Using transcriptomics, single-cell analysis, and genetic data, we investigated the role of N7-methylguanosine (m7G) RNA modification in IA. We identified distinct m7G modification patterns, validated their methylation features in patient samples, and incorporated these patterns into a machine learning-based rupture prediction model. The presence and characteristics of m7G patterns significantly improved model performance, achieving high predictive accuracy across three independent cohorts (AUC 0.91-0.95). Genetic analyses further identified three causal m7G-related genes (NSUN2, IFIT5, SNUPN), and laboratory experiments confirmed their altered expression and methylation in ruptured aneurysms. Overall, our findings demonstrate that m7G modifications play a key role in IA rupture. The validated prediction model offers strong clinical potential for rupture risk assessment, and the identified genes represent promising therapeutic targets.

Humans↗

Assessing individual genetic susceptibility to metabolic syndrome: interpretable machine learning method.

BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have provided profound insights into the genetic aetiology of metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, there is a lack of machine-learning (ML)-based predictive models to assess individual genetic susceptibility to MetS. This study utilized single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as variables and employed ML-based genetic risk score (GRS) models to predict the occurrence of MetS, bringing it closer to clinical application. METHODS: Feature selection was performed using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator. Six ML algorithms were employed to construct GRS models. A fivefold cross-validation was utilized to aid in the internal validation of models. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to select the better-performing GRS model. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was then applied to interpret the model. After extracting GRS, stratified analysis of BMI, age and gender was performed. Finally, these conventional risk factors and GRS were integrated through multivariate logistic regression to establish a combined model. RESULTS: A total of 17 SNPs were selected for analysis. Among the GRS models, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated superior discriminative performance (AUC = 0.837). The XGBoost's optimal robustness was also validated through five-fold cross-validation (mean ROC-AUC = 0.706). The XGBoost-based SHAP algorithm not only elucidated the global effects of 17 SNPs across all samples, but also described the interaction between SNPs, providing a visual representation of how SNPs impact the prediction of MetS in an individual. There was a strong correlation between GRS and MetS risk, particularly observed among young individuals, males and overweight individuals. Furthermore, the model combining conventional risk factors and GRS exhibited excellent discriminative performance (AUC = 0.962) and outstanding robustness (mean ROC-AUC = 0.959). CONCLUSION: This study established a reliable XGBoost-based GRS model and a GRS prediction platform (https://metabolicsyndromeapps.shinyapps.io/geneticriskscore/) to assess individual genetic susceptibility to MetS. This model has high interpretability and can provide personalized reference for determining the necessity of primary prevention measures for MetS. Additionally, there may be interactions between traditional risk factors and GRS, and the integration of both in a comprehensive model is useful in the prediction of MetS occurrence.

Humans↗

Machine learning approaches for estimation of prediction interval for the model output.

A novel method for estimating prediction uncertainty using machine learning techniques is presented. Uncertainty is expressed in the form of the two quantiles (constituting the prediction interval) of the underlying distribution of prediction errors. The idea is to partition the input space into different zones or clusters having similar model errors using fuzzy c-means clustering. The prediction interval is constructed for each cluster on the basis of empirical distributions of the errors associated with all instances belonging to the cluster under consideration and propagated from each cluster to the examples according to their membership grades in each cluster. Then a regression model is built for in-sample data using computed prediction limits as targets, and finally, this model is applied to estimate the prediction intervals (limits) for out-of-sample data. The method was tested on artificial and real hydrologic data sets using various machine learning techniques. Preliminary results show that the method is superior to other methods estimating the prediction interval. A new method for evaluating performance for estimating prediction interval is proposed as well.

Algorithms↗

Prediction error during retrospective revaluation of causal associations in humans: fMRI evidence in favor of an associative model of learning.

Associative learning theory assumes that prediction error is a driving force in learning. A competing view, probabilistic contrast (PC) theory, is that learning and prediction error are unrelated. We tested a learning phenomenon that has proved troublesome for associative theory--retrospective revaluation--to evaluate these two models. We previously showed that activation in right lateral prefrontal cortex (PFC) provides a reliable signature for the presence of prediction error. Thus, if the associative view is correct, retrospective revaluation should be accompanied by right lateral PFC activation. PC theory would be supported by the absence of this activation. Right PFC and ventral striatal activation occurred during retrospective revaluation, supporting the associative account. Activations appeared to reflect the degree of revaluation, predicting later brain responses to revalued cues. Our results support a modified associative account of retrospective revaluation and demonstrate the potential of functional neuroimaging as a tool for evaluating competing learning models.

Adult↗

Anticipatory responses of dopamine neurons and cortical neurons reproduced by internal model.

Animals seem to learn and use internal models; they learn to anticipate predictable events, and their behavior in the sensory preconditioning paradigm reflects formation of novel associative chains. To investigate possible neural correlates, the temporal difference model (TD model) was extended to an internal model approach. The proposed model learns reward prediction error signals that resemble dopamine neuron activity. In contrast to the original TD model, the reward prediction error signals of the proposed model are influenced by the formation of novel associative chains in the sensory preconditioning experiment. This is consistent with experimental findings, as striatal dopamine concentration is influenced by the formation of novel associative chains in this paradigm. Comparison of the model architecture with biological neural networks suggests that chains of neurons with tonic anticipatory activity may underlie the formation of novel associative chains. These findings suggest that dopamine neuron activity may reflect the processing of an internal model.

Algorithms↗

Unsupervised concept learning and value systematicity: a complex whole aids learning the parts.

Ease of learning new concepts may best be understood by simultaneously considering models of learning and theories of how "good" systems of categories are organized. The authors tested the effects on learning of value systematicity, a proposed organizing principle: If 1 attribute is predictive of another, it should predict still more. This principle derives from focused sampling in the internal feedback model (D. Billman & E. Heit, 1988) of unsupervised, or observational, learning. In 3 experiments, the authors tested how the organization of structure in input (value systematicity) affected unsupervised learning of categories about alien animals. Across all experiments, learning a target rule was easier in conditions with high value systematicity, relative to several low systematicity controls. The authors compare results to predictions of several learning models and consider the links between learning and the resulting category structure.

Adult↗

Predicting problem drinking: a test of an interactive social learning model.

This study tested a social learning model and explored the direct and interactive relationships between personality and environment in predicting problem alcohol use. We used longitudinal data from a nonclinical sample of males and females first tested in adolescence and followed into young adulthood. Hierarchial regression analyses were used to test main effects and interaction models. The cross-sectional data supported an interactive social learning model. Both personality and environment variables significantly predicted problem drinking. Two interactions between heavy drinking peer groups and personality variables were significant. Contrary to our hypothesis, the direction of the interaction was negative. In contrast, the longitudinal analyses did not provide strong support for our interactive model. Personality variables were significant predictors longitudinally, but in only one analysis did an environment variable significantly predict problem drinking. Furthermore, none of the interactions was significant predictors over time. Overall, the findings suggest that social learning models based on the interaction of personality and environmental influences may be more appropriate for predicting concurrent, as opposed to future problems, and that future research should include person-environment interactions. In addition, cultural tolerance of heavy drinking may be an important determinant of the role of psychological vulnerability in the development of problem drinking.

Adolescent↗

Heterarchical reinforcement-learning model for integration of multiple cortico-striatal loops: fMRI examination in stimulus-action-reward association learning.

The brain's most difficult computation in decision-making learning is searching for essential information related to rewards among vast multimodal inputs and then integrating it into beneficial behaviors. Contextual cues consisting of limbic, cognitive, visual, auditory, somatosensory, and motor signals need to be associated with both rewards and actions by utilizing an internal representation such as reward prediction and reward prediction error. Previous studies have suggested that a suitable brain structure for such integration is the neural circuitry associated with multiple cortico-striatal loops. However, computational exploration still remains into how the information in and around these multiple closed loops can be shared and transferred. Here, we propose a "heterarchical reinforcement learning" model, where reward prediction made by more limbic and cognitive loops is propagated to motor loops by spiral projections between the striatum and substantia nigra, assisted by cortical projections to the pedunculopontine tegmental nucleus, which sends excitatory input to the substantia nigra. The model makes several fMRI-testable predictions of brain activity during stimulus-action-reward association learning. The caudate nucleus and the cognitive cortical areas are correlated with reward prediction error, while the putamen and motor-related areas are correlated with stimulus-action-dependent reward prediction. Furthermore, a heterogeneous activity pattern within the striatum is predicted depending on learning difficulty, i.e., the anterior medial caudate nucleus will be correlated more with reward prediction error when learning becomes difficult, while the posterior putamen will be correlated more with stimulus-action-dependent reward prediction in easy learning. Our fMRI results revealed that different cortico-striatal loops are operating, as suggested by the proposed model.

Association Learning↗

Machine learning vs. traditional methods for predicting postoperative cardiac complications after non-cardiac surgery: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate prediction of peri-operative cardiac complications is critical to optimise pre-operative decision-making. Traditional risk prediction scores, such as the Revised Cardiac Risk Index, show only modest discrimination. Machine learning can model complex, non-linear relationships but their predictive performance compared with traditional scores remains unclear. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis. The primary outcome was postoperative adverse cardiac events following non-cardiac surgery. Prediction models were assessed relative to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index. As many studies evaluated multiple versions of each model type, the highest performing ('best version') and lowest performing ('worst version') results were analysed. Models were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). RESULTS: Thirteen studies evaluating 54 models and 927,113 patients were included. Machine learning approaches generally outperformed traditional risk scores. Automated machine learning ranked highest (SUCRA 96.6) showed the greatest improvement in the best version analysis (mean difference (MD) 0.28 (95%CrI 0.16-0.40)) and remained superior in the sensitivity analysis (MD 0.30 (95%CrI 0.14-0.45)). Gradient boosting models showed superior performance over the Revised Cardiac Risk Index across analysis (best version: MD 0.20 (95%CrI 0.14-0.26), worst version: MD 0.18 (95%CrI 0.12-0.25), SUCRA 82.4). The Gupta Perioperative Risk for Myocardial Infarction or Cardiac Arrest score outperformed the Revised Cardiac Risk Index in the best version analysis (MD 0.16 (95%CrI 0.01-0.32)). Between-study heterogeneity was low. None of the included studies externally validated their machine learning models and only six were judged to be at low risk of bias. DISCUSSION: Most machine learning models showed better discrimination than traditional risk scores, with automated machine learning and gradient boosting models ranking highest. However, study quality, calibration reporting and absence of external validation limit immediate clinical adoption. Prospective, multicentre evaluation is required before integration of these models into peri-operative practice.

Humans↗

Human microRNA prediction through a probabilistic co-learning model of sequence and structure.

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small regulatory RNAs of approximately 22 nt. Although hundreds of miRNAs have been identified through experimental complementary DNA cloning methods and computational efforts, previous approaches could detect only abundantly expressed miRNAs or close homologs of previously identified miRNAs. Here, we introduce a probabilistic co-learning model for miRNA gene finding, ProMiR, which simultaneously considers the structure and sequence of miRNA precursors (pre-miRNAs). On 5-fold cross-validation with 136 referenced human datasets, the efficiency of the classification shows 73% sensitivity and 96% specificity. When applied to genome screening for novel miRNAs on human chromosomes 16, 17, 18 and 19, ProMiR effectively searches distantly homologous patterns over diverse pre-miRNAs, detecting at least 23 novel miRNA gene candidates. Importantly, the miRNA gene candidates do not demonstrate clear sequence similarity to the known miRNA genes. By quantitative PCR followed by RNA interference against Drosha, we experimentally confirmed that 9 of the 23 representative candidate genes express transcripts that are processed by the miRNA biogenesis enzyme Drosha in HeLa cells, indicating that ProMiR may successfully predict miRNA genes with at least 40% accuracy. Our study suggests that the miRNA gene family may be more abundant than previously anticipated, and confer highly extensive regulatory networks on eukaryotic cells.

Algorithms↗

Artificial neural network predictive model for allergic disease using single nucleotide polymorphisms data.

The purpose of this study was to develop a novel diagnostic prediction method for allergic diseases from the data of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) using an artificial neural network (ANN). We applied the prediction method to four allergic diseases, such as atopic dermatitis (AD), allergic conjunctivitis (AC), allergic rhinitis (AR) and bronchial asthma (BA), and verified its predictive ability. Almost all the learning data were precisely predicted. Regarding the evaluation data, the learned ANN model could correctly predict a diagnosis with more than 78% accuracy. We also analyzed the SNP data using multiple regression analysis (MRA). Using the MRA model, less than 10% of patients with the above allergic diseases were correctly diagnosed, while this figure was more than 75% for persons without allergic diseases. From these results, it was shown that the ANN model was superior to the MRA model with respect to predictive ability of allergic diseases. Moreover, we used two different methods to convert the genetic polymorphism data into numerical data. Using both methods, diagnostic predictions were quite precise and almost the same predictive abilities were observed. This is the first study showing the application and usefulness of an ANN for the prediction of allergic diseases based on SNP data.

Journal Article↗

Predicting the effect of missense mutations on protein function: analysis with Bayesian networks.

BACKGROUND: A number of methods that use both protein structural and evolutionary information are available to predict the functional consequences of missense mutations. However, many of these methods break down if either one of the two types of data are missing. Furthermore, there is a lack of rigorous assessment of how important the different factors are to prediction. RESULTS: Here we use Bayesian networks to predict whether or not a missense mutation will affect the function of the protein. Bayesian networks provide a concise representation for inferring models from data, and are known to generalise well to new data. More importantly, they can handle the noisy, incomplete and uncertain nature of biological data. Our Bayesian network achieved comparable performance with previous machine learning methods. The predictive performance of learned model structures was no better than a naïve Bayes classifier. However, analysis of the posterior distribution of model structures allows biologically meaningful interpretation of relationships between the input variables. CONCLUSION: The ability of the Bayesian network to make predictions when only structural or evolutionary data was observed allowed us to conclude that structural information is a significantly better predictor of the functional consequences of a missense mutation than evolutionary information, for the dataset used. Analysis of the posterior distribution of model structures revealed that the top three strongest connections with the class node all involved structural nodes. With this in mind, we derived a simplified Bayesian network that used just these three structural descriptors, with comparable performance to that of an all node network.

Algorithms↗