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Results for “Bayesian optimization”

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PubMed2026

SNP genotyping in Pseudotsuga menziesii and Pinus radiata using targeted genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS): improved Bayesian SNP calling using a beta-binomial distribution and other optimized input parameters.

BACKGROUND: Single-nucleotide polymorphism markers (SNPs) have important applications in gene conservation, breeding, and fundamental genetics research. Our long-term goal is to develop routine approaches for SNP genotyping in forest trees. Ideally, these approaches would be inexpensive, able to accommodate a wide range of samples and SNPs, available through commercial providers, and produce high-quality SNP data. RESULTS: Using targeted genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS), we developed SNP assays for two highly heterozygous tree species, Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) and radiata pine (Pinus radiata). Using Douglas-fir haploid and diploid data, we optimized Bayesian SNP calling by testing four input parameters: (1) allele and genotype prior probabilities, (2) Rho, the beta-binomial dispersion parameter, (3) estimated read error (BayesReadError), and (4) the logPO cutoff used to filter low confidence SNP calls. logPO is the Bayesian posterior odds ratio for a called SNP. Compared to assuming a binomial distribution of read counts (Rho = 0), the beta-binomial distribution (Rho = 0.33) substantially reduced call error and heterozygote undercalling. Compared to the other Bayesian parameters, genotype priors had little effect on genotyping success. For Douglas-fir, we tested 5,360 SNP assays, and then studied the performance of the best 4,000. For radiata pine, we tested 6,000 SNP assays, and then studied the performance of the best 4,570. In Douglas-fir and radiata pine, our Bayesian approach resulted in median call rates of 95% to 98% for the top-ranked SNPs, with an estimated call error of 1.60% for known homozygous genotypes and 2.27% for known heterozygotes. In radiata pine, median and mean call rates were above 91% for GBS and SNP genotyping using an Axiom fixed genotyping array. Additionally, the median correspondence between the GBS and Axiom genotypes was about 98% overall (mean 96%). CONCLUSIONS: By optimizing Bayesian SNP calling, selecting the best 4-5 K SNPs, and excluding samples with low DNA amounts, we substantially reduced call error and heterozygote undercalling, resulting in SNP genotypes that were nearly identical to genotypes obtained using the Axiom array. Furthermore, genotyping performance should increase even further if our SNP rankings were used to develop less complex probe pools that target fewer SNPs.

Pinus↗

PubMed2026

Non-destructive prediction of lead content in oilseed rape leaves by fluorescence hyperspectral technology based on neural network.

Based on fluorescence hyperspectral imaging (FHSI), this study targeted rapid, non-destructive quantification of lead (Pb) content in oilseed rape leaves treated with varying silicon (Si) concentrations, acquiring fluorescence spectra over the 484.43-1001.61 nm wavelength range. To optimize spectral data quality, preprocessing methods (Savitzky-Golay smoothing, first derivative, detrending) were comprehensively compared. Characteristic wavelengths were then selected via interval variable iterative shrinkage, which effectively compressed data dimensionality and reduced computational load. A hybrid SE-CL1DA model, fusing a 1D convolutional neural network, a long short-term memory network and SE attention mechanism was constructed, with Bayesian optimization tuning hyperparameters to boost stability. The BO-SE-CL1DA outperformed both traditional machine learning and insufficiently optimized deep learning model (Rp2=0.9609, RMSE = 0.0377 mg/kg, RPD = 5.1736), thus enabling accurate Pb estimation, supporting Si-regulated heavy metal stress management and facilitating agricultural contamination monitoring.

Plant Leaves↗

PubMed2025

Diagnosing the undiagnosed: AI-enhanced multimodal modeling for placental mesenchymal dysplasia in high-risk pregnancies.

Placental mesenchymal dysplasia (PMD) is a rare vascular placental disorder that mimics molar pregnancy but often coexists with a viable fetus, making its misdiagnosis potentially devastating. In high-risk pregnancies, artificial intelligence (AI)-enhanced multimodal modeling - incorporating imaging, genomics, proteomics, and clinical features - offers a transformative diagnostic strategy. Leveraging Bayesian hyperparameter optimization for model refinement, this approach improves diagnostic accuracy while reducing uncertainty and clinician hesitation. Recent clinical studies support its efficacy and interpretability through SHAP and LIME models, while real-time surgical enhancements using Bayesian methods highlight its broader clinical utility. Despite current challenges such as data heterogeneity and integration barriers, multimodal AI provides unprecedented resolution in placental analysis, enabling precise differentiation between PMD and similar fetopathies. Ultimately, this advancement supports timely, non-invasive diagnosis, personalized management, and emotionally informed decision-making aligned with ethical AI implementation standards.

Bayesian optimization↗

PubMed2025

MRDtarget: A heuristic Gaussian approach for optimizing targeted capture regions to enhance Minimal Residual Disease detection.

Molecular residual disease (MRD) detection, initially developed for hematologic malignancies, has become a critical biomarker for monitoring solid tumors. MRD detection primarily relies on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis using next-generation sequencing, offering high sensitivity and broad genomic coverage. However, challenges remain in designing cost-effective panels that maximize mutation detection while maintaining biological relevance. Fixed panels often lack sufficient patient-specific mutation coverage, while WES-based personalized MRD assays, despite their high sensitivity, are costly and less accessible. We developed a tumor comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP)-informed personalized MRD assay to detect tumor-derived mutations, which allowed us to design patient-specific personalized panels and meanwhile, provide a cost-effective alternative to whole exome sequencing (WES). To address these limitations, we developed MRDtarget, a heuristic multivariate Gaussian model-based targeted capture region selection method. By expanding beyond traditional hotspot regions, MRDtarget optimizes variant tracking for MRD detection, significantly improving sensitivity. Using a Bayesian inference-based heuristic approach, MRDtarget integrates multi-feature informativeness rates to identify optimal genomic regions for capture. Experimental results demonstrate that MRDtarget enables the detection of more variants per patient. This study underscores the importance of rational panel design to improve MRD sensitivity and provides a novel approach to enhance precision diagnostics and treatment for solid tumor patients.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Novel insights into tomato leaf curl New Delhi virus introduction and evolution in Southeastern France using an advanced long-read sequencing workflow.

The Mediterranean population of tomato leaf curl New Delhi virus (ToLCNDV-ES) is characterized by a high genetic uniformity, distinguishing it from its Asian counterparts. ToLCNDV-ES is thought to have a monophyletic origin, likely resulting from a single recombination event, prior to its spread throughout the Mediterranean region. Following its first detection in southeastern France in 2020, ToLCNDV-ES re-emerged in France in 2022. Our analysis based on advanced long-read sequencing, circular DNA profiling, and phylogeny indicates both local persistence of French ToLCNDV-ES and multiple independent introduction events. Signatures of positive selection were identified in French ToLCNDV-ES populations, whereas no clear evidence of recombination was found. Bayesian time-structured phylogenetic analyses suggest that introductions in France occurred between 2018 and 2021 from the major ToLCNDV-ES clade, while several Italian ToLCNDV-ES isolates diverged prior to the virus introduction in the Mediterranean basin. Overall, this study demonstrates the value of an optimized long-read sequencing approach for resolving circular DNA virus diversity, and sheds light on the complex evolutionary history of ToLCNDV-ES in the Mediterranean Basin, particularly in southeastern France.

France↗

PubMed2026

Molecular targeted therapy in combination with chemotherapy for the treatment of platinum-resistant/refractory ovarian cancer (PROC): a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although single-agent chemotherapy is the most common approach for treating platinum-resistant or refractory ovarian cancer (PROC), there is growing evidence that combining molecular targeted agents with chemotherapy is beneficial, especially for certain patient groups. However, the most effective combination regimen remains elusive. OBJECTIVES: This Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) aims to identify the best combination therapy for PROC. METHODS: Relevant studies were searched in PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from their inception until October 2024. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and adverse events (AEs). Statistical analyses were performed using the GEMTC package (1.0-2) and R 4.2.0. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023428414). RESULTS: Our analysis of 22 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) (n = 3408) demonstrated that chemotherapy combinations with bevacizumab (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.52-0.65), sorafenib (HR = 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.45-0.93) or adavosertib (HR = 0.56, 95%CI: 0.35-0.90) significantly improved OS and PFS versus chemotherapy alone. Notably, adavosertib + gemcitabine was associated with an increased risk of grade 3-4 AEs (relative risk (RR) = 1.8, 95%CI: 1.3-2.7), but these were generally manageable. CONCLUSIONS: Bevacizumab-based combinations demonstrate consistent benefits across multiple regimens for PROC. Paclitaxel + bevacizumab emerges as the optimal balance of efficacy and safety. Topotecan + sorafenib could be an alternative for patients who are ineligible for anti-angiogenic therapy.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Multi-omics analysis identifies key genes and functional loci affecting teat number in American Large White and Landrace pigs and their application in optimizing genomic selection models.

BACKGROUND: Teat number is a crucial economic trait in pigs. It directly affects the ability of sows to lactate, which in turn influences the survival and health of piglets. The teat number of French Large White pigs is close to 16, while the teat number of American Large White and Landrace pigs is about 14. In order to improve the teat number of American Landrace and Large White pigs through molecular approaches and precise breeding techniques, we genotyped 2,131 American Landrace and 4,564 American Large White with teat number phenotype using a 50 K SNP chip. Then, the SNP-chip data was imputed to the level of whole-genome sequencing (iWGS). Based on iWGS data, we conducted GWAS to identify novel, significant SNPs associated with teat number and to incorporate them into genomic selection. RESULTS: In Landrace pigs, significant SNPs for TTN mapped to SSC2, SSC7, SSC8, and SSC14; the SSC8 and SSC14 effects are novel. LTN mapped to SSC7, RTN to SSC7 and SSC8. The lead SSC7 SNP explained 2.60% of TTN phenotypic variance. In Large White pigs, significant SNPs were detected on SSC7 and SSC10 for TTN; SSC7, SSC10, and SSC12 for LTN; and SSC7 and SSC10 for RTN. The most significant locus on SSC7 accounted for 2.99% of the phenotypic variance in TTN. Additionally, a multi-population meta-analysis detected significant novel SNPs for LTN on SSC1 and SSC8. By utilizing Bayesian fine mapping, the most precise QTL confidence interval on SSC7 for both TTN and RTN in Large White pigs was reduced to 40 kb. By integrating functional gene annotation with RNA-seq and ATAC-seq data from Erhualian and Bamaxiang pigs mammary placodes at embryonic day 26, we prioritized PTPN13, TRPV3, ZDHHC13, and BRD2 as novel candidate genes for teat number. We then incorporated the significant SNPs to GBLUP and benchmarked genomic-selection accuracy. In both breeds, fitting the top SNP as fixed maximized prediction for TTN and RTN, whereas treating all significant loci as an additional random effect optimized LTN. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide a theoretical basis for dissecting new key genes affecting teat number and for advancing molecular breeding of teat number in pigs.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

Predictive evolutionary genomics: principles, validation, and practice.

Climate change and habitat loss are driving rapid evolutionary responses in populations world-wide, which creates an urgent need for evolutionary forecasting in conservation and agriculture. Such forecasting can be categorized into three time scales: trait-based models that use multivariate quantitative genetic equations to project correlated phenotypic responses up to c. 20 generations, allele-based analyses that model allele frequency dynamics up to 100 generations, and composite adaptation scores that aggregate many small effects to yield predictions across longer horizons. However, these approaches have remained largely disconnected. Here, we present a Bayesian framework that integrates these three complementary approaches for evolutionary prediction. Our framework combines genomic, phenotypic, and environmental data to yield probabilistic predictions with explicit uncertainty. We show how predictive evolutionary forecasts can be validated with experimental evolution, field experimentation, historical specimens, and reciprocal transplants. These validated forecasts can help advance conservation and agricultural programmes by helping predict which populations are at risk of future extinction, optimizing breeding programmes for future climates, and planning ecosystem management under environmental change. By supporting a shift towards more predictive approaches in evolutionary biology, this framework may help improve our ability to manage biodiversity and food security in a changing world.

Genomics↗

PubMed2026

Optimal dose and exercise modality to improve HbA1c in older adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review with pairwise, network, and dose-response meta-analyses.

We aimed to compare exercise modalities and evaluate dose-response relationships with glycemic control including continuous aerobic exercise (CAE), resistance training (RT), combined exercise (CE), mind-body exercise (MBE), and high-intensity interval training (HIIT) in older adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Three databases were searched for randomized controlled trials of exercise interventions in older adults with T2DM reporting glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). Pairwise, Bayesian network, and dose-response meta-analyses were conducted. Compared with control, HIIT demonstrated the largest estimated reduction (MD = -0.95%; 95% CrI -1.45, -0.49), followed by CE (MD = -0.59%; 95% CrI -0.93, -0.25), CAE (MD = -0.46%; 95% CrI -0.69, -0.24), MBE (MD = -0.42%; 95% CrI -0.76, -0.10), and RT (MD = -0.29%; 95% CrI -0.51, -0.08). Dose-response network meta-analyses suggested a non-linear association between overall exercise dose and HbA1c reduction, with maximal estimated benefits at approximately 704 METs-min/week with the 95% CrI excluding zero between 241 and 920 METs-min/week. HIIT demonstrated the steepest estimated dose-response relationship, but with wider credible intervals. Other exercise modalities showed more gradual dose-response patterns across their estimated effective ranges. Our findings suggest that exercise prescription for older adults with T2DM should be individualized according to exercise modality, dose, and health status.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Insights Into the Structural Features, Codon Usage Patterns, and Phylogenetic Analysis in Neoniphon argenteus (Teleostei: Holocentriformes) Based on Complete Mitochondrial Genome.

Neoniphon argenteus, a widely distributed nocturnal coral reef fish in the family Holocentridae, plays an important role in maintaining coral reef ecosystem health, yet its phylogenetic position remains poorly resolved. To bridge this gap, we sequenced and analyzed the complete mitochondrial genome of a specimen from the South China Sea to characterize its structural features, codon usage patterns, and phylogenetic relationships. The 16,569 bp mitogenome (GenBank: PP190474.1) encodes 13 protein-coding genes (PCGs), 22 tRNAs, two rRNAs, and two non-coding regions, exhibiting a distinct A + T bias. All tRNAs fold into typical cloverleaf secondary structures except tRNA-Ser (AGN), which lacks the dihydrouridine (DHU) arm. The control region contains palindromic motifs (TACAT/ATGTA) capable of forming hairpin structures and five conserved sequence blocks, whereas the OL region harbors a conserved 5'-GCCGG-3' motif. RSCU analysis revealed 31 frequently used codons (RSCU > 1) with a pronounced preference for A/C-ending codons. The ΔRSCU method identified 10 candidate optimal codons (GCA, CAA, GAA, GGA, AUU, CUA, CCA, CGA, ACA, and GUC). Selection pressure analysis using EasyCodeML and site-specific models indicated that all PCGs are predominantly under purifying selection, with no significant evidence of pervasive positive selection. ND6 exhibited elevated pairwise Ka/Ks ratios (mean = 1.209 ± 0.047), consistent with reduced selective constraint rather than adaptive evolution. Phylogenetic analysis of 19 Holocentriformes species using maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference with partitioned models based on 13 PCGs and two rRNA genes (12S and 16S) assigned all taxa to two well-supported subfamilies (Holocentrinae and Myripristinae). Within Holocentrinae, Neoniphon species form a monophyletic clade nested within a paraphyletic Sargocentron, suggesting that the genus Sargocentron as currently defined is not monophyletic. This study provides useful baseline molecular data for further exploration of the evolutionary history of N. argenteus and other members of Holocentriformes.

Holocentridae↗

PubMed2025

Parallel algorithms for phylogenetic inference under a structured coalescent approximation.

While advances in molecular epidemiology and computational modeling have enhanced our capacity to track pathogen evolution, the accurate reconstruction of spatiotemporal transmission dynamics remains essential for developing epidemic preparedness frameworks and implementing outbreak response measures. Structured coalescent models offer a phylogeographic framework by restricting lineage coalescence events to geographically proximate host populations. Although the Bayesian structured coalescent approximation (BASTA) provides a tractable approach, contemporary phylogeographic analyses involving dozens of geographic localities and hundreds to thousands of viral genomes substantially exceed the computational capacity of existing implementations. The BASTA likelihood scales cubically with deme count and quadratically with sequence count due to matrix exponentiation and pairwise coalescent probability calculations. Here, we introduce a comprehensive algorithmic restructuring of the structured coalescent likelihood that eliminates redundancies, optimizes memory access, and exposes parallelization opportunities. Our approach reorganizes computations along three dimensions: (i) independent calculation of deme-transition probability matrices across time intervals; (ii) simultaneous evaluation of partial likelihood vectors within temporal slices; and (iii) concurrent aggregation of coalescent probabilities. Algorithmic restructuring cuts average coalescent likelihood computation by 7-8 fold, and parallelization further boosts performance to 10-26 fold, enabling joint phylogeographic analyses of dengue virus across 10 South American countries and H5N1 avian influenza across 20 Eurasian regions to finish in a fraction of prior time. This computational efficiency also enables comparison between backward-in-time structured coalescent approximations and forward-in-time phylogeographic methods, revealing that the former provides appropriately conservative posterior estimates, particularly at intermediate phylogenetic depths. We integrate our implementation into the popular BEAST X and BEAGLE software packages, with an accompanying interface in BEAUti X to easily set up the analyses, providing researchers with an accessible and scalable tool for real-time phylogeographic surveillance of rapidly evolving pathogens.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2025

The association between milk fat intake and atopic dermatitis: A study based on NHANES from 1999 to 2006 and Mendelian randomization.

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a prevalent chronic inflammatory skin disease imposing significant global burden. While dietary factors are implicated in AD, the relationship between milk fat intake and AD risk remains unclear, particularly regarding optimal fat levels. This study aimed to investigate the association between milk fat intake and AD risk in adults. Relevant data (included a total of 9760 participants) from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1999 and 2006 were selected, and the relationship between milk fat intake and AD was assessed using weighted multifactorial logistic regression. Subsequently, a 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted using the summary statistics of genome-wide association studies, and the causal relationship between the 2 was verified through inverse variance weighting, Bayesian weighted MR, and other supplementary MR methods. Weighted multifactorial logistic regression analysis adjusted for other covariates showed that, compared with the intake of full-fat milk, the intake of 1% fat milk (M3: odds ratio [OR]: 1.476, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.157-1.874, P = .005), nonfat milk (M3: OR: 1.578, 95% CI: 1.288-1.930, P < .001), as well as for milk abstainers (M3: OR: 1.303, 95% CI: 1.061-1.600, P = .025) increased the risk of AD. MR analysis further validated a significant inverse association between milk fat intake and AD risk, with both primary methods demonstrating statistical significance (P < .05) and no significant pleiotropy or heterogeneity detected in sensitivity analyses. Compared with the population consuming full-fat milk, the risk of AD may be higher in American adults consuming 1% fat milk, nonfat milk, and milk abstainers.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Comparative Efficacy of Non-opioid Analgesic Drugs for Chronic Cancer Pain: A Bayesian Network Meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: While opioids remain the primary pharmacological intervention for cancer pain management, their clinical utility is frequently compromised by dose-limiting toxicities. This study aimed to determine the comparative efficacy, opioid-sparing potential, and clinical hierarchy of non-opioid adjuvant drug classes. The study was structured around the PICO framework to evaluate the pharmacological strategies currently utilized in multimodal clinical oncology. METHODS: A systematic search of electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane) was conducted for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published between 2000 and 2025. The primary outcome was global analgesic efficacy (standardized mean difference [SMD]), while secondary outcomes included the opioid-sparing effect, defined as the percentage reduction in morphine equivalent daily dose (MEDD) and the incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (Harms). A Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to rank treatments using SUCRA values. The methodological quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias (RoB 2.0) tool. RESULTS: Twenty-three RCTs (n = 1845) met the inclusion criteria. Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (-1.10) and anticonvulsants (-1.06) demonstrated the most robust analgesic effects. The SUCRA ranking confirmed a clear hierarchy, with the combination of anticonvulsants and antidepressants showing the highest probability of efficacy. A significant opioid-sparing effect was observed for gabapentinoids and ketamine, facilitating MEDD reduction. While serious adverse events were rare, minor harms (somnolence, dizziness) were more frequent in the most effective classes. CONCLUSION: Our NMA provides a robust evidence base for a "Clinical Tier" system, ranking adjuvants by their balance of efficacy and safety. These findings support the early integration of Tier I agents (anticonvulsants and NSAIDs) to optimize pain control and reduce opioid-related toxicities in chronic cancer pain management.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Genetic evidence for a causal relationship between melatonin metabolism and depression.

To investigate the causal relevance of melatonin metabolism, which provides the biological basis for circulating melatonin levels, to specific depression symptom subtypes, we performed a targeted systematic review of melatonin metabolism pathways in the human brain and liver. Using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR), we assessed the causal effects of metabolism pathways and/or individual genes on major depressive disorder (MDD) and nine symptom subtypes derived from Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9). Instrumental variables (IVs) were expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) for eight individual genes, one synthesis route, and three degradation routes. Results were assessed using Bayesian colocalization and phenome-wide association analyses. At the pathway-level, the genetically proxied synthesis-route signal was associated with PHQ-9 Assessment 5 (PHQ9A5, OR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85-0.93), but sensitivity analyses suggested this association was primarily driven by TPH1 and may reflect serotonin-related biology. In contrast, higher brain melatonin degradation raised the risk of both PHQ9A1 (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02-1.04) and PHQ9A7 (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02-1.03). Within degradation, up-regulation of the kynurenine sub-pathway increased the odds of PHQ9A3 (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07), PHQ9A4 (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06) and PHQ9A7 (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07). Gene-level analyses were largely concordant, except for SULT1A1, whose higher expression was genetically protective for PHQ9A3 but risk-increased for PHQ9A1 and PHQ9A4. Overall, these results demonstrate that melatonin metabolism exerts symptom-specific and pathway-specific causal effects on depression. A stratified view of melatonin's role may help optimize the application of exogenous melatonin supplementation.

Melatonin↗