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Does smoking by pregnant women influence IQ, birth weight, and developmental disabilities in their infants? A methodological review and multivariate analysis.

Neuropsychologists are asked frequently to address the issue of the cause of a variety of central nervous system problems that may affect higher cortical function. One such issue is the relationship of maternal smoking to adverse reproductive outcomes involving neocortical insult including mental retardation, learning disabilities, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, and other insults that may be related to prolonged hypoxic states in utero. The instant paper develops the issue of causation as a scientific inquiry, reviews several traditional, applicable models, and critiques these models. An additional model of motility is proposed and discussed. The issue of the relationship of maternal smoking to adverse reproductive outcomes is then addressed from a review perspective along with new empirical analyses, the latter demonstrating that researchers tend to draw causal conclusions independent of whether the respective design of their studies would support conclusions about the causation of an event. Causal conclusions in the absence of causal designs have often lead to incomplete and incorrect conclusions. It is necessary to match conclusions not only to the outcomes of a research project but also to its design and accompanying limitations.

Adolescent↗

[Prognostic factors in HIV-infected heroin addicts: a multivariate analysis of nonspecific serological factors in the evolution of the infection].

We present a prognostic analysis of the quantifying of serum levels of beta 2 microglobulin, neopterina, IL-2 soluble receptor and three major classes of immunoglobulins, in a group of 68 heroin-addicts infected by the human immune deficiency virus, type I, clinically assessed for a period of at least three years. High levels of any of these unspecific serologic factors were correlated with the illness progression. Survival curves were generated with the categorized variables, showed a significant decrease on the time interval prior to the diagnosis of AIDS, in the patients with these variables assigned on the higher groups, being neopterine and IgA the more predictive factors when the Cox proportional regression model is applied. We conclude that the quantifying of these unspecific serum factors provides a useful information regarding the clinical evolution of heroin-addicts with HIV infection.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Stage I nonsmall cell lung cancer. A multivariate analysis of treatment methods and patterns of recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has become the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in women and men in the United States, with more than 157,000 estimated deaths in 1995. Surgical resection remains the mainstay of therapy in Stage I and II disease. However, local and distant recurrence account for the disappointing survival rates after resection. Appropriate selection of surgical procedures and effective use of adjuvant therapies will depend upon the elucidation of prognostic factors that predict for recurrence. METHODS: A detailed analysis was undertaken to evaluate surgical therapy and to define risk factors associated with recurrence and cancer death in 289 consecutive patients with NSCLC who were diagnosed, resected and followed at the Duke University Medical Center from January 1, 1980, until December 31, 1988. These patients had no evidence of metastases on head and chest/abdominal computed tomograms and radionuclide bone scans before resection. Resected specimens from these patients pathologic verification of Stage I disease. Follow-up was complete in all cases through 8/1/94 (median, 61 months). Variables analyzed included age, sex, smoking history, presenting signs and symptoms, operative procedure, histopathology, hospital course including complications, and the time and location of any recurrence or cancer death. RESULTS: The 30-day mortality rate was 5 of 289 (1.7%), with minor and major morbidity rates of 17% and 9%, respectively. Statistical comparison of lobectomy (193) wedge resection (75) and pneumonectomy (21) revealed significantly (P < 0.04) smaller tumors (T1), more comorbidity, and fewer complications for wedge resection patients. A trend (P < 0.09) toward an increased rate of local/regional recurrence and no difference in survival was also observed for wedge resection. One hundred five patients died of cancer (13-month median time to recurrence) for an actual 5-year survival of 63%. Significant univariate predictors of early recurrence and decreased survival (P < 0.01) were: male sex, the presence of symptoms, hemoptysis, chest pain, type of cough, tumor size in cm and by T-classification, visceral pleural invasion, high mitotic index, and vascular invasion. Significant (P < 0.05) multivariate independent variables for early recurrence and cancer death were the presence of symptoms, vascular invasion, pleural invasion, high mitotic index, and tumor size greater than 3 cm. CONCLUSION: Current surgical therapy for stage I NSCLC has an acceptable morbidity and mortality rate. The current data also stratify patients with Stage I NSCLC into high and low risk populations that can be used in future randomized trials of adjuvant therapy.

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung↗

Factors related to the plasma fatty acid profile in healthy subjects, with special reference to antioxidant micronutrient status: a multivariate analysis.

The plasma lipid fatty acid (FA) profile was measured in 83 healthy subjects (35 men, 48 women; ages 18-82 y). The association of 19 variables (including serum antioxidant micronutrients) with saturated (SFA), monounsaturated (MUFA), essential (EFA), and polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) status was assessed by stepwise multiple-linear regression. Serum selenium was directly associated with percent EFA and n-6 PUFA (r = 0.38, P = 0.0004 for both) and inversely related to percent SFA in phospholipids (r = -0.38, P = 0.0004). Serum selenium was the only predictor of the unsaturation index of this fraction (r = 0.45, P = 0.0000). Although associations of plasma FA pattern with age, serum cholesterol, bilirubin, vitamin E, and zinc were also disclosed, only for selenium did the antioxidant effect seem to explain this relationship. These results suggest that antioxidant micronutrients should be measured when PUFA metabolism is studied. The relationship between plasma FA and antioxidant micronutrients in disease states needs further research.

Adolescent↗

Serum sialic acid concentration predicts both coronary heart disease and stroke mortality: multivariate analysis including 54,385 men and women during 20.5 years follow-up.

To investigate the nature of the relationship between serum sialic acid concentration and cardiovascular mortality, the risks for coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke were assessed separately in 26,693 men and 27,692 women followed during 20.5 years. Diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and body mass index were used as covariates in a person-year-based Poisson model. Relative risks for CHD mortality associated with the highest sialic acid quartile was 1.76 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.58-1.96) in men and 1.94 (95% CI: 1.61-2.34) in women. Corresponding figures for stroke were 1.62 (95% CI: 1.26-2.09) and 1.68 (95% CI: 1.28-2.21) respectively. No significant patterns related to the age at entry was observed. For both genders, and both endpoints, diastolic blood pressure was associated with higher relative risk than sialic acid, and body mass index and serum total cholesterol were less predictive. Serum sialic acid concentration predicts both death from CHD and stroke in men and women independent of age. The biological foundation of this finding remains unclear.

Adult↗

[Multivariate analysis using quantitative methods to evaluate the subjective loudness of tinnitus].

Factors affecting the subjective loudness of tinnitus were analyzed using quantitative methods. One hundred and eighty-four patients with unilateral tinnitus were studied. Major factors affecting the subjective loudness of tinnitus were found to be subjective tinnitus pitch, annoyance, diagnosis, pitch-matched frequency, insomnia, age, tinnitus loudness level in dB HL, the duration of tinnitus and the tinnitus loudness level in dB SL at the first axis. Tinnitus pitch and pitch-matched frequency strongly affected the loudness of the tinnitus; high-pitch tinnitus and middle and low frequencies were associated with the subjective loudness of the tinnitus. In contrast, low-pitch tinnitus and a high frequency were associated with the subjective softness of the tinnitus. Thus, tinnitus pitch and pitch-matched frequency are inversely related. Sudden deafness and dizziness were associated with subjective softness of tinnitus, while hearing loss in elderly patients was associated with subjective loudness of tinnitus. Our results suggest that the level of annoyance from tinnitus and the subjective loudness of tinnitus are closely related. The relation between these factors should be considered when evaluating patients with tinnitus.

Female↗

Patient and strain characteristics in relation to the outcome of meningococcal disease: a multivariate analysis.

To investigate the joint association of patient and strain characteristics with the outcome of meningococcal disease (MD), data were collected on 563 consecutive cases of MD reported between 1989 and 1990 in The Netherlands. The meningococcal isolates were characterized with regard to their surface characteristics. Sequelae occurred in 8.5% of the patients, and were only associated with the presence of bacteraemia. The case-fatality rate was 7.7%. Infants aged < or = 5 months and patients in the age-groups of 10-19 years and > or = 50 years had an increased risk for a fatal outcome compared with children from 6 months to 9 years old (Odds Ratios [ORs]: 5.1, 3.4 and 9.8, respectively). The OR for females versus males was 2.3. The ORs for patients with bacteraemia, or a combination of bacteraemia and meningitis, compared with meningitic patients, were 2.3 and 3.1. Meningococcal strain characteristics did not influence the case-fatality rate substantially. In conclusion, host factors were found to be determinants for a fatal outcome of MD in The Netherlands from 1989 to 1990.

Adolescent↗

Syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: multivariate analysis of prognostic determinants.

Twenty-nine consecutive patients with symptomatic hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and a mean age of 44.8 +/- 12.2 years (range 21 to 63) underwent complex invasive and noninvasive testing to identify a risk profile for syncope. Clinical, morphologic, electrophysiologic and hemodynamic variables at rest and at a symptom-limited pacing rate were analyzed for a significant association with syncope. Exact stepwise logistic regression analysis identified three variables as significant independent predictors of syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: 1) age less than 30 years (beta = 4.803; p = 0.0007); 2) left ventricular end-diastolic volume index less than 60 ml/m2 (beta = 3.302; p = 0.006); and 3) nonsustained ventricular tachycardia on 72 h ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring (beta = 2.5909; p = 0.03). The combined occurrence of all three variables had a sensitivity and specificity of 100% in identifying eight patients with syncopal events. Thus, the risk for syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is high in young patients with the combination of low left ventricular filling volume and episodes of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. This finding might also explain the mechanism of syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy as low input-low output failure induced by a sudden increase in heart rate in the presence of a low filling volume.

Adult↗

[Risk of syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a multivariate analysis of prognostic variables].

Twenty-nine consecutive patients with symptomatic hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and a mean age of 44.8 +/- 12.2 years (range 21 to 63 years) underwent complex invasive and noninvasive testing in an attempt to identify a risk profile for syncope. Clinical, morphologic and electrophysiologic as well as functional parameters at rest and at symptom-limited pacing rate were analyzed for significant association with syncope. Exact stepwise logistic regression analysis identified three variables as significant independent predictors of syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: 1) age less than 30 years (beta = 4.803; p = 0.0007); 2) left ventricular end-diastolic volume index less than 60 ml/m2 (beta = 3.302; p = 0.006) and 3) non-sustained ventricular tachycardia on 72 h ambulatory ECG monitoring (beta = 2.5909; p = 0.03). The combined occurrence of all three variables had a 100% sensitivity and specificity to identify eight patients with syncopal events. Thus, the risk for syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is high in young patients with the combination of low left ventricular filling volume and episodes of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia. This finding might also explain the mechanism of syncope in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy as low-input-low-output failure induced by a sudden increase in heart rate in presence of a low filling volume.

Adult↗

[Intrathecal synthesis of IgG evaluated using different formulas: importance of multivariate analysis in the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis].

INTRODUCTION: Synthesis of IgG is useful data for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis, and different formulas, both direct and indirect, are used to quantify this. We analyze these formulas with the objective of finding whether certain combinations of them would give better results than the individual formulas on their own. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied the cerebrospinal fluid of 45 patients with neurological disorders and determined the results of the two formulas which are most effective, according to some studies (Reiber's formula and IgG index) together with a direct formula (IgG ratio) and another indirect formula (the 'classical' formula of Tourtellotte). RESULTS: The IgG index was, in general, the formula which best differentiated between patients with multiple sclerosis and persons with other neurological disorders. CONCLUSIONS: We found a tendency which supported the original hypothesis that it is possible to use combinations of formulas to obtain better results than individual formulas. This fact may serve as a basis for further studies in which different combinations are tested, including analytical and clinical data, and this may be of use in the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis.

Biomarkers↗

Measures of effect based on the sufficient causes model. 3. Multivariate analysis.

We discuss a method based on the sufficient causes model for estimating the causal and preventable fractions associated with any number of agents. P1, the cumulative risk of disease in the exposure category of interest, is given by the function: P1 = 1 - e-(i.+i1x1+...+ijxj+...+inxn)t. The presence or absence of sufficient cause in j in this exposure category is represented by x(j) (= 1.0), and parameter ij is the incidence density of completion of sufficient cause j. From ij, one can derive the risk difference and the causal and preventable fractions associated with sufficient cause j. The main assumptions required for these measures of effect to be unbiased are the constancy of incidence densities ij over time, the homogeneity of these densities over subjects, and the independence of occurrence times of sufficient causes within subjects. The estimation of the causal fraction requires all three assumptions. The preventable fraction requires only the homogeneity assumption. The risk difference requires none of these assumptions. This causal model probably applies to very few real situations, but it can serve as an epidemiologically meaningful starting point for the development of models adapted to particular situations whose underlying causal processes are known or can be hypothesized.

Epidemiologic Methods↗

A multivariate analysis of socio-demographic factors, water contact patterns and Schistosoma mansoni infection in an endemic area in Brazil.

Associations between socio-demographic factors, water contact patterns and Schistosoma mansoni infection were investigated in 506 individuals (87% of inhabitants over 1 year of age) in an endemic area in Brazil (Divino), aiming at determining priorities for public health measures to prevent the infection. Those who eliminated S. mansoni eggs (n = 198) were compared to those without eggs in the stools (n = 308). The following explanatory variables were considered: age, sex, color, previous treatment with schistosomicide, place of birth, quality of the houses, water supply for the household, distance from houses to stream, and frequency and reasons for water contact. Factors found to be independently associated with the infection were age (10-19 and > or = 20 yrs old), and water contact for agricultural activities, fishing, and swimming or bathing (Adjusted relative odds = 5.0, 2.4, 3.2, 2.1 and 2.0, respectively). This suggests the need for public health measures to prevent the infection, emphasizing water contact for leisure and agricultural activities in this endemic area.

Adolescent↗

[Surgical treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma: resection or transplantation? Results of a multivariate analysis].

This retrospectively study presents the results of a large series of transplanted or resected patients, with the aim of defining the characteristics of those patients who may benefit from resection or transplantation in an era in which these two surgical options can both be offered with low risks and extremely satisfactory results. Two hundred and seventy-five patients (154 resected and 121 transplanted) with hepatocellular carcinoma were submitted to surgical treatment in our department from December 1985 to December 1999. Age, sex, presence of cirrhosis, aetiology of liver disease, Child-Pugh classification, and alpha-fetoprotein levels were considered. Twenty-two of the 121 (18.1%) transplanted patients and 7 of the 154 (4.5%) resected patients died within 3 months of surgery. All curves show an evident trend towards increased mortality or recurrence rates in the resected group after prolonged follow-up. Liver transplantation appears to offer better survival and recurrence-free rates than liver resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver resection should be considered a good therapeutic alternative in patients who do not fulfill the transplant criteria.

Carcinoma, Hepatocellular↗

Prognostic factors in carcinoma of the penis: multivariate analysis of 145 patients treated with amputation and lymphadenectomy.

PURPOSE: The major issue in penile cancer is deciding who should or should not undergo lymph node dissection. Clinical and invasive methods are not reliable for staging. Clinical and pathological factors involved in lymph node metastases and prognosis were evaluated in 145 patients with penile carcinoma staged according to the 1978 TNM system, and treated with amputation and lymphadenectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Clinical factors studied were patient age, race, disease evolution time, symptoms, and clinical T and N stages. Pathological factors of the primary tumor considered were tumor thickness, histological grade, lymphatic and venous embolization, infiltration of the corpora cavernosa, corpus spongiosum and urethra, mononuclear and eosinophilic infiltrates, and cell alterations suggestive of human papillomavirus. All slides were reviewed by 1 pathologist. The Cox regression hazards method for multifactorial analysis was used. RESULTS: Followup ranged from 0.7 to 453.2 months (mean 85.8, median 32.7). The 5-year disease-free and overall survival rates were 45.3 and 54.3%, respectively. Venous and lymphatic embolizations were the main factors affecting significantly the incidence of lymph node metastasis, which were the main risks factors for recurrence and death. Pathologically proved infiltration of the corpora cavernosa, urethra and adjacent structures, which corresponded to stages T2, T3 and T4 disease, respectively, of the current TNM classification, were not significant predictors for incidence of lymph node metastasis, disease-free and overall survival or risk factors for recurrence and death. CONCLUSIONS: Because venous and lymphatic embolizations were related to greatest risk of lymph node metastasis, we propose their evaluation in staging and therapeutic planning of patients with infiltrative tumors of the penis.

Adult↗

Factors predicting IVF treatment outcome: a multivariate analysis of 5310 cycles.

The objective of this study was to analyse factors predicting live birth rate following IVF. A computerized database of 1928 women who underwent 5310 consecutive IVF cycles in a single IVF unit was evaluated. Data on the women's age, number of retrieved oocytes, performance of intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI), aetiology of infertility, number of transferred embryos and option of choosing embryos for transfer were evaluated. There were 1126 pregnancies that resulted in 689 live births. Transferring two embryos doubled the chances of delivery compared with one embryo, but transferring three embryos was not significantly superior to two embryos. Moreover, following a three-embryo transfer, the multiple delivery rates were significantly higher (P < 0.01) compared with transferring two embryos. Optimal delivery rates were observed in women aged 26-30 years, with gradual decline with advanced age. The performance of ICSI resulted in higher delivery rates compared with conventional insemination. According to these data, the best live birth results following IVF treatment were achieved when the maternal age was 26-30 years, in couples with male factor infertility undergoing ICSI, and when two embryos were transferred.

Adolescent↗

Factors influencing morbidity and mortality after cranial meningioma surgery--a multivariate analysis.

In a retrospective analysis 385 patients with a histologically defined cranial meningioma were studied to analyze the impact of characteristic factors on morbidity and mortality after modern cranial meningioma surgery. Mortality was 4.2% one month and 7.3% six months after operation. 15.6% of the patients stayed more than one month in the hospital (defined as criteria of operative morbidity). Age, poor preoperative clinical condition (ASA score), intra- and postoperative bleeding and CSF disturbances were significantly associated with a subsequent decrease of quality of life. First symptoms like intracranial hypertension, seizures, aphasia and hemiparesis were correlated with an increase of postoperative Karnowsky index. Postoperative quality of life decreased in patients with optic and other cranial nerve disturbances significantly. Tumour size, location (exception: medial sphenoid wing) and histological diagnosis did not influence surgical outcome. This information may be useful in management decisions regarding asymptomatic meningiomas in elderly and high risk patients.

Adolescent↗

Taxonomy of lactic acid bacteria associated with vacuum-packaged processed meat spoilage by multivariate analysis of cellular fatty acids.

The taxonomy of lactic acid bacteria from vacuum-packaged processed meats is problematic, and atypical members of the leuconostocs and the Lactobacillus sake / curvatus group are often encountered. In order to resolve this problem the cellular fatty acid (CFA) content of 61 isolates from vacuum-packaged vienna sausages and 18 reference strains was determined by gas chromatography. The relationship between strains was derived by principal component analysis of data. The CFA profiles were highly reproducible. Although no relationships could be derived using only one or two differentiating CFAs, plots of the first two principal components based on only the six most variable CFAs allowed grouping of strains. The two genera (Leuconostoc and Lactobacillus) could not be clearly separated when analysed together, but differentiation of species within each of the genera was achieved when they were analysed independently. Examination of plots for the reference strains confirmed previously established relationships between these strains. From the plot of the Lactobacillus sake / Lactobacillus curvatus component of the study it was found that most atypical Lactobacillus sake / curvatus strains were closely related to the typical Lactobacillus sake isolates and reference strain, while the Lactobacillus curvatus strains formed an independent grouping. A small cluster of atypical strains, however, indicated that this relationship may not be true for all these strains. Among the leuconostocs only isolates of Leuconostoc mesenteroides could be clearly differentiated.

Fatty Acids↗

Grading of supratentorial arteriovenous malformations on the basis of multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.

The case histories and angiograms of 93 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for arteriovenous malformations were analyzed retrospectively to find clinical and radiological prognostic factors influencing the outcome. A stepwise multiple regression was performed as follows. All radiological data such as size, location, and feeding and draining vessels as well as the clinical data such as age, sex, clinical grade on admission were introduced into the model and tested whether they contributed significantly to the prediction of the outcome which was the target variable. If so they were retained, otherwise eliminated. By this procedure the following features were identified as significant prognostic factors which adversely influence the outcome: poor clinical grade, feeding vessels from the A 1-segment and the anterior communicating artery, feeders from the M 1-segment, feeders from the Rolandic branches of the middle cerebral artery, a shunt through the anterior communicating artery. Neither the presence of a particular draining vein nor the type of the venous drainage when divided into superficial or deep had an influence on the outcome. Nor was the size of the lesion of significant importance. The bearing of these findings on the value of established grading systems is discussed and a new grading system is proposed.

Female↗