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Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios.

Global climates are changing rapidly, with unexpected consequences. Because elements of biodiversity respond intimately to climate as an important driving force of distributional limitation, distributional shifts and biodiversity losses are expected. Nevertheless, in spite of modelling efforts focused on single species or entire ecosystems, a few preliminary surveys of fauna-wide effects, and evidence of climate change-mediated shifts in several species, the likely effects of climate change on species' distributions remain little known, and fauna-wide or community-level effects are almost completely unexplored. Here, using a genetic algorithm and museum specimen occurrence data, we develop ecological niche models for 1,870 species occurring in Mexico and project them onto two climate surfaces modelled for 2055. Although extinctions and drastic range reductions are predicted to be relatively few, species turnover in some local communities is predicted to be high (>40% of species), suggesting that severe ecological perturbations may result.

Algorithms↗

Disrupting evolutionary processes: the effect of habitat fragmentation on collared lizards in the Missouri Ozarks.

Humans affect biodiversity at the genetic, species, community, and ecosystem levels. This impact on genetic diversity is critical, because genetic diversity is the raw material of evolutionary change, including adaptation and speciation. Two forces affecting genetic variation are genetic drift (which decreases genetic variation within but increases genetic differentiation among local populations) and gene flow (which increases variation within but decreases differentiation among local populations). Humans activities often augment drift and diminish gene flow for many species, which reduces genetic variation in local populations and prevents the spread of adaptive complexes outside their population of origin, thereby disrupting adaptive processes both locally and globally within a species. These impacts are illustrated with collared lizards (Crotaphytus collaris) in the Missouri Ozarks. Forest fire suppression has reduced habitat and disrupted gene flow in this lizard, thereby altering the balance toward drift and away from gene flow. This balance can be restored by managed landscape burns. Some have argued that, although human-induced fragmentation disrupts adaptation, it will also ultimately produce new species through founder effects. However, population genetic theory and experiments predict that most fragmentation events caused by human activities will facilitate not speciation, but local extinction. Founder events have played an important role in the macroevolution of certain groups, but only when ecological opportunities are expanding rather than contracting. The general impact of human activities on genetic diversity disrupts or diminishes the capacity for adaptation, speciation, and macroevolutionary change. This impact will ultimately diminish biodiversity at all levels.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

The importance of being discrete: life always wins on the surface.

Many systems in chemistry, biology, finance, and social sciences present emerging features that are not easy to guess from the elementary interactions of their microscopic individual components. In the past, the macroscopic behavior of such systems was modeled by assuming that the collective dynamics of microscopic components can be effectively described collectively by equations acting on spatially continuous density distributions. It turns out that, to the contrary, taking into account the actual individual/discrete character of the microscopic components of these systems is crucial for explaining their macroscopic behavior. In fact, we find that in conditions in which the continuum approach would predict the extinction of all of the population (respectively the vanishing of the invested capital or the concentration of a chemical substance, etc.), the microscopic granularity insures the emergence of macroscopic localized subpopulations with collective adaptive properties that allow their survival and development. In particular it is found that in two dimensions "life" (the localized proliferating phase) always prevails.

Journal Article↗

South American mammal zoogeography: evidence from convergent evolution in desert rodents.

Current theories regarding colonization of South America by mammals are divided between those supported by fossil evidence, which suggest the original mammal fauna of the isolated continent was augmented by early immigrants (primates, caviomorph rodents, and later, procyonids) with a final large influx of northern mammals occurring with the formation of the Panama land bridge, and an opposing view which states that the purported "recent invaders" are too taxonomically and ecologically differentiated to have colonized since the land bridge arose. The second theory suggests that most extant mammals entered before the Plio-Pleistocene land connection. An analysis of degree of physiological adaptation, natural history, distribution patterns, and a multivariate assessment of convergent evolution of Monte Desert rodents indicate that South American cricetine rodents are not highly specialized for desert life. Their degree of adaptation could be accounted for, in large part, by adaptations for arid or semiarid Andean habitats. No Monte Desert rodent has developed the specialized desert traits that have evolved in most desert rodent faunas of the world, although extinct marsupials similar to living bipedal desert rodents were present in the Monte as recently as late Pliocene. Evidence suggests that Monte caviomorphs have been associated with the desert for a longer period than cricetines, and that the latter represent a fairly recent invasion of the Monte Desert. The data thus support the first hypothesis of South American mammal colonization.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

Ecological dynamics of mutualist/antagonist communities.

One approach to understanding how mutualisms function in community settings is to model well-studied pairwise interactions in the presence of the few species with which they interact most strongly. In nature, such species are often specialized antagonists of one or both mutualists. Hence, these models can also shed light on the problem of when and how mutualisms are able to persist in the face of exploitation. We used spatial stochastic simulations to model the ecological dynamics of obligate, species-specific mutualisms between plants and pollinating seed parasite insects (e.g., yuccas and yucca moths) in the presence of one of two obligate antagonist species: flower-feeding insects (florivores) or insects that parasitize seeds but fail to pollinate (exploiters). Our results suggest that mutualisms can persist surprisingly well in the presence of highly specialized antagonists but that they exhibit distinctly different temporal and spatial dynamics when antagonists are present. In our models, antagonists tend to induce oscillations in the mutualist populations. As the number of per capita visits by antagonists increase, the system's oscillatory dynamics become more extreme, finally leading to the extinction of one or more of the three species. When the antagonists exhibit high per capita visitation frequencies and long dispersal distances, significant spatial patchiness emerges within these tripartite interactions. We found surprisingly little difference between the ecological effects of florivores and exploiters, although in general florivores tended to drive themselves (and sometimes the mutualists) to extinction at parameter values at which the exploiters were able to persist. These theoretical results suggest several testable hypotheses regarding the ecological and evolutionary persistence of mutualisms. More broadly, they point to the critical importance of studying the dynamics of pairwise interactions in community contexts.

Animals↗

Genetic distinctiveness of a village population of house mice: relevance to speciation and chromosomal evolution.

A population of house mice, Mus musculus domesticus, from the village of Migiondo was found to be genetically distinct from nearby populations in Upper Valtellina (Italian Alps). At the supernatant malic enzyme locus, Mod1, the only alleles found in Migiondo (c and n2) were virtually absent from the other populations in the valley, which were characterized by allele a. The extraordinary genetic distinctiveness of the Migiondo population is apparently the result of genetic drift, perhaps coupled with a founder event, and attests to the existence of nearly impenetrable geographic barriers around the village isolating it from other settlements only a few hundred metres away. The Mod1 features of the house mice in Migiondo are reminiscent of the characteristics of house mice on maritime islands. The genetic confirmation of the geographic isolation of Migiondo is of interest because there is evidence that this village may have been the site of recent speciation and extinction events. The data are also of significance given the phenomenal chromosomal variation in house mice from the vicinity of the Alps. It has frequently been proposed that genetic drift/founder events are of importance in the fixation of chromosomal rearrangements; this study provides the first direct evidence for their occurrence in alpine mouse populations.

Alleles↗

Multiple attractors in host-parasitoid interactions: coexistence and extinction.

This paper considers the dynamics of a two-dimensional discrete-time model for host-parasitoid interactions, and shows that the model has two attractors: the fixed point where two species coexist and a boundary cycle where the parasitoid is absent. The analysis with the Liapunov exponent confirms that this kind of bistability is common in this model. The generality of this phenomenon in host-parasitoid interactions is also discussed.

Animals↗

Mourning and grief as healing processes in psychotherapy.

The argument developed in this paper can be outlined as follows: relationships are vital for growth, for adults and especially for children; to ensure that we work to maintain relationships, evolution provided for pain on separation, which stimulates behaviours designed to restore the relationship. If the separation is permanent, it is necessary to form other relationships. This requires modifying the attachment to the lost object, a process which involves unlearning of emotional bonds and then learning new bonds to new objects. The process of mourning and the affective state of grief, I believe, assist in this unlearning and new learning. The stages of mourning involve cognitive learning of the reality of the loss; behaviours associated with mourning, such as searching, embody unlearning by extinction; finally, physiological concomitants of grief may influence unlearning by direct effects on neurotransmitters or neurohormones, such as cortisol, ACTH, or norepinephrine. Besides losses occasioned by bereavement, life and normal development include many other kinds of losses. Mourning for these losses is as necessary as mourning after a death. Failure to adequately mourn can result in psychopathology or psychosomatic illness. In comparison, appropriate mourning is adaptive, and parallels can be drawn between it and healing in psychotherapy. The psychoanalytic and psychotherapeutic literature supports the notion that mourning and grief in therapy act to heal. Given that there may be a biological basis for this healing through the effects of mourning on learning, psychotherapists might actively seek to encourage identification of losses and their adequate mourning in therapy. Various approaches are discussed. Two case reports of mourning occurring in psychotherapy are given, followed by suggestions for research.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

Numerical experiments with model monophyletic and paraphyletic taxa.

The problem of how accurately paraphyletic taxa versus monophyletic (i.e., holophyletic) groups (clades) capture underlying species patterns of diversity and extinction is explored with Monte Carlo simulations. Phylogenies are modeled as stochastic trees. Paraphyletic taxa are defined in an arbitrary manner by randomly choosing progenitors and clustering all descendants not belonging to other taxa. These taxa are then examined to determine which are clades, and the remaining paraphyletic groups are dissected to discover monophyletic subgroups. Comparisons of diversity patterns and extinction rates between modeled taxa and lineages indicate that paraphyletic groups can adequately capture lineage information under a variety of conditions of diversification and mass extinction. This suggests that these groups constitute more than mere "taxonomic noise" in this context. But, strictly monophyletic groups perform somewhat better, especially with regard to mass extinctions. However, when low levels of paleontologic sampling are simulated, the veracity of clades deteriorates, especially with respect to diversity, and modeled paraphyletic taxa often capture more information about underlying lineages. Thus, for studies of diversity and taxic evolution in the fossil record, traditional paleontologic genera and families need not be rejected in favor of cladistically-defined taxa.

Algorithms↗

Spatial and temporal relations in conditioned reinforcement and observing behavior.

In Experiment 1, depressing one perch produced stimuli indicating which of two keys, if pecked, could produce food (spatial information) and depressing the other perch produced stimuli indicating whether a variable-interval or an extinction schedule was operating (temporal information). The pigeons increased the time they spent depressing the perch that produced the temporal information but did not increase the time they spent depressing the perch that produced the spatial information. In Experiment 2, pigeons that were allowed to produce combined spatial and temporal information did not acquire the perch pressing any faster or maintain it at a higher level than pigeons allowed to produce only temporal information. Later, when perching produced only spatial information, the time spent depressing the perch eventually declined. The results are not those implied by the statement that information concerning biologically important events is reinforcing but are consistent with an interpretation in terms of the acquisition of reinforcing properties by a stimulus associated with a higher density of primary reinforcement.

Journal Article↗

Keys and the crisis in taxonomy: extinction or reinvention?

Dichotomous keys that follow a single pathway of character state choices to an end point have been the primary tools for the identification of unknown organisms for more than two centuries. However, a revolution in computer diagnostics is now under way that may result in the replacement of traditional keys by matrix-based computer interactive keys that have many paths to a correct identification and make extensive use of hypertext to link to images, glossaries, and other support material. Progress is also being made on replacing keys entirely by optical matching of specimens to digital databases and DNA sequences. These new tools may go some way toward alleviating the taxonomic impediment to biodiversity studies and other ecological and evolutionary research, especially with better coordination between those who produce keys and those who use them and by integrating interactive keys into larger biological Web sites.

Animals↗

Stability in chemostat equations with delayed nutrient recycling.

The growth of a species feeding on a limiting nutrient supplied at a constant rate is modelled by chemostat-type equations with a general nutrient uptake function and delayed nutrient recycling. Conditions for boundedness of the solutions and the existence of non-negative equilibria are given for the integrodifferential equations with distributed time lags. When the time lags are neglected conditions for the global stability of the positive equilibrium and for the extinction of the species are provided. The positive equilibrium continues to be locally stable when the time lag in recycling is considered and this is proved for a wide class of memory functions. Computer simulations suggest that even in this case the region of stability is very large, but the solutions tend to the equilibrium through oscillations.

Eukaryota↗

Habitat destruction in mutualistic metacommunities.

We investigate a mutualistic metacommunity where the strength of the mutualistic interaction between species is measured by the extent to which the presence of one species on a patch either reduces the extinction rate of the others present on the same patch or increases their ability to colonize other patches. In both cases, a strong enough mutualism enables all species to persist at habitat densities where they would all be extinct in the absence of the interaction. However, a mutualistic interaction that enhances colonization enables the species to persist at lower habitat density than one that suppresses extinction. All species abruptly go extinct (catastrophe) when the habitat density is decreased infinitesimally below a critical value. A comparison of the mean field or spatially implicit case with unrestricted dispersal and colonization to all patches in the system with a spatially explicit case where dispersal is restricted to the immediate neighbours of the original patch leads to the intriguing conclusion that restricted dispersal can be favourable for species that have a beneficial effect on each other when habitat conditions are adverse. When the mutualistic interaction is strong enough, the extinction threshold or critical amount of habitat required for the persistence of all species is lower when the dispersal is locally restricted than when unrestricted ! The persistence advantage for all species created by the mutualistic interaction increases substantially with the number of species in the metacommunity, as does the advantage for restricted dispersal over global dispersal.

Adaptation, Physiological↗

Random walks in the history of life.

The simplest null hypothesis for evolutionary time series is that the observed data follow a random walk. We examined whether aspects of Sepkoski's compilation of marine generic diversity depart from a random walk by using statistical tests from econometrics. Throughout most of the Phanerozoic, the random-walk null hypothesis is not rejected for marine diversity, accumulated origination or accumulated extinction, suggesting that either these variables were correlated with environmental variables that follow a random walk or so many mechanisms were affecting these variables, in different ways, that the resultant trends appear random. The only deviation from this pattern involves rejection of the null hypothesis for roughly the last 75 million years for the diversity and accumulated origination time series.

Animals↗

Continuous probabilistic approach to species dynamics in Hubbell's zero-sum local community.

In this paper a continuous probabilistic approach formulated using Kolmogorov-Fokker-Planck forward and backward models is applied to Hubbell's zero-sum neutral theory for species dynamics in local community. Using this technique the probability density of species abundance, distribution of the first passage time to extinction or fixation and probability of extinction are defined. The resulting values for the distribution of the first passage time to extinction are verified by the simulation study of Hubbell's zero-sum neutral model for the local community. Based on the sensitivity analysis for the continuous probabilistic models, the realistic classification of local communities subject to their diversity and species dynamics is proposed with respect to the immigration probability, the species metacommunity relative abundance, and the size of local community.

Computer Simulation↗

Molecular-level variation affects population growth in a butterfly metapopulation.

The dynamics of natural populations are thought to be dominated by demographic and environmental processes with little influence of intraspecific genetic variation and natural selection, apart from inbreeding depression possibly reducing population growth in small populations. Here we analyse hundreds of well-characterised local populations in a large metapopulation of the Glanville fritillary butterfly (Melitaea cinxia), which persists in a balance between stochastic local extinctions and recolonisations in a network of 4,000 discrete habitat patches. We show that the allelic composition of the glycolytic enzyme phosphoglucose isomerase (Pgi) has a significant effect on the growth of local populations, consistent with previously reported effects of allelic variation on flight metabolic performance and fecundity in the Glanville fritillary and Colias butterflies. The strength and the sign of the molecular effect on population growth are sensitive to the ecological context (the area and spatial connectivity of the habitat patches), which affects genotype-specific gene flow and the influence of migration on the dynamics of local populations. The biological significance of the results for Pgi is underscored by lack of any association between population growth and allelic variation at six other loci typed in the same material. In demonstrating, to our knowledge for the first time, that molecular variation in a candidate gene affects population growth, this study challenges the perception that differential performance of individual genotypes, leading to differential fitness, is irrelevant to population dynamics. These results also demonstrate that the spatial configuration of habitat and spatial dynamics of populations contribute to maintenance of Pgi polymorphism in this species.

Alleles↗

Protocols for ancient DNA typing.

Molecular analysis of fossil and archaeological remains has been established as a powerful tool in providing new insight in phylogenetic investigations. The overlapping set of molecular modifications and degradation that forensic samples share with archaeological specimen suggests the application of similar technical approaches to the respective biological material. Polymerase chain reaction is the molecular technique of choice for the retrieval of specimen deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) molecules. Because of intrinsic sensitivity, potential contaminations from exogenous DNA sources must be monitored through the entire process by the introduction of multiple blank controls. Cloning and sequencing of polymerase chain reaction products often is the only way to discriminate between contaminations and endogenous sequences as well as to identify variable positions from nucleotide modifications/DNA polymerase errors. Phylogenetic analysis and investigations of the pattern of substitutions are an additional and necessary step to validate the retrieved sequence. Comparison with available related samples (modern or extinct) is critical to correctly validate the results and to avoid artifactual data.

Archaeology↗

[Spectrophotometric studies on the binding of Victoria Blue 4R to oxidized insulin].

UNLABELLED: The empirical demonstration of insulin by the basic (cationic) dye Victoria Blue 4R (V4R; Ivić 1959) shows the character of a histochemical reaction (Wohlrab et al. 1985), while the chemistry+ of the reaction is not quite understood yet. Aim of this investigation: Will the spectral behaviour of V4R in visible light be influenced by oxidized or non-oxidized insulin? Dependent on the concentration, V4R shows in aqueous solution 2 absorption maxima (lambda = 597 and 558 nm), which represents monomers and dimers of the dye. With increasing dye concentration (200 mumol/l), V4R forms dimers and even higher polymers. Constant V4R concentration (200 mumol/l) results with increasing concentration of oxidized insulin (4 to 16 mumol/l) in a reduction of extinction, while the extinction at lambda = 558 nm (dimers) is more decreased than at lambda = 597 nm (monomers). Non-oxidized insulin has no remarkable influence on the absorption behaviour of V4R. Extinction measurements on V4R stained B-cells of islets of Langerhans after pre-oxidation of the section resulted in a main absorption maximum at lambda = 554 nm. CONCLUSION: Depending on the concentration, the dye V4R is associated with the oxidized insulin in aqueous solution, which is also indicated by the occurrence of an isobestic point in the curve behaviour. This is expressed by the establishment of a concentration-dependent equilibrium between the dye V4R and the oxidized insulin (change in the dissociation and aggregation behaviour respectively of the dye V4R). The determined main absorption maximum (lambda = 554 nm) in the biological material points in the same way to interactions between the stain and oxidized insulin.

Coloring Agents↗