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PubMed2026

Machine learning-integrated multi-omics risk prediction for pulmonary fungal infection in COPD and lung cancer: a transcriptomic and immune profiling study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lung cancer are major risk factors for invasive pulmonary fungal infection (IPFI), carrying an attributable mortality of 30%-80%. Their coexistence further amplifies immunosuppression, while current diagnostic criteria remain inadequate for early risk identification. METHODS: Transcriptomic data from the GEO dataset GSE296912 (scRNA-seq; 12,078 cells from normal and COPD lung tissue) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) bulk RNA-seq cohort (539 tumor and 59 normal samples) underwent differential expression and cross-omics integration analysis. Five machine learning models were constructed: logistic regression, SVM, random forest, XGBoost, and LASSO. Candidate genes were validated by qRT-PCR in A549 cells and THP-1-derived macrophages stimulated with heat-inactivated Aspergillus fumigatus conidia, a protocol selected to ensure BSL-2 biosafety compliance and isolate PAMP-mediated innate immune signaling. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold stratified cross-validation with AUC, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Single-cell transcriptomic analysis of 12,078 cells identified 14 distinct cell populations, with marked myeloid expansion and immune dysregulation in COPD lung tissue. Cross-omics integration with TCGA-LUAD data identified 1,145 shared genes (79 immune-related), converging on NF-κB, TLR4, and cytokine receptor signaling. The random forest model achieved excellent discriminative performance (5-fold CV AUC = 0.988), with Treg infiltration, TLR4, and MMP9 as the top predictors. qRT-PCR confirmed significant upregulation of all five candidate genes (DEFB4A, S100A8, IL-8, MMP9, and TLR4) in both A549 and THP-1 cells following fungal stimulation. CONCLUSION: This multi-omics machine learning model integrating scRNA-seq and TCGA transcriptomic data demonstrates excellent discriminative performance (AUC = 0.988), with mechanistic convergence of NF-κB, TLR4, and oncogenic signaling pathways identified across shared immune gene signatures. In vitro qRT-PCR validation confirms the biological relevance of five key antifungal immune genes, providing a transcriptomic foundation for future prospective IPFI risk stratification in patients with COPD and lung cancer.

TLR4↗

PubMed2005

Simple decision rules for classifying human cancers from gene expression profiles.

MOTIVATION: Various studies have shown that cancer tissue samples can be successfully detected and classified by their gene expression patterns using machine learning approaches. One of the challenges in applying these techniques for classifying gene expression data is to extract accurate, readily interpretable rules providing biological insight as to how classification is performed. Current methods generate classifiers that are accurate but difficult to interpret. This is the trade-off between credibility and comprehensibility of the classifiers. Here, we introduce a new classifier in order to address these problems. It is referred to as k-TSP (k-Top Scoring Pairs) and is based on the concept of 'relative expression reversals'. This method generates simple and accurate decision rules that only involve a small number of gene-to-gene expression comparisons, thereby facilitating follow-up studies. RESULTS: In this study, we have compared our approach to other machine learning techniques for class prediction in 19 binary and multi-class gene expression datasets involving human cancers. The k-TSP classifier performs as efficiently as Prediction Analysis of Microarray and support vector machine, and outperforms other learning methods (decision trees, k-nearest neighbour and naïve Bayes). Our approach is easy to interpret as the classifier involves only a small number of informative genes. For these reasons, we consider the k-TSP method to be a useful tool for cancer classification from microarray gene expression data. AVAILABILITY: The software and datasets are available at http://www.ccbm.jhu.edu CONTACT: actan@jhu.edu.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2026

Global microbial DNA signatures of temperature and nutrient limitation across ecosystems.

Microbial genomes continuously adapt to environmental conditions, but identifying universal signatures of adaptation remains challenging. Here we show that environmental temperature can be accurately predicted across ecosystems from DNA composition alone (R2 = 0.75), using tetranucleotide frequencies from 1,235 marine and soil metagenomes and a machine learning approach. This predictive signal was also apparent within individual taxa, consistent with a fundamental temperature-associated signature. By contrast, GC content exhibited opposite correlations with temperature in soil (positive) and marine (negative) environments. This phenomenon was probably driven by differences in nutrient availability, as GC content increases with nutrients while nutrients decrease with temperature in marine samples. By integrating these observations, we identified specific tetranucleotides, with 50% GC, that displayed consistent and robust temperature correlations across environments and may have contributed to the stability of predictions. This work highlights metagenome-wide DNA-temperature associations, relevant for understanding microbial community responses to global changes.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2006

Predicting the insurgence of human genetic diseases associated to single point protein mutations with support vector machines and evolutionary information.

MOTIVATION: Human single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are the most frequent type of genetic variation in human population. One of the most important goals of SNP projects is to understand which human genotype variations are related to Mendelian and complex diseases. Great interest is focused on non-synonymous coding SNPs (nsSNPs) that are responsible of protein single point mutation. nsSNPs can be neutral or disease associated. It is known that the mutation of only one residue in a protein sequence can be related to a number of pathological conditions of dramatic social impact such as Alzheimer's, Parkinson's and Creutzfeldt-Jakob's diseases. The quality and completeness of presently available SNPs databases allows the application of machine learning techniques to predict the insurgence of human diseases due to single point protein mutation starting from the protein sequence. RESULTS: In this paper, we develop a method based on support vector machines (SVMs) that starting from the protein sequence information can predict whether a new phenotype derived from a nsSNP can be related to a genetic disease in humans. Using a dataset of 21 185 single point mutations, 61% of which are disease-related, out of 3587 proteins, we show that our predictor can reach more than 74% accuracy in the specific task of predicting whether a single point mutation can be disease related or not. Our method, although based on less information, outperforms other web-available predictors implementing different approaches. AVAILABILITY: A beta version of the web tool is available at http://gpcr.biocomp.unibo.it/cgi/predictors/PhD-SNP/PhD-SNP.cgi

Algorithms↗

PubMed2000

Large-scale predictions of secretory proteins from mammalian genomic and EST sequences.

Machine learning techniques have improved predictions of secretory proteins from protein, genomic and expressed sequence tag (EST) sequences. Artificial neural networks, physical sequence analysis using high-performance optimization, and hidden Markov models identify extremely variable signal peptides (the vehicles of protein transport across the endoplasmic reticulum membrane), transmembrane segments, and specific extracellular and intracellular domains as indicators of possible roles in the intercellular and intracellular chemical signaling pathways. The major role of peptide hormones, blood coagulation factors, carcinogenesis agents, and other secretory proteins in orchestrating multicellular life indicates pharmacological potential in the cure of major diseases and numerous biotechnological applications.

Animals↗

PubMed2006

Prediction of protein continuum secondary structure with probabilistic models based on NMR solved structures.

BACKGROUND: The structure of proteins may change as a result of the inherent flexibility of some protein regions. We develop and explore probabilistic machine learning methods for predicting a continuum secondary structure, i.e. assigning probabilities to the conformational states of a residue. We train our methods using data derived from high-quality NMR models. RESULTS: Several probabilistic models not only successfully estimate the continuum secondary structure, but also provide a categorical output on par with models directly trained on categorical data. Importantly, models trained on the continuum secondary structure are also better than their categorical counterparts at identifying the conformational state for structurally ambivalent residues. CONCLUSION: Cascaded probabilistic neural networks trained on the continuum secondary structure exhibit better accuracy in structurally ambivalent regions of proteins, while sustaining an overall classification accuracy on par with standard, categorical prediction methods.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2005

Machine learning approaches for phenotype-genotype mapping: predicting heterozygous mutations in the CYP21B gene from steroid profiles.

OBJECTIVE: Non-linear relations between multiple biochemical parameters are the basis for the diagnosis of many diseases. Traditional linear analytical methods are not reliable predictors. Novel nonlinear techniques are increasingly used to improve the diagnostic accuracy of automated data interpretation. This has been exemplified in particular for the classification and diagnostic prediction of cancers based on expression profiling data. Our objective was to predict the genotype from complex biochemical data by comparing the performance of experienced clinicians to traditional linear analysis, and to novel non-linear analytical methods. DESIGN AND METHODS: As a model, we used a well-defined set of interconnected data consisting of unstimulated serum levels of steroid intermediates assessed in 54 subjects heterozygous for a mutation of the 21-hydroxylase gene (CYP21B) and in 43 healthy controls. RESULTS: The genetic alteration was predicted from the pattern of steroid levels with an accuracy of 39% by clinicians and of 64% by linear analysis. In contrast, non-linear analysis, such as self-organizing artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and nearest neighbour classifiers, allowed for higher accuracy up to 83%. CONCLUSIONS: The successful application of these non-linear adaptive methods to capture specific biochemical problems may have generalized implications for biochemical testing in many areas. Nonlinear analytical techniques such as neural networks, support vector machines, and nearest neighbour classifiers may serve as an important adjunct to the decision process of a human investigator not 'trained' in a specific complex clinical or laboratory setting and may aid them to classify the problem more directly.

Adult↗

PubMed2025

Prediction of gene expression using histone modification patterns extracted by Particle Swarm Optimization.

MOTIVATION: Histone modifications play an important role in transcription regulation. Although the general importance of some histone modifications for transcription regulation has been previously established, the relevance of others and their interaction is subject to ongoing research. By training Machine Learning models to predict a gene's expression and explaining their decision making process, we can get hints on how histone modifications affect transcription. In previous studies, trained models were either hardly explainable or the models were trained solely on the abundance of histone modifications. Based on other studies, which used histone modification patterns, rather than their abundance, to identify potential regulatory elements, we hypothesize the histone modification pattern in a gene's promoter to be more predictive for gene expression. We used an optimization algorithm to extract predictive histone modification profiles. RESULTS: Our algorithm called PatternChrome achieved an average area under curve (AUC) score of 0.9029 over 56 samples for binary classification, outperforming all previous algorithms for the same task. We explained the models decisions to deduce the effect of specific features, certain histone modifications or promoter positions on transcription regulation. Although the predictive histone modification patterns were extracted for each sample separately, they can be used to predict gene expression in other samples, implying that the created patterns are largely generalizable. Interestingly, the impact of histone modifications on gene regulation appears predominantly indifferent to cellular specificity. Through explanation of the classifier's decisions, we substantiate established literature knowledge while concurrently revealing novel insights into the intricate landscape of transcriptional regulation via histone modification. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The code for the PatternChrome algorithm, the scripts for the analyses and the required data can be found at (https://gitlab.gwdg.de/MedBioinf/generegulation/patternchrome).

Humans↗

PubMed2002

Prediction of contact maps by GIOHMMs and recurrent neural networks using lateral propagation from all four cardinal corners.

MOTIVATION: Accurate prediction of protein contact maps is an important step in computational structural proteomics. Because contact maps provide a translation and rotation invariant topological representation of a protein, they can be used as a fundamental intermediary step in protein structure prediction. RESULTS: We develop a new set of flexible machine learning architectures for the prediction of contact maps, as well as other information processing and pattern recognition tasks. The architectures can be viewed as recurrent neural network implemantations of a class of Bayesian networks we call generalized input-output HMMs (GIOHMMs). For the specific case of contact maps, contextual information is propagated laterally through four hidden planes, one for each cardinal corner. We show that these architectures can be trained from examples and yield contact map predictors that outperform previously reported methods. While several extensions and improvements are in progress, the current version can accurately predict 60.5% of contacts at a distance cutoff of 8 A and 45% of distant contacts at 10 A, for proteins of length up to 300.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2004

A neural-network-based method for predicting protein stability changes upon single point mutations.

MOTIVATION: One important requirement for protein design is to be able to predict changes of protein stability upon mutation. Different methods addressing this task have been described and their performance tested considering global linear correlation between predicted and experimental data. Neither is direct statistical evaluation of their prediction performance available, nor is a direct comparison among different approaches possible. Recently, a significant database of thermodynamic data on protein stability changes upon single point mutation has been generated (ProTherm). This allows the application of machine learning techniques to predicting free energy stability changes upon mutation starting from the protein sequence. RESULTS: In this paper, we present a neural-network-based method to predict if a given mutation increases or decreases the protein thermodynamic stability with respect to the native structure. Using a dataset consisting of 1615 mutations, our predictor correctly classifies >80% of the mutations in the database. On the same task and using the same data, our predictor performs better than other methods available on the Web. Moreover, when our system is coupled with energy-based methods, the joint prediction accuracy increases up to 90%, suggesting that it can be used to increase also the performance of pre-existing methods, and generally to improve protein design strategies. AVAILABILITY: The server is under construction and will be available at http://www.biocomp.unibo.it

Algorithms↗

PubMed1997

The predictive and explanatory power of inductive decision trees: a comparison with artificial neural network learning as applied to the noninvasive diagnosis of coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: This paper compares two machine learning systems, an inductive decision tree (IDT) and a back-propagation neural network (ANN), in the noninvasive assessment of coronary artery disease given a set of diagnostic input attributes. A collection of 490 patient cases were accumulated from the reference of diagnostic stress myocardial scintigraphy performed in a nuclear medicine department. All cases had correlating angiography, the results of which were used to derive the target diagnoses. Input attributes included 4 baseline clinical characteristics, 4 nonimaging stress components, and 3 scintigraphic findings. METHODS: We chose 4 possible angiographic criteria for coronary artery disease and assessed the ability of each learning system to develop a diagnostic model. The 2 machine learning systems were compared on the basis of predictive performance and explanatory power. RESULTS: Cross-validation experiments showed the 2 machine learning systems to have equivalent predictive power at the same level as the clinical scan reading. For the 70% stenosis criterion, the IDT had a sensitivity of 94 +/- 3% (mean +/- 95% confidence interval) and a specificity of 59 +/- 8%, and the ANN had a sensitivity of 97 +/- 2% and a specificity of 51 +/- 13%. However the IDT system exhibited excellent explanatory power; producing simple representations of the diagnostic models which agree with previous research. CONCLUSION: In comparison with the more widely used ANNs, the IDT learning system may bring advantages to certain problems in diagnostic classification.

Coronary Angiography↗

PubMed2026

Beyond predictive performance: A systematic review and critical methodological appraisal of AI/ML and conventional modelling strategies in breast, colorectal, and pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Predictive modelling for cancer risk, treatment-related complications, and survival is central to precision oncology. Conventional logistic regression (LR) and Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) regression remain widely used but are limited when modelling nonlinear interactions, high-dimensional imaging features, and multimodal clinical-metabolic predictors. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods offer expanded capability through automated feature extraction, ensemble learning, and flexible survival modelling, but the evidence on when AI/ML adds value over conventional models across cancer sites and predictive tasks remains fragmented. OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the methodological performance, validation strategies, and translational limitations of AI/ML models compared with conventional statistical models in published predictive-modelling studies for breast, colorectal, or pancreatic cancer. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for studies published between January 2019 and March 2025. Two reviewers independently conducted title-and-abstract screening, full-text eligibility assessment, and PROBAST risk-of-bias assessment. Sixty-five studies (n = 907,567 participants) were narratively synthesised by cancer site, predictive task, model family, comparator, validation strategy, predictor modality, and calibration or explainability reporting. RESULTS: The 65 studies comprised breast cancer (n = 35), colorectal cancer (n = 21), and pancreatic cancer (n = 9). AI/ML superiority over LR and CoxPH was task- and data-dependent. CNN- and U-Net-based models predominated in imaging and body-composition tasks, tree-based ensembles consistently outperformed LR for tabular perioperative complication prediction, and CoxPH remained competitive, and in the largest pancreatic risk study, superior to XGBoost (C-index 0.802 vs 0.723) in well-structured datasets. PROBAST analysis-domain risk was moderate in 54 of 65 studies (83%), driven by limited external validation, sparse calibration reporting (11/65), and few decision-curve analyses (7/65). CONCLUSION: AI/ML adds the most methodological value in imaging-derived feature extraction and nonlinear perioperative prediction, while conventional regression remains preferable in large, structured datasets with linear predictors. Clinical translation requires standardised body-composition definitions, external validation, calibration assessment, decision-curve analysis, and explainability, in line with TRIPOD+AI and CLAIM standards.

Humans↗

PubMed1995

Machine learning for development of an expert system to predict premature birth.

Normal pregnancy involves a term of 40 weeks gestation. Problems associated with low birthweight and prematurity continue to plague childbearing families and the healthcare system because 8-12% of all newborns in the United States deliver prior to 37 weeks gestation. The high cost of caring for premature babies increasingly treats all pregnant women as if they are 'high risk' for preterm birth. Artificial intelligence techniques used a machine learning program named LERS1 with large datasets (n = 18,890; 214 variables), statistical analysis, expert verification techniques, and a prototype expert system2 that yielded improved accuracy (53-90%) over existing manual techniques (17-38%) for predicting preterm birth.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Nonlinear prediction of quantitative structure-activity relationships.

Predicting the log of the partition coefficient P is a long-standing benchmark problem in Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationships (QSAR). In this paper we show that a relatively simple molecular representation (using 14 variables) can be combined with leading edge machine learning algorithms to predict logP on new compounds more accurately than existing benchmark algorithms which use complex molecular representations.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2006

Identifying interaction sites in "recalcitrant" proteins: predicted protein and RNA binding sites in rev proteins of HIV-1 and EIAV agree with experimental data.

Protein-protein and protein nucleic acid interactions are vitally important for a wide range of biological processes, including regulation of gene expression, protein synthesis, and replication and assembly of many viruses. We have developed machine learning approaches for predicting which amino acids of a protein participate in its interactions with other proteins and/or nucleic acids, using only the protein sequence as input. In this paper, we describe an application of classifiers trained on datasets of well-characterized protein-protein and protein-RNA complexes for which experimental structures are available. We apply these classifiers to the problem of predicting protein and RNA binding sites in the sequence of a clinically important protein for which the structure is not known: the regulatory protein Rev, essential for the replication of HIV-1 and other lentiviruses. We compare our predictions with published biochemical, genetic and partial structural information for HIV-1 and EIAV Rev and with our own published experimental mapping of RNA binding sites in EIAV Rev. The predicted and experimentally determined binding sites are in very good agreement. The ability to predict reliably the residues of a protein that directly contribute to specific binding events--without the requirement for structural information regarding either the protein or complexes in which it participates--can potentially generate new disease intervention strategies.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

PubMed2002

Evaluating transmembrane topology prediction methods for the effect of signal peptide in topology prediction.

Reported performance of existing transmembrane (TM) topology prediction methods were often based on evaluations which neglected the risk of signal peptides (SP) being predicted as putative TM as well. Here, we evaluated 12 selected TM topology prediction methods (TMpred, TopPred II, DAS, TMAP, MEMSAT 2, SOSUI, PRED-TMR2, TMHMM 2.0, HMMTOP 2.0, SPLIT 3.5, TM Finder, and MPEx) for the effect of SP in prediction performance considering three SP treatments, namely: "remain" (untreated), "removed first", and "removed later". The results showed that the presence of SP significantly affected the prediction performance of the 12 selected TM topology prediction methods for all three predicted attributes (the number of transmembrane segments (TMSs), the number of TMSs plus position, and the N-tail location) and for the predicted topology (combined predictions of three attributes) by causing a reduction in prediction accuracy. In particular, lower prediction accuracies were obtained if SP is left untreated (remain) while significant increases were observed if SP is removed either first or later. However, between "removed first" and "removed later" SP treatments, the difference was statistically insignificant. In addition, we found that machine learning-based prediction methods were less affected by the presence of SP than hydropathy-based methods, but still the potential risk of degrading the prediction performance is there however to a lesser degree. Thus, when performing genome-wide analysis, the SP issue should be addressed during TM topology prediction.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2002

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma outcome prediction by gene-expression profiling and supervised machine learning.

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), the most common lymphoid malignancy in adults, is curable in less than 50% of patients. Prognostic models based on pre-treatment characteristics, such as the International Prognostic Index (IPI), are currently used to predict outcome in DLBCL. However, clinical outcome models identify neither the molecular basis of clinical heterogeneity, nor specific therapeutic targets. We analyzed the expression of 6,817 genes in diagnostic tumor specimens from DLBCL patients who received cyclophosphamide, adriamycin, vincristine and prednisone (CHOP)-based chemotherapy, and applied a supervised learning prediction method to identify cured versus fatal or refractory disease. The algorithm classified two categories of patients with very different five-year overall survival rates (70% versus 12%). The model also effectively delineated patients within specific IPI risk categories who were likely to be cured or to die of their disease. Genes implicated in DLBCL outcome included some that regulate responses to B-cell-receptor signaling, critical serine/threonine phosphorylation pathways and apoptosis. Our data indicate that supervised learning classification techniques can predict outcome in DLBCL and identify rational targets for intervention.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed2006

Predicting the effect of missense mutations on protein function: analysis with Bayesian networks.

BACKGROUND: A number of methods that use both protein structural and evolutionary information are available to predict the functional consequences of missense mutations. However, many of these methods break down if either one of the two types of data are missing. Furthermore, there is a lack of rigorous assessment of how important the different factors are to prediction. RESULTS: Here we use Bayesian networks to predict whether or not a missense mutation will affect the function of the protein. Bayesian networks provide a concise representation for inferring models from data, and are known to generalise well to new data. More importantly, they can handle the noisy, incomplete and uncertain nature of biological data. Our Bayesian network achieved comparable performance with previous machine learning methods. The predictive performance of learned model structures was no better than a naïve Bayes classifier. However, analysis of the posterior distribution of model structures allows biologically meaningful interpretation of relationships between the input variables. CONCLUSION: The ability of the Bayesian network to make predictions when only structural or evolutionary data was observed allowed us to conclude that structural information is a significantly better predictor of the functional consequences of a missense mutation than evolutionary information, for the dataset used. Analysis of the posterior distribution of model structures revealed that the top three strongest connections with the class node all involved structural nodes. With this in mind, we derived a simplified Bayesian network that used just these three structural descriptors, with comparable performance to that of an all node network.

Algorithms↗