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Evaluating the analytical validity of circulating tumor DNA sequencing assays for precision oncology.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) sequencing is being rapidly adopted in precision oncology, but the accuracy, sensitivity and reproducibility of ctDNA assays is poorly understood. Here we report the findings of a multi-site, cross-platform evaluation of the analytical performance of five industry-leading ctDNA assays. We evaluated each stage of the ctDNA sequencing workflow with simulations, synthetic DNA spike-in experiments and proficiency testing on standardized, cell-line-derived reference samples. Above 0.5% variant allele frequency, ctDNA mutations were detected with high sensitivity, precision and reproducibility by all five assays, whereas, below this limit, detection became unreliable and varied widely between assays, especially when input material was limited. Missed mutations (false negatives) were more common than erroneous candidates (false positives), indicating that the reliable sampling of rare ctDNA fragments is the key challenge for ctDNA assays. This comprehensive evaluation of the analytical performance of ctDNA assays serves to inform best practice guidelines and provides a resource for precision oncology.

Circulating Tumor DNA

Baseline Plasma Cell-Free and Circulating Tumor DNA Across Lymphoma Subtypes and Its Prognostic Impact in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis enables real‑time assessment of the tumor burden and genomic complexity in lymphomas. However, real‑world evidence across lymphoma subtypes is limited. METHODS: We analyzed cell‑free DNA (cfDNA) and ctDNA data from 336 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed Hodgkin or non-Hodgkin lymphoma in 2022 and evaluated their prognostic impact in diffuse large B‑cell lymphoma (DLBCL). RESULTS: We detected somatic alterations in 248 of 336 patients (73.8%). DLBCL and follicular lymphoma showed the highest variant prevalences and ctDNA burdens. Epigenetic regulators, including KMT2D, CREBBP, TET2, and HIST1H1E, constituted the dominant class of genes with recurrent alterations. Plasma variant profiles closely mirrored publicly available, tissue‑based next-generation sequencing datasets. The baseline ctDNA burden correlated with adverse clinical features, and ctDNA positivity was associated with failure to achieve complete remission. In DLBCL, elevated cfDNA (top quartile) and a high International Prognostic Index (IPI) were independently associated with shorter overall and progression‑free survival. However, the total variant count per patient was not significantly associated with survival after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline plasma cfDNA and ctDNA assessments are feasible in routine practice and recapitulate tissue-variant landscapes. Elevated cfDNA concentrations-but not the total variant count-were independently associated with survival in DLBCL, providing prognostic information beyond the IPI and supporting integration of plasma-based biomarkers into multiparameter risk models. Gene‑level ctDNA associations should be regarded as exploratory and hypothesis‑generating.

Cell-free DNA

An alignment-free strategy for circulating tumor DNA detection and tumor fraction estimation from whole-genome sequencing data.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is emerging as a promising biomarker for postoperative monitoring of cancer patients. Precise estimation of circulating tumor fraction is crucial for evaluating treatment effects and timely detection of disease recurrence. All current ctDNA detection methods that utilize whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data rely on the reference genome alignment of sequencing reads and often apply separate tools for detecting different variant types. However, various bioinformatic analysis confounders and the application of external variant calling tools could be avoided by analyzing k-mers from unaligned sequencing reads. While k-mer-based methods have successfully been applied for somatic variant validation and detection, the potential of k-mer-based ctDNA detection is unexplored. We have developed a tumor-informed alignment-free ctDNA detection tool called ctDNAmer that detects tumor-specific somatic variation directly from unaligned sequencing data by identifying k-mers unique to the tumor DNA. ctDNAmer detects variant information across the genome by comparing the primary tumor and germline WGS data and accounts for sample-specific germline variability and technical noise in the same framework. We tested the utility of ctDNAmer for tumor fraction estimation on postoperative plasma cfDNA WGS data (mean sequencing depth ~ 28x) from 90 stage III colorectal cancer patients with three years of follow-up. The tumor fraction (TF) estimates agreed with the available clinical information and ctDNA was detected in 77% (17/22) of recurring patients with a median lead time of 8 months compared to radiological imaging. We further validated ctDNAmer's tumor fraction estimates based on a comparison with the mean cfDNA allele frequencies of somatic clonal SNVs identified from aligned primary tumor sequencing data. The TF estimates showed a strong Pearson correlation of 0.897 with the mean allele frequencies and improved ctDNA detection results across samples with an AUC of 0.79 compared to 0.75 if the mean allele frequency of clonal mutations is used.

Circulating Tumor DNA

Prospective Evaluation of Circulating Tumor DNA in Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: There are few established prognostic biomarkers in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). Disease volume and timing of metastases are prognostic and predictive factors but may be inadequate due to heterogeneity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) provides both circulating volume (tumor fraction [TF]) and genomic data. There are limited data on ctDNA in mHSPC. METHODS: This was a multicenter, prospective study of ctDNA testing in mHSPC. Presented here are the results before androgen-deprivation therapy initiation. The primary objective was to evaluate the association between TF and overall survival (OS) and time to mCRPC (TTCRPC). Secondary analyses included evaluating outcomes in subgroups of interest and key genomic subtypes. RESULTS: Between 2018 and 2024, 85 patients were enrolled, of whom 72 (25% Black) had evaluable baseline ctDNA samples and are included herein. Baseline TF was positive in 46 patients (64%). Compared with patients with negative ctDNA TF, most patients with positive ctDNA TF had de novo (87% v 39%, P < .001) and high-volume disease (80% v 46%, P = .01). At a median follow-up of 20.8 months, median OS was not reached (NR) with those with negative ctDNA TF and 33 months with positive ctDNA TF (hazard ratio [HR], 3.33 [95% CI, 1.1 to 9.9]; P = .03). However, a negative TF at baseline was associated with an undetectable 7-month prostate-specific antigen, a validated OS surrogate. Median TTCRPC was NR versus 13 months (HR, 3.43 [95% CI, 1.5 to 7.9]; P = .004). ctDNA TF was also potentially prognostic in high-volume disease and those who received doublet therapy. CONCLUSION: In this diverse cohort, a positive ctDNA TF at baseline was associated with worse outcomes in mHSPC and may potentially complement current further risk stratification tools.

Humans

Mutant KRAS in Circulating Tumor DNA as a Biomarker in Localized Pancreatic Cancer Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to determine the prognostic significance of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) using digital droplet polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR). BACKGROUND: Increasingly, ctDNA is being used for clinical decision-making in a variety of solid malignancies. However, the detection and prognostic value of KRAS ctDNA as assessed by ddPCR during NAC for PDAC has yet to be characterized. METHODS: Patients with localized PDAC eligible to receive NAC were prospectively enrolled. Peripheral blood samples were obtained at diagnosis, after NAC, and after resection and analyzed for ctDNA using ddPCR. Log-rank tests and Cox proportional hazards model were used to assess for associations with OS. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients were included in the analysis. Mutant KRAS ctDNA was detected in 49.3% of patients at diagnosis, 69.6% of patients after NAC, and 69.7% of patients after resection, respectively. There were 15 (17.9%) patients who cleared mutational ctDNA over the course of treatment. Clearance of ctDNA during NAC was associated with improved overall survival (OS) (18.4&#xa0;mo. vs NR, P <0.05). Detection of mutant KRAS G12V after NAC and resection was associated with shorter OS (18.0&#xa0;mo vs NR, P <0.031). Detection of the KRAS G12V mutation after resection was associated with reduced OS (aHR 36.75, 95% CI: 2.93-461.38). CONCLUSIONS: Throughout treatment, KRAS ctDNA is detectable by ddPCR in patients with localized PDAC treated with NAC. Detection of mutant KRAS G12V after resection was associated with reduced OS.

Humans

Circulating Tumor DNA in Bladder Cancer: Current Clinical Evidence and Emerging Multi-Omics Perspectives-A Narrative Review.

Background: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis has emerged as a promising tool for real-time disease monitoring in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). This narrative review summarizes current clinical evidence regarding ctDNA across disease stages. Methods: We examine recent translational and clinical findings, incorporating key prospective data from practice-changing trials, as well as insights into minimal residual disease (MRD) detection, treatment escalation and de-escalation strategies, and systemic barriers to adoption. Results: Postoperative ctDNA positivity consistently identifies patients with molecular residual disease (MRD) who face a substantially higher risk of recurrence and mortality, frequently preceding radiographic relapse by several months. Prospective evidence now validates ctDNA as a predictive biomarker to guide adjuvant immunotherapy escalation, while sustained ctDNA negativity correlates with high long-term disease-free survival. Beyond plasma ctDNA, emerging multi-compartment liquid biopsies-integrating urinary tumor DNA (utDNA)-demonstrate enhanced sensitivity, particularly in bladder-sparing and local surveillance settings. Furthermore, integrating genomic ctDNA profiling with novel post-transcriptional layers like epitranscriptomics offers a functional framework to capture tumor adaptation under therapeutic pressure. However, clinical translation remains constrained by a lack of assay harmonization, variable analytical sensitivity, and the need for standardized intervention thresholds. Conclusions: Longitudinal liquid biopsies are rapidly shifting MIBC management from static, stage-based paradigms toward dynamic, molecularly informed precision oncology. While ctDNA-guided strategies show robust clinical utility, prospective interventional validation and technical standardization are required before widespread routine integration.

biomarkers

Clinical Relevance of Post-Treatment Circulating Tumor DNA Detection in Early Breast Cancer Using a Tissue-Free Epigenomic Assay: A 2-Year Landmark Analysis.

PURPOSE: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may serve as a biomarker to facilitate early identification of asymptomatic distant tumor spread in patients with breast cancer. The primary objective of this study was to assess clinical validity and prognostic value of post-treatment tissue-free ctDNA detection by evaluating its sensitivity for distant metastatic recurrence and its association with long-term outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Plasma samples were prospectively collected from patients with stage I-III early breast cancer who participated in the adjuvant SUCCESS-A phase III clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02181101). In this study, plasma samples collected approximately 2 years after completion of adjuvant chemotherapy from 313 SUCCESS A patients without evidence of prior disease recurrence were retrospectively analyzed using a tissue-free epigenomic ctDNA assay (Guardant Reveal). Survival analyses were performed using a landmark approach based on the time of sample collection. RESULTS: Overall, ctDNA was detected in 18 of 313 samples (5.8%). Of all ctDNA detected samples, 94% (17/18) were from patients who subsequently developed a distant recurrence, with ctDNA detected at a median interval of 7.9 months before recurrence. ctDNA positivity was strongly associated with a significantly shorter distant recurrence-free interval (hazard ratio [HR], 33.3 [95% CI, 4.12 to 268]; P < .0001) and poorer overall survival (HR, 27.3 [95% CI, 1.15 to 647]; P < .0001). The sensitivity for distant recurrence in patients who had a sample collected within 1 year before recurrence was 73% (11/15). The specificity in nonrecurred patients was 99.6% (267/268). CONCLUSION: Tissue-free detection of ctDNA 2 years after adjuvant chemotherapy was highly prognostic in an early-stage breast cancer cohort, and can be used to stratify patients with early-stage breast cancer at high risk for recurrence during follow-up who may benefit from early interventions.

Humans

HPV circulating tumor DNA as a potential prognostic and predictive biomarker in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA (HPVctDNA) has emerged as a promising prognostic biomarker in HPV-related head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This systematic review aimed to synthesize current evidence on the diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value of HPVctDNA in HNSCC management. MATERIAL/METHODS: We systematically reviewed a PubMed-indexed database of studies published between January 2012 and September 2025. Eligible studies were assessed for design, primary tumor site and stage, treatment modality, HPVctDNA detection method, diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity), and reported clinical endpoints. Descriptive syntheses were performed; sensitivity and specificity were standardized to proportions and summarized as median values per group. RESULTS: A total of 60 studies, including 8,234 patients were analyzed, of which 41 (68.3%) focused exclusively on oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and 17 (28.3%) included mixed HPV-related HNSCC subsites and HPV-positive cancers of unknown primary. The median follow-up across the included studies was 23&#xa0;months. Among the included studies, 19 were retrospective (31.7%) and 33 were prospective (55.0%), with a small proportion of cross-sectional and randomized clinical trials. Overall, 40 (66.7%) evaluated the role of HPVctDNA in a curative setting. Plasma was the most common sample type, analyzed in 55 studies (91.7%), while 5 studies also included saliva. Detection methods varied: 40 employed droplet digital PCR (ddPCR), 16 used quantitative PCR (qPCR) and 4 applied NGS-based assays. Most of these studies (38, 63.3%) evaluated the prognostic utility of HPVctDNA, while only 4 (6.7%) assessed HPVctDNA in a screening or diagnostic setting. Regarding diagnostic accuracy, the median sensitivity across evaluable studies was 91.1%, while the median specificity was 99.4%. In OPSCC-only cohorts, the median sensitivity and specificity were 89.4% and 99.4%, respectively. Dynamic changes in HPVctDNA levels during or after treatment were consistently associated with outcomes: clearance or sustained negativity correlated with higher response rates, improved progression-free survival and overall survival, while persistent positivity or increasing levels predicted disease progression and recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: HPVctDNA demonstrates high diagnostic and prognostic accuracy in HPV-related HNSCC, especially OPSCC, supporting its use for prognosis, treatment monitoring and early detection of recurrence. However, prospective interventional studies are still required to demonstrate that HPVctDNA-guided treatment decisions improve clinical outcomes before routine implementation.

Humans

Evidence for the prognostic value of TP53 mutations in circulating tumor DNA across solid malignancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this meta-analysis study is to provide evidence for the clinical utility of TP53 mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic biomarker. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science databases (last update May 2025) for studies on TP53 mutations in ctDNA or cfDNA as prognosis overall survival and in solid tumors. A total of 21 studies that met the criteria were utilized and data was collected regarding the authors, year of publication, study design, site of the study, number of patients, detection, mutation sample size and outcome measures were collected. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to evaluate the quality of the study, and meta-analysis was done by using STATA 16.0. Effect sizes were in the form of hazard ratios (HR) that had 95% confidence intervals (CI). The models used were fixed-effects and random-effects based on heterogeneity. Funnel plots, and Egger's test was used to measure publication bias, and sensitivity analysis conducted through a leave-one-out method. RESULTS: A total of 21 studies (2,685 TP53-mutated patients, one unreported) showed: Mutated patients had worse progression-free survival (PFS) (HR=2.10, p=0.000; 12 studies, heterogeneity resolved after excluding Yoshida 2023), shorter OS (HR=1.74, p=0.014; 9 studies), and reduced DFS (HR=1.73, p=0.007; 3 studies), but RFS (2 items) showed no statistically significant differences. Subgroup analyses revealed: Prospective studies showed stronger PFS (HR=2.14 vs retrospective 1.90) with Japanese subgroup HR=4.90; Lung/liver cancers had higher HRs than breast. Prospective OS HR=2.25 (lung 3.14, endometrial 0.75). Retrospective DFS HR=1.89 vs Japanese breast RFS HR=4.00. Heterogeneity originated from study design, region, and cancer type variations, with no significant publication bias (Egger's test p>0.05). CONCLUSION: Current evidence suggests that TP53 mutations detected in ctDNA are significantly associated with poor prognosis in various solid tumors, particularly lung cancer. The association is robust for PFS and OS, though high heterogeneity and biological complexity warrant cautious interpretation. These findings support the potential incorporation of ctDNA-based TP53 mutation status into clinical prognostic assessment systems as an adjunctive parameter; however, further standardization of detection protocols, functional annotation of mutation types (e.g., LOF vs. GOF), incorporation of VAF and clonality analysis, and validation in large prospective multicenter cohorts are needed before routine clinical implementation. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD420251021095.

Humans

Diagnostic Accuracy of Circulating Tumor DNA to Predict Retroperitoneal Histology in Patients Treated With Retroperitoneal Lymph Node Dissection for Testicular Germ Tumor.

Testicular germ cell tumor (GCT) has survival rates exceeding 90% and thus contemporary research has focused on reducing morbidity. While chemotherapy is efficacious, long-term effects are significant. Primary retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy (P-RPLND) has been offered, and postchemotherapy lymphadenectomy (PC-RPLND) is considered, based on residual node size, to reduce overtreatment. A significant number of patients have necrosis in the retroperitoneum and are thus overtreated. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may be used to determine which patients would benefit from RPLND. This retrospective analysis sought to determine the performance of ctDNA to detect retroperitoneal GCT only, teratoma only, and GCT/teratoma. All patients had a ctDNA obtained preoperatively and at 3, 6, and 12 months postoperatively. Ninety-two patients underwent P or PC-RPLND. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values (PPVs) and negative predictive values (NPVs) for detecting active GCT/teratoma in the entire cohort were 60%, 87%, 96%, and 30%, respectively. For GCT only these were 85%, 75%, 73%, and 86%. For teratoma only, these were 31%, 34%, 23%, and 43%. These findings indicate that patients with a positive ctDNA likely harbor active GCT and/or teratoma, as suggested by a PPV of 96%. Future studies may use whole-genome ctDNA assays to improve detection of teratoma and incorporate ctDNA into surveillance protocols.

Humans

MRD-2 in the GHSG HD21 trial assessed by a validated circulating tumor DNA sequencing assay.

Beyond cure, major goals in patients with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) are tailoring treatment to a patient's individual risk for relapse to reduce acute and late toxicities, identifying candidates for early incorporation of novel agents, and making treatment affordable on a global level. Minimal residual disease (MRD) assessment by circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) sequencing emerged as a promising strategy to achieve these goals; however, previous studies differed in sampling time points, assay validation, and definitions for MRD negativity. Here, we applied LymphoVista, a validated ctDNA sequencing assay for genotyping and MRD monitoring in lymphoma, to samples obtained from the German Hodgkin Study Group (GHSG) HD21 trial after 2 cycles of treatment (MRD-2) using a case-cohort design. Patients with positive MRD-2 result were at higher risk for relapse, progression, or death compared with MRD-2-negative patients (4-year progression-free survival [PFS], 36.7% vs 82.2%; hazard ratio, 5.3; 95% confidence interval, 2.0-13.8; P = .0008). After inverse probability weighting accounting for the number of events in the full reference set, patients with positive and negative MRD-2 results had 4-year PFS rates of 72.2% vs 95.3%. Combining MRD-2 with positron emission tomography after 2 cycles of BrECADD/eBEACOPP (PET-2) can identify patients at very low and patients at very high risk of relapse, progression, or death. In summary, these results suggest that MRD-2 assessment by LymphoVista allows for early outcome prognostication in patients with HL and could be used as a tool to improve treatment guidance on its own or in conjunction with PET-2.

Humans

The role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to detect minimal residual disease in locally advanced gastroesophageal carcinoma: the BUTTERFLY study.

BACKGROUND: Despite advances in perioperative and neoadjuvant strategies, patients with locally advanced gastroesophageal cancers remain at high risk of recurrence after curative intent treatment. No validated biomarkers are available to detect minimal residual disease (MRD) or to guide post-operative risk-adapted management. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a noninvasive tool for disease monitoring; single-parameter or tumor-informed assays, however, may lack sensitivity in low-tumor burden settings. Multimodal, tumor-agnostic approaches may overcome these limitations. METHODS: The BUTTERFLY study is a prospective, multicenter observational study enrolling patients with stage II-III gastric, gastroesophageal junction, or esophageal cancer treated with perioperative chemotherapy or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery. It evaluates the diagnostic performance and prognostic value of an academic, tumor-agnostic, multimodal ctDNA assay for MRD detection and prognostic stratification. Serial plasma samples are collected from baseline through post-operative follow-up and at relapse. Cell-free DNA is analyzed using the Agnostic Liquid Biopsy Multimodal Advancement (ALMA) platform, integrating tumor fraction estimation, somatic copy number alterations, fragmentomic features, single-nucleotide variants, and whole-genome methylation profiling. Multimodal features are combined with clinical variables using machine learning-based models to enhance MRD detection and relapse risk stratification. The primary endpoint includes sensitivity and specificity of ALMA-defined ctDNA/MRD status at the 4-8 weeks after surgery landmark, whereas secondary endpoints assess diagnostic performance at other time points and associations between ctDNA status and dynamics with disease-free survival, overall survival, treatment response, and lead time to recurrence. FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: If validated, this tumor-agnostic, multimodal ctDNA approach may enable earlier molecular relapse detection and support personalized post-operative management strategies.

circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)

Prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA and copy-number alterations in patients receiving tandem [225Ac]Ac-/[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 therapy for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Prostate-specific membrane antigen-targeted radioligand therapy (PSMA-RLT) demonstrates clinical efficacy in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), yet robust biomarkers for dynamic treatment monitoring and resistance remain lacking. We investigated circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-derived tumor fraction (TFx) and genome-wide copy-number alterations (CNAs) as non-invasive biomarkers of treatment response and resistance biology. METHODS: Seventy-eight patients with advanced mCRPC receiving tandem [225Ac]Ac-/[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 were prospectively enrolled. Plasma samples collected longitudinally (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;172) underwent ultra-low-pass whole-genome sequencing. TFx was estimated using ichorCNA, and recurrent CNAs were identified using GISTIC2.0. Associations with progression and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models, including time-dependent analyses. RESULTS: Baseline TFx differed across metastatic disease stages (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.027) and dynamic TFx changes paralleled PSA kinetics during early treatment. Modelled as a time-dependent variable, TFx was associated with a significantly increased risk of progression (HR 4.9, 95% CI 1.2-20.1, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.026). Unsupervised clustering identified distinct high- and low-CNA burden groups strongly correlated with TFx (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;8.09&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10&#x207b;8). High CNA burden was associated with shorter median OS (8.3 vs 13.8&#xa0;months). Multivariable analysis identified baseline logPSA and logALP as independent predictors of OS. Recurrent CNAs affected key tumor suppressors (PTEN, RB1, BRCA2, ATM) and were enriched in pathways related to TP53 signalling, homologous recombination repair, and oncogenic signaling. Longitudinal analyses demonstrated persistence and expansion of specific amplifications at progression. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA-derived TFx represents a dynamic biomarker of treatment response and progression risk, while CNA profiling provides insight into resistance mechanisms in mCRPC treated with PSMA-RLT. These findings support the integration of ctDNA-based biomarkers into clinical stratification and real-time monitoring strategies.

Humans

Current Evidence for Circulating Tumor DNA in Sarcoma: Challenges and Opportunities for Clinical Application.

Sarcomas represent a diverse group of mesenchymal tumors with high rates of recurrence after resection. While recent technical advances have enabled the detection of rare circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in other malignancies, the complexity and heterogeneity of sarcoma genomics have historically limited ctDNA in these cancers. This narrative review highlights the rapidly evolving evidence supporting potential clinical applications of ctDNA in common sarcoma subtypes including gastrointestinal stromal tumor, leiomyosarcoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, osteosarcoma, and Ewing sarcoma.

Humans

Circulating Tumor DNA in Breast Cancer: A Liquid Biopsy Revolution for Non-Invasive Genomic Profiling and Clinical Decision-Making.

Breast cancer remains the most frequently diagnosed cancer and a leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women worldwide, underscoring the need for accurate, minimally invasive biomarkers to support precision oncology. Conventional tissue biopsy remains the standard for molecular characterization but is limited by its invasiveness, inability to capture spatial and temporal tumor heterogeneity, and challenges in serial monitoring. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), a tumor-derived fraction of cell-free DNA, has emerged as a promising liquid biopsy biomarker capable of providing real-time genomic information throughout disease progression. This narrative review examines recent advances in ctDNA biology, analytical technologies, clinical applications, current limitations, and future directions in breast cancer management. A structured literature search of PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar identified relevant English-language publications from 2015 to 2026. Current evidence indicates that highly sensitive platforms, including digital PCR, BEAMing, and next-generation sequencing, can detect clinically actionable alterations in genes such as PIK3CA, ESR1, TP53, ERBB2, AKT1, and BRCA1/2. ctDNA has demonstrated particular utility in identifying minimal residual disease, monitoring therapeutic response, detecting emerging resistance mechanisms, and guiding targeted treatment selection in advanced breast cancer. However, applications in early cancer detection, population screening, and artificial intelligence-assisted clinical decision-making remain investigational. Widespread clinical implementation is constrained by low ctDNA abundance in early-stage disease, analytical variability, limited assay standardization, and cost considerations. Continued technological innovation, prospective multicenter validation, standardized testing protocols, and evidence-based clinical guidelines are essential to fully integrate ctDNA into routine precision breast cancer care.

breast cancer

Circulating Tumor DNA Profiling Defines Risk Classification in Patients With Ewing Sarcoma: A Report From the Children's Oncology Group and the LEOPARD Study.

PURPOSE: Identification of discrete risk groups remains a high priority for patients with Ewing sarcoma (EWS). We sought to prospectively validate circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic factor and develop clinical-molecular risk groups. METHODS: We conducted a prospective investigator-initiated biology study for patients with localized EWS (LEOPARD) and embedded ctDNA analysis into the North American frontline metastatic study AEWS1221. Eligible patients were younger than 50 years with newly diagnosed EWS. All patients provided a baseline blood sample for analysis, which was subjected to ultralow-pass whole-genome sequencing and hybrid capture panel sequencing for ctDNA quantification, fusion detection, and characterization of STAG2 and TP53 alterations. Serial ctDNA sequencing was conducted on a subset of patients in each study. We tested for associations between ctDNA burden and secondary genomic events, and clinical features and outcomes. RESULTS: One hundred forty patients with localized disease and 255 with metastatic disease provided evaluable pretreatment samples for ctDNA analysis. Elevated baseline ctDNA was associated with stage, tumor size, primary site, indeterminate pulmonary nodules, and metastatic pattern. Elevated pretreatment ctDNA burden was associated with inferior outcomes in patients with localized (n = 140, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.36, P = .032) and metastatic disease (n = 255, HR = 2.15, P = .001). Patients with metastatic disease and TP53 variants and/or persistent on-therapy ctDNA had dismal outcomes. Patients with localized disease, low ctDNA, small tumors, and favorable genomics had no events and constitute a novel low-risk group. Among patients with metastatic disease, those with lung-only disease, low ctDNA, and favorable genomics represent an intermediate-risk group. CONCLUSION: This study prospectively validates pretreatment ctDNA burden as prognostic in EWS. Risk groups that integrate ctDNA burden with clinical-molecular features differentiate patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk disease.

Journal Article

Longitudinal analysis of circulating tumor DNA and CA19-9 dynamics in predicting disease relapse and monitoring treatment response in stage I-III pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: An interim analysis of a prospective observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Postoperative recurrence is the leading cause of mortality in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), yet reliable tools for early relapse detection and treatment response assessment remain lacking. METHODS: In a prospective cohort of 136 patients with resected stage I-III PDAC receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, we evaluated circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and CA19-9 as longitudinal biomarkers across multiple postoperative time windows. RESULTS: ctDNA consistently outperformed CA19-9 as an independent prognostic factor; ctDNA positivity at on-treatment and surveillance assessments achieved a positive predictive value of 91.7%, while persistent negativity identified the lowest-risk patients. Integrating CA19-9 with ctDNA resolved the ctDNA-alone gap in distinguishing treatment clearance from conversion, improving discrimination of responders from non-responders (HR 3.72; P&#x202f;=&#x202f;.008). A time-weighted dynamic ctDNA risk score (MinerVa-dynamic) further stratified ctDNA-negative patients into clinically distinct prognostic subgroups, achieving an area under the curve of 0.87 and 0.82 for one- and two-year disease-free survival prediction, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support a dual-biomarker longitudinal monitoring framework as a practical, individualized approach to postoperative surveillance and early therapeutic decision-making in PDAC.

CA19-9

Analytical and clinical performance validation of HPV-SEQ, a novel NGS-based liquid biopsy platform for detection and quantification of human papilloma virus circulating tumor DNA.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the primary causative driver of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Accurate detection of HPV-DNA is critical for risk stratification and management of OPSCC. However, assays designed to detect HPV in primary tumors do not allow monitoring of HPV-DNA over time, whereas commercially available droplet digital PCR-based methods for assessment of circulating cell free (cf)HPV-DNA in plasma remain suboptimal, hindering adaptation into clinical practice. We have developed HPV-SEQ, a novel next-generation-sequencing (NGS) based method for detection and quantification of HPV16/18 DNA in plasma of patients with OPSCC. METHODS: The assay uses primers targeting the L1 gene of HPV16 and HPV18 viral genomes and strain specific calibrators at a defined concentration to determine the ratio of native HPV to a known standard, enabling accurate reporting of patient-derived HPV16/18 viral load in a sample. This study was conducted using two different patient populations in addition to healthy donors and contrived material. All experiments were performed to fulfill several applicable analytical, performance and validation guidelines. RESULTS: A thorough analytical characterization and clinical validation of this platform demonstrates that HPV-SEQ detects cfHPV-DNA with exceptional limit of quantification and high precision, providing a foundation for integrating this platform into clinical settings. CONCLUSIONS: This ultra-sensitive HPV profiling method with optimal analytical performance may represent a significant advancement in risk stratification, treatment management, and post-treatment surveillance for patients with OPSCC.

Humans