PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “Expectancies”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 163 records · Page 9Linked to original sources

How older patients' treatment preferences are influenced by disclosures about therapeutic uncertainty: surgery versus expectant management for localized prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES: There is an ongoing debate about the proper management of localized prostate cancer in older men. We assessed whether older patients differ in their willingness to accept surgery versus expectant management for a hypothetical early stage, low grade, clinically localized prostate carcinoma, and whether patients' current levels or past history of urologic dysfunction (difficulties initiating urination, failing to empty the bladder, urinary dribbling, getting up at night to urinate, and frequency of sexual activity) influence their decisions. We assessed patients' willingness to choose surgery over expectant management by varying the expected survival benefit in years (ESBs-em) of surgery over expectant management. DESIGN: Structured interviews with a consecutive series of male patients. SETTING: A university-based Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center. PATIENTS: One hundred forty-eight patients seen consecutively in General Medicine Clinic at the Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Portland, Oregon, were enrolled in the study. Mean age of the patients was 66.3 years (SD = 10.3, range = 30-85); mean level of formal education was 12.6 years (SD = 2.7, range = 6-22). MEASUREMENTS: Patients were asked whether they would accept surgery or expectant management in one of 11 treatment comparisons. We varied the ESBs-em in 1-year increments from 0 years to 10 years. As described to patients, surgery carried a mortality risk at the time of treatment of 1 to 2%. Once any patient indicated a willingness to accept surgery at any of the treatment comparisons or if any patient reported preferring expectant management across all treatment comparisons, the elicitation procedure was stopped. All patients were asked to complete a urological and sexual functioning questionnaire to determine the presence of coexisting urological dysfunction and level of sexual activity both at present and in the past. RESULTS: Of the 148 patients enrolled in the study, 43.2% (64/148) preferred surgery with a zero expected life benefit over expectant management (ESBs-em = 0) and a 1 to 2% chance of dying within 1 month of surgery; 24.3% (36/148) rejected surgery as the expected life benefit of surgery was increased (0 < ESBs-em < or = 10 years); 26.4% (39/148) preferred expectant management even when there was a 10-year expected life benefit of surgery; 4.7% (7/148) preferred that their physician make the decision for them; and 1.4% (2/148) of patients reported that they preferred radiation therapy, an option that was not offered to them explicitly. Our results suggest that older patients are more likely to report a preference for expectant management (OR = 1.07). Further, our results suggest that patients who report current urinary dribbling (OR = 9.03) are much more likely to prefer expectant management but that this preference decreases with the amount of time they have had this problem. Similarly, we find that patients who have difficulty with starting urination are much more likely to prefer surgery (OR = 0.13), and this preference is also mediated by the number of years they have experienced this problem. Treatment choice was not associated with formal education, present health status, or the other urological symptoms we assessed. CONCLUSION: Our study in an older male veteran population showed preferences for a variety of options in prostate cancer. Although the majority of men preferred surgery, a significant number preferred expectant management. Our results show that preferences reflect patients' experiences with physical problems associated with disease and that these experiences need to be explored and considered by patients and their providers when making treatment decisions.

Adult↗

Listening to injured workers: how recovery expectations predict outcomes--a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Rigorous evidence on factors affecting the prognosis of work-related soft-tissue injuries remains limited. Although shown to be important for a wide variety of clinical conditions, recovery expectations have rarely been assessed as prognostic factors for workers with soft-tissue injuries. We examined the predictive role of various measures of recovery expectations among workers with injuries resulting in time off work. METHODS: We identified a prospective cohort of 1566 injured workers shortly after they filed a claim for their injury with the Ontario Workers' Compensation Board (OWCB). They had soft-tissue injuries to the back or upper or lower extremities, had new, lost-time claims from May to November 1993 and were still off work at the time of the first interview. We interviewed participants by telephone within 3 weeks after the injury and measured their recovery expectations (perceptions regarding progress, expected change in condition, expected time until return to usual activities and expectations regarding return to usual job) along with other, potentially important prognostic factors. The primary outcome was total time receiving 100% wage-replacement benefits during the year following injury, obtained from OWCB administrative files. Self-reported measures of pain, health-related quality of life and functional status, obtained up to 4 times during the year following injury, were both independent predictors and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: The 4 measures of recovery expectations together explained one-sixth of the variation in time receiving benefits. All but expectations regarding return to usual job were individually predictive of time receiving benefits. Judging one's recovery as much better than expected resulted in a 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 9%-46%) faster rate of stopping receiving benefits (and likely returning to work) compared with judging one's recovery as much worse than expected. Similarly, participants who expected to return to usual activities within 3 weeks had a 37% (95% CI 26%-47%) faster rate of stopping receiving benefits than those who responded "Don't know" to this question, and participants who stated that they were fully recovered or would get better soon had a 25% (CI 5%-40%) faster rate than those who thought they would never get or stay better. Positive recovery expectations were also associated with reductions in pain grade and improvement in functional status outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Expectations regarding recovery may provide useful information on the complex process of recovering from work-related soft-tissue injuries. For clinicians, patients' negative or uncertain expectations may indicate the need for further probing and intervention on psychosocial factors to facilitate recovery.

Adult↗

Expectations regarding length and health related quality of life: some empirical findings.

Own expectations regarding length and future quality of life can differ from objective measures such as actuarial life expectancy. If so, this may have implications for health behaviour, seeking medical care and for methods used in health economic research. In this paper, we present evidence on own expectations regarding length and quality of life, using data obtained from a Dutch convenience sample (n=600). Data were obtained through a written questionnaire and a web-based survey. Own expectations regarding future quality of life were obtained by using the EQ-5D descriptive system on which respondents could indicate expected health profiles for the ages 60-90. We find that respondents significantly overestimate life expectancy (by 4.1 years, males 7.0 years and females 1.7 years), but appear to underestimate future quality of life from the age 70 onward. Regression analysis is used to explain individual expectations. Age, current health status and the perception of current lifestyle are especially important explanatory variables of people's own expectations regarding length and quality of life. Average age of death of relatives moreover explains self-estimated life expectancy, whereas self-estimated life expectancy explains expectations regarding quality of life. Given the influence inaccurate expectations may have on actual behaviour, more research on own expectations and their relation with actual behaviour is needed.

Age Factors↗

[Disability-free life expectancy among 60-year-olds in Denmark].

INTRODUCTION: Life expectancy can be expressed as average expected lifetime in different health states. The purpose of the study was to estimate disability-free life expectancy, i.e. average lifetime without disabilities, in Denmark and in the counties of Denmark and evaluate the relation between life expectancy and the proportion of disability-free life expectancy. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Prevalence rates of disability (in terms of walking, walking on stairs, carrying 5 kg, reading, hearing and speaking) derived from the Danish Health Interview Survey 2000 were combined with life-table data and disability-free life expectancy was calculated by Sullivan's method. RESULTS: In 2000 expected lifetime of 60-year-old men and women was 18.8 years and 22.0 years respectively and disability-free life expectancy was 14.7 years for both sexes corresponding to 78.4% and 66.6% of the remaining lifetime for men and women respectively. Differences in disability-free life expectancy between counties ranged from zero to three years. In counties with the highest life expectancy among women they tended to have a higher proportion of life years with disabilities, but there was no correlation between life expectancy and the proportion of disability-free life expectancy for men. DISCUSSION: The results may illustrate theories about the relation between increased lifetime and quality of life in terms of health. Increased total lifetime for women prolongs the proportion of expected lifetime with disability ("expansion of morbidity"), whereas for men no correlation was found ("dynamic equilibrium").

Activities of Daily Living↗

Expectations and outcomes in cataract surgery: a prospective test of 2 models of satisfaction.

OBJECTIVES: To document patients' preoperative expectations for postoperative outcomes. To measure the relative contribution of patient understanding, expectations, outcome, and expectation-outcome discrepancy in determining patient satisfaction. METHODS: One hundred twenty-one patients were surveyed just before and 1 month after cataract surgery regarding their understanding of the procedure, satisfaction with their vision, and both current and expected visual function for each of the items on the Visual Function Index (VF-14). RESULTS: Sixty percent of patients expected to achieve a perfect VF-14 score. The average expected VF-14 score was 96.1, compared with an achieved VF-14 score of just 89.8. The most unrealistic expectations involved driving at night, reading small print, and doing fine handiwork. Surprisingly, improvement in visual function was not correlated with satisfaction in vision. While patient understanding, expectations, and achieved VF-14 score did correlate with satisfaction, when controlling for other factors, only achievement-expectation discrepancy was independently predictive. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides support for the expectation-outcome discrepancy model of patient satisfaction. Further, it highlights the highly unrealistic expectations harbored by patients with cataract and emphasizes the importance for physicians to control their patients' expectations. Controlling patient expectations may be more effective than improving patients' postoperative outcome in terms of maximizing patient satisfaction.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Racial/ethnic variation in parent expectations for antibiotics: implications for public health campaigns.

CONTEXT: Widespread overuse and inappropriate use of antibiotics are a major public health concern. Little is known about racial/ethnic differences in parents seeking antibiotics for their children's upper respiratory illnesses. OBJECTIVE: To examine racial/ethnic differences in parent expectations about the need for antibiotics and physician perceptions of those expectations. DESIGN: We conducted a nested, cross-sectional survey of parents who were coming to see their child's pediatrician because of cold symptoms between October 2000 and June 2001. Parents completed a previsit survey that collected information on demographics, their child's illness, and a 15-item previsit expectations inventory that included an item asking how necessary it was for the physician to prescribe antibiotics. Physicians completed a postvisit survey that collected information on diagnosis, treatment, and whether the physician perceived the parent expected an antibiotic. The encounter was the unit of analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate predictors of dichotomized parental expectations for antibiotics, dichotomized physician perceptions of those expectations, diagnostic patterns, and antibiotic-prescribing patterns. SETTING: Twenty-seven community pediatric practices in the Los Angeles, Calif, metropolitan area. PARTICIPANTS: A volunteer sample of 38 pediatricians (participation rate: 64%) and a consecutive sample of 543 parents (participation rate: 83%; approximately 15 participating for each enrolled pediatrician) seeking care for their children's respiratory illnesses. Pediatricians were eligible to participate if they worked in a community-based managed care practice in the Los Angeles area. Parents were eligible to participate if they could speak and read English and presented to participating pediatricians with a child 6 months to 10 years old who had cold symptoms but had not received antibiotics within 2 weeks. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Parental beliefs about the necessity of antibiotics for their child's illness, physician perceptions of parental expectations for antibiotics, bacterial diagnosis rates, and antibiotic-prescribing rates. RESULTS: Forty-three percent of parents believed that antibiotics were definitely necessary, and 27% believed that they were probably necessary for their child's illness. Latino and Asian parents were both 17% more likely to report that antibiotics were either definitely or probably necessary than non-Hispanic white parents. Physicians correctly perceived that Asian parents expected antibiotics more often than non-Hispanic white parents but underestimated the greater expectations of Latino parents for antibiotics. Physicians also correctly perceived that parents of children with ear pain or who were very worried about their child's condition were significantly more likely to expect antibiotics. Physicians were 7% more likely to make a bacterial diagnosis and 21% more likely to prescribe antibiotics when they perceived that antibiotics were expected. CONCLUSIONS: Parent expectations for antibiotics remain high in Los Angeles County. With time, traditional public health messages related to antibiotic use may decrease expectations among non-Hispanic white parents. However, both public health campaigns and physician educational efforts may need to be designed differently to reach other racial/ethnic groups effectively. Despite public health campaigns to reduce antibiotic overprescribing in the pediatric outpatient setting, physicians continue to respond to parental pressure to prescribe them. To effectively intervene to decrease rates of inappropriate antibiotic prescribing further, physicians need culturally appropriate tools to better communicate and negotiate with parents when feeling pressured to prescribe antibiotics.

Adult↗

Patients' expectations of knee surgery.

BACKGROUND: Patients' expectations of medical care are linked to their requests for treatment and to their assessments of outcome and satisfaction. Our goals were to measure patients" preoperative expectations of knee surgery and to develop and test patient-derived knee expectations surveys. METHODS: An initial sample of 377 patients (mean age, 54.6 18.2 years; 52% women) was enrolled in the survey-development phase. One hundred and sixty-one (43%) of these patients subsequently underwent total knee arthroplasty; seventy-five (20%), cruciate ligament repair; eighty-five (23%), meniscal surgery; and fifty-six (15%), surgery for another knee condition. Preoperatively, these patients were asked open-ended questions about their expectations of knee surgery. Their responses were grouped with use of qualitative research techniques to generate categories of expectations. Categories were transformed into specific questions and were formatted into two draft surveys, one for patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty and one for patients undergoing other surgical procedures on the knee. A second sample of 163 patients (mean age, 55.1 17.5 years; 49% women) was enrolled in the survey-testing phase, and they completed the draft surveys on two separate occasions to establish test-retest reliability. Items were selected for the final surveys if they were cited by 5% of the patients, if they represented important functional changes resulting from surgery, or if they represented potentially unrealistic expectations. All selected items fulfilled reliability criteria, defined as a kappa (or weighted kappa) value of 0.4, or were deemed to be clinically relevant by a panel of orthopaedic surgeons. RESULTS: From the survey-development phase, a total of fifty-two categories of expectations were discerned; they included both anticipated items such as pain relief and improvement in walking ability and unanticipated items such as improving psychological well-being. Expectations varied by diagnosis and patient characteristics, including functional status. Two final surveys were generated: the seventeen-item Hospital for Special Surgery Knee Replacement Expectations Survey and the twenty-item Hospital for Special Surgery Knee Surgery Expectations Survey. Each required less than five minutes to complete. CONCLUSIONS: Patients have multiple expectations of knee surgery in the areas of symptom relief and improvement of physical and psychosocial function, and these expectations vary according to the diagnosis. We developed two valid and reliable surveys that can be used preoperatively to direct patient education and shared decision-making and to provide a framework for setting reasonable goals. Reexamining patients' responses postoperatively could provide a way to assess fulfillment of expectations, which is a crucial patient-derived measure of outcome and satisfaction.

Adult↗

[Influence of patient's social and demographic characteristics on patient's expectations for medical consultation].

UNLABELLED: Most of the patients, coming to see their primary care physician, have explicit expectations and priorities for the medical consultation. Recognition of these expectations is an important step in organizing patient-oriented health care services. Patient expectations depend on a number of factors: health problem and its severity, as well as social and demographic characteristics of patient and physician. Objective of this survey was to evaluate influence of patient's socio-demographic characteristics and some health status indicators on expectations for primary care consultation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: During the study 403 patients and 162 physicians were surveyed. Pre-visit expectations of patients coming to see their primary care physician for health problem were investigated using self-addressed original questionnaire. RESULTS: Factor analysis revealed three main factors: biomedical expectations, emotional support expectations and expectations for partnership. Analysis of influence of socio-demographic characteristics on patient expectations showed that statistically significant differences in different age groups were found only for emotional support factor. Patients' desire for emotional support from doctor increased with age. Relationship was observed between expectations for emotional support and health status as perceived by patient. Patients evaluating their health problem as not serious had mean score of expectations for emotional support 3.4, patients with moderate health problem--3.5, patients with serious health problem--4.0 out of 5. CONCLUSIONS: Patient's need for emotional support from physician depends on his age, marital status, frequency of his visits to physician during the year, self-perception of the health status and course of disease. Analysis of relationship between patient's expectations and his sex, education, physician's sex or type of practice did not show statistically significant differences between groups. No influence of analyzed social and demographic characteristics or perceived health status on biomedical expectations (laboratory tests, specialist consultations, and hospital treatment) was found during our study.

Age Factors↗

Screening colonoscopy in very elderly patients: prevalence of neoplasia and estimated impact on life expectancy.

CONTEXT: Current guidelines do not include an upper age cutoff for colorectal cancer screening with colonoscopy. Although the prevalence of colonic neoplasia increases with age, life expectancy decreases. Thus, the benefit of screening colonoscopy in very elderly patients may be limited. OBJECTIVE: To compare estimated life-years saved with screening colonoscopy in very elderly vs younger persons. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Cross-sectional study conducted among 1244 asymptomatic individuals in 3 age groups (50-54 years [n = 1034], 75-79 years [n = 147], and > or =80 years [n = 63]) who underwent screening colonoscopy at a US teaching hospital and clinic. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of various types of colon neoplasia; estimated gain in life expectancy, calculated as life expectancy--(life expectancy during polyp lag time + life expectancy after colorectal cancer diagnosis); and comparison of mean gain in life expectancy across the 3 groups. Life expectancy and mortality data were derived from life tables, previous studies, and national databases. RESULTS: The prevalence of neoplasia was 13.8% in the 50- to 54-year-old group, 26.5% in the 75- to 79-year-old group, and 28.6% in the group aged 80 years or older. Despite higher prevalence of neoplasia in elderly patients, mean extension in life expectancy was much lower in the group aged 80 years or older than in the 50- to 54-year-old group (0.13 vs 0.85 years). In sensitivity analysis, with longer polyp lag times the mean extension in life expectancy decreased more in the elderly than in the younger patients; alternatively, if it was assumed that a smaller proportion of adenomas progress to colorectal cancer, the mean extension in life expectancy decreased less in the elderly than in the younger patients. CONCLUSIONS: Even though prevalence of neoplasia increases with age, screening colonoscopy in very elderly persons (aged > or =80 years) results in only 15% of the expected gain in life expectancy in younger patients. Screening colonoscopy in very elderly patients should be performed only after careful consideration of potential benefits, risks, and patient preferences.

Aged↗

Measuring the impact of HIV/AIDS, heart disease and malignant neoplasms on life expectancy in the USA from 1987 to 2000.

OBJECTIVES: Quantifying the impact of a disease on society is an important issue for setting priorities for better allocation of healthcare resources and for evaluating the effectiveness of prevention and control of the disease. STUDY DESIGN: The potential gains in life expectancy due to the elimination of human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS), heart disease and malignant neoplasms were compared for the US population by age and ethnicity from 1987 to 2000. METHODS: The potential gain in life expectancy after hypothetical elimination of cause-specific deaths is an effective indicator of measuring the impact of a disease on a population. Official age-specific mortality rates, by ethnicity, due to HIV/AIDS, heart disease and malignant neoplasms of the US population from the National Center for Health Statistics were used, and multiple decremental life tables were constructed to find the corresponding potential gains in life expectancy. RESULTS: The potential gains in life expectancy for the US population at birth by complete elimination of HIV/AIDS, heart disease and malignant neoplasms were 0.14, 3.71 and 3.06 years in 1987, respectively. In 1995, the potential gain in life expectancy due to the elimination of HIV/AIDS increased from 0.14 years in 1987 and achieved its highest value (0.41 years), whereas the elimination of heart disease and malignant neoplasms led to potential gains in life expectancy of 3.05 and 3.10 years, respectively. Since 1995, the potential gains in life expectancy at birth by eliminating deaths from HIV/AIDS and heart disease have decreased to 0.13 and 2.67 years, respectively, in 2000. However, the potential gain in life expectancy due to elimination of malignant neoplasms remained relatively stable (3.01 years in 2000). It is well known that HIV/AIDS tends to have a greater impact on people of working age, whereas heart disease and malignant neoplasms have a greater impact on people over 65 years of age. To measure the impact of these diseases on life expectancy in people of working age, a partial multiple decremental life table was constructed and the potential gains in life expectancy were computed by partial or complete elimination of various causes of death during the working years. shows the impact on life expectancy of the US working-age population by eliminating deaths from HIV/AIDS, heart disease and malignant neoplasms by race and sex groups. CONCLUSIONS: Since 1995, there has been a rapid reduction in the burden of HIV/AIDS on the life expectancy for the US population, especially for black males of working age. These results could provide useful information when evaluating public health improvements and allocating resources for future disease control programmes.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Health expectancy by level of education in Finland.

Using the method first presented by Sullivan, the article presents results on health expectancy by level of education and gender in the late 1980s in Finland. The life tables by level of education cover the years 1986-90. Indicators of disability and poor health were based on three variables from the nationwide 1986 Survey on Living Conditions (N = 12,057): limiting long-standing illness, functional disability or poor self-perceived health. Two cutting points indicating different levels of severity of disability or poor health were used for each measure, giving six dichotomous indicators. Disability-free life expectancy and life expectancy with disability were found to depend strongly on the indicator of disability, but the patterns of differences both between genders and between educational categories were largely independent of the indicators used. Life expectancy as well as disability-free life expectancy showed a systematic relationship with level of education: the higher the level of education, the higher the life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy. The differences between educational categories in disability-free life expectancy were markedly larger than in total life expectancy. Life expectancy with disability was shortest among the more educated and longest among the less educated. Due to the higher life expectancy and the higher prevalence of disability among women, life expectancy with disability was longer among women than men according to all indicators.

Adult↗

Disability-free life expectancy of elderly people in a population undergoing demographic and epidemiologic transition.

BACKGROUND: the major purpose of health and social policy in old age is to increase quality of life of elderly people. In many demographically developing countries, life expectancy is increasing very rapidly, but little information is available on survival free of disability. OBJECTIVES: to determine prevalence and severity of disability among the elderly population and to compare disability-free life expectancy and self-care life expectancy among different age groups and between men and women. DESIGN: a cross-sectional multi-stage random sample survey and routine life tables for Thailand. SETTING: national population of Thailand. SUBJECTS: 4,048 elderly subjects aged 60+ years. RESULTS: prevalence rates (95% CI) of long-term disability and dependency in self-care activities of daily living were 19% (95% CI 17.8, 20.2) and 6.9% (6.1, 7.7) respectively. Rates of disabilities increased with age and women were more disabled than men. The life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy at age 60 for men were 20.3 years and 16.4 years, and for women were 23.9 years and 18.2 years respectively. Self-care life expectancies at age 60, calculated from the prevalence of needing help with basic self-care activities, were 18.6 years and 21.3 years for men and women respectively. Women spent proportionately more of their longer life expectancy in a disabled state than men. Men and women can, respectively, expect that 19% and 24% of their life expectancy at age 60 will be spent in a disabled state, but may expect only about 10% of their life expectancy to be spent unable to manage basic self-care activities of daily living. CONCLUSION: long-term disability is common in old age, affecting a quarter of people over 60 years. However, self-care problems are much less common and suggest that the social and health care consequences of demographic transitions are over-estimated by use of simple questions about limiting long-standing disability. Self-care life expectancy provides a useful monitoring tool for censuses and national disability surveys.

Age Factors↗

Healthy life expectancy: evaluation of global indicator of change in population health.

OBJECTIVE: To review and evaluate the usefulness of healthy life expectancy as a global indicator of changes in a population's health. DESIGN: Review of all known studies to date from the United States, mainland Europe, Canada, and the United Kingdom that have used Sullivan's method of calculating disability free life expectancy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Life expectancy and disability free life expectancy. RESULTS: Over the past decade the average healthy life expectancy was 60 years for men and 64 for women, with the proportion of years of disability ranging from 11% to 21% in men and from 14% to 24% in women. At the age of 65 men could expect eight years of disability free life and women 10, with the life expectancy being respectively 14 and 19 years. The difference between the wealthiest and poorest income quintiles was 6.3 years in life expectancy and 14.3 in disability free life expectancy for men and 2.8 and 7.6 respectively for women. These results suggest that disparities in health are greater between social groups than between the sexes. Diseases affect mortality and morbidity differently. The order of importance for affecting life expectancy was circulatory disease, cancer, and accidents and for disability free life expectancy, circulatory disease, locomotor disorders, and respiratory disorders. CONCLUSIONS: Healthy life expectancy is a valuable index for the appreciation of changes in both the physical and the mental health states of the general population, for allocating resources, and for measuring the success of political programmes. Future calculations should also take into account the probability of recovery and thus extend the applicability of the indicator to populations in poor health rather than focusing on the well population.

Age Factors↗

Societal discounting of health effects in cost-effectiveness analyses: the influence of life expectancy.

BACKGROUND: Increasing life expectancy and decreasing marginal valuation of additional QALYs over time may serve as a basis for discounting future health effects from a societal perspective. Therefore, we tested the hypothesis that societal time preference for health is related to perceived future life expectancy. METHODS: A sample of 223 people from the general population prioritised healthcare programmes with differential timing of health benefits and costs from a societal perspective. Furthermore, we asked respondents to estimate future life expectancy. RESULTS: The relationship between future life expectancy and time preference for health is ambiguous. We observed that people who expected a higher future life expectancy elicited higher discount rates for health effects than those with lower life expectancy growth expectations for all four time periods (5, 10, 20 and 40 years into the future), but the differences were never significant. On average, providing explicit information on growth in life expectancy did significantly alter discount rates in the expected direction but, on an individual level, the results were rather inconsistent. We observed a significantly stronger time preference (i.e. higher discount rates) for health effects than for costs. As commonly observed, discount rates for health and money decreased with time delay following a hyperbolic function. CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that it is troublesome to elicit societal discount rates empirically, especially rates that are in line with the theoretical arguments on societal discounting. The influence of life expectancy remains ambiguous, but there seems to be at least some positive relationship between growth in life expectancy and discount rates that deserves additional attention.

Attitude to Health↗

ICIDH in the calculation of health expectancy.

In this paper the use of the ICIDH in the field of calculating health expectancies is examined. The health indicator 'health expectancy' is an adaptation of the indicator 'life expectancy'; health expectancies reflect the expected number of years lived in good health in a population. To date, health expectancies have been calculated for many countries. However, many different concepts of health have been used. The theoretical framework of the ICIDH has been proposed to harmonize the calculations of health expectancy. In this paper we explore this idea. To examine the possibility to use the ICIDH framework, we calculated health expectancies for The Netherlands, trying to follow the ICIDH. Subsequently, we reviewed the health expectancies calculated for other countries, and tried to fit those into the ICIDH framework. Much of the work done could be fitted into this framework. An important exception, however, are those health expectancies that try to capture a concept of health that is more compassing than impairments, disabilities and handicaps. Although it is possible to classify different health expectancies according to the ICIDH, this does not make health expectancies within a certain class comparable. Both the calculations carried out for The Netherlands, and the comparison of instruments used internationally, show that the instruments used to measure, for example, disabilities, yield results which are not comparable. Continuing efforts to standardize measurement instruments are needed.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Visit-specific expectations and patient-centered outcomes: a literature review.

BACKGROUND: Primary care patients often have certain expectations when visiting physicians, many of which may be undetected. These unmet expectations can affect outcomes such as satisfaction with care. We performed a formal literature review to examine the effect of fulfillment of patients' visit-specific expectations on their satisfaction as well as on health status and compliance. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Included studies were conducted in primary care settings, systematically recruited patients, elicited previsit and/or postvisit expectations relative to specific visits, and measured patient-centered outcomes. Two reviewers abstracted information on study characteristics; types, timing, and method of expectation ascertainment; and outcomes. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. RESULTS: Twenty-three studies were reviewed including 7 trials, 4 cohort studies, and 12 cross-sectional studies. Patients frequently expected information rather than specific physician actions, but physicians often did not accurately perceive patients' visit-specific expectations. In 19 studies that assessed postvisit patient satisfaction, a positive association between meeting patient expectations and overall satisfaction was demonstrated in 11 studies, inconclusive in 3, and not established in 5. In 2 studies assessing physician satisfaction, physicians with access to patients' expectations were more satisfied than those without access. Other outcomes (symptom or disease improvement, health status, test ordering, health care costs, psychological symptoms) were measured in only a few studies, and the results were inconclusive. CONCLUSIONS: Addressing patients' visit-specific expectations appears to affect satisfaction to a modest degree. Future studies should evaluate methods that efficiently elicit, prioritize, and provide patients' previsit expectations for physicians and should examine the longitudinal effect of expectation fulfillment on patient outcomes. Arch Fam Med. 2000;9:1148-1155

Humans↗

The father's role during infancy. Factors that influence maternal expectations.

OBJECTIVE: To describe factors that influence maternal expectations of the father's role during infancy. RESEARCH DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. SETTING: Postpartum obstetric ward of an inner-city teaching hospital. SUBJECTS: Mothers who were residents in the inner-city communities that surround the hospital and who were recently delivered of a newborn. SELECTION PROCEDURE: Consecutive sampling from March to May 1992. MEASUREMENTS: Through structured maternal interviews, the father's expected role was measured in terms of accessibility, engagement in child care tasks, and decision-making responsibility. Influences included demographics, the mother's desire for the father's involvement, and her perceptions of his motivation, prenatal support, and ability to parent. RESULTS: Of 226 eligible mothers, 197 (87%) were interviewed. Expectations varied widely. Concerning accessibility, 48% and 18% of the mothers expected to see the father daily and less than weekly, respectively. Concerning engagement, 81% of the mothers expected some paternal involvement; the average mother assumed that the father would participate in one third of child care tasks. Concerning decision-making responsibility, 34% of the mothers expected to share all decisions; 30% expected to share none. In all areas, expectations were positively associated with the mother's desires, the strength of the parents' relationship, and the mother's perceptions of the father's motivation and ability to parent and the father's prenatal involvement (all, P < .001). Expected accessibility and engagement were greater for fathers who worked; expected engagement and decision-making responsibility were greater for fathers without children from other relationships (all, P < .03). CONCLUSIONS: The maternal desire for the father's participation, the strength of the parents' relationship, the mother's perception of the father as a parent, and the father's prenatal involvement are all consistently associated with the maternal expectations of the father's role. The demographic characteristics of either parent are not as strongly or consistently associated with the maternal expectations.

Adult↗

Expectations of recovery from revision knee replacement.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate outcome expectations of patients undergoing revision total knee replacement (TKR) and to examine personal factors, patient functioning, previous experiences with knee replacement surgery, concerns about surgery, and general health as predictors of expectations. METHODS: Revision TKR patients (n = 184, 54% women; mean age 69 years) completed a questionnaire up to 2 weeks before surgery. This included demographics, experience with previous knee surgery, concerns about surgery, the Life Orientation Test (LOT), the Arthritis Helplessness Scale, the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index, and a rating of overall health. Outcome expectations were evaluated as 5 questions assessing global benefit; relief of pain; ease of disability; expectations of having complications; and whether the person expected to be fully recovered from surgery in <6 months, 6-12 months, >12 months, or did not expect to recover. Predictors of each of the 5 outcome expectations were evaluated using univariable and multivariable regression analyses. RESULTS: Expectations are a multidimensional construct (Cronbach's alpha = 0.63). Expectation of global benefit of surgery was high, but was lower for benefits related to ease of pain and improved function. Concerns about surgery were a consistent predictor of all expectation outcomes in multivariable modeling. When concerns about surgery and general health were entered into the model as an interaction with expectation of recovery time as the outcome, past experience (P = 0.05), pain (P = 0.03), LOT (P = 0.03), and interaction between concerns about surgery and general health were significant predictors. CONCLUSION: Clinicians need to understand and help patients shape appropriate expectations for recovery from revision TKR.

Adult↗