The validation of the Billings ovulation method by laboratory research and field trials.
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Five programs of instruction in the ovulation method (OM) in diverse geographic and cultural settings are described, and characteristics of approximately 200 consecutive OM acceptors in each program are examined. Major findings include: the religious background and family size of acceptors are variable, as is the level of previous contraceptive use. Acceptors are drawn from a wide range of socioeconomic and religious backgrounds; however, family planning intention was similarly distributed in all five countries. In sum, the ovulation method is accepted by persons from a variety of backgrounds within and between cultural setting.
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Data from two prospective studies of the ovulation method were used to assess pregnancy rates and users' fertility-related behaviors among breastfeeding women. The rate of unplanned pregnancy was less than 1% during the first 6 months of lactational amenorrhea. However, the unplanned pregnancy rate was elevated among breastfeeders during the months after menses return compared with the pregnancy rate during nonlactating cycles. Rates were also elevated at the time when infant feeding supplementation was started. This increase in unplanned pregnancies was not directly attributable to nonadherence to the ovulation method rules; there was some indication that adherence to the rules actually may be increased during those months. Therefore, special emphasis on both the need for improved breastfeeding support to delay menses return and the increased potential for method failure among new users during this period of time should be incorporated into ovulation method training and support programs.
A five-country prospective study was undertaken to determine the effectiveness of the ovulation method of natural family planning. After successful completion of a teaching phase of three cycles, 725 subjects entered a 13-cycle effectiveness phase and contributed 7514 cycles of observation. The overall cumulative net probability of discontinuation for the effectiveness study after 13 cycles was 35.6%, 19.6% due to pregnancy. Pregnancy rates per 100 woman-years calculated using the modified Pearl index were as follows: conscious departure from the rules of the method, 15.4; inaccurate application of instructions, 3.5; method failure, 2.8; inadequate teaching, 0.4; and uncertain, 0.5.
The modified mucus method-Prajanan Jagriti (fertility awakening) is intended to serve the cultural needs of illiterate and semilliterate women. Over 10 months, 3003 women in northern India were taught the modified mucus method. There were a total of 42 pregnancies in 24,702 cycles for a Pearl index of 2.04. High effectiveness is attributed to the support that was provided to clients by the instructor.
Records of the occurrence of vaginal bleeding were obtained from women using either a natural method of contraception or one of four types of hormonal contraceptive. The relationships between their bleeding patterns and a number of demographic variables were examined, with the aim of identifying subgroups of women who, if they used a particular hormonal method of contraception, would be likely to suffer more or less disruption to their bleeding pattern than the 'norm'. Within contraceptive method, bleeding patterns were more closely related to the women's geographical region of residence than to any other factor. Some of the differences between regions were consistent across contraceptive methods. European women tended to have more bleeding/spotting days than women in other regions; Latin American women had relatively short episodes and long bleeding-free intervals, whether they were using the ovulation method, combined pills or a vaginal ring. Other differences were method-specific. Women using combined pills in India or Pakistan had fewer spotting episodes than women using the same method elsewhere; those using progestogen-only pills had more. Regional variations in bleeding patterns were particularly marked among women using DMPA, and increased over time: by their fourth injection interval, 25% of European women had amenorrhea, as compared with 72% of subjects in North Africa. These findings need to be confirmed by carefully controlled studies of menstrual bleeding patterns and their acceptability in various ethnic groups. The results would be valuable in counselling new contraceptive acceptors, and could eventually guide the choice of methods for introduction into national family planning programmes.
Menstrual diary records were obtained from women using either a natural method of contraception, a combined or progestogen-only oral contraceptive, a vaginal ring, or a long-acting injectable (DMPA). Within each method group, multiple regression analysis was used to examine the relationships between the subjects' bleeding patterns and their age, age at menarche, ponderal index, obstetric and contraceptive history and ethnic origin. The influence of ethnic origin was described in the preceding paper. Among combined pill users, increasing age was associated with more frequent spotting episodes. In both the untreated and combined pill groups, women with a higher ponderal index had less variable bleeding-free intervals; in the vaginal ring and DMPA groups, the more obese women had shorter bleeding/spotting episodes and longer bleeding-free intervals. Among combined oral contraceptive users, the most influential variable was the time since the end of the woman's last pregnancy: subjects who had been more recently pregnant had longer, less predictable episodes and shorter intervals. Previous oral contraceptive use was associated with more predictable bleeding patterns among women currently using either type of oral pill. In the vaginal ring and DMPA groups, subjects whose last pregnancy had ended in abortion had more bleeding/spotting days and episodes than those who had had a live birth. As reported previously, bleeding patterns were more closely related to the woman's geographical region of residence than to any other factor. The associations found with other individual characteristics were often inconsistent or difficult to interpret. A number of variables which could potentially influence menstrual bleeding patterns, such as nutritional status, were not measured and therefore could not be included in the analysis. However, contraceptive method and ethnic origin may be predominant influences, overriding any other factor.
An independent assessment of the CUE Monitor (Zetek, Aurora, Colorado) as an ovulation predictor was made with emphasis on its potential role in "natural family planning". The device provides a digital measurement of the electrical resistance of saliva and vaginal secretions. Twenty-nine menstrual cycles from 11 regularly cycling women were monitored with basal temperatures, urinary LH, pelvic ultrasound and the CUE monitor. Patterns of peak salivary electrical resistance were able to predict ovulation on average 5.3 (+/- 1.9 SD) days in advance. Despite variations in total length of the follicular phase from cycle to cycle, the within-subject variation of this predictive interval was quite small. Nadirs in the electrical resistance of vaginal secretions occurred within 2 days of ovulation in all but one patient. Variation in this interval from cycle-to-cycle was small as well. We propose an algorithm for the use of these intervals in "natural family planning" that could safely reduce the monthly abstinence period of present methods. The simplicity, objectivity and consistency of this device could result in their greater general acceptance.
When properly taught and practised, natural family planning can be a highly effective form of birth regulation. Recent studies indicate low failure rates of less than three pregnancies per 100 women years for couples with a strong motivation to follow the method. Studies show that pregnancy rates are high when the rules for avoiding pregnancy are not adhered to. Successful natural family planning can lead to heightened self esteem and marital enrichment.
Some indirect relationships between contraception failures and offspring with a pathological condition are reviewed, and a causal connection between them is suggested. This hypothesis is supported by the decreasing incidence of Down syndrome (DS) in general in recent years, and the increase among the younger maternal age categories as well as the effect of birth order. A more than doubled incidence of DS children among young Catholic mothers and the fact that conceptions of children with DS are preceded by unusually long periods of abstinence are emphasised and discussed. These data offer circumstantial evidence that the conceptions that occur despite application of the so called "natural" family planning methods in particular are at high risk. The impact of reproductive biological failures ("nature") and of reproductive behaviour ("nurture") on the human gametes can be disentangled by thorough studies of the epidemiology of major and minor congenital anomalies.
Menstrual diary records were obtained from a total of 5257 women using nine different methods of contraception, one natural and eight hormonal. This paper presents a comparative analysis of their vaginal bleeding patterns. The analytic procedures follow the recommendations of a recent WHO workshop on bleeding pattern analysis, which involve dividing each subject's diary into successive 90-day reference periods, calculating ten indices for each period, and classifying women according to whether they have "clinically important" bleeding disturbances. In general, the findings of this analysis confirm those of previous studies. Women using the natural method, who were deliberately selected for the regularity of their menstrual cycles, averaged three bleeding/spotting episodes of length 5 days in each 90-day period, with very little variability within or between women. Subjects given a combined oral contraceptive had more regular patterns than any other treated group, with short (4-day) episodes and 23-24 day bleeding-free intervals. Progestogen-only pill users had more frequent, longer episodes and shorter, less predictable intervals than combined pill users. Contrary to widely-held beliefs, the progestogen-only pills produced fewer spotting days than the combined pills, and almost no spotting episodes at all. Nearly half of vaginal ring users experienced some menstrual disturbance in each period; their most common problems were irregular, infrequent or prolonged bleeding. Women using the long-acting injectable, depot medroxyprogesterone acetate, had totally unpredictable patterns, with infrequent but prolonged bleeding/spotting episodes. The incidence of amenorrhea rose from just under 10% in their first injection interval to over 40% in their fourth. The methods of analysis recommended by WHO in 1985 still require substantial refinement. Nevertheless, they are more sensitive than those used previously for WHO trials and produce an easily understood, clinically meaningful characterization of bleeding patterns.