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Methodological issues in modeling the relationship between low-level lead exposure and infant development: examples from the Boston Lead Study.

This paper addresses several methodological issues relevant to an assessment of the association between low-level lead exposure and early development. In particular, we discuss methods for choosing, from a large pool of candidates, the covariates to control when estimating this association. We examine the issue of confounding and explain why adjusting increased, rather than decreased, the estimate of the association between blood lead level and development at 6 months of age in our sample. A step-by-step description of our strategy for model building is presented. Finally, we demonstrate the robustness of the findings by showing that the magnitude and standard error of the estimated lead effect is not affected appreciably by the method of selecting covariates to be controlled for or by the characterization of lead as a continuous, ordinal, or dichotomous variable. Although these issues arose in the course of analyses of data collected by the Boston lead study (D. Bellinger, H. Needleman, A. Leviton, C. Waternaux, M. Rabinowitz, and M. Nichols (1984), Neurobehav. Tox. Teratol., 6, 387-402), they apply to other current prospective lead studies as well.

Analysis of Variance↗

Vitamin A and E status in very low birth weight infants: development of an improved parenteral delivery system.

Plasma vitamin A and E levels were inadequate in very low birth weight infants receiving a continuous infusion of a parenteral multivitamin preparation, 1.5 ml/kg per day, in dextrose-amino acid solution. A new delivery system using 2 ml/kg per day, infused for 6 hours from the first day of life, avoided loss during infusion and significantly improved plasma vitamin A and E levels during the first 28 days of life in very low birth weight infants.

Avitaminosis↗

Breast feeding, pacifier use and infant development at 12 months of age: a birth cohort study in Brazil.

Many studies suggest that breast feeding confers developmental and intellectual advantages on children. In a recent study, however, no association was found between breast feeding and intelligence in adult life after adjustment for other variables, and the use of pacifier in infancy was the most important predictor of intelligence. We analysed the associations between breast-feeding duration, pacifier use and suspected developmental delay at 12 months of age in a birth cohort in Pelotas, southern Brazil. All 5304 hospital births occurring during 1993 were studied and a sample was followed up at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months of age. Breast-feeding practices and use of pacifiers were assessed at each visit, as well as suspected developmental delay, measured by the Denver II test. The prevalence of developmental delay was analysed, through logistic regression, according to breast-feeding status and pacifier use, accounting for the possible confounding effect of other variables. The prevalence of suspected developmental delay at 12 months was 34.1%, being slightly higher among children who used pacifiers at 6 months than among non-users (35.3% and 28.7% respectively). There was a marked negative association between breast-feeding duration and developmental delay, with children breast fed for 9 months or more presenting significantly less suspected developmental delay (25.5%) than those breast fed for less than 1 month (42.4%). The effects of multiple variables were tested, and only high parity, smoking during pregnancy, birthweight, gestational age, pacifier use and breast-feeding duration remained significantly associated with suspected developmental delay. The effect of pacifier use, however, disappeared after adjusting for breast-feeding duration, suggesting that breast feeding, and not pacifiers, affects child development.

Age Factors↗