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At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1989

The demographics of macro-economic-demographic models.

A number of macro-economic-demographic models have been created for developing countries during the decades of the 1970s and 1980s. Such models purport to simulate relationships between demographic variables and the process of socioeconomic development in the particular country, with the dual purposes of enhancing our knowledge of the process in particular settings and, by examining alternative scenarios, providing useful information to policy makers on the selection of demographic and economic policies to enhance economic development and improve human welfare. This paper 1st reviews the antecedents and then focuses on assessing the demographic functions (fertility, mortality, and internal migration rates) used in the 2 families of models which have had perhaps the largest number of applications in developing countries--the Bachue models, originating at the International Labour Office (Geneva), and the ESCAP models, originating at the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (Bangkok). Each has been applied, with significant variations, in at least 3 countries. Economic-demographic functions are defined as endogenous (and substantively meaningful, from the points of view of this paper) whenever there is an effect of economic growth or change in economic structure on the particular demographic function. The bulk of this paper assesses the realism and endogeneity of the fertility, mortality, and migration functions used in the Bachue and ESCAP models, noting, where possible, both the apparent and prima facie behavioral relationships and those that are actually important on the dynamic simulation. Shortcomings are described, including the lack of government expenditure functions with effects on demographic variables. The paper concludes more positively, noting areas of congruence and appealing endogenous relationships and functional forms specified in certain country models. It also suggests further development of, on the 1 hand, both simpler and more realistic planning models (focusing on particular behavioral relationships or sectors of importance to the country), which will be easier for country planners to understand and hence use, and, on the other hand, more complex research models aimed at enhancing our understanding of fundamental, dynamic relationships between economic factors, government policies and fertility, mortality and migration rates during the course of socioeconomic change.

Demography↗
PubMed1990

Statistico-demographic investigations on the longevity of the Romanian population. II. Longevity and the process of demographic aging.

This is the second part of a two-part paper concerning longevity in Romania. In this part the authors examine "the extent to which levels of longevity reached in the Romanian counties over the period 1966 and 1968 were the result of...demographic aging; to this aim the nature and intensity of the relationship between the dynamics of longevity and demographic aging indices by county, sex and social background [were] correlatively analysed." (SUMMARY IN FRE AND RUM)

Adult↗
PubMed1986

[Demographic transformation in the Austro-Hungarian Monarchy: early fertility decline and the theory of the "demographic transition"].

"The author attempts to expose and explain important elements of the demographic transition in the Austro-Hungarian Monarchy in the last third of the nineteenth century. This is done on the basis of regional differences and time differences of the Coale-Indices (Index of marital fertility, Index of proportion married and Index of overall fertility)." The author considers the differences between marital fertility in rural Hungary and in industrial Austria at the beginning of the demographic transition (SUMMARY IN ENG)

Austria↗
PubMed1988

Demographics in demographic-economic models: a note on the basic activity-commodity framework.

The authors present a critique of an early basic formulation for the development of demographic-economic models by M. Madden and P. W. J. Batey in 1980. They assert that more attention needs to be paid to the demographic components of these models and that "distinctions between household types must be treated more adequately, and mechanisms for changes in household type must be articulated and refined." A reply by M. Madden (pp. 1,537-42) is included, as well as a response by the authors (pp. 1,543-5).

Demography↗
PubMed1980

Demographic responses and demographic transitions: a case study of Sweden.

An important study by Friedlander investigated some of the effects of different demographic responses on national demographic transitions. England and Sweden were advanced as cases that approximated the suggested hypothetical models of transitions. His argument implied that the rural population of a country (in this case Sweden) experiencing mortality decline but little industrialization would reduce its fertility rates if our-migration from agricultural areas were not possible. This present study, using more complete data and better measures, concludes that this did not occur in Sweden--it did not conform to Friedlander's hypothesized model. Because the potential implications of these findings could be profound and wide-ranging, there is a need for more studies of individual countries using better data and giving more careful attention to Davis's theory on which the Friedlander hypothesis is based.

Birth Rate↗
PubMed1997

Brief communication: estimates of some demographic parameters in a Neolithic rock-cut chamber (approximately 2000 BC) using iterative techniques for aging and demographic estimators.

Two new techniques-one anthropological, which estimates the mean age at death for adult skeletons, the other demographic, which gives main survivorship curve parameters-are used on a sample of skeletons (N approximately 170) discovered in a Neolithic rock-cut chamber (Loisy-en-Brie, France). The iterative technique for aging used a stochastic sampled F matrix derived from the trabecular involution of the femoral head observed in the reference collection of Coimbra (Portugal; N = 421). The results, obtained from techniques and data, independent of each other, are strongly consistent. Overall, they give a life expectancy at birth of about 25-28 years and the probability of death at 1 and 5 years, respectively, of about .271-.249 and .429-.380.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1984

Demographic and clinical data associated with acute necrotizing ulcerative gingivitis in a dental school population (ANUG-demographic and clinical data).

This study was undertaken to determine the prevalence of demographic and clinical factors of patients diagnosed as having ANUG as determined by the presence of painful, bleeding, necrotic and ulcerated interproximal gingival papillae. Results showed that ANUG patients were evenly divided between males and females relative to the general clinic population. 58% of the patients with ANUG were under 25 years of age as compared to 31% under 25 in the general clinic population. Overall, the ANUG group accounted for 1.4% of the under 34 age group in the general clinic population. 76% of the ANUG group had a high school education or less with 67% having less than $5,000 annual income. Only 20% presented with elevated temperature. Only 6% of the patients with ANUG were non-smokers as compared to 63% in a matched control group. Of great significance was the fact that only 1 patient with ANUG was black as compared to a 41% black population in the clinic population.

Adolescent↗