[Alteration of municipal frontiers in Zuid-Limburg, January 1, 1982: adjustment of internal migration flows and intra-municipal removals].
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"In this paper the author introduces a population-projection framework that incorporates interregional migration and intraregional residential mobility streams to project future population sizes both across and within regions in a manner that is consistent with existing migration theory. The author presents a general matrix model of the framework, shows how its parameters can be estimated from fixed-interval census migration data, and discusses how the framework can be employed to 'update' population projections when recent, more limited data sets become available. These features of the framework are demonstrated with intrametropolitan central-city-suburb projections for selected US Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas over the period, 1970-2020."
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"Population forecasts based on cross sectional data do not allow for the variations in cohort fertility. In this paper methods are developed to fit cohort fertility rates by an exponential function. Out of a number of selected functions the Weibull-function shows the best fit. For predicting cohort fertility pattern the parameter values can be derived from the forecasts of a small number of demographic statistics." (summary in ENG)
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The author discusses "varying strategies of urbanization and city growth for the Soviet macroregions--European USSR, Siberia, and Central Asia." Several important research areas are outlined, including global aspects of urbanization, forecasts of urban growth in the USSR, formulation of a theory and methods for categorizing urban formation, urbanization and environmental concerns, mathematical modeling of urban systems, and research on specific urban systems.
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A number of demographic techniques for the indirect estimation of trends in causes of death in Indonesia are proposed. These involve "the use of rates and proportions derived from other nations experiencing similar levels of mortality to that prevailing in Indonesia. Four sets of estimates were produced, the first based on a regression developed by Preston, the other three derived from national patterns of Mexico, the Philippines, and a composite group of countries. These were compared with available epidemiologic and clinical data from Indonesia to produce a final set of estimates which accord both with known Indonesian patterns and medical findings from other nations."
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