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PubMed2006

Predictors of cirrhosis in Hispanic patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

It is estimated that 43% of patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) will progress to liver fibrosis or cirrhosis. Although NASH is more common in Hispanics, most studies have been conducted on Caucasians, and there is scarce information regarding ethnic differences in this disease. The aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors of cirrhosis in Hispanic patients with NASH. A retrospective case-control study was conducted on 80 patients with biopsy-proven NASH. Forty-two were Hispanic (study group) and 38 were Caucasians controlled for age and BMI (control group). Clinical, biochemical, and histologic features were analyzed for correlation with cirrhosis. There were no significant differences in demographic features between the two groups. In multivariate analysis, independent predictors of cirrhosis among Hispanic patients were age (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14) and AST/ALT ratio (OR, 10.56; 95% CI; 2.46-45.29), while independent predictors among non-Hispanic patients were age (OR, 1.085; 95% CI, 1.0-1.186), and diabetes mellitus (OR, 6.46; 95% CI, 1.19-35.07). In patients with NASH, predictors of cirrhosis varied according to ethnic background. Age was an independent predictor in both groups, however, AST/ALT ratio was found to be an independent predictor of cirrhosis only in Hispanic patients, and diabetes mellitus only in non-Hispanic patients.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1992

Is age an independent predictor of early and late mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction?

PURPOSE: To determine whether advancing age is an independent predictor of increased mortality following acute myocardial infarction or simply a marker for more extensive cardiac disease, a higher prevalence of comorbid conditions, and/or differences in therapeutic approach. PATIENTS: A total of 261 consecutive patients with documented acute myocardial infarction admitted to a university teaching hospital during a 1-year interval. METHODS: Seventy-four variables were analyzed to determine univariate predictors of inhospital and 1-year post-discharge mortality. Multiple linear regression models were constructed to determine independent predictors of early and late mortality after adjusting for baseline and therapeutic differences between younger and older patients. RESULTS: Compared with patients less than 70 years (n = 124), patients greater than or equal to 70 years (n = 137) were more likely (all p less than 0.05) to be female and have a prior history of ischemic heart disease. New York Heart Association functional class and Killip class on admission were higher in older patients, as were the admission serum creatinine and blood urea nitrogen levels. Serum albumin and peak creatine kinase levels were lower in older patients, but older patients were more likely to exhibit left ventricular hypertrophy or atrioventricular block on the initial electrocardiogram. Finally, younger patients were three times as likely to receive a thrombolytic agent and 66% more likely to receive intravenous beta-blockade than older patients, and younger patients were also more likely to receive heparin and intravenous nitroglycerin. Hospital mortality was 5.6% in patients less than 70 years versus 16.1% in patients greater than or equal to 70 years (p = 0.013). After adjusting for baseline and therapeutic differences, independent predictors of hospital mortality were systolic blood pressure on admission (inverse correlation, p = 0.0095), beta-blocker therapy (inverse correlation, p = 0.01), age (p = 0.014), peak creatine kinase level (p = 0.015), and Killip class (p = 0.035). Among hospital survivors, 1-year post discharge mortality was 6.8% in patients less than 70 years versus 19.1% in those greater than or equal to 70 years (p = 0.001). Independent predictors of post-discharge mortality after adjusting for age-related baseline and therapeutic differences were admission heart rate (p = 0.0004), age (p = 0.011), left ventricular ejection fraction (inverse correlation, p = 0.012), initial non-Q-wave myocardial infarction (p = 0.026), and the blood urea nitrogen level (p = 0.036). CONCLUSION: After adjusting for multiple baseline and therapeutic differences between older and younger patients, age per se remains a strong independent predictor of both inhospital and 1-year post-discharge mortality rates in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1989

Predictors of medical care utilization by independently living adults with spinal cord injuries.

A prospective study of 87 independently living adults with spinal cord injury (SCI) as a major disabling condition showed the following average annual health care utilization rates: 1.3 hospital admissions, 16.8 days hospitalized, 1.7 emergency room (ER) visits, and 22.4 outpatient contacts (in person or by telephone). Those hospitalized (n = 66) experienced a mean of 22.2 days hospitalized per person per year. Mean length of stay (LOS) was 11.1 days per admission. Stepwise regression analysis indicated no statistically significant (p less than or equal to .05) predictors of hospital admissions. There were three independent predictors of days hospitalized (greater age, fewer years of education, and more days hospitalized during the previous year), three predictors of days hospitalized for those hospitalized only (greater age, fewer years of education, and longer hospital LOS during the previous year), one predictor of LOS (self-assessment of health), three of emergency room (ER) visits (more unmet instrumental activities of daily living needs, lack of organizational memberships, and more ER visits during the previous year), and five predictors of outpatient contacts (greater age, less satisfaction with health care providers' expressions of concern for their health, lower frequency of leaving apartments, lower levels of life satisfaction, and nonparticipation in a managed medical care demonstration project). Many predictors of health services utilization are immutable. However, changes which facilitate social interaction and changes in the organization of health services may reduce certain types of medical care utilization by people with SCI.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed2004

Body weight is not always a good predictor of longevity in mice.

There have been some observations that low body weight and a low level of some hormones (e.g. IGF-1) during the first half of life are predictors of longer life in mice. However, contradictions in the available data on the biomarkers of aging and predictors of longevity have shown that the research in these fields has become a controversial pursuit. In our study we addressed the following questions: (i) Can particular physiological parameters (body weight, food intake, estrus function, body temperature, incidence of chromosome aberrations in bone marrow cells) measured at the age of 3 and 12 months be a predictor of longevity and the rate of tumor development in five strains of mice? (ii) Can a heavy body weight at the age of 3 and 12 months be a predictor of longevity and high tumor risk in five strains of mice? Mice of five strains-CBA, SHR, SAMR, SAMP and transgenic HER-2/neu (FVB/N)-were under observation from the age of 2-3 months until natural death. Body weight and temperature, food consumption, and estrous cycle were longitudinally studied in all animals. Tumors discovered at autopsy were studied morphologically. We calculated the life span's parameters (mean, maximum, mortality rate, mortality rate doubling time) as well as their correlation with other parameters studied. The longest living CBA mice have the lowest body weight at the ages of 3 and 12 months, the lowest food consumption, body temperature, incidence of chromosome aberrations and spontaneous tumor incidence. In comparison with all other mouse strains they also have the latest disturbances in estrus function and highest body weight gain. The shortest living transgenic HER-2/neu mice have the lowest weight at the ages of 12 months, the lowest body weight gain, maximal body temperature, the most rapid disturbances in estrus function and the highest incidence of chromosome aberrations and tumor incidence in comparison to all other mouse strains. Our findings have shown that heavier body weight at the age of 12 months is a predictor of longevity in female CBA and SAMP mice but not in SHR, SAMR and HER-2/neu mice. Excessive body weight at the ages of 3 or 12 months is not a predictor of increased tumor risk in the strains studied. In general, the existence and direction of a significant correlation between body weight and life span depends upon the animals' age and genotype.

Animals↗

PubMed2007

Predictors of functional outcomes after surgical treatment of distal radius fractures.

PURPOSE: Identifying predictors of outcomes is important in anticipating and treating patients with underlying factors that may affect recovery. The predictors of functional outcomes after distal radius fracture (DRF) treatment have not been well defined in the past. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study designed to identify predictors of hand outcomes after DRF treatment. The study included consecutive patients with inadequately reduced DRFs who had open reduction and internal fixation with volar plating. Demographic and socioeconomic data were collected at the time of the initial treatment. Outcome data were collected 3, 6, and 12 months after surgery. Outcome evaluation consisted of radiographic measurements and the Michigan Hand Outcomes Questionnaire (MHQ). We hypothesized that the following factors are important predictors of functional outcomes: (1) age, (2) socioeconomic status, (3) severity of fracture pattern, and (4) postsurgical radiographic measurements. Regression models were developed using the overall MHQ score as the outcome variable at 3 months and 1 year after surgery. RESULTS: Sixty-six patients had data available at 3 months and 49 patients had data available at 1 year. At 3 months after surgery, radiographic incongruity (step + gap) was a significant predictor after controlling for age, fracture type, dorsal-volar tilt angulation, and income. Patients with increased incongruity reported lower MHQ scores (worse functional outcomes). At 1 year after surgery, however, only age and income were significant predictors after controlling for fracture type. Increased age and decreased income were associated with lower MHQ scores. CONCLUSIONS: After successful surgery and hand therapy, only age and income were significantly associated with long-term outcomes 1 year after surgery. Precise anatomic reduction enhances short-term functional outcomes in DRF treatment. TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic, Level I.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2006

Prognostic predictors of squamous cell carcinoma of the buccal mucosa with negative surgical margins.

PURPOSE: To study the prognostic factors of squamous cell carcinoma of the buccal mucosa (BMSCC) with negative surgical margins. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Forty-five untreated negative marginal cases were studied for predictors of recurrence, cervical lymph node metastasis, and survival. Clinicopathologic features included age, gender, duration of tumor, primary tumor (T) classification, pathologic clinical stage, tumor differentiation, tumor thickness, number of mitoses, and lymphocytic infiltration. RESULTS: The recurrence and metastasis rate was 40% and 44.4%, respectively. With univariate analysis, the predictors of recurrence were T classification, tumor differentiation, pathologic clinical stage, and lymphocytic infiltration. Average tumor thickness was greater than 5.68 mm. For cervical lymph node metastasis, the predictors include T classification, tumor differentiation, and lymphocytic infiltration. Tumor thickness was greater than 5.17 mm; number of mitoses was greater than 2.92/high power field (HPF). With logistical regression, only tumor thickness was the predictor of recurrence. T classification and tumor thickness were the predictors for cervical lymph node metastasis. Using Cox multivariate proportional hazards regression model, the survival disadvantage factors were T classification and recurrence. The hazard grand for T classification was 2.185; for recurrence it was 74.808. CONCLUSIONS: Because T classification (between T1+T2 and T3+T4) and tumor thickness (more than 5.17 mm) were the predictors for cervical lymph node metastasis, neck dissection should be carried out routinely in T3 and T4 patients; whereas for T1 and T2 patients, neck dissection is necessary if tumor thickness is greater than 5.17 mm. T classification and recurrence are predictive factors for survival.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

Depression in rheumatoid arthritis patients: demographic, clinical, and psychological predictors.

OBJECTIVE: To confirm the prevalence of depression in a sample of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients; to identify the most significant predictors of depression in RA and to explore patients attitudes to medication in relation to depression. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was used to collect data from 134 RA patients (77% female, 23% male). Participants were divided into depressed and nondepressed groups based on their scores on the Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression (CES-D) scale. Discriminant analysis was conducted to identify the predictors that would best categorise patients into those two groups. RESULTS: Twelve predictors correctly classified 80% of patients into depressed or nondepressed groups. The strongest predictors of depression were high tension and low self-esteem followed by the perceived impact of RA, fatigue, passive coping, pain, and physical disability. Other predictors included medication effectiveness and importance as well as perceived lack of control over pain. CONCLUSION: Both physical and psychological factors have an impact on depression in RA. The key predictors identified in this study need to be considered within the regular RA management as possible cues to depression development.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

PubMed2006

Assessment of independent predictors for long-term mortality between women and men after coronary artery bypass grafting: are women different from men?

OBJECTIVE: The long-term mortality of coronary artery bypass grafting in women in not certain. The purpose of this study was to determine and compare risk factors for long-term mortality in women and men undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: Between 1992 and 2002, 3760 consecutive patients (2598 men and 1162 women) underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting. Long-term survival data were obtained from the National Death Index (mean follow-up, 5.1 +/- 3.2 years). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed, including 64 preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors separately in women and men. RESULTS: There were no differences in in-hospital mortality (2.7% in men vs 2.9% in women, P = .639) and 5-year survival (82.0% +/- 0.8% in men vs 81.1% +/- 1.3% in women, P = .293). After adjustment for all independent predictors of long-term mortality, female sex was an independent predictor of improved 5-year survival (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.96; P = .014). Twenty-one independent predictors for long-term mortality were determined in men, whereas only 12 were determined in women. There were 9 common risk factors (age, ejection fraction, diabetes mellitus, > or =2 arterial grafts, postoperative myocardial infarction, deep sternal wound infection, sepsis and/or endocarditis, gastrointestinal complications, and respiratory failure); however, their weights were different between women and men. Malignant ventricular arrhythmias, calcified aorta, and preoperative renal failure were independent predictors only in women. Emergency operation, previous cardiac operation, peripheral vascular disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, current and past congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, body mass index of greater than 29, preoperative dialysis, thrombolysis within 7 days before coronary artery bypass grafting, intraoperative stroke, and postoperative renal failure were independent predictors only in men. CONCLUSIONS: Despite equality between sexes in early outcome and superiority of female sex in long-term survival, there were 3 independent predictors for long-term mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting unique for women compared with 12 for men. Clinical decision making and follow-up should not be influenced by stereotypes but by specific findings.

Aged↗

PubMed2004

Body fat is the main predictor of fibrinogen levels in healthy non-obese men.

Previous studies have demonstrated that circulating levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), a marker of cardiovascular risk, are strictly related to body fatness. Elevated fibrinogen levels are also predictive of future cardiovascular events. The metabolic background of this relationship and the predictors of fibrinogen levels have not been well established. We aimed to evaluate whether fibrinogen levels are associated with body fat content and distribution and to determine the independent predictors of fibrinogen levels in a sample of healthy, non-obese, nonsmoking young adult men. Age, anthropometric measures (body mass index [BMI], waist-to-hip ratio [WHR]), total and regional fat content (determined by dual x-ray absorptiometry [DXA]), metabolic variables (total cholesterol [T-Chol], low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C]; triglycerides [TG]; glucose and insulin levels; fasting insulin resistance index [FIRI]; blood pressure), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and acute-phase reactants levels (fibrinogen, highly sensitive [hs]-CRP) were determined in 87 healthy nonsmoking, non-obese subjects. Linear regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between body fat, fibrinogen, and metabolic variables, and multiple regression model analysis was used to examine the independent predictors of fibrinogen levels. Eighty-seven (30.5 +/- 3.5 years) non-obese (mean BMI 24.1 +/- 3.5) men were studied. Fibrinogen levels were strongly associated with measures of body fat and with metabolic variables. Total body fat (P < .0001) and LDL-cholesterol (P < .01) were the independent predictors of fibrinogen levels, accounting for 29.5% and 10.9% of its variance, respectively. Total body fat was the best independent predictor of hs-CRP levels, accounting for 32.5 % of its variance. We conclude that in healthy, non-obese subjects, body fat content is the main predictor of fibrinogen levels, as well of hs-CRP levels. These findings support the speculation that there is a direct mechanism by which adipose tissue might regulate the levels of circulating acute-phase reactants.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

PubMed2005

Independent evaluation of a defibrillation outcome predictor for out-of-hospital cardiac arrested patients.

We evaluated the ability of a previously derived outcome predictor to discriminate between ECG segments corresponding to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) or not in validation data from 136 patients with cardiac arrest. The new data used for validation were totally independent from the predictor derivation data used in the original study. Features corresponding to those used in the development of the original outcome predictor, centroid frequency, peak power frequency, spectral flatness and energy, were computed following which a second decorrelated feature set was generated. The outcome predictor was applied to the new data with good correspondence in performance (testing) to what was expected (training) with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) areas of 0.80 and 0.79, respectively. Outcome predictor performance was reproducible. As in the present study, future testing should be performed on totally independent data not included in the design of the outcome predictor to get a reliable impression of expected performance.

Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation↗

PubMed2004

Predictors of smoking cessation among African-Americans enrolled in a randomized controlled trial of bupropion.

OBJECTIVES: Identification of individual characteristics that predict successful smoking cessation treatment has been limited to studies with mostly white participants. This study identifies factors that predict successful quitting among African-Americans participating in a smoking cessation trial. METHODS: Twenty-one baseline variables were analyzed as potential predictors from a double-blind placebo-controlled, randomized trial that used bupropion SR for smoking cessation among 600 African-American smokers. Chi-square tests, two sample t tests, and multiple logistic regression procedures were employed to identify predictors of 7-day abstinence among the 535 participants who completed the 7-week medication phase. RESULTS: Univariate predictors of cessation were receiving bupropion (P < 0.0001), not smoking menthol cigarettes (P = 0.0062), smoking after 30 min of waking (P < 0.0001), older age (P = 0.0085), smoking fewer cigarettes per day (P = 0.0038), and lower cotinine levels (P = 0.0002). Logistic regression identified three significant independent predictors. Participants who received bupropion treatment were more than twice as likely to quit smoking at the end of treatment compared to participants who received placebo (OR = 2.62; 95% CI = 1.77-3.88, P < 0.0001), while smoking within 30 min of waking (OR = 0.40; 95% CI = 0.25-0.62, P < 0.0001) and higher salivary cotinine levels at baseline (OR = 0.799; 95% CI = 0.629-0.922, P < 0.0001) reduced the likelihood of quitting. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first report identifying predictors of smoking cessation among African-Americans participating in a clinical trial. Results indicate that, aside from bupropion treatment, various indicators of addiction were the strongest predictors. While this is similar to findings among white smokers, thresholds of addiction may need to be adjusted for African-American smoking patterns. Additional studies focused on diverse populations are needed to improve treatment approaches and to identify population-specific factors that are important for treatment-matching approaches.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Frequency and predictors of major in-hospital ischemic complications after planned and unplanned new-device angioplasty from the New Approaches to Coronary Intervention (NACI) registry.

The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency and predictors of major in-hospital ischemic complications after planned and unplanned procedures with new angioplasty devices from the New Approaches to Coronary Intervention (NACI) registry. The NACI registry is a multicenter, voluntary reporting of consecutive patients undergoing new-device angioplasty procedures using atherectomy catheters, stents, or lasers. This registry affords the opportunity to evaluate the performance of new angioplasty devices during elective and urgent circumstances. The study population consisted of 3,340 patients with 3,733 lesions (2,921 in native coronary arteries and 812 in saphenous vein grafts [SVGs], who were treated with new devices over a 3.5-year period and had their angiograms analyzed independently at a central angiographic core laboratory. Their in-hospital course and multivariate predictors of the complications in planned and unplanned procedures, further divided into native and SVG lesions, were evaluated. In 82.2% of native coronary artery lesions and 96.9% of SVG lesions, the procedure with a device had been planned due to unfavorable lesion characteristics for PTCA. In the remaining lesions, device use was unplanned, and was performed mainly to treat a suboptimal result (59-80.4%) after percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), and less frequently after important complications of PTCA including abrupt closure and PTCA failure. In native artery cohort, major in-hospital ischemic complications (death, Q-wave myocardial infarction [MI], or emergency coronary artery bypass surgery) occurred in 2.7% of the planned and 9.9% of the unplanned procedures (p < 0.001), whereas in SVG such complications occurred in 3.6% of the planned and 8.7% of unplanned procedures (p = 0.21). Multivariate analysis revealed several predictors of major ischemic complications from planned native coronary artery device use: post-MI angina (odds ratio = 2.83); severe concomitant noncardiac disease (odds ratio = 2.5); multivessel disease (odds ratio = 1.75); and de novo lesions (odds ratio = 2.3). Multivariate predictors of major complications in unplanned native coronary artery procedures included high surgical risk (odds ratio = 3.08), and tortuous lesion (odds ratio = 2.41). In SVG lesions, the independent predictors of major complications for planned procedures included age (odds ratio = 1.09), high surgical risk (odds ratio = 4.34), and thrombus (odds ratio = 2.62). In native and SVG lesions, rates of major complications of planned procedures was acceptable (2.7-3.67%), but unplanned use of a new device was associated with a significantly higher rate of in-hospital complications (approximately 9%). Multivariate predictors for major ischemic complications included both clinical and lesion characteristics, and differed for native versus SVG lesions, as well as for planned versus unplanned procedures.

Aged↗

PubMed1999

Value of a simple echocardiographic linear predictor of left ventricular mass in systemic hypertension.

The need for calculations limits the clinical use of left ventricular (LV) mass. Because LV mass is strictly dependent on wall thickness for every given value of LV external dimension, we tested the clinical value of the sum of LV external dimension plus ventricular septal thickness plus posterior wall thickness as predictors of standard LV mass. We studied 295 healthy normotensive subjects and 1,686 subjects with systemic hypertension, followed up for 1 to 9 years. In the normotensive group, the predictor of LV mass showed a very close association with standard LV mass according to an allometric model (LV mass [g] = 0.230 x LV mass predictor [cm]3.01), with 99.7% of LV mass variability explained by the model. Also, in the hypertensive group, the LV mass predictor showed a very close allometric relation to standard LV mass (R2 = 0.998). During follow-up there were 154 cardiovascular morbid events and 50 deaths from all causes. The risk of cardiovascular morbid events and that of death increased to a similar extent with LV mass normalized by body surface area, height or height2.7, as well as with the LV mass predictor. The risk estimates for cardiovascular morbidity and all-cause mortality provided by models including either LV mass predictor or LV mass uncorrected or corrected by height, body surface area, or height2.7 did not show any statistical differences between the different models. In conclusion, the sum of LV external dimension plus ventricular septum thickness plus posterior wall thickness, easily measurable from the M-mode echocardiographic tracing, very closely predicts standard LV mass in adult hypertensive subjects. The prognostic value of this measure does not differ from that of standard LV mass.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Do gender-based differences in presentation and management influence predictors of hospitalization costs and length of stay after an acute myocardial infarction?

Previous studies have reported conflicting results on gender differences in the management of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and have not evaluated hospital length of stay or costs. To determine gender-based differences in presentation, management, length of stay, costs, and prognosis after AMI, we studied 561 patients with AMI. Women were older, had systemic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and a non-Q-wave AMI more frequently, whereas more men smoked cigarettes. Predictors of coronary angiography were: male gender (RR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2 to 3.1), chest pain at presentation (RR 1.8; 95% CI 1.0 to 3.3), recurrent angina (RR 4.1; 95% CI 2.5 to 6.8), admission via the emergency room (RR 0.2; 95% CI 0.1 to 0.3), and younger age. Gender did not predict mortality. Among presenting features, the predictors of length of stay were diabetes, prior coronary bypass and prior coronary angioplasty in men, and age alone in women. Pulmonary edema and need for coronary bypass during the hospital course were predictors of length of stay in men only. Among presenting features, predictors of cost were diabetes in men and congestive heart failure in women. Predictors of cost during hospitalization for men were pulmonary edema, coronary angiography, intraaortic balloon pump use, and coronary bypass; for women, they were peak levels of creatine kinase and coronary bypass. Thus, predictors of length of stay and hospitalization costs differ based on gender. Efforts at cost containment may need to be gender-specific.

Aged↗

PubMed1999

Atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta is a predictor of renal dysfunction after cardiac operations.

OBJECTIVES: Renal dysfunction occurring after cardiac operations has been attributed to various factors, but the importance of an atherosclerotic thoracic aorta has not been previously evaluated. The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of postoperative renal dysfunction (50% or more increase from preoperative values) and to evaluate the importance of atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta as a predictor of this complication. METHODS: Nine hundred seventy-eight consecutive patients, 50 years of age and older with normal preoperative renal function (serum creatinine level of 1.5 mg/dL or less), who were scheduled to undergo cardiac surgery were prospectively evaluated. Atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta was assessed during the operation (with epiaortic ultrasound), and patients were divided into 3 groups according to its severity (normal-to-mild, moderate, and severe). RESULTS: Univariate predictors of renal dysfunction at postoperative day 1 were atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta (P <. 045) and postoperative low cardiac output (P =.05); at postoperative day 6 they were atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta (P <.0001), postoperative low cardiac output (P <.0001), advanced age (P =.001), decreased preoperative left ventricular function (P =.01), and female gender (P =.03). Multivariate analysis showed that atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta (odds ratio, 3.06; P =.04) was the only independent predictor of postoperative renal dysfunction at day 1 and that postoperative low cardiac output (odds ratio, 4.83; P <.0001), atherosclerosis of the ascending aorta (odds ratio, 2.13; P =.0006), and preoperative left ventricular dysfunction (odds ratio, 1.48; P =.028) were independent predictors of postoperative renal dysfunction at day 6. CONCLUSIONS: An atherosclerotic ascending aorta is an important predictor of postoperative renal dysfunction, possibly because atheroembolism to the kidneys occurs in the perioperative period (ie, during surgical manipulation of an atherosclerotic aorta) or because the diseased aorta may be a marker of widespread atherosclerotic disease that may predispose to perioperative renal dysfunction.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

Prostate specific antigen remains an independent predictor of cancer at prostate biopsy in black american men but not in white men: results from a consecutive series of 914 men.

PURPOSE: Black American men may be at increased risk for prostate cancer but differences in prebiopsy parameters between black and white men have not been fully examined. Therefore, we identified the prebiopsy parameters that may be predictive of prostate cancer in black and white men. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 2000 to July 2004, 914 consecutive men undergoing prostate needle biopsy were prospectively examined by a single urologist. Urinary symptoms were measured by AUASS. Prebiopsy parameters recorded were PSA, free PSA, DRE, age, race, biopsy history, prostate volume, TRUS lesion and AUASS. RESULTS: Prostate biopsy was performed in 914 men with a mean age of 63.9 years. Mean PSA in the entire cohort was 11.2 ng/ml (median 5.8). Abnormal TRUS and abnormal DRE were found in 37% and 52% of men, respectively. Mean AUASS was 9.6. The overall positive biopsy rate was 37%. In black and white men the positive biopsy rate was 44% and 34%, respectively. Analysis of AUASS indicated that 47% of patients had low symptom scores (less than 7), 39% had moderate scores (8 to 19) and 14% had severe scores (20 to 35). Multivariate analysis revealed that PSA was an independent predictor of positive biopsy in black but not in white men (p = 0.001 and 0.79, respectively). Multivariate analysis also showed that race alone was an independent predictor of positive prostate biopsy (p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: PSA remains an independent predictor of positive prostate biopsy on multivariate analysis. Other independent predictors are black race, age, low AUASS, prostate volume, abnormal DRE, no previous biopsy and abnormal TRUS. In the black group low AUASS, PSA, no previous biopsy and DRE were unique independent predictors, while in the white group age and abnormal TRUS were unique predictors.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Is ethnicity an independent predictor of prostate cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy?

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer incidence and mortality are higher in black than in white American men. We determined whether ethnicity is an independent predictor of disease recurrence in men undergoing radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 1,468 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy at the University of California, San Francisco or as part of the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor database, a longitudinal disease registry of patients with prostate cancer. Preoperative characteristics, including age, race, prostate specific antigen (PSA) at diagnosis, clinical T stage, biopsy Gleason score and percent positive prostate biopsies at diagnosis were determined in each patient. Disease recurrence was defined as PSA 0.2 ng./ml. or greater on 2 consecutive occasions after radical prostatectomy or second cancer treatment at least 6 months after surgery. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to determine independent predictors of time to disease recurrence. To control for pretreatment disease characteristics simultaneously patients were assigned to previously described risk groups based on clinical tumor stage, PSA at diagnosis and biopsy Gleason score. The likelihood of disease recurrence per risk group stratified according to ethnicity was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log rank test. Additional multivariate analysis was performed in the subset of patients enrolled in Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor on whom education and income information was available. RESULTS: Disease recurred in 304 of the 1,468 patients (21%). Black ethnicity, serum PSA at diagnosis, biopsy Gleason score and percent positive prostate biopsies were independent predictors of recurrence on multivariate analysis. Black ethnicity remained an independent predictor of disease recurrence in the multivariate model after stratifying patients into risk groups (p = 0.0007). Ethnicity was most important in patients at high risk, in whom estimated 5-year disease-free survival was 65% and 28% in white and black men, respectively. Education, income and ethnicity correlated highly. When education and income were entered into the multivariate model, ethnicity was no longer an independent predictor of outcome after prostatectomy. CONCLUSIONS: Ethnicity appears to be an independent predictor of disease recurrence after adjusting for pretreatment measures of disease extent in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy. It appears to be particularly important in those with high risk disease characteristics. However, black ethnicity, education and income are highly correlated variables, suggesting that sociodemographic factors may contribute to the poorer outcomes in black patients even after adjusting for differences in pretreatment disease characteristics.

Black or African American↗

PubMed2000

Race is not an independent predictor of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy in an equal access medical center.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the racial differences in clinical and pathologic features between black and white men who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) in an equal access health care center and to determine whether race is an independent predictor of biochemical recurrence. METHODS: A retrospective survey of 273 patients (125 black, 148 white) who underwent RP at the West Los Angeles Veterans Affairs Medical Center between 1991 and 1999 was undertaken. Patients were analyzed for racial differences in age at diagnosis, clinical stage, preoperative serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and Gleason score of the prostate biopsy specimens. Surgical specimens were studied to determine pathologic stage, Gleason score, incidence of seminal vesicle invasion, positive surgical margins, capsular penetration, and pelvic lymph node involvement. Patients were followed for PSA recurrence (greater than 0.2 ng/mL). Multivariate analysis was used to determine the clinical and pathologic variables that were significant in predicting biochemical recurrence after RP and to determine whether race was an independent predictor of biochemical failure. RESULTS: No significant differences were found between black and white men in the preoperative factors (clinical stage, age at diagnosis, biopsy Gleason score, and serum PSA) or in the pathologic features of the RP specimens (Gleason score, pathologic stage, incidence of positive surgical margins, capsular penetration, seminal vesicle invasion, or lymph node involvement). In addition, no differences were found between black and white men in the PSA recurrence rates after RP using Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P = 0.651). Multivariate analysis revealed that serum PSA (P = 0.010), biopsy Gleason score (P = 0. 003), younger age (P = 0.010), surgical Gleason score (P = 0.005), and lymph node involvement (P = 0.022) were all independent predictors of biochemical recurrence. Race was not a significant predictor of biochemical failure in multivariate analysis (P = 0. 199). CONCLUSIONS: In an equal access medical care facility, no differences were evident between black and white men in the preoperative clinical factors or the pathologic features of the RP specimens. In addition, no differences were observed in the PSA recurrence rates after RP. Serum PSA, biopsy Gleason score, younger age, surgical Gleason score, and lymph node involvement were all independent predictors of biochemical recurrence. Race was not an independent predictor of biochemical recurrence.

Black People↗