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PubMed1987

Evaluation of a nomogram for estimating the rate of phenytoin accumulation.

This study evaluated a nomogram designed to identify a subgroup of the patients whose serum phenytoin concentrations are near steady state at a given time after initiation of therapy. A sample of 95 adult subjects with reported values of Vmax and Km was pooled from the literature, and computer simulations of phenytoin accumulation for 15 days after initiation of phenytoin acid at 300 mg/day were performed. Simulated serum concentrations on days 5, 10, and 15 were used to identify subjects who were predicted by the nomogram to be at greater than or equal to 83% of steady state, and these results were compared with those expected from the Michaelis-Menten model. In the simulations, 42, 62, and 66 subjects reached greater than or equal to 83% of steady state by days 5, 10, and 15, respectively. The nomogram correctly identified 13 (31.0%), 33 (53.2%), and 43 (65.2%) of these individuals, respectively. The frequency of erroneous predictions was low, even in subjects whose Km and volume of distribution were outside the limits set in the development of the nomogram. Use of a nomogram such as this would help a subgroup of patients to attain a desired serum phenytoin concentration earlier in therapy and with fewer serum phenytoin determinations than would otherwise be required. It would also prevent premature increases in phenytoin dose in patients whose serum concentration is still rising.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

A preoperative nomogram identifying decreased risk of positive pelvic lymph nodes in patients with prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: We developed a preoperative nomogram for prediction of lymph node metastases in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was a retrospective, nonrandomized analysis of 7,014 patients treated with radical prostatectomy at 6 institutions between 1985 and 2000. Exclusion criteria consisted of preoperative androgen ablation therapy, salvage radical prostatectomy and pretreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA) greater than 50 ng/ml. Preoperative predictors of lymph node metastases consisted of pretreatment PSA, clinical stage (1992 TNM) and biopsy Gleason sum. These predictors were used in logistic regression analysis based nomograms to predict the probability of lymph node metastases. RESULTS: Overall 5,510 patients with complete clinical and pathological information were included in the study. Lymph nodes metastases were present in 206 patients (3.7%). Pretreatment PSA, biopsy Gleason sum, clinical stage and institution represented predictors of lymph node status (p <0.001). Bootstrap corrected predictive accuracy of the 3-variable nomogram (clinical stage, Gleason sum and PSA) was 0.76. Inclusion of a fourth variable, which accounts for institutional differences in lymph node metastases, yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.78. The negative predictive value of our nomograms was 0.99 when they predicted 3% or less chance of positive lymph nodes. CONCLUSIONS: Using clinical information, we produced 2 calibrated and validated nomograms, which accurately predict pathologically negative lymph nodes in men with localized prostate cancer who are candidates for radical prostatectomy.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Marfan syndrome in children and adolescents: an adjusted nomogram for screening aortic root dilatation.

OBJECTIVE: To construct an adjusted nomogram for the echocardiographic screening of aortic root diameter in children with possible Marfan disease. DESIGN: In 91 children (42 boys, 49 girls, age range 3.2 to 18.4 years) undergoing Marfan screening from 1983 until 1996, the diagnosis Marfan syndrome and any other aortic pathology was definitely ruled out. These served as a control population to set appropriate reference standards. RESULTS: Compared with a standard Dutch reference population, body surface area of the control subjects (mean (SD)) was above the 50th centile (boys 0.09 (0.20) m2, range -0.28 to 0.69 m2; girls 0.09 (0.17) m2, range -0.17 to 0.69 m2). Echocardiographically determined aortic root diameter and body surface area showed a linear relation and a greater variability of aortic root diameter in these relatively tall subjects (n = 91, R2 = 0.62) than in the standard nomogram (n = 56, R2 = 0.93). In 24% of cases (n = 22), the aortic root exceeded the upper limit of normal in the standard nomogram, by 2.2 (2.0) mm. An adjusted nomogram was constructed with a higher upper limit. CONCLUSIONS: A Marfan screening population differs from the unselected population in body surface area and aortic root size variability. An adjusted nomogram should therefore be used to detect a truly enlarged aortic root.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

Prediction of seminal vesicle invasion in prostate cancer: incremental value of adding endorectal MR imaging to the Kattan nomogram.

PURPOSE: To retrospectively determine whether endorectal magnetic resonance (MR) imaging findings contribute incremental value to the Kattan nomogram for predicting seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) in patients with prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The institutional review board issued a waiver of authorization, which included a waiver of informed consent, for this HIPAA-compliant study. From October 2000 through January 2005, 573 patients (mean age, 58.3 years; age range, 36-86 years) underwent endorectal MR imaging before prostate cancer surgery. The endorectal MR imaging results had been prospectively interpreted by seven radiologists, and the likelihood of SVI was retrospectively scored on the basis of radiologists' written reports. MR imaging findings, individual clinical variables (serum prostate-specific antigen [PSA] level, Gleason grade, clinical stage, greatest percentage of cancer in all biopsy cores, percentage of positive cores in all biopsy cores, and perineural invasion), and the Kattan nomogram were evaluated with respect to SVI prediction; surgical pathologic analysis was used as the reference standard. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed. RESULTS: At pathologic analysis, 28 (4.9%) of 573 patients had SVI. At univariate analysis, endorectal MR imaging results and all clinical variables except the percentage of positive biopsy cores were significantly associated with SVI (P<.02); endorectal MR imaging (0.76) had a larger area under the ROC curve (AUC) than any clinical variable (0.62-0.73). At multivariate analysis, endorectal MR imaging results, Gleason grade, PSA level, and the percentage of cancer in all biopsy cores were significantly associated with SVI (P<or=.02). The Kattan nomogram plus endorectal MR imaging (0.87) had a significantly larger (P<.05) AUC than either endorectal MR imaging alone (0.76) or the Kattan nomogram alone (0.80). CONCLUSION: The addition of endorectal MR imaging contributes significant incremental value to the Kattan nomogram for predicting SVI.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

A nomogram to evaluate the arterial mixed venous oxygen saturation difference during cardiopulmonary bypass.

A nomogram providing the arterial mixed venous haemoglobin saturation difference (S(a-v)O2) corresponding to normal oxygen consumption (VO2) during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) was produced. Normal VO2 during CPB (95.8 +/- 20.1 ml/min/m2 at 37 degrees C) was obtained from the literature. The nomogram computes the S(a-v)O2 from the body surface, pump flow, blood haemoglobin and patient temperature; a table is also presented which supplies the S(a-v)O2 ranges corresponding to VO2 mean +/-1 and +/-2SD. The nomogram was tested on 10 subjects undergoing CPB for myocardial revascularization. S(a-v)O2 was determined by arterial and mixed venous blood oximetry 5, 20, and 35 min after the start of CPB. The measured S(a-v)O2 was 27.1 +/- 7.2% while S(a-v)O2 obtained from the nomogram was 24.9 +/- 4.0%, the difference was not statistically significant. Eighteen values (60%) were within the range corresponding to VO2 mean +/-1SD. One value was lower than the S(a-v)O2 value corresponding to VO2 mean - 2SD and was associated with the lowest value of blood haemoglobin. Two values were higher than the S(a-v)O2 value corresponding to VO2 mean + 2SD and were associated with inadequate muscle relaxation. By comparing measured S(a-v)O2 values with those obtained by the nomogram and the table, anaesthesiologists and perfusionists can easily detect patients presenting abnormally low or high VO2 values.

Arteries↗

PubMed2000

Pretreatment nomogram for predicting the outcome of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy in prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Several studies have defined risk groups for predicting the outcome after external-beam radiotherapy of localized prostate cancer. However, most models formed patient risk groups, and none of these models considers radiation dose as a predictor variable. The purpose of this study was to develop a nomogram to improve the accuracy of predicting outcome after three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was a retrospective, nonrandomized analysis of patients treated at the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center between 1988 and 1998. Clinical parameters of the 1,042 patients included stage, biopsy Gleason score, pretreatment serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, whether neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy was administered, and the radiation dose delivered. Biochemical (PSA) treatment failure was scored when three consecutive rises of serum PSA occurred. A nomogram, which predicts the probability of remaining free from biochemical recurrence for 5 years, was validated internally on this data set using a bootstrapping method and externally using a cohort of patients treated at the Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH. RESULTS: When predicting outcomes for patients in the validation data set from the Cleveland Clinic, the nomogram had a Somers' D rank correlation between predicted and observed failure times of 0.52. Predictions from this nomogram were more accurate (P<.0001) than the best of seven published risk stratification systems, which achieved a Somers' D coefficient of 0.47. CONCLUSION: The development process illustrated here produced a nomogram that seems to predict more accurately than other available systems and may be useful for treatment selection by both physicians and patients.

Aged↗

PubMed2002

Postoperative nomogram for 12-year sarcoma-specific death.

PURPOSE: Few published studies have analyzed risk factors for sarcoma-specific death. We developed and internally validated a nomogram that combines the factors to predict the probability of 12-year sarcoma-specific death using a database of 2,136 prospectively followed adult patients treated at a single institution. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Nomogram predictor variables included age at diagnosis, tumor size (< or = 5, 5 to 10, or > 10 cm), histologic grade (high or low), histologic subtype (fibrosarcoma, leiomyosarcoma, liposarcoma, malignant fibrous histiocytoma, malignant peripheral nerve tumor, synovial, or other), depth (superficial or deep), and site (upper extremity, lower extremity, visceral, thoracic or trunk, retrointraabdominal, or head or neck). Death from sarcoma or treatment complication was the predicted end point. Three prediction methods were compared, Kaplan-Meier analysis of all possible subsets, recursive partitioning, and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The concordance index was used as an accuracy measure with bootstrapping to correct for optimistic bias. RESULTS: Sarcoma-specific death at 12 years was 36% (95% confidence interval, 33% to 39%). The bootstrap-corrected concordance indices were as follows: Kaplan-Meier, 0.69; recursive partitioning, 0.74; and Cox regression, 0.77. A nomogram was drawn on the basis of the Cox regression model. This nomogram was internally validated using bootstrapping and shown to have excellent calibration. CONCLUSION: A nomogram has been developed to predict 12-year sarcoma-specific death. This tool may be useful for patient counseling, follow-up scheduling, and clinical trial eligibility determination.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1998

Validation of the Hartford nomogram in trauma surgery patients.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the Hartford nomogram for once-daily aminoglycoside dosing in trauma surgery patients. METHODS: A chart review was performed in trauma surgery patients who were started on once-daily aminoglycoside therapy. A peak aminoglycoside concentration was drawn 30 minutes after the end of the first or second infusion, and a random concentration was drawn approximately 10 hours after the dose. The 10-hour random concentration was used to validate the Hartford nomogram by predicting the actual dosing interval (determined by extrapolating the peak and random concentrations to achieve a trough concentration <1 mg/L). The percentage of intervals accurately predicted by the nomogram was determined. RESULTS: Forty-nine patients (34 men and 15 women), age 43.0+/-15.9 y, total body weight 81.3+/-24.5 kg, ideal body weight 68.1+/-10.7 kg, dosing body weight (DBW) 72.0+/-14.4 kg, and estimated creatinine clearance [Cl(cr)] 89.5+/-20.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 were evaluated. Patients received 505+/-105 mg (7.0+/-0.4 mg/kg) of either gentamicin or tobramycin per dose. The concentration 30 minutes after the infusion was 22.4+/-5.9 mg/L, the concentration at the end of the dosing interval was 0.20+/-0.46 mg/L, the 10-hour random concentration was 2.6+/-1.8 mg/L, the elimination rate constant was 0.26+/-0.08 h(-1), the elimination half-life was 3.0+/-1.2 hours, and the volume of distribution was 19.9+/-7.9 L (0.28+/-0.09 L/kg of DBW). Ninety-eight percent (48/49) of the intervals were accurately predicted by the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: In trauma surgery patients with Cl(cr) of more than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, the Hartford nomogram using a single random aminoglycoside concentration accurately predicted the same once-daily aminoglycoside intervals as determined by two concentrations. Less aggressive therapeutic drug monitoring in this patient subpopulation can lead to significant cost savings.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Technical-methodological report: a nomogram for peak leg power output in the vertical jump.

Leg power is an important component in assessing both performance-related and health-related fitness. The Lewis equation and nomogram have been used for years to estimate leg power. A recent evaluation of the Lewis equation and further research led to the development of the Sayers equation. This equation provides an estimate of peak leg power, which has greater relevance than average power. Our purpose was to provide a simple and effective nomogram for calculating peak leg power output. The Sayers equation was transformed to an alignment nomogram and evaluated for facility of use and accuracy. The resultant alignment nomogram is easy to use and generates values for peak leg power in the vertical jump, which are well within the precision of the regression equation (r > 0.9999, CV < 0.2%). Interobserver error was less than 0.3% with a correlation of 0.9999. The Keir nomogram provides a simple and effective representation of the Sayers equation for use in both performance-related and health-related fitness assessments.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Nomograms for the administration of unfractionated heparin in the initial treatment of acute thromboembolism--an overview.

Despite the availability of low-molecular-weight heparins, unfractionated heparin (UFH) still remains the drug of choice for the initial treatment of acute venous thromboembolism in many countries. When appropriately employed, UFH treatment results in a degree of efficacy and safety that is fully comparable with that obtained with the use of heparin derivatives. The use of nomograms for the intravenous or subcutaneous administration of UFH assures that virtually all patients will promptly achieve adequate levels of anticoagulation, thus decreasing the likelihood of recurrent venous thromboembolism without extra bleeding-risk. In this article we reviewed clinical studies on the implementation and validation of UFH dosing nomograms, and attempted a quantitative analysis of their performance. According to the results of our analysis, a statistically significantly higher proportion of patients treated on the basis of a nomogram reached a therapeutic anticoagulant level within 24 h of treatment, as compared to patients treated following the standard practice (odds ratio, 3.6; 95% CI, 2.6 to 4.9). The rate of recurrent thromboembolic events was significantly lower for patients treated according to a nomogram (odds ratio, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1 to 0.8), while no significant differences in terms of either major or minor bleedings were detected between nomogram patients and controls.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2000

[Bilateral surgery: an efficient manner of creating LASIK nomograms].

OBJECTIVE: Taking advantage of bilateral surgery, an efficient and predictable manner of doing Laser-assisted-in situ keratomileusis (LASIK) nomograms, is described. METHODS: We used our current technique of nomogram development with an example to described it. To evaluate a change made in the software of our LaserSight excimer laser unit: sixteen consecutive patients, operated on bilaterally, by the same surgeon, within statistically similar clinical, refractive, and surgical settings, were randomized with different nomogram for the right (OD), with a newer ablation pattern randomized in the (OS) the older sequential. Pattern. (Sequential overlapping burns) The refractive results were studied for statistical significance at 4 weeks and 6 months. The data was analyzed, using a student T test and two way Anova. RESULTS: Pre-operative refractive data showed a mean sphere in OD of -10.917 +/- 1.749, and OS of -10.89 +/- 1.717, p < NS. The mean preoperative spherical equivalent OD was -9.81 +/- 1.62 and OS of -9.93 +/- 2.02, p < NS. Post-operative mean spherical equivalent at 4 weeks in OD was +1.54 +/- 1.52, and in OS was +0.43 +/- 1.9, p < 0.05. At 6 months OD randomized was of +1.20 +/- 1.24 and, OS sequential of +0.14 +/- 1.70, p < 0.05. On the cylinder component of the refraction the values were equally corrected at both time points with p < NS. CONCLUSION: In a small group of patients, one current technique we use for nomogram development is described. Having similar statistical parameters, a significant overcorrecting with the new randomized ablation was observed, when surgery is carried out bilaterally. The change to the nomogram need then to be applied, so final refractive results are equal or better than the previous older sequential pattern. Four weeks results appeared to be time enough, since no statistical difference were observed at 6 months.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

How well does the Partin nomogram predict pathological stage after radical prostatectomy in a community based population? Results of the cancer of the prostate strategic urological research endeavor.

PURPOSE: The Partin nomogram uses preoperative Gleason grade, serum prostate specific antigen and clinical stage to predict pathological outcome after radical prostatectomy. It was developed and validated in a select population of patients at 3 academic institutions. Although the nomogram is widely used, it has yet to be validated in a community based population. We assessed the performance of the nomogram in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor, a nationwide, community based observational disease registry of men with prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Included in the cohort were 1,162 men in Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor who underwent radical prostatectomy. Using various probability thresholds the nomogram was used to predict outcomes in each patient. Using different probability thresholds receiver operating characteristics curves were then used to assess test performance. RESULTS: Of the men 860 (74%) had organ confined disease, 179 (15%) had established capsular penetration, 95 (8%) had seminal vesicle involvement and 37 (3%) had lymph node involvement. Calculated receiver operating characteristics curve area was 0.684 for predicting organ confined disease, 0.614 for predicting capsular penetration, 0.726 for predicting seminal vesicle involvement and 0.766 for predicting lymph node involvement. These values were lower than in previously published reports. CONCLUSIONS: While the Partin nomogram performs adequately in a community based cohort of men who undergo radical prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer, it does not attain the success demonstrated in previous studies in select academic cohorts. This result was likely due to differences in the distribution of pathological outcomes in the community based cohort, in which more men had organ confined disease.

Aged↗

PubMed1986

Netilmicin in gram-negative sepsis: comparative abilities of a dosage nomogram and clinical microbiologists to predict the preferred individual dose.

The preferred dose of netilmicin was determined in each of 39 patients with severe gram-negative sepsis treated at two centres. The dose was based upon the attainment of recommended serum concentrations. Patient age varied from 18 to 87 years (mean 58), estimated creatinine clearance from 20 to 150 ml/min (mean 71), and the preferred dose from 100 to 750 mg/24 h. The dose generated by a nomogram for netilmicin was compared in retrospect with the initial dose assigned to each patient by the clinical microbiologist concerned. With respect to the preferred dose, the nomogram underdosed, on the average, by 40 mg/24 h, and the microbiologists, by 30 mg/24 h. The correlation with the preferred dose was stronger for the nomogram dose (r = 0.66; p less than 0.001, 37 df) than for the microbiologists' dose (r = 0.47; p less than 0.005, 37 df) but there was no significant difference between the two in the frequency with which they predicted the preferred dose to within 50 mg/24 h (nomogram 19/39; microbiologists 16/39). The prescription of a fixed dose of 450 mg/day to all patients would have had a similar success rate (15/39). The performance of the nomogram was better in patients with serum creatinine concentrations of greater than or equal to 100 microM (r = 0.82; p less than 0.001, 13 df; 10/15 within 50 mg/24 h of preferred dose) than in those with creatinine concentrations less than 100 microM (r = 0.55; p less than 0.01, 22 df; 9/24 within 50 mg/24 h of preferred dose).

Adolescent↗

PubMed1984

Construction of acid-base alignment nomograms to estimate buffer base and base-excess concentrations in arterial blood from immature pigs.

Acid-base characteristics of a population of immature domestic pigs were used to construct a blood acid-base alignment nomogram with scales to estimate porcine buffer base concentration. The nomogram was based on average plasma bicarbonate concentration of 31.6 mEq/L and plasma albumin and globulin values of 25.4 and 32.2 g/L, respectively. A measurement temperature of 38 C was assumed. Subsequently, this nomogram was used to construct a blood acid-base alignment nomogram with scales to estimate porcine base-excess concentration. The nomogram was based on the assignment of zero-base excess to blood with a pH of 7.50 and a PCO2 of 40 mm of Hg. Construction details, including tabular data reflecting the acid-base characteristics of porcine plasma and erythrocytes, are provided.

Acid-Base Equilibrium↗

PubMed1995

Appropriate use of heparin. Empiric vs nomogram-based dosing.

BACKGROUND: A study involving two groups of patients with cardiovascular disease was conducted to compare empiric (clinician-directed) heparin therapy with therapy based on a nomogram-determined dosage. The comparison was based on (1) the average weight-referenced infusion rate yielding a therapeutic activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) and (2) the time required to reach a therapeutic APTT (55 to 95 seconds) after empiric or nomogram-based heparin therapy was initiated. METHODS: Data were collected for patients admitted to the cardiology service at a university health science center in two phases: phase 1 (April 1 through June 30, 1992), involving 95 patients receiving heparin therapy, with 88 patients included in the data analysis, and phase 2 (March 11 through June 11, 1993), involving 156 patients receiving heparin therapy, with 45 patients receiving nomogram-guided therapy included in the data analysis. RESULTS: In phase 1, 66 patients (75.0%) achieved a therapeutic APTT some time during their heparin therapy, with an average time to therapeutic APTT of 20.7 + 19.1 hours. Regression analysis demonstrated a statistically significant relationship between the heparin infusion rate at the time of the patient's first therapeutic APTT and the patient's total body weight (r2 = .3043). An initial infusion rate based on total body weight (13 U/kg per hour) was therefore used as the basis for the nomogram in phase 2. In phase 2, 41 patients (91.1%) achieved a therapeutic APTT at some time during their heparin therapy, with an average time to therapeutic APTT of 13.1 + 11.9 hours, statistically significantly shorter than that in phase 1. A greater proportion of patients in phase 2 compared with patients in phase 1 reached the therapeutic range within 12 hours (62.2% vs 34.1%) and within 24 hours (77.8% vs 54.5%). CONCLUSIONS: Use of a weight-based nomogram to determine the initial and maintenance heparin infusion rates was associated with a higher percentage of patients admitted to the cardiology service reaching the targeted therapeutic APTT range at a time earlier in the course of therapy compared with empiric dosing.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

An individualized nomogram for predicting progression-free survival in systemic anaplastic large cell lymphoma: a multicenter, retrospective, and internally validated study.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an individualized nomogram for predicting disease progression risk in systemic anaplastic large cell lymphoma (sALCL). METHODS: Independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) were identified using Cox regression in a multicenter retrospective cohort of 109 sALCL patients (2010-2022). These were incorporated into a three-factor nomogram, evaluated via bootstrapped internal validation (1000 resamples), ROC analysis, C-index, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). RESULTS: A total of 29 PFS events occurred during a median follow-up of 31 months. Multivariable modelling selected serum β2-microglobulin elevation, extranodal disease, and front-line chemotherapy choice (CHOP versus CHOPE or BV+CHP) as autonomous progression drivers. Upon internal bootstrap validation, the nomogram yielded strong prognostic accuracy, achieving AUCs of 0.81, 0.85 and 0.87 for 1-, 3- and 5-year progression-free survival, alongside a corrected C-index of 0.779 (95% CI: 0.699 - 0.861). Calibration plots showed close agreement between predicted and observed outcomes, while DCA confirmed superior net clinical benefit versus conventional IPI or Ann Arbor stratification across multiple decision thresholds. CONCLUSION: This first sALCL-specific nomogram integrates clinical and treatment variables to provide personalized PFS risk estimation. While internally validated, this exploratory, observation-based tool requires external validation and recalibration in prospective cohorts before clinical implementation.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

The likelihood of additional nodal disease following a positive sentinel lymph node biopsy in breast cancer patients: validation of a nomogram.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy examination is the current modality for evaluating the axilla in breast cancer patients. A nomogram has been developed to predict the likelihood of non-SLN metastases after a positive SLN biopsy examination. The purpose of this study was to validate the nomogram in a community breast center. METHODS: A prospective database was used to identify breast cancer patients with a positive SLN biopsy examination who underwent a completion axillary lymph node dissection. The nomogram was used to calculate the probability of having non-SLN involvement, and was compared with the observed numbers. RESULTS: The observed incidence of non-SLN involvement showed excellent correlation with the nomogram predicted probability (chi-square test statistic = 5.87; P = .83). CONCLUSIONS: Predicting the risk of additional nodal metastases allows the surgeon and patient to make an individualized decision regarding the need for completion axillary lymph node dissection.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Validation of a nomogram predicting the probability of lymph node invasion among patients undergoing radical prostatectomy and an extended pelvic lymphadenectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Our goal was to develop and internally validate a nomogram for prediction of lymph node invasion (LNI) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer undergoing extended pelvic lymphadenectomy (ePLND). METHODS: 602 consecutive patients (mean age 65.8 years) underwent an ePLND, where 10 or more nodes were removed. PSA was 1.1-49.9 (median 7.2). Clinical stages were: T1c in 55.6%, T2 in 41.4% and T3 in 3%. Biopsy Gleason sums were: 6 or less in 66%, 7 in 25.4%, 8-10 in 8.6%. Multivariate logistic regression models tested the association between all of the above predictors and LNI. Regression-based coefficients were used to develop a nomogram predicting LNI and 200 bootstrap resamples were used for internal validation. RESULTS: Mean number of lymph nodes removed was 17.1 (range 10-40). LNI was detected in 66 patients (11.0%). Univariate predictive accuracy for total PSA, clinical stage and biopsy Gleason sum was 63%, 58% and 73%, respectively. A nomogram based on clinical stage, PSA and Biopsy Gleason sum demonstrated bootstrap-corrected predictive accuracy of 76%. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram based on pre-treatment PSA, clinical stage and biopsy Gleason sum can highly accurately predict LNI at ePLND.

Aged↗