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PubMed1998

Double maternal seroconversion to cytomegalovirus and Toxoplasma gondii.

BACKGROUND: We report the first case of a double maternal seroconversion for Toxoplasma gondii (TG) and cytomegalovirus (CMV) diagnosed during pregnancy. CASE: One case is reported of a female patient referred for seroconversion in response to TG in the 27th week of gestation. A search for foetal involvement revealed signs of non-specific foetal infection without any TG-related lesions. Tests were carried out for another foeto-maternal infectious disease and maternal seroconversion in response to CMV was discovered with virus in the amniotic fluid. The foetus developed hydrocephalus and intracranial calcifications and the pregnancy was terminated at the parents' request. CMV-induced multiple organ involvement without any signs of Toxoplasma gondii-related involvement were noted in the foetus. CONCLUSIONS: This case indicates that a search should be made for another infectious disease likely to involve the foetus when non-specific signs of infection in the foetus are present, even though maternal seroconversion has been recognized.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Human immunodeficiency virus infection due to clotting factor concentrates: results of the Seroconversion Surveillance Project.

From 1987 to the present, the Seroconversion Surveillance Project has provided the means by which to monitor the risk of transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) by clotting factor concentrates. One hundred thirty-one hemophilia treatment centers in the United States are contacted regularly, and data on HIV testing of patients are collected. To date, 4366 (46.0%) of 9496 patients have been reported to be seropositive, and 37 new seroconversions have been identified. Nine of these have met the Centers for Disease Control criteria for seroconversion while the patient was taking factor concentrate. None of the nine seroconversions were due to concentrates that had been treated to inactivate viruses and made from plasma that had been tested for HIV antibody. These results indicate that there is a high prevalence of seropositivity in affected patient groups, but that the risk of HIV infection from currently available clotting factor concentrates is extremely low.

Blood Coagulation Disorders↗

PubMed1996

Unexplained hepatitis C virus antibody seroconversion in established blood donors.

BACKGROUND: Understanding of the epidemiology and natural history of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is incomplete without reference to the early phase of infection. The prevalence of HCV infection is well documented in numerous reports. The seroconversion pattern in previously antibody-negative blood donors provides a model for the study of the incidence and transmission of HCV infection. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Records of HCV antibody tests at the West Midlands Blood Transfusion Centre were reviewed to determine the seroconversion rate in 1994 among previously anti-HCV-negative blood donors. Seroconverting donors were counseled to investigate the possible routes of infection. RESULTS: In 1994, blood donations (n = 256,935) were collected from 149,370 donors; 24 donors (0.016%; 1/6224) were positive in the screening enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and the third-generation recombinant immunoblot assay (RIBA-3). Two donors previously negative for HCV antibody in ELISA were positive in both tests in 1994. Four donors positive in ELISA and indeterminate in RIBA-3 in 1993 reacted positively in both tests in 1994. One donor negative for HCV antibody on previous screening reacted positively in ELISA and was indeterminate in RIBA-3 in 1994 and has become positive in both tests in 1995. A further 43 donors negative for HCV antibody on previous screening reacted positively in ELISA and were indeterminate in RIBA-3 in 1994. CONCLUSION: Documented seroconversion can take place in the absence of exposure to recognizable risk factors for the infection. The index donation or the donation immediately preceding seroconversion may be positive for HCV RNA in the polymerase chain reaction.

Blood Donors↗

PubMed2005

Incidence and patterns of hepatitis C virus seroconversion in a cohort of hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this multicenter hemodialysis (HD) cohort study is to prospectively investigate the incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Greece from 1993 to 1995 and delineate early virological and serological events associated with HCV seroconversion in the HD setting. METHODS: Sequential serum samples collected weekly from 562 patients were tested biochemically and serologically by means of a second- (EIA-2) and third-generation enzyme immunoassay (EIA-3). All patients with positive antibody to HCV test results (anti-HCV + ) and sequential samples from seroconverting patients were tested for HCV RNA. RESULTS: Anti-HCV prevalence at study entry was 29% (163 of 562 patients), and viremia was detectable in 110 of 163 anti-HCV + patients (67.5%). HCV incidence was 6.2 cases/100 person-years. Seroconversions could not be attributed to transfusions after study entry (only 1 patient had been administered transfusion), and HD unit was associated with increased hazard for seroconversion ( P = 0.002), even after adjusting for potential differences among their patients. According to Kaplan-Meier estimation, the median interval by which the HCV RNA assay detected HCV infection earlier than anti-HCV testing was 246 and 154 days for EIA-2 and EIA-3, respectively. Detectable HCV RNA and at least 2 consecutive abnormal alanine aminotransferase levels in the preseroconversion period were observed in 29 of 30 (97%) and 14 of 32 patients (44%), respectively. Reductions in HCV RNA levels immediately after seroconversion were transient or did not occur. CONCLUSION: On the grounds of apparent nosocomial transmission, the wide window period of HCV infection in HD patients emphasizes the need for strict adherence to specific infection-control measures in this setting.

Alanine Transaminase↗

PubMed2003

Significance of hepatitis B genotype in acute exacerbation, HBeAg seroconversion, cirrhosis-related complications, and hepatocellular carcinoma.

The pathologic role of hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotype in Chinese patients with HBV infection is largely unknown. We examined the relationship between HBV genotypes, and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion, acute exacerbation, cirrhosis-related complications, and precore/core promoter mutations. Three hundred forty-three HBV patients (288 were asymptomatic, 55 presented with cirrhosis-related complications) were recruited. HBV genotypes and precore/core promoter mutations were determined by line probe assays. Genotypes B and C were the 2 most common genotypes, contributing 28% and 60%, respectively. The median age of HBeAg seroconversion for patients with genotype B was 9 years earlier than patients with genotype C (P =.011). There were no differences in the liver biochemistry, HBV DNA level, and cumulative risk of acute exacerbation (defined as increased alanine aminotransferase level > or =1.5 x upper limit of normal) between patients with genotypes B and C. There was a trend for patients with genotype B to have a higher cumulative rate of HBeAg seroconversion compared with patients with genotype C at the initial follow-up of 6 years (P =.053), but this difference became insignificant during subsequent follow-up. The prevalence of both genotypes was the same in patients with and without cirrhosis-related complications and/or hepatocellular carcinoma. Genotype B was associated with precore mutations (P <.0001), whereas genotype C was associated with core promoter mutations (P <.0001). In conclusion, although patients with genotype B had earlier HBeAg seroconversion, there was no significant reduction in the risk of development of complications. Genotypes B and C are associated with high prevalence of precore and core promoter mutations, respectively.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2005

Seroconversion of Helicobacter pylori in Korean male employees.

OBJECTIVE: Helicobacter pylori infections are acquired primarily during childhood, but also occur in adults. As no published estimates are available on the seroconversion rate of H. pylori in the Korean population, the purpose of this study was to evaluate the incidence and prevalence of H. pylori infection in male Korean employees. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Levels of anti-H. pylori IgG were measured by ELISA, and gastroscopic findings were checked in 588 employees of the Subway Corporation (aged 40-60 years, male) in 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, and 2003. Questionnaire responses concerning socio-economic state, education level, and type of job were analyzed versus serologic test results. RESULTS: Out of the 588 subjects, 455 (77.4%) were positive for anti-H. pylori IgG. Multivariate analysis showed that abnormal gastroscopic findings, especially duodenal ulcers, were more frequent in the H. pylori-positive group (17.6) than in the initially H. pylori-negative group (9.0%) (OR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.07-2.81). Among the multiple questionnaires, only the proportion of white-collar workers was significant; that is, it was lower in the H. pylori-positive group (44/6) than in the initial H. pylori-negative group (57.9%) (OR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.92). Seventeen of 133 subjects (12.8%) who were initially seronegative underwent seroconversion during a 6-year follow-up period, a seroconversion rate of 2.13%/annum. CONCLUSIONS: The seroprevalence of H. pylori infection in this study group was 77.4% and duodenal ulcer was more frequent in H. pylori-positive subjects, thus confirming the relationship between H. pylori infection and duodenal ulcer. Seroconversion of H. pylori infection in the Korean male employees was determined to be 2.13% per year, suggesting that new infections occur continuously even during late adulthood.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Cultures of sexual adventurism as markers of HIV seroconversion: a case control study in a cohort of Sydney gay men.

A case control analysis within an ongoing cohort study was used to examine differences between seroconverters and men who remained HIV-negative. The cases were interviewed within one to 13 months prior to their seroconversion. Their responses to a structured questionnaire were compared with those of HIV-negative controls drawn from the same time period and from the same longitudinal study, Sydney Men and Sexual Health. Data collected from both cases and controls included: demographic and contextual variables, knowledge of HIV transmission, sexual practices, drug and alcohol use and attitudinal factors. The aim was to compare the sexual behaviours, and the social and cultural contexts of such behaviours, of men prior to their HIV seroconversion with men who did not seroconvert. Twenty-three men had seroconverted within the cohort. Cases were identified by a positive HIV antibody test or self-report of positive HIV status following a previous negative HIV test. Three-hundred-and-sixty-nine controls were selected on the basis of being HIV negative at interview in 1994, and having at least one subsequent medically-confirmed negative HIV antibody test. Univariate predictors of seroconversion were: being in a regular relationship with a known HIV-positive partner, drug use, and engaging in a range of anal and esoteric sexual practices. Practices commonly used to enhance sexual pleasure, such as group sex, watching and being watched having sex, the use of sex toys and dressing up/fantasy, were engaged in more frequently by seroconverters. Engaging in these esoteric sexual practices was highly correlated with drug use, involvement in the gay community and engagement in a wide range of anal practices. In the multivariate analysis independent predictors of seroconversion were: younger age; being in a regular relationship with a known HIV-positive partner; believing withdrawal to be safe with regard to HIV transmission; and range of esoteric practices. These results indicate the importance of the social and cultural contexts of particular sexual practices and consequent HIV transmission. Sexually adventurous men may be at increased risk for HIV because they seek sex within particular sexual sub-cultures.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Reverse seroconversion of hepatitis B virus after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation in patients previously positive for hepatitis B surface antibody (HBsAb), so-called reverse seroconversion, has been considered to be a rare complication after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). We experienced two patients who developed reverse seroconversion among nine who were HBsAb positive and Hepatitis B core antibody (HBcAb) positive before HSCT; one after autologous bone marrow transplantation (BMT) and another after allogeneic peripheral blood stem cell transplantation (PBSCT). We reviewed the literature and considered that reverse seroconversion of HBV after HSCT is not uncommon among HBsAb positive recipients. The use of corticosteroids, the lack of HBsAb in donor, and a decrease in serum HBsAb and HBcAb levels may predict reverse seroconversion after HSCT.

Adrenal Cortex Hormones↗

PubMed1999

Association between the rate of CD4+ T cell decrease and the year of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 seroconversion among persons enrolled in the Swiss HIV cohort study.

The aim of this study was to investigate the early CD4+ T cell response among human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) seroconverters in relation to their year of seroconversion. Study participants were enrolled in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study between 1985 and 1995 and had not received antiretroviral treatment. The slope of the CD4+ T cell count within 2 years after seroconversion was significantly associated with the year of seroconversion, by sex and by use of injection drugs, when controlling for initial CD4+ cell count. These results show that the loss of CD4+ cells might be associated with the year of seroconversion, suggesting a change in the pathogenesis of HIV across the years. If these results are confirmed, they could have important implications for the pathogenesis of and therapeutic strategies for HIV-1 infection.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1999

Treatment of human immunodeficiency virus infection with hydroxyurea, didanosine, and a protease inhibitor before seroconversion is associated with normalized immune parameters and limited viral reservoir.

Current treatments for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) require uninterrupted drug administration because they are unable to reconstitute the immune response and do not affect the viral reservoir. Ten patients were treated during acute HIV infection before complete Western blot (WB) seroconversion with the combination of hydroxyurea, didanosine, and indinavir. This treatment was associated with the normalization of some immune parameters and functions. No loss of naive CD4 T lymphocytes was observed, and recovery of up to 35% of naive CD8 T lymphocytes occurred in several weeks. A vigorous HIV-specific T helper response (stimulation index >8) was observed in 7 of 8 patients treated before complete WB seroconversion but in only 1 of 5 controls treated after seroconversion. In addition, a limited latent viral reservoir (<0.02-0.5 infectious units/106 cells) was documented in quiescent peripheral blood lymphocytes after treatment initiated before complete WB seroconversion.

Anti-HIV Agents↗

PubMed2000

Natural history of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 viremia after seroconversion and proximal to AIDS in a large cohort of homosexual men. Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study.

The natural history of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) viremia and its association with clinical outcomes after seroconversion was characterized in a cohort of homosexual men. HIV-1 RNA was measured by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in stored longitudinal plasma samples from 269 seroconverters. Subjects were generally antiretroviral drug naive for the first 3 years after seroconversion. The decline in CD4 lymphocyte counts was strongly associated with initial HIV RNA measurements. Both initial HIV RNA levels and slopes were associated with AIDS-free times. Median slopes were +0.18, +0.09, and -0.01 log10 copies/mL, respectively, for subjects developing AIDS <3, 3-7, and>7 years after seroconversion. In contrast, HIV RNA slopes in the 3 years preceding AIDS and HIV RNA levels at AIDS diagnosis showed little variation according to total AIDS-free time. HIV RNA load at the first HIV-seropositive visit ( approximately 3 months after seroconversion) was highly predictive of AIDS, and subsequent HIV RNA measurements showed even better prognostic discrimination.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2002

The prognostic value of a single hepatitis C virus RNA load measurement taken early after human immunodeficiency virus seroconversion.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA loads are measured sporadically in HCV-positive individuals. However, the prognostic value of these isolated measurements for predicting progression to acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) and all-cause mortality in coinfected individuals remains unclear. In this study, the prognostic value of a single HCV RNA load measurement taken early after human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconversion was investigated in a cohort of 96 male patients with inherited bleeding disorders. Dates of HIV seroconversion had been estimated for all patients, and at least 4 HCV RNA load measurements per patient were done retrospectively after HIV seroconversion. HCV RNA load stabilized at 4 years after HIV seroconversion, and this point was used for analysis. There was a significant correlation between increased age and early HCV RNA load (r=0.25; P=.01). Adjusting for HIV RNA levels, CD4 cell counts, and the age effect, HCV RNA load >5.90 log(10) copies/mL was predictive of progression to AIDS and all-cause mortality over a period of at least 15 years.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2005

Seroconversion following nonoccupational postexposure prophylaxis against HIV.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of antiretroviral postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) against infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) following occupational exposures has prompted the use of PEP after nonoccupational exposures. There are, however, important differences between occupational and nonoccupational exposures, and the effectiveness of PEP following nonoccupational exposure is unknown. We sought to describe the occurrence and circumstances of HIV seroconversion following nonoccupational PEP. METHODS: HIV uninfected individuals reporting potential sexual or injection drug use exposures to HIV in the preceding 72 h received a 28-day regimen of antiretroviral therapy and counseling in a nonrandomized trial. The level of HIV antibody was measured 12 weeks after PEP initiation. RESULTS: Of 877 exposed subjects, 702 were evaluable 12 weeks after exposure. Seroconversion was detected in 7 subjects (1%; 95% confidence interval, 0.4%-2%). Three seroconverters reported having no exposures after PEP initiation and, thus, probably represent evidence of chemoprophylactic failure. In the other 4 subjects, additional exposures to HIV after PEP initiation or detection of HIV RNA in plasma specimens obtained at baseline precluded determination of the source of seroconversion. No exposure source was available to assess genetic concordance with the seroconverter's virus. CONCLUSIONS: As for occupational exposure, PEP is not completely effective in preventing HIV infection following nonoccupational exposure. Therefore, primary prevention remains essential. In contrast to the occupational setting, the potential source of exposure is rarely available for testing in the nonoccupational setting, and exposures are often not isolated. Thus, it is often impossible to determine whether seroconversion resulted from failure of PEP or from other exposures, posing difficulties for future comparative studies seeking to evaluate the effectiveness of PEP.

Anti-HIV Agents↗

PubMed1996

Seroconversion to human herpesvirus 6 and human herpesvirus 7 among Brazilian children with clinical diagnoses of measles or rubella.

We collected acute-phase and convalescent-phase serum samples from Brazilian patients who presented with exanthem of unknown origin and evaluated these samples by means of an immunoblot assay for seroconversion to human herpesvirus 6 (HIV-6) or human herpesvirus 7 (HIV-7). Measles or rubella had been clinically diagnosed in all these patients, but their sera were negative for antibodies to both measles virus and rubella virus. Twenty percent of the patients clearly seroconverted to HHV-6 after manifestation of the exanthem, and 8% seroconverted to HHV-7. All seroconversions to HHV-6 occurred in children aged < or = 5 years; a 41% frequency of seroconversion to HHV-6 was noted among children between 3 months and 23 months of age, whereas seroconversions to HHV-7 were detected during infancy and through adulthood. Our data indicate that primary infections due to HHV-6 or HHV-7 can be misdiagnosed as measles or rubella.

Antibodies, Viral↗

PubMed1997

Sexual risk behavior and risk factors for HIV-1 seroconversion in homosexual men participating in the Tricontinental Seroconverter Study, 1982-1994.

Trends in sexual behavior associated with incident infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 are described and a case-control study was conducted to examine risk factors for HIV seroconversion in homosexual men who became infected with HIV between 1982 and 1994 from four geographic sites: Amsterdam, the Netherlands; San Francisco, California; Vancouver, Canada; and Sydney, Australia. Changes in sexual behaviors were evaluated from cohort visits in the preseroconversion, seroconversion, and postseroconversion intervals and were further examined over three time periods: 1982-1984, 1985-1987, and 1988-1994. In a case-control study, sexual behaviors, substance use, and presence of sexually transmitted disease were compared between 345 HIV-positive cases and 345 seronegative controls matched by visit date and site. Receptive anal intercourse was the sexual behavior most highly associated with seroconversion. The odds ratio (OR) per receptive anal intercourse partner increase was 1.05 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.09). To more carefully examine risk associated with receptive oral intercourse, analyses were done in a subgroup of men who reported no or one receptive anal intercourse partner. The risk (OR) associated with receptive oral intercourse partner increase was 1.05 (95% CI 1.0-1.11). In multivariate conditional logistic regression analyses, presence of sexually transmitted disease (OR = 3.39, 95% CI 1.95-5.91) and amphetamine use (OR = 2.55, 95% CI 1.26-5.15) were independently associated with seroconversion. Although the prevalence of major risk factors has decreased over time, the associations of these behaviors and HIV infection persist, suggesting that these risk behaviors remain important avenues for public health interventions.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

A case-control study of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 seroconversion and risk-related behaviors in the Chicago MACS/CCS Cohort, 1984-1992. Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. Coping and Change Study.

This paper focuses on 76 human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) seroconverters who concurrently participated in the Chicago, Illinois, component of the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) and the Coping and Change Study (CCS) of homosexual/bisexual men between 1984 and 1992. A nested case-control analysis was performed to assess the critical behavioral risk factors associated with incident HIV-1 infection and the consistency of these relations in early (1984-1988) versus later (1989-1992) phases of the study. Univariate results revealed strong early period associations between seroconversion and various measures of receptive anal intercourse (RAI) that became considerably weaker in the study's later period. The weaker associations reflected the overall decline in levels of RAI among the cohort during the 9 years of observation. In contrast, univariate results revealed stronger later period associations between seroconversion and measures of receptive oral intercourse and insertive anal intercourse. Subsequent multivariate testing did not support the hypothesis that receptive oral intercourse and/or insertive anal intercourse have replaced unprotected RAI as important risk behaviours in the homosexual transmission of HIV-1. In conditional logistic regression models combining intercourse measures with indices of drug and condom use, only the latter variables were consistently associated with HIV-1 seroconversion in both early and later study periods. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for nonuse of condoms during RAI were consistently significant throughout the study (ORs = 3.7-4.8), while adjusted odds ratios for recreational drug use variables rose dramatically during the latter half of the study (e.g., for use of cocaine, OR = 81.3 (95% confidence interval 8-824) [corrected], and for use of nitrite "poppers," OR = 9.1 (95% confidence interval 1.8-45.5)). The behavioral intervention applications of these findings, as well as their relation to data from other recent cohort studies of HIV-1 seroconversion among homosexual/bisexual men, are discussed.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed1995

Clinical characteristics and prognostic value of acute retroviral syndrome among injecting drug users. Italian Seroconversion Study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the frequency of acute retroviral syndrome associated with HIV infection among injecting drug users (IDU), and to determine the extent to which acute retroviral syndrome predicts a faster rate of progression to AIDS and immunosuppression in this population. DESIGN: Prospective study of HIV seroconverters (median follow-up, 50.5 months). SETTING: Sixteen clinical centres throughout Italy established to study the natural history of HIV infection. PATIENTS: Three hundred and ninety-one IDU for whom the date of HIV seroconversion was established with a 9-month precision. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES AND METHODS: Incidence of acute retroviral syndrome with signs and symptoms that included fever (temperature > 38 degrees C) occurring within 6 months prior to the time of first positive HIV test, progression to AIDS, crude and adjusted relative hazard of AIDS using survival analysis techniques, and trajectories of CD4+ cell counts using a piece-wise linear regression model incorporating the degree of dependency of within-person measurements. RESULTS: Of 391 HIV seroconverters, 39 (10.0%) were diagnosed with acute retroviral syndrome. During follow-up, 13 seroconverters with acute retroviral syndrome and 24 asymptomatic seroconverters developed AIDS. The Kaplan-Meier estimates for the cumulative AIDS incidence during 4.5 years of follow-up were 26.8 and 6.5%, respectively; the relative hazard of developing AIDS for acute retroviral syndrome was 5.59 (95% confidence interval, 2.79-11.20) after adjustment for age, sex and year of seroconversion. Although CD4+ level within the first year from seroconversion was similar, the rate of CD4+ cell decline after 1 year from seroconversion was faster in individuals with acute retroviral syndrome than in those without this syndrome (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Among HIV-infected IDU, a distinct acute retroviral syndrome is apparent and associated with a faster rate of clinical progression to AIDS and HIV-related immunosuppression.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed1997

AIDS prognosis based on HIV-1 RNA, CD4+ T-cell count and function: markers with reciprocal predictive value over time after seroconversion.

OBJECTIVE: HIV-1 RNA levels in peripheral blood are strongly associated with progression to AIDS, CD4+ T-cell decline, or death. Their predictive value is reportedly independent of the predictive value of CD4+ T-cell counts. Because the interrelations between these parameters of HIV-1 infection are poorly understood, we studied the kinetics and predictive value of serum HIV-1 RNA levels, CD4+ T-cell counts, and T-cell function. DESIGN AND METHODS: HIV RNA levels, CD4+ T-cell counts, and T-cell function were measured from seroconversion to AIDS in 123 homosexual men who seroconverted during a prospective study and were followed over 10 years. RESULTS: Two patterns of median HIV-1 RNA levels were found during infection: a steady-state and a 'U-shaped' curve. Steady-state high RNA levels were related to rapid disease progression. For the U-shaped curve, there were groups with high and low RNA levels related to disease progression. At 1 year after seroconversion, RNA level was the only marker that was strongly predictive. Furthermore, decreasing RNA levels in the first year following seroconversion were related to better prognosis than stable low levels. Low CD4+ T-cell count and T-cell function became predictive of progression to AIDS at 2 and 5 years after seroconversion, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: With ongoing infection, the predictive value of low CD4+ T-cell count and T-cell function increases, whereas the predictive value of high HIV-1 RNA level decreases. These findings reflect the observation that infection with HIV progressively leads towards immune deficiency, which in later stages is most predictive of disease progression.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗