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PubMed2005

Prevalence and risk factors of urinary incontinence in Fuzhou Chinese women.

BACKGROUND: We randomly sampled a healthy community to evaluate the prevalence and associated risk factors of urinary incontinence. METHODS: The survey was performed in Fuzhou, China. Of women over twenty years of age in the city, 3.0% were randomly selected and 4684 evaluated by Bristol Female Urinary Tract Symptoms Questionnaire. RESULTS: Of the women in Fuzhou, 19.0% had urinary incontinence. The prevalence of stress incontinence, urge incontinence and mixed incontinence was 16.6% (n = 777), 10.0% (n = 468), 7.7% (n = 360) respectively. The prevalence of the three types of urinary incontinence increased significantly with age (P < 0.01). In multiple logistic models, age (OR, 1.3, 95% CI, 1.1-1.4), vaginal delivery (3.0, 1.9-4.7), parity > 2 (2.1, 1.5-2.9), hypertension (2.7, 1.4-5.6), constipation (2.6, 1.8-3.8), alcohol consumption (4.7, 1.1-20.2), episiotomy (1.7, 1.4-2.0), higher body mass index (BMI, 1.8, 1.5-2.2) and unskilled worker (0.7, 0.5-0.8) were potential risk factors for stress incontinence. Urge incontinence was associated with age (OR, 1.3, 95% CI, 0.9-1.3), menopause (1.6, 1.1-2.4), Caesarean delivery (0.2, 0.1-0.5), parity > 2 (2.6, 1.8-3.8), constipation (2.3, 1.4-3.7), foetal birthweight (1.7, 1.1-2.4), episiotomy (1.4, 1.1-1.8), higher BMI (1.5, 1.2-2.0) and unskilled worker (0.7, 0.5-0.9). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of urinary incontinence and its subtypes in Chinese women is lower than that of occidental women. In China, age, vaginal delivery, parity, hypertension, constipation, alcohol consumption, episiotomy, higher BMI are potential risk factors for stress incontinence. Urge incontinence is associated with age, menopause, Caesarean delivery, parity, constipation, foetal birthweight, episiotomy, higher body mass index.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

A comparison of logistic regression to decision tree induction in the diagnosis of carpal tunnel syndrome.

This paper aims to compare and contrast two types of model (logistic regression and decision tree induction) for the diagnosis of carpal tunnel syndrome using four ordered classification categories. Initially, we present the classification performance results based on more than two covariates (multivariate case). Our results suggest that there is no significant difference between the two methods. Further to this investigation, we present a detailed comparison of the structure of bivariate versions of the models. The first surprising result of this analysis is that the classification accuracy of the bivariate models is slightly higher than that of the multivariate ones. In addition, the bivariate models lend themselves to graphical analysis, where the corresponding decision regions can easily be represented in the two-dimensional covariate space. This analysis reveals important structural differences between the two models.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2003

[Multivariate analysis of prognosis of patients with clinical stage I and II carcinoma of mobile tongue].

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE: There are many factors affecting the prognosis of the patients with clinical stage I and II carcinoma of mobile tongue. This study was designed to analyze the most important factors affecting the prognosis. METHODS: The data of long period follow-up were analyzed retrospectively for 147 patients with clinical stage I and II squamous cell carcinoma of mobile tongue to evaluate the contribution of every factors influencing on survival. Survival analysis was performed by life table method; comparison among/between groups was performed using log-rank test; multivariate analysis was carried out using Cox proportional hazard model and Logistic regression model. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed that pathological grade (G2 and G3), status of cervical lymph node, pathological stage (stage III and IV), history of alcohol consumption, primary location recurrence, regional recurrence, primary location and regional recurrence, and cancer recurrence were risk factors of the prognosis of the patients (P< 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that locoregional recurrence (P=0.000) and pathological stage (P=0.045) could predict the prognosis. The result of Logistic regression model indicated that status of cervical lymph node (P=0.003) and history of alcohol consumption (P=0.012) were closely associated with locoregional recurrence. CONCLUSION: Locoregional recurrence and pathological stage(stage III and IV) are the most important factors affecting the prognosis of the patients with clinical stage I and II squamous cell carcinoma of mobile tongue. The risk factors affecting locoregional recurrence of the patients are positive cervical lymph node and history of alcohol consumption.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

The use of a modified CPITN approach to estimate periodontal treatment needs among adults aged 20-79 years by socio-demographic characteristics in the United States, 1988-94.

AIM: The aim of the study was to ascertain periodontal treatment needs and their socio-demographic determinants among adults in the United States by transforming nationally representative periodontal data into an index routinely used internationally. DESIGN: Data were abstracted from a complex, highly stratified, multistage probability cross-sectional study to create a modified Community Periodontal Index of Treatment Needs (CPITN). PARTICIPANTS: 11,339 persons aged 20-79 who participated in the third US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III), 1988-94. RESULTS: At least 3% of the adult US population required complex periodontal treatment, 90% needed scaling and prophylaxis, and nearly 5% did not need periodontal treatment or oral hygiene instruction. A multivariate cumulative logistic model indicated that being older, male, non-Hispanic black, having lower education, smoking, or not having had a dental visit in the past year increased the likelihood of needing more complex periodontal treatment. The risk factors that indicated the greatest potential for increasing complexity of periodontal treatment, after controlling for all covariates, were being either non-Hispanic black (OR=2.51; 95% CI=1.98, 3.18), or not completing high school (OR=2.10: 95% CI=1.60, 2.77), or a current cigarette smoker (OR=2.02; 95% CI=1.76, 2.33). CONCLUSIONS: The need for increasingly complex periodontal treatment differs by sociodemographic factors. Most American adults need some type of periodontal treatment; however, the majority of periodontal treatment needs in the US are within the clinical skill range of dental hygienists. There is significant disparity in the distribution of need for periodontal treatment; persons from socially disadvantaged groups are more likely to present with increasing complexity of periodontal treatment needs.

Adult↗

PubMed1989

Prospective study of factors predicting uptake of smoking in adolescents.

Risk factors for the uptake of cigarette smoking were examined prospectively in 2159 non-smoking secondary schoolchildren aged 11-13 who participated in a survey in 1983 and were followed up 30 months later, by which time 35 per cent had taken up smoking. In a multivariate logistic model, the strongest predictors to emerge were prior experimentation with cigarettes and sex, with more girls (41%) than boys (30%) starting to smoke. Other predictors of taking up smoking were being uncertain about smoking in the future, reporting having been drunk, having a boy or girl friend, believing teachers and friends would not mind if they took up smoking, and giving lower estimates of prevalence of smoking among teachers. Parental smoking behaviour and attitudes, beliefs about the effects of smoking on health, opinions about smoking and perceived strictness of parents did not predict take up of smoking when other variables were controlled for. The odds of taking up smoking varied from 0.24 (risk = 0.19) for a child with the most favourable combination of risk factors to 3.49 (risk = 0.78) for a child with the worst prognosis. These results differ from those of many cross sectional studies and hence indicate the importance of a prospective approach to this type of research.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Reexploration for bleeding is a risk factor for adverse outcomes after cardiac operations.

OBJECTIVE: Although previous studies have included early reexploration for bleeding as a risk factor in analyzing adverse outcomes after cardiac operations, reexploration for bleeding has not been systematically examined as a multivariate risk factor for increased morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. Furthermore, multivariate predictors of the need for reexploration have not been identified. Accordingly, we performed a retrospective analysis of 6100 patients requiring cardiopulmonary bypass from January 1, 1986, to December 31, 1993. METHODS: Eighty-five patients who had ventricular assist devices were excluded from further analysis because of the prevalence of bleeding and the significant morbidity and mortality associated with placement of a ventricular assist device, unrelated to reexploration. In the remaining 6015 patients, potential adverse outcomes analyzed included operative mortality, mediastinitis, stroke, renal failure, adult respiratory distress syndrome, prolonged mechanical ventilation, sepsis, atrial arrhythmias, and ventricular arrhythmias. To control for the confounding effects of other risk factors, we performed a multivariate logistic regression analysis. Potential covariates considered in the logistic model included age, sex, race, history of reoperation, urgency of the operation, congestive heart failure, prior myocardial infarction, renal failure, diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or stroke, and the bypass and crossclamp time. RESULTS: The overall incidence of reexploration was 4.2% (253/6015). Four independent risk factors--increased patient age (p < 0.001), preoperative renal insufficiency (p = 0.02), operation other than coronary bypass (p < 0.001), and prolonged bypass time (p = 0.0.3)--were identified as predictors of the need for reexploration. The preoperative use of aspirin, heparin, or thrombolytic agents and the bleeding time were not identified as predictors. Reexploration for bleeding was identified as a strong independent risk factor for operative mortality (p = 0.005), renal failure (p < 0.0001), prolonged mechanical ventilation (p < 0.0001), adult respiratory distress syndrome (p = 0.03), sepsis (p < 0.0001), and atrial arrhythmias (p = 0.006). CONCLUSION: These data indicate that meticulous attention to surgical hemostasis and possibly application of recently developed modalities designed to facilitate perioperative correction of coagulopathy could improve outcomes after cardiac operations.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2002

Sleepy driving: accidents and injury.

OBJECTIVE: The study goals were to evaluate the associated risks of driving and to assess predictors of accidents and injury due to sleepiness. STUDY DESIGN: A cross-sectional Internet-linked survey was designed to elicit data on driving habits, sleepiness, accidents, and injuries during the preceding 3 years. Statistical analysis included logistic models with covariate-adjusted P values of <0.01 (odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals or limits). Independent accident predictors were sought. RESULTS: Responses from 10,870 drivers were evaluated. The mean +/- SD age was 36.9 +/- 13 years; 61% were women and 85% were white. The Epworth Sleepiness Scale overall baseline score was 7.4 +/- 4.2 (for drivers with no accidents) and ranged to 12.7 +/- 7.2 (for drivers with > or = 4 accidents) (P = < 0.0001). Twenty-three percent of all respondents experienced > or = 1 accident. Among respondents who reported > or = 4 accidents, a strong association existed for the most recent accident to include injury (P < 0.0001). Sleep disorders were reported by 22.5% of all respondents, with a significantly higher prevalence (35%, P = 0.002) for drivers who had been involved in > or = 3 accidents. CONCLUSION: Factors of sleepiness were strongly associated with a greater risk of automobile accidents. Predictors were identified that may contribute to accidents and injury when associated with sleepiness and driving.

Accidents, Traffic↗

PubMed2000

A simplified lesion classification for predicting success and complications of coronary angioplasty. Registry Committee of the Society for Cardiac Angiography and Intervention.

In 1988, the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Task Force on Assessment of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Cardiovascular Procedures presented a classification of coronary lesions utilizing 26 lesion features to predict the success and complications of balloon angioplasty. Using data from the Registry of the Society for Cardiac Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) we evaluated the ability of this classification to predict success and complications. Lesion success, death in hospital, emergency cardiac bypass surgery, and major adverse events were evaluated in 41,071 patients who underwent single-vessel angioplasty from January 1993 to June 1996. Logistic models using the ACC/AHA lesion classification, vessel patency, or both, were compared. A new classification based on the interaction of the ACC/AHA classification plus lesion patency was compared with the existing ACC/AHA classification. Vessel patency, added to the ACC/AHA classification, improved prediction of lesion success (p </=0.0001). Class A and patent B lesions had similar success and complication rates, so a simplified classification (SCAI) using only 7 lesion characteristics could be created. This system (I: non-C patent, II: C patent, III: non-C occluded, and IV: C occluded) improved prediction of lesion success compared with the ACC/AHA classification (Bayesian Information Criterion statistic: ACC/AHA 16539, SCAI 15956; and area under the receiver- operating characteristics curve 0.659, 0.693, respectively). The SCAI classification was preferred for predicting major complications and in-hospital death and was similar to the ACC/AHA classification for predicting emergency bypass surgery.

Aged↗

PubMed1994

[Prevalence of health problems in the Gazel (EDF-GDF) cohort: regional distribution and disparities].

This study deals with regional differences in annual prevalence of 44 declared diseases or clinical disorders in 1989 in GAZEL cohort participants from "Electricité de France-Gaz de France" company. The studied sample consisted of 20,325 people, from 35 to 50 years old, living in France, who answered to a mail questionnaire in 1989. The collected data from one year were analysed. An overall "regional effect" was searched about every listed disease in the questionnaire. For this purpose, a logistic model, controlling for age and sex, was used. For comparing prevalence of a disease in one region with average prevalence, an odds ratio (OR) was calculated: it was defined here as the ratio of disease odd in the region to the average French odd. The regional effect was studied in greater detail for five diseases, making allowance for extra factors of adjustment (tobacco and alcohol consumption, Quetelet index, salary category, number of declared diseases). The regional effect remained significative for four diseases: hypertension with OR from 1.26 to 1.68 in northern regions, and from 0.63 to 0.75 in southeastern ones; osteoarthrosis with OR lower than 1 in western regions (0.60 to 0.79), and larger in the South (1.24 to 1.46); hyperthyroidism, goiter with OR elevated in Midi-Pyrénées (2.91) and Lorraine (1.82) [corrected]; renal stones with OR high in the South (1.85 in Provence Riviera). These results can be compared to known observations about geographical differences in mortality. They also suggest persistence of hazardous areas for some diseases.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Predictors of infant mortality among college-educated black and white women, Davidson County, Tennessee, 1990-1994.

Strategies to reduce US infant mortality rates often focus on the black-white disparity in rates. Linked Infant Birth and Death Files for Davidson County, Tennessee, from 1990 through 1994 were used to determine infant outcomes for infants born to college-educated white and black women. Risks for adverse outcomes were identified by comparing infant deaths to live births using logistic regression analyses. The following variables entered the logistic model process: maternal and paternal age; race and education; nativity status; maternal risk factors; interpregnancy interval; parity; infant gender; tobacco or alcohol use; number of prenatal visits; trimester in which prenatal care began; marital status; gestational age; and birthweight. After adjustment for the effects of the other variables, a gestational age < 28 completed weeks of gestation was the most significant independent predictor of infant death. Black race was not identified as a significant predictor of infant mortality. Regardless of race, a decrease in infant mortality rates among college-educated women in this country depends on the prevention of preterm births. Strategies to diagnose early preterm labor must proceed from a comprehensive maternal care program for all women. Open channels of communication between patient and provider will form the cornerstone for preterm prevention-intervention programs. Analysis of state and local infant mortality data may identify regional differences in infant mortality rates and differences in risk factors associated with adverse infant outcomes.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Predictive factors of mental disorders in patients with suspected ischaemic cardiopathy.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the predictive factors of mental disorders in patients with suspected Ischaemic Cardiopathy (IC). METHOD: The patients admitted to the Cardiology Service of an University Hospital (SW Spain) for acute thoracic pain with suspected IC were studied. Patients were classified into four diagnostic groups (acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, non-ischaemic cardiological process, non-cardiological) based on clinical, electrocardiographical and biochemical data. The sociodemographic and clinical variables were obtained by a 'ad hoc' questionnaire and the clinical records of the patient. The GHQ-28 questionnaire was used to assess the status of mental health, and a score of > or = 6 was taken as the cut-off point for being a 'probable psychiatric case'. Crude odds ratios (OR +/- 95% CI), and adjusted OR according to a logistic model, were calculated in order to study the variables associated with the mental disorders. The tabulation and analysis of data was carried out with the SPSS v.8 (for Windows) program. RESULTS: From June 1996 to November 1997, 185 patients were studied; 72% were males and the mean age was 60.2 years (SD = 10.4). 49.2% of the patients were scored at > or = 6 on the GHQ-28, and the sub-scale accounting for the highest scores was that of somatic symptoms of psychological origin. The adjusted ORs showed that female sex (OR: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.2-5.0), previous personal history of IC (OR: 2.3; 95% CI: 1.1-4.4), and the presence of arterial hypertension (OR: 2.0; 95% CI: 1.1-3.9), were the predictive variables for being a 'probable psychiatric case', whereas neither age nor comorbidity were predictive. CONCLUSIONS: The percentage of subjects considered to be a 'probable psychiatric case' among patients with suspected ischaemic cardiopathy was high. Screening for mental disorders and intervention to control the risk factors associated are measures recommended in these patients.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed1989

Contribution of risk factor changes to the decline in coronary incidence during the North Karelia project: a within-community analysis.

We investigated the contribution of risk factor changes to the decline in incidence of ischaemic heart disease between three five-year periods (1972-76, 1977-81, 1982-86) in a community-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) control programme, the nOrth Karelia project. Random population samples of over 10,000 people were examined in 1972, 1977 and 1982 and followed for five years. Population attributable benefits were estimated for each time period from reductions in excess risk associated with S-cholesterol, tobacco products per day and the mean of systolic and diastolic blood pressure which were entered in logistic models with age and sex. Changes in risk factors accounted in North Karelia for 89% and in the reference population for 20% of the decline in ischaemic heart disease from 1972-6 to 1977-81. In healthy people, risk factor reductions accounted in North Karelia for 100%, but in the reference population only for 23% of the decline. The decline was non-significant in both areas from 1977-81 to 1982-86. In subjects with either CVD or diabetes, there was no decline in North Karelia in either period, whereas 30% and 64% of the decline (ns) in the reference population in the two periods, respectively, was attributable to risk factor changes. These data suggest that although the decline in the incidence of ischaemic heart disease in North Karelia did not differ from that in the reference population it was largely attributable to risk factor reductions in the healthy population. The decline in the reference population appears to be associated with changes in lifestyle, secondary prevention activities and medical care.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

The case-time-control design.

Assessing the known or intended effects of a drug using non-experimental epidemiologic designs is often infeasible because of the absence of accurate data on a major confounder, the severity of the disease treated by this drug. To circumvent this problem of confounding by indication, I propose the case-time-control design, which does not require a measure of this confounder. Instead, the design uses subjects from a conventional case-control design as their own controls and thus requires that exposure be measurable at two or more points in time. I present a logistic model to estimate relative risks under this design and illustrate the method with data from a case-control study of 129 cases of fatal or near-fatal asthma and 655 controls. The exposure of interest was quantity of use of inhaled beta-agonists, drugs prescribed for the treatment of asthma. I found that the "best" estimate of relative risk for high vs low beta-agonist use using the conventional case-control approach is 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.8-5.4], which inherently includes the confounding effect of unmeasured severity. The corresponding estimate of drug effect using the proposed case-time-control approach is 1.2 (95% CI = 0.5-3.0), which excludes the confounding effect of unmeasured severity. This example indicates that the class of beta-agonists may not play the leading role attributed to it in the risk of fatal or near-fatal asthma, as had been previously suspected, except perhaps at excessive doses, as indicated by the dose-response analyses.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1992

Consumer information and biased selection in the demand for coverage supplementing Medicare.

This study examines how the relationship between health insurance knowledge and the health status of health insurance consumers influences their decisions to purchase insurance coverage. Data from the federal Medicare health insurance program for the elderly in the United States are used. The basic Medicare program provides a limited amount of coverage for health care services obtained from any provider in the private fee-for-service (FFS) market. Beneficiaries of this program may choose to supplement the basic coverage which they receive by two mechanisms: either they may purchase private insurance designed to fill some of the gaps left by the federal program ('Medigap' policies), thereby remaining in the FFS market and preserving their choice of provider, or they may enroll in health maintenance organizations (HMOs), thereby leaving the FFS market and agreeing to use only those providers affiliated with the HMO, and in return receiving broader coverage at little additional out-of-pocket cost. The study was made possible by a unique data set which combines measures of beneficiary knowledge of Medicare coverage with measures of perceived health status, socio-economic characteristics, and insurance coverage choices for a sample of Medicare beneficiaries who participated in an educational workshop about their insurance coverage options. These data were used to estimate a multinomial logistic model of the determinants of insurance choices, where the options included the two listed above and a basic Medicare option. The study explicitly recognizes the interaction between insurance information and health status in health plan choice. These results show that knowledge of coverage does have a differential impact on the decision to purchase health insurance depending on health status. With a high level of knowledge, sicker beneficiaries are less likely to have basic Medicare alone, compared with HMOs or Medigap policies, while healthier beneficiaries are less likely to be enrolled in HMOs, compared with Medigap policies. This finding has important implications for the use of health status measures to adjust capitated payment formulas when knowledgable consumers have the option to enroll in HMOs or remain in the FFS environment. In the absence of health status adjusters for the HMO capitation payments, high levels of coverage knowledge may exacerbate inherent selection bias among these coverage options by healthier and sicker consumers of health insurance.

Aged↗

PubMed2002

Risk factors for advanced colorectal adenomas: a pooled analysis.

Although most colorectal cancers arise from adenomatous polyps, most adenomas do not progress to invasive cancer. Understanding the epidemiology of advanced adenomas, specifically those with severe dysplasia, carcinoma in situ, or intramucosal carcinoma, is crucial to uncovering why some adenomas progress and some do not. Using data from four colonoscopy-based adenoma case-control studies, we compared two case groups: subjects with advanced adenomas (those with severe dysplasia, carcinoma in situ, or intramucosal carcinoma; n = 119) and subjects with nonadvanced adenomas (those with none, mild, or moderate dysplasia; n = 441) to a polyp-free control group (n = 1866) in regard to frequently studied risk factors for colorectal neoplasia. All of the cases were newly diagnosed and had no prior history of adenomas. We used an unordered polytomous logistic model to calculate multivariate odds ratios for advanced and nonadvanced adenoma cases relative to polyp-free controls. Among women, ever use of hormone replacement therapy was more strongly associated with reduced risk of advanced adenomas relative to polyp-free controls [odds ratio (OR), 0.4; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.2-0.9] than with reduced risk of nonadvanced adenomas (OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.4-1.0). Among men, increased physical activity (>or=2 h/week) was more strongly associated with reduced risk for advanced adenomas (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-1.0) than with reduced risk for nonadvanced adenomas (OR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.5-1.2). Apart from these differences, most other risk factors, including body size and cigarette smoking were similar in their association with advanced and nonadvanced adenomas, suggesting that many risk factors for colorectal neoplasia may be important to adenoma formation but not to dysplasia per se.

Adenoma↗

PubMed2002

Social environment, life challenge, and health among the elderly in Taiwan.

We use an ongoing longitudinal survey of elderly Taiwanese to examine the linkages among health, the social environment, and exposure to life challenge. Data from three waves of the survey provide measures of social hierarchy, social connection, life challenge, and health outcomes. On the basis of multinomial and binomial logistic models, we explore the effects of social factors and challenge on being unhealthy or deceased at follow-up. The estimates indicate that poor health status at follow-up is associated with (1) low socioeconomic status, not having any living children, limited networks of friends, and low participation in social activities; and (2) three life challenges-chronic financial problems, excessive demands placed by close relatives and friends, and having a spouse in poor health. Respondents facing several challenges or having multiple negative attributes in their social environment are especially likely to be unhealthy at follow-up, although negative attributes appear to be counteracted by positive ones. Many findings from Western societies extend to this Taiwanese population. However, some aspects of social connection and challenge hypothesized to affect health fail to reveal a significant association. The analysis identifies differences between men and women in the effects of specific challenges on health, but sex differences in the effects of socioeconomic status and social connection on health are not significant.

Aged↗

PubMed2002

IUD use and the risk of endometrial cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Although the intrauterine device (IUD) is one of the most widely used forms of contraception throughout the world, its potential long-term effects on the uterus have not been thoroughly evaluated. This paper reports the long-term results of IUD use on the incidence of endometrial cancer. STUDY DESIGN: The data is part of a nationwide case-control, pilot study that was undertaken in order to evaluate the possible influence of ovulation induction drugs on the risk of endometrial cancer. The study included 128 living women 35-64 years old, with a histologically confirmed diagnosis of endometrial carcinoma. The controls were 255 women from the same dialing areas selected by random digit dialing. A multivariate logistic model, controlling for age, was used to assess the independent effects of factors found to be significantly associated with endometrial cancer on univariate analysis. RESULTS: The following parameters were found to be independently associated with endometrial cancer controlling for age: nulliparity OR=2.7 (95% CI 1.1-6.5, P=0.03); history of infertility OR=1.8 (95% CI 1.0-3.3, P=0.05); BMI>/=27 OR=2.3 (95% CI 1.4-3.8, P=0.001). The use of oral contraceptives and IUD were found to be protective; OR=0.29 and 0.37, respectively, (95% CI 0.14-0.61, P=0.001, 0.19-0.70, and 0.003, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: IUD use may have a protective effect on endometrial cancer risk. The protective effect of IUD may be either, through the intense inflammatory response that leads to other lisosomal and inflammatory actions, which may include cells responsible for early elimination of hyperplastic endometrial epithelial cells or, the more complete shedding of the endometrium associated with IUD use may decrease hyperplasia of the endometrium, a known risk factor for endometrial carcinoma.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

The perinatal effects of delayed childbearing.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if the rates of pregnancy complications, preterm birth, small for gestational age, perinatal mortality, and serious neonatal morbidity are higher among mothers aged 35-39 years or 40 years or older, compared with mothers 20-24 years. METHODS: We performed a population-based study of all women in Nova Scotia, Canada, who delivered a singleton fetus between 1988 and 2002 (N = 157,445). Family income of women who delivered between 1988 and 1995 was obtained through a confidential linkage with tax records (n = 76,300). The primary outcome was perinatal death (excluding congenital anomalies) or serious neonatal morbidity. Analysis was based on logistic models. RESULTS: Older women were more likely to be married, affluent, weigh 70 kg or more, attend prenatal classes, and have a bad obstetric history but less likely to be nulliparous and to smoke. They were more likely to have hypertension, diabetes mellitus, placental abruption, or placenta previa. Preterm birth and small-for-gestational age rates were also higher; compared with women aged 20-24 years, adjusted rate ratios for preterm birth among women aged 35-39 years and 40 years or older were 1.61 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-1.82; P < .001) and 1.80 (95% CI 1.37-2.36; P < .001), respectively. Adjusted rate ratios for perinatal mortality/morbidity were 1.46 (95% CI 1.11-1.92; P = .007) among women 35-39 years and 1.95 (95% CI 1.13-3.35; P = .02) among women 40 years or older. Perinatal mortality rates were low at all ages, especially in recent years. CONCLUSION: Older maternal age is associated with relatively higher risks of perinatal mortality/morbidity, although the absolute rate of such outcomes is low.

Adult↗