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PubMed1989

Methemalbumin in acute pancreatitis: an evaluation of its prognostic value and comparison with multiple prognostic parameters.

Methemalbumin (MHA) and Ranson's prognostic parameters were measured in 90 patients with acute pancreatitis. Thirteen died (14.4%). The mortality rate was 36% in MHA-positive versus 6.2% in MHA-negative patients. Severe renal (56% vs 18.5%) and pulmonary (44% vs 10.2%) complications occurred more frequently in the MHA-positive as compared with the MHA-negative group. Hemorrhagic pancreatitis was found in all MHA-positive patients who were subject to surgery or postmortem examination. By way of comparison, the presence of more than four Ranson signs was associated with about the same risk of mortality and the development of complications as positive MHA findings. There was a good correlation between single and multiple prognostic factors for slight but not for moderate-severe or severe cases.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed1980

Prognostication in acute cerebrovascular disease. Subjective assessment and test of a prognostic score.

Subjective assessment of the short-term outcome and functional state at discharge was made shortly after admission in 200 consecutive patients with acute cerebrovascular disease (CVD) treated in a stroke unit. The assessments proved correct in 59% of the patients. The accuracy of the predictions was not significantly better in patients with a correct preliminary disanosis than in those with a false. When a known prognostic score for prediction of hospital mortality was tested on 179 of the patients with cerebral haemorrhage or infarction, a correct trend was noted. The score was best applicable in patients with serious symptoms and those with only minor deficit on admission. A high sensitivity of the score was combined with a relatively low specificity. A true comparison between the predictive value of the score and the quality of the subjective assessments was difficult as the latter, in addition to prediction of mortality, also included predicton of the patient's functional state at discharge. The degree of neurological deficit rather than the type of cerebrovascular lesion seemed associated with the short-term outcome. Improvement of the quality of prognostic assessments in CVD is warranted.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1991

Prognostic significance of HER-2/neu expression in breast cancer and its relationship to other prognostic factors.

Archival surgical specimens from 1,210 female breast cancer patients treated between 1968 and 1971 and with a 19-year follow-up were reanalyzed with special reference to several parameters, such as size of the primary tumor, axillary nodal involvement, histologic grade, degree of inflammatory infiltrate (LPI) of the tumor and expression of the neu oncoprotein (p185) as detected by immunohistochemistry. In a multifactorial analysis the 4 former factors were found to be independent prognostic parameters. Over-expression of p185 was found to be related to tumor size and grade and to LPI but not to pathologic nodal status. Over-expression of p185 showed a negative impact upon survival in node-positive but not in node-negative patients. However, in the subset of node-negative patients without LPI, p185 over-expression showed the same correlation with a poor prognosis as in node-positive patients. In contrast, in node-negative and LPI-positive patients, p185 over-expression correlated with a good prognosis. Also, the prognosis of patients with positive nodes, presence of LPI and no p185 over-expression was similar to that of patients with negative nodes, absence of LPI and p185 over-expression.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1978

[A comparative clinical and pathological study on the classification and prognostic features of 57 thymomas. II. prognostic features (author's transl)].

The most important prognostic determinants of the thymomas are the gross findings at operation (equal to the presence or absence of gross invasion of adjacent tissue) and the presence or absence of the thymoma-associated systemic disease, particulary myasthenia gravis. The histologic type of thymoma had no proof value in predicting prognosis with the exception of the so-called atypical thymomas. Thirty-four of 57 patients with thymomas were females and 23 males. The tumors in 40 cases were non-invasive thymomas, and in 17 cases the tumour were invasive of adjacent tissue. 35.1 percent of patients were asymptomatic, the tumours being discovered on roentgenograms done on a routine basis or for an unrelated porpose. 40.3 percent of patients have had a thymoma-associated systemic disease. The most common presenting symptoms were related to myasthenia gravis (26.3%). The 5-year survival rate was 90 percent for non-invasive thymomas without myastenia gravis and 50 percent for invasive thymomas. The 5-year survival rate for patients with myasthenia gravis and encapsulated (non-invasive) thymomas was approximately 60 percent, whereas that for invasive thymomas with myasthenia gravis was 40 percent. The primary form of therapy for all thymomas is the surgical excision. In cases with invasive and/or metastasizing thymomas, postoperative radiation and adjuvanted chemotherapy is indicated, but in most series, the longterm results of this form of therapy are discouraging.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1994

Lack of prognostic value of epidermal growth factor receptor in a series of 229 T1/T2, N0/N1 breast cancers, with well defined prognostic parameters.

The prognostic value of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGF-R) was prospectively assessed in a series of 229 clinical T1-T2, N0-N1 breast carcinomas diagnosed between May 1987 and October 1989. EGF-R expression was determined by measuring the specific Bmax of 125I EGF to tumor plasma membrane preparations. Tumor with a Bmax > or = 3 fmol/mg of protein were considered positive with regard to EGF-R expression. With a median follow-up of 34 months, the 3-year overall and disease-free survivals are respectively 92% and 88% for EGF-R < or = 3, and 91% and 86% EGF-R > 3 fmol, showing no significant difference, even when comparing axillary lymph node status. We did not succeed in finding an EGF-R cut-off value which might be significant in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis of our data indicates that pT (p = 0.001), pN (p = 0.04), and Scarff-Bloom grade (p = 0.04) are the only significant predictors of disease-free survival among the parameters investigated in this study.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed2004

Prognostic value of electron-beam computed tomography-derived coronary calcium scores compared with clinical parameters in patients evaluated for coronary artery disease. Prognostic value of EBCT in symptomatic patients.

OBJECTIVE: The electron-beam computed tomography-(EBCT-)derived calcium score provides a measure of coronary atherosclerotic plaque disease which may allow for more precise risk stratification in symptomatic patients. However, it remains unclear if EBCT can add prognostic information compared with the clinical information derived from risk factor assessment, exercise stress testing, and coronary angiography. METHODS AND RESULTS: A cohort of 300 consecutive patients with recent (<3 months) onset of symptoms was retrospectively identified who were examined for possible coronary artery disease (CAD) and who all underwent EBCT. Successful follow-up after 3.5 years was obtained in 255 (85%) patients whose mean age at baseline was 58+/-11 years (n = 181 (71%), males). Four clinical categories with increasing evidence of CAD were constructed on the basis of risk factor assessment, exercise stress testing, coronary angiographic anatomy, and coronary revascularization at baseline. During follow-up, major adverse cardiac events (MACE: myocardial infarction, cardiac death, revascularization) were observed in 40 (16%) patients, including myocardial infarction and cardiac death in 5 patients. The 4 clinical categories were highly predictive of MACE, with a relative risk estimate of 28.3 (95% CI, 6.7-119.1) in the upper vs. the reference category. In univariate analysis, the relative risk estimate of MACE associated with a calcium score > or =100 was 12.0 (95% CI, 4.7-30.6). After adjustment for the clinical categories and for age, this estimate decreased in multivariate analysis, but remained predictive at 4.4 (95% CI, 1.5-12.6). CONCLUSION: In patients with first-time evaluation of possible CAD, EBCT-derived coronary calcium is suggested to provide for independent and additional information compared with the clinically available information.

Adult↗

PubMed1991

Screening as a prognostic factor in cervical cancer: analysis of survival and prognostic factors based on Icelandic population data, 1964-1988.

Survival rates were computed for 376 women diagnosed with carcinoma of the uterine cervix between 1964 and 1988. The 5-year survival rate for the entire group was 63%. The effect of age at diagnosis, clinical stage, histopathology, year of diagnosis, and screening program attendance was studied by univariate analysis and simultaneously with a multivariate analysis, the Cox proportional hazards model. All these parameters had a significant effect on survival, with clinical stage as the strongest parameter followed by histology, year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, and attendance at screening. Women who had attended the cervical screening program fared significantly better than those who had never attended. Patients treated in the late years of the study period had a significantly better survival rate, possibly indicating improved treatment. Young women had a significantly better prognosis than older women. Women with adenocarcinoma and anaplastic tumors had a significantly worse prognosis than women with squamous and adenosquamous carcinoma. The prognostic effect of screening was mainly attributed to the more favorable distribution of early stages and younger age at diagnosis among the screened women. After all the analyzed parameters had been adjusted for the nonattenders still had poorer prognosis.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Salvage radiotherapy for isolated prostate specific antigen increase after radical prostatectomy: evaluation of prognostic factors and creation of a prognostic scoring system.

PURPOSE: This study was performed to evaluate the results and prognostic factors associated with radiotherapy for a detectable serum prostate specific antigen level after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From July 1987 through July 2003, 368 patients received radiotherapy for a detectable prostate specific antigen level (biochemical relapse) as the sole evidence of recurrence after radical prostatectomy for node negative prostate cancer. Estimated survival and relapse-free probabilities were obtained via Kaplan-Meier estimation. Associations of patient factors with survival and biochemical relapse were investigated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: With a median followup of 5 years the 5 and 8-year freedom from biochemical relapse were an estimated 46% (95% CI 41%-53%) and 35% (95% CI 29%-43%) while survival was 92% (95% CI 89%-95%) and 80% (95% CI 74%-87%), respectively. Patient and treatment variables showing evidence of association with biochemical relapse on multivariate analysis included pathological stage T3a or less vs T3b (seminal vesicle involvement, p = 0.029), pathological Gleason score 7 or less vs 8 or greater (p <0.001) and pre-radiotherapy prostate specific antigen (p <0.001). Four biochemical failure risk groups were created by assigning seminal vesicle involvement, Gleason score and pre-radiotherapy prostate specific antigen each a score of 0 to 2. These individual scores were summed. The freedom from biochemical failure at 5 years for each risk group was 0 to 1-69%, 2-53%, 3-26% and 4 to 5-6%. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of seminal vesicle involvement and high Gleason score in the radical prostatectomy specimen are inherent predictors of adverse outcome. Early referral for salvage radiotherapy can decrease subsequent biochemical relapse.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic significance of tumor volume after radical prostatectomy: a multivariate analysis of pathological prognostic factors.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the association between Gleason score, stage and status of surgical margins with tumor volume in prostate cancer progression after radical prostatectomy. METHODS: 200 consecutive radical prostatectomy specimens were analyzed. Preoperative clinical stage, PSA, results of prostate biopsies as well as pathological results were noted. A biochemical recurrence was defined as a single, postoperative detectable PSA level (>0.2 ng/ml). Tumor volume was compared to postoperative staging, Gleason score, and surgical margin status to predict tumor progression. Univariate and multivariate analysis using stepwise logistic regression were used to identify parameters with additional prognostic value. RESULTS: Pathological results of the prostatectomy specimens showed 149 (74.5%) pT2a-b, 29 (14.5%) pT3a and 22 (11%) pT3b tumors. Tumor volume was 0.57 cc for pT2a, 1.2cc for pT2b, 1.7cc for pT3a and 2.9cc for pT3b, respectively (p<0.05). Taken together, mean volume for pT2 and pT3 were 1.06 and 2.2 cc, respectively (p<0.0001). Five-year progression-free actuarial survival was 69.7%. Using univariate analysis, tumor progression correlated with final Gleason score (p<0.0007), positive surgical margins (p=0.02), tumor volume (p=0.009) and stage (p<0.0001). In a multivariate analysis, tumor progression correlated only with the final Gleason score (p=0.04) and stage (p=0.0002). CONCLUSION: Gleason score and pathological stage are independent factors to predict prostate cancer progression after radical prostatectomy. When these parameters are known, tumor volume does not provide additional information.

Aged↗

PubMed2003

Selection of causal gene sets for lymphoma prognostication from expression profiling and construction of prognostic fuzzy neural network models.

To assess the response of lymphomas to chemotherapy, gene expression profiling data from DNA microarrays were analyzed using the fuzzy neural network (FNN) modeling method. We used the FNN modeling method to produce 10 noninferior models. Using these models, we were able to predict diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patient outcome with 93% accuracy. Of the 37 genes in the 10 models, 13 genes were repeatedly selected, indicating that these genes are important for prognostication. On Kaplan-Meier plots of overall survival, patients predicted by the FNN model to be cured survived significantly longer than those predicted to be refractory (P<0.0001), indicating that the FNN could successfully identify patients with a relatively poor prognosis among low-clinical-risk patients. The FNN modeling method presented here is able to precisely extract significant biological markers affecting prognosis.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1988

[Prognostic parameters in liver cirrhosis, varicose bleeding and sclerosing therapy. Prospective comparison of a prognostic system with the Child classification obtained by discriminant analysis].

Prospective prognosis systems for predicting half-year death-rate after bleeding from oesophageal varices and sclerotherapy were tested on 129 patients. The receiver-operating-characteristic curves of three discriminant scores were compared with the Child-Pugh classification. It was found that the latter is still the best for prognosticating the course of the disease. A simplified discriminant score which contains as its only factors bilirubin and the Quick value does, however, give nearly as good information.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

Epidermal growth factor receptor gene amplification and protein expression in glioblastoma multiforme: prognostic significance and relationship to other prognostic factors.

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) overexpression occurs in a significant percentage of cases of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM), and amplification has been found in approximately 40% of these neoplasms. Controversy exists as to the prognostic significance of EGFR gene amplification: some reports have indicated that amplification is associated with a poor prognosis, while other authors have reported no relationship between gene amplification and prognosis. Some reports have found a poor prognosis to be associated with amplification of the EGFR gene in patients of all ages with GBM, while other authors have found EGFR amplification to be an independent predictor of prolonged survival in patients with GBM who are older than 60 years of age. The authors studied a series of 34 specimens (32 patients) with histologically proven GBM by immunohistochemistry for the presence of EGFR overexpression and by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) for gene amplification of the EGFR gene. Results of these studies and data on patient age, sex, functional status, therapy, and survival were correlated to determine which variables were predictive of survival. p53 expression was also determined by immunohistochemistry and correlated with the other variables and survival.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

A population-based study of severity of comorbidity among patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: prognostic impact independent of International Prognostic Index.

Over 60% of patients aged over 70 years, diagnosed with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) in the Netherlands have serious comorbidity. We studied the independent influence of comorbidity on choice of treatment, dose reductions, treatment-related toxicity and prognosis, using data from a random sample of 381 patients from the population-based Eindhoven Cancer Registry. About 45% of patients over 60 years of age with NHL had high impact comorbidity at the time of cancer diagnosis. The proportion of patients with aggressive NHL who received chemotherapy decreased from 85% in patients aged 40-60 years to 70% in those over 60 years. About 65% of systematically treated patients with aggressive NHL suffered from treatment-related toxicity. Toxicity appeared to be more common among females and those with high-intermediate or high International Prognostic Index (IPI) risk. Among patients with aggressive NHL, the chance of dying for those with high impact comorbidity was twice as high compared with those without comorbidity. This was independent of the IPI risk. Dose reductions are frequently unavoidable for patients with severe comorbidity, poor performance status or chemotherapy-related toxicity. Whether the less frequent prescription of (full dose) chemotherapy for patients with advanced age and/or with comorbidity is justified remains a question for debate.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Argyrophilic nucleolar organiser regions in transitional cell bladder tumours related to established prognostic factors, progression and independent prognostic value.

Paraffin-embedded archival biopsy specimens from 229 primary transitional cell carcinomas (TCCs) were stained with silver nitrate to demonstrate the nucleolar organiser regions (Ag-NORs). T3-T4 high grade tumours had higher Ag-NOR counts/nucleus than low grade superficial papillary tumours (p less than 0.001). Non-papillary tumours showed more Ag-NORs than papillary ones (p less than 0.001). Aneuploid tumours with high S phase fraction had more Ag-NORs than diploid tumours (p less than 0.001) and mitotic frequency was also related significantly to Ag-NOR count (p less than 0.001). SD of nuclear area and nuclear area as measured by planar morphometry correlated significantly to Ag-NOR count (p less than 0.001). Close to 60% of the total number of Ag-NORs/nucleus can be related to other quantitative variables. Ag-NORs predicted independently survival in Ta-T1 tumours (p = 0.016) whereas in the whole series Ag-NORs had no independent prognostic value.

Aneuploidy↗

PubMed1978

Six-month prognostic norms derived from studies of the Rorschach Prognostic Rating Scale.

The Rorschach Prognostic Rating Scale (RPRS) was introduced in 1951 by Klopfer. Kirkner, Wisham, and Baker. The predictions of Klopfer et al. are compared to the outcomes in four studies of the RPRS. The originalinterpretation is shown to predict higher percentages of success than revealed by the empirical studies. A second interpretation of the scale is proposed on the basis of the experimental data. This interpretation relates RPRS scores to the chance for substantial improvement within 30 weeks of once weekly therapy by client-centered, rational-emotive, desensitization, aversion, or traditional methods. For any given RPRS score, the chance for substantial improvement is approximately the same for every type of therapy, and increases as the RPRS score increases. The second interpretation is proposed in both tubular and algebraic forms as a stimulus to further research and clinical applications.

Humans↗

PubMed2000

Clinical course, prognostic factors, and outcome prediction for HIV patients in the ICU. The PIP (Pulmonary complications, ICU support, and prognostic factors in hospitalized patients with HIV) study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical course and prognostic factors in patients with HIV admitted to the ICU. DESIGN: Prospective, observational. SETTING: A university-affiliated medical center. METHODS: : We included 169 consecutive ICU admissions, from April 1995 through March 1999, of 141 adults with HIV. Data collected included APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II score, CD4(+) lymphocyte count, serum albumin level, in-hospital mortality, and the development of organ failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and ARDS. RESULTS: The ICU admission rate of hospitalized patients with HIV infection was 12%. The most common reason for ICU admission was respiratory failure, occurring in 65 patient admissions. Mechanical ventilation was required in 91 admissions (54%), ARDS developed in 37 admissions (22%), Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia was diagnosed in 24 admissions (14%), and SIRS developed in 126 admissions (75%). One or more organ failures developed in 131 admissions (78%). The actual and predicted mortality rates were 29.6% and 45.2%, respectively, with a standardized mortality ratio of 0.65. The most frequent immediate cause of death was bacterial infection. The CD4(+) lymphocyte count (median, 27.5 cells/microL vs 59 cells/microL; p = 0.0310) and serum albumin level (median 2.2 g/dL vs 2.6 g/dL; p = 0.0355) of nonsurvivors were lower and the APACHE II score (median, 30 vs 21; p < 0.0001) was higher, compared to those of survivors. A higher APACHE II score (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05 to 1.16) and a transfer from another hospital ward (OR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.20 to 7.68) were independently associated with increased mortality. The median number of organ failures that developed in survivors was one, compared to four in nonsurvivors (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The outcome of HIV-infected patients admitted to the ICU has improved over the years. The CD4 count does not correlate with in-hospital mortality. Higher APACHE II scores and a transfer from another hospital ward are associated with a poor outcome.

APACHE↗

PubMed1996

Prognostic value of flow cytometry and correlation to some conventional prognostic factors: a retrospective study of archival specimens of 134 astrocytomas.

The S-phase fraction and the DNA ploidy type in 134 astrocytomas (18 Grade II, 46 Grade III, and 70 Grade IV astrocytomas) were studied using flow cytometry in a retrospective study of archival tumor specimens. A high grade of malignancy was associated with both a high S-phase fraction (p < 0.0001) and an aneuploid DNA pattern (p < 0.0001). There was no aneuploid DNA pattern found in the fibrillary astrocytomas (World Health Organization (WHO) Grade II); where-as the aneuploid pattern was observed in 80% of all the glioblastomas multiforme (WHO Grade IV). The age and gender of the patients were not significantly related to the flow cytometry parameters. The survival of patients with Grade II or III astrocytomas was significantly longer when their tumors exhibited a tetraploid DNA pattern or had a low S-phase fraction. In patients with Grade IV tumors, there was no correlation between length of survival and either the DNA ploidy or the S-phase fraction. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis of data obtained in patients with Grade II and III astrocytomas, age, grade of malignancy, DNA ploidy, and S-phase fraction were independent prognostic factors.

Adult↗

PubMed1994

The prognostic significance of c-erbB-2 and p53 protein expressions in gastric carcinoma--a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.

152 curative gastrectomy specimens from patients with gastric carcinoma were examined in an attempt to assess the prognostic value of c-erbB-2 and mutant p53 protein expressions. The labeled streptavidin-biotin method was applied to routinely fixed and paraffin-embedded tissue sections, using the polyclonal and monoclonal antibodies against the c-erbB-2 protein and the mutant form p53 protein, respectively. In this examination, staining of c-erbB-2 protein was found in 9.2% of these carcinomas. The c-erbB-2 stained tumors were significantly associated with the tumors whose diameters were smaller than 5cm, and were more likely to be associated with serosal invasion and nodal involvement than the unstained ones. However, there was little association between staining of c-erbB-2 protein and clinicopathologic findings such as age, sex, location, histology, gross type, lymph node status, depth of invasion, and stage. The survival analysis of 104 patients with stage III gastric carcinoma revealed no significant association between c-erbB-2 staining status and survival duration. The 5-year survival rates of the c-erbB-2 positive group and its negative group were 21% and 28%, respectively. Positive p53 protein expression was observed in 46% of 152 carcinomas. There was no significant association between p53 expression and parameters such as age, sex, location, histology, gross type, and size. The p53 stained tumors were more likely to be associated with lymph node metastasis, serosal invasion than p53 unstained ones; but this did not reach significance. The 5-year survival rates of the p53 positive group and counter part group were 27% and 31%, respectively.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗