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The future of general surgery. Council on Long Range Planning and Development.

During the past several years, the American Medical Association's Council on Long Range Planning and Development has identified trends in the environment of medicine that are likely to affect physicians, their practices, and the provision of medical care in the future. In the course of its environmental analysis studies, the Council has recognized that each medical specialty is uniquely subject to anticipated changes in the environment of medicine. As part of an ongoing series of analyses prepared by the Council, this report focuses on environmental trends that are likely to influence the practice of general surgery. The report outlines the current state of general surgery, the forces for change in the environment, and the implications regarding these changes. The Council concludes that there are certain challenges and many positive indicators for the future of general surgery.

Adult

The future of family practice. Implications of the changing environment of medicine. Council on Long Range Planning and Development in cooperation with the American Academy of Family Physicians.

The Council on Long Range Planning and Development of the American Medical Association has identified trends in the environment of medicine and the implications of these trends for specific medical specialties. This report considers the evolution of family practice as a specialty and its role in the future of health care delivery. As a specialty established less than 20 years ago, family practice has successfully surmounted several obstacles to achieve recognition within the medical community and among the public. However, the Council has identified new challenges and opportunities facing this specialty. In particular, the areas of graduate medical education, reimbursement, professional liability, and several health-related societal and ethical issues will pose challenges for and place constraints on family physicians. Family practice will encounter a number of opportunities in the evolving environment of medicine, due in part to demographic trends in the population and the growth in managed care. The Council concludes that, despite the challenges, the increasing demand for the services of family physicians has positive implications for the future of this specialty.

Education, Medical, Graduate

Serving our communities better. Guidelines for planning and developing integrated delivery networks.

In 1994 the Daughters of Charity National Health System-East Central (DCNHS-East Central) adopted 11 guidelines to help corporate staff and local leaders plan and develop integrated networks. Guideline 1 emphasizes needs-based strategic planning. Guideline 2 focuses on the community-based network planning process, recommending a team approach and ongoing communication with the local ordinary. In guidelines 3 through 5, the DCNHS-East Central Board of Directors spells out key issues that must be covered in proposals ultimately presented for governance action. Guideline 6 presents three core elements that should characterize all CBNs in which DCNHS-East Central institutions participate. Guideline 7 emphasizes that all CBN proposals and agreements must be clear with respect to the Catholic identity of DCNHS-East Central institutions. Guidelines 8 and 9 require that proposed changes to traditional policies and management practices be explicit in CBN proposals. The tenth guideline requires that all CBN proposals indicate an explicit evaluation function. The final guideline underscores that regardless of the strategic fit or how well a CBN is designed, it is unlikely to succeed unless both internal and external relationships are based on a solid foundation of honesty, mutual respect, and trust.

Catholicism

The future of obstetrics and gynecology. Council on Long Range Planning and Development with the cooperation of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.

The American Medical Association Council on Long Range Planning and Development has identified trends in the environment of medicine that are likely to affect the future of obstetrics and gynecology practice. The professional liability crisis is among the most potent factors affecting the types and numbers of services that obstetricians and gynecologists will provide in the future. The setting for obstetrics and gynecology practice is likely to be affected by advances in technology and trends in delivery and reimbursement systems. Two factors with potential to affect the organization of practice are the high numbers of women entering the specialty and increasing practice expenses, largely associated with liability costs. Other factors affecting future patterns of delivery include the anticipated aging of the female population and the changing social and economic roles of women. In particular, the feminist movement has focused more attention on women's health care and is expected to have a continuing impact on the delivery of obstetric and gynecologic care. The Council concludes that the most salient issues for the specialty in the future will be the following: (1) the direction of the professional liability crisis, (2) medical practice competition, (3) the feminization of poverty, (4) ethical issues arising from technological and social imperatives, (5) the changing gender profile of the specialty, and (6) the impact of the feminist movement on women's health care.

Ethics, Medical

Developing care plans for psychosocial nursing diagnoses.

In 1992, the Nursing Department Documentation Committee at Spaulding Rehabilitation Hospital decided to revise the process of and forms for documenting nursing diagnoses. A sub-committee developed a format for standardized nursing care plans and piloted its use on two patient care units. The unit nursing staffs selected a number of common nursing diagnoses and, using the new format, developed standardized nursing care plans for them. After refining the process based on this pilot, the development of care plans was extended to all patient care units. A collaborative partnership was then formed between interested Primary Nurses, the Psychiatric Clinical Nurse Specialist and the Nursing Practice Coordinator to focus on developing psychosocially-oriented care plans as well as physically-oriented plans. Although psychosocial diagnoses are less frequently identified in the assessment process and included in nursing care planning, they are still very important for providing comprehensive care. This article describes the process of developing and implementing psychosocial care plans. This article also describes the components of the standardized nursing care plans developed for four psychosocial nursing diagnoses.

Humans

Developing family planning nurse practitioner protocols.

This article focuses on the process of development of protocols for family planning nurse practitioners. A rationale for the use of protocols, a definition of the types and examples, and the pros and cons of practice with protocols are presented. A how-to description for the development process follows, including methods and a suggested tool for critique and evaluation. The aim of the article is to assist nurse practitioners in developing protocols for their practice.

Evaluation Studies as Topic

Public health crises of cities in developing countries.

During the decade and a half after Alma Ata hundreds of projects were started in developing countries to implement the principles of PHC and start community based health care programs in the rural areas of developing countries. Until the past five years urban health was not seen as a special health problem. Population pressure in the rural areas has created shortages of land, food and employment opportunities. These forces have generated major population movements to the urban centres. The population movements have encouraged unprecedented expansion of urban centres. This sudden concentration of large populations in small geographical areas has resulted in the urban health crises of the developing world. The poor who live in the slum areas have no access to adequate health services, they experience frequent epidemics of communicable diseases like cholera, they live within a heavily polluted environment, and their children have very poor health because they are not immunized and are malnourished. The paper agrees with approaches which have been championed by development agencies to address the urban health crises. These approaches propose the reorientation of urban health systems to include adoption of PHC for urban health programs, intersectoral collaboration and extra budgetary support. The paper argues for further strengthening of the reorientation approach by adjusting the development planning model. It is proposed that the urban plan be integrated into the national development plan so that emerging urban health crises can receive special attention in resource allocation.

Adult

Planning and developing a prehospital mobile intensive care system in an urban setting.

A suggested model for the development of an urban based prehospital emergency care system is described. Factors considered in the planning and development include: 1) demand for services, projected and actual; 2) analysis of costs; 3) design and maintenance of the delivery system; and 4) establishment of the evaluation mechanisms. Over one year's experience and 1,144 mobile intensive care unit (MICU) calls in a densely populated urban setting with over 500,000 persons are reported. During the peak 8-hour period, predetermined dispatch categories were employed to activate one MICU operating in conjunction with three conventional ambulances. This partial conversion imparted MICU capability to the entire system at an 11 per cent increase in the ambulance budget. MICU calls averaged 4.5 per 8-hour peak shift and took 45 minutes each.

Ambulances

The future of adult cardiology. Council on Long Range Planning and Development in cooperation with the American College of Cardiology.

During the past several years, the American Medical Association's Council on Long Range Planning and Development has identified trends in the environment of medicine that are likely to affect physicians, their practices, and the provision of medical care in the future. In the course of its environmental analysis studies, the Council has recognized that each medical specialty is uniquely subject to anticipated changes in the environment of medicine. As part of an ongoing series of analyses prepared by the Council, this report focuses on environmental trends that are likely to influence the practice of adult cardiology. The report outlines the current state of cardiology, the forces for change in the environment, and the implications regarding the changes.

Cardiology

The future of pediatrics. Implications of the changing environment of medicine. Council on Long Range Planning and Development in cooperation with the American Academy of Pediatrics.

We present the results of an environmental analysis by the American Medical Association Council on Long Range Planning and Development to determine the key factors that are likely to affect the pediatric specialty in the future. Three factors were identified that are particularly salient to future pediatric practice: demographic trends, decisions by third-party payers, and public attitudes toward services for children. Less than half as many children per pediatrician is predicted for the year 2000 compared with 1970. Pediatricians are likely to face future constraints on reimbursement, particularly for cognitive services and for providing care to the growing number of children in poverty. One moderating effect may be laws enacted at the state or federal level mandating basic insurance coverage for child health supervision services. The public interest in children's services will influence future access to pediatric care for children and the compensation that pediatricians receive for children in poverty. In light of these issues, organized medicine may seek means to adjust to and also to shape the environment in which pediatric practice is to occur in the future.

American Medical Association

[Significance of urban climatologic expert assessment for urban planning and development].

Aspects of urban climatology relevant to urban planning are given in respect of quality of the atmosphere and urban climate modification. This paper deals with the spatial evaluation of emission and incidence of air pollution, local conditions of air flow and diffusion, climatic effects of different surface types and conditions of urban ventilation.

Air Movements

The future of general internal medicine. Council on Long Range Planning and Development in Cooperation with the American College of Physicians, the American Society of Internal Medicine, and the Society of General Internal Medicine.

The American Medical Association Council on Long Range Planning and Development has been publishing a series of reports that assess trends in the environment of medicine and their impact on physicians and health care provision. The Council believes that each specialty in medicine has unique characteristics and will respond differently to changes in the health care arena. This report, developed in cooperation with the American College of Physicians, the American Society of Internal Medicine, and the Society of General Internal Medicine, provides an overview and environmental analysis of the specialty of general internal medicine. The Council first reviews socioeconomic data pertinent to general internal medicine. This is followed by a review of key issues pertinent to internists that relate to such topics as graduate medical education, reimbursement, scope of practice, manpower, and competition. In the conclusions, the Council suggests activities for the medical profession to pursue in response to the identified environmental trends.

Adult