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Simultaneous immunohistochemical detection of tumor cells in lymph nodes and bone marrow aspirates in breast cancer and its correlation with other prognostic factors.

PURPOSE: We studied the prognostic and predictive value of immunohistochemically detected occult tumor cells (OTCs) in lymph nodes and bone marrow aspirates obtained from node-negative breast cancer patients. All were classified as distant metastases-free using conventional staging methods. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 484 patients with pT1-2N0M0 breast cancer and 70 with pT1-2N1M0 breast cancer and a single affected lymph node participated in our trial. Ipsilateral axillary lymph nodes and intraoperatively aspirated bone marrow were examined. All samples were examined for OTCs using monoclonal antibodies to cytokeratins 8, 18, 19. Immunohistological findings were correlated with other prognostic factors. The mean follow-up was 54 +/- 24 months. RESULTS: OTCs were detected in 180 (37.2%) of 484 pT1-2N0M0 patients: in the bone marrow of 126 patients (26.0%), in the lymph nodes of 31 patients (6.4%), and in bone marrow and lymph nodes of 23 (4.8%) patients. Of the 70 patients with pT1-2N1MO breast cancer and a single involved lymph node, OTCs were identified in the bone marrow of 26 (37.1%). The ability to detect tumor cells increased with the following tumor features: larger size, poor differentiation, and higher proliferation. Tumors of patients with OTCs more frequently demonstrated lymph node invasion, blood vessel invasion, higher urokinase-type plasminogen activator levels, and increased PAI-1 concentrations. Patients with detected OTCs showed reduced disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OAS) rates that were comparable to those observed in patients who had one positive lymph node. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors revealed that OTCs, histological grading, and tumor size are significant predictors of DFS; OTCs and grading of OAS. CONCLUSION: OTCs detected by simultaneous immunohistochemical analysis of axillary lymph nodes and bone marrow demonstrate independent metastatic pathways. Although OTCs were significantly more frequent in patients with other unfavorable prognostic factors, they were confirmed as an independent prognostic factor for pT1-2N0M0, R0 breast cancer patients.

Adult↗

[Helper cells, viral load, genetic factors, co-infections. Prognostic factors in HIV-1 infection].

The ideal time to initiate antiretroviral therapy in asymptomatic patients with chronic HIV infection remains to be defined. The most relevant laboratory parameter is the CD4 cell count. Therapy should be started before the CD4 cells drop below 200/microliter and the immune system becomes compromised. In contrast to past recommendations, viral load should not be used as a single laboratory parameter for initiation of antiretroviral therapy in asymptomatic untreated patients. The determination of genetic factors to assess the prognosis of HIV patients has not yet been incorporated into daily clinical practice. While co-infection with GBV-C is a prognostically favorable factor for the course of the HIV infection, replicative hepatitis C is associated with increased mortality.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

Transforming growth factor beta 1 as a prognostic factor in pulmonary adenocarcinoma.

AIMS: To evaluate the efficacy of transforming growth factor beta (TGF-beta) for the prognosis of pulmonary adenocarcinoma. METHODS: TGF-beta was detected immunohistochemically using the avidin-biotin-peroxidase complex technique in resected pulmonary adenocarcinomas from 88 patients. RESULTS: Of the 88 patients, 39 were TGF-beta negative and 45 TGF-beta positive. The five year survival rate was 56% for the TGF-beta negative and 16% for the TGF-beta positive group. CONCLUSIONS: TGF-beta can be used as a prognostic factor in pulmonary adenocarcinoma.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Skin melanoma in Italy: a population-based study on survival and prognostic factors.

Survival and prognostic factors of invasive cutaneous melanoma patients diagnosed in the province of Florence, Italy, were studied using a regression analysis of relative survival rates. The case series consisted of 428 patients reported by the Tuscany Cancer Registry between 1985 and 1989. The effect of gender, age, anatomical site, histological type and microstaging parameters upon relative survival were evaluated using an extension of the Cox proportional hazard model. Five-year relative survival was 70%; 8-year relative survival, referring to a subset of patients, was 67%. In univariate analysis, the following variables were significantly associated with better prognosis: female gender, age younger than 60 years, superficial spreading melanoma (SSM) compared with nodular melanoma (NM), location on the limbs, a thinner lesion according to Breslow, a shallower Clark level. Females had a clear-cut prognostic advantage over males in each category of the variables considered above. After simultaneous adjustment for all other variables, three factors continued to show an independent prognostic effect: age, gender and microstaging parameters (Breslow thickness and Clark level, separately fitted in the model). In the multivariate analysis, the prognostic advantage of females over males was specifically seen for lesions located on the trunk and for both SSM and NM histotype.

Adolescent↗

Carcinoma of the intact uterine cervix treated with radiotherapy alone: a French cooperative study: update and multivariate analysis of prognostics factors.

PURPOSE: To determine independent prognostic factors in a group of 1875 patients with invasive carcinoma of the intact uterine cervix treated with radiotherapy alone in a French cooperative study from 1970 to 1993. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients were staged according to the UICC-FIGO and MDAH substaging. The distribution per FIGO stage was Ia-Ib: 25.5%; IIa: 12%; IIb: 29%; IIIa: 5%; IIIb: 25%, and IV: 3.5%. Ninety-two percent had squamous cell carcinoma. The maximum diameter of the clinically detectable cervical disease was less than 3 cm in 24.5% of Stages I-II and in 10% of Stages III-IV, more than 5 cm in 13.5% of Stages I-II, and in 16% of Stages III-IV. Nodal involvement was shown on lymphangiogram in 16% of Stages I-II and in 32.5% of Stages III-IV. RESULTS: 1) Univariate analysis of Stages I and II: stage, cervical disease diameter, and nodal involvement are significant prognostic factors. Five-year specific survival rate (5ySS) is 83.5% in Stage Ib, 81% in IIa and 71% in IIb. Five-year disease-free survival rate (5yDFS) is 86% in tumors less of 3 cm, 76% in tumors of 3 to 5 cm, and 61.5% in tumor larger than 5 cm. Lymphangiogram strongly influences the 5-year pelvic disease-free survival rate (5yPDFS): respectively, 90% in nonpositive lymphangiogram vs. 65% when positive. A significant drop in specific and disease-free survival is observed (10 and 14%, respectively (p = 0.04) when comparing adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Age is a significant prognostic factor for specific survival because patients aged less than 30 years old have 91% vs. about 75% for patients over 30 years (p = 0.03). 2) Univariate analysis of Stages III-IV: Stage and positive lymphangiogram are predictive factors for relapse and death. The MDAH substaging is more reliable to predict the probability of pelvic disease-free survival in Stage III. At 5 years, the FIGO Stages IIIa and IIIb have a rather similar PDFS (65% vs. 59%). Conversely, the difference of survival rates between MDAH Stage IIIA and Stage IIIB is more demonstrative (69% vs. 47.5%). 3) Multivariate analysis (Cox P. H. R. model). Nodal involvement and stage remain significant for all three models in all stages (p < 0.0001). Age above 70 years influences specific survival for Stage I-II (p = 0.01). Tumors larger than 5 cm and adenocarcinoma also appear to be independent prognostic factors for specific and disease-free survival in Stage I-II (p = 0.05 and p = 0.005, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The relevance of tumor size (less or greater than 4 cm) is now recognized in the 1995 revised FIGO staging in Stage Ib but unfortunately not in other stages. Tumor size per stage and nodal status should be systematically recorded to allow a better prediction of failure rates and to compare literature reports.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Salvage radiotherapy for isolated prostate specific antigen increase after radical prostatectomy: evaluation of prognostic factors and creation of a prognostic scoring system.

PURPOSE: This study was performed to evaluate the results and prognostic factors associated with radiotherapy for a detectable serum prostate specific antigen level after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From July 1987 through July 2003, 368 patients received radiotherapy for a detectable prostate specific antigen level (biochemical relapse) as the sole evidence of recurrence after radical prostatectomy for node negative prostate cancer. Estimated survival and relapse-free probabilities were obtained via Kaplan-Meier estimation. Associations of patient factors with survival and biochemical relapse were investigated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: With a median followup of 5 years the 5 and 8-year freedom from biochemical relapse were an estimated 46% (95% CI 41%-53%) and 35% (95% CI 29%-43%) while survival was 92% (95% CI 89%-95%) and 80% (95% CI 74%-87%), respectively. Patient and treatment variables showing evidence of association with biochemical relapse on multivariate analysis included pathological stage T3a or less vs T3b (seminal vesicle involvement, p = 0.029), pathological Gleason score 7 or less vs 8 or greater (p <0.001) and pre-radiotherapy prostate specific antigen (p <0.001). Four biochemical failure risk groups were created by assigning seminal vesicle involvement, Gleason score and pre-radiotherapy prostate specific antigen each a score of 0 to 2. These individual scores were summed. The freedom from biochemical failure at 5 years for each risk group was 0 to 1-69%, 2-53%, 3-26% and 4 to 5-6%. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of seminal vesicle involvement and high Gleason score in the radical prostatectomy specimen are inherent predictors of adverse outcome. Early referral for salvage radiotherapy can decrease subsequent biochemical relapse.

Adult↗

Salivary gland carcinomas--prognostic factors.

A retrospective study of factors of prognostic significance for clinical course and survival was performed using uni- and multivariate analyses in 251 patients with primary salivary gland carcinoma admitted during the period 1958-1992. Univariate analyses indicated that site of primary tumour, histology, clinical stage, presence of node metastases at primary diagnosis, and status of surgical margins were important prognostic factors for cause-specific survival, locoregional control and distant metastases. Multivariate analyses confirmed that histology was important for both locoregional control and cause-specific survival, whereas primary site was only of importance for locoregional control. Presence of node metastases at diagnosis was more important for locoregional control than clinical stage, whereas clinical stage was the most important factor for cause-specific survival. Status of surgical margins was of major importance for both cause-specific survival and locoregional control. Radiotherapy in addition to surgery improved locoregional control only, whereas survival was not affected.

Adolescent↗

[Clinical studies of 145 cases of endometrial carcinoma--analysis of prognostic factors, especially pathological types].

One hundred and forty-five patients with confirmed endometrial carcinoma treated at Kumamoto University Hospital were studied from the clinicopathological point of view. As risk factors, the incidence of high age, postmenopause, atypical genital bleeding, sterility, nulliparity, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and obesity was showed to be high. These factors may be expected to assist in screening for early diagnosis by using each factor or combination of factors. As prognostic factors, we examined the relationship between stage, depth of myometrial invasion, histological grade, histological type and survival rate. The stage was shown to be a most important predicator of survival. The depth of myometrial invasion and the histological grade closely correlated with the stage. The relationship between the histological subtype, especially papillary serous carcinoma (PSC) and prognosis, was investigated in our series of studies. PSC found in an incidence of 9.4% had a relatively poor prognosis compared with endometrioid carcinoma. Its 5-year survival rate was only 30%. Because PSC has a potential for aggressive invasion and rapid metastasis as compared to endometrioid carcinoma, careful histological examination and aggressive treatment are warranted.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Prognostic factors in acute pancreatitis.

Prognostic factor scoring systems provide one method of predicting severity of acute pancreatitis. This paper reports the prospective assessment of a system using nine factors available within 48 hours of admission. This assessment does not include patient data used to compile the system. Of 405 episodes of acute pancreatitis occurring in a seven year period, 72% had severity correctly predicted by the system; 31% of 131 episodes with three or more factors present were severe and 8% of 274 episodes with less than three factors were severe. Assessment of individual factors revealed only one which did not predict severity. A scoring system based on the other eight factors correctly predicted severity in 79% of episodes. Prognostic factor scoring systems (i) alert the clinician to potentially severe disease, (ii) allow comparison of severity within and between patient series and (iii) will allow rational selection of patients for trials of new treatment.

Acute Disease↗

[Prognostic factors in breast cancer].

Among the various factors reported as having significant prognostic value in primary breast cancers, the author discusses the value of well established "classical" prognostic factors used routinely and "new" prognostic factors developed over recent years as a result of progress in cell and molecular biology. The presence of axillary lymph node metastases remains the most important prognostic factor of recurrence, justifying post-surgical adjuvant therapy. However, in patients with negative axillary nodes (N-), the size of the tumour, Scarff-Bloom-Richardson (SBR and MSBR) histological grade, certain particular histological types (carcinoma in situ and tubular, colloid or pure papillary cancer) and hormone receptors (ER and PR) appear to be well established prognostic factors allowing the identification, within this group of N- patients who generally have a good prognosis, those patients with a low risk of recurrence and therefore not requiring adjuvant therapy. In contrast, the proliferative activity (ploidy and S phase, Thymidine Labeling Index, antibody Ki67), cathepsin D, thymidine kinase, EGF receptors, several genes including oncogene HER-2/neu, are recently developed prognostic factors whose significance needs to be confirmed by further studies.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Tissue factor is a useful prognostic factor of recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma in 5-year survivors.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Tissue factor (TF) is a transmembrane glycoprotein involved in initiating blood coagulation. TF has recently been reported to play an important role in tumor metastasis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role and the prognostic value of TF in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in long-term survivors. METHODOLOGY: Among 275 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC, 62 patients who survived more than 5 years after surgery were retrospectively studied. TF expression was immunohistochemically examined. RESULTS: TF was positive in 39 of the 62 patients. In patients with TF expression, the serum albumin level was significantly lower and capsular infiltration, tumor thrombus in the portal vein, and intrahepatic metastasis were more frequently shown than those without TF expression. The recurrence-free rate was significantly higher in the patients whose tissue stained negative for TF than in those whose tissue stained positive for TF. Multivariate analysis showed TF expression to be a significant and independent risk factor for recurrence. Concerning the recurrence pattern, all 23 patients with intrahepatic metastasis were TF-positive, whereas 3 out of 5 patients with multicentric carcinogenesis were TF-positive. CONCLUSIONS: TF expression is closely associated with the tumor invasion and metastasis, and may serve as a useful prognostic factor of recurrence in HCC in 5-year survivors.

Carcinoma, Hepatocellular↗

A survival regression analysis of prognostic factors in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Many prognostic factors of colorectal cancer are known but their actual clinical validity is still uncertain. The aim of the present study was to verify, on the basis of our experience, the prognostic validy of variables for survival by using survival regression analysis. METHODS: From January 1978 to December 1986 the prognostic factors for 192 patients were analysed. These patients had undergone surgical resection for colorectal cancer. The follow up was completed in every patient by the end of December 1992, with a median follow up of 10 years (range 6-14 years). The prognostic factors considered in the statistical analysis were age, sex, size of tumour, site, grade, direct spread, node involvement and stage (according to Astler-Coller and pTNM). RESULTS: Of the prognostic factors, sex was the only one not to show any prognostic significance. In the survival regression analysis we have used an accelerated failure time model (equivalent to the Cox proportional hazard model); age, grade and stage were significant covariables. CONCLUSIONS: Although clinical pathological staging (pTNM) appears as a pre-eminent prognostic factor, and as our analysis shows, it needs a further variable (grading), which has been shown to affect the prognosis in a significant way.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors in prostate cancer.

Prognostic factors in organ confined prostate cancer will reflect survival after surgical radical prostatectomy. Gleason score, tumour volume, surgical margins and Ki-67 index have the most significant prognosticators. Also the origins from the transitional zone, p53 status in cancer tissue, stage, and aneuploidy have shown prognostic significance. Progression-associated features include Gleason score, stage, and capsular invasion, but PSA is also highly significant. Progression can also be predicted with biological markers (E-cadherin, microvessel density, and aneuploidy) with high level of significance. Other prognostic features of clinical or PSA-associated progression include age, IGF-1, p27, and Ki-67. In patients who were treated with radiotherapy the survival was potentially predictable with age, race and p53, but available research on other markers is limited. The most significant published survival-associated prognosticators of prostate cancer with extension outside prostate are microvessel density and total blood PSA. However, survival can potentially be predicted by other markers like androgen receptor, and Ki-67-positive cell fraction. In advanced prostate cancer nuclear morphometry and Gleason score are the most highly significant progression-associated prognosticators. In conclusion, Gleason score, capsular invasion, blood PSA, stage, and aneuploidy are the best markers of progression in organ confined disease. Other biological markers are less important. In advanced disease Gleason score and nuclear morphometry can be used as predictors of progression. Compound prognostic factors based on combinations of single prognosticators, or on gene expression profiles (tested by DNA arrays) are promising, but clinically relevant data is still lacking.

Journal Article↗

The use of prognostic factors in clinical trials.

Numerous examples exist of prognostic factors that have been conclusively established and that can segregate the target patient population into subgroups with vastly different outcomes. At the same time, we can expect, in the majority of trials being conducted, that if a new treatment turns out to be successful, it generally results in only a modest improvement in patient outcome. This has contributed to a major emphasis on the identification and use of prognostic factors in clinical trials. Besides the inherent descriptive information for predicting patient outcome, prognostic factors are increasingly used in trial design and analysis with the hope of reducing or correcting bias that could otherwise occur from simple patient allocation schemes and unadjusted comparisons of treatment groups, and tailoring therapy so that the best treatments are selected in patient subgroups. Although the above objectives are reasonable, numerous misunderstandings and misuses of prognostic factors regularly occur. These involve such issues as the inappropriate application of clinical/statistical criteria for identification and confirmation of such factors, the sometimes undue emphasis on selection of best subdivisions of prognostic factors, the overreliance on prognostic factors and statistical models by proponents of historical control studies, the exaggerated importance of prognostic factors in special randomization schemes, etc. However, if a thorough understanding of such issues is combined with a careful approach to the use of prognostic factors, significant benefit to the design, conduct, and ultimate scientific information from clinical trials will result.

Age Factors↗

Epidermal growth factor receptor and labeling index are independent prognostic factors in glial tumor outcome.

The aim of this study was to perform a multivariate analysis including clinical and biological prognostic factors on glial tumor outcome. Seventy-nine patients were analyzed (48 men and 31 women; mean age = 56 years, range = 16-77 years): 7 had a benign glial tumor (grades 1 and 2), 21 had an anaplastic glial tumor (grade 3), and 51 had a glioblastoma (grade 4). Median follow-up was 17.9 months for patients who survived (50 patients died). Biopsies were obtained at time of diagnosis (complete tumor resection in 62 patients and stereotaxic biopsies in 17 patients). Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) was measured by a binding assay, and labeling index (LI) was measured by tritiated thymidine incorporation. EGFR varied from 4 to 73,110 fmol/mg protein (mean = 3912 fmol/mg protein; median = 374 fmol/mg protein; n = 79). LI varied between 0.1 and 16.5% (mean = 6.2%; median = 5.2%; n = 40). Log10 EGFR was significantly and positively correlated with patient age. LI was significantly different according to tumor histology. Univariate Cox analysis (end point was cancer death) showed that age (P = 0.027), log10 EGFR (P = 0.025), and LI (P = 0.0019) were significant continuous variables, the survival being shortened when the covariable increased; tumor resection (P = 0.015, relative risk = 0.45) and histology (P = 0.0009) were significant categorical factors. A multivariate Cox analysis (forward selection) including age, histology, tumor resection, log10 EGFR, and LI revealed that log10 EGFR, LI, and tumor resection were the only independent significant predictors of survival. This multivariate approach reveals that the clinical prognostic factors of glial tumors, namely age and tumor histology, disappear, to the benefit of intrinsic characteristics of the tumor, i.e., EGFR expression and LI, suggesting that coupled EGFR and LI determination could be a useful tool for better evaluation of glial tumor outcome.

Adolescent↗

Prognosis and treatment of T1G3 bladder tumours. A prognostic factor analysis of 121 patients. Dutch South Eastern Bladder Cancer Study Group.

Patients with T1G3 bladder cancer have a considerable risk for recurrence and/or progressive disease. Until now no consensus has been achieved on the optimal treatment. Within the Dutch South Eastern Bladder Cancer Study Group, 155 patients with a T1G3 bladder tumour were seen between 1983 and 1988. After review of histology, 121 could be evaluated and recurrence-free interval was studied with regard to prognostic factors. Prognostic factors such as sex, age, blood group, abnormalities on intravenous urography, pretreatment tumour configuration, number of tumours, number of locations involved in the bladder, voided urine cytology, results of random biopsies and mitotic index were evaluated, using a multivariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazard model. During the follow-up period, 70 (58%) patients had recurrent bladder cancer, and of these 30 (43%) had progression into invasive disease. Of the possible prognostic factors analysed, only multiplicity (P = 0.03) and the number of locations of the tumours (P = 0.03) were independent prognostic factors in relation to the risk of recurrence. The recurrence-free interval was influenced by the therapy. For T1G3 tumours, additional intravesical immunotherapy/chemotherapy or radiotherapy after transurethral resection (TUR) increased the recurrence-free interval significantly. Because most other parameters did not show additional prognostic value, the T1G3 tumours can be considered as homogeneous with regard to prognosis. Only multiplicity and the number of locations involved added to the prognostic significance of patients with these bladder tumours. In addition, it is advisable to give patients with T1G3 tumours additional treatment after the initial TUR.

Adult↗

[Prognostic factors in gynecologic cancer].

Prognostic factors of uterine cervical cancer, endometrial cancer and ovarian cancer were discussed. Among various prognostic factors, clinical stage had the most meaningful label. The prognosis for adenocarcinoma of the uterine cervix is poorer than for epidermoid carcinoma. In endometrial cancer, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma showed a worse prognosis than well-differentiated adenocarcinoma. One of the most vexing problems in ovarian cancer is that, at the time when a diagnosis of ovarian cancer is made, about 60% of these cases have already spread intraperitoneally and remain no longer suitable for complete resection.

Female↗

[Prognostic factors of ovarian cancer].

Prognostic factors of ovarian cancer were reviewed. These factors may be divided into three categories: patient factors, tumor factors and treatment factors. Among factors related to patients, age and performance status significantly influenced the survival rate. Tumor factors such as stage, histopathology, histological grade and expression of cancer-related genes showed significant impact on survival as well. Treatment factors such as residual tumor size, chemotherapeutic regimens are also important for the prognosis. According to these prognostic factors and therapeutic results, maximal surgical efforts for the debulking surgery along with paclitaxel and carboplatin chemotherapy are recommended especially for patients with advanced disease.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗