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The use of epidemiologic methods in family practice.

Epidemiologic methods of research can be readily used in family practice. Since the 19th century, family physicians have used epidemiologic methods in making important contributions to the understanding of disease. Using these methods requires an organized practice including patient registers, encounter data, and detailed records. Descriptive studies can define certain characteristics that are related to disease. Case-control and cohort studies can provide evidence for the association of risk factors and disease. A stepwise outline for carrying out a study is presented.

Epidemiologic Methods

Epidemiologic methods in clinical trials.

Epidemiologic methods developed to control confounding in non-experimental studies are equally applicable for experiments. In experiments, most confounding is usually controlled by random allocation of subjects to treatment groups, but randomization does not preclude confounding except for extremely large studies, the degree of confounding expected being inversely related to the size of the treatment groups. In experiments, as in non-experimental studies, the extent of confounding for each risk indicator should be assessed, and if sufficiently large, controlled. Confounding is properly assessed by comparing the unconfounded effect estimate to the crude effect estimate; a common error is to assess confounding by statistical tests of significance. Assessment of confounding involves its control as a prerequisite. Control is most readily and cogently achieved by stratification of the data, though with many factors to control simultaneously, multivariate analysis or a combination of multivariate analysis and stratification might be necessary.

Clinical Trials as Topic

Evaluation of a measles-smallpox vaccination campaign by a sero-epidemiologic method.

An assessment technique has been devised whereby children from 30 randomly chosen sampling sites are visited within three days of measles-smallpox vaccination and one month later. Vaccination coverage is measured at house visits and immunologic status is determined by collection of early and late blood samples on filter papers from substratified children in priority age-groups, and by looking at vaccination scars. The methodology was employed in a rural area of the Ivory Coast during the maintenance phase of a measles-smallpox vaccination program; 1762 children from 0--72 months old were inspected. Children in the target age groups, 6--24 months, had a vaccination coverage of 53.6% whereas children outside of the target group had a 10.5% coverage. Of 571 target age children, 94.6% had a measles hemagglutination-inhibition antibody titer of less than 1:10 dilution at the first visit, and were presumed susceptible to measles or vaccine. Of 247 substratified children 6--8 months, 98.3% were susceptible to measles before vaccination; 84.3% of 127 vaccinated children in this age-group sero-converted when re-tested. Of 324 children 9--24 months, 91.7% were susceptible before the campaign; 94.7% of 170 vaccinated children in this age-group converted. A positive history of prior measles or prior measles-vaccination was not a good indicator of measles serologic status. The smallpox vaccination major reaction rate was 93.2%; 91.4% of children with a recent vaccination scar sero-converted to measles vaccine. Thus, the smallpox scar read at the second visit proved the best clinical marker for determining both coverage and immunologic effectiveness of the campaign.

Age Factors