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KAI1/CD82 expression in nonsmall cell lung carcinoma is a novel, favorable prognostic factor: an immunohistochemical analysis.

BACKGROUND: The KAI1/CD82 gene, the product of which is a member of the transmembrane-4 superfamily, is a suppressor of metastasis; as a result, it is inversely associated with tumor progression and is a favorable prognostic factor in some tumors. This study was performed to determine the prognostic value of KAI1/CD82 protein levels in nonsmall cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC). In addition, levels of KAIl/CD82 expression in metastatic lesions were determined and compared with those in primary NSCLC lesions. METHODS: KAI1/CD82 expression in 200 NSCLC patients who underwent potentially curative surgery was immunohistochemically detected with C33, an anti-KAI1/CD82 monoclonal antibody. According to the degree of KAI1/CD82 positive cancer cells within the tumor tissue, each sample was classified as KAI1/CD82 positive, KAI1/CD82 reduced, or KAI1/CD82 negative. RESULTS: Sixty-five samples (32.5%) were KAI1/CD82 positive, 31 (15.5%) were reduced, and 104 (52%) were negative. There was no significant association between KAI1/CD82 expression and clinicopathologic factors, but patients who were positive for KAI1/CD82 expression had significantly favorable prognoses for overall survival (P = 0.0026) and disease free survival (DFS; P = 0.0007) compared with the other groups. In particular, among patients with adenocarcinoma, similar results were even more significant. In multivariate analysis, immunohistochemical KAI1/CD82 expression in patients with NSCLC was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival and DFS; in those with adenocarcinoma, it was an even more valuable factor. In some patients with NSCLC, especially those with adenocarcinoma, KAI1/CD82 expression levels in metastatic lesions were diminished compared with levels of expression in the primary lung lesions. CONCLUSIONS: The immunohistochemically determined level of KAI1/CD82 expression in NSCLC cells within tumor tissue appears to be a favorable prognostic factor for overall survival as well as DFS. The results of this study suggest that decreased KAI1/CD82 expression may be associated with tumor progression and enhanced metastatic potential in some patients with this disease.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors for long term results of the treatment of patients with malignant submandibular gland tumors.

BACKGROUND: Concerning malignant submandibular gland tumors, a rare disease entity, there are few recent reports of long term treatment results and of prognostic factors modifying these results. METHODS: The clinical data of 43 patients with malignant submandibular gland tumors who were treated at the Netherlands Cancer Institute between 1973 and 1994 were reviewed to evaluate treatment results and to control described prognostic factors. The median follow-up for patients alive at the end of follow-up was 143 months. Only univariate analyses were performed. RESULTS: The crude 5- and 10-year survival rates were 50% and 36%, respectively; the 5- and 10-year disease specific survival (DSS) rates were 61% and 51%, respectively; and the 5- and 10-year recurrence free percentages were 57% and 52%, respectively. Factors predicting crude survival were age at diagnosis (P = 0.0006), International Union Against Cancer/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/ AJCC) TNM classification and its regrouping into tumor stage (P = 0.001), and clinical skin invasion (P = 0.005). In surgically treated patients, soft tissue invasion (P = 0.005), metastatic lymph nodes (P = 0.006), and perineural growth (P = 0.01) were prognostic for survival. Factors predicting DSS were the UICC/AJCC TNM classification and regrouping into tumor stage (P = 0.002). In surgical patients, perineural growth (P = 0.0008) conferred a lower DSS. Factors predicting tumor recurrence were the UICC/AJCC TNM classification and its regrouping into tumor stage (P = 0.009). In surgical patients, perineural growth (P = 0.003) predicts tumor recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Of patients with submandibular gland carcinoma treated according to a stable treatment protocol in a European tertiary referral center, 52% were tumor free 10 years later. Patients exhibiting the described adverse prognostic factors are likely to benefit from added radiotherapy.

Adult↗

American Joint Committee on Cancer prognostic factors consensus conference.

BACKGROUND: The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) published the 1st edition of the Cancer Staging Manual in 1977 and began using T (tumor extent), N (regional lymph node status), and M (the presence or absence of distant metastasis) in an organized staging scheme to express the extent of disease in a number of cancer sites. The goal of this program has been to provide physicians and others with a useful methodology to plan treatment, project prognosis, and measure outcome end results. Until recent years, this system has incorporated only elements of anatomic extent of the tumors determined by clinical and pathologic methods. At the present time an increasing number of nonanatomic cancer prognostic factors are being identified and studied. Some of these factors currently are being used for outcome predictions and treatment decisions. METHODS: To begin the process of identifying and validating these prognostic factors to refine the present TNM system, the AJCC convened a Prognostic Factors Consensus Conference to evaluate the roles of biologic, genetic, molecular, and other nonanatomic factors in staging cancer. Working groups were appointed for carcinomas of the breast, colorectum, prostate, and ovary and experts in each of these areas were invited to participate. Emphasis was placed on evaluating existing data and the correlation of these data with survival. RESULTS: None of the groups believed that there were sufficient data at the present time to merit incorporation of serum markers into the TNM system for the four tumors under consideration, although this soon might become possible in prostate carcinoma after the evaluation of survival data from multiple institutions. Recommendations were made regarding the emerging sentinel lymph node technique, the need for an increased use of histopathology in the staging of breast and ovarian carcinomas, and the use of additional histologic staining techniques for the detection of "micrometastases" in lymph nodes. A number of additional recommendations were made for changes to the TNM system that did not involve serum markers and other nonanatomic cancer prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: These recommendations are presented for the purpose of discussion and evaluation and do not yet represent formal proposals for a change in the AJCC TNM system of staging.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Prognostic significance of an increased number of micrometastatic tumor cells in the bone marrow of patients with first recurrence of breast carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Using cytokeratin (CK) as a histogenetic marker of epithelial tumor cells in the bone marrow of patients with primary breast carcinoma, a subgroup of patients with decreased survival can be identified. This study was designed to evaluate the frequency and prognostic relevance of such cells in patients with recurrent breast carcinoma. METHODS: Bone marrow aspirates from 65 patients were analyzed immunocytochemically for the presence of CK positive cells. A quantitative immunoassay with monoclonal anti-CK antibody A45-B/B3 was used and 2 x 10(6) bone marrow cells per patient were evaluated. For prognostic evaluation the authors calculated a cutoff value of micrometastatic tumor cells by analogy to classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Patients were monitored prospectively for a median of 37 months (range, 11-63 months). RESULTS: Bone marrow micrometastases were present in 5 of 32 patients (16%) with locoregional recurrence and in 24 of 33 patients (73%) with distant recurrence. The bone marrow status yielded no prognostic indication for patients with locoregional recurrence. In contrast, a cutoff value of 2.5 tumor cells per 1 million bone marrow cells analyzed (2.5 x 10(-6) tumor cells) correlated with a significantly different prognosis for women with distant disease. Patients with metastatic disease and a micrometastatic tumor load of > 2.5 x 10(-6) tumor cells survived for a mean of 6 months (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.0-9.1) compared with 17 months (95% CI, 11.6-22.0) for patients with < or = 2.5 x 10(-6) tumor cells (P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis, allowing for hormone receptor status, disease free interval prior to recurrence, manifestation site of metastases, age, and micrometastases in bone marrow, revealed that bone marrow involvement was an independent risk factor, with a hazard ratio of 7.4 (95% CI, 1.6-13.3) for disease-related death. CONCLUSIONS: An increased number of micrometastases identified in the bone marrow of patients with metastatic breast carcinoma represents an independent prognostic factor that may influence future therapeutic strategies for patients with metastatic breast carcinoma.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

CD44 is an independent prognostic factor in early-stage cervical cancer.

The expression of specific cell-adhesion molecule CD44 isoforms (splice variants) is associated with metastatic spread and poor prognosis in human malignancies. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether CD44 isoform expression is a prognostic factor in early-stage cervical cancer. We used 4 different variant exon sequence-specific murine monoclonal antibodies to the CD44 isoforms CD44v3, CD44v5, CD44v6 and CD44v7-8 to study the prognostic value of CD44 splice variants in 200 cases of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage-IB cervical cancer by immunohistochemistry. In the univariate analysis, the expression of CD44v3 (log-rank test, p = 0.03) and CD44v6 (log-rank test, p = 0.03) was correlated with poor overall survival. In the subgroup of patients without metastatic disease in the pelvic lymph nodes, expression of CD44v6 was correlated with poor disease-free and overall survival (log-rank test, p = 0.04 and p = 0.01, respectively). Multivariate analysis, correcting for the confounding variables pelvic lymph-node involvement, depth of invasion and histologic grading, revealed CD44v6 to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival of patients with early-stage cervical cancer. The results of this study indicate that CD44v6 is an additional prognostic marker in surgically treated cervical cancer. The assessment of CD44 isoform expression could be of clinical value in deciding upon adjuvant therapy, resulting in a more individualized management of therapy.

Adult↗

Prognostic significance of Bcl-2 expression and p53 nuclear accumulation in colorectal adenocarcinoma.

The products of bcl-2 and p53 genes are involved in the regulation of apoptosis and proliferation and have been associated with prognosis in several malignancies, including colorectal adenocarcinoma. Although 2 European studies have reported a prognostic significance of Bcl-2 expression in colorectal adenocarcinomas, a study from the United States did not observe such an association. Therefore, we used immunohistochemistry to evaluate the prognostic significance of Bcl-2 expression, p53 nuclear accumulation and their concomitant expression in 134 US patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma. Antigen retrieval was required for adequate detection of Bcl-2 expression. Fifty percent of the colorectal tumors were classified as expressing Bcl-2, and Bcl-2 expression was associated with longer patient survival. Antigen retrieval was not necessary for detecting nuclear accumulation of p53 by immunohistochemistry. Nuclear accumulation of p53 was detected in 44% of colorectal adenocarcinomas and was associated with decreased patient survival. Tumors that did not express detectable levels of Bcl-2 but exhibited nuclear accumulation of p53 were associated with the shortest patient survival (log rank, p = 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that Bcl-2 expression (p = 0.018), p53 nuclear accumulation (p = 0.024) and regional lymph-node metastasis (p = 0.005) were independent prognostic factors. Although a trend toward an inverse correlation between Bcl-2 and p53 expression was observed, the prognostic value of Bcl-2 expression was independent of p53 status. Thus, assessment of both Bcl-2 and p53 status may be valuable in predicting the prognosis of patients with colorectal adenocarcinomas.

Aged↗

Prognostic implications of cyclins (D1, E, A), cyclin-dependent kinases (CDK2, CDK4) and tumor-suppressor genes (pRB, p16INK4A) in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

Immunohistochemistry was used to analyze samples of 40 newly diagnosed childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemias (ALL) for their expression of cyclins (D1, E, A), cyclin-dependent kinases (cdk2, cdk4) and tumor-suppressor genes (pRb, p16INK4A), in order to discover whether or not the expression of these various proteins may be of prognostic relevance for the survival of children with ALL. Patients with ALL who were strongly positive for cyclin D1 had a lower probability of remaining in first continuous remission than ALL patients who were negative or weakly positive for this trait. There was also a significant correlation between expression of cyclin D1 and frequency of recurrence. For cyclin E and cyclin A, in contrast, there was no difference in the duration of relapse-free-intervals or the frequency of recurrence in patients. Children with cdk4-positive ALL had a lower probability of remaining in first continuous remission than children with cdk4-negative ALL. No prognostic relevance was found for cdk2. Patients with ALL who expressed pRb had a higher probability and patients who expressed p16 a lower probability of remaining in first continuous remission, but the results were not statistically significant. This investigation demonstrated that cyclin D1 and cdk4 were the most important prognostic factors for children with ALL, and that the combination of them showed the strongest prognostic relevance.

Adolescent↗

Evaluation of a displacement assay with tamoxifen as prognostic indicator in breast-cancer patients with estrogen-receptor-positive tumors.

A displacement assay with tamoxifen, based on the relative binding affinity of tamoxifen and estradiol for the estrogen receptor (ER), was proposed in 1990 as prognostic indicator for breast-cancer patients. Validation of its predictive results in relation to the outcome of 73 patients with ER+ tumors is analyzed. ER, progesterone receptor (PgR) determinations and other conventional prognostic factors in relation to the displacement assay, were considered. Displacement assay results allowed ER+ tumors to be grouped as displaceable (D) or weakly displaceable (WD), with the implication that D tumors should respond better to tamoxifen (Tam) administration. Survival and disease-free interval curves showed highly significant differences between patients with ER+ D and ER+ WD tumors. For survival, including all tumor stages, 73.9% of patients were alive at 9 years after surgery in the group with D tumors and 37.0% in the group with WD tumors (p < 0.005); relative contribution of the different stages is analyzed. Addition of axillary-node number increased the prognostic significance of displacement categories for survival and disease-free interval. PgR determination as another ER functional expression failed to show significant differences for survival and disease-free interval between ER+ PgR+ and ER+ PgR- tumors. Thus, results from the displacement assay and from PgR determinations reflect 2 independent ER functional expressions. Displacement assay data appear as reliable prognostic indicators of breast-cancer outcome, and contribute to more appropriate treatment decisions in this pathology.

Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal↗

Prognostic impact of p21/waf1/cip1 in colorectal cancer.

In addition to the tumor suppressor gene p53, Cyclin Dependent Kinases (CDK) are well known to influence the cell cycle in normal human tissues and various neoplasias as well. The purpose of our present study was to evaluate the expression of the CDK-inhibitor p21/waf1/cip1 in colorectal cancer with special emphasis on the prognostic impact. Between 1985 and 1991, 294 patients (median age, 65 years) underwent surgical operative therapy for colorectal cancer. Formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded tumor specimens were investigated. For immunohistochemistry the Catalysed Reporter Deposition (CARD) technique was performed. The survival probability was calculated and possible prognostic risk factors were tested using multivariate analysis. The p21/ waf1/cip1 staining pattern was positive in 197 (67%) specimens and negative in 97 (33%) samples. No significant correlation could been calculated between p21/waf1/cip1 expression and other variables such as age, sex, WHO-Classification, localisation, grading, TNM-classification or UICC-stage. Patients with a positive staining reaction had a significantly better survival (p < 0.0052). Moreover, p21/waf1/cip1 was shown to be an independent prognostic parameter by multivariate analysis (p < 0.022). In contrast with these findings, the p53 tumor status had no impact on survival. P21/ waf1/cip1 appears to be an independent prognostic parameter in colorectal cancer and is associated with a favorable survival. This feature may be related to a cell cycle arrest in the G1 phase induced by p21/waf1/cip1, resulting in lower tumor cell proliferative activity.

Aged↗

Sample size considerations for the evaluation of prognostic factors in survival analysis.

When the role of a new prognostic factor is investigated, careful planning of an appropriate study is required. This includes an assessment of the power of the study in terms of sample sizes. An adequate analysis of the independent prognostic effect of a new factor has to be adjusted for the existing standard factors. With survival time as endpoint this will usually be done with the Cox proportional hazards model. Sample size and power formulae in survival analysis have been developed by Schoenfeld for randomized treatment comparisons. In the analysis of prognostic factors the covariates included are expected to be correlated with the factor of primary interest. In this situation, the existing sample size and power formulae are not valid and may not be applied. In this paper, Schoenfeld's formula is first extended to the situation where a correlated factor is included in the analysis. The validity of the resulting approximate asymptotic formula is investigated for its asymptotic behaviour by numerical integration and for its finite behaviour by simulation. Second, an approximate formula for sample size and power is provided to detect an interaction between the interesting and a second correlated factor. This extends the formula for independent effects. Finally, the approach is illustrated by an example on the prognostic impact of DNA ploidy and other factors in advanced ovarian cancer.

Computer Simulation↗

Proportion of S-phase tumor cells measured by flow cytometry is an independent prognostic factor in meningioma tumors.

Meningiomas are tumors in arachnoid cells which represent up to one fifth of all intracranial tumors and up to a quarter of spinal neoplasias. Although meningiomas have classically been considered to be benign tumors, it has also been well-established that they show a heterogeneous clinical outcome. To the best of our knowledge no study has yet been performed in which the independent prognostic value of both DNA ploidy and cell cycle has been simultaneously assessed in a large series of meningioma tumors. The aim of the present study was to prospectively explore the prognostic value of DNA ploidy status and the proliferative rate of tumor cells in a series of 105 consecutive meningioma patients studied at diagnosis. Both the presence of DNA aneuploidy and the proportion of S-phase tumor cells were analyzed in all cases in fresh tumors obtained during diagnostic surgery. From the technical point of view, we followed the recommendations of the Consensus Conference on Flow Cytometry DNA Analysis held in October 1992. Our results show that meningioma tumors display a relatively low incidence of DNA aneuploidy (14%), and they usually show a low proliferative rate (mean percentage of S-phase cells of 1.3 +/- 0.3%). The presence of DNA aneuploidy was associated with a higher incidence of aggressive histopathologic subtypes (P = 0.045), a greater age (P = 0.009), location at the cerebral convexity (P = 0.004), and a greater proportion of S-phase cells (P = 0.005). In contrast, no significant association between the DNA ploidy status of meningioma patients and their disease-free survival was found (P = 0. 1). Regarding the proliferative activity of neoplastic cells, we found that a high proportion of S-phase cells (>1.8%) was associated with a significantly lower mean age (P = 0.007), aggressive histopathologic subtypes (P = 0.03), a higher incidence of DNA aneuploidy (P = 0.004), and a significantly shorter disease-free survival (P < 0.004). Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors showed that the proportion of S-phase tumor cells was the most powerful independent prognostic factor in meningioma patients (P = 0.02). In summary, we conclude that the proportion of S-phase tumor cells represents the individual parameter with the highest value for predicting disease-free survival in meningioma patients.

Adolescent↗

Histopathologic, stereologic, epidemiologic, and clinical parameters in the prognostic evaluation of squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic indicators that could assist in a more precise selection of patients with oral cancer for differentiated therapy would be clinically valuable. METHODS: A consecutive series of 161 cases of intraoral squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) occurring during a 5-year period in a population of 1.4 million inhabitants, was evaluated by histopathologic (the modified classification of Jakobsson et al.), stereologic, clinical, and epidemiologic parameters and the serum markers hemoglobin and rhesus blood group. RESULTS: Univariate analysis established a significant prognostic value in terms of cause-specific survival for T stage (P < .0001), stage (P < .0001), maximum tumor diameter (P < .0001), N stage (N+/NO) (P < .0001), alcohol consumption (P = .03), stereologic estimates of nuclear volume (P = .04), and the histomorphologic parameters mode of invasion (P = .001), pattern (P = .01), vascular invasion (P = .02), depth (P = .006), and mean histologic score. Tobacco consumption was borderline significant (P = .055). A multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that both clinical (stage, P < .0001; size, P = .0027), epidemiologic (tobacco consumption, P = .0054), morphohistopathologic (mode of invasion P < .0001), and stereologic (nuclear volume, P = .0010) parameters had an independent significant effect on survival. Inversely, the mean histologic score had no prognostic value. From the final regression model prognostic forecasts were calculated. Twelve patients (25%) with stage I disease had unfavorable histologic and stereologic parameters. The observed survival (+/- 1 standard error of the estimate) for these patients was 33% +/- 18%. The observed survival for stage I patients with more favorable histologic and stereologic characteristics (n = 36) was 76% +/- 8%. CONCLUSION: The use of a combination of clinical, histologic, epidemiologic, and stereologic parameters will assist the design of treatment strategies for intraoral SCC.

Alcohol Drinking↗

Combined-modality therapy for squamous carcinoma of the buccal mucosa: treatment results and prognostic factors.

BACKGROUND: Reports on locoregional control and survival of squamous cell carcinoma of buccal mucosa are scarce in literature. In this study, a single institutions's experience of combined surgery and postoperative radiotherapy (RT) for buccal mucosal malignancy with favorable results was analyzed and presented. The prognostic factors on locoregional control were also discussed. METHODS: From January 1988 to July 1994, 57 patients with squamous cell carcinoma of buccal mucosa treated by surgery and RT were reviewed. The distributions according to American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging were: stage II, 6; stage III, 21; and stage IV, 30 patients. Total dose of RT at the buccal area ranged from 45 Gy to 68.4 Gy, median 61.2 Gy. Tumor-related factors (AJCC stage, T stage, histologic grading, pathologic tumor invasion to skin of cheek, adjacent bony structures, and regional lymph nodes) and treatment-related factors (surgical margin, radiation dose, and the time interval between operation and RT) were analyzed to determine their influence on locoregional control. RESULTS: Three-year actuarial locoregional control rate, overall survival rate, and disease-specific survival rates were 64%, 55%, and 62%, respectively. Ten of these 22 patients (45%) with recurrent tumors were reoperated, but only 2 patients were successfully salvaged. Positive surgical margin and tumor invasion to skin of cheek were significantly poor prognostic factors on locoregional control by univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, tumor invasion to skin of cheek was the only prognostic factor (p = .0014). CONCLUSIONS: Locoregional failure was the major cause of death for squamous buccal mucosa cancers managed with surgery and RT. Few recurrences could be detected early and successfully salvaged. Skin of cheek involvement is an important prognostic factor for buccal mucosa cancers.

Actuarial Analysis↗

Biological prognostic factors for early stage completely resected non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The different and unpredictable outcomes in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer patients requires urgent research concerning the biological pathway of this neoplasm. Our study investigated the frequency of expression and the clinicopathologic and prognostic significance of a series of biological markers in stage I and II resected non-small cell lung cancer. METHODS: A total of 99 cases of pathologic stage I and II were analyzed. The mean follow-up of surviving patients was 41 months. The expressions of the following biological markers were tested: bcl-2, p53, Ki-67, angiogenesis, and tumor vessel invasion. Kaplan-Meier estimates of survival and time to recurrence were calculated for clinical variables and biological markers using Cox's model for multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Tumoral vessel invasion was present in 22 (22%) pathologic samples, the angiogenesis mean value was 37 +/- 13, and median was 35; 13 (13%) patients showed positive immunostaining for bcl-2 oncoprotein. P53 oncoprotein expression was present in 48 patients (48.5%). All samples presented Ki-67 expression (mean value = 25.3 +/- 19.3, median = 20). The pathologic staging of the tumor was the most important independent prognostic factor for survival (P = 0.037) and for recurrence of disease (P = 0.040). Tumoral vessel invasion was the only marker with an independent predictive factor for survival and recurrence of disease in the group of patients without lymph node involvement (P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Our data do not support a relevant prognostic role for p53, bcl-2, or Ki-67 immunohistochemical markers in non-small cell cancer. Tumor vessel invasion was an independent predictive factor of poor outcome in the group of patients without lymph node involvement. Pathological stage was confirmed as the most important independent prognostic factor.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Prognostic value of the colposcopic tumor size in stage IB squamous cervical cancer.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To determine the prognostic significance of the colposcopic tumor size in the management of cervical cancer. METHODS: Clinicopathological analysis was performed in 751 consecutive patients with stage IB squamous cervical cancer who were surgically treated in a single institute. The colposcopic tumor size was measured postoperatively on surgical specimens. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the prognostic significance of various pathological factors. RESULTS: Among the pathological factors examined, lymph node metastasis, parametrial extension, deep stromal invasion, vessel permeation, endometrial extension, and colposcopic tumor size were found to be prognostic factors in univariate analysis, whereas multivariate analysis has confirmed that only three factors, i.e., lymph node metastasis, parametrial involvement, and colposcopic tumor size were independently associated with the disease-free interval. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that the colposcopic tumor size is an independent prognostic factor in squamous cervical cancer and can be used as an indicator of treatment options.

Adult↗

Comparison of histological grading and large-scale genomic status (DNA ploidy) as prognostic tools in oral dysplasia.

Approximately one in ten oral white patches (leukoplakia) are histologically classified as dysplasia, with a well-documented potential for developing into oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Histological grading in oral dysplasia has limited prognostic value, whereas large-scale genomic status (DNA ploidy, nuclear DNA content) is an early marker of malignant transformation in several tissues. Biopsies from 196 patients with oral leukoplakia histologically typed as dysplasia were investigated. Inter-observer agreement among four experienced pathologists performing a simplified grading was assessed by Cohen's kappa values. For 150 of the 196 cases, it was also possible to assess large-scale genomic status and compare its prognostic impact with that of histological grading. Disease-free survival was estimated by life-table methods, with a mean follow-up time of 103 months (range 4-165 months). The primary considered end-point was the subsequent occurrence of OSCC. For grading of the total of 196 cases, kappa values ranged from 0.17 to 0.33 when three grading groups (mild, moderate, and severe dysplasia) were considered, and from 0.21 to 0.32 when two groups (low grade and high grade) were considered (p=0.41). For the 150 cases in which large-scale genomic status was also assessed, kappa values for the histological grading ranged from 0.21 to 0.33 for three grading groups and from 0.27 to 0.34 for two grading groups (p=0.47). In survival analysis, histological grading was without significant prognostic value for any of the four observers (p 0.14-0.44), in contrast to DNA ploidy (p=0.001). It is concluded that DNA ploidy in oral dysplasia has a practical prognostic value, unlike histological grading of the same lesions.

Adult↗

Determination of prognostic factors and their influence on therapeutic results in patients with Ewing's sarcoma.

We have analyzed the results of treatment of 117 patients with Ewing's sarcoma admitted to the National Cancer Institute since 1964. All patients received local irradiation to the primary site and a series of progressively more intensive systemic chemotherapy regimens using drugs known to be active as single agents in this disease. Four protocols were employed with varying numbers of patients in each treatment group. Initially, there appeared to be a difference among treatment groups with regard to disease-free survival (overall P = .06), with the later regimens having more favorable outcomes. We then undertook a statistical analysis of the influence of five pretreatment variables--age, sex, site of primary disease, serum lactic acid dehydrogenase (LDH), and metastatic status--on disease-free survival. Of these five factors, important indicators of favorable prognosis for the entire group (and for each of the treatment subgroups) were a distal site of primary disease, normal serum lactic acid dehydrogenase (LDH) level at presentation, and the absence of metastatic disease at the time of presentation. When we examined treatment results with respect to these prognostic factors, we found that the subgroups treated with the more agressive regimens contained higher proportions of patients with favorable prognostic factors. After adjustment for differences in composition of treatment groups with respect to prognostic factors, the apparent difference in disease-free survival vanished (P = .62). These results indicate that in the case of Ewing's sarcoma, prognostic factors must be carefully considered in the design of treatment protocols and the subsequent analysis of end results.

Age Factors↗

Prognostic variables in mycosis fungoides.

The prognostic importance of various factors was analyzed for 347 patients registered by the Mycosis Fungoides Cooperative Group (MFCG). Extent of skin involvement at the time of registration and number of sites of clinically enlarged lymph nodes were clearly the most important prognostic variables, and were combined into a single variable, TN stage, for adjusted analyses of other factors. Sex, history of tonsillectomy, immunoglobulin E, and telangiectasia did not significantly affect survival. The effects of race and allergic history were questionable and need further study. Age, pruritus, burning, alopecia, ulcers, and erosion were important when studied alone, but their effects were no longer statistically significant after adjustment for TN stage. Chills and malaise, the latter a symptom of debility, retained prognostic significance after such adjustment. This analysis demonstrates the importance of considering the joint effects of multiple prognostic factors rather than analyzing them one at a time.

Adult↗