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PubMed1994

Effect of treatment on the prognostic value of S-phase fraction in non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

PURPOSE: To investigate the prognostic value of cell proliferation rate in non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, study its association with histologic classification, and investigate whether its predictive value is influenced by the type of treatment given. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The S-phase fraction (SPF) size was determined by DNA flow cytometry from paraffin-embedded tissue obtained at diagnosis from 490 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, diagnosed in a defined geographic area from 1970 to 1991. Clinical data were collected from hospital records and the files of the Finnish Cancer Registry. RESULTS: SPF size correlated well with histologic grading performed either according to the Working Formulation or Kiel classification (P < .0001 for both). The mean SPFs of low-, intermediate-, and high-grade malignant lymphomas were 4.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.2% to 5.5%), 10.3% (95% CI, 9.3% to 11.4%), and 15.5% (95% CI, 14.0% to 16.9%), respectively. Lymphomas with an SPF lower than the median (7.9%) had a 58% 5-year and 44% 15-year survival rate, whereas those with an SPF larger than the median had a 44% 5-year and 40% 15-year survival rate (P < .0001). SPF size was not significantly associated with prognosis in some subgroups, such as among patients treated primarily with cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP) (n = 114) or cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and prednisone (COP) (n = 124) with or without radiotherapy (P > .05), whereas a stronger association was found among patients with stage I or II lymphoma treated with radiotherapy only (n = 100; P = .003) and among patients with stage III or IV lymphoma who did not receive chemotherapy (n = 44; P < .0001). In multivariate analyses that included the factors used to construct the International Prognostic Index, SPF had independent prognostic value both in low-grade and intermediate- or high-grade lymphomas, but not in the subset of patients treated with combination chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy. CONCLUSION: Cell proliferation rate measured as SPF is closely associated with histologic grading in non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, and it has independent prognostic value. The treatment given influences considerably the prognostic value of SPF.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1994

Prognostic factors in osteosarcoma: a critical review.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this critical appraisal was to determine the prognostic factors that influence survival in patients with nonmetastatic, high-grade osteosarcoma of the extremities. DESIGN: A computerized literature search of reports published from January 1973 to March 1992 was conducted to determine those eligible for inclusion in the review. Reports were reviewed blindly by two of the authors; inclusion and scoring were determined according to preestablished criteria. RESULTS: Eight reports were included in the appraisal. The prognostic variables evaluated were age, sex, anatomic tumor location, tumor size, and tumor necrosis. Tumor size and necrosis following preoperative chemotherapy were significant prognostic variables in relation to survival in univariate analysis. However, only tumor necrosis maintained its significance in multivariate modeling. CONCLUSION: The most important prognostic variable for patients with osteosarcoma of the extremity was tumor necrosis evident following preoperative chemotherapy. There is no consensus as to any prognostic variable that might be used to stratify patients before the onset of therapy.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1994

Prospective evaluation of prognostic variables from patient-completed questionnaires. North Central Cancer Treatment Group.

PURPOSE: This study was developed to determine whether descriptive information from a patient-completed questionnaire could provide prognostic information that was independent from that already obtained by the patient's physician. PATIENTS AND METHODS: An initial detailed questionnaire was administered to approximately 150 patients with advanced cancer. This questionnaire was subsequently revised and given to a total of 1,115 patients with advanced colorectal or lung cancer. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the data from these questionnaires. RESULTS: A total of 36 variables showed statistically significant prognostic information for survival in univariate analyses, even though many of these variables were associated with only a minimal increase in risk. A multivariate analysis demonstrated that there was a high correlation between many variables. Three major groups of variables became apparent as providing strong prognostic information. These included the following: (1) a physician's assessment of performance status (PS); (2) a patient's assessment of their own PS; and (3) a nutritional factor such as appetite, caloric intake, or overall food intake. CONCLUSION: Data generated by a patient-completed questionnaire can provide important prognostic information independent from that obtained by other physician-determined prognostic factors.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed1994

Do American oncologists know how to use prognostic variables for patients with newly diagnosed primary breast cancer?

PURPOSE: This project was designed to investigate how American medical oncologists actually use prognostic information to treat primary breast cancer patients, and to study their difficulties in combining complex and sometimes contradictory information. METHODS: A simple 2-page questionnaire was faxed in May and June 1993 to a sample of American medical oncologists who were members of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO). RESULTS: When presented with simple case histories of patients with newly diagnosed invasive breast cancer and asked to assess prognosis on the basis of tumor size, number of involved axillary nodes, patient age, estrogen receptor level, and progesterone receptor level, there was a wide divergence of opinions about the probability of disease-free survival at 10 years (both for cases in which the patient received no adjuvant therapy and for those in which the patient did receive such therapy). The use of additional prognostic data (such as S-phase, tumor histologic and nuclear grading, and cathepsin D status) did not refine the estimates, but led to an equal or greater dispersion of estimates of prognosis. CONCLUSION: There is a clear need for tools to help oncologists integrate prognostic information for primary breast cancer patients. Such tools might lead to greater accuracy and uniformity of prognostic estimates. Such tools might also help make clear what prognostic tests are worth using for routine clinical practice.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Pepsinogen C is a new prognostic marker in primary breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Here we evaluate in breast cancer patients the prognostic value of pepsinogen C, a proteolytic enzyme involved in the digestion of proteins in the stomach that is also synthesized by a significant percentage of breast carcinomas. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Pepsinogen C expression was examined by immunoperoxidase staining in a series of 243 breast cancer tissue sections, and results obtained were quantified using the HSCORE system, which considers both the intensity and the percentage of cells staining at each intensity. Evaluation of the prognostic value of pepsinogen C was performed retrospectively in corresponding patients by multivariate analysis that took into account conventional prognostic factors. The mean follow-up period was 48.5 months. RESULTS: A total of 113 carcinomas (46.5%) stained positively for this proteinase, but there were clear differences among them with regard to the intensity and percentage of stained cells. Pepsinogen C values were significantly higher in well differentiated (grade I, 89.1) and moderately differentiated (grade II, 88.5) tumors than in poorly differentiated (grade III, 27.7) tumors (P < .001). Similarly, significant differences in pepsinogen C content were found between estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumors and ER-negative tumors (85.9 v 41.2, respectively; P < .05). Moreover, results indicated that low pepsinogen C content predicted shorter relapse-free survival duration and overall survival duration (P < .0001). Separate Cox multivariate analysis for relapse-free survival and overall survival in subgroups of patients as defined by node status showed that pepsinogen C expression was the strongest factor to predict both relapse-free survival and overall survival in node-positive patients (P < .0001 for both) and node-negative patients (P < .005 and P < .01, respectively). CONCLUSION: Pepsinogen C is a new prognostic factor for early recurrence and death in both node-positive and node-negative breast cancer. In addition, and in contrast to most studies that concern the prognostic significance of proteolytic enzymes in cancer, pepsinogen C production by breast cancer cells is associated with lesions of favorable evolution.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Value of P-glycoprotein, glutathione S-transferase pi, c-erbB-2, and p53 as prognostic factors in ovarian carcinomas.

PURPOSE: To determine the prognostic value of immunostaining of P-glycoprotein (P-gp), glutathione S-transferase (GST) pi, c-erbB-2, and p53 in patients with advanced-stage ovarian carcinoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Immunostaining of P-gp, GST pi, c-erbB-2, and p53 was performed on 89 primary tumors and 38 residual tumors after chemotherapy (P-gp and GST pi) in patients with advanced ovarian carcinoma treated with platinum- and doxorubicin-containing chemotherapy. The results of immunostaining were related to clinicopathologic prognostic factors, response to chemotherapy, and progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival. RESULTS: P-gp and GST pi immunoreactivity were present in 13 (15%) and 79 cases (89%), respectively, and were not associated with any other prognostic factor or PFS or overall survival. C-erbB-2 immunoreactivity was present in 18 cases (20%) and was associated with undifferentiated histiotype (P < .05), but not with PFS or overall survival. p53 immunoreactivity was present in the nuclei of 31 cases (35%) and cytoplasm of nine cases (10%). Nuclear p53 staining was associated with grade III tumors, presence of more than 1-L ascites, and residual tumor after first laparotomy more than 2 cm. Nuclear p53 staining was associated with shorter PFS (relative risk [RR], 3.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0 to 5.6) and overall survival (RR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.7 to 3.8). After adjustment for presence of more than 1-L ascites or age more than 50 years, nuclear p53 staining did not retain independent prognostic significance in stage III/IV tumors. The frequency of P-gp staining in residual tumors after chemotherapy (18 of 38 cases) was higher in comparison to untreated tumors (13 of 89 cases) (P < .001). No combination of prognostic parameters was able to predict response to chemotherapy adequately. CONCLUSION: Nuclear immunoreactivity of p53 in ovarian carcinomas is associated with shorter PFS and overall survival and determinants of more aggressive tumor growth. The higher frequency of P-gp immunoreactivity in residual tumors after chemotherapy points to induction of P-gp in ovarian carcinomas by doxorubicin-containing combination chemotherapy. The determination of P-gp, GST pi, c-erbB-2, and p53 does not permit more adequate prediction of response to chemotherapy.

ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily B, Mem↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic factors in allogeneic bone marrow transplantation for multiple myeloma.

PURPOSE: To analyze prognostic factors for allogeneic bone marrow transplantation (BMT) in multiple myeloma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred sixty-two reports of allogeneic matched sibling-donor transplants in multiple myeloma received by the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) registry between 1983 and early 1993 were analyzed for prognostic factors. End points were complete remission, survival, and duration of complete remission. RESULTS: Following BMT, 44% of all patients and 60% of assessable patients entered complete remission. The overall actuarial survival rate was 32% at 4 years and 28% at 7 years. The overall relapse-free survival rate of 72 patients who were in complete remission after BMT was 34% at 6 years. Favorable pretransplant prognostic factors for survival were female sex (41% at 4 years), stage I disease at diagnosis (52% at 4 years), one line of previous treatment (42% at 4 years), and being in complete remission before conditioning (64% at 3 years). The subtype immunoglobulin A (IgA) myeloma and a low beta 2-microglobulin level (< 4 g/L) also tended to have a favorable prognostic impact. The most important post-transplant prognostic factor was to enter a complete remission. Grade III to IV graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) was associated with poor survival. CONCLUSION: Patients with a low tumor burden who respond to treatment before BMT and are transplanted after first-line therapy have the best prognosis following BMT.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

High-dose chemotherapy as salvage treatment in germ cell tumors: a multivariate analysis of prognostic variables.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic variables for response and survival in male patients with relapsed or refractory germ cell tumors treated with high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) and hematopoietic progenitor cell support. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Three hundred ten patients treated with HDCT at four centers in the United States and Europe were retrospectively evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analysis of patient, disease, and treatment characteristics were used for comparisons of response rates and failure-free survival (FFS). RESULTS: The actuarial FFS rate was 32% at 1, 30% at 2, and 29% at 3 years. Multivariate analysis identified progressive disease before HDCT, mediastinal nonseminomatous primary tumor, refractory or absolute refractory disease to conventional-dose cisplatin, and human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) levels greater than 1,000 U/L before HDCT as independent adverse prognostic variables for FFS after HDCT. These variables were used to identify patients with good, intermediate, and poor prognoses. In the good-risk category, the predicted FFS rate at 2 years was 51%, compared with 27% and 5% in the intermediate-risk and poor-risk categories (P < .001). The increased risk for treatment failure was due to both a significantly lower rate of favorable responses and a significantly higher rate of relapses. Within the prognostic categories, the particular HDCT regimen or higher dosages of carboplatin or etoposide did not have a significant influence on treatment outcome. CONCLUSION: Prognostic variables for treatment response after HDCT can be identified. The proposed prognostic model might help to optimize the use of HDCT in germ cell tumors and warrants validation in future trials.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed1996

Prognostic significance of abnormal p53 accumulation in primary, resected non-small-cell lung cancers.

PURPOSE: This study was conducted to evaluate the prognostic significance of p53 abnormalities in primary, resected non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Methodologic validation of immunohistologic detection of p53 abnormalities in routine pathology sections was assessed using 31 lung cancer specimens for which p53 gene status was known from our previous molecular biologic studies. Applying the optimized cutoff value, we evaluated the prognostic significance of p53 abnormalities in an independent cohort of 208 NSCLC patients with complete follow-up data, whose resections were consecutively performed between January 1984 and December 1988. RESULTS: Immunohistologic detection of p53 abnormalities appeared to be reliable and showed approximately 90% concordance with the p53 gene status. Using the selected cutoff value of 10%, 46% of 208 NSCLCs showed p53 abnormalities. There was no relationship between p53 abnormalities and clinical outcome in the entire cohort, which represented all histologic subtypes of NSCLC (P = .58). Based on the reasoning that the influence of p53 abnormalities may have been obscured by distinct biologic roles depending on histologic subtypes, we also separately analyzed subsets of patients with adenocarcinomas (n = 100) and with squamous cell carcinomas (n = 88) and found that it may be a useful prognosticator only in adenocarcinoma patients (P = .04). CONCLUSION: p53 abnormalities are not a significant prognostic factor in primary, resected NSCLC when all histologic subtypes are combined, but may be a useful prognosticator for adenocarcinomas. Additional studies are warranted for further evaluation, specifically of adenocarcinomas.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1996

Analysis of prognostic factors in 1,041 patients with localized soft tissue sarcomas of the extremities.

PURPOSE: To identify specific independent adverse clinicopathologic factors for event-free survival in a cohort of consecutively treated patients with extremity soft tissue sarcomas. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prospectively collected data from a population of 1,041 adult patients with localized (American Joint Committee on Cancer [AJCC] stage IA to IIIB) extremity soft tissue sarcomas were analyzed. Patients were treated at a single institution between 1982 and 1994. Patient, tumor, and pathologic factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate techniques to identify independent prognostic factors for the end points of local recurrence, distant recurrence, disease-specific survival, and post-metastasis survival. RESULTS: The 5-year survival rate for this cohort of patients was 76%, with a median follow-up time of 3.95 years. Significant independent adverse prognostic factors for local recurrence were age greater than 50 years, recurrent disease at presentation, microscopically positive surgical margins, and the histologic subtypes fibrosarcoma and malignant peripheral-nerve tumor. For distant recurrence, intermediate tumor size, high histologic grade, deep location, recurrent disease at presentation, leiomyosarcoma, and nonliposarcoma histology were independent adverse prognostic factors. For disease-specific survival, large tumor size, high grade, deep location, recurrent disease at presentation, the histologic subtypes leiomyosarcoma and malignant peripheral-nerve tumor, microscopically positive surgical margins, and lower extremity site were adverse factors. For post-metastasis survival, only large tumor size ( > 10 cm) was an adverse prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: The independent adverse prognostic factors for distant recurrence and disease specific survival differ from those identified for subsequent local recurrence. Patients with microscopically positive surgical margins or patients who present with locally recurrent disease are at increased risk for subsequent local recurrence and tumor-related mortality. Specific histopathologic subtypes are associated with increased risks for local failure and tumor-related mortality.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Age and serum lactate dehydrogenase level are independent prognostic factors in human immunodeficiency virus-related non-Hodgkin's lymphomas: a single-institute study of 96 patients.

PURPOSE: The role of classical pragnostic factors (ie, age, performance status [PS], stage, extranodal involvement, and serum lactate dehydrogenase [LDH] level) included in the International Index for diffuse large-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) of the general population is presently unknown in the setting of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). To assess the prognostic value of these factors in HIV-related NHL, we reviewed the cohort of patients with HIV-related NHL diagnosed and treated with combination chemotherapy (CT) at our institution. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Ninety-six patients with systemic HIV-related NHL diagnosed and treated with combination CT regimens between September 1987 and December 1993 at the Centro di Riferimento Oncologico, Aviano, Italy, were studied. All clinical and laboratory data were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses, using overall survival as the end point. RESULTS: Complete remission (CR) occurred in 48% of patients; the overall median survival and disease-free survival times were 7 and 13 months, respectively. Among the classical and HIV-related prognostic factors, the following had a statistically significant influence on survival: PS > or = 2, elevated LDH level, age greater than 40 years, a CD4 cell count less than 100/microL, active opportunistic infections at diagnosis of NHL, and B symptoms. Multivariate analyses showed that only age, serum LDH level, and CD4 cell count were independent predictors of shortened survival. The increased hazard for patients greater than 40 years of age was 1.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 2.3), for patients with increased LDH it was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.01 to 3.1), and for patients with a CD4 cell count less than 100/microL it was 1.7 (95% CI, 1.01 to 2.9). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that in addition to HIV-related prognostic factors, ie, CD4 cell count less than 100/microL, classical prognostic factors such as age and serum LDH level are independent prognostic factors and should be included in the design of future clinical trials of HIV-related NHL.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Time to relapse has prognostic value in patients with aggressive lymphoma enrolled onto the Parma trial.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of time to relapse in 188 adult patients with intermediate- or high-grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) included on the Parma trial at the time of their first relapse. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The median follow-up of these patients is 102 months after registration onto the Parma study. Time to relapse was calculated from initial diagnosis, and a cutoff of 12 months was used to separate 77 patients defined as early relapse from 111 patients defined as late relapse. RESULTS: Patients with early and late relapses had significantly different overall response rates to salvage therapy with two courses of dexamethasone, high-dose cytarabine, and cisplatin (DHAP; 40% v 69%; P=.00007) and different 8-year survival rates (13% v 29%; P=.00001). Features at relapse with a negative prognostic value in univariate analysis were higher than normal lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, tumor size greater than 5 cm, Ann Arbor stages III to IV, and Karnofsky score less than 80%. Therefore, multivariate analyses were performed. Time to relapse (P=.001) and LDH levels at relapse (P=.003) had independent prognostic value, whereas tumor size did not reach statistical significance in the logistic model that predicted overall response after two courses of DHAP. The study of prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) confirmed the prognostic value of time to relapse (P < .0001 for OS and P=.005 for PFS) independent of response or treatment after two courses of DHAP. CONCLUSION: Time to relapse may be used to stratify patients at time of first relapse of intermediate to high-grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Plasma c-erbB-2 levels in breast cancer patients: prognostic significance in predicting response to chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: To determine the significance of plasma c-erbB-2 levels to assess the extent of disease spread and to predict the response to chemotherapy in node-positive breast cancer patients. METHODS: We determined plasma levels of c-erbB-2 in 79 stages II and III breast cancer patients who received cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and flourouracil (CMF)/cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, fluorouracil, vincristine, and prednisone (CMFVP) chemotherapy. All patients had a minimum follow-up of greater than 60 months or until disease recurrence. Plasma samples were obtained before and after chemotherapy. Plasma c-erbB-2 levels were quantified by enzyme-linked immunoassay. c-erbB-2 levels were analyzed in relation to the patients' axillary lymph node status, menopausal status, disease status, disease-free survival (DFS), and steroid receptor status of tumor. RESULTS: Plasma c-erbB-2 levels varied widely in breast cancer patients. In general, when all patients were included in the analyses, plasma c-erbB-2 levels before chemotherapy correlated significantly with the number of positive axillary lymph nodes and with postchemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels. No association was observed between pre- or postchemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels and other variables (patients' age at diagnosis, receptor status of the tumor, or disease status). The prognostic significance of different factors (ie, nodal status [one to three v > three positive nodes], menopausal status [pre- v postmenopausal women], estrogen receptor [ER] status [ER+ v ER-], and pre- and postchemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels) in predicting DFS was determined in all study patients. Among the variables examined, nodal status was the strongest predictor of DFS in these patients. The second most significant prognostic marker was postchemotherapy c-erbB-2 level. Prechemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels showed prognostic significance for DFS in a subset of breast cancer patients (ie, patients with > three positive nodes). Patients with greater than three positive lymph nodes and those with greater than 100 fmol/mL of plasma c-erbB-2 levels before therapy had significantly shorter DFS than did those patients with 100 fmol/mL or less c-erbB-2 levels. CONCLUSION: In breast cancer patients, determination of c-erbB-2 levels before therapy is an important biomarker to assess the extent of disease spread in the lymph nodes. Postchemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels are also a prognostic indicator for DFS in patients who receive chemotherapy. Finally, in a subgroup of patients with greater than three positive nodes, prechemotherapy c-erbB-2 levels are a prognostic marker for response of patients to standard chemotherapy.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Prognostic factors in metastatic melanoma: a pooled analysis of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group trials.

PURPOSE: To identify factors that are prognostic for survival in patients with metastatic melanoma treated in eight Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) trials conducted over the past 25 years. METHODS: We identified common, significant patient characteristics collected at baseline on 1,362 eligible patients for inclusion in a pooled analysis. Proportional hazards models were used to examine simultaneously the effects of multiple covariates on survival. RESULTS: Median survival was 6.4 months (95% confidence interval, 6.1 to 6.9 months.) Factors conferring the greatest increased risk of death included number of metastatic sites (relative risk [RR] = 1.12), ECOG performance status of 1 or more (RR = 1.49), or metastatic disease in the gastrointestinal (GI) tract (RR = 1.49), liver (RR = 1.44), pleura (RR = 1.35), or lung (RR = 1.19). Prior immunotherapy (RR = 0.84) and female sex (RR = 0. 87) were associated with prolonged survival. Although only 12% of patients responded to protocol treatment, landmark analysis showed this to be a significant prognostic factor (RR = 0.57). A model based on three recent studies in which baseline values for alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and platelets were available identified an increased number of sites of metastasis (RR = 1.30), abnormal LDH (RR = 1.89), abnormal alkaline phosphatase (RR = 1.76), abnormal platelets (RR = 1.63), and GI metastases (RR = 1. 66) as prognostic for poorer survival. Response to treatment, when examined by landmark analysis of studies with laboratory parameters, was associated with decreased risk of death (RR = 0.47). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the importance and utility of laboratory parameters as prognostic factors for survival and confirmed the deleterious effects of multiple metastatic sites. Prior immunotherapy and female sex were associated with improved prognosis. Prognostic factors identified in this analysis are consistent with the findings of prior published studies and argue for the adoption of laboratory findings in the staging systems that are used for entry and stratification of clinical trials in the future.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

Identification of prognostic factors in 61 patients with posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorders.

PURPOSE: Prognostic studies of posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorders (PTLDs) are hindered by the small number of cases at each transplant center. We analyzed prognostic factors and long-term outcome according to clinical manifestations, pathologic features, and treatment and investigated the prognostic value of the non-Hodgkin's lymphoma International Prognostic Index (IPI) in 61 patients with PTLD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied 61 patients in two institutions who developed PTLD and analyzed factors influencing the complete remission and survival rates. RESULTS: In univariate analysis, factors predictive of failure to achieve complete remission were performance status (PS) > or = (P =.0001) and nondetection of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) in the tumor (P =.01). Only a negative link with PS > or = 2 was observed in multivariate analysis. In univariate analysis, factors predictive of lower survival were PS > or = 2, the number of sites (one v > one), primary CNS localization, T-cell origin, monoclonality, nondetection of EBV, and treatment with chemotherapy. The IPI failed to identify a patient subgroup with better survival and was less predictive of the response rate than was a specific index using two risk factors (PS and number of involved sites), which defined three groups of patients: low-risk patients whose median survival time has not yet been reached, intermediate-risk patients with a median survival time of 34 months, and high-risk patients with a median survival time of 1 month. CONCLUSION: PS and the number of involved sites defined three risk groups in our population. The value of these prognostic factors needs to be confirmed in larger cohorts of patients treated in prospective multicenter studies.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

Simultaneous immunohistochemical detection of tumor cells in lymph nodes and bone marrow aspirates in breast cancer and its correlation with other prognostic factors.

PURPOSE: We studied the prognostic and predictive value of immunohistochemically detected occult tumor cells (OTCs) in lymph nodes and bone marrow aspirates obtained from node-negative breast cancer patients. All were classified as distant metastases-free using conventional staging methods. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 484 patients with pT1-2N0M0 breast cancer and 70 with pT1-2N1M0 breast cancer and a single affected lymph node participated in our trial. Ipsilateral axillary lymph nodes and intraoperatively aspirated bone marrow were examined. All samples were examined for OTCs using monoclonal antibodies to cytokeratins 8, 18, 19. Immunohistological findings were correlated with other prognostic factors. The mean follow-up was 54 +/- 24 months. RESULTS: OTCs were detected in 180 (37.2%) of 484 pT1-2N0M0 patients: in the bone marrow of 126 patients (26.0%), in the lymph nodes of 31 patients (6.4%), and in bone marrow and lymph nodes of 23 (4.8%) patients. Of the 70 patients with pT1-2N1MO breast cancer and a single involved lymph node, OTCs were identified in the bone marrow of 26 (37.1%). The ability to detect tumor cells increased with the following tumor features: larger size, poor differentiation, and higher proliferation. Tumors of patients with OTCs more frequently demonstrated lymph node invasion, blood vessel invasion, higher urokinase-type plasminogen activator levels, and increased PAI-1 concentrations. Patients with detected OTCs showed reduced disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OAS) rates that were comparable to those observed in patients who had one positive lymph node. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors revealed that OTCs, histological grading, and tumor size are significant predictors of DFS; OTCs and grading of OAS. CONCLUSION: OTCs detected by simultaneous immunohistochemical analysis of axillary lymph nodes and bone marrow demonstrate independent metastatic pathways. Although OTCs were significantly more frequent in patients with other unfavorable prognostic factors, they were confirmed as an independent prognostic factor for pT1-2N0M0, R0 breast cancer patients.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Image-aided estimate of tumor burden in Hodgkin's disease: evidence of its primary prognostic importance.

PURPOSE: To explore a more direct method for evaluating tumor burden (TB) in Hodgkin's disease (HD) and to verify its prognostic importance. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The volume of TB at diagnosis was directly and retrospectively measured in 121 HD patients through images of the lesions recorded by computed tomographic (CT) scan of the thorax, abdomen, and pelvis for all deep sites of involvement and many superficial ones, and by ultrasonography (US) for the remaining superficial lesions. RESULTS: The TB, which was obtained from the sum of the volumes of all the lesions measured on CT scans and US and normalized to body-surface area (relative TB [rTB]), showed a median value of 102.6 cm(3)/m(2) (range, 2.2 to 582.8). At multivariate analysis for prognostic value, rTB was the parameter that statistically correlated best with time to treatment failure (P = 2.2 x 10(-6)), followed by erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) (P =.0003), and serum fibrinogen (P =.0112). The prognostic discrimination allowed by rTB alone proved to be clearly superior to that obtained with the score of the International Prognostic Factor Project. The rTB was found to be correlated with many clinical staging parameters (bulky disease, number of involved lymph node regions, serum lactate dehydrogenase, ESR, hemoglobin, Karnofsky index), but its predictability from these variables was low (R(2) =.668). CONCLUSION: Relative TB is emerging as a strong prognostic factor in HD, more powerful than and largely independent of those hitherto known and used. Further studies are needed to confirm these results and exploit their clinical value, particularly the relationship among rTB, drug doses, and response.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2002

Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict the length of survival in patients with carcinomas of an unknown primary site.

PURPOSE: To identify clinical and biologic variables with significant impact on survival in patients with carcinomas of an unknown primary site and to develop a simple prognostic model for the selection of patients in prospective clinical trials. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Univariate and multivariate prognostic factor analyses were conducted in a population of 150 unselected patients and led to the construction of two successive classification schemes. An external data set of 116 patients enrolled onto two prospective trials was used for validation. RESULTS: When studying clinical variables only, poor performance status (2 or 3) and presence of liver metastases were retained in the multivariate analysis. The first classification scheme consisted of three subgroups of patients with median survivals of 10.8, 6.0, and 2.4 months, according to the number of adverse prognostic factors. With the introduction of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels in a further step, liver metastases were no longer significant. The second classification scheme therefore included poor performance status (relative risk [RR], 2.1) and elevated serum LDH level (RR, 2.1). Good-risk and poor-risk patients were identified, with median survivals of 11.7 months and 3.9 months, respectively (P <.0001). The 1-year survival rates were 45% and 11%, respectively. This second classification scheme was validated in an external data set: the median survival rates of patients assigned to the good-risk group and the poor-risk group were 12 months and 7 months, respectively (P =.0089). The 1-year survival rates were 53% and 23%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A simple prognostic model using performance status and serum LDH levels was developed and validated. It allows the assignment of patients into two subgroups with divergent outcome. Further prospective trials will be designed using this prognostic model.

Analysis of Variance↗