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Conditional logistic regression with sandwich estimators: application to a meta-analysis.

Motivated by a meta-analysis of animal experiments on the effect of dietary fat and total caloric intake on mammary tumorigenesis, we explore the use of sandwich estimators of variance with conditional logistic regression. Classical conditional logistic regression assumes that the parameters are fixed effects across all clusters, while the sandwich estimator gives appropriate inferences for either fixed effects or random effects. However, inference using the standard Wald test with the sandwich estimator requires that each parameter is estimated using information from a large number of clusters. Since our example violates this condition, we introduce two modifications to the standard Wald test. First, we reduce the bias of the empirical variance estimator (the middle of the sandwich) by using standardized residuals. Second, we approximately account for the variance of these estimators by using the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution, where the degrees of freedom are estimated using Satterthwaite's approximation. Through simulations, we show that these sandwich estimators perform almost as well as classical estimators when the true effects are fixed and much better than the classical estimators when the true effects are random. We achieve simulated nominal coverage for these sandwich estimators even when some parameters are estimated from a small number of clusters.

Animals↗

On the stationarity and normality of the electroencephalographic data during sleep stages.

In this paper, we show techniques to examine the stationarity and the normality of time series as well as results obtained by applying these techniques to EEG data during sleep stages. Many statistical analyses of the EEG data are based on the assumption that the EEG data are stationary and normally distributed. However, the problem is to know the length of data which is most appropriate for the statistical analysis. From the analysis, it is found that a decreased length of data implies an increased degree of stationarity and normality in each stage of sleep. However, for the practical stationary analysis of EEG data, it is shown that it is appropriate to take about 5 s during sleep state. Stationarity is fulfilled to a relatively large extent in REM but more seldom in stage 2. In the case of short data, asymmetric distribution occupies the large parts of non-normal distribution. As the length of data increases the proportion which is symmetric but sharper or flatter than the normal distribution increases.

Computers↗

Two analytical solutions for a model of pulsed arterial spin labeling with randomized blood arrival times.

A fairly general theoretical model for pulsed arterial spin labeling perfusion methods has been available for some time but analytical solutions were derived for only a small number of arterial blood input functions. These mostly assumed a sudden and simultaneous arrival of the tagged blood into the imaged region. More general cases had to be handled numerically. We present analytical solutions for two more realistic arterial input functions. They both allow the arrival times of the molecules of tagged arterial blood to be statistically distributed. We consider cases of (1) a uniform distribution on a finite time interval and (2) a normal distribution characterized by its mean and standard deviation. These models are physiologically meaningful because the statistical nature of the arrival times reflects the distribution of velocities and path lengths that the blood water molecules undertake from the tagging region to the imaged region. The model parameters can be estimated from the measured dependency of the perfusion signal on the tag inversion time.

Algorithms↗

Assessment of the hygienic performances of hamburger patty production processes.

The hygienic conditions of the hamburger patties collected from three patty manufacturing plants and six retail outlets were examined. At each manufacturing plant a sample from newly formed, chilled patties and one from frozen patties were collected from each of 25 batches of patties selected at random. At three, two or one retail outlet, respectively, 25 samples from frozen, chilled or both frozen and chilled patties were collected at random. Each sample consisted of 30 g of meat obtained from five or six patties. Total aerobic, coliform and Escherichia coli counts per gram were enumerated for each sample. The mean log (x) and standard deviation (s) were calculated for the log10 values for each set of 25 counts, on the assumption that the distribution of counts approximated the log normal. A value for the log10 of the arithmetic mean (log A) was calculated for each set from the values of x and s. A chi2 statistic was calculated for each set as a test of the assumption of the log normal distribution. The chi2 statistic was calculable for 32 of the 39 sets. Four of the sets gave chi2 values indicative of gross deviation from log normality. On inspection of those sets, distributions obviously differing from the log normal were apparent in two. Log A values for total, coliform and E. coli counts for chilled patties from manufacturing plants ranged from 4.4 to 5.1, 1.7 to 2.3 and 0.9 to 1.5, respectively. Log A values for frozen patties from manufacturing plants were between < 0.1 and 0.5 log10 units less than the equivalent values for chilled patties. Log A values for total, coliform and E. coli counts for frozen patties on retail sale ranged from 3.8 to 8.5, < 0.5 to 3.6 and < 0 to 1.9, respectively. The equivalent ranges for chilled patties on retail sale were 4.8 to 8.5, 1.8 to 3.7 and 1.4 to 2.7, respectively. The findings indicate that the general hygienic condition of hamburgers patties could be improved by their being manufactured from only manufacturing beef of superior hygienic quality, and by the better management of chilled patties at retail outlets.

Animals↗

Model systems for dissolution of finely divided (multisized) drug powders.

Several reports have dealt with model systems for the dissolution of log-normally distributed powders. A numerical solution is presented for the previously published Higuchi-Hiestand equations for a log-normal particle-size distribution. This solution was realized via an application of the System 360 Continuous System Modeling Program (CSMP). The resulting computer-aided calculations were utilized in the comparisons between the Higuchi-Hiestand model and other existing models. These comparisons provided a basis for the development of an adaptation of the Nielsen moving sphere model for log-normally distributed powders. The adaptation of the Nielsen equation for multisized particle systems is suggested as being potentially useful for treating experimental data where hydrodynamic effects must be considered.

Chemical Phenomena↗

Binary methods for continuous outcomes: a parametric alternative.

Often a "disease" or "state of disease" is defined by a subdomain of a continuous outcome variable. For example, the subdomain of diastolic blood pressure greater than 90 mmHg has been used to define hypertension. The classical method of estimating the risk (or prevalence) of such defined disease states is to dichotomize the outcome variable according to the cutoff value. The standard statistical analysis of such risk of disease then exploits methods developed specifically for binary data, usually based on the binomial distribution. We present a method, based on the assumption of a Gaussian (normal) distribution for the continuous outcome, which does not resort to dichotomization. Specifically, the estimation of risk and its variance is presented for the one- and two-sample situations, with the latter focusing on risk differences and ratios, and odds ratios. The binomial approach applied to the dichotomized data is found to be less efficient than the proposed method by 67% or less. The latter is found to be very accurate, even for small sample sizes, although rather sensitive to substitutions of the underlying distribution by thicker tailed distributions. Canadian total cholesterol data are used to illustrate the problem. For the one-sample case, the approach is illustrated using data from a study of the arterial oxygenation of 20 patients during one-lung anesthesia for thoracic surgery. For the two-sample case, data from a prognostic study of the renal function of 87 lupus nephritic patients are used.

Binomial Distribution↗

[Distribution pattern of density in lumbar vertebra studied with computed tomography: a study of histogram plot].

The bone mineral status of the cancellous bone in the lumbar vertebrae was evaluated by analysing density histograms and measuring the mean density by computed tomography. The results obtained were as follows: (a) the distribution pattern of bone density in lumbar vertebrae revealed a normal distribution. (b) high correlation coefficients between peak density (r = -0.79) or mean density (r = -0.77) and age was obtained in males, whereas peak densities in females were maintained well at ages younger than 50 years and peak densities abruptly decreased after 50 years of age. Osteoporotic vertebrae, in which multiple osteosclerotic changes were observed, had several peak densities and did not show normal density distribution pattern. These results indicated that our methods combining analysis of density histograms and measurement of mean density are useful to evaluate the bone mineral status.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Analysis of the probability distribution of small random samples by nonlinear fitting of integrated probabilities.

Small random samples of biochemical and biological data are often representative of complex distribution functions and are difficult to analyze in detail by conventional means. The common approaches reduce the data to a few representative parameters (such as their moments) or combine the data into a histogram plot. Both approaches reduce the information content of the data. By fitting the empirical cumulative distribution function itself with models of integrated probability distributions, the information content of the raw data can be fully utilized. This approach, distribution analysis by nonlinear fitting of integrated probabilities, allows analysis of normally distributed samples, truncated data sets, and multimodal distributions with a single, powerful data processing procedure.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗

Ocular distribution of 70-kDa heat-shock protein in rats with normal and dystrophic retinas.

Stress proteins are thought to play an important role in cellular development and in survival mechanisms. We compared the immunolocalization of the 70-kDa stress protein (SP70) in the ocular tissue of the normal Sprague-Dawley (SD) rat with that in the Royal College of Surgeons (RCS) rat with retinal dystrophy. SP70 was present in the maturing ocular tissues of both rat strains. However, once retinal degeneration began in the RCS rat, the retinal pigment epithelium and photoreceptor cells showed increased immunostaining for SP70 over that observed in age-matched SD rats. In late stages of retinal degeneration, immunostaining for SP70 was considerably reduced in the RCS retina, whereas normal distribution of immunostaining for SP70 in the SD retina was preserved, albeit decreased, through postnatal day 180. The optic nerve, ciliary body, and corneal epithelium were also influenced by the dystrophic disease condition, although the pattern of changes in SP70 immunostaining differed for each tissue. These results suggest that the genetic defect in the RCS rat produces a state of metabolic stress in all ocular tissues as the degeneration progresses, but that the subsequent rise in ocular SP70 is insufficient to prevent progression of the disease.

Animals↗

Distribution of auditory-filter bandwidths at 2 kHz in young normal listeners.

Auditory-filter shapes at 2 kHz were estimated for 95 young normally hearing subjects using a notched-noise masker with spectrum level of 45 dB. Excluding two subjects with a recent history of noise exposure, the equivalent rectangular bandwidths (ERBs) of the filters were approximately normally distributed but the distribution had a slight positive skew. The mean ERB was 308 Hz and the standard deviation was 32 Hz. The two noise-exposed subjects had ERBs of 404 and 497 Hz.

Acoustic Stimulation↗

Detection of immune complexes in serum of dogs with neoplastic disease by solid-phase C1q binding, using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

A solid-phase C1q-binding assay for detection of serum immune complexes (IC) was modified for an enzyme-linked immunosorbent antibody method. The IC values were measured in sera from 25 clinically normal dogs and 74 dogs with histologically confirmed neoplastic disease. Serum IC values were expressed in micrograms of heat-aggregated canine immunoglobulin per milliliter that would produce equivalent binding under the same assay conditions. The IC concentrations in sera from normal dogs and dogs with neoplastic disease (mean +/- SD) were 98 +/- 45 and 701 +/- 1,409 micrograms of aggregated canine immunoglobulin G equivalents/ml, respectively. Concentrations in the clinically normal group appeared to be distributed normally and clustered around the middle range of IC values. Dogs with neoplasms had IC values with an irregular distribution, and in general, more dogs had high and low concentrations of IC compared with those in the clinically normal group.

Animals↗

Changes in tubular dysfunction marker levels in parallel with the levels of copper, rather than cadmium, in urine of middle-aged women in non-polluted areas.

OBJECTIVE: This study was initiated to investigate if and to what extent the elevations in urinary alpha(1)- and beta(2)-microglobulins (alpha(1)-MG and beta(2)-MG, respectively) are specific to Cd nephro-toxicity. METHODS: Stored urine samples, collected from 1,000 adult women in 11 prefectures all over Japan, were analysed for eight elements (Ca, Cd, Co, Cu, Mg, Mn, Ni and Zn), alpha(1)-MG, beta(2)-MG, creatinine (CR) and specific gravity (SG); the data were cited from previous publications. The levels of eight elements and two MGs were expressed as observed and after correction for CR or SG (1.016). Age, CR and SG distributed normally, whereas two MGs and eight elements distributed log-normally. The 1,000 cases were classified into quartiles (i.e., 250 cases/group) of the lowest to the highest values (Groups A to D) for each element. RESULTS: alpha(1)-MG and beta(2)-MG increased as a function of Ca, Cd and Cu when corrected for CR, and the two MGs increased in parallel only with Cd and Cu after SG correction. Prevalence of alpha(1)-MG-uria (cut-off values; 5.3 and 6.5 mg/g cr or l) and beta(2)-MG-uria (cut-off values; 300 and 400 microg/g cr or l) was elevated with increasing Ca, Cd and Cu when corrected for CR, but only with Cd and Cu when corrected for SG. Multiple regression analysis of 353 cases of 50-59 year-old women with the eight element levels as independent variables and one of the two MGs as a dependent variable showed that Cu was the most influential element, and both Cd and Zn were less influential. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary levels of alpha(1)-MG and beta(2)-MG among women with no environmental Cd exposure correlated more closely with Cu levels than Cd levels in urine. The observation suggests that sub-clinical elevation in alpha(1)-MG and beta(2)-MG is not always attributable to nephro-toxicity of Cd, and that consideration on possible effects of other elements such as Cu is necessary.

Adult↗

Neoangiogenesis in association with moyamoya syndrome shown by estimation of relative recirculation based on dynamic contrast-enhanced MR images.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study examined abnormalities of the recirculation phase of the contrast medium concentration time course curve in patients with moyamoya disease by using the relative recirculation (rR) parameter. Our aims were to increase understanding of the rR parameter and to assess its possible value in the investigation of moyamoya disease. METHODS: Six patients with confirmed moyamoya disease and five normal participants were examined by using dynamic T2*-weighted MR perfusion imaging. Parametric maps of relative cerebral blood volume, time to peak (TTP), and rR were calculated. The width of the normal distribution of TTP and the normal upper limit for rR were derived from the normal participants by identification of the 97.5% confidence limits for the distributions. Major vessels were identified by selection of pixels with relative cerebral blood volume >0.5. Areas of abnormally prolonged TTP and of increased rR were then identified in patients, and the relationship between these parameters and major vessels was examined. RESULTS: The combination of cerebral blood volume >50%, elevated TTP, and elevated rR values accurately identified areas of moyamoya vessel formation seen on angiograms. Larger well-developed meningeal and basal collaterals did not show abnormalities of rR. Areas of prolonged TTP were also observed to occur in the brain distal to arterial occlusion in all cases. In three of these, abnormal elevation of rR was observed in the center of regions of prolonged TTP. CONCLUSION: These findings support those of our previous work, which suggested that rR can act as an indicator of regional microvascular abnormality, such as that seen in areas of angiogenic activity. They also suggest that measurement of rR may provide valuable additional information regarding patients with moyamoya disease.

Adolescent↗

[Relationship between the occurrence of late potential and the location and size of myocardial infarction evaluated by thallium-201 SPECT].

High-frequency, low amplitude signals, late potentials (LPs), in the terminal portion of the body surface QRS of the signal-averaged ECG were frequently observed in ventricular tachycardia (VT) following myocardial infarction (MI). In this study, we evaluated the correlation between the occurrence of LPs and the size and location of MI estimated by Thallium-201 myocardial SPECT in 30 MI patients. The positive LPs were identified by the value of %RMS 40, the percent ratio of the root mean square voltage in the last 40 msec of the QRS complex to that of the total filtered QRS from the signal averaged ECG using bipolar X, Y, Z leads. The spatial distributions of LPs were evaluated by the LP30 area maps obtained by the body surface mapping using forty-five unipolar electrodes. Sixty projections were obtained over 180 degree by rotating gamma camera after 5 minutes intravenous injection of 74 MBq of Thallium-201. After low-pass filtering, images were reconstructed into short-axis, horizontal long-axis and vertical long-axis tomograms. The maximum count circumferential profiles for each short-axis cuts were generated from the apical to basal cut and they were expressed into two-dimensional polar functional maps (apex to the center), Bull's-eye map, to represent myocardial Tl distribution. Normal limits of myocardial Tl distribution were established as the mean minus 2 standard deviation from those of normal subjects. The MI size was estimated as defect volume ratio (DVR), the percent ratio of abnormal region to that of total volume of left ventricle. Significant differences in DVR were observed among MI with LPs and without LPs.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Electrocardiography↗

Biologic and physical fractionation effects of random geometric errors.

PURPOSE: We are developing a system to model the effect of random and systematic geometric errors on radiotherapy delivery. The purpose of this study was to investigate biologic and physical fractionation effects of random geometric errors and respiration motion and compare the resulting dose distributions with Gaussian blurring of the planned dose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A hypothetical dose distribution with Gaussian penumbra was used. Random errors drawn from a normal distribution, optionally combined with simulated respiration motion (in the cranio-caudal direction), were used to displace the dose distribution for N simulated fractions. To simulate biologic effects of fractionation, the physical dose was converted to a biologically effective dose using the linear-quadratic model (including repopulation), then summed and converted back to physical dose for comparison. Differences between dose distributions were quantified in terms of the distance between selected isodose levels. RESULTS: A limited number of fractions led to an uncertainty in the position of isodose levels in the total dose with as standard deviation (SD) the SD of the random error divided by radical N. Due to biologic fractionation effects, the total dose distribution became slightly wider: 0.4 mm for alpha/beta = 1 Gy and a random error SD of 3 mm. The widening increased with random error and reduced with increasing alpha/beta but does not depend on the number of fractions or on repopulation. Respiration motion caused an asymmetric deviation in the shape of the total dose distribution, but no additional dose widening was seen from the biologic effect of fractionation. With a random error SD of 3 mm and respiration amplitude, A, of 1 cm or less (SD < 0.36 cm), the asymmetry was negligible. For larger respiration amplitudes (combined with the same random error), the shift of the 95% isodose level was about 0.25*A caudally, and 0.45*A cranially. CONCLUSIONS: Gaussian blurring with a combined SD of organ motion, setup error, and respiration motion is a valid approximation for the effect of purely random errors in fractionated radiotherapy. For respiration motion in excess of 1 cm in amplitude, isodose lines shift in a distinctly asymmetric fashion and asymmetric margins need to be used.

Algorithms↗

Sire evaluation for multiple binary responses when information is missing on some traits.

A procedure of sire evaluation for multiple binary responses when information is missing for some traits is described. The genetic model assumes a conceptual underlying multivariate normal distribution rendered discrete by abrupt thresholds. Statistical inferences are made from a posterior distribution consisting of several conditionally independent likelihood functions and a multivariate normal prior distribution. Each likelihood function corresponds to a particular class of information available. Point estimators and predictors of fixed and random effects are the values that maximize the posterior distribution conditionally on heritabilities and genetic correlations. The procedure involves nonlinear maximization. An example involving joint selection for calving ease and skeletal development illustrates the principles. Application of the methodology as a potential means of removing bias due to selection for categorical traits is discussed.

Animals↗

A Monte Carlo investigation of the Fisher Z transformation for normal and nonnormal distributions.

The Fisher transformation of the sample correlation coefficient r (1915, 1921) and two related techniques by Gayen (1951) and Jeyaratnam (1992) are examined for robustness to nonnormality. Monte Carlo analyses compare combinations of sample sizes and population parameters for seven bivariate distributions. The Fisher, Gayen, and Jeyaratnam approaches are shown to provide useful results for a bivariate normal distribution with any population correlation coefficient rho and for nonnormal bivariate distributions when rho = 0. In contrast, the techniques are virtually useless for nonnormal bivariate distributions when rho not equal to 0.0. Surprisingly, small samples are found to provide better estimates than large samples for skewed and symmetric heavy-tailed bivariate distributions.

Confidence Intervals↗

A robust statistical method for detecting differentially expressed genes.

DNA microarray technology allows researchers to monitor the expressions of thousands of genes under different conditions, and to measure the levels of thousands of different DNA molecules at a given point in the life of an organism, tissue or cell. A wide variety of different diseases that are characterised by unregulated gene expression, DNA replication, cell division and cell death, can be detected early using microarrays. One of the major objectives of microarray experiments is to identify differentially expressed genes under various conditions. The detection of differential gene expression under two different conditions is very important in biological studies, and allows us to identify experimental variables that affect different biological processes. Most of the tests available in the literature are based on the assumption of normal distribution. However, the assumption of normality may not be true in real-life data, particularly with respect to microarray data.A test is proposed for the identification of differentially expressed genes in replicated microarray experiments conducted under two different conditions. The proposed test does not assume the distribution of the parent population; thus, the proposed test is strictly nonparametric in nature. We calculate the p-value and the asymptotic power function of the proposed test statistic. The proposed test statistic is compared with some of its competitors under normal, gamma and exponential population setup using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The application of the proposed test statistic is presented using microarray data. The proposed test is robust and highly efficient when populations are non-normal.

Journal Article↗