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PubMed2003

Mechanistic inquiry into decrease in probability of defibrillation success with increase in complexity of preshock reentrant activity.

Energy requirements for successful antiarrhythmia shocks are arrhythmia specific. However, it remains unclear why the probability of shock success decreases with increasing arrhythmia complexity. The goal of this research was to determine whether a diminished probability of shock success results from an increased number of functional reentrant circuits in the myocardium, and if so, to identify the responsible mechanisms. To achieve this goal, we assessed shock efficacy in a bidomain defibrillation model of a 4-mm-thick slice of canine ventricles. Shocks were applied between a right ventricular cathode and a distant anode to terminate either a single scroll wave (SSW) or multiple scroll waves (MSWs). From the 160 simulations conducted, dose-response curves were constructed for shocks given to SSWs and MSWs. The shock strength that yielded a 50% probability of success (ED(50)) for SSWs was found to be 13% less than that for MSWs, which indicates that a larger number of functional reentries results in an increased defibrillation threshold. The results also demonstrate that an isoelectric window exists after both failed and successful shocks; however, shocks of strength near the ED(50) value that were given to SSWs resulted in 16.3% longer isoelectric window durations than the same shocks delivered to MSWs. Mechanistic inquiry into these findings reveals that the two main factors underlying the observed relationships are 1) smaller virtual electrode polarizations in the tissue depth, and 2) differences in preshock tissue state. As a result of these factors, intramural excitable pathways leading to delayed breakthrough on the surface were formed earlier after shocks given to MSWs compared with SSWs and thus resulted in a lower defibrillation threshold for shocks given to SSWs.

Animals↗

PubMed2004

Induction of myocardial infarcts of a predictable size and location by branch pattern probability-assisted coronary ligation in C57BL/6 mice.

The ability to create experimental myocardial infarctions of reproducible size and location is tantamount to progress in multiple facets of ischemic heart disease research. Branches of the mouse left main descending coronary artery penetrate the myocardium close to their origin and require "blind" ligation. Our objective was to develop a technique for ligation of nonvisible coronary artery branches to permit the reliable creation of infarcts of uniformly small size and location. From latex castings of the left coronary artery of C57BL/6J mice (n = 53), we calculated the highest probability for the location of branch points of two of three left ventricular (LV) branches distal to the origin of the left main descending artery. On the basis of these anatomic probabilities, we blindly ligated two areas that were likely to be locations of these nonvisible LV branches. We were successful in producing two types of small transmural myocardial infarctions (16.04 +/- 3.64 and 4.68 +/- 1.47% of the LV) in 57% of attempts. Thus our branch pattern probability-assisted method permits routine creation of small infarcts of uniform size in the mouse.

Animals↗

PubMed1996

Synaptic structural complexity as a factor enhancing probability of calcium-mediated transmitter release.

1. In a model synaptic system, the excitatory neuromuscular junction of the freshwater crayfish, the nerve terminals possess synapses that vary in structural complexity, with numbers of active zones ranging from zero to five. Active zones on individual synapses show a wide range of separation distances. We tested the hypothesis that two active zones of a single synapse in close proximity can enhance the localized increase in free calcium ion concentration, thus enhancing the probability of neurotransmission at that synapse. We evaluated the increase in calcium ion concentration as a function of distance between adjacent active zones. 2. To test this hypothesis, a reaction-diffusion model for Ca2+ entering the presynaptic terminals was used. This test was used because 1) present measurement techniques are inadequate to resolve quantitatively the highly localized, transient calcium microdomains at synaptic active zones; and 2) there is presently no suitable preparation for physiological recording from isolated synapses with varying distances between active zones. Included in the model were intracellular buffer and a typical distribution of voltage-activated Ca2+ channels for an active zone, estimated from freeze-fracture micrographs. 3. The model indicated that localized Ca2+ clouds from discrete active zones can overlap to create spatial enhancement of Ca2+ concentration. The degree of interaction between two active zones depends on the distance between them. When two typical active zones are separated by < or = 200 nm, the maximum intracellular Ca2+ concentration ([Ca2+]i) is greater at 1) the midpoint between them, and 2) the center of each one, than at the corresponding positions for a single isolated active zone. Enhanced [Ca2+]i at the edge of the active zone where "docked" synaptic vesicles occur would be expected to have an effect on transmitter release. 4. When the model includes no intracellular buffer, the increase in [Ca2+]i is a linear function of calcium channel current, but is a nonlinear function of the number of conducting calcium channels in an active zone. With immobile buffer included, the increase in [Ca2+]i is nonlinear with respect to both channel current and number of conducting channels. 5. Inclusion of immobile buffer in the model provides "released" residual calcium that slowly accumulates during a train of current pulses. Released residual calcium accumulates more rapidly at paired active zones separated by < or = 200 nm that at single isolated active zones. 6. We propose that the probability of release is enhanced at synapses with closely associated active zones. Synapses of this type ("complex" synapses) could be selectively recruited when the neuron is active at low frequencies. At higher frequencies of neuronal activity, more distant active zones may interact and acquire a greater probability of releasing quanta. This would provide the nerve terminal with one component of a mechanism for frequency facilitation, because the number of quanta released by the terminal as a whole would increase with frequency. Thus variation in synaptic complexity in a nerve terminal provides a mechanism for short-term plasticity of transmitter release.

Animals↗

PubMed2006

Increasing ryanodine receptor open probability alone does not produce arrhythmogenic calcium waves: threshold sarcoplasmic reticulum calcium content is required.

Diastolic waves of Ca(2+) release have been shown to activate delayed afterdepolarizations as well as some cardiac arrhythmias. The aim of this study was to investigate whether increasing ryanodine receptor open probability alone or in the presence of beta-adrenergic stimulation produces diastolic Ca release from the sarcoplasmic reticulum (SR). When voltage-clamped rat ventricular myocytes were exposed to caffeine (0.5 to 1.0 mmol), diastolic Ca(2+) release was seen to accompany the first few stimuli but was never observed in the steady state. We attribute the initial phase of diastolic Ca(2+) release to a decrease in the threshold SR Ca(2+) content required to activate Ca(2+) waves and its subsequent disappearance to a decrease of SR content below this threshold. Application of isoproterenol (1 micromol/L) increased the amplitude of the systolic Ca(2+) transient and also the SR Ca(2+) content but did not usually produce diastolic Ca(2+) release. Subsequent addition of caffeine, however, resulted in diastolic Ca(2+) release. We estimated the time course of recovery of SR Ca(2+) content following recovery from emptying with a high (10 mmol/L) concentration of caffeine. Diastolic Ca(2+) release recommenced only when SR content had increased back to its final level. We conclude that increasing ryanodine receptor open probability alone does not produce arrhythmogenic diastolic Ca(2+) release because of the accompanying decrease of SR Ca(2+) content. beta-Adrenergic stimulation increases SR content and thereby allows the increased ryanodine receptor open probability to produce diastolic Ca(2+) release. The implications of these results for arrhythmias associated with abnormal ryanodine receptors are discussed.

Adrenergic beta-Agonists↗

PubMed2003

Probability of regaining dexterity in the flaccid upper limb: impact of severity of paresis and time since onset in acute stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To improve the accuracy of early postonset prediction of motor recovery in the flaccid hemiplegic arm, the effects of change in motor function over time on the accuracy of prediction were evaluated, and a prediction model for the probability of regaining dexterity at 6 months was developed. METHODS: In 102 stroke patients, dexterity and paresis were measured with the Action Research Arm Test, Motricity Index, and Fugl-Meyer motor evaluation. For model development, 23 candidate determinants were selected. Logistic regression analysis was used for prognostic factors and model development. RESULTS: At 6 months, some dexterity in the paretic arm was found in 38%, and complete functional recovery was seen in 11.6% of the patients. Total anterior circulation infarcts, right hemisphere strokes, homonymous hemianopia, visual gaze deficit, visual inattention, and paresis were statistically significant related to a poor arm function. Motricity Index leg scores of at least 25 points in the first week and Fugl-Meyer arm scores of 11 points in the second week increasing to 19 points in the fourth week raised the probability of developing some dexterity (Action Research Arm Test >or=10 points) from 74% (positive predictive value [PPV], 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63 to 0.86) to 94% (PPV, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.91) at 6 months. No change in probabilities of prediction dexterity was found after 4 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the Fugl-Meyer scores of the flaccid arm, optimal prediction of arm function outcome at 6 months can be made within 4 weeks after onset. Lack of voluntary motor control of the leg in the first week with no emergence of arm synergies at 4 weeks is associated with poor outcome at 6 months.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed2005

Postmortem locus coeruleus neuron count in three American veterans with probable or possible war-related PTSD.

The authors investigated whether war-related posttraumatic stress disorder (WR-PTSD) is associated with a postmortem change in neuronal counts in the locus coeruleus (LC) since enhanced central nervous system (CNS) noradrenergic postsynaptic responsiveness has been previously shown to contribute to PTSD pathophysiology. Using postmortem neuromorphometry, the number of neurons in the right LC in seven deceased elderly male veterans was counted. Three veterans were classified as cases of probable or possible WR-PTSD. All three veterans with probable or possible WR-PTSD were found to have substantially lower LC neuronal counts compared to four comparison subjects (three nonpsychiatric veterans and one veteran with alcohol dependence and delirium tremens). To the authors' knowledge, this case series is the first report of LC neuronal counts in patients with PTSD or any other DSM-IV-TR anxiety disorder. Previous postmortem brain tissue studies of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) demonstrated an upregulation of NE biosynthetic capacity in surviving LC neurons. The finding reported is consistent with the similar upregulation of NE biosynthetic capacity of surviving LC neurons in veterans who developed WR-PTSD. Especially if replicated, this finding in WR-PTSD may provide further explanation of the dramatic effectiveness of propranolol and prazosin for the secondary prevention and treatment of PTSD, respectively. The LC neurons examined in this study are probably the origin of the first or second "leg" of what might be termed the PTSD candidate circuit. Larger neuromorphometric studies of the LC in veterans with WR-PTSD and in other development-stress-induced and fear-circuitry disorders are warranted, especially using VA registries.

Aged↗

PubMed1998

Probable reasons for expressed agitation in persons with dementia.

Nursing home patients with dementia were videotaped in three previous studies. Sixty sequences of nine patients exhibiting agitated behaviors were examined to identify the most probable antecedents to agitation. Probable reasons were interpreted and applied to the Progressively Lowered Stress Threshold model, which suggests that agitation is stress related. Analysis suggests that agitation often serves as a form of communication. Two underlying reasons seem to be that the patient had loss of control over the situation and deficient autonomy. The most common causes for expressed agitation were interpreted as discomfort, a wish to be served immediately, conflict between patients or with nursing staff, reactions to environmental noises or sound, and invasion of personal space. It is recommended that nursing staff promote autonomy and independency for this group of patients whenever possible. By evaluating probable reasons for expressed agitation, the nursing staff can take steps to prevent or alleviate agitation.

Aged↗

PubMed1994

Probable pentamidine-induced acute pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: To report a case of probable pentamidine-induced acute pancreatitis. CASE SUMMARY: A patient was hospitalized because of fever, dyspnea, and productive cough. Chest X-ray revealed diffuse alveolar infiltrates, and the examination of bronchoalveolar lavage demonstrated the presence of Pneumocystis carinii. Intravenous cotrimoxazole was administered but the patient's condition did not improve. As secondary leukopenia appeared, the treatment was changed to pentamidine isethionate 4 mg/kg/d i.v. On day 5 of this new therapy, the patient experienced abdominal pain, and both blood and urine amylase concentrations raised to 330 U/L and 3960 U/L, respectively. The patient died 48 hours later, and signs of acute pancreatitis were observed in necropsy. DISCUSSION: With reference to a classical method for estimating the probability of adverse drug reactions, a probable relationship between pentamidine therapy and acute pancreatitis was found in this patient. Furthermore, no alternative causes of pancreatitis were present. CONCLUSIONS: It is likely that pentamidine administration in our patient resulted in an acute episode of pancreatitis. Serum and urine amylase concentrations should be monitored in patients receiving this drug.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

PubMed1995

Probable ticlopidine-induced cholestatic hepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: To report a case of probable ticlopidine-induced cholestatic hepatitis. CASE SUMMARY: A 76-year-old man with no known history of liver disease developed painless jaundice approximately 3 weeks after starting ticlopidine 250 mg bid. After ticlopidine was discontinued, the jaundice resolved and serum liver enzyme concentrations returned toward normal. A diagnosis of probable ticlopidine-induced cholestatic hepatitis was made. The patient was not rechallenged with ticlopidine. DISCUSSION: A literature search produced 6 case reports describing 7 patients in whom probable ticlopidine-induced cholestatic hepatitis had been diagnosed. Only 1 of these reports appeared in the North American literature. Jaundice developed within 1 to 3 months of starting ticlopidine at less than or equal to the recommended daily dose. In all cases, jaundice resolved and serum liver enzyme concentrations normalized over a period of months after drug discontinuation. CONCLUSIONS: Routine monitoring of serum liver enzyme concentrations is not recommended. However, patients should be instructed to watch for signs and symptoms of liver injury. Should they occur, patients should stop taking the ticlopidine and consult their physician immediately.

Aged↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Using genotype probabilities in survival analysis: a scrapie case.

The objective was to evaluate the potential use of genotype probabilities to handle records of non-genotyped animals in the context of survival analysis. To do so, the risks associated with the PrP genotype and other transmission factors in relation to clinical scrapie were estimated. Data from 4049 Romanov sheep affected by natural scrapie were analyzed using survival analysis techniques. The original data set included 1310 animals with missing genotypes; five of those had uncensored records. Different missing genotype-information patterns were simulated for uncensored and censored records. Three strategies differing in the way genotype information was handled were tested. Firstly, records with unknown genotypes were discarded (P1); secondly, those records were grouped in an unknown class (P2). Finally the probabilities of genotypes were assigned (P3). Whatever the strategy, the ranking of relative risks for the most susceptible genotypes (VRQ-VRQ, ARQ-VRQ and ARQ-ARQ) was similar even when the non-genotyped animals were not a negligible part of uncensored records. However, P3 had a more efficient way of handling missing genotype information. As compared to P1, either P2 or P3 avoided discarding the records of non-genotyped animals; however, P3 eliminated the unknown class and the risk associated with this group. Genotype probabilities were shown to be a useful technique to handle records of individuals with unknown genotype.

Animals↗

PubMed2005

Probable neuroimmunological link between Toxoplasma and cytomegalovirus infections and personality changes in the human host.

BACKGROUND: Recently, a negative association between Toxoplasma-infection and novelty seeking was reported. The authors suggested that changes of personality trait were caused by manipulation activity of the parasite, aimed at increasing the probability of transmission of the parasite from an intermediate to a definitive host. They also suggested that low novelty seeking indicated an increased level of the neurotransmitter dopamine in the brain of infected subjects, a phenomenon already observed in experimentally infected rodents. However, the changes in personality can also be just a byproduct of any neurotropic infection. Moreover, the association between a personality trait and the toxoplasmosis can even be caused by an independent correlation of both the probability of Toxoplasma-infection and the personality trait with the third factor, namely with the size of living place of a subject. To test these two alternative hypotheses, we studied the influence of another neurotropic pathogen, the cytomegalovirus, on the personality of infected subjects, and reanalyzed the original data after the effect of the potential confounder, the size of living place, was controlled. METHODS: In the case-control study, 533 conscripts were tested for toxoplasmosis and presence of anti-cytomegalovirus antibodies and their novelty seeking was examined with Cloninger's TCI questionnaire. Possible association between the two infections and TCI dimensions was analyzed. RESULTS: The decrease of novelty seeking is associated also with cytomegalovirus infection. After the size of living place was controlled, the effect of toxoplasmosis on novelty seeking increased. Significant difference in novelty seeking was observed only in the largest city, Prague. CONCLUSION: Toxoplasma and cytomegalovirus probably induce a decrease of novelty seeking. As the cytomegalovirus spreads in population by direct contact (not by predation as with Toxoplasma), the observed changes are the byproduct of brain infections rather than the result of manipulation activity of a parasite. Four independent lines of indirect evidence, namely direct measurement of neurotransmitter concentration in mice, the nature of behavioral changes in rodents, the nature of personality changes in humans, and the observed association between schizophrenia and toxoplasmosis, suggest that the changes of dopamine concentration in brain could play a role in behavioral changes of infected hosts.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Male gonadal dose of ionizing radiation delivered during X-ray examinations and monthly probability of pregnancy: a population-based retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Male gonadal exposure to ionizing radiation may disrupt spermatogenesis, but its influence on the fecundity of couples has been rarely studied. We aimed to characterize the influence of male gonadal dose of ionizing radiation delivered during radiodiagnostic on the monthly probability of pregnancy. METHODS: We recruited a random sample of women who retrospectively described 1110 periods of unprotected intercourse beginning between 1985 and 1999 and leading either to a live birth or to no pregnancy; their duration was censored after 13 months. The male partner answered a telephone questionnaire on radiodiagnostic examinations. We assigned a mean gonadal dose to each type of radiodiagnostic examination. We defined male dose for each period of unprotected intercourse as the sum of the gonadal doses of the X-ray examinations experienced between 18 years of age and the date of discontinuation of contraception. Time to pregnancy was analysed using a discrete Cox model with random effect allowing to estimate hazard ratios of pregnancy. RESULTS: After adjustment for female factors likely to influence fecundity, there was no evidence of an association between male dose and the probability of pregnancy (test of homogeneity, p = 0.55). When compared to couples with a male gonadal dose between 0.01 and 0.20 milligrays (n = 321 periods of unprotected intercourse), couples with a gonadal dose above 10 milligrays had a hazard ratio of pregnancy of 1.44 (95% confidence interval, 0.73-2.86, n = 31). CONCLUSION: Our study provides no evidence of a long-term detrimental effect of male gonadal dose of ionizing radiation delivered during radiodiagnostic on the monthly probability of pregnancy during the year following discontinuation of contraceptive use. Classification errors due to the retrospective assessment of male gonadal exposure may have limited the statistical power of our study.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Treatment of intrahepatic cancers with radiation doses based on a normal tissue complication probability model.

PURPOSE: To attempt to safely escalate the dose of radiation for patients with intrahepatic cancer, we designed a protocol in which each patient received the maximum possible dose while being subjected to a 10% risk of radiation-induced liver disease (RILD, or radiation hepatitis) based on a normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model. We had two hypotheses: H1; with this approach, we could safely deliver higher doses of radiation than we would have prescribed based on our previous protocol, and H2; the model would predict the observed complication probability (10%). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with either primary hepatobiliary cancer or colorectal cancer metastatic to the liver and normal liver function were eligible. We used an NTCP model with parameters calculated from our previous patient data to prescribe a dose that subjected each patient to a 10% complication risk within the model. Treatment was delivered with concurrent hepatic arterial fluorodeoxyuridine (HA FUdR). Patients were evaluated for RILD 2 and 4 months after the completion of treatment. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients completed treatment and were followed up for at least 3 months. The mean dose delivered by the current protocol was 56.6 +/- 2.31 Gy (range, 40.5 to 81 Gy). This dose was significantly greater than the dose that would have been prescribed by the previous protocol (46.0 +/- 1.65 Gy; range, 33 to 66 Gy; P < .01). These data are consistent with H1. One of 21 patients developed RILD. The complication rate of 4.8% (95% confidence interval, 0% to 23.8%) did not differ significantly from the predicted 8.8% NTCP (based on dose delivered) and excluded a 25% true incidence rate (P < .05). This finding supports H2. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that an NTCP model can be used prospectively to safely deliver far greater doses of radiation for patients with intrahepatic cancer than with previous approaches. Although the observed complication probability is within the confidence intervals of our model, it is possible that this model overestimates the risk of complication and that further dose escalation will be possible. Additional follow-up and accrual will be required to determine if these higher doses produce further improvements in response and survival.

Antimetabolites, Antineoplastic↗

PubMed2003

Pretreatment nomogram that predicts 5-year probability of metastasis following three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy for localized prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: There are several nomograms for the patient considering radiation therapy for clinically localized prostate cancer. Because of the questionable clinical implications of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) recurrence, its use as an end point has been criticized in several of these nomograms. The goal of this study was to create and to externally validate a nomogram for predicting the probability that a patient will develop metastasis within 5 years after three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (CRT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, nonrandomized analysis of 1,677 patients treated with three-dimensional CRT at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) from 1988 to 2000. Clinical parameters examined were pretreatment PSA level, clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason sum. Patients were followed until their deaths, and the time at which they developed metastasis was noted. A nomogram for predicting the 5-year probability of developing metastasis was constructed from the MSKCC cohort and validated using the Cleveland Clinic series of 1,626 patients. RESULTS: After three-dimensional CRT, 159 patients developed metastasis. At 5 years, 11% of patients experienced metastasis by cumulative incidence analysis (95% CI, 9% to 13%). A nomogram constructed from the data gathered from these men showed an excellent ability to discriminate among patients in an external validation data set, as shown by a concordance index of 0.81. CONCLUSION: A nomogram with reasonable accuracy and discrimination has been constructed and validated using an external data set to predict the probability that a patient will experience metastasis within 5 years after three-dimensional CRT.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2004

Prevalence and impact of migraine and probable migraine in a health plan.

BACKGROUND: A large number of headache sufferers with features of migraine fail to meet criteria for strict migraine (SM; migraine with or without aura) but do meet criteria for probable migraine (PM). OBJECTIVES: To estimate the prevalence of PM, to compare the epidemiologic profiles of SM and PM, and to assess the disability and impact on the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of these patients. METHODS: Computer-assisted telephone interviews in a sample recruited from a mixed model health maintenance organization were used. SM, PM, and control subjects were identified. Also assessed were demographic features, disability, HRQoL, and depression. RESULTS: The 1-year prevalence for SM was 14.7% (19.2% in women and 6.6% in men); for PM, it was 14.6% (15.9% in women, 12.6% in men). Most subjects with PM (82%) did not meet the associated symptom criteria for migraine. HRQoL was reduced in the PM, SM, and all migraine (AM; SM and PM pooled together) groups compared with controls. The proportion of subjects with high disability was elevated in PM (13%), SM (31%), and AM (22%) groups vs controls (3.7%; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Within a health plan, probable migraine is a prevalent form of migraine, with symptom and epidemiologic profiles that overlap with strict migraine. Although strict migraine prevalence was consistent with previous studies, a probable migraine prevalence higher than previously reported was found, perhaps reflecting a difference between health plan and population samples.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1992

Blinded clinical evaluation of positron emission tomography for diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease.

We evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of positron emission tomography for diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease under conditions similar to those encountered in the routine clinical practice of nuclear medicine. We obtained tomographic images of regional cerebral blood flow from three groups of subjects: (1) 13 subjects, ages 69 to 84, who had probable Alzheimer's disease diagnosed by validated clinical criteria; (2) 15 subjects, ages 57 to 77, who had Parkinson's disease without dementia; and (3) 11 subjects, ages 65 to 83, who were normal. Three blinded reviewers, who had not previously seen the images, categorized them as normal, bilateral temporoparietal flow defects typical of Alzheimer's disease, or other abnormality. Consensus interpretation demonstrated sensitivity of 0.38 (5/13) and specificity of 0.88 (23/26) for identifying patients with probable Alzheimer's disease. Thus, the criterion of bilateral temporoparietal reduction in cerebral blood flow used in this study did not have sufficient sensitivity to be of clinical value. While other criteria may be developed to improve diagnostic accuracy, clinical utility can be established only by testing for validity in patients with a full spectrum of complicating neurologic and psychiatric conditions for whom diagnosis is uncertain and who are then followed longitudinally to determine clinical outcome or pathologic findings.

Aged↗

PubMed2000

Incidence of and risk factors for hallucinations and delusions in patients with probable AD.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the incidence of and risk factors for hallucinations and delusions associated with patients clinically diagnosed with probable AD. BACKGROUND: Estimates of the incidence of psychosis in AD range widely from 10% to 75%. The risk factors for psychosis of AD are not known, although multiple studies indicate that AD patients with psychosis demonstrate greater cognitive and functional impairment. METHODS: The authors conducted psychiatric evaluations of 329 patients with probable AD from the University of California at San Diego Alzheimer's Disease Research Center to determine the incidence of hallucinations and delusions. They examined data from annual clinical and neuropsychological evaluations to determine whether there were specific risk factors for the development of hallucinations and delusions. RESULTS: Using Cox survival analyses, the cumulative incidence of hallucinations and delusions was 20.1% at 1 year, 36.1% at 2, 49.5% at 3, and 51.3% at 4 years. Parkinsonian gait, bradyphrenia, exaggerated general cognitive decline, and exaggerated semantic memory decline were significant predictors. Age, education, and gender were not significant predictors. CONCLUSIONS: The authors found a relatively high incidence of hallucinations and delusions in patients diagnosed with probable AD and suggest that specific neurologic signs, cognitive abilities, and accelerated decline may be predictive markers for their occurrence.

Alzheimer Disease↗

PubMed2002

Intertrochanteric osteotomy for avascular necrosis of the head of the femur. Survival probability of two different methods.

We have compared different types of intertrochanteric osteotomy for avascular necrosis of the hip and evaluated their performance in the light of improving outcome after total hip arthroplasty (THA). During a period of 14 years we performed 63 flexion osteotomies (partly combined with varus or valgus displacement), 29 rotational osteotomies, 13 varus osteotomies, eight medialising osteotomies and two extension osteotomies. The mean period of follow-up for all 115 operations was 7.3 years (maximum 24.6). At follow-up, 27 of 29 patients with a rotational osteotomy had already undergone a THA, compared with 36 of 63 after flexion osteotomy. A high incidence of complications (55.2%) was seen early after rotational osteotomy, compared with 17.5% after flexion osteotomy. For all osteotomies there was a high correlation between the size of the necrotic area and the incidence of failure, which also correlated with the preoperative Ficat and Steinberg stages. Using Kaplan-Meier survivorship analysis, Sugioka's rotational osteotomy showed a survival probability after five years of 0.26 (95% confidence interval 0.49 to 0.14), and after ten years of 0.15 (CI 0.36 to 0.06). The survival probability for flexion osteotomy was 0.70 (CI 0.83 to 0.59) after five years and 0.50 (CI 0.65 to 0.38) after ten years. The subgroup of flexion osteotomy with a necrotic sector of less than 180 degrees achieved the best survival probability of 0.90 (CI 1.00 to 0.80) after five years and 0.61 (CI 0.84 to 0.45) after ten years. The indications for intertrochanteric osteotomy for avascular necrosis of the hip have to be addressed critically. Even flexion osteotomy in cases with small areas of necrosis provides only temporary benefit. Rotational osteotomy was associated with a high incidence of complications.

Adult↗