PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “Adverse outcomes”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2005

The use of corticosteroid as treatment in SARS was associated with adverse outcomes: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the effect of corticosteroids in the treatment of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 78 consecutive adult SARS patients admitted to a regional hospital in Hong Kong between March and May 2003 was analysed to study the effectiveness of corticosteroid. They were categorized according to whether or not corticosteroid therapy was given, and compared in terms of demographic characteristics, comorbidities, peak lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels and clinical outcomes. Established adverse prognostic factors including old age, comorbidities and high LDH levels were used as covariates in multiple logistic regressions to adjust for their confounding effect on adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Among 78 patients, 66 patients (84.6%) received corticosteroid. The LDH level was similar in both groups. The corticosteroid group had more adverse outcomes (37.9% vs. 16.7%) despite younger age and less comorbidity. In multivariate analysis, corticosteroid treatment was associated with a 20.7-fold increase in risk of either ICU admission or mortality, independent of age and disease severity. CONCLUSION: Despite more favourable baseline characteristics and similar peak LDH levels, SARS patients given corticosteroid had more adverse outcomes.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Effectiveness of routine reporting to identify minor and serious adverse outcomes in surgical patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of routine reporting to identify surgical adverse outcomes in comparison with retrospective medical record review. DESIGN: Independent assessment of two methods applied to one sample. Surgeons and surgical residents routinely reported all adverse outcomes for patients in their care during admission. A trained research assistant, blinded to the surgeons' reporting data, retrospectively reviewed the medical records of selected patients and registered all adverse outcomes identified from paper or electronic patient records. SETTING: Dutch university hospital. STUDY SAMPLE: A 5% sample of patients (N = 150) discharged in 2002 was taken; oversampling of patients undergoing reoperations, sick patients (ASA >or=3), and those undergoing technically complex surgery was done to increase the yield of adverse outcomes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of adverse outcomes identified by each method was compared with the total number identified by either method. This was done both for all adverse outcomes and for serious adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Routine reporting identified fewer adverse outcomes than medical record review (62.5% v 78.2%). Complete agreement was achieved in only 40.7% of adverse outcomes. Routine reporting identified slightly more serious adverse outcomes (84.8% v 79.5% of the total), but this difference was not statistically significant. Extrapolating these results to the total number of admissions in 2002, routine reporting underestimated the annual adverse outcome incidence by 1.8% (increasing from 14.5% to 16.3%) and the incidence of serious adverse outcomes by 0.3% (increasing from 6.9% to 7.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Neither method identified all adverse outcomes. Routine reporting underestimated the incidence of minor events but was as accurate as record review in identifying serious adverse outcomes.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Adverse outcomes in Belgian acute hospitals: retrospective analysis of the national hospital discharge dataset.

OBJECTIVE: The prevalence and variability of adverse outcome rates in Belgian acute hospitals is examined by using the national hospital discharge database. DESIGN: setting, and participants. Retrospective analysis based on administrative data of all Belgian acute hospitals, covering the full medical (n = 1 024 743) and surgical (n = 633 027) in-patients population for the year 2000. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: For 11 adverse outcomes and failure-to-rescue, the rates and variability among hospitals were studied. The all patient refined diagnostic-related groups (APR-DRG) method was used for risk adjustment. RESULTS: The prevalence of adverse outcomes was 7.12% in the medical and 6.32% in the surgical group. Rates ranged from 6.25 (deep venous thrombosis) to 32.3 (urinary tract infection) outcomes per 1000 discharges in the medical group and from 3.39 (deep venous thrombosis) to 17.6 (urinary tract infection) outcomes per 1000 discharges in the surgical group. The failure-to-rescue rate was 240 and 211 per 1000 discharges, respectively. Except for pressure ulcers and hospital-acquired sepsis, the prevalence of adverse outcomes was significantly higher (P = 0.001) in the medical group. All adverse outcome rates varied substantially among the hospitals surveyed. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies the occurrence of adverse outcomes in a national population. It adds information to the growing body of knowledge in predominantly Anglo-Saxon countries about adverse outcomes. Striking variation exists in the risk-adjusted adverse outcome rates across Belgian acute hospitals, revealing a large potential for quality gains that encourage further action.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Prediction of adverse outcome associated with vaginal misoprostol for labor induction.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of adverse outcome in pregnant women at term receiving 50 microg of intravaginal misoprostol for labor induction. STUDY DESIGN: A prospective observational study was conducted of 720 pregnant women at term with an unfavorable cervix and a medical or obstetric indication for labor induction. All patients received 50 microg of intravaginal misoprostol every 4h up to three doses. The primary outcome measure was "adverse outcome" defined as: neonatal death, fetal acidemia and emergent cesarean delivery performed for non-reassuring fetal heart rate tracings. A stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of adverse outcome. RESULTS: Tachysystole (frequent uterine contractions) (odds ratio (OR), 3.7; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2-10.8) and fetal tachycardia (OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.4-16.2) were determined as significant predictors of adverse outcome. The specificity of the model was 94.2%, whereas the sensitivity was 20.4%. CONCLUSION: In the absence of tachysystole and fetal tachycardia, an uneventful delivery might be expected for women receiving 50 microg of intravaginal misoprostol.

Administration, Intravaginal↗
PubMed1998

Factors associated with elevated rates of adverse outcomes after cyclodestructive procedures versus drainage device procedures.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes after cyclodestructive or drainage device procedures. DESIGN: Retrospective, cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 5570 Medicare patients who were older than 65 years of age and who underwent cyclodestructive or drainage device procedures in 1994 participated. INTERVENTION: The authors identified cyclodestructive and drainage device procedures from claims to the Health Care Finance Administration (HCFA) by International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9) procedure codes, Current Procedural Terminology procedure codes, and HCFA Common Procedural Classification System codes. The authors analyzed adverse outcome rates using hierarchical logistic regression. Race, age group, gender, length of observed follow-up, state in which surgery took place, ocular procedures performed before and at the same time as the index surgery, and ocular diagnosis were included as covariates in the model. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The authors defined an adverse outcome as the occurrence after the index surgery of at least one of the following: repeat cyclodestructive or drainage device procedure, retinal hole-tear repair, retinal detachment repair, surgery for endophthalmitis, vitrectomy, enucleation, evisceration, surgery for ocular hypotony, and/or extrusion or revision of drainage device. Adverse outcomes were also defined without the inclusion of repeat cyclodestructive or drainage device procedures. RESULTS: When repeat cyclodestructive or drainage device procedures were not included in the definition of an adverse outcome, eyes with a drainage device procedure were 3.8 times more likely to have an adverse outcome than eyes with a cyclodestructive procedure (odds ratio [OR], 3.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.07, 4.67). Subjects with concurrent corneal transplant had increased odds of an adverse outcome compared to subjects without a concurrent corneal transplant (OR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.27, 3.15). When the definition of an adverse outcome included repeat cyclodestructive or drainage device procedures, the odds of an adverse outcome were similar for both cyclodestructive and drainage device procedures (OR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.79, 1.13). CONCLUSIONS: Cyclodestructive procedures need to be repeated more frequently than drainage device procedures. However, if the patient has a drainage device procedure, then that patient is more likely to have other types of adverse ophthalmic events than if he or she had a cyclodestructive procedure. Because the average follow-up of subjects in this study is 5 months (range, 0-12 months), outcomes that might take longer to manifest themselves would be excluded from this study.

Aged↗
PubMed2003

Investigating adverse outcomes in obstetrics.

Investigation of adverse outcomes in health care requires a systematic and systemically oriented approach. This is true in obstetrics where, in Western countries such as Canada, adverse outcomes in the form of maternal mortality are rare. A model for such investigation is presented, based on answers to 3 questions: What? How? and Why? These questions correspond to Donabedian's 3 components of quality assurance: Outcome, Process, and Structure, respectively. Aspects of Reason's model of accidents are also included, in the form of "active failures" and "latent conditions." The latter are divided into 5 basic contributory factors, 4 of which are derived from Helmreich's model of human factors influencing behaviour in flight-crew environments. To illustrate its basic nature, the model is applied to a previously well-investigated air crash at Dryden, Ontario, and 3 obstetric cases of maternal mortality. Application of the model to the reactive investigation of close calls is discussed, as is application to the proactive interrogation of the system for the presence and nature of hazards that pose threats to safety.

Canada↗
PubMed1995

A population-based approach to monitoring adverse outcomes of medical care.

A population-based approach to monitoring quality of care combining small-area analysis and outcomes assessment is proposed. While adverse outcomes due to poor surgical technique have long been targeted for quality-of-care review, in this study, giving similar attention to adverse outcomes produced by high rates of interventions is proposed. A population-based approach will strengthen traditional review efforts that currently begin and end at the hospital door. Excluded from these reviews have been questions such as the following: Should the procedure have been performed in the first place? Did the benefits outweigh the risks? Were there other patients not operated on who might have benefited more? Traditional approaches can identify less competent hospitals or practitioners: population-based approaches can identify the surgical enthusiasts who may pose equal risks to the populations of the areas they serve. Applying a population-based approach to review of coronary artery bypass graft surgery for Medicare patients in five cities in the United States demonstrates that at least as many deaths could have been prevented by decreasing surgical rates to the U.S. average as by improving the technical quality of care with which the procedure was performed. A similar population-based analysis of complications (as judged by re-admissions within 30 days of surgery) associated with hysterectomy across regions of Manitoba, Canada, is presented. In summary, negligent acts in the delivery of health care in institutions are rare and are difficult to detect because medicine is an inexact science and because adverse outcomes are more likely in high-risk patients, regardless of the quality of care. However, from a population perspective, adverse events are predictable, occur relatively frequently, and are directly related to the frequency of a population's exposure to surgical intervention. Efforts to improve quality of care could be made more effective by including the rates at which populations are exposed to treatments and the technical quality of care delivered.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Annual predictions of adverse outcomes after glaucoma surgery in the United States.

PURPOSE: To predict the number of adverse outcomes or additional ocular surgeries after glaucoma surgery in each year from 1990 to 1994 with ordinary and hierarchical logistic regression models developed with 1989 Medicare data. METHODS: We obtained data on all intraocular and laser glaucoma surgery claims (for example, laser trabeculoplasty, full-thickness and partial-thickness procedures, and cycloablation) to the Health Care Finance Administration (HCFA) in 1989 and developed an ordinary (non-hierarchical) logistic regression model and two hierarchical logistic regression models. The two hierarchical models smoothed state-level effects to different degrees in an effort to improve the precision of model predictions. RESULTS: The hierarchical logistic regression models predicted the number of adverse outcomes or additional ocular surgeries, including repeat glaucoma surgery, from 1990 to 1994 significantly better than the ordinary model. None of the models predicted the downward trend in adverse outcomes in 1990 and 1992, although all three models were able to predict the increase in adverse outcomes in 1991 and the downward trend in adverse outcomes in 1993 and 1994. CONCLUSION: Although systematic changes over time in physician practice or billing patterns affected the ability of both ordinary and hierarchical regression models to predict the number of adverse outcomes in 1990 and 1992, hierarchical logistic regression provides a useful framework for analyzing adverse event rates when the model contains many covariates with imprecisely estimated coefficients. The greater accuracy of predicted adverse event rates from ophthalmic surgeries obtained with hierarchical logistic regression will be useful for future planning and budgeting purposes.

Aged↗
PubMed2003

Predicting adverse outcomes in a diagnosis-based protocol system for rapid sequence intubation.

Our ED at Louisiana State University developed a unique approach to airway management by having four diagnosis-based protocols for rapid sequence intubation (RSI). This study examines protocol use and outcome from RSI in an academic ED. The study objective was to identify variables that are predictive of adverse outcomes in patients requiring RSI. This was a 4-year prospective, observational, data-gathering study of all intubations in an academic ED setting with >250,000 patient visits per year. Four protocols were established for 1) children <10 years of age, 2) adults with increased intracranial pressure, 3) adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma, and 4) other adults not fitting B or C. A special continuing quality improvement (CQI) committee was established to examine each case of RSI. Prospective data were collected, including age, race, gender, protocol, diagnostic group, intubation indication, and preintubation oxygen saturation. Diagnostic group was categorized as medical, blunt trauma, or penetrating trauma. Adverse outcome was defined as any case with hemodynamic changes, those requiring surgical or bronchoscopic intervention, and those requiring more than three attempts at intubation. Data were analyzed using univariate analysis, logistic regression, and a binomial regression tree analysis with SPSS 9.0 (Chicago, IL) and Answer Tree (SPSS). A total of 1,320 consecutive intubated patients were included. Protocol A was used in 4%, B in 43%, C in 15%, and D in 38%. Significant differences in number of cases with adverse outcome were based on protocol (P =.03) and final diagnosis (P <.03). Protocol C was less likely to be associated with adverse outcome than protocol D (odds ratio [OR] = 0.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.1-0.7). Penetrating trauma was more likely to be associated with adverse outcome (OR = 1.8, 95%, CI = 1.1-3.2) than blunt trauma. A regression tree analysis yielded the following, all cases using protocol A or C or medical cases using B had an adverse event in 11 of 458 (2.4%), whereas nonmedical cases using protocols B or D and medical cases using D had adverse outcomes in 73 of 862 cases (8.5%). The decision rules lead to a better classification of cases with adverse outcomes (2.4 vs 8.5%, of = 6.1%, 95% CI = 3.7-8.4). Adult trauma patients who fit the protocols B or D or adult medical patients who fit protocol B were at higher risk for adverse outcomes with RSI. This could alert the physician to a population at higher risk for adverse outcomes. Variables available in a diagnosis-based protocol RSI system can be used to predict adverse outcome among patients requiring RSI.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1996

Angioscopic predictors of early adverse outcome after coronary angioplasty in patients with unstable angina and non-Q-wave myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Clinical and angiographic criteria have a limited ability to predict adverse outcome in patients with unstable angina who are undergoing percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA). We investigated whether the use of angioscopy can improve prediction of early adverse outcome after PTCA. METHODS AND RESULTS: Angioscopic characterization of the culprit lesion was performed before PTCA in 32 patients with unstable angina and 10 with non-Q-wave infarction. Seven patients (17%) had an adverse outcome (myocardial infarction, repeat PTCA, or need for coronary artery bypass graft surgery) within 24 hours after PTCA. Six of 18 patients with a yellow culprit lesion had an adverse outcome compared with 1 of 24 in whom the culprit lesion was white (P = .03). Six of 20 patients with plaque disruption suffered an adverse outcome compared with 1 of 22 with nondisrupted plaques (P = .04). Six of 17 patients with intraluminal thrombus had an adverse outcome, whereas only 1 of 25 patients without thrombus suffered an adverse outcome (P = .01). Yellow color, disruption, and thrombus at the culprit lesion site were associated with an eightfold increase in risk of adverse outcome after PTCA. The prediction of PTCA outcome based on characteristics of the plaque that were identifiable by angioscopy was superior to that estimated by the use of angiographic variables. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with unstable angina and non-Q-wave infarction, angioscopic features of disruption, yellow color, or thrombus at the culprit lesion site can identify patients at high risk of early adverse outcome after PTCA. Angioscopy was superior to angiography for prediction of PTCA outcome.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Adverse outcomes and opioid analgesic administration in acute abdominal pain.

UNLABELLED: To the authors' knowledge, no outcome-based, randomized clinical trial of the safety of opioid analgesics in acute abdominal pain exists. OBJECTIVES: 1) To assess the feasibility of a randomized clinical trial of opioid safety by estimating the adverse outcome rate among patients with abdominal pain severe enough to necessitate opioid analgesics. 2) To explore the association of opioid administration with adverse outcomes in acute abdominal pain. METHODS: The authors conducted a prospective observational study of emergency department (ED) abdominal pain patients, and followed them by telephone at three weeks to determine whether an adverse outcome occurred (defined as obstruction, perforation, ischemia, hemorrhage, peritonitis, sepsis, or death). A logistic regression of factors predicting adverse outcome was performed. RESULTS: Adverse outcomes occurred in 67 of 860 abdominal pain patients (7.8%, 95% CI = 6.1% to 9.8%), and 252 of 860 (29%) received opioids. The adverse outcome rate was 12.7% (95% CI = 9.0% to 17.0%) among patients who received opioids. Variables predictive of adverse outcome in logistic regression included: ED diagnosis of adverse outcome (OR 12.4), age (OR 1.6 per decade), fever (OR 4.6), received opioids (OR 2.1), pain duration (OR 1.5 per day), and leukocytosis (OR 2.0). CONCLUSIONS: A clinical trial would need to randomize more than 1,500 patients to establish the equivalent adverse outcome rates of opioids and placebo: the sample size of all existing studies combined is insufficient to make such a conclusion. Although opioids were associated with a higher adverse outcome rate in this logistic regression, the authors believe this may be due to confounding by pain severity. They emphasize that the study's design precludes conclusion of a causal link. No change in clinical practice is warranted. A randomized clinical trial of sufficient size to definitively resolve this issue is needed.

Abdominal Pain↗
PubMed2000

Predicting adverse outcome in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a risk score.

Reliable prediction of adverse outcomes in acute pulmonary embolism may help choose between in-hospital and ambulatory treatment. We aimed to identify predictors of adverse events in patients with pulmonary embolism and to generate a simple risk score for use in clinical settings. We prospectively followed 296 consecutive patients with pulmonary embolism admitted through the emergency ward. Logistic regression was used to predict death, recurrent thromboembolic event, or major bleeding at 3 months. Thirty patients (10.1%) had one or more adverse events during the 3-month follow-up period: 25 patients (8.4%) died, thromboembolic events recurred in 10 patients (3.4%), and major bleeding occurred in 5 patients (1.7%). Factors associated with an adverse outcome in multivariate analysis were cancer, heart failure, previous deep vein thrombosis, systolic blood pressure <100 mmHg, arterial PaO2 <8 kPa, and presence of deep vein thrombosis on ultrasound. A risk score was calculated by adding 2 points for cancer and hypotension, and 1 point each for the other predictors. A score of 2 best identified patients at risk of an adverse outcome in a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Of 180 low-risk patients (67.2%) (score < or =2), only 4 experienced an adverse outcome (2.2%), compared to 23 (26.1%) of 88 high-risk patients (score > or =3). A simple risk score based on easily available variables can accurately identify patients with pulmonary embolism at low risk of an adverse outcome. Such a score may be useful for selecting patients with pulmonary embolism eligible for outpatient care.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for major adverse outcomes in coronary bypass grafting.

In this study, we develop and internally validate a clinical prediction rule for in-hospital major adverse outcomes, defined as death, renal failure, reinfarction, cardiac arrest, cerebrovascular accident, or coma, in patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). All adult patients (n = 9,498) who underwent a CABG and no other concomitant surgery at 12 academic medical centers from August 1993 to October 1995 were included in the study. We assessed in-hospital major adverse outcomes and their predictors using information on admission, coronary angiography, and postoperative hospital course. Predictor variables were limited to information available before the procedure, and outcome variables were represented only by events that occurred postoperatively. We developed and internally validated a clinical prediction rule for any major adverse outcome after CABG. The rule's ability to discriminate outcomes and its calibration were assessed using receiver-operating characteristic analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit statistic, respectively. A major adverse outcome occurred in 6.5% of patients in the derivation set and 7.2% in the validation set. Death occurred in 2.5% of patients in the derivation set and 2.2% in the validation set. Sixteen variables were independently correlated with major adverse outcomes, with the risk score value attributed to each risk factor ranging from 2 to 12 points. The rule stratified patients into 6 levels of risk based on the total risk score. The spread in probability between the lowest and highest risk groups of having a major adverse outcome was 1.7% to 32.3% in the derivation set and 2.2% to 22.3% in the validation set. The prediction model performed well in both outcome discrimination and calibration. Thus, this clinical prediction rule allows accurate stratification of potential CABG candidates before surgery according to the risk of experiencing a major adverse outcome postoperatively.

Aged↗
PubMed1997

Adverse outcomes of managed care gatekeeping.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether telephone preauthorization for reimbursement of ED care (medical "gate-keeping") by managed care organizations (MCOs) is associated with adverse outcomes. METHODS: A structured review was performed of case reports solicited during 1994 and 1995 with possible adverse outcomes related to managed care gatekeeping. Gatekeeping was defined as the requirement imposed by an MCO that ED staff contact on-call gatekeepers (i.e., clinical or nonclinical MCO personnel) to request preauthorization for ED treatment (a requirement that such MCOs enforce by refusing payment for the ED care unless preauthorization is obtained). Cases in which gatekeeper denial of preauthorization occurred were sought. Two physicians agreed on patient eligibility and classification criteria, then independently, retrospectively classified case reports identified as MCO ED payment denials into 1 of 4 categories: 1) adverse outcome; 2) patient placed at increased risk of death or disability; 3) "near miss" (emergency physicians prevented adverse outcome by caring for patient despite denial); and 4) none of the above. RESULTS: Of the 143 cases reviewed, 29 reports represented MCO ED payment denial. Of these 29 eligible cases, there were 4 (14%) patients with adverse outcomes, 4 (14%) patients placed at increased risk, and 21 (72%) near misses. All of the 29 cases came from different EDs, representing 9 different states, with the majority from California. Adverse outcomes included respiratory failure from fulminant meningococcemia, hypovolemic syncope from ruptured ectopic pregnancy, hypovolemic arrest from vascular fibroid hemorrhage necessitating emergency hysterectomy, and prolonged postoperative course following ruptured duodenal ulcer. Patients placed at increased risk were diagnosed as having epiglottitis, myocardial infarction, ruptured ectopic pregnancy, and delayed treatment of hip septic arthritis. Near misses included diagnoses of ectopic pregnancy (n = 2), pneumothorax (n = 2), alcohol withdrawal seizures and pancreatitis necessitating intensive care unit admission, appendicitis, bacterial meningitis, cerebrovascular accident, cryptococal meningitis in immuno comprised host, endocarditis, incarerated inguinal hernia, meningocococemia, meninoccocal meningitis, peritonsillar abscess, pneumococcal meningitis, ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm, shock from gastrointestinal bleeding, small bowel obstruction, schizophrenic crisis resulting in psychiatric hospitalization, suicidal depression resulting in psychiatric hospitalization, and unstable angina. CONCLUSION: Adverse outcomes occur with MCO gatekeeping, Although the present study cannot ascertain whether this is a frequent event or a rare one, the safety of MCO gatekeeping deserves further study.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2003

Is the female gender an independent predictor of adverse outcome after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting?

BACKGROUND: The female gender is an independent predictor of adverse outcome after conventional coronary artery bypass grafting using cardiopulmonary bypass. The aim of this study is to assess the effect of the female gender on the outcome after off-pump coronary artery bypass (OPCAB) surgery. METHODS: This study is a retrospective review of 413 consecutive patients (181 women and 232 men) who underwent OPCAB between January 1999 and May 2001. Adverse outcomes were divided into minor adverse outcomes (MINAO), major adverse outcomes (MAJAO), and prolonged length of stay (PLOS) more than 7 days. MINAO included atrial fibrillation, respiratory complications except adult respiratory distress syndrome, and any wound infection except mediastinitis. MAJAO included stroke, myocardial infarction, renal failure, adult respiratory distress syndrome, mediastinitis, low cardiac output, mechanical ventilation more than 24 hours, intensive therapy unit stay more than 24 hours, gastrointestinal complications, cardiorespiratory arrest, and mortality within 30 days. Preoperative and intraoperative variables were evaluated as predictors of MINAO, MAJAO, and PLOS by univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The groups were matched for age and Parsonnet score-predicted mortality. However, the women had a higher incidence of chronic obstructive airway disease (p = 0.04), diabetes (p = 0.01), obesity (p = 0.000), peripheral vascular disease (p = 0.000), hypertension (p = 0.000), unstable angina (p = 0.005), history of previous failed nonsurgical intervention (p = 0.02), and nonelective operation (p = 0.000). There were a fewer number of grafts performed in the female group (2.8 vs 3.4, p = 0.000), with the circumflex territory being revascularised less frequently (p = 0.001). Univariate analysis identified the female gender to be a predictor of only MINAO (p = 0.001) and PLOS (p = 0.000). However, with multivariate analysis, female gender was not found to be an independent predictor of MINAO, MAJAO, or PLOS. CONCLUSIONS: In OPCAB, the female gender is not an independent predictor of MINAO, MAJAO, or PLOS.

Coronary Artery Bypass↗
PubMed2004

Diagnostic characteristics of pulpal blood flow levels associated with adverse outcomes of luxated permanent maxillary incisors.

Laser Doppler flowmetry (LDF) is a non-invasive method to assess pulpal blood flow (PBF). Dental injury has been associated with significant PBF reduction. The purpose of this study was (i) to describe PBF characteristics of teeth with specific clinical outcomes, and (ii) to demonstrate diagnostic characteristics for different threshold PBF values for detection of specific multiple adverse outcomes. In 80 trauma patients, a single maxillary incisor treated by repositioning and splinting, and the respective contralateral homologous control tooth were investigated by LDF to assess local PBF values. Perfusion units (PU) were taken in two sessions, on the day of splint removal (session I), and 12 weeks after splint removal (session II). The ability of session II-related PBF measurements at 2.9, 6.4 and 9.9 PU levels to identify adverse outcomes occurring 36 weeks after splint removal was investigated. Adverse outcomes were classified as type I (loss of sensitivity), type II (periapical radiolucency), type III (grey discolouration), type IV (loss of sensitivity and periapical radiolucency), and type V (loss of sensitivity, periapical radiolucency and grey discolouration of crown). Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of PBF assessments. There was a significant increase in PBF values from session I to session II (P=0.0001) for teeth without an adverse outcome, while teeth affected by a type II-V outcome showed a significant decrease in PBF values (P <0.05). PBF measurements did not change over time for the contralateral incisors (P >0.05). A type IV and V outcome occurred in 21 and 24% of the instances, respectively. The PBF of 2.9 PU demonstrated a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 93% for type V outcomes. The best likelihood ratio was found for the PBF 2.9 PU level and incisors associated with a type V outcome. The data suggest that the LDF test to be a valuable diagnostic adjunct for luxated teeth showing signs of adverse outcomes including grey discolouration or a combination of other signs. However, it may also become necessary to apply clinical decision-making methods in order to correctly evaluate the value of information gathered. The clinical implication is that LDF may become useful in the prediction of adverse outcomes at a much earlier time period than may be accomplished by standard sensitivity tests.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1992

Multicenter study of general anesthesia. III. Predictors of severe perioperative adverse outcomes.

Little information is available about the incidence of severe adverse outcomes, and even less information is available about the identification and quantification of independent predictors of severe perioperative adverse outcomes. The purpose of this study was to identify and quantitate independent predictors of severe perioperative adverse outcomes in a prospective randomized clinical trial of general anesthesia in 17,201 patients. Twenty-nine prognostic variables for 15 severe outcomes in 847 patients were tested by multiple stepwise logistic regressions from which 20 significant (P less than 0.05) predictors were identified. A history of cardiac failure or myocardial infarction less than or equal to 1 yr; ASA physical status 3 or 4; age greater than 50 yr; cardiovascular, thoracic, abdominal or neurologic surgery; and the study anesthetics were significant predictors of "any severe outcome, including death." There were 17 significant predictors for 10 severe cardiovascular outcomes in 608 patients, including a history of ventricular arrhythmia, hypertension, cardiac failure, myocardial ischemia, myocardial infarction less than or equal to 1 yr or myocardial infarction greater than 1 yr, and smoking; ASA physical status; age; cardiovascular, thoracic, abdominal, eyes-ears-nose-throat/endocrine, neurologic, musculoskeletal, or gynecologic surgery; and the study anesthetics. There were 9 significant predictors for 4 severe respiratory outcomes in 163 patients, including a history of cardiac failure, myocardial ischemia, or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; obesity; smoking; male gender; ASA physical status; abdominal surgery; and the study anesthetics. Colinearity between related prognostic variables (such as disease and ASA physical status) was assessed using progressively segregated groups of variables in eight stepwise logistic regressions. We conclude that the comprehensive stepwise logistic regression of 29 prognostic variables reported here provides a valid estimate of the risks of severe perioperative outcomes associated with general anesthesia.

Anesthesia, General↗