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[Population effects of fluctuation in fecundity and mortality in Triatoma infestans: simulation using Leslie matrices].

The population effects of known fluctuations in fecundity and mortality of T. infestans was studied through simulation using Leslie matrices. The effect of mortality and fecundity cycles was a stepped cycling through the growing phase, with no significant population decreases. Density dependent regulation stabilizes changes during the steady phase. The main effect is on population composition with the establishment of a regular annual cycle in the proportion of different age groups. Cycles with high number of larvae may be misinterpreted as an adult plague.

Animals↗

Looking for chaos in brain slices.

Many signals measured from the nervous system exhibit apparently random variability that is usually considered to be noise. The development of chaos theory has revealed that such random appearing variability may not, in fact, be random, but rather may be deterministic behavior that can reveal important information about the system's underlying mechanisms. We present some new methods for distinguishing determinism from randomness in experimental data, and we apply these methods to population neural responses recorded from hippocampal tissue slices.

Brain↗

Application of magnetoencephalography in epilepsy patients with widespread spike or slow-wave activity.

PURPOSE: To examine whether magnetoencephalography (MEG) can be used to determine patterns of brain activity underlying widespread paroxysms of epilepsy patients, thereby extending the applicability of MEG to a larger population of epilepsy patients. METHODS: We studied two children with symptomatic localization-related epilepsy. Case 1 had widespread spikes in EEG with an operation scar from a resection of a brain tumor; Case 2 had hemispheric slow-wave activity in EEG with sensory auras. MEG was collected with a 204-channel helmet-shaped sensor array. Dynamic statistical parametric maps (dSPMs) were constructed to estimate the cortical distribution of interictal discharges for these patients. Equivalent current dipoles (ECDs) also were calculated for comparison with the results of dSPM. RESULTS: In case 1 with widespread spikes, dSPM presented the major activity at the vicinity of the operation scar in the left frontal lobe at the peak of the spikes, and some activities were detected in the left temporal lobe just before the peak in some spikes. In case 2 with hemispheric slow waves, the most active area was located in the left parietal lobe, and additional activity was seen at the ipsilateral temporal and frontal lobes in dSPM. The source estimates correlated well with the ictal manifestation and interictal single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) findings for this patient. In comparison with the results of ECDs, ECDs could not express a prior activity at the left temporal lobe in case 1 and did not model well the MEG data in case 2. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that by means of dSPM, MEG is useful for presurgical evaluation of patients, not only with localized epileptiform activity, but also with widespread spikes or slow waves, because it requires no selections of channels and no time-point selection.

Adolescent↗

Prediction of frequency-dependent ultrasonic backscatter in cancellous bone using statistical weak scattering model.

The goal of this study was to propose a model for the ultrasonic frequency-dependent backscatter coefficient in cancellous bone. This model allows us to address the inverse problem and to predict the mean trabecular thickness. A weak scattering model is used and the backscatter coefficient is expressed in terms of an autocorrelation function of the medium. Different autocorrelation functions (Gaussian, exponential and densely populated media) were used to compute the backscatter coefficient and comparison is made with experimental data for 19 specimens and for frequency ranging from 0.4 to 1.2 MHz. For each specimen, a nonlinear regression was performed and the mean trabecular thickness is estimated. Experimental data and theoretical predictions were averaged over the 19 specimens. A good agreement between experimental data and predictions was found for both the magnitude and the frequency-dependence of the backscatter coefficient. We also found a good agreement between the experimental mean trabecular thickness (Tb. Th = 130 +/- 6.5 micro m) derived from the analysis of bone 3-D microarchitecture using high-resolution microtomography and theoretical predictions (d(Gauss) = 140 +/- 10 micro m, d(exponential) = 153 +/- 12.5 micro m and d(dense) = 138 +/- 6.5 micro m). These results open interesting prospects for the estimation of the mean trabecular thickness from in vivo measurements.

Acoustics↗

Synchronous cultures from the baby machine. A model for animal cells.

A baby-machine system that produces newborn Escherichia coli cells from cultures immobilised on a membrane was developed many years ago in an attempt to attain optimal synchrony with minimal disturbance of steady-state growth, and a model designed to characterise the nature and quality of the synchrony of such cells in a quantitative manner has been published. The baby machine has now been adapted for animal cells, and the present article is an attempt to modify the model to include these cells as well. The model consists of five elements, giving rise to five adjustable parameters (and a proportionality constant): a major, essentially synchronous group of cells with ages distributed normally about zero; a minor, random component from a steady-state population on the membrane that had undergone only very little age selection during the elution process; a fixed background count, to allow for the signals recorded by the electronic particle counter produced by debris and electronic noise; a time-shift, to account for differences between time of cell division and end of sample collection; and the coefficient of variation of the interdivision-time distribution, taken to be reciprocal-normal. It is this last feature, a reciprocal-normal rather than a Pearson type III interdivision-time distribution, that distinguishes this version of the model from its predecessor. The model is fitted by unconstrained non-linear least-squares to data from three different leukemia cell lines. The standard errors of the parameters are quite small in all cases, making their estimates highly significant; the quality of the fit is striking. The five parameters of the model can be divided into two nuisance parameters, two that are associated with the methodology and one that describes an inherent property of the cell itself; it turns out that both methodology parameters are zero in all three data sets studied. We also discuss the partition of the transition-time dispersion between the age distribution of the newborn cells and the age distribution of dividing cells and show that a reliable estimate of the corresponding parameters requires an experiment that extends over at least two and a half doubling times.

Animals↗

Comparison of nonlinear mixed-effect and non-parametric expectation maximisation modelling for Bayesian estimation of carboplatin clearance in children.

OBJECTIVE: The pharmacodynamic-pharmacokinetic relationships for carboplatin involve the area under the curve of ultrafiltrable plasma concentrations versus time (AUC). The objective of the study was to compare two specific population pharmacokinetic methodologies, nonlinear mixed-effect model (NONMEM) and non-parametric expectation maximisation (NPEM), when they are applied to sparse carboplatin pharmacokinetic data in order to obtain an individual value for carboplatin clearance by Bayesian estimation. METHODS: The data from 117 patients (from 1 month to 18 years old) were available. For 20 patients randomly selected, the carboplatin clearance obtained by Bayesian estimation using two plasma ultrafiltrable concentrations was compared with that obtained by individual analysis using all concentrations. RESULTS: Both methodologies were unbiased with mean relative percentage errors (95%CI) of -1.9% ( 7.8; +4.1%) and +6.4% (-2.1; +14.9%) for NONMEM and NPEM, respectively. A comparison of precision between the two methods showed that they were not significantly different (12.5% for NONMEM, and 18.9% for NPEM), but the percentage error ranged between -21% and + 19% for NONMEM, and -35% and + 42% for NPEM. A NONMEM analysis was also performed with all the data available (117 children) in order to update an equation describing the relationship between carboplatin clearance and the patients' covariates. The best relationship corresponded to the equation: clearance (ml/min) = [4.47 x body weight x (1 -0.22 x Np)/(l + 0.0156 x Scr)] +6.4, with body weight in kilograms and where Scr is serum creatinine in micromoles per litre and Np= 1 or 0 for unilateral nephrectomy or not, respectively. CONCLUSION: These methodologies may be useful for dose individualisation and drug monitoring of carboplatin in paediatric patients. Since the mode of administration of carboplatin in paediatric practice in some protocols is daily 1-h i.v. infusion repeated up to five times, dose individualisation may be performed from the clearance observed after the first administration, given an overall target AUC.

Adolescent↗

Uses and abuses of mathematics in biology.

In the physical sciences, mathematical theory and experimental investigation have always marched together. Mathematics has been less intrusive in the life sciences, possibly because they have until recently been largely descriptive, lacking the invariance principles and fundamental natural constants of physics. Increasingly in recent decades, however, mathematics has become pervasive in biology, taking many different forms: statistics in experimental design; pattern seeking in bioinformatics; models in evolution, ecology, and epidemiology; and much else. I offer an opinionated overview of such uses--and abuses.

Allergy and Immunology↗