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PubMed1986

[Prognostic evaluation of patients surviving acute myocardial infarct: univariate and multivariate analysis].

The relationship between 31 variables and survival after acute myocardial infarction was evaluated in 432 patients discharged from our Coronary Care Unit from 1975 to 1984. The patients were followed for 1 to 105 months and either univariate and multivariate analysis were performed. For end-point death the significant variables (p less than 0.05) selected by the univariate analysis were: age, diabetes, smoke, heart rate at recovery, supraventricular arrhythmias, cardiac failure and complex ventricular arrhythmias either during recovery, either after discharge and finally spontaneous angina after hospital discharge. Meanwhile, for the end-point cardiac death age, smoke and supraventricular arrhythmias were not yet significant while arterial pressure at recovery and effort angina after hospital discharge were. Multivariate analysis identified cardiac failure during recovery, diabetes, complex ventricular arrhythmias before and spontaneous angina after discharge as independent variables contributing to total mortality: effort angina was a further significant one relatively to cardiac death. Thus, our study points out the importance of multivariate survival analysis when evaluating the relationship between survival after discharge for the effect of other prognostic factors. Moreover, providing identification of high risk cohorts permits appropriate interventions designed to lessen risk.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Multivariate analysis of risk factors influencing survival in 110 ethnic Chinese with papillary thyroid cancer.

Data from 110 Chinese patients presenting with papillary thyroid cancer to a single institution up to December 1985 have been analyzed to evaluate the possible risk factors affecting survival. There were 83 women and 27 men with an age range of 15 to 78 years (mean 45 years, median 42 years). The longest follow-up period is 39 years and the median 10 years. Cervical lymph node recurrence more than 6 months after surgery developed in 12 patients, of whom 1 died with a concomitant distant metastasis. "Thyroid bed" tumor recurrence, after apparently complete surgery, presented in 10 patients and resulted in 5 deaths. Distant metastases were identified in 17 patients with 7 deaths. Another 4 patients died from advanced local disease incompletely resectable on presentation. The following seven risk factors for survival were selected for multivariate analysis: age, sex, tumor size, histologic evidence of extrathyroidal spread, lymph node recurrence, neck recurrence, and distant metastases. Age, size, neck recurrence, and distant metastases were all significant on univariate analysis. Using Cox proportional hazards regression in the multivariate analysis of these seven factors, only age (p < 0.0001) was shown to be significant. Age over 40 years on first diagnosis was a highly significant indicator of high risk (p = 0.0003, log-rank).

Adolescent↗

PubMed1994

Affiliations among steroid receptors as revealed by multivariate analysis of steroid binding data.

To illustrate the informative value of descriptive multivariate analysis in biochemical screening, we have analyzed several data matrices relating to the binding of steroids to the estrogen, progestin, androgen, glucocorticoid and mineralocorticoid receptors in different organs and species. We first compared dendrograms of steroid hormone receptors, that were obtained by an automatic hierarchical classification analysis of the binding data, to published phylogenetic trees of nuclear receptors based on amino-acid sequence analysis. The former classification describes the affiliations among the receptors as given by the binding specificity of a population of 187 steroids in a traditional cytosol binding assay (an indirect comparison of ligand binding sites); the latter describes the affiliations among the receptors as given by a comparison of selected primary sequences involved in ligand-dependent regulation of transactivation and dimerization. A similar hierarchical classification was also performed on the binding data of 62 steroids to myometrium cytosol from different species in order to show to what extent the progesterone-binding proteins in these species are affiliated. Hierarchical clustering methods classify each type of variable (receptor or steroid) independently. In order to be able to correlate both types of variable (receptors and steroids) on single-display graphs, it is necessary to resort to correspondence factorial analysis (CFA). CFA ranks the information content within the experimental system, highlighting major correlations and disclosing secondary correlations by eliminating redundant information and background noise. This multivariate method, applied to the analysis of published data, illustrated the particular specificity of estrogen binding in human vagina and raised the question of the nature of the binding protein in this tissue. Our examples are based on small data tables that can and have been analyzed de visu. However, it is certain that such descriptive multivariate techniques are indispensable for the analysis of large data banks not only to define structure-activity relationships but to estimate the degrees of affiliation among the biological variables being measured. Knowledge of such affiliations will help to organize available information in a context where the complexity of the biological systems under study is becoming increasingly apparent.

Animals↗

PubMed1992

Multivariate analysis of dietary habits in 931 elderly Japanese males: smoking, food frequency and food preference.

To define the influence of smoking on dietary patterns and food preference in elderly Japanese, a mail survey was conducted on about 3000 subjects aged 65 years and older. A multivariate analysis of dietary frequency data regarding 15 food items on 931 male respondents suggested that frequency of intake of plant food, including vegetables and fruits, was lower in smokers than in nonsmokers. Another multivariate analysis of food preference data regarding 18 food items on the same subjects suggested that smoking decreased the desire for plant food.

Aged↗

PubMed1995

Valve repair improves the outcome of surgery for mitral regurgitation. A multivariate analysis.

BACKGROUND: Mitral valve repair has been suggested as providing a better postoperative outcome than valve replacement for mitral regurgitation, but this impression has been obscured by differences in baseline characteristics and has not been confirmed in multivariate analyses. METHODS AND RESULTS: The outcomes in 195 patients with valve repair and 214 with replacement for organic mitral regurgitation were compared using multivariate analysis. All patients had preoperative echocardiographic assessment of left ventricular function. Before surgery, patients with valve repair were less symptomatic than those with replacement (42% in New York Heart Association functional class I or II versus 24%, respectively; P = .001), had less atrial fibrillation (41% versus 53%; P = .017), and had a better ejection fraction (63 +/- 9% versus 60 +/- 12%, P = .016). After valve repair, compared with valve replacement, overall survival at 10 years was 68 +/- 6% versus 52 +/- 4% (P = .0004), overall operative mortality was 2.6% versus 10.3% (P = .002), operative mortality in patients under age 75 was 1.3% versus 5.7% (P = .036), and late survival (in operative survivors) at 10 years was 69 +/- 6% versus 58 +/- 5% (P = .018). Late survival after valve repair was not different from expected survival. After surgery, ejection fraction decreased significantly in both groups but was higher after valve repair (P = .001). Multivariate analysis indicated an independent beneficial effect of valve repair on overall survival (hazard ratio, 0.39; P = .00001), operative mortality (odds ratio, 0.27; P = .026), late survival (hazard ratio, 0.44; P = .001), and postoperative ejection fraction (P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: Valve repair significantly improves postoperative outcome in patients with mitral regurgitation and should be the preferred mode of surgical correction. The low operative mortality is an incentive for early surgery before ventricular dysfunction occurs.

Aged↗

PubMed1994

[Pathophysiology of infantile hydrocephalus: studies with multivariate analysis].

We investigated factors relating to intellectual outcome in 21 patients with infantile hydrocephalus. Every patient had received V-P shunt operation before, and was followed up for at least one year. The intellectual development was evaluated with multivariate analysis, and was found to be contributed independently by etiology of hydrocephalus, age at onset, association of epilepsy, and shunt troubles. Thus, those with congenital hydrocephalus, onset after the neonatal period, epilepsy or shunt troubles were related to poor intelligence, while those with acquired hydrocephalus, onset during the neonatal period, and without epilepsy were related to favorable outcome. Among the patients, early onset was correlated with early surgical intervention, which also may have been a determining factor. We also conducted multivariate analysis with the results of somatosensory evoked potentials (SEPs) and visual evoked potentials (VEPs) as objective variables. For both SEPs and VEPs, etiology was considered to be the most important, but other factors also contributed considerably, including CT scan findings, current developmental status, and association of congenital anomalies and epilepsy. Clinical pictures of patients with infantile hydrocephalus apparently are very complicated, being determined by multiple factors, but these cerebral evoked potentials are thought to be useful in the evaluation and follow-up of the patients with infantile hydrocephalus.

Evoked Potentials, Somatosensory↗

PubMed1996

Multivariate analysis of patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma. Prognostic significance and impact on treatment of clinical and pathologic variables.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of the histologic and clinical features of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) and their impact on therapy and outcome have been evaluated infrequently in the same series. METHODS: Fifty-tree patients with MTC (32 females, 21 males; 44 sporadic, 9 familial MTC [4 families]; mean age: 46.11 +/- 14.04 years) who were operated on consecutively between 1970 and 1992 were studied. All pathology slides were reviewed. Patients were followed with clinical examination, serum calcitonin (CT), and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) assay, and imaging procedures (median follow-up: 4 years; mean: 5.66 +/- 4.85 years; range: 0-19 years). Impact on survival was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier survival curves compared with the log rank test for these variables: familiarity, sex, age, pT, N, M, stage, histotype, necrosis, calcitonin, gene-related peptide (CGRP), CT, CEA, thyroglobulin, chromogranin A, chromogranin A PHE5, neuron-specific enolase, amyloid, argyrophilia, synaptophysin Y38, external radiotherapy, chemotherapy, 131I therapy, postsurgical serum CT, and postsurgical serum CEA, Multivariate analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazards model for statistically significant factors (P < 0.05). RESULTS: Ten- and 15-year cause-specific survival were 71% and 54%. Nineteen patients (35.8%) appeared to be cured and 8 (15.1%) were alive with high serum CT levels but no proven metastases. Eight recurrences as distant sites and four at the cervical region were diagnosed. Stage M, N, necrosis, and postsurgical CT and CGRP were significant prognostic factors for survival by univariate analysis, but only the stage was significant by multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Stage and postsurgical serum CT level are the most powerful and the most useful prognostic factors for MTC, while survival did not correlated significantly with the majority of available immunohistochemical markers.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Relationships among the symptoms of the elderly as revealed by multivariate analysis: a preliminary study.

One hundred and sixty-eight elderly subjects in a geriatric hospital and the adjoining nursing home were examined in a study of relationships among the items of Hasegawa's dementia scale. A three-dimensional model using multivariate analysis demonstrated the relationships among items. The results led to the identification of six clinical groups determined by the presence of stroke and the score on the dementia scale. Nonstroke subjects of middle intellectual level had disturbances of memory and orientation. This group fell into two categories during the course of a five-year follow-up study: severe dementia and intellectual deterioration. Retrospective multivariate analysis results suggested that features characteristic of the severe intellectual deterioration group were earlier disturbances of orientation and distant memory. This statistical method uses only objective clinical data in order to avoid subjective and, often, biased judgments.

Aged↗

PubMed1992

Multivariate analysis of postoperative complications after esophageal resection.

To determine the contributing factors for eight postoperative complications after esophagectomy through a right thoracoabdominal approach, a multivariate analysis was carried out on preoperative and intraoperative variables in 141 patients with thoracic esophageal cancer. Although postoperative complications occurred in 125 patients, only 7 died of such complications. The multivariate analysis indicated that the retrosternal route was a significant factor predisposing to postoperative atelectasis. Age, preoperative arterial oxygen tension, and volume transfused were significant factors predisposing to postoperative hypoxemia, whereas age, routes other than the intrathoracic route, and volume transfused were significant factors predisposing to prolonged respiratory support. In addition, preoperative total serum bilirubin level and volume transfused were significant factors predisposing to postoperative hyperbilirubinemia; preoperative serum creatinine level was a significant contributing factor for postoperative renal insufficiency; and sex, antesternal route, and substituted colon were significant contributing factors for anastomotic leakage. There were no significant factors predisposing to postoperative pneumonia and liver dysfunction. These significant factors should be taken into consideration not only during perioperative management but also when choosing the operative procedures and extending the surgical indication for esophagectomy through a right thoracoabdominal approach.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1993

Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in patients with non HIV-related primary cerebral lymphoma. A proposal for a prognostic scoring.

Between 1982 and 1991, 41 patients were treated for non HIV related primary cerebral lymphoma (PCL) in our institute. The purpose of this study was to perform a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for survival in these patients. The presence of a CSF protein level over 0.6 g l-1 at diagnosis was found to be the most significant unfavourable prognostic factor in univariate analysis and had not previously been reported. Among the five significant prognostic factors at diagnosis, (age over 60 years, performance status--ECOG scale--over 2, memory dysfunction, non hemispheric tumour site, CSF protein level over 0.6 g l-1 at the diagnosis), three independent factors were identified in multivariate analysis: (1) CSF protein level (P = 0.007; RR = 4.7); (2) PS > 2 (P = 0.04, RR = 2.65); (3) age over 60 (P = 0.08; RR = 2.43). Using the regression coefficient of these three parameters, we determined a prognostic index which allowed us to distinguish three risk groups whose theoretical median survival is 4, 20 and 54, months respectively in patients with non HIV related PCL. These results indicate that PCL is an heterogeneous disease in terms of the prognostic in which three subgroups with discriminant survival can be identified.

Adolescent↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Papillary thyroid carcinoma: a multivariate analysis of prognostic factors including an evaluation of the p-TNM staging system.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the prognostic factors in papillary thyroid carcinoma, and in particular to evaluate the accuracy of the pathological tumour, nodes, metastases (p-TNM) staging. DESIGN: Retrospective univariate and multivariate analysis. SETTING: University hospital in Norway. SUBJECTS: 167 patients who were operated on for papillary thyroid carcinoma between 1971 and 1985. Main outcome measures--Death of papillary thyroid carcinoma, and length of recurrence free survival. RESULTS: Male sex, increasing age, larger tumours, and spread of growth beyond the thyroid all independently increased the risk of dying of papillary thyroid carcinoma, whereas the period of recurrence free survival was influenced only by the presence of regional metastases and the patient's age. The age related p-TNM staging is suitable for predicting the likelihood of death, but is less accurate in the prediction of recurrence free survival. The age of 45 years is too low to be useful in predicting survival, especially in women. CONCLUSION: The identification of sex in the multivariate analysis as a strong independent predictor of death of papillary thyroid cancer suggests that the prognostic value of the age related p-TNM staging system could be improved if sex was adjusted for, and if a different age was used for men and women.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Invasive carcinoma in colorectal adenomas: multivariate analysis of patient and adenoma characteristics.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: The risk of invasive carcinoma developing in colorectal adenomas is influenced by a number of characteristics, relating both to the patients and to the adenomas, and by the composition of the sample analyzed. The aim of the present study was use a multivariate analysis to investigate the risk of invasive carcinoma in endoscopically and surgically removed adenomas. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1978 and 1993, more than 20,000 polyps were prospectively documented at the Erlangen Registry of Colorectal Polyps. A multivariate analysis of 11,188 adenomas detected at the first total colonoscopy was carried out in order to investigate the risks associated with size and site--both of which can be assessed by endoscopic inspection alone- and the extent to which these may be modified by other patient and adenoma characteristics, with an influence on the risk of invasive carcinoma in colorectal adenomas. RESULTS: The size of the adenoma proved to be the most important influencing factor. Invasive carcinoma was never found in 5027 small adenomas (< or = 5 mm). Adenomas in the right colon had a lower risk than those in the left colon or rectum. But with increasing adenoma size, the malignancy rate showed a right-sided shift, with a significant interactive effect of size and right-sided location. However, the risk determined by the size and site of the adenoma was significantly modified by a number of patient and adenoma characteristics, including histological type, presence of multiple adenomas, and patient age and sex. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of invasive carcinoma in colorectal adenomas can only be adequately described by a complex model of the interactive effects of patient and adenoma characteristics on the main factors of size and site.

Adenoma↗

PubMed1995

Polymorphisms in alcohol metabolizing enzyme genes and alcoholic cirrhosis in Japanese patients: a multivariate analysis.

Alcohol dehydrogenase (ADH), aldehyde dehydrogenase (ALDH), and P450IIE1 are the primary enzymes that catalyze the conversion of ethanol to acetaldehyde and then to acetate. Genetic polymorphisms have been reported in ADH2, ADH3, ALDH2, and the 5'-flanking region of P450IIEI. In this study, we used multivariate analysis to determine which genetic polymorphisms in alcohol metabolizing enzymes were independently associated with the development of alcoholic cirrhosis. Thirty-four noncirrhotic alcoholic patients, including 27 with fatty liver and 7 with nonspecific changes, and 46 patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis were studied. Restriction fragment length polymorphisms (RFLPs) in the ADH2 and P450IIE1 genes were detected by digestion of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-amplified DNA with MaeIII and RsaI, respectively. In the ALDH2 gene, RFLPs were detected by differences in the MboII site after PCR amplification. By multivariate analysis of four significant factors including total alcohol intake, ADH, ALDH, and P450IIE1 using the multiple logistic regression model, genotype ADH2(2)/ADH2(2) (P = .029) and genotype c1/c1 of P450IIE1 (P = .013) were found to be independently associated with alcoholic cirrhosis. The odds ratios for ADH2(2)/ADH2(2) genotype and the type A genotype of P450IIE1 (c1/c1) were 4.600 and 4.006, respectively. These results suggest that ADH2 and P450IIE1 gene polymorphisms may be independently associated with the development of alcoholic liver cirrhosis in Japan.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic value of echocardiography compared to other clinical findings. Multivariate analysis based on long-term survival in 456 patients.

The prognostic significance of conventional clinical and echocardiographic data in patients referred to echocardiography was retrospectively analyzed. 456 patients (206 females and 250 males) were studied in the department of cardiology in a district hospital. Survival after 3 years was 64%. By multivariate analysis five factors contained independent, significant, prognostic information (hazard ratios for death are given in parentheses): left ventricular wall motion score index (WMI) < or = 1.2 by echocardiography (2.5), status as inpatient (2.1), age > 65 years (1.7), clinical heart failure (1.9) and atrial fibrillation (1.5). A stepwise multivariate analysis was performed by entering variables into a model initially forced to contain information on age, hospitalization status, treatment of heart failure and heart rhythm. In this analysis, a poor WMI (< or = 1.2) and a dilated right ventricle contained further independent prognostic information. In conclusion, among conventional clinical and echocardiographic data, WMI was the most powerful predictor of long-term survival, and despite knowledge of major clinical features echocardiography provided further prognostic information.

Aged↗

PubMed1991

Radiotherapy in T1 laryngeal cancer: prognostic factors for locoregional control and survival, uni- and multivariate analysis.

From 1975 through 1985, 194 patients with T1 glottic, 37 patients with T1 supraglottic, and 3 patients with T1 subglottic cancer were treated with radiotherapy. Local control and ultimate locoregional control (after salvage surgery) was 91% and 97% for T1 glottic, 84% and 81% for T1 supraglottic, and 2/3 and 3/3, respectively for subglottic tumors. In uni- and multivariate analysis local control for glottic tumors was associated with extension of the tumor on the vocal cord (entire length of vocal cord vs others, p = 0.01) and continuation of smoking after therapy (yes/no, p = 0.03). No prognostic factor for local control was found in supraglottic tumors. However, regional control and survival were impaired by N stage (N0 vs N+, p less than 0.0005), local recurrence (yes/no, p less than 0.0005), and extension of the tumor (one supraglottic subsite vs more than one, p less than 0.05). Mild late complications were seen in 13% of patients without salvage therapy. Following univariate analysis, field size, fraction size (greater than 2 Gy), maximum tumor dose (greater than 70 Gy), age, post-treatment biopsy, and tumor site were associated with complication rate. Following multivariate analysis, site, fraction size, maximum tumor dose, and continuation of smoking after therapy were independent prognostic factors for mild late complications (mostly arytenoid edema).

Adult↗

PubMed1993

Multivariate analysis of the relationship between survival and the microstage of primary melanoma by Clark level and Breslow thickness.

BACKGROUND: The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) uses both Breslow thickness and Clark level in its staging system for malignant melanoma. Stage I corresponds to Breslow thicknesses less than 1.5 mm and Clark levels II and III. Stage II corresponds to Breslow thicknesses of at least 1.5 mm and Clark levels IV and V. However, most investigators have found Clark level to be of no prognostic significance once Breslow thickness has been taken into consideration by multivariate analysis. METHODS: The authors examined the prognostic significance of Clark level by studying patients in the large database of the John Wayne Cancer Institute. Among 5575 patients with melanoma seen during the past 20 years, complete data on microstaging by both Clark and Breslow methods were available for 3323 patients. The 5-year survival rates were as follows: Clark II, 95%; III, 81%; IV, 68%; V, 47%. The Breslow thicknesses were as follows: < 0.75 mm, 95%; 0.75-1.49 mm, 85%; 1.5-3.99 mm, 66%; > or = 4.0 mm, 46%. RESULTS: By univariate analysis, both Clark level and Breslow thickness were highly significant prognostic indicators (P < 0.0001). By multivariate analysis, Breslow thickness remained significant (P < 0.0001). However, even when Breslow thickness was included in the model, Clark level also remained highly significant (P < 0.0015). CONCLUSIONS: Decisions regarding therapy for patients with clinical Stage I melanoma should consider both Clark level and Breslow thickness of the primary lesion. When there is a discordance between the two methods of microstaging, the AJCC stage should be amended to reflect the least favorable of the two prognostic indicators.

Humans↗

PubMed1993

[Laser therapy of villous rectocolonic tumors. Evaluation of results by multivariate analysis].

One hundred and twenty-four patients (mean age: 70 years) with a villous tumour of the rectum (n = 98) or the colon (n = 26) were treated by laser therapy from 1985 to 1991. Initial complete eradication was obtained in 93.5% of cases with a median time of 16 months. Using multivariate analysis, the tumor size (> 4 cm) only was predictive of eradication (P < 0.001). At 6 and 12 months, the actuarial eradication rates were 91 and 98% for small tumours versus 45 and 74% for larger tumours respectively. The actuarial recurrence rates were 10.5, 23, and 37% at 6, 12 and 24 months, and no longer increased after 3 years. No predictive factor of recurrence was isolated by multivariate analysis. Seven complications (5.6%) and 4 malignant transformations (3.4%) occurred. This study confirms the efficiency and low morbidity of laser therapy, especially in patients with small tumors, less than 4 cm in size.

Adenoma, Villous↗

PubMed1996

High-dose chemotherapy as salvage treatment in germ cell tumors: a multivariate analysis of prognostic variables.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic variables for response and survival in male patients with relapsed or refractory germ cell tumors treated with high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) and hematopoietic progenitor cell support. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Three hundred ten patients treated with HDCT at four centers in the United States and Europe were retrospectively evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analysis of patient, disease, and treatment characteristics were used for comparisons of response rates and failure-free survival (FFS). RESULTS: The actuarial FFS rate was 32% at 1, 30% at 2, and 29% at 3 years. Multivariate analysis identified progressive disease before HDCT, mediastinal nonseminomatous primary tumor, refractory or absolute refractory disease to conventional-dose cisplatin, and human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) levels greater than 1,000 U/L before HDCT as independent adverse prognostic variables for FFS after HDCT. These variables were used to identify patients with good, intermediate, and poor prognoses. In the good-risk category, the predicted FFS rate at 2 years was 51%, compared with 27% and 5% in the intermediate-risk and poor-risk categories (P < .001). The increased risk for treatment failure was due to both a significantly lower rate of favorable responses and a significantly higher rate of relapses. Within the prognostic categories, the particular HDCT regimen or higher dosages of carboplatin or etoposide did not have a significant influence on treatment outcome. CONCLUSION: Prognostic variables for treatment response after HDCT can be identified. The proposed prognostic model might help to optimize the use of HDCT in germ cell tumors and warrants validation in future trials.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗