PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “Prognostics”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,225 records · Page 68Linked to original sources

Adenocarcinoma of uterine cervix -- prognostic significance of clinicopathologic parameters.

AIM: To investigate prognostic significance of several clinicopathologic parameters in patients with adenocarcinoma of the uterine cervix. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 36 patients treated at the Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Zagreb University School of Medicine, Croatia, in the period from 1978-1998. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to examine the prognostic significance of menstrual status, clinical stage, architectural grade, nuclear grade, DNA ploidy, proliferative activity, and mode of therapy. RESULTS: The 5-year survival for this group of patients was 75%. The following parameters proved to be statistically significant in a univariate analysis: clinical stage (P=0.042), architectural grade (P=0.009), and nuclear grade (P=0.002). In the multivariate analysis, the nuclear grade (P=0.007) turned out to be the only statistically significant parameter. According to the nuclear grade, the five-year survival was 80% in the prognostically favorable and only 30% in the unfavorable group of patients. CONCLUSION: Our data showed that in patients with adenocarcinoma of the uterine cervix the nuclear grade, clinical stage, and architectural grade of the tumor represent the most important prognostic parameters. The analysis of DNA ploidy and proliferative activity had no prognostic significance.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Invasive squamous cell carcinoma of vulva: prognostic significance of clinicopathologic parameters.

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of several clinicopathologic parameters in patients with invasive squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 43 patients with invasive squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva treated with radical vulvectomy at the Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics at Zagreb University School of Medicine, Croatia, in the period from 1978-1996. At the time of analysis, follow-up information was obtained for all patients, 18 (41.9%) of whom have died and 25 (58.1%) who were alive at the time of the last contact. The mean follow-up time of surviving patients was 121 months (range, 6-216 months). Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to examine the prognostic significance of age, menstrual status, clinical stage, diameter and localization of the tumor, histological grade, nuclear grade, depth of tumor invasion, presence of vascular space invasion, tumor growth pattern, presence of lymph node metastasis, DNA ploidy, proliferative activity, and mode of therapy. RESULTS: The overall 5-year survival for this group of patients was 62.3%. The results of univariate statistical analysis confirmed that statistically significant prognostic parameters included the age of patients (P=0.038), clinical stage (P=0.001), nuclear grade (P=0.002), the depth of tumor invasion (P<0.001), and presence of lymph node metastasis (P=0.001). On the other hand, the results of multivariate statistical analysis showed that only the depth of tumor invasion (P<0.001) can be considered independent, statistically significant prognostic parameter. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that the depth of tumor invasion represents the most important prognostic parameter in the group of patients with invasive squamous vulvar carcinoma. Clinical significance of DNA ploidy and proliferative activity was not found.

Adult↗

Prognostic significance of mitotic and apoptotic index and the DNA cytometry in head and neck cancer.

The lack of suitable criteria to predict the response to chemo- and or radiotherapy for individual patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (HNSCC) remains still a major problem. This study was conducted to analyze prognostic significance of mitotic and apoptotic index and the DNA flow cytometric analysis of HNSCC to the recurrence-free survival time and to the overall survival. The analysis was carried out in a set of 56 patients suffering from carcinoma of the pharynx and supraglottis. Most patients (96.7%) underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy, followed by surgery and postoperative irradiation. Besides routine examinations, flow cytometric analysis was performed, as well as p53 and Ki-67 markers and mitotic and apoptotic index were established by means of immunohistochemistry. Event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were accepted as primary endpoints for the prognostic analyses. All the examined potential markers entered standard Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression modeling. Statistical significance of prognostic factors was first examined in univariate models and all the parameters subsequently entered multivariate models. The analyses revealed significant prognostic position of advanced clinical stage (III+IV) and increased proliferative activity as primary risk factors (p<0.01) that typically positively correlate with increased mitotic activity and G2/M cell fraction. Better survival results obtained for grade 3-4 as compared to grade 1-2 were caused by molecular parameters that make these samples similar to less risk cases. Cytokinetic parameters and proliferation activity were found as important predictors of the second level (after recognizing stage, grade and DNA status of the tumor). Multivariate combination of these markers contributed namely to the prognosis of early risk event: a ratio S phase cell fraction/G2M cell fraction was found to be the key prognostic factor (p<0.01). Early risk events are associated with increased mitotic activity, decreased apoptic rate, decreased S phase cell fraction and significantly increased G2/M fraction.

Adult↗

[Study on the prognostic factors of colorectal cancer after radical resection and on suggested model for prediction].

OBJECTIVE: To study the factors of colorectal cancer (CRC) after radical resection to provide data predicting the prognosis of the patients. METHODS: 120 cases of CRC were collected in this study. Medical clinical records and 5-year follow-up data were reviewed. Streptavidin-peroxidase immunohistochemical technique was used to detect the expression of p53, C-erbB-2, nm23-H(1) and Ras on formalin-fixed, paraffin embedded sections of CRC from the 120 patients. RESULTS: Results showed that the rates of positive expression of p53, C-erbB-2, Ras and nm23-H(1) were 62.5% (75/120), 25.8% (31/120), 80.0% (96/120) and 60.8% (73/120) respectively in the CRC tissue. All pathological variables and biological markers were analyzed with Cox regression model (alpha = 0.05). Eight distinguished prognostic factors were identified in the univariate analysis as: macroscopic configuration, histology grade, depth of invasion of intestinal, lymph nodes metastasis, Dukes' classification, p53, Ras and nm23-H(1). The results of multivariate analysis (alpha = 0.05) indicated that the independent prognostic factors were Dukes' classification, p53 and nm23-H(1) (P = 0.000), with relative risk of 3.06, 6.02 and 0.40, respectively. A prognostic model: h(t, x) = h(0)(t)exp (-0.9269X(14) + 1.1197X(10) + 1.7948X(11)) was established. Sensitivity, specificity agreement and reliability of the model and Kappa were 79.1%, 83.0%, 80.8% and 0.62, respectively. CONCLUSION: Dukes' classification, p53 and nm23-H(1)seemed to be independent and important prognostic factors. This prognostic model could be used to evaluate the prognosis of patients with CRC by clinicians.

Adult↗

[Prognostication of chronic Ph+ myeloid leukemia using the PHCML.EXE computer program].

In 193 patients with Ph-positive chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) Sokal's calculation formulae prognosticating initial risk status were applied, using the computer program PHCML. The aim of this study was to the prognostic reproducibility of these prognostic staging systems in our patient population. Our results confirm the previous conclusions that prognostic discrimination is possible at the time of diagnosis of CML but in our patients with poorer prognosis the stratification seems to be more accurate. No significant advantage was achieved when we prognosticated our patients younger than 46 years using the formula recommended by Sokal et al. specifically for younger patients. We analyzed different criteria when segregating patients in groups with better or poorer prognosis. We found that the coefficient of the patient's relative risk as the boundary, was 1.9 our patient's group contrary to 1.2 in Sokal's studies.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic factors and scoring system for survival in colonic perforation.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: No ideal and generally accepted prognostic factors and scoring systems exist to determine the prognosis of peritonitis associated with colonic perforation. This study was designed to investigate prognostic factors and evaluate the various scoring systems to allow identification of high-risk patients. METHODOLOGY: Between 1996 and 2003, excluding iatrogenic and trauma cases, 26 consecutive patients underwent emergency operations for colorectal perforation and were selected for this retrospective study. Several clinical factors were analyzed as possible predictive factors, and APACHE II, SOFA, MPI, and MOF scores were calculated. RESULTS: The overall mortality was 26.9%. Compared with the survivors, non-survivors were found more frequently in Hinchey's stage III-IV, a low preoperative marker of pH, base excess (BE), and a low postoperative marker of white blood cell count, PaO2/FiO2 ratio, and renal output (24h). According to the logistic regression model, BE was a significant independent variable. Concerning the prognostic scoring systems, an APACHE II score of 19, a SOFA score of 8, an MPI score of 30, and an MOF score of 7 or more were significantly related to poor prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative BE and postoperative white blood cell count were reliable prognostic factors and early classification using prognostic scoring systems at specific points in the disease process are useful to improve our understanding of the problems involved.

APACHE↗

Prognostic significance of Ki-67/MIB-1 proliferation index in meningiomas.

Even though tumor grade, subtype, and extent of resection are strong prognostic factors in human meningiomas, the growth of this tumor is still unpredictable, and additional prognostic markers are needed. Thus, immunohistochemical determination of proliferative activity using the Ki-67 equivalent antibody MIB-1 has gained increased attention. However, the reported prognostic significance of this marker in meningiomas is not fully clarified. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic role of MIB-1 proliferation index (PI) in a series of meningiomas comprising 23 benign, 17 atypical, and 9 anaplastic tumors. MIB- 1 PI increased with increasing tumor grade and discriminated significantly benign from atypical and anaplastic meningiomas whereas no difference was found between the latter two grades. However, due to the considerable overlap of PI values between the various grades, one should be circumspect before using this criterion for tumor grading. Furthermore, MIB-1 PIs were significantly higher in recurrent tumors compared with non-recurrent and a reliable MIB-1 PI cut-off value of 10% was established. This value, however, cannot automatically be adapted by other laboratories and must be regarded just as a guideline. In conclusion, MIB-1 PI appears as an important prognostic factor and should be used in combination with traditional histological criteria for malignancy in order to identify meningiomas with increased risk of recurrence.

Adult↗

Multivariate analyses of prognostic factors in acute myeloid leukemia: relevance of cytogenetic abnormalities and CD34 expression.

Identification of additional prognostic factors besides karyotype is important for the improvement of the risk adapted treatment strategies in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The aim of this study was to investigate whether other factors besides karyotype could be used as a prognostic tool in newly diagnosed AML. Biological and disease related established and potential prognostic factors were retrospectively analysed in 124 consecutive AML patients treated between 1993 and 2002 at the University hospital Rostock (Germany). One hundred patients received a potential curative intensive chemotherapy (81%), of whom 28 received an allogeneic HSCT at some point of their treatment course, 17 patients (14%) received palliative therapies and 7 patients (5%) received supportive care only. In patients that received potential curative therapies LDH >or=2000 U/l, WBC >50 GPT/l, CD34 surface expression on the AML blasts, secondary AML, unfavorable karyotype and no allogeneic HSCT at some point of treatment course were associated with unfavorable prognosis. However, in the multivariate risk factor analyses only unfavorable karyotype (p=0.012), CD34 positivity of AML blasts (p=0.046), no allogeneic HSCT (p=0.008) and first diagnosis after 1997 (p=0.025) were independent unfavourable prognostic factors. In conclusion, karyotype and CD34 expression are independent prognostic markers in newly diagnosed AML. Furthermore, receiving an allogeneic HSCT at some point of the treatment course seems to be of benefit for AML patients.

Acute Disease↗

[Prognostic factors for long-term outcome of hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases].

The aim of the study was to analyse the prognostic factors for long-term outcome of liver resections for metastases from colorectal cancer. The retrospective analysis included 297 liver resections for colorectal carcinoma liver metastases. The following prognostic factors were considered: age, gender, stage and grade of differentiation of the primary tumour, node metastases, site of the primary colorectal cancer, number and diameter of the hepatic lesions, time interval from primary cancer to liver metastases, preoperative CEA level, adjuvant chemotherapy after hepatic resection, type of hepatic resection, use of intraoperative ultrasound and portal triad clamping, blood loss and transfusions, postoperative complications and hospital stay, tumour-free surgical margins, clinical risk score (as defined by the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Centre group, MSKCC-CRS). Overall survival rates were estimated according to the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared at univariate analysis using the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed including significant variables at univariate analysis using the Cox regression model. Differences were considered significant at p < 0.05. The 1, 3, 5 and 10-year overall survival rates were 90.6%, 51%, 27.5%, and 16.9%, respectively. The univariate analysis revealed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.05) in overall survival in relation to: grade of differentiation of the primary cancer (5-year survival of grades G1-G2 vs grades G3-G4: 30.7% vs 14.4%, p = 0.0016), preoperative CEA level > 5 and > 200 ng/ml (5-year survival of CEA < 5 ng/ml vs CEA > 5 ng/ml: 51.1% vs 15.5%, p = 0.0016; 5-year survival of CEA < 200 ng/ml vs CEA > 200 ng/ml: 27.9% vs 17.4%, p = 0.0001), diameter of major lesions > 5 cm (5-year survival of diameter < or = 5 cm vs > 5 cm: 30.0% vs 18.8%, p = 0.0074), disease-free interval between primary tumour and liver metastases longer than 12 months (5-year survival of patients with disease-free interval < or = 12 months vs > 12 months: 23.0% vs 36.1%, p = 0.042), high MSKCC-CRS (5-year survival of MKSCC-CRS 0-1-2 vs 3-4-5: 36.4% vs 1 6.3%, p = 0.017). The multivariate analysis showed three independent negative prognostic factors: G3-G4 primary cancer, CEA level > 5 ng/ml, and high MSKCC-CRS class. No single prognostic factor turned out to be associated with such disappointing outcomes after hepatic surgery for colorectal liver metastases as to permit the identification of specific subgroups of patients to be excluded on principle from undergoing liver resection. However, in the presence of a number of specific prognostic factors (G3-G4 grade of differentiation of the primary tumour, preoperative CEA level > 5 ng/ml, high MSKCC-CRS) enrolment of the patient in trials exploring new diagnostic tools or new adjuvant treatments may be suggested to improve the preoperative staging of the disease and reduce the incidence of tumour recurrence after liver resection.

Age Factors↗

[Analysis of prognostic factors of and to establish a predictive model for patients with chronic severe hepatitis].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze prognostic factors of and to develop a prognostic model for patients with chronic severe hepatitis (CSH). METHODS: From December 1998 to October 2003, 385 in-patients being treated for chronic severe hepatitis were evaluated. The main clinical and laboratory variables were analyzed as predictive factors of survival with Cox univariate and multivariate regression models. RESULTS: The median survival time of this study group was 47 days. The survival rates at 1, 3, 6 months, 1-year, and 3 years were 66.2%, 32.9%, 26.9%, 22.9% and 17.7% respectively. Four prognostic factors were extracted using Cox's proportional hazard model; the prognostic index (PI) was calculated using the following formula consisting of these factors. PI = 0.016loge + 1.148 hepatic encephalopathy + 0.294loge (bilirubin micromol/L) - 0.826loge (prothrombin time activity). The model accurately predicted 3 months survival in an independent series of 84 patients with chronic severe hepatitis. CONCLUSION: The developed model is valuable in prognostic evaluation of chronic severe hepatitis and it may be useful to guide clinicians in selecting treatment methods for CSH.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic significance of plasma cell propidium iodide and annexin-V indices and their mutual ratio in multiple myeloma.

The aim of this study was a contemporaneous measurement of plasma cells proliferative and apoptotic activity in patients examined at the time of multiple myeloma (MM) diagnosis before initiation of chemotherapy, focussed on the following aspects: determination of prognostic significance of plasma cell propidium iodide (PC-PI) and annexin-V FITC (PC-AI) indices; optimal cut off of PC-PI and PC-AI with regard to overall survival; calculation of summary kinetic index of plasma cells (PC-PI/AI ratio) for evaluation of its prognostic importance; determination of an index (out of PC-PI, PC-AI and PC-PI/AI) showing the closest relation to prognosis of multiple myeloma. The analyzed 122 patients fulfilling SWOG multiple myeloma criteria were treated by conventional chemotherapy. Plasma cell proliferative activity was measured by means of PC-PI examined by flow cytometry using a DNA/CD138 double staining technique. For detection of plasma cells entering apoptosis (PC-AI), flow-cytometry method with annexin-V FITC and MoAb CD138 was used. The PC-PI median in 122 patients was 2.6(0.4-4.8)%. The sequence prognostic analysis showed that the optimal PC-PI cut off was 2.9% and displayed a significant relationship with overall survival (OS) (p=0.031). The group of 94 patients had PC-AI median of 5.0(1.4-24.5)%. The best statistical significance of the rate of apoptosis related to overall survival was found at cut off value of 4.4% (p=0.022). The median of overall kinetic index of plasma cells (PC-PI/AI) examined in 94 MM patients was 0.5(0.05-2.60) and the overall kinetic index was found to display a very good relationship to OS at the cut off value of 0.71 (p=0.032). All the three indices expressing various aspects of kinetics of plasma cells allow the stratification of patients into two prognostically different groups with statistically significantly different medians of overall survival: good risk - OS still undeterminable at the time of analysis; bad risk - M: OS was for PC-PI 17 months, for PC-AI 23 months and for PC-PI/AI 16 months. The ratio of both indices, i.e. PC- PI/AI, however did not bring any further contribution to overall survival/prognosis evaluation, when compared with single PC-PI and PC-AI. Results of present study indicates that the evaluation of both proliferation and apoptotic activities of plasma cells is important for prognosis thus extending possibilities of initial stratification of MMpatients into groups with different prognostic risk.

Adult↗

[Analysis of prognostic factors in breast cancer at University Hospital for Tumors].

Breast cancer is the most common malignant disease in women. It is rare before age 30, whereafter its prevalence rises to reach peak at age 50. Prognostic factors have a very important role in choosing the most appropriate treatment option and making long-term disease prognosis. Currently, the classic prognostic factors such as histologic type, tumor grade, tumor size, regional lymph node involvement, estrogen and progesterone receptor status still are of high prognostic value allowing for reliable prognosis. This retrospective study included female patients treated at Department of Surgery, University Hospital for Tumors in Zagreb over a two-year period (2002-2003). Only patients with histologically diagnosed invasive ductal breast cancer (NOS) undergoing radical modified mastectomy were included in the study. Analysis of the generally accepted prognostic parameters (tumor size, regional lymph node status, tumor grade, hormone receptor status) confirmed their known prognostic value. Study results were consistent with internationally reported data, reflecting appropriate approach by the surgery-pathology team of the hospital in the management of breast cancer.

Adult↗

[Construction and utilization of the prognostic model of serous ovarian adenocarcinoma].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the related factors with prognosis in patients with serous ovarian adenocarcinoma and to set up a prognostic model of serous ovarian adenocarcinoma. METHODS: The clinical, pathological and follow-up data of 104 cases with serous ovarian adenocarcinoma were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan-meier univariate analysis was used to screen the prognostic factors; COX univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the risk coefficient of each factors and different layers in each factor. Pearson rank correlation was used to reject the influence of different factors with each other. And the prognostic model of serous ovarian adenocarcinoma was set up based on the result of the above study, which could be used to deduce the survival probability of patients with serous ovarian adenocarcinoma. RESULTS: International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage (P = 0.0029), histological grade (P = 0.0054), residual disease (P = 0.0000), metastasis of lymph nodes (P = 0.0000) and chemotherapy (P = 0.0000) were the related factors of prognosis in patients with serous ovarian adenocarcinoma, of which FIGO stage was the most important one, followed sequentially by histological grade, metastasis of lymph node, residual disease and chemotherapy (the independent risk coefficient of each factor was 1.3392, 0.9206, 0.7071, 0.6004, 0.4985 in sequence). We set up a prognosis model according to the prognostic index of each factors. The effect of chemotherapy and residual disease on prognosis could be quantified by this model, and the higher the score, the lower the survival probability of patients. CONCLUSIONS: FIGO stage, histological grade, residual disease, metastasis of lymph nodes and chemotherapy are important prognostic factors of serous ovarian adenocarcinoma. This model can be used to estimate the prognosis of patients with serous ovarian adenocarcinoma, and the effect of both chemotherapy and residual disease on the prognosis could be quantified by the model.

Adult↗

[Prognostic assessment in peripheral facial nerve paralysis with particular reference to electroneurography (author's transl)].

Electrophysiological investigations were carried out on 20 healthy controls and 130 patients with peripheral facial nerve paralysis. The aetiology was as follows: idiopathic (Bell's palsy) in 60 cases, viral in 29, traumatic in 18, postoperative in 4, in connexion with chronic otitis media in 6, diabetes mellitus in 4, positive rheumatological tests in 3, disturbed lipid metabolism in 2, the Melkersson-Rosenthal syndrome in 1, as a complication of pregnancy in 2, and in association with a tumour in 1 case. The compound action potential (CAP) of the orbicularis oris muscle was determinedi n 370 occasions in a right/left comparision, the record of the muscle response was intergrated over the time of action (IAR) on 32 occasions and trison of 255 occasions. The normal values are given in the first place and their dependence of the age of the subject. Then, the prognostic sifnficance of the above-mentioned parameters is investigated in cases of peripheral facial nerve paralysis. It is apparent that the determination of the CAP in a right/left comparison is a valuable prognostic guide as early as the 4th day, insofar as a decrease in this parameter of under 50% can be interpreted as a favourable sign and satisfactory reversal of the paralysis can be expected within 6-8 weeks. By contrast, a decrease of over 70% in the CAP is a bad prognostic sign, indicative of presumably only a poor trend to reversal of the paralysis. An intermediate depression of the CAP in the range of 50-70% signifies an expected moderate recovery within 6-8 weeks ahe case of CAP determination at the time of maximum amplitude depression (as opposed to the 4th day), then a decrease of less than 70% is taken to be indicative of satisfactory functional recovery within 6-8 weeks; a decrease of 95-100% signifies a bad prognosis, whilst a decrease amounting to between 70 and 95% carries an uncertain prognosis. The maximum decrease in amplitude was registered on the 8th day on average; the range lay between the 4th and the 14th day. An exception to these figures was the delayed response of the CAP in the case of 6 patients, 5 of whom showed a maximum decrease during the 3rd week and the last patient as late as the 4th week following the onset of facial nerve paresis. Similar reliance can be placed on the prognostic value of the IAR. however, the decrease in the IAR is smaller than that of the CAP measured on the same potential in a right/left comparison, so that a decrease in the IAR of over 60% can already herald a poor recovery. Repeated determination of the latency in cases of facial nerve paralysis showed that the mean latency value for the entire group of patients was slightly prolonged at the end of the 1st week, but the latency values obtained in any one particular patient are of no prognostic significance. A comparison between CAP and latency values obtained with the opposite (i.e...

Action Potentials↗

Prognostic scoring systems in differentiated thyroid carcinoma: which is the best?

The usefulness of three prognostic scoring systems in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (the TNM system, the EORTC score and the AGES index) were evaluated for use in a medium size teaching hospital. Twenty-one patients with papillary (n = 13), mixed (n = 2) and follicular tumours (n = 6) were studied. Median follow-up was over seven years (range 10-194 months). Four patients died. The TNM system gives a poor discrimination between patients with a good prognosis and those with a lethal outcome and is of little value in these tumours. The EORTC score, which is easy to calculate, gives a good prediction of survival. The best discrimination between a good and a bad prognosis was found using the more complicated AGES index for papillary tumours. Of patients with a papillary or mixed papillary carcinoma, one of the two patients with a score of four or more actually died, while all with a good index of less than 4 (13/15 of this subgroup) survived, giving the best prognostic bisection of our patient group. Even in the combined group of all differentiated thyroid carcinomas, the AGES index gives the best prognostic bisection, with 33 percent of patients in the poor prognostic group, of whom 57 percent died. This makes the AGES index the most useful prognostic scoring system.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Classic prognostic factors, flow cytometric data, nuclear morphometric variables and mitotic indexes as predictors in transitional cell bladder cancer.

One hundred and eighty-seven patients with a transitional cell bladder cancer were followed by retrospectively for a mean of 9.5 years. Clinical stage (p less than 0.0001), histological grade (p less than 0.0001), papillary (p less than 0.0001), SPF (p less than 0.0001), M/V index (p less than 0.0001), MAI (p less than 0.0001), DNA index (p = 0.0001) SDNA (p = 0.0004), NA10 (p = 0.0023), NA (p = 0.0044) and G2% (p = 0.0158) were significantly correlated with survival in univariate analysis. In Cox's analysis T-category, papillarity and MAI had independent prognostic value and in combination they predicted bladder cancer-related survival significantly (X2 = 117.5, p less than 0.0001). When histological parameters only were analysed, WHO grade, SPF and papillarity were independent predictors and their combined prognostic significance was high (X2 = 76.6, p less than 0.0001). In papillary tumours SPF (p v 0.0005), MAI (p = 0.0009), DNA index (p = 0.0010) and M/V index (p = 0.0021) predicted survival significantly in addition to stage (P less than 0.0001) and grade (p = 0.0003) in univariate analysis. In Cox's analysis T-category, MAI and M/V index were independent predictors and their combined prognostic value was high (X2 = 54.1, p less than 0.0001). In Ta-T1 and in T2-T3 tumours, WHO grade, papillarity, SPF, mitotic indexes and DI were significant predictors in univariate analysis. In Cox's analysis of Ta-T1 tumours papillarity had independent prognostic value, whereas in papillary Ta-T1 tumours mitotic activity included all prognostic information. In T2-T3 tumours WHO grade and SPF were independent predictors. In conclusion, in papillary bladder tumours T-category is the most important predictor of survival followed by parameters reflecting proliferative activity of cancer cells.

Aged↗

Evaluation of platinum-DNA adduct levels relative to known prognostic variables in a cohort of ovarian cancer patients.

Single-agent chemotherapy with cisplatin or carboplatin can induce remissions in approximately 30% of previously treated patients with advanced stage ovarian cancer. Previous studies have shown that the extent of platinum-DNA adduct formation measured in WBC DNA of ovarian cancer patients treated with cisplatin or carboplatin is directly associated with disease response (Reed et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 84: 5024-5028, 1987). It has been unclear whether adduct level in WBC DNA is independent of known prognostic variables in this disease, or whether adduct level parallels a known prognostic variable that can be more easily monitored. In a cohort of 24 ovarian cancer patients treated with single-agent cisplatin or carboplatin, we retrospectively assessed the relationship between disease response, platinum-DNA adducts in WBC DNA, and each of eight prognostic variables by both univariate analysis and multivariate analysis. The prognostic variables evaluated included: response to previous treatment, Karnofsky status, total platinum dose prior to current therapy, stage of disease, age, bulk of disease at initiation of therapy, histological type, and histological grade. By univariate analysis, adduct level was strongly associated with disease response (two-sided P = 0.0058), with the next strongest associations with disease response being held by Karnofsky status (P = 0.125), stage of disease (P = 0.189), response to previous treatment (P = 0.352), total previous platinum dose (P = 0.358), and age (P = 0.374). No significant associations were found between adduct level and histological type or histological grade. Further, when patients were stratified by the number of cycles studied (one cycle, two cycles, or three cycles), higher levels of adduct were consistently seen in those patients responding to therapy. We conclude that, in this small cohort of refractory ovarian cancer patients treated with single-agent cisplatin or carboplatin, adduct level in WBC DNA appears to be more closely related to disease response than other previously identified prognostic variables.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

Prognostic factors for outcome of and survival after second-look laparotomy in patients with advanced ovarian carcinoma.

In ovarian cancer stages IIB-IV, pre-treatment variables and variables obtained intraoperatively at second-look laparotomy were investigated for their prognostic influence on the outcome of 109 patients and survival after second-look laparotomy in 131 patients. The subjects came from a randomized trial of sequential versus alternating combination chemotherapy. The overall median survival after second-look laparotomy was 62 months. Logistic regression analysis identified stage and hysterectomy plus bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and omentectomy as significant prognostic covariates for second-look laparotomy outcome. Based on a Cox multivariate stepwise analysis, independent prognostic factors for survival after second-look laparotomy were secondary residual tumor size, pre-treatment histologic differentiation grade, and performance status. A high differentiation grade and a good performance status at the start of therapy thus still had a prolonging effect on survival after second-look laparotomy. The prognostic power of these pre-treatment variables was increased substantially by the addition of the secondary residual tumor size variable. The 3-year survival rate after second-look laparotomy for high- and low-risk patients was 15 and 87%, respectively. Second-look laparotomy thus provides prognostic information in patients with advanced ovarian carcinoma, but the benefit in terms of survival is still unclear.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗